Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election explained

Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the previous election on 12 December 2019 to the eve of the 2024 election. The date of the election was Thursday, 4 July 2024.[1]

Graphical summaries

  • Guide to tables

    Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold.

    "Green" in these tables refers to combined totals for the green parties in the United Kingdom, namely the Green Party of England and Wales, the Scottish Greens, and, for polls of the entire UK, the Green Party Northern Ireland. The three parties share a commitment to environmental policies, but are independent of one another, with each contesting elections only in its own region.

    The polling company ComRes was acquired by Savanta in July 2019.[2] It was rebranded as Savanta ComRes in November 2019[3] and as Savanta in December 2022.[4] In August 2023, the market research company Omnisis rebranded its public polling arm as We Think.[5] In October 2023, the Norstat group acquired Panelbase.[6] In November 2023, Kantar Public rebranded to Verian.[7] None of these organisational changes entailed changes in methodology.

    National poll results

    Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru only stand candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party only stand candidates in Scotland.

    2024

    When compared to the result, the final week of polls under-estimated the Conservative and Lib Dem vote shares and over-estimated the Labour and Reform vote shares.[8]

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreaSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    4 Jul 20242024 general electionUK23.7%33.7%12.2%2.5%6.8%14.3%6.8%10.0
    GB24.4%34.7%12.5%2.5%6.9%14.7%4.3%10.3
    Number Cruncher Politics N/AGB2,49623%41%11%2%7%13%18
    JL Partners The Rest Is PoliticsGB2,00523%38%13%3%5%17%15
    Savanta N/AUK2,10120%39%10%2%5%17%7%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,21023%41%11%2%7%15%2%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainGB1,67920%38%12%3%7%17%18
    NorstatN/AGB3,13424%37%11%4%6%16%13
    OpiniumN/AGB2,21921%41%11%2%7%17%20
    IpsosN/AGB2,07619%37%11%5%9%15%18
    DeltapollN/AGB1,73722%39%10%2%7%17%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,26016%36%10%4%9%20%5%16
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,00821%38%10%3%7%18%17
    BMGThe iGB1,85422%39%11%3%7%16%17
    TechneN/AGB5,50321%40%11%3%6%16%3%19
    Redfield & Wilton N/AGB20,00022%41%10%3%6%16%19
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,02218%38%11%3%7%17%20
    YouGov (MRP) N/AGB47,75122%39%12%3%7%15%17
    Verian N/AGB2,13521%36%13%3%7%16%15
    JL Partners The Rest Is PoliticsGB2,02824%39%10%4%5%16%15
    Lord Ashcroft N/AGB5,18319%38%11%3%8%18%3%19
    More in Common (MRP)The News AgentsGB13,55624%40%11%2%6%14%3%16
    Survation (MRP)N/AGB34,55823%42%11%2%5%11%19
    Focaldata (MRP)N/AGB36,72623%40%12%3%5%16%19
    Savanta The TelegraphUK2,28724%39%10%3%4%13%7%17
    More in Common N/AGB4,52524%39%12%3%5%15%15
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,64521%42%11%3%4%16%21
    We ThinkN/AGB1,21020%42%10%3%7%16%2%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,09221%38%11%2%6%14%7%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,50320%40%13%3%6%17%20
    More in CommonN/AGB3,36124%39%13%3%5%13%15
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,01218%38%11%2%7%21%17
    TechneN/AGB1,64319%41%12%3%5%17%3%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB5,00019%42%11%3%5%18%23
    YouGovN/AGB4,11020%37%13%3%7%17%17
    Survation (MRP)N/AGB23,36425%42%11%2%5%11%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,93215%40%9%2%9%21%19
    BMGThe iGB1,52220%42%12%3%6%16%2%22
    More in CommonThe News AgentsGB3,42023%40%11%3%5%14%17
    NorstatN/AGB2,02523%39%12%4%6%15%16
    DeltapollThe NationalGB2,07720%42%11%3%4%17%22
    YouGovN/AGB1,57218%36%15%3%8%17%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,02218%41%12%2%5%14%23
    JL Partners (SRP)The Sunday TimesGB13,58422%38%13%3%5%17%16
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,00525%41%11%3%5%15%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56819%43%13%2%5%15%2%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00018%42%12%3%6%19%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,31821%42%10%3%5%14%6%21
    IpsosN/AGB1,40219%42%11%5%7%15%23
    VerianN/AGB1,04721%38%12%3%8%16%17
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,13419%40%10%3%9%17%25
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Daily Mirror and GB NewsGB19,99315%40%14%3%7%17%23
    We Think (MRP)N/AGB18,59522%42%11%3%6%14%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04625%41%10%2%5%15%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27022%43%8%3%7%13%21
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,10319%42%9%3%5%16%6%23
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,48420%40%12%3%9%16%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04719%37%13%3%6%18%18
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,02919%39%12%3%6%20%19
    TechneN/AGB1,64219%42%12%2%5%17%3%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50018%42%11%3%5%19%23
    Focaldata (MRP)N/AGB24,53623%41%11%3%5%16%18
    BMGThe iGB1,62719%42%9%3%7%19%1%23
    NorstatN/AGB2,05920%40%12%3%5%19%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,03525%39%11%3%5%14%14
    18 JunPeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,22815%35%12%3%8%24%11
    YouGovN/AGB1,62520%36%14%3%7%18%16
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,00820%41%12%2%6%15%5%21
    YouGov (MRP)Sky NewsGB39,97922%39%12%3%7%15%17
    Savanta (MRP)The TelegraphGB17,81223%44%12%3%4%13%21
    FocaldataN/AGB2,60421%43%10%2%5%16%2%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,38319%46%10%2%5%16%27
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00018%43%12%3%5%18%25
    VerianN/AGB1,03421%39%13%3%7%13%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,18718%43%9%3%7%18%21
    More in Common (MRP)The News AgentsGB10,85028%44%11%3%5%8%16
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,04621%40%11%3%4%14%5%19
    More in CommonN/AGB2,36925%41%11%2%5%14%16
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,08323%40%9%3%5%18%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05923%40%12%2%7%14%17
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,04521%46%11%2%5%13%3%25
    TechneN/AGB1,63619%43%11%2%6%16%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,21118%37%14%3%7%19%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50018%42%13%3%5%17%1%24
    We ThinkN/AGB1,29720%43%11%2%6%14%23
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,01419%41%11%3%6%17%22
    Survation (MRP)Best For BritainGB42,26924%40%11%4%6%12%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23419%39%10%3%9%17%3%20
    BMGThe iGB1,54621%41%12%3%6%14%20
    More in CommonThe News AgentsGB2,03725%41%10%3%5%13%16
    NorstatN/AGB1,01721%41%11%3%6%17%20
    Ipsos (MRP)N/AGB19,68925%43%10%3%6%12%1%18
    YouGovSky NewsGB1,61118%38%15%2%8%17%20
    FocaldataN/AGB3,12424%42%9%3%5%15%2%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,07623%41%10%3%6%12%18
    VerianN/AGB1,30520%41%11%3%8%15%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00019%45%10%3%5%17%26
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB4,97521%44%7%2%8%15%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,21925%44%9%3%4%10%4%19
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,00424%41%11%3%5%15%17
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB2,01021%46%9%4%5%12%25
    We ThinkN/AGB1,19820%45%10%3%5%15%25
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,47124%42%10%3%7%12%18
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,09526%46%10%2%3%11%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,61825%46%9%3%6%11%21
    Whitestone InsightN/AGB2,00122%42%9%3%5%16%20
    YouGovN/AGB1,65019%41%11%3%7%16%22
    TechneN/AGB1,64520%44%10%2%6%15%3%24
    SurvationN/AGB1,05623%43%9%3%5%15%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00019%42%12%3%6%17%23
    FocaldataN/AGB2,07725%44%9%2%5%14%2%19
    NorstatN/AGB1,00522%45%10%3%5%14%23
    BMGThe iGB1,53423%42%9%4%6%16%1%19
    YouGovSky NewsGB2,14419%40%10%3%7%17%21
    IpsosN/AGB1,01423%43%8%5%9%9%20
    Nigel Farage becomes leader of Reform UK
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,67422%46%8%3%8%10%3%24
    More in CommonN/AGB2,05527%46%8%3%5%10%19
    DeltapollN/AGB1,07725%48%10%2%4%9%23
    VerianN/AGB1,40523%41%12%3%8%9%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,20323%47%6%2%6%11%24
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,20928%42%9%3%4%9%14
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01326%43%11%3%3%12%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00020%46%10%2%5%14%26
    Survation (MRP)Best for BritainGB30,04424%43%10%3%4%11%19
    YouGov (MRP)Sky NewsGB58,87525%43%11%3%7%10%2%18
    FocaldataN/AGB2,62626%43%9%2%6%12%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,32821%46%8%3%6%13%25
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,18425%45%8%3%6%11%2%20
    TechneN/AGB1,63021%45%11%2%6%12%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04021%46%8%2%6%15%25
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,02424%44%9%3%6%11%20
    BMGThe iGB1,50027%43%9%2%6%11%16
    9 Apr – 29 MayMore in Common (MRP)N/AGB15,08929%43%11%3%5%8%14
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04926%45%9%2%5%11%19
    YouGovSky NewsGB2,12820%47%9%3%7%12%27
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB4,82824%47%6%3%8%11%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB12,00023%46%9%3%5%13%23
    SurvationN/AUK2,04024%47%11%3%3%8%23
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Daily MailGB10,39019%46%10%3%8%12%27
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,23527%44%10%3%4%8%17
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01328%40%10%3%5%12%12
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,51723%45%9%3%6%10%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05027%41%10%2%7%10%1%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07222%44%9%3%6%14%22
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24222%47%8%3%6%12%2%25
    TechneN/AGB1,64319%45%12%2%5%14%3%26
    More in CommonN/AGB2,00827%44%9%3%5%10%17
    Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,09321%46%9%3%7%12%25
    SurvationN/AUK1,01627%48%8%3%2%8%21
    YouGovN/AGB10,10820%46%9%3%7%13%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,96823%45%10%3%5%12%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,70023%45%10%2%5%12%1%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,29526%43%10%3%5%9%4%17
    More in CommonN/AGB2,30827%43%9%2%6%11%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,06423%46%8%2%8%11%2%23
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45825%43%9%3%7%10%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,47620%46%8%3%8%14%26
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,02424%44%8%3%6%13%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,03120%47%9%3%8%11%27
    TechneN/AGB1,64121%44%12%2%6%12%3%23
    IpsosN/AGB1,00820%41%11%3%11%9%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,03127%45%8%2%6%10%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,48522%45%8%3%8%11%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00021%42%12%3%6%15%1%21
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,09025%43%12%3%4%10%4%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,05424%44%10%2%7%8%5%20
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18324%47%9%2%6%10%3%23
    TechneN/AGB1,63821%45%11%2%6%12%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07218%48%9%3%7%13%30
    John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
    DeltapollN/AGB1,99326%43%10%3%5%10%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%44%9%3%5%15%1%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,26727%43%11%3%4%9%4%16
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01126%41%11%3%5%13%2%15
    More in CommonN/AGB2,13526%43%10%3%5%11%1%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,17724%44%8%2%6%13%2%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,40224%40%11%3%7%12%16
    Local elections in England, PCC elections and the Blackpool South by-election
    TechneN/AGB1,63322%44%10%2%6%13%3%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01018%44%10%2%8%15%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57724%44%8%3%5%12%20
    Labour TogetherN/AGB9,40322%44%10%3%6%13%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%45%9%3%6%14%2%23
    More in CommonN/AGB2,05324%43%11%3%6%11%2%19
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,14426%44%10%3%3%10%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26522%44%9%3%6%13%3%22
    TechneN/AGB1,64223%44%9%3%6%11%3%21
    SurvationN/AUK2,03626%44%9%3%4%10%5%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10020%45%9%3%7%13%25
    BMGThe iGB1,50025%41%9%3%6%14%1%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,52527%43%9%3%5%12%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00020%43%12%3%6%14%1%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,33227%43%9%2%4%10%4%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26626%43%9%2%7%11%2%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43125%41%10%2%7%13%16
    SurvationN/AUK1,01026%44%11%3%4%8%4%18
    TechneN/AGB1,64022%45%9%3%5%13%3%23
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04821%44%8%3%8%14%23
    DeltapollN/AGB2,07225%45%9%3%5%11%4%20
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,41023%44%6%TBC8%11%TBC21
    IpsosN/AGB1,07219%44%9%3%9%13%6%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%44%9%3%6%15%1%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,22125%43%10%3%4%9%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27124%44%9%2%6%11%1%20
    TechneN/AGB1,63023%44%10%3%5%12%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04419%45%8%3%7%15%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%44%10%2%6%15%1%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,21027%42%10%3%4%10%4%15
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01124%42%10%4%5%13%2%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,28024%45%10%2%5%13%2%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,31825%41%10%3%8%11%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,80919%45%9%4%8%14%1%26
    TechneN/AGB1,63822%45%9%3%5%13%3%23
    BMGThe iGB1,53025%43%8%3%6%14%1%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00420%43%8%3%8%16%1%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%46%10%3%5%14%2%24
    TechneN/AGB1,64123%44%10%3%5%12%3%21
    We ThinkN/AGB1,29525%44%10%3%5%10%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06121%40%10%3%8%16%19
    SavantaThe SunUK3,30224%45%10%3%3%12%4%21
    YouGov (MRP)The TimesGB18,76124%41%12%7%12%1%17
    More in CommonN/AGB1,96627%42%10%3%5%11%15
    DeltapollN/AGB2,07226%44%9%3%6%11%2%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%42%12%2%6%14%2%20
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,21624%44%10%3%4%11%4%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,87425%41%10%3%8%11%2%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27024%47%10%2%6%11%2%23
    Survation (MRP)Best for BritainUK15,02926%45%10%3%4%9%3%19
    TechneN/AGB1,63222%43%10%3%6%13%3%21
    More in CommonN/AGB2,02725%43%11%3%5%11%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04719%44%9%3%8%15%25
    DeltapollN/AGB2,07223%46%9%2%5%12%3%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%47%8%3%6%14%1%26
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,13326%44%9%3%4%11%4%18
    Labour TogetherN/AGB1,27024%42%10%3%7%13%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27025%43%10%2%6%12%2%18
    TechneN/AGB1,62422%44%11%3%5%12%3%22
    SurvationN/AUK1,04326%45%11%2%3%8%5%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04720%44%9%3%7%14%24
    More in CommonN/AGB2,02727%42%10%3%6%10%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,50227%44%10%2%4%11%2%17
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,29923%45%6%3%8%11%5%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%42%12%2%5%14%1%18
    SavantaN/AGB2,03225%43%11%3%4%9%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,21624%43%9%3%6%13%2%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,05425%41%10%3%7%11%4%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,73418%46%10%4%7%13%28
    BMGThe iGB1,54125%41%10%3%6%13%1%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05320%47%9%3%7%13%27
    TechneN/AUK1,64023%44%11%3%6%11%2%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,50027%41%9%3%6%12%3%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00023%43%10%3%6%13%2%20
    SavantaN/AGB2,24527%44%10%3%4%8%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24023%47%9%3%5%10%3%24
    OpiniumN/AUK2,05025%40%10%3%7%12%3%15
    Rochdale by-election
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10020%46%7%3%7%14%26
    TechneN/AUK1,63223%44%10%3%7%10%3%21
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00420%47%9%4%8%8%2%27
    More in CommonN/AGB2,07528%43%10%3%5%9%1%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,49023%44%11%3%5%10%3%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00023%43%10%3%8%12%2%20
    SavantaN/AGB2,09726%44%10%3%4%10%4%18
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,07927%42%10%3%7%10%1%15
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24325%44%9%3%6%10%2%19
    TechneN/AUK1,63724%44%10%3%6%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03520%46%9%4%7%13%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,51927%48%8%3%6%7%2%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00023%46%9%3%6%11%1%23
    SavantaN/AUK2,11828%42%10%3%4%8%5%14
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24626%46%9%2%6%8%2%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00227%43%10%3%7%9%2%16
    Kingswood by-election and Wellingborough by-election
    TechneN/AUK1,62823%42%11%3%7%11%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03024%44%9%3%8%11%20
    SurvationN/AUK1,02029%44%9%3%3%7%4%15
    YouGovWPI StrategyGB4,01422%45%9%3%7%12%2%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,97727%45%8%3%4%10%2%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,04627%43%7%3%8%10%3%16
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The MirrorGB18,15122%42%11%4%7%10%4%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%46%11%3%5%12%2%25
    SavantaN/AUK2,22429%41%11%3%3%8%4%12
    More in CommonN/AGB2,05029%40%11%3%6%10%1%11
    We ThinkN/AGB1,17126%42%11%3%6%10%2%16
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,05025%43%11%2%7%10%3%18
    TechneN/AUK1,63924%44%10%3%6%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,02921%46%9%3%7%12%25
    Whitestone InsightLady McAlpineGB13,53420%42%10%3%8%13%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB5,00023%44%11%3%5%12%1%21
    DeltapollN/AGB2,00427%43%10%3%5%9%3%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%45%9%3%4%12%21
    We ThinkN/AGB1,28323%45%9%3%9%11%2%22
    TechneN/AUK1,63423%45%10%3%6%10%3%22
    BMGThe iGB1,50529%44%11%2%6%8%1%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00823%44%9%3%6%12%21
    SurvationN/AUK81027%44%11%4%3%7%5%17
    More in CommonN/AGB3,11329%43%10%3%6%8%1%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%45%11%3%6%12%23
    DeltapollN/AGB2,06429%43%10%2%6%9%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,27927%46%10%2%3%9%4%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26423%47%9%2%6%12%2%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,06027%42%10%3%6%10%1%15
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,64820%45%10%4%9%12%1%25
    TechneN/AUK1,64124%44%10%3%7%9%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00820%47%8%4%6%13%27
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00327%49%7%4%7%4%1%22
    DeltapollN/AGB2,17628%45%9%3%5%8%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%45%11%2%6%12%23
    SavantaN/AUK2,01729%43%10%3%4%8%4%14
    We ThinkN/AGB1,16323%48%9%3%5%10%2%25
    TechneN/AUK1,64025%43%11%3%6%9%3%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,09220%47%8%3%7%12%2%27
    DeltapollN/AGB2,13628%44%10%3%6%7%16
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,14927%44%6%3%6%10%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%44%10%3%5%11%2%19
    SavantaN/AUK2,14827%44%11%3%4%7%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,16123%45%11%3%5%11%2%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,05027%41%11%4%6%10%2%14
    TechneN/AUK1,63324%44%10%3%6%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05722%45%9%3%8%10%2%23
    More in CommonTimes RadioGB2,05627%42%10%3%8%9%0%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%43%10%3%5%11%2%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,26826%45%10%3%5%8%4%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,22625%47%9%2%5%10%2%22
    YouGov (MRP)Conservative Britain AllianceGB14,11026%39.5%12.5%3%7.5%9%2.5%13.5
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01622%46%10%3%7%9%2%24

    2023

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreaSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18126%43%11%3%6%11%2%17
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,64228%42%12%2%6%9%14
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,98723%45%10%4%6%10%22
    We ThinkN/AGB1,17727%41%12%3%6%9%14
    TechneN/AUK1,64623%43%11%3%7%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05224%43%10%3%8%11%1%19
    SurvationN/AUK1,04428%45%10%2%2%8%4%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%42%11%4%6%10%2%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,28627%43%10%3%3%9%5%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,06525%46%10%3%5%9%2%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,42627%40%11%3%7%9%2%13
    TechneN/AUK1,63722%44%12%3%7%9%3%22
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04128%42%11%4%6%8%2%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01822%44%10%3%7%11%2%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00529%40%11%3%7%7%4%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%43%13%2%5%11%1%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,07926%43%10%3%4%9%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,20125%45%11%2%5%9%2%20
    TechneN/AUK1,64222%45%12%3%7%8%3%23
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05422%45%10%3%7%11%2%23
    IpsosN/AGB1,00624%41%13%3%9%7%3%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00027%42%13%3%6%6%4%15
    More in Common N/AGB2,03029%41%12%3%6%8%2%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%42%12%3%6%10%0%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,08628%43%11%3%3%7%4%15
    We ThinkN/AGB1,12328%44%9%3%6%8%3%16
    TechneN/AUK1,62923%45%11%3%7%8%3%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05522%45%9%4%7%10%1%23
    BMGThe iGB1,50227%43%10%2%5%11%2%16
    More in CommonTimes RadioGB2,02228%44%10%3%5%8%2%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,99628%42%11%3%6%7%2%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%45%11%3%6%10%1%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,26626%44%11%3%5%7%5%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,11926%44%12%3%6%8%1%18
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45326%42%11%3%7%8%2%16
    TechneN/AUK1,64021%46%12%3%7%8%3%25
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06925%44%10%4%7%9%2%19
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56527%44%10%3%6%6%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,16024%43%14%4%5%7%1%19
    SavantaN/AUK2,26327%44%11%3%5%7%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,16025%45%11%3%5%10%2%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,03129%41%13%3%5%7%2%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43327%40%12%3%6%9%3%13
    TechneN/AUK1,63222%46%11%2%7%8%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,48021%44%10%4%8%10%3%23
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,58119%49%9%3%7%11%30
    FindOutNowThe MirrorGB2,02619%46%9%5%8%10%4%27
    DeltapollN/AGB1,84028%44%13%3%6%4%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%43%12%3%6%8%1%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,23028%46%10%2%4%6%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,14724%48%9%3%6%8%2%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43326%43%11%3%6%9%3%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63425%46%10%2%7%7%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,08023%47%10%3%7%8%1%24
    IpsosN/AGB1,00125%46%12%5%6%4%5%21
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB2,51827%43%10%2%7%8%3%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,02124%45%12%3%7%6%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%11%2%4%9%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK1,02129%45%11%2%3%5%4%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,15527%45%10%3%5%9%1%18
    SurvationUK Spirits AllianceGB12,18829%46%10%3%3%5%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63526%46%11%2%6%6%3%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04328%44%10%3%7%7%1%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,19323%44%9%3%9%9%1%21
    FindOutNowN/AGB2,46123%45%11%4%7%8%3%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,54625%46%11%2%6%7%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%45%13%3%6%7%2%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,04329%46%9%2%3%7%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18926%46%10%3%6%7%3%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43327%42%10%3%7%8%2%15
    TechneN/AUK1,63025%46%11%3%5%7%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03524%48%9%4%5%8%2%24
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,90621%49%9%4%7%9%28
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%44%13%2%4%8%1%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,27929%46%10%2%3%5%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,03627%47%10%2%5%6%20
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18527%48%10%2%4%7%2%21
    By-elections in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth
    TechneN/AUK1,63426%45%11%3%6%6%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03125%47%9%3%7%7%2%22
    IpsosN/AGB1,00324%44%13%4%8%4%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,33630%42%12%3%6%7%1%12
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56827%47%10%2%6%5%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%43%14%1%4%7%2%14
    SavantaN/AUk2,25829%45%10%3%2%5%4%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,19828%44%9%3%6%7%2%16
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,46128%44%10%3%6%6%3%16
    BMGThe iGB1,59130%43%11%2%6%7%1%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06724%47%9%4%6%8%1%23
    TechneN/AUK1,63526%46%10%3%6%6%3%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%43%13%1%6%8%2%16
    Survation (MRP)UK Anti-corruption CoalitionGB6,46629%47%11%3%3%4%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,00030%46%10%2%3%5%4%16
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,51728%43%12%3%6%7%15
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,37029%42%11%3%6%6%2%13
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26128%44%10%2%5%6%3%16
    By-election in Rutherglen and Hamilton West
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06224%45%11%4%7%8%21
    BMGThe iGB1,50230%44%10%2%7%6%1%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62426%45%11%3%6%6%3%19
    DeltapollN/AGB1,51626%44%12%3%6%5%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%43%12%3%4%7%1%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,12927%46%11%3%4%5%4%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,28527%47%10%3%5%7%1%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,99329%39%12%3%7%7%3%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06624%45%11%3%7%8%1%21
    TechneN/AUK1,63327%45%10%3%6%6%3%18
    DeltapollN/AGB2,50728%44%10%4%6%5%16
    Survation38 DegreesGB11,79329%46%12%5%3%5%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%43%13%2%5%8%1%15
    Savanta UK2,09330%44%11%2%4%5%4%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,14427%43%10%4%7%8%2%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26828%45%9%3%6%6%2%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63626%45%11%3%7%5%3%19
    More in CommonN/AGB1,35528%43%12%3%6%7%0%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%44%14%3%6%6%1%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,25526%46%12%3%4%5%5%20
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26827%44%11%3%6%7%2%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,41426%41%11%3%7%8%2%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04924%45%9%3%9%8%2%21
    DeltapollN/AGB2,03923%47%10%4%7%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63426%46%10%3%6%6%3%20
    IpsosN/AGB1,00424%44%12%4%8%4%3%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%45%12%4%6%6%1%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10724%46%10%4%7%6%2%22
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26826%46%9%3%6%6%3%20
    TechneN/AUK1,62725%46%10%3%6%7%3%21
    Deltapoll N/AGB2,00928%46%10%3%5%7%18
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14627%43%13%5%5%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%44%14%3%4%6%1%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,22329%45%10%3%3%6%5%16
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,40028%42%9%3%8%8%2%14
    We ThinkN/AGB1,29425%46%11%3%5%7%2%21
    SurvationGreenpeaceGB20,20529%46%11%3%3%4%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10326%44%10%4%7%7%2%18
    TechneN/AUK1,63324%45%11%3%6%8%3%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%44%12%3%4%7%3%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,15929%46%10%3%4%5%3%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06130%46%12%3%3%5%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,35626%47%11%3%5%6%2%21
    BMGThe iGB1,33829%44%10%3%4%8%1%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10624%44%9%3%8%9%20
    DeltapollN/AGB1,52025%50%9%3%7%4%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%42%13%3%6%7%1%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,31528%44%10%3%5%7%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,12226%45%10%3%8%7%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45226%41%11%3%7%9%15
    More in Common N/AGB2,05229%44%11%4%6%6%0%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%48%10%4%4%5%0%20
    OmnisisN/AGB1,34524%48%10%3%6%6%24
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,50429%46%12%2%5%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,02326%47%12%3%4%4%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%45%10%3%6%8%1%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,42025%47%11%3%5%7%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,48426%40%10%3%7%10%14
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusChannel 4 NewsGB11,14224%44%12%4%8%6%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,31325%47%10%3%6%7%22
    TechneN/AUK1,62426%46%10%3%5%7%3%20
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55625%48%11%3%5%6%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%43%11%4%5%7%3%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,33925%48%10%3%6%6%23
    TechneN/AUK1,62425%45%10%3%6%8%3%20
    BMGThe iGB1,52427%44%14%3%4%7%2%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00025%45%10%3%7%7%20
    DeltapollN/AGB1,48226%49%9%3%5%4%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%14%2%4%6%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,24028%47%10%3%3%4%19
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,06528%45%12%3%6%3%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,38025%47%10%3%5%7%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,46825%42%11%3%6%10%17
    By-elections in Selby and Ainsty, Somerton and Frome, and Uxbridge and South Ruislip
    TechneN/AUK1,63226%45%11%3%5%7%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06925%44%10%3%7%8%19
    More in Common N/AGB1,58429%44%12%4%5%5%1%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00024%48%11%3%5%6%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%44%13%3%4%8%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,26528%46%11%3%3%5%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,36125%47%10%3%5%6%22
    TechneN/AUK1,62826%46%11%3%5%6%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01525%43%11%4%7%9%18
    DeltapollN/AGB1,61728%46%9%4%7%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%11%4%3%5%1%21
    SurvationN/AUK83828%46%12%3%3%4%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,24230%45%10%3%3%5%4%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,31225%51%8%3%5%5%26
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,47328%43%9%3%6%8%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06222%47%9%3%7%9%25
    TechneN/AUK1,63226%47%10%3%5%6%3%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,50725%48%10%4%5%5%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%46%11%3%5%5%2%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,01330%45%11%3%3%3%15
    SavantaN/AUK2,21628%46%11%3%4%4%4%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35126%48%8%4%5%7%22
    TechneN/AUK1,63127%46%11%3%5%6%2%19
    BMGThe iGB1,50029%43%11%3%7%6%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04724%46%10%3%7%8%22
    SurvationN/AUK2,05428%45%11%3%3%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,08924%47%12%4%4%7%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%44%13%3%5%6%3%18
    SavantaTBAUK2,32231%43%10%4%3%5%4%12
    OmnisisN/AGB1,33627%47%9%3%6%6%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,06326%44%8%2%7%10%18
    TechneN/AUK1,62929%45%10%3%5%5%3%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,29422%47%11%3%8%7%25
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,03325%47%13%3%8%3%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55427%46%10%4%6%5%19
    SurvationN/AUK1,00729%47%11%3%3%3%18
    More in Common N/AGB1,57028%47%10%4%5%6%1%19
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%46%12%3%6%7%1%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,19628%46%11%3%3%4%5%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07224%43%11%4%8%7%19
    OmnisisN/AGB1,30626%48%10%3%6%5%22
    TechneN/AUK1,62528%44%11%3%5%6%3%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,08431%42%12%4%4%4%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%44%13%3%4%6%1%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,03028%45%9%4%4%6%4%17
    YouGovTimes RadioGB9,90326%44%10%4%7%7%18
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,10729%41%11%3%7%6%12
    OmnisisN/AGB1,29627%47%10%3%5%6%20
    TechneN/AUK1,63229%42%12%3%6%5%3%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07126%42%11%4%8%7%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,52529%43%13%3%5%5%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%44%12%3%5%5%1%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,10930%44%11%3%3%5%3%14
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35125%46%10%3%7%6%21
    TechneN/AUK1,63029%43%12%3%6%4%3%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00025%44%11%3%7%6%19
    BMGThe iGB1,52927%44%10%4%7%7%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%43%12%3%7%5%3%15
    SavantaN/AUK2,22331%44%9%3%3%5%5%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07225%43%11%4%7%7%18
    Omnisis N/AGB1,36128%47%10%3%5%5%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,06228%43%9%3%7%6%15
    TechneN/AUK1,62530%44%11%3%5%4%3%14
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57530%47%9%4%4%4%17
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14329%42%11%4%5%5%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%42%13%4%4%5%2%12
    SavantaN/AUK2,04330%46%9%3%3%5%4%16
    Local elections in Northern Ireland[9]
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00625%43%12%3%8%6%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,38925%47%10%3%5%6%22
    TechneN/AUK1,63329%45%10%3%4%5%3%16
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00628%44%13%4%6%2%4%16
    More in Common N/AGB2,01731%42%13%3%5%5%2%11
    DeltapollN/AGB1,51129%45%12%3%4%5%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%42%11%4%5%8%2%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,21429%46%9%3%3%5%4%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35524%51%10%3%4%6%27
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05029%43%11%3%5%6%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62528%45%11%3%5%5%3%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00125%43%11%3%8%7%18
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55028%47%9%3%5%5%19
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%41%16%3%4%5%1%12
    SavantaN/AUK2,16830%46%9%4%3%5%4%16
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35527%48%7%4%6%6%21
    Local elections in England[10]
    BMGThe iGB1,53429%43%11%3%6%5%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01226%43%10%4%7%6%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63229%44%11%3%5%6%3%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56129%44%11%4%4%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%12%2%4%7%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,24131%44%9%4%3%5%4%13
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,42526%44%10%3%7%7%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK2,01428%45%12%3%4%3%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35228%45%10%4%6%6%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,11127%41%11%4%7%7%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62730%44%9%3%5%6%3%14
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57630%43%9%4%5%5%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%44%11%3%5%6%1%15
    SavantaN/AUK2,15631%42%9%3%3%7%5%11
    TechneN/AUK1,62631%44%10%3%5%5%3%13
    OmnisisN/AGB1,31827%47%7%4%6%7%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01028%43%10%2%6%7%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56729%43%10%4%5%4%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%44%10%4%4%4%1%12
    SavantaN/AUK2,23731%45%8%3%3%5%4%14
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,37028%42%10%3%6%8%14
    TechneN/AUK1,63030%45%10%3%4%6%3%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01027%45%10%3%5%6%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,34025%48%9%4%5%7%23
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04630%44%10%3%6%5%2%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%44%10%3%5%6%2%14
    OmnisisN/AUK1,32826%46%10%3%5%7%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,08130%41%10%3%5%7%11
    TechneN/AUK1,62930%45%9%3%5%5%2%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04227%44%9%4%7%6%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,58727%48%9%4%4%5%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%12%4%4%5%2%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,14929%45%10%3%3%5%16
    SurvationN/AUK1,00929%46%8%4%3%5%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05029%44%9%3%5%7%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00226%46%9%3%7%7%20
    TechneN/AUK1,63330%46%9%3%4%5%3%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,20924%42%9%5%7%8%18
    Omnisis N/AGB1,34427%50%9%3%4%6%23
    Humza Yousaf becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
    IpsosEvening StandardUK1,00426%49%11%5%6%2%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56930%45%10%4%4%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%46%10%3%4%8%2%19
    SavantaN/AUK2,09729%45%9%4%3%4%16
    Omnisis N/AGB1,38229%44%10%3%5%6%15
    SurvationN/AUK83131%45%8%4%3%4%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62431%46%8%4%4%5%2%15
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,17522%43%10%4%8%9%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,02623%49%10%3%6%6%26
    SurvationN/AUK81231%46%8%4%2%4%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05435%45%7%4%4%3%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%47%11%4%6%5%2%21
    SavantaN/AUK2,17531%45%9%3%3%4%14
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,28920%45%9%5%13%6%25
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%44%8%3%6%7%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,15527%46%9%4%6%6%19
    BMGN/AGB1,54629%46%8%4%4%6%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63230%47%8%3%4%5%2%17
    OmnisisN/AUK1,12625%46%6%3%7%9%21
    SurvationN/AUK1,01132%48%8%3%2%3%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56127%50%9%3%4%4%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%11%3%5%6%1%21
    SavantaN/AUK2,09330%45%9%3%3%5%15
    OpiniumN/AGB2,00029%44%8%3%5%8%15
    Omnisis N/AGB1,32326%50%7%4%5%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,62429%46%9%3%5%6%2%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,15823%42%8%4%10%7%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04923%45%10%4%7%7%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,63031%47%8%4%5%4%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%50%9%3%5%7%1%26
    SavantaN/AUK2,13832%43%9%4%3%5%11
    SurvationN/AUK87029%45%10%3%3%4%16
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusDaily TelegraphGB1,48725%48%9%4%6%5%23
    OpiniumHeadlands ConsultancyGB3,00030%42%9%3%6%8%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,41927%44%7%3%7%8%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,28426%45%11%4%6%6%19
    TechneN/AUK1,62529%47%8%3%5%6%2%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,15824%45%9%5%8%7%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07325%47%10%4%5%6%22
    IpsosEvening StandardUK1,00425%51%9%5%5%3%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06031%46%8%3%4%5%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%51%9%3%5%7%1%27
    SavantaN/AUK2,22429%44%9%4%3%6%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,24824%48%10%4%5%8%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63327%49%8%3%5%5%3%22
    BMGN/AGB1,50029%46%9%4%4%6%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,19220%46%7%5%8%9%26
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00323%46%9%4%7%8%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,07928%50%9%4%3%2%22
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12028%45%9%5%7%5%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,10331%45%9%3%3%4%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%51%10%3%5%6%1%27
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45128%44%9%4%6%7%2%16
    OmnisisN/AGB1,25925%48%10%3%5%7%23
    TechneN/AUK1,63127%48%8%3%5%6%3%21
    SurvationN/AUK6,09429%48%8%3%3%4%19
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,14821%48%8%5%8%7%27
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06222%50%9%4%6%7%28
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00428%48%8%5%6%3%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%9%4%5%6%1%21
    FocaldataN/AGB1,04128%48%9%3%4%6%2%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,17528%45%10%3%4%5%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,28126%47%10%4%4%8%21
    West Lancashire by-election[11]
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,22921%50%7%4%6%7%29
    TechneN/AUK1,62726%47%9%4%5%6%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06124%47%10%4%6%6%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,83129%47%9%4%4%5%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,92326%42%11%4%5%6%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%50%10%3%5%6%26
    SavantaN/AUK2,24727%46%9%3%4%5%19
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusThe Daily TelegraphGB28,19123%48%11%4%5%5%25
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32424%48%9%4%5%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63427%48%8%4%4%7%2%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,13922%46%9%5%7%7%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00624%48%9%4%6%6%24
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05729%46%9%4%4%4%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%49%8%4%5%5%1%21
    SavantaN/AUK2,04126%47%9%3%4%6%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,31126%50%7%3%6%7%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63126%47%8%4%5%7%3%21
    BMGN/AGB1,50229%46%9%4%3%6%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05826%45%10%4%7%6%19
    IpsosN/AUK1,00126%51%9%6%5%2%25
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,27021%50%8%6%5%7%29
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%48%9%5%4%6%1%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56330%44%9%4%5%4%14
    Omnisis N/AGB1,26824%50%8%4%5%5%26
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%46%9%4%5%6%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00426%48%8%4%5%7%22
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,16821%45%9%5%9%8%24
    FocaldataSam FreedmanGB1,02824%49%9%3%4%7%4%25
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05929%45%10%5%5%4%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%47%10%4%5%6%1%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%45%9%3%5%6%16
    TechneN/AUK1,63626%47%8%4%5%7%3%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,24728%48%7%4%7%3%20
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,16021%48%8%5%7%7%27
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69125%47%9%5%5%7%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB4,92224%47%9%5%5%7%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%48%9%4%5%6%2%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,59331%45%9%3%5%3%14
    Omnisis N/AGB1,28527%49%10%4%4%4%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70925%46%9%5%6%7%21
    TechneN/AUK1,62525%46%9%4%5%8%3%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,20922%46%7%5%7%8%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%47%12%4%3%5%1%20

    2022

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreaSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,16919%45%8%6%9%8%26
    Omnisis N/AGB1,24325%51%7%4%5%6%26
    TechneN/AUK1,63328%45%8%4%5%7%3%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,15122%46%8%5%6%8%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67224%48%9%4%5%8%24
    SavantaN/AUK2,02428%45%9%5%3%5%5%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,21626%47%9%5%6%6%1%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%44%9%3%5%8%15
    Stretford and Urmston by-election[12]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69023%48%8%5%5%9%25
    TechneN/AUK1,63128%46%9%3%5%6%3%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,15124%45%7%5%6%7%4%21
    IpsosN/AGB1,00723%49%13%5%3%2%4%26
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09729%46%9%5%5%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,08832%45%9%5%5%4%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%46%9%3%5%7%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,19429%45%8%3%3%6%5%16
    OmnisisN/AGB1,29430%48%9%2%6%4%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23120%47%8%5%6%9%5%27
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%48%9%4%4%5%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69624%48%9%4%5%8%24
    DeltapollN/AGB1,63228%48%10%4%4%4%20
    SavantaN/AUK6,23728%48%11%3%4%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%48%10%3%6%5%1%22
    SavantaN/AUK2,21131%42%10%4%3%5%11
    OmnisisN/AGB1,18925%48%9%4%6%5%23
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%43%8%4%6%6%14
    City of Chester by-election[13]
    TechneN/AUK1,63226%49%10%4%4%5%2%23
    BMGThe iGB1,57128%46%10%4%5%6%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,14521%46%7%5%9%7%25
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63722%47%9%4%5%9%25
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06230%48%10%3%3%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%47%11%3%5%5%1%20
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10626%47%10%4%2%5%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,17425%49%9%3%5%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%50%9%4%4%6%23
    PeoplePollingN/AGB1,14524%44%8%5%8%5%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67225%48%9%4%5%5%23
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11130%45%8%5%4%5%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%49%9%4%4%5%2%21
    Savanta ComResIndependentUK2,10628%46%10%3%3%3%6%18
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,60425%51%9%3%4%4%26
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,33121%47%10%5%7%6%26
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,48428%45%9%3%4%6%3%17
    Omnisis N/AGB1,15921%48%10%5%7%5%27
    TechneN/AUK1,62828%50%8%4%4%6%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50027%48%10%5%4%5%1%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68226%47%9%5%5%6%21
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00429%50%7%5%3%2%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06027%50%6%5%6%3%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%50%9%3%5%4%2%24
    Omnisis N/AGB1,18126%49%7%3%5%9%1%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50028%49%11%3%4%4%1%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70825%48%10%5%5%5%23
    TechneN/AUK1,62830%49%8%4%4%5%19
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,19821%42%9%5%9%8%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,04929%47%9%4%5%3%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%10%4%3%5%2%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,35227%51%7%4%4%6%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,44528%46%8%4%6%7%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50030%47%12%3%3%4%1%17
    TechneN/AUK1,66329%49%9%4%4%3%20
    SurvationN/AUK1,01727%50%7%4%3%3%23
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70224%50%9%4%5%6%26
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,21221%47%10%5%5%5%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,60626%51%9%4%4%3%25
    YouGovBen Ansell/ERC WEALTHPOLUK2,46425% 49% <---49.3%--->9% 4% 5% 4% 24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%50%9%4%5%3%2%23
    FocaldataBest for BritainGB2,00029%49%8%4%4%4%20
    Omnisis N/AGB1,38325%53%7%4%4%6%28
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,49928%44%10%4%5%8%16
    TechneN/AUK1,62626%50%10%4%5%5%24
    SurvationN/AUK2,02827%51%8%5%2%3%24
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23720%51%9%5%5%7%5%31
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50023%55%9%4%5%4%1%32
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64623%51%9%5%4%6%28
    BMGIndependentGB1,56826%49%10%4%5%5%2%23
    FocaldataBest for BritainGB10,00023%53%10%4%4%4%30
    Rishi Sunak becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister[14]
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%54%11%3%4%4%2%33
    DeltapollSky NewsGB2,01225%51%10%4%5%3%26
    Savanta ComResIndependentUK1,99625%51%8%4%2%10%26
    Omnisis N/AGB1,35322%56%10%4%4%3%34
    JL PartnersN/AGB2,00026%51%8%5%3%3%4%25
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70019%56%10%4%4%5%37
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,02323%50%9%3%6%6%27
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23714%53%11%5%6%5%5%39
    Omnisis N/AGB1,38222%57%7%4%4%3%3%35
    TechneN/AUK1,63222%53%11%4%5%5%31
    Liz Truss announces her resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50019%55%12%4%4%4%1%36
    SurvationN/AUK1,25223%52%11%4%3%2%29
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05023%55%7%4%4%3%32
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00020%56%11%4%5%2%1%36
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19522%52%11%4%2%8%30
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32828%49%10%3%5%2%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50024%53%13%4%3%2%3%29
    TechneN/AUK1,62625%49%11%4%6%5%24
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,15819%53%8%6%6%4%34
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67523%51%9%5%7%3%28
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00126%47%10%4%8%2%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%54%10%3%4%3%1%29
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,03623%51%10%4%4%8%28
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73722%52%9%5%6%5%30
    DeltapollN/AGB1,03426%51%9%4%4%2%25
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32824%51%10%3%5%4%27
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,02326%47%11%3%6%6%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,51220%52%8%5%7%4%32
    TechneN/AUK1,63626%48%10%4%6%6%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50024%52%10%4%5%3%1%28
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%52%10%5%5%3%1%28
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,11325%50%11%3%3%8%25
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32023%55%7%5%5%3%32
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,46827%46%9%4%6%19
    SurvationN/AUK1,32928%49%11%5%1%2%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB2,21620%50%9%5%8%3%30
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%47%11%4%6%5%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71221%54%7%5%6%4%33
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50029%46%13%3%4%4%1%17
    BMGN/AGB1,51630%47%9%4%5%3%2%17
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,61329%48%9%4%4%2%19
    FindOutNowChannel 4GB10,43527%45%10%5%7%3%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,30732%44%10%4%5%4%12
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14135%39%10%5%4%3%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%44%11%4%6%2%1%13
    Savanta ComResMHPUK2,25929%43%12%5%4%8%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73028%45%9%4%7%3%17
    DeltapollN/AGB2,19231%44%12%4%4%2%13
    OpiniumN/AUK1,49134%39%10%4%7%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71332%40%9%5%8%3%8
    TechneN/AUK1,63934%41%11%4%5%5%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%42%12%4%5%4%2%10
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,29828%40%10%6%8%4%12
    DeltapollN/AGB2,08432%42%10%4%6%2%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%10%4%5%3%1%8
    Savanta ComResLabour ListUK6,22633%45%10%?4%3%5%12
    TechneN/AUK1,64735%41%10%4%5%5%6
    IpsosN/AGB1,00030%40%13%5%8%1%4%10
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,24528%40%10%4%6%5%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72732%42%10%4%7%2%10
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57332%44%9%4%4%2%12
    Savanta ComResDaily MailUK2,27235%42%10%4%3%3%7
    TechneN/AUK1,62834%42%11%4%4%5%8
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,16228%40%9%5%7%4%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%42%14%5%6%2%2%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68829%44%10%5%7%3%15
    Liz Truss becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister[15]
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%43%12%5%6%3%1%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,51634%38%12%4%6%4
    TechneN/AUK1,62832%42%12%4%5%5%10
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57331%42%10%5%6%3%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71128%43%11%5%6%3%15
    SurvationN/AUK1,01333%43%11%4%3%5%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%42%12%4%7%3%2%11
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,20325%42%10%5%7%4%17
    DeltapollThe MirrorGB1,60031%44%12%4%4%2%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%42%13%3%4%4%9
    TechneN/AUK1,63033%41%11%4%6%5%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50033%42%12%4%5%2%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00731%39%11%5%7%5%8
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23526%40%11%6%6%5%14
    DeltapollN/AGB1,59131%43%11%5%6%2%12
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,10633%40%14%4%6%2%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%43%13%5%5%3%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,52731%39%10%3%7%8
    BMGN/AUK2,09132%42%11%5%4%3%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69628%43%11%5%7%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%41%12%4%5%3%7
    TechneN/AUK1,64135%39%12%4%5%5%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,80930%39%12%5%6%4%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%40%12%4%5%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,01034%37%12%4%6%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,96833%37%11%5%8%3%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50032%40%13%4%4%4%8
    TechneN/AUK1,63034%39%13%4%5%5%5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09632%36%13%6%8%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%38%11%4%7%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,79734%35%13%5%7%3%1
    TechneN/AUK1,64533%40%12%4%6%5%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50033%41%11%4%5%4%2%8
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05230%44%10%5%8%1%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%40%12%4%5%3%6
    Savanta ComResThe IndependentUK2,27229%42%12%3%4%4%5%13
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,58831%42%10%4%6%3%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69232%39%12%4%8%4%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00134%37%13%3%7%3
    TechneN/AUK1,64532%41%12%4%6%5%9
    Savanta ComResDaily ExpressUK2,10933%44%9%3%3%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50035%44%9%3%5%3%1%9
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,07733%37%13%4%7%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%42%12%4%5%3%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK1,98030%43%11%4%4%3%13
    TechneN/AUK1,64531%40%13%4%6%6%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73329%40%13%4%7%4%11
    JL PartnersThe Sunday TelegraphGB4,43431%42%12%4%6%3%11
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00225%46%8%5%8%5%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%42%12%4%5%5%11
    Savanta ComRes [16] N/AUK2,16828%43%12%4%4%3%15
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00033%38%12%3%6%5
    TechneN/AUK1,64429%41%14%4%6%6%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50031%43%12%3%7%2%3%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68729%40%15%5%6%3%11
    Boris Johnson announces his resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%41%11%3%5%5%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10632%41%11%4%3%4%9
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,01527%47%9%4%6%4%20
    BMGThe IndependentUK1,52132%42%11%4%4%4%10
    TechneN/AUK1,63233%39%13%4%5%6%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50032%40%13%5%5%3%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67133%36%13%5%6%3%3
    IpsosN/AGB1,05930%41%15%5%6%1%11
    SurvationN/AUK1,01735%43%11%3%2%5%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%41%15%4%4%3%8
    Savanta ComResThe IndependentUK2,21734%41%10%5%5%1%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00034%37%11%4%6%3
    By-elections in Tiverton and Honiton and Wakefield[17] [18]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67134%39%9%4%8%4%5
    TechneN/AUK1,63032%38%14%4%6%6%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%41%13%4%5%4%9
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14134%36%13%4%5%4%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%40%13%4%5%5%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,05031%42%10%4%5%3%11
    TechneN/AUK1,61233%39%13%4%5%6%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72733%39%10%4%6%4%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%12%3%4%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%39%15%5%6%2%7
    Savanta ComRes [19] N/AUK2,23734%40%10%4%4%2%6
    SurvationN/AUK2,05334%41%10%4%3%7%7
    TechneN/AUK1,63233%39%12%4%6%6%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00234%36%13%3%6%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72732%39%11%5%7%3%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%40%13%4%5%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%38%11%4%7%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00032%36%12%5%8%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%12%4%6%4%1%6
    TechneN/AUK1,63232%40%12%4%6%6%8
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,02625%48%9%4%6%5%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%43%10%3%5%3%2%7
    Savanta ComRes [20] N/AUK2,17731%42%11%4%3%3%11
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00033%36%11%4%8%3
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,02629%44%8%4%5%5%15
    TechneN/AUK1,62933%40%11%4%6%6%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50031%40%14%4%5%3%2%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,75531%39%12%4%7%4%8
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,08732%38%13%3%8%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%12%4%5%4%6
    Savanta ComResDaily MailUK2,02134%40%10%4%4%2%6
    TechneN/AUK1,63535%39%10%4%6%6%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69231%39%12%5%7%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50033%39%12%4%4%5%6
    IpsosN/AGB1,01333%39%12%5%5%1%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%39%12%4%6%3%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19634%41%10%4%4%2%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00034%37%12%4%7%3
    TechneN/AUK1,63434%39%11%4%6%6%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,99033%38%12%4%6%3%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%12%5%7%2%1%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,16134%39%11%4%3%3%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70735%36%10%5%8%3%1
    Local elections in England, Scotland and Wales, and the Northern Ireland Assembly election[21] [22]
    TechneN/AUK1,63534%40%10%4%5%7%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%41%12%4%5%3%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23635%41%9%4%4%3%6
    TechneN/AUK1,63335%40%9%4%6%6%5
    IpsosN/AGB1,00635%40%10%5%7%1%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,77933%39%11%5%6%3%6
    SurvationN/AUK2,58733%42%9%4%4%2%9
    OpiniumN/AGB4,00035%37%10%7%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%11%4%4%4%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23134%40%11%4%3%3%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00234%36%10%4%8%2
    TechneN/AUK1,63134%40%10%4%5%7%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07933%39%9%4%8%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%10%5%5%3%8
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,55032%43%9%5%6%2%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,96033%38%10%4%7%5%5
    TechneN/AUK1,62834%41%9%4%5%7%7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,15234%37%11%5%7%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%8%4%5%4%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,14534%40%9%4%4%3%6
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK91825%49%6%4%6%3%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00434%38%10%4%7%4
    TechneN/AUK1,63535%40%10%4%4%7%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,82634%37%10%4%7%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%42%9%3%4%3%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,22033%40%11%5%4%3%7
    TechneN/AUK1,63936%39%9%5%5%6%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00633%37%9%6%6%5%4
    SurvationN/AUK2,03335%42%9%4%3%2%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%37%9%6%5%5%2
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,22635%39%11%5%3%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00236%38%9%4%7%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,75935%37%10%4%7%4%2
    TechneN/AUK1,64135%40%10%4%5%6%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,81035%36%9%4%8%5%1
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,04236%36%12%3%6%3%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%40%11%4%7%2%5
    TechneN/AUK1,63635%39%10%4%6%6%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,76133%39%10%5%7%4%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00035%39%10%5%7%5%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%39%10%4%6%4%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19235%40%9%4%3%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00735%37%9%4%7%2
    DeltapollN/AGB2,00334%40%10%5%5%2%6
    TechneN/AUK1,64136%38%9%4%6%7%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70033%39%10%4%7%4%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00037%40%10%4%5%2%3
    Survation38 DegreesGB2,03437%40%9%5%5%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,22234%41%9%5%4%3%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65835%37%7%5%8%5%2
    Birmingham Erdington by-election[23]
    TechneN/AUK1,63135%38%10%4%6%7%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%38%12%5%5%4%3
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVUK2,00135%42%8%5%6%2%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,20834%42%9%4%3%3%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74134%39%9%5%6%5%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,06834%38%11%4%6%4
    TechneN/AUK1,63535%39%9%4%6%7%4
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00427%46%8%5%7%4%19
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%11%5%7%4%6
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09034%39%12%4%6%2%5
    SurvationN/AUK2,05035%42%9%4%3%2%7
    Savanta ComResThe IndependentUK2,20133%40%11%4%5%3%7
    FindOutNowN/AGB12,70032%38%13%5%7%4%6
    TechneN/AUK1,62534%39%10%4%6%7%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72034%38%10%4%6%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%38%11%4%6%5%5
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,22632%41%11%4%4%3%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72034%37%10%5%8%4%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,52634%37%11%3%6%3
    TechneN/AUK1,63133%41%9%4%6%7%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%42%9%4%6%4%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23233%42%9%4%5%3%9
    DeltapollThe Sun on SundayGB1,58734%41%10%4%5%2%7
    Southend West by-election[24]
    TechneN/AUK1,63132%40%10%4%6%8%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66132%41%10%5%6%4%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%40%11%4%6%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,28333%44%9%4%3%3%11
    TechneN/AUK31%38%12%4%6%2%7%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,64734%39%9%5%5%5
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00528%48%7%5%6%4%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65632%38%11%5%7%3%6
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,51532%42%10%5%6%1%10
    SurvationDaily MailUK1,11735%40%10%5%3%3%5
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05931%40%13%4%9%1%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%41%11%5%5%3%7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,08634%38%11%5%7%2%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09532%40%11%5%4%3%8
    JL PartnersSunday TimesGB4,56132%42%10%5%7%2%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66832%39%8%5%8%4%7
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,01527%45%8%5%7%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%43%9%4%7%4%13
    Survation38 DegreesUK2,03633%43%10%4%3%2%10
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,15132%41%11%5%4%3%9
    DeltapollN/AGB4,29232%41%11%5%5%2%9
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,15132%42%11%4%4%2%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68331%39%11%5%6%5%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,27131%41%9%4%6%10
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusN/AGB2,12827%41%11%5%8%5%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69029%40%11%5%6%6%1%11
    FocaldataN/AGB1,00333%42%11%3%4%3%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66628%38%13%5%7%4%3%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%39%12%4%5%4%4
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,20733%37%11%5%4%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74433%37%10%5%6%5%4
    Opinium [25] The ObserverUK1,32634%39%11%4%5%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%38%10%5%5%4%3

    2021

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreaSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,56735%40%10%5%4%3%5
    TechneN/AUKTBA32%37%11%4%4%12%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,21632%39%11%5%6%7
    FocaldataN/AGB1,00834%41%9%4%4%4%7
    FocaldataThe TimesGB24,37332%40%10%3%7%6%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%39%13%5%6%5%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,79030%36%12%6%8%5%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09632%37%13%4%5%4%5
    North Shropshire by-election[26]
    Savanta ComResThe Daily ExpressUK2,13934%38%10%5%4%4%4
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusThe TelegraphGB1,01730%38%10%2%10%7%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71432%37%10%5%7%6%5
    Survation38 DegreesUK2,03934%40%8%5%4%2%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%37%11%4%7%7%5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,07434%38%11%3%7%3%4
    YouGovFabian SocietyGB3,38031%38%8%5%8%6%7
    SurvationGMBUK1,21832%39%9%5%5%4%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74132%40%8%4%7%7%8
    Savanta ComResDaily MailUK2,11833%39%9%5%4%4%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,04232%41%9%5%5%9
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00534%39%11%5%7%2%5
    FocaldataTimes RadioGB1,00133%41%7%5%6%6%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68633%37%9%5%7%6%4
    SurvationDaily MirrorUK1,17834%40%10%4%4%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50034%38%11%4%6%5%4
    Partygate scandal begins
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00038%36%9%4%6%4%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23238%37%9%4%5%2%1
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55337%38%10%5%5%2%1
    Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election[27]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70836%33%9%5%9%6%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,06036%39%9%5%3%3%3
    FindOutNowDaily TelegraphGB10,27236%35%11%5%8%3%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00038%36%10%4%6%4%2
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,06037%37%8%5%5%4%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,99036%38%8%5%6%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69236%35%7%5%8%6%1
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11939%36%10%4%5%2%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00037%37%9%4%6%3%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,18436%38%10%4%5%3%2
    PanelbaseN/AGB3,88838%39%9%4%6%1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,80036%34%7%4%10%5%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%37%10%4%5%4%1
    Survation38 DegreesUK3,10837%37%10%5%4%2%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Savanta ComRes [28] Daily MailUK2,01934%40%10%5%5%3%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,17536%37%9%5%7%1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69635%35%8%5%10%4%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50036%38%10%4%6%3%2
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00530%42%6%5%8%5%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00037%36%10%5%6%5%1
    FindOutNowDaily TelegraphGB10,70036%35%11%4%8%2%1
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,24238%35%10%5%4%3%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,17537%36%9%5%6%1
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56040%37%8%3%6%2%3
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00435%41%5%5%7%5%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69936%35%8%5%9%5%1
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00735%36%9%5%11%1%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%35%10%4%6%3%5
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,24240%35%9%5%4%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00140%35%8%5%7%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69939%33%8%5%10%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00039%36%10%4%6%4%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09237%35%8%5%7%4%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67737%33%9%5%10%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%9%4%5%3%3
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,07539%34%8%5%8%2%5
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00040%32%6%6%9%3%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09240%35%8%4%5%3%5
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB3,04338%37%9%4%6%2%1
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00041%37%7%5%5%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65941%31%9%4%8%4%10
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK50137%34%7%6%8%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%36%9%4%6%4%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10340%35%8%5%5%2%5
    SurvationSunday MirrorUK1,04039%35%9%4%5%3%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66739%31%9%6%9%4%8
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00734%39%7%5%8%4%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%10%4%4%3%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09540%35%9%5%4%3%5
    Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay are elected co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales[29]
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00439%35%8%6%6%4
    SurvationN/AUK1,00141%36%8%5%5%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,83339%31%8%5%9%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%35%10%4%5%3%6
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,08943%30%11%4%6%3%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69039%32%10%4%9%3%7
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00839%36%9%6%6%0%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,06040%35%8%4%4%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%35%8%4%7%3%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,11240%35%9%4%5%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00040%37%7%5%6%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63539%35%7%5%7%3%4
    PanelbaseN/AGB3,93841%36%10%4%5%5
    SurvationN/AUK2,16440%36%9%4%5%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00039%35%9%4%6%5%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09739%35%9%4%6%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05938%38%8%5%6%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65733%35%10%5%9%5%2
    FindOutNow (MRP)The Sunday TelegraphGB10,67337%33%12%5%8%4%4
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK99334%39%9%5%6%3%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%32%11%4%6%4%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08740%36%9%4%4%3%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65338%34%8%5%10%3%4
    DeltapollThe Sun on SundayGB1,58941%33%9%3%7%3%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,01440%35%7%6%6%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%33%9%4%5%4%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,06240%34%10%4%5%2%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70339%31%8%5%9%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%33%10%3%6%3%10
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09437%34%14%4%5%2%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08341%34%9%4%4%2%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00339%36%8%6%6%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70340%32%9%5%8%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%36%10%5%5%3%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,07541%34%9%4%4%2%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,16940%32%9%5%7%2%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%9%4%6%3%3
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,11341%30%13%6%8%0%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,04741%33%10%4%4%2%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00042%35%7%6%5%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73041%33%8%5%7%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%34%11%4%6%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10040%34%10%4%6%1%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63739%34%8%4%9%3%5
    DeltapollN/AGB1,59042%37%6%3%6%2%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%36%9%4%6%4%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,16140%34%10%4%4%2%6
    SurvationN/AUK1,01339%37%10%4%5%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00043%35%8%5%5%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66738%34%9%5%8%3%4
    SurvationN/AUK1,03239%35%11%4%5%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%33%10%4%5%3%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,12741%34%8%4%5%2%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,76144%31%8%4%6%3%13
    SurvationN/AUK2,11943%32%9%5%6%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%33%12%4%6%3%8
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,05744%31%12%6%4%1%13
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,13740%35%9%4%6%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00143%35%6%5%6%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05442%30%9%5%7%2%12
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05340%31%13%6%6%0%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%34%8%4%6%4%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,17641%35%8%3%4%3%6
    PanelbaseSunday TimesGB3,39144%33%10%5%5%11
    Batley and Spen by-election[30]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,76242%31%10%5%6%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%34%9%5%5%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,14842%33%9%4%5%2%9
    SurvationN/AUK1,00141%35%10%3%5%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00043%35%7%5%5%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,75842%30%9%5%7%4%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%33%10%4%4%3%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19144%30%10%4%5%1%14
    DeltapollN/AGB2,34341%35%10%2%5%2%6
    Chesham and Amersham by-election[31]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64245%31%6%5%7%4%14
    SurvationN/AUK2,02441%33%8%4%7%9
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,51745%34%5%5%7%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%9%4%5%2%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10841%34%8%5%6%2%7
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,60846%34%7%2%5%2%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00243%34%6%6%7%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63044%31%7%5%9%2%13
    SurvationN/AUK2,01742%35%9%4%5%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%7%5%5%1%7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12245%32%8%4%6%2%13
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08944%32%8%4%5%2%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70346%30%6%4%9%2%16
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00244%35%6%5%7%0%9
    SurvationN/AUK1,53341%33%9%4%6%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00045%34%8%4%5%3%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,18042%32%9%4%5%2%10
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00442%36%6%5%5%1%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70543%29%8%5%8%3%14
    Survation [32] Daily MailUK1,01043%33%10%5%5%10
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00144%32%7%5%8%2%12
    SurvationN/AUK1,04144%33%8%4%6%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%33%10%4%5%3%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,21543%34%9%4%4%2%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69946%28%8%5%8%2%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%33%10%4%6%2%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,13143%32%8%4%5%2%11
    FindOutNow (MRP)The Sunday TelegraphGB14,71543%30%11%5%9%2%13
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00444%31%8%5%7%0%13
    Airdrie and Shotts by-election[33]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64745%30%7%5%8%2%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00045%34%8%4%5%2%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,15242%34%8%5%4%2%8
    Local elections in England and Wales, Scottish and Welsh parliament elections, and the Hartlepool by-election[34] [35]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68343%33%7%5%6%3%10
    PanelbaseN/AGB1,00345%36%6%4%5%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%38%7%4%5%3%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,24240%36%8%4%4%2%4
    FocaldataThe Sunday TimesGB1,55540%39%6%4%4%3%1
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00142%37%7%5%4%0%5
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00143%34%5%5%7%2%9
    SurvationDaily MailUK1,07739%38%9%4%6%1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,80344%33%7%4%7%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%8%5%4%3%10
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11541%33%10%5%7%3%8
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,50039%35%9%4%6%3%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,14442%35%8%5%3%2%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00044%33%7%6%5%0%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73044%34%5%5%7%2%10
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,09040%37%8%6%5%2%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%10%4%4%3%10
    SurvationN/AUK1,00840%34%9%4%7%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09443%34%7%5%4%1%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68943%29%8%5%8%3%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%7%4%5%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,17442%35%7%5%4%2%7
    SurvationN/AUK1,00943%35%8%3%4%8
    Deltapoll [36] The Mail on SundayGB1,60845%36%6%2%4%4%9
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00645%36%6%6%4%0%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70841%34%6%5%6%3%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%9%4%5%2%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,06542%35%8%4%3%2%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73642%34%7%5%6%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%36%7%4%4%2%8
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,10242%34%9%7%4%2%8
    Deltapoll [37] The Mail on SundayGB1,61044%36%6%2%4%3%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74242%32%8%5%7%3%10
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00241%37%6%6%5%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%36%9%4%6%2%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09842%38%6%4%3%2%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69243%34%5%5%7%3%9
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,49839%37%9%4%6%3%2
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00142%37%7%5%5%2%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%7%4%5%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09239%37%8%4%4%3%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00143%37%6%5%4%0%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00945%38%6%5%5%0%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68042%33%7%4%6%3%9
    SurvationSunday MirrorUK1,03743%33%9%5%5%1%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00045%36%7%4%4%3%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,12942%36%8%4%4%3%6
    Richard Tice becomes leader of Reform UK[38]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71545%32%6%5%7%3%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50044%38%7%4%3%2%6
    Savanta ComRes [39] N/AUK2,18243%36%7%4%3%3%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63741%36%5%5%7%3%5
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,52742%38%6%2%4%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00343%36%7%6%4%0%7
    SurvationN/AUK1,00242%34%7%5%6%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%37%7%4%5%3%6
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11440%33%11%4%6%3%7
    Savanta ComRes [40] N/AUK2,18940%38%7%4%3%3%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66340%37%7%5%6%3%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%39%8%5%5%2%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,17042%37%7%4%3%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00642%37%6%5%5%0%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66041%36%6%5%7%3%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%38%7%5%4%2%5
    Savanta ComRes [41] N/AUK2,11941%37%8%4%4%2%4
    SurvationN/AUK1,00339%33%9%5%7%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05642%38%7%5%8%0%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68441%37%6%5%6%3%4
    FindOutNowN/AGB5,00239%38%7%6%6%3%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%38%8%5%4%3%2
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVUK2,00143%37%5%5%5%3%6
    Savanta ComRes [42] N/AUK2,28841%38%6%5%3%2%3
    Opinium [43] The ObserverUK2,00241%38%7%5%4%1%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72137%41%6%5%4%3%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%37%8%5%4%3%5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,10040%37%10%4%5%2%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,07040%37%8%5%3%2%3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,63241%39%7%4%3%2%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70339%38%5%5%6%4%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%38%8%4%5%2%2
    Savanta ComRes [44] N/AUK1,91439%37%7%5%3%2%2
    Opinium [45] The ObserverUK2,00337%41%6%6%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70238%39%5%5%6%3%1
    SurvationN/AUK1,03340%38%7%4%5%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%37%8%5%5%2%4
    Savanta ComRes [46] N/AUK1,55040%37%8%4%4%2%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00339%40%6%5%4%1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70439%39%6%5%6%3%data-sort-value="0"Tie

    2020

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreaSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenBrexitOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,60843%38%4%5%5%3%5
    Focaldata (MRP)N/AGB22,18636%38%9%4%7%4%2
    SurvationN/AUK1,01139%38%8%5%4%1%1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71337%41%5%5%5%4%4
    Savanta ComRes [47] Daily ExpressUK1,43341%39%8%5%4%2%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00139%39%6%5%4%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,89839%37%6%5%6%4%2
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,13738%37%10%5%3%3%1
    Savanta ComRes [48] N/AUK1,29538%37%8%5%5%4%1
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,02741%41%6%5%5%0%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    SurvationN/AUK3,45239%37%8%5%5%1%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69937%37%8%5%6%5%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK6,94940%38%6%5%4%0%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00238%40%6%6%3%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70638%38%6%5%5%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%9%5%6%3
    Savanta ComRes [49] N/AUK1,42839%38%8%5%3%3%1
    DeltapollDaily MailGB1,52537%38%9%4%4%3%1
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AGB1,00139%37%7%5%5%4%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69637%40%5%6%5%5%3
    Savanta ComRes [50] N/AUK1,27239%37%7%5%4%3%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00141%38%6%6%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50040%39%8%5%4%1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70038%37%7%6%6%4%1
    Savanta ComRes [51] N/AUK2,07541%38%5%5%4%2%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63238%40%5%5%5%4%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50040%40%7%5%5%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Savanta ComRes [52] N/AUK2,13040%36%8%5%5%2%4
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14140%36%8%5%5%2%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00338%42%7%5%3%4
    SurvationN/AUK1,03439%37%9%5%4%2%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66535%40%7%5%4%6%5
    Savanta ComRes [53] N/AUK2,12640%40%7%5%3%2%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65838%38%6%5%5%4%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00039%41%7%4%4%2
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00737%42%8%6%5%1%5
    Savanta ComRes [54] N/AUK2,11142%39%7%4%3%2%3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,58942%39%7%3%3%3%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00238%40%6%5%5%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66540%39%7%5%5%3%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00040%40%7%5%4%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,27442%36%8%4%3%2%6
    Number Cruncher PoliticsPestonGB2,08841%38%5%5%6%4%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67539%38%6%5%6%5%1
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,12339%39%7%5%4%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00140%40%6%6%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00041%39%8%4%4%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67341%38%5%5%6%3%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,02241%37%7%4%4%1%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08142%39%7%4%3%2%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB4,00039%39%8%5%5%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70039%39%6%5%5%4%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,11241%38%8%5%3%2%3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,58342%38%6%5%4%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00239%42%5%6%4%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62341%38%6%4%5%3%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50040%40%7%4%5%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12540%38%9%4%4%3%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10940%37%8%5%3%3%3
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,01340%37%8%7%5%0%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,61840%40%6%4%5%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    SurvationN/AUK1,00340%38%7%5%4%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50041%39%8%5%5%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00142%39%6%5%4%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,61542%37%6%5%4%3%5
    Number Cruncher PoliticsBloombergGB1,00142%38%6%5%5%2%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63343%37%6%6%4%3%6
    SurvationN/AUK1,04740%38%8%5%4%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50043%37%8%4%4%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00240%40%6%5%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[55]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66943%36%6%5%4%3%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%37%9%4%5%5
    SurvationN/AUK1,00541%37%9%5%4%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%37%7%4%4%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65240%38%6%5%6%4%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08342%37%7%4%3%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00542%39%5%5%3%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%9%4%4%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63444%35%5%6%5%3%9
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,16142%35%8%6%3%3%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,60642%36%8%5%5%2%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,01945%37%6%5%5%1%8
    SurvationN/AUK1,01944%35%8%4%5%0%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62343%35%6%5%5%3%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00241%38%6%6%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%38%7%4%4%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00242%38%6%5%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64844%35%7%5%4%3%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%36%8%4%5%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08543%37%6%5%2%2%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00344%36%6%6%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%37%8%4%4%7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,13145%35%9%5%2%2%10
    SurvationN/AUK2,02242%36%8%4%5%1%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00242%38%6%6%4%4
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,54144%38%7%3%3%3%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,61446%36%6%5%3%2%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%39%7%4%4%5
    SurvationN/AUK1,01244%37%7%4%4%0%7
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,54941%36%7%3%5%4%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00241%37%8%5%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonElection Maps UKGB2,00042%38%8%4%5%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62645%37%5%5%4%2%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00143%39%6%5%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonElection Maps UKGB2,00044%38%7%4%4%6
    SurvationN/AUK2,00343%36%8%5%4%0%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00144%40%5%5%3%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%38%8%4%4%5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12443%35%8%5%4%2%8
    Savanta ComResThe Daily TelegraphUK2,10640%36%9%5%3%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00144%39%6%5%2%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69345%37%6%5%4%2%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50041%39%9%5%4%2
    SurvationN/AUK1,06242%36%8%5%4%1%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05943%38%10%4%1%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00243%40%6%5%3%3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,54741%38%8%2%4%3%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,01841%39%7%4%4%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50043%36%9%4%5%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65045%35%6%5%5%2%10
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,01243%39%6%5%3%4
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,55743%38%8%3%4%2%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50043%37%9%5%3%6
    YouGovDatapraxisEUGB2,02943%38%6%5%4%3%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62944%38%6%5%4%2%6
    SurvationN/AUK1,04046%33%8%5%4%0%13
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00847%35%6%5%3%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71848%33%6%5%5%2%15
    Savanta ComRes [56] N/AGB2,07946%33%7%4%4%2%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50047%35%9%4%3%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,06249%34%6%5%3%15
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,13051%32%7%5%2%2%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,05349%33%6%5%5%0%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50050%31%7%4%5%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66750%30%7%4%5%3%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,07251%33%6%5%3%0%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,02348%31%8%4%5%1%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50050%33%7%5%4%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00050%33%7%5%3%0%17
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11854%28%9%4%4%1%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50052%31%8%4%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01553%32%5%4%3%1%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00051%32%6%5%3%0%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00555%29%5%5%4%0%26
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,54146%29%10%3%6%2%17
    Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party[57]
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00053%30%7%5%3%0%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AUK2,00049%29%8%4%4%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63152%28%8%5%5%1%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00654%28%6%5%3%0%26
    Number Cruncher PoliticsBloombergGB1,01054%28%7%4%4%2%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50047%29%8%5%5%18
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00551%31%7%5%3%0%20
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00352%30%9%4%4%0%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00549%32%6%5%5%0%17
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,17150%29%11%4%1%2%21
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,49845%28%11%3%6%3%17
    Savanta ComResSunday ExpressGB2,00547%31%9%4%4%3%16
    Opinium [58] The ObserverGB2,00747%32%7%6%4%2%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,21649%31%9%4%4%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69448%28%10%4%6%2%20
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,50341%29%11%5%8%3%12
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00147%30%11%4%5%1%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,57549%30%8%4%5%2%19
    SurvationN/AUK1,01544%33%10%5%3%3%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62849%29%10%5%4%2%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,97847%30%9%5%4%3%17
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,50844%29%11%3%5%4%15
    2019 general electionUK43.6%32.1%11.6%3.9%2.7%2.0%3.7%11.5
    GB44.7%32.9%11.8%4.0%2.8%2.1%2.2%11.8

    Seat projections

    The general election was contested under the first-past the post electoral system in 650 constituencies. 326 seats were needed for a parliamentary majority.

    Most polls were reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters did not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons.

    Projections from aggregate data

    Various models existed which continually projected election outcomes for the seats in Britain based on the aggregate of polling data. Final predictions of some notable models are tabulated below.

    Organisation! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"
    Con.Lab.SNPLib. DemsPlaid CymruGreenRef.OthersMajority
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    Britain Predicts/New Statesman11441823633461Lab. 212
    The Economist11042920503131Lab. 272
    ElectionMapsUK10143219684431Lab. 214
    Electoral Calculus7845319673372Lab. 256

    MRP and SRP polls

    Multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) was used by YouGov to predict outcomes for the 2017 and 2019 elections.[59] [60] Multiple polling companies conducted such polling and modelling for the 2024 election, these are tabulated below. Also included is a stacked regression with poststratification (SRP) poll produced by J.L. Partners, the first time such a method has been used for a UK election.[61] All of these polls use sample sizes substantially larger than typical national polls.

    These polls were of Britain only, though the reporting of some results include the 18 Northern Irish seats under "Others". Polling companies also differ in their handling of the Speaker's seat, considering it variously as Labour, "Other", or omitting it from the results. Negative values in the rightmost "majority" column below indicate that the party with the most seats would have a plurality of seats, but would not have a majority. The overall vote share values for these polls, where reported, are also included in the tables above.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    AreaCon.Lab.SNPLib. DemsPlaid CymruGreenRef.OthersMajority
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    4 July 2024General Election ResultUK12141297244523Lab. 174
    data-sort-value="2024-07-03" 15 Jun – 3 Jul 2024Survation (MRP)N/A36,177GB64475136043130Lab. 318
    data-sort-value="2024-07-03" 28 Jun – 2 Jul 2024Techne (MRP)The Independent5,503GB82461195503723Lab. 272
    data-sort-value="2024-07-02" 19 Jun – 2 Jul 2024YouGov (MRP)Sky News47,751GB10243118723230Lab. 212
    data-sort-value="2024-07-101 24 Jun – 1 Jul 2024More in Common (MRP)The News Agents13,556GB12643016522122Lab. 210
    data-sort-value="2024-07-02" 15 Jun–1 Jul 2024Survation (MRP)N/A34,558GB6448410613370Lab. 318
    data-sort-value="2024-07-01" 10 Jun – 1 Jul 2024Focaldata (MRP)N/A36,726GB108444155721219Lab. 238
    data-sort-value="2024-06-28" 15–27 Jun 2024Survation (MRP)N/A23,364GB8547012563240Lab. 290
    data-sort-value="2024-06-25" 7–25 Jun 2024JL Partners (SRP)The Sunday Times13,584GB105450155531219Lab. 250
    data-sort-value="2024-06-24" 14–24 Jun 2024Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Daily Mirror19,993GB60450247144181Lab. 250
    data-sort-value="2024-06-21" 30 May – 21 Jun 2024We Think (MRP)The Economist18,595GB76465295233319Lab. 280
    Focaldata (MRP)N/A24,536GB110450165021119Lab. 250
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 11–18 Jun 2024YouGov (MRP)Sky News39,979GB10842520674250Lab. 200
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 7–18 Jun 2024Savanta (MRP)The Telegraph17,812GB535168504000Lab. 382
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 22 May – 17 Jun 2024More in Common (MRP)The News Agents10,850GB15540618492100Lab. 162
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 7–12 Jun 2024Ipsos (MRP)N/A19,689GB11545315384330Lab. 256
    Survation (MRP)Best for Britain42,269GB7245637562170Lab. 262
    Nigel Farage becomes leader of Reform UK
    Survation (MRP)Best for Britain30,044GB7148726432030Lab. 324
    YouGov (MRP)Sky News58,875GB14042217482200Lab. 194
    data-sort-value="2024-05-29" 9 Apr – 29 May 2024More in Common (MRP)N/A15,000GB18038235303100Lab. 114
    20–27 May 2024Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP – with tactical voting)Daily Mail/GB News10,390GB6647626593200Lab. 302
    -->Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP – without tactical voting)7249322394200Lab. 336
    Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
    John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
    Local elections in England and Wales and the Blackpool South by-election
    YouGov (MRP)N/A18,761GB15540319494100Lab. 156
    Survation (MRP)Best for Britain15,029GB9846841222000Lab. 286
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Mirror18,151GB8045240534201Lab. 254
    YouGov (MRP)Conservative Britain Alliance[62] 14,110GB16938525483100Lab. 120
    Survation (MRP)Greenpeace20,205GB14242636252123Lab. 202
    Stonehaven (MRP)N/A2,000GB1963722536105Lab. 90
    Find Out Now/Electoral CalculusChannel 411,000GB9046138374101Lab. 272
    BestForBritain/FocaldataN/A10,102GB1294702625Lab. 290
    Local Elections in England
    Humza Yousaf becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
    Survation (MRP)38 Degrees6,434GB1004754552221Lab. 318
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph28,000GB4550950234100Lab. 368
    Savanta/Electoral Calculus (MRP)N/A6,237GB6948255214100Lab. 314
    Focaldata/Best for Britain (MRP)N/A12,010GB6451838120000Lab. 404
    Rishi Sunak becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Liz Truss announces her resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Opinium (MRP)Trades Union Congress10,495GB13841237395100Lab. 172
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Channel 4 News10,435GB17438151214100Lab. 112
    Savanta ComRes/Electoral Calculus (MRP)LabourList6,226GB21135348153100Lab. 56
    Liz Truss becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Boris Johnson announces his resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Local elections in England, Scotland and Wales, and the Northern Ireland Assembly election
    Focaldata (MRP)Best for Britain10,010GB23033653841018Lab. 22
    Survation (MRP)38 Degrees8,002GB2732935473101Lab. –64
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)N/A12,700GB2433085916510N/ALab. –34
    JL Partners Polls (MRP)Sunday Times4,561GB2013525816410N/ALab. 54
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,994GB249311598510N/ALab. –28
    Focaldata (MRP)The Times24,373GB2373384811110N/ALab. 26
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,272GB288271598510N/ACon. –74
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,763GB3012575810510N/ACon. –48
    Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay are elected co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,673GB3112445912510N/ACon. –28
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Sunday Telegraph14,715GB386172589520N/ACon. 122
    Local elections in England and Wales, Scottish and Welsh parliament elections, and the Hartlepool by-election
    Richard Tice becomes leader of Reform UK
    Focaldata (MRP)Best for Britain22,186GB28428257225Con –82
    Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
    Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party
    2019 general electionUK365202481141019Con. 80

    Exit poll

    An exit poll conducted by Ipsos for the BBC, ITV, and Sky News was published at the end of voting at 22:00, predicting the number of seats for each party.[63]

    Parties! style="vertical-align:top;"
    PollChangeActualError
    Labour Party410 208412 2
    Conservative Party131 234121 10
    Liberal Democrats61 5072 11
    Reform UK13 135 8
    Scottish National Party10 389 1
    Plaid Cymru44
    Green Party2 14 2
    Others1924 5
    LabourMajority of 170Majority 174

    Polling in the nations and regions

    English mayoral regions

    London

    Date(s)
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election43.1%20.4%11.1%8.7%10.1%6.6%22.7
    SavantaCentre for London1,57949%19%10%6%11%5%30
    SavantaMile End Institute1,02255%22%10%5%8%1%33
    Elections to the Mayoralty and London Assembly
    SavantaCentre for London1,53253%23%13%4%8%0%30
    YouGovN/A1,19254%17%9%9%9%2%37
    YouGovN/A1,15755%16%8%9%9%3%39
    SavantaMile End Institute1,03452%27%10%4%6%1%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00051%23%13%7%5%0%28
    SurvationITV1,01952%21%11%6%9%1%31
    YouGovQMUL1,11352%17%10%10%10%1%35
    Lord AshcroftEvening Standard2,75051%23%13%6%6%1%28
    YouGovQMUL1,06655%20%9%9%4%2%35
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10047%27%17%4%4%1%20
    By-election in Uxbridge and South Ruislip
    SurvationN/A1,05053%23%14%4%3%30
    YouGovN/A1,05158%18%9%7%6%1%40
    Survation38 Degrees6,01259%22%13%6%37
    Local elections in London
    YouGovQueen Mary University of London1,11456%24%8%8%2%1%32
    YouGovN/A1,16655%23%9%7%3%3%32
    YouGovN/A1,11551%23%11%9%4%2%28
    Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election
    Elections to the Mayoralty and London Assembly[64]
    PanelbaseN/A1,00247%32%12%6%4%15
    YouGovN/A1,14151%33%7%7%1%1%18
    OpiniumN/A1,00547%32%11%6%0%15
    OpiniumN/A1,09349%33%9%6%0%16
    YouGovQueen Mary University of London1,19250%31%8%7%2%2%19
    OpiniumN/A1,10049%34%9%6%0%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50048%27%14%8%2%3%21
    YouGovQueen Mary University of London1,19255%30%7%5%3%1%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/A2,00053%26%12%6%3%27
    Redfield & WiltonN/A2,00050%29%12%6%3%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/A2,50048%29%14%7%2%19
    YouGovQueen Mary University of London1,00246%34%11%7%1%1%12
    2019 general election48.1%32.0%14.9%3.1%1.4%0.5%16.1

    Tees Valley

    The following polls related to the Tees Valley Combined Authority area, which comprises the seven constituencies of Darlington, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough and Thornaby East, Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland, Redcar, Stockton North, and Stockton West.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Ref.Lib. DemsGreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election31.1%42.5%16.7%3.4%4.1%2.2%11.5
    2024 Tees Valley mayoral election
    Redfield and WiltonN/A90026%49%15%6%4%0%23
    2019 general election43.9%40.2%7.8%4.2%1.2%2.7%3.7

    West Midlands county

    The following polls relate to the West Midlands metropolitan county, as opposed to the statistical region.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsRef.GreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election22.6%38.8%5.3%17.3%6.5%9.6%16.2
    2024 West Midlands mayoral election
    SavantaThe News Agents1,01823%54%9%9%5%1%31
    Redfield and WiltonN/A1,00024%52%7%12%5%1%28
    2019 general election44.4%44.1%6.1%2.5%2.3%0.6%0.2

    Northern Ireland

    Date(s)
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    DUPSinn FéinAllianceSDLPUUPTUVOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election[65] 22.1%27.0%15.0%11.1%12.2%6.2%6.4%4.9
    LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph[66] 3,85921%23%18%14%13%4%2
    LucidTalk[67] Belfast Telegraph3,63421%24%17%13%12%5%3
    LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,31620%26%15%10%13%8%6
    Social Market Research[68] Irish News–University of Liverpool1,20623.5%31.1%15.2%8.1%11.1%4.8%6.6
    Social Market Research[69] Institute of Irish Studies1,07425%31%15%9%11%5%5%6
    14 Jan – 7 Sep 2023Northern Ireland Life and Times SurveyARK1,200% %%%%
    2019 general election30.6%22.8%16.8%14.9%11.7%N/A3.2%7.8

    Scotland

    Date(s)
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    SNPCon.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election30.0%12.7%35.3%9.7%3.8%7.0%1.6%5.3
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,08334%15%31%9%3%6%2%3
    More in CommonN/A1,00830%16%35%9%2%7%1%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,20032%11%38%7%3%8%1%6
    NorstatThe Sunday Times-31%13%35%8%3%8%2%4
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,04234%14%34%7%7%Tie
    SurvationBallot Box Scotland1,02231%14%37%7%3%8%1%6
    YouGovSky News1,05929%11%35%11%5%8%1%6
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,06933%15%38%7%7%5
    YouGovN/A1,14631%11%34%7%6%11%1%3
    NorstatThe Sunday Times1,05030%14%34%9%4%7%2%4
    OpiniumN/A1,01734%14%35%8%4%5%1%1
    IpsosSTV News1,13636%13%36%5%3%4%Tie
    YouGovN/A1,06830%13%34%8%6%7%2%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00029%17%39%8%3%4%10
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,06733%17%37%7%5%4
    SurvationTrue North1,02632%17%36%9%6%4
    More in CommonN/A1,01630%17%35%10%3%4%1%5
    Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
    YouGovN/A1,11429%12%39%8%7%4%2%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,07831%14%38%8%4%4%7
    John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,08033%17%37%7%4%4
    NorstatThe Sunday Times1,01429%16%34%8%4%6%5
    Humza Yousaf announces his resignation as First Minister of Scotland.
    YouGovN/A1,04333%14%34%8%4%5%2%1
    NorstatThe Sunday Times1,08632%16%32%9%4%5%Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00032%17%33%8%2%5%1
    YouGovN/A1,10031%14%33%7%5%7%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00034%16%34%6%4%4%Tie
    SurvationQuantum Communications1,04338%15%33%8%7%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00033%18%34%8%2%4%1
    IpsosSTV News1,00539%14%32%6%4%5%7
    SurvationTrue North1,02936%16%34%8%7%2
    NorstatThe Sunday Times1,00733%16%36%7%8%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,04035%17%35%9%2%2%1%Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,05434%17%36%6%3%3%0%2
    IpsosN/A99040%15%30%6%3%5%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,09232%23%32%8%2%2%1%Tie
    YouGovScottish Elections Study1,20032%16%38%6%4%4%6
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,01835%19%35%6%4%Tie
    YouGovN/A1,02833%20%32%5%5%2%2%1
    Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,09534%21%32%9%2%2%4
    OpiniumTony Blair Institute1,00437%18%28%8%4%4%9
    YouGovThe Times1,10338%16%27%7%6%4%2%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10035%15%35%8%4%3%Tie
    SurvationTrue North1,02237%17%35%6%5%2
    YouGovThe Times1,08636%15%32%6%6%3%2%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,05037%17%34%7%2%3%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,03035%21%32%7%2%3%3
    Survation2,02637%17%34%9%4%3
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,00734%18%34%7%7%Tie
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,01838%17%34%7%4%4
    YouGovScottish Elections Study1,20033%17%36%7%4%3%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,46637%20%28%9%3%3%9
    Ipsos MORISTV News1,09041%16%29%6%3%4%12
    SurvationTrue North1,00938%18%31%9%2%4%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,29535%18%32%9%3%3%3
    YouGovThe Times1,03237%17%28%8%5%2%2%9
    SurvationN/A1,00140%17%32%7%1%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00036%19%31%10%2%3%5
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,00939%19%33%6%4%6
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,08939%19%31%5%6%8
    Humza Yousaf is elected leader of the Scottish National Party
    YouGovSky News1,00239%16%29%6%6%3%1%10
    SurvationDiffley Partnership1,03740%18%32%6%2%3%8
    PanelbaseScot Goes Pop1,01340%16%33%6%5%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,05039%22%29%6%2%3%10
    YouGovThe Times1,01738%19%29%6%4%2%2%9
    SurvationN/A1,03443%17%30%6%3%13
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,00442%17%32%6%3%10
    YouGovScottish Election Study1,23938%16%35%6%3%3%3
    SurvationN/ATBA42%18%29%6%0%13
    YouGovThe Sunday Times1,08842%15%29%6%3%3%2%13
    SurvationTrue North1,00243%18%29%7%2%14
    SurvationScotland in Union1,02544%16%31%6%1%13
    SavantaThe Scotsman1,04843%19%30%6%2%13
    YouGovThe Times1,09043%14%29%6%4%3%1%14
    Ipsos MORISTV News1,04551%13%25%6%3%0%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00041%16%31%8%2%3%10
    PanelbaseAlba Party1,000+42%16%30%6%2%2%12
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,01745%15%30%5%4%15
    YouGovThe Times1,06745%12%31%7%3%1%1%14
    ComResThe Scotsman1,02946%15%30%8%1%16
    SurvationScotland in Union1,01144%15%31%6%4%13
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,13344%20%23%8%5%21
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,01047%19%23%8%3%24
    Savanta ComResThe Scotsman1,02946%18%25%8%3%21
    IpsosSTV News1,00044%19%23%10%3%2%21
    YouGovThe Times1,11546%19%22%6%3%1%2%24
    5 May 2022Local elections held in Scotland
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,00942%21%24%7%5%18
    BMGThe Herald1,01242%19%26%6%4%2%16
    SurvationBallot Box Scotland1,00245%19%27%6%2%18
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,12844%20%24%8%2%2%20
    OpiniumDaily Record1,32848%17%22%7%3%4%26
    YouGovThe Times1,06048%20%18%6%3%2%2%28
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,000~48%21%20%7%4%27
    PanelbaseScot Goes Pop1,00148%21%21%7%4%27
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times2,00347%23%19%7%4%24
    OpiniumSky News1,01451%21%17%5%2%3%30
    Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[70]
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,28747%25%18%6%4%22
    Airdrie and Shotts by-election
    Election to the Scottish Parliament[71]
    YouGovThe Times1,14448%22%19%5%4%1%2%26
    SurvationDC Thomson1,00848%22%20%7%1%1%26
    OpiniumSky News1,01547%25%20%6%1%1%22
    BMGThe Herald1,02348%20%20%7%3%1%28
    SurvationGood Morning Britain1,00846%22%22%8%2%24
    PanelbaseScot Goes Pop1,07545%22%19%7%4%3%23
    SurvationDC Thomson1,03747%21%22%8%1%1%25
    YouGovThe Times1,20448%24%19%4%3%1%2%24
    OpiniumSky News1,02350%24%19%4%1%1%26
    SurvationThe Courier1,02149%21%21%8%1%0%28
    YouGovThe TimesTBA49%24%17%4%4%1%1%25
    BMGThe Herald1,02147%21%19%7%3%3%26
    SurvationThe Courier1,45249%21%21%7%1%1%28
    OpiniumSky News1,09650%23%19%5%3%1%27
    YouGovThe Times1,10050%23%17%5%3%1%1%27
    Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour[72]
    SurvationDaily Record1,01148%23%21%6%2%25
    SurvationScot Goes Pop1,02048%19%23%7%3%25
    SurvationN/A1,00951%20%21%6%3%30
    PanelbaseScot Goes Pop1,02050%21%20%5%2%29
    YouGovThe Times1,08953%19%17%4%3%3%1%34
    SurvationN/A1,05952%18%20%8%2%32
    JL PartnersPolitico1,01656%18%15%7%3%0%38
    SurvationN/A1,01851%20%21%6%3%30
    YouGovThe Times1,14254%20%16%5%2%2%0%34
    Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[73]
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,02653%21%19%6%2%32
    PanelbaseScot Goes Pop1,02251%21%19%6%2%1%30
    PanelbaseWings Over Scotland1,08650%26%17%5%2%1%24
    YouGovN/A1,09551%25%15%6%2%0%1%26
    PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,02348%27%16%5%3%21
    Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[74]
    2019 general election45.0%25.1%18.6%9.5%1.0%0.5%0.3%19.9

    Wales

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Lab.Con.Plaid CymruLib. DemsRef.GreenOthersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election[75] 37.0%18.2%14.8%6.5%16.9%4.7%1.9%18.8
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,07240%16%14%7%16%5%2%24
    More in CommonN/A84842%22%9%4%14%5%4%20
    Redfield & Wilton N/A93046%15%10%7%17%4%1%29
    Savanta N/A1,02649%19%12%5%12%3%-30
    Redfield & WiltonN/A96045%18%11%5%18%4%0%27
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,06645%18%12%5%13%4%1%27
    More in CommonN/A80545%21%13%4%12%3%1%24
    Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
    Redfield & WiltonN/A90043%19%14%3%15%6%1%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/A84040%18%14%6%18%4%0%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/A87849%16%10%5%15%5%1%33
    Vaughan Gething becomes First Minister of Wales[76]
    Redfield & WiltonN/A87445%22%10%5%13%5%1%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10048%20%10%4%12%4%1%28
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,08647%22%11%6%10%2%0%25
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,00442%20%15%7%12%3%1%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10044%24%13%4%9%5%1%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/A95946%26%10%3%10%4%0%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,17244%22%10%9%7%6%1%22
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,05150%19%12%5%8%5%2%31
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,06841%24%13%7%11%4%0%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,05046%24%10%7%10%3%1%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00043%22%10%7%12%4%1%21
    Rhun ap Iorwerth becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[77]
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,06449%19%10%8%9%4%1%30
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,05843%23%11%8%9%4%1%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,25144%24%12%7%9%4%0%20
    YouGovWalesOnline1,08353%19%12%4%8%3%1%34
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,08149%20%14%5%9%3%1%29
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,04251%18%13%4%8%4%2%33
    Survation38 Degrees6,01251%24%13%6%6%27
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,01446%23%15%5%5%3%3%23
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,02041%26%16%7%4%4%2%15
    5 May 2022Local elections held in Wales[78]
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,08641%26%13%7%6%4%3%15
    YouGovBarn Cymru1,00941%26%13%3%7%6%3%15
    YouGov??39%29%17%3%5%7%10
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,07137%31%15%4%6%5%2%6
    Election to the Senedd[79]
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,07137%36%14%3%4%3%3%1
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,14237%33%18%2%3%4%3%4
    OpiniumSky News2,00542%33%14%3%3%9
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,17435%35%17%4%2%3%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Andrew RT Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[80]
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,01836%33%17%3%5%4%2%3
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,01343%32%13%3%5%3%2%11
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,11041%33%15%2%4%3%2%8
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,02139%35%15%5%2%3%1%4
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,00834%46%11%4%3%2%0%12
    YouGovITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University1,03736%41%13%5%3%2%1%5
    2019 general election40.9%36.1%9.9%6.0%5.4%1.0%0.7%4.8

    Constituency polling

    Bicester and Woodstock

    Bicester and Woodstock was a new seat at the 2024 general election.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lib. DemsLab.GreenRef.Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election28.8%38.7%16.4%4.8%10.8%9.9
    6 Jun – 24 Jun 2024WeThinkThe Economist45830%31%31%3%3%Tie
    2019 general election53.9%26.6%16.9%2.4%0.3%27.3

    Bristol Central

    Bristol Central was a new seat at the 2024 general election.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Lab.GreenCon.Ref.Lib. DemsOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election32.6%56.6%4.6%3.1%2.7%0.5%20.0
    We ThinkThe Green Party40040%49%6%3%3%0%9
    2019 general election58.5%26.0%14.3%1.2%0.2%47.3

    Caerfyrddin (Carmarthen)

    Caerfyrddin (Carmarthen) was a new seat at the 2024 general election, replacing Carmarthen East and Dinefwr and Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.PCLab.Ref.Lib. DemsInd. (Edwards)OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election19.4%34.0%24.1%15.2%3.2%4.1%9.9
    2 Jan – 4 Feb 2024SurvationPlaid Cymru52024%30%24%4%4%10%3%6
    2019 general election39.2%30.7%25.1%3.8%1.3%8.5

    Chingford and Woodford Green

    Between the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Chingford and Woodford Green were changed. The Conservative Party's candidate was former party leader Iain Duncan Smith.Faiza Shaheen was the Labour Party candidate for the seat in 2019 and originally reselected to contest the seat again. However, she was deselected by Labour's NEC and replaced.[81] [82] [83] [84] The below poll was conducted before Shaheen left the Labour Party and announced her candidacy as an Independent.[85] [86]

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election35.6%25.8%2.6%2.7%33.2%9.8
    OpiniumGreenpeace52542%39%6%8%5%3
    2019 general election48.2%45.3%5.8%0.4%0.3%2.9

    Clacton

    Between the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Clacton were changed. The Reform UK candidate was the party's leader, Nigel Farage.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election27.9%16.2%4.4%4.2%46.2%3.4%18.3
    10–19 June 2024JL PartnersFriderichs Advisory Partners50221%18%6%6%48%1%27
    11–13 June 2024SurvationArron Banks50627%24%2%5%42%1%15
    SurvationArron Banks50938%30%6%18%9%8
    27%23%6%37%8%10
    2019 general election71.9%15.6%6.2%2.9%3.4%56.3

    Gillingham and Rainham

    Gillingham and Rainham maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election28.2%37.8%5.5%5.6%21.4%1.2%9.6
    We ThinkThe Economist37623%55%5%2%15%0%32
    2019 general election61.3%28.4%5.4%2.3%2.6%32.9

    Godalming and Ash

    Godalming and Ash was a new seat at the 2024 general election, mostly replacing South West Surrey. The Conservative Party's candidate was Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt.[87] [88]

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lib. DemsLab.Ref.GreenOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election42.6%41.0%5.0%8.8%2.3%0.4%1.6
    Survation38 Degrees50729%35%23%8%3%2%6
    2019 general election53.4%34.1%8.9%1.6%14.6

    Hartlepool

    Hartlepool maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Lab.Con.Ref.Lib. DemsGreenOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election46.2%21.9%24.5%1.6%2.3%3.4%21.7
    30 May 2023 – 9 Jun 2024We ThinkThe Economist44858%10%23%6%2%1%32
    2021 Hartlepool by-election28.7%51.9%1.2%1.2%1.2%17%23.2
    2019 general election37.7%28.9%25.8%4.1%3.4%5.4

    Holborn and St Pancras

    Between the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Holborn and St Pancras were changed. The Labour Party candidate was the party's leader, Sir Keir Starmer.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsGreenRef.Ind. (Feinstein)OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election48.9%7.2%5.8%10.4%6.1%18.9%30.0
    Survation38 Degrees31754%9%9%14%5%6%40
    2019 general election66.0%15.2%12.2%4.6%1.8%0.3%50.8

    Islington North

    Islington North maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election. Jeremy Corbyn, the incumbent MP and former Leader of the Labour Party, stood as an independent candidate following his suspension from the party in 2020.[89] [90]

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Lab.Corbyn (Ind.)Lib. DemsCon.GreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election34.4%49.2%3.4%4.0%5.4%3.5%0.4%14.8
    SurvationStats for Lefties51443%29%7%6%7%6%2%14
    2019 general election64.3%15.6%10.2%8.0%1.4%0.4%48.7

    Mid Bedfordshire

    Between the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Mid Bedfordshire were changed. The 2023 by-election was contested on the 2019 boundaries.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election34.1%31.4%8.2%5.2%17.3%3.7%2.7
    2023 Mid Bedfordshire by-election31.1%34.1%23.1%1.8%3.7%6.7%3.0
    SurvationLabour Together55934%34%16%6%6%4%Tie
    2019 general election60.5%20.5%12.5%3.9%2.6%40.0

    North Herefordshire

    Between the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of North Herefordshire were changed.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election31.5%6.4%2.9%43.2%16.0%0.2%11.7
    We ThinkThe Green Party50128%15%4%39%13%11
    2019 general election62.5%15.2%13.5%8.8%47.3

    Portsmouth North

    Portsmouth North maintained its 2019 boundaries at the next election. The Conservative Party's candidate was Penny Mordaunt, the Leader of the House of Commons.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election33.0%34.8%7.3%4.5%20.4%1.8
    TechnePenny Mordaunt1,00039%35%7%4%15%4
    2019 general election61.4%27.0%7.4%2.8%1.4%34.4

    Richmond and Northallerton

    Richmond and Northallerton was a new seat at the 2024 general election. The Conservative Party candidate was the party's leader and Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election47.5%22.4%8.9%4.2%14.7%2.3%25.1
    Survation38 Degrees33139%28%9%4%18%11
    2019 general election63.3%16.4%12.5%3.8%3.9%46.9

    Waveney Valley

    Waveney Valley was a new seat at the 2024 general election. The Green Party candidate is one of its co-leaders, Adrian Ramsay.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election30.3%9.4%2.5%41.7%15.8%0.2%11.4
    We ThinkThe Green Party50024%17%7%37%16%13
    2019 general election62.2%27.0%9.2%9.3%0.7%35.2

    Wokingham

    Between the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Wokingham were changed.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lib. DemsLab.GreenOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election32.2%47.7%6.7%3.6%9.8%15.5
    OpiniumGreenpeace60742%22%24%8%3%18
    2019 general election55.5%32.3%9.9%2.2%0.1%23.2

    Wycombe

    Wycombe maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election25.6%35.9%9.5%4.9%24%10.3
    OpiniumGreenpeace53237%33%16%8%5%4
    2019 general election43.1%39.9%11.3%2.6%3.1%3.2

    Ynys Môn

    Ynys Môn maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.PCRef.Lib. DemsOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election30.5%23.4%32.5%9.9%1.4%2.5%2
    21 Dec 2023 – 5 Jan 2024SurvationPlaid Cymru50726%27%39%4%1%3%12
    2019 general election35.5%30.1%28.5%6.0%5.4

    Other polling

    "Red wall"

    See also: Red wall (British politics).

    Polling firms published polls of the "red wall", which took respondents from a selection of constituencies gained by the Conservatives in the 2019 general election. Different pollsters used different sets of constituencies for their polling.

    Deltapoll

    Deltapoll published a poll of the 57 constituencies that the Conservatives gained from Labour and the Liberal Democrats without specifying any regions.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    DeltapollThe Mail on Sunday61233%49%8%10%16
    2019 general election47.4%37.3%6.9%8.4%10.1

    Focaldata

    Focaldata published a poll of the 44 seats the Conservatives gained from Labour in northern England and the Midlands.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    FocaldataThe Times57344%45%1%3%1
    2019 general election47.8%39.0%4.8%8.4%8.8

    JL Partners

    JL Partners published polls of forty-five seats the Conservative Party gained from the Labour Party across northern England, the Midlands and Wales, apart from Bridgend, Clwyd South, the Vale of Clwyd, Wrexham and Ynys Môn.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    JL PartnersChannel 4 News50828%53%7%12%25
    JL PartnersChannel 4 News52030%56%6%8%26
    JL PartnersKekst CNC and Conservatives in Communication53834%54%7%5%20
    JL PartnersChannel 4 News51837%48%8%7%11
    JL PartnersChannel 4 News45%43%6%5%2
    JL PartnersChannel 4 News50047%43%4%6%4
    JL PartnersChannel 4 News49941%47%3%8%6
    2019 general election47.7%39.1%4.8%8.3%8.6

    Redfield Wilton Strategies

    Redfield & Wilton Strategies published polls of 37 constituencies won by the Conservatives in 2019 that had been held by Labour in 2010, 2015 and 2017, as well as Burnley, Redcar and Vale of Clwyd

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Ref.Lib. DemsGreenPCOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election24.1%40.7%21.7%4.7%4.8%1.9%2.2%16.6
    Redfield & WiltonN/ATBC22%47%16%7%5%1%1%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00024%44%18%6%5%1%2%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,07224%48%16%5%4%1%1%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00025%49%14%6%4%1%2%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,05528%48%14%4%5%1%1%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/A97528%48%11%7%4%1%1%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00026%50%11%5%6%1%1%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00032%48%6%7%4%1%2%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,25031%45%10%6%6%1%1%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00032%48%6%7%3%2%3%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,06028%53%7%6%4%1%1%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,40028%49%8%8%4%2%1%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00030%48%10%6%4%2%1%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,15027%52%9%6%4%1%2%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,02026%53%9%6%4%1%1%27
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,20028%50%8%7%4%1%2%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,15831%48%7%7%4%1%1%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10029%52%7%7%4%1%0%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00030%48%6%8%5%2%1%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00031%47%7%7%5%1%2%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00030%49%9%6%4%1%1%19
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10032%48%8%6%4%1%2%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00029%51%9%6%2%1%2%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00027%55%10%4%3%1%1%28
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10029%52%8%5%4%1%1%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,20027%53%9%5%4%1%1%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,20029%51%9%5%3%1%1%22
    Redfield & WiltonITV Peston1,50030%53%5%6%3%1%1%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00028%53%6%5%4%2%1%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50028%56%5%8%2%1%1%28
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50021%61%8%5%3%1%1%40
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50023%61%3%7%4%1%1%38
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50034%49%7%5%4%0%1%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50031%48%7%7%5%1%1%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50034%47%5%8%3%2%1%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50033%48%6%7%5%1%3%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50034%45%3%10%5%1%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50032%46%7%10%4%0%1%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50035%46%3%8%3%1%2%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50036%46%6%5%4%2%2%10
    2019 general election46.7%38.0%6.5%4.5%1.4%1.2%1.7%8.7

    YouGov

    YouGov published polls of all fifty seats the Conservative Party gained from the Labour Party across northern England, the Midlands and Wales.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    YouGov (MRP)The Times9,93141%40%5%14%1
    YouGovN/A79444%38%4%14%6
    2019 general election47.3%39.0%4.7%8.9%8.3

    "Blue wall"

    See also: Blue wall (British politics).

    Polling firms published polls of the "blue wall", which took respondents from constituencies held by the Conservatives but which might be gained by Labour or the Liberal Democrats. Different pollsters used different sets of constituencies for their polling.

    JL Partners

    JL Partners published a poll of the forty-five seats in southern England which the Conservatives won in 2019 with a majority of under 10,000 votes.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib DemsGreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    JL PartnersKekst CNC and Conservatives in Communication52134%40%20%3%3%6
    2019 general election48.5%26.6%21.1%1.7%2.1%21.9

    More in Common

    More in Common published a poll of the thirty-nine seats which the Conservatives won in 2019 and saw the largest total swing towards Labour and the Liberal Democrats in the 2017 and 2019 elections.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lib DemsLab.GreenRef.Otherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    More in CommonN/A1,00532%20%33%5%10%1%1
    2019 general election51%25%20%2%0%2%26

    Opinium

    Opinium published a poll of the forty-one constituencies held by the Conservatives since 2010, where Labour or the Liberal Democrats outperformed their national swing against the Conservatives in 2017 and 2019, with a majority of under 10,000.[91]

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    OpiniumGreenpeace1,00043%34%14%5%4%9
    2019 general election48.6%30.7%17.6%1.6%1.5%17.9

    Redfield Wilton Strategies

    Redfield and Wilton Strategies published polls of the forty-two constituencies in southern England which voted Conservative in the last three general elections, where more than a quarter of adults have degrees, where more than 42.5% of voters are estimated to have voted to remain in the European Union in the 2016 referendum, and where the Conservative majority over Labour was under 10,000 or the Conservative majority over the Liberal Democrats was under 15,000, in the 2019 general election.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lib. DemsLab.GreenRef.Otherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    Redfield & WiltonN/A88025%23%34%5%11%1%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,04026%20%34%6%14%0%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,19528%19%37%5%10%1%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00030%21%37%4%7%2%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00030%24%31%2%11%1%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/A80029%26%30%3%11%1%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,05030%25%34%4%6%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00036%25%32%3%4%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,08631%26%33%4%6%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,27432%25%33%4%5%1%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,40033%25%32%5%5%0%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,15031%24%35%3%6%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,15432%23%36%5%5%0%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00029%25%36%4%5%1%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10031%22%38%4%5%0%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,32830%26%34%5%5%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00034%22%33%3%6%2%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,09032%23%36%2%5%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,00032%24%34%5%5%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,22835%20%37%5%4%0%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50031%21%39%4%4%0%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,25034%23%36%3%4%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,15032%18%41%5%4%1%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,10034%17%41%4%3%2%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,20032%19%42%4%4%0%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,20030%21%40%3%6%1%10
    Redfield & WiltonITV Peston1,20030%21%41%4%3%1%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,25032%23%38%2%4%0%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,25033%16%44%2%4%1%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/A1,50028%24%41%4%3%4%13
    2019 general election49.7%27.4%20.6%1.3%-0.9%22.3

    YouGov

    YouGov specified the blue wall to be constituencies held by the Conservative Party in the South or East of England in the 2019 election, with a population which by majority voted to remain in the European Union and have a higher level of graduates than the country at large.[92]

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lib. DemsLab.GreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    YouGovN/A84145%15%26%11%4%19
    YouGovN/A1,14144%18%24%9%6%20
    2019 general election51.7%24.0%19.7%2.4%2.2%27.7

    Other geographical samples

    England and Wales

    Find Out Now conducted a poll of voters in England and Wales.

    Date(s)
    conducted
    PollsterClientSample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    Find Out NowThe Constitution Society14,59645%36%6%1%11%9
    2019 general election46.6%34.3%12.1%2.9%4.1%12.3

    Cornwall, Cumbria, Gwynedd, Norfolk, and North Yorkshire

    Survation conducted a poll of voters in Cornwall, Cumbria, Gwynedd, Norfolk, and North Yorkshire.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    SurvationWoodrow Communications1,01238%36%10%8%2
    2019 general election53.3%25.8%14.0%2.2%4.727.5

    Coventry

    Survation conducted a poll of voters in Coventry.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsRef.GreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    SurvationUnite the Union52852%27%6%5%6%25
    2019 general election46.5%40.5%6.0%4.0%2.7%0.3%6

    Most rural constituencies

    Survation published multiple polls of the 100 most rural constituencies in England.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.Otherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    SurvationCountry Land and Business Association1,09234%37%14%4%9%2%3
    SurvationCountry Land and Business Association1,01741%36%13%5%4%0%5
    2019 general election58.9%19.3%16.6%3.5%0.6%1.2%39.6

    "Conservative Celtic Fringe"

    YouGov produced a poll of seats in South West England that had elected a Conservative MP in every election since the 2015 general election and where a majority of voters were estimated to have voted to leave the European Union in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. They branded these seats the "Conservative Celtic Fringe".

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsRef.GreenOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    YouGovN/A81338%24%22%6%8%1%14
    2019 general election56.7%19.2%19.1%0.1%3.0%1.9%37.5

    "Sea Wall"

    YouGov conducted polls of voters in 108 coastal constituencies which they refer to as the "Sea Wall".

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsGreenRef.PCOtherdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    YouGovFabian Society/Channel 4Not reported20
    YouGovFabian SocietyN/A21%52%N/AN/A14%N/AN/A31
    YouGovFabian Society63132%38%9%21%6
    2019 general election51.2%29.2%11.4%2.6%2.0%1.7%1.7%22.0

    Other non-geographical samples

    Ethnic minority voters

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    YouGovSky NewsGB1,00153%14%6%0%7%14%39
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVN/A1,00159%21%8%2%2%2%38
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVN/A50151%28%7%3%2%9%23
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVN/A1,00058%22%6%2%3%8%36
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVUK1,00060%22%5%3%2%5%38
    2019 general election (Ipsos MORI)[93] GB27,59164%20%12%2%1%-1%44

    Muslim voters

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsSNPGreenOthersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    More in CommonCommunity Exchange HubGB1,41757%7%6%1%10%47
    SavantaHyphenUK2,86263%12%12%1%7%51
    JL PartnersHenry Jackson SocietyUK1,00061%12%9%1%9%5%49
    SurvationLabour Muslim NetworkUK68360%8%9%4%14%5%46
    SavantaN/AUK1,02364%19%9%1%5%45
    rowspan="4" style="background:#e9e9e9;"
    2019 election (JL Partners)UK1,00072%17%7%0%3%0%55
    2019 election (Survation)UK50486%9%1%1%3%0%77
    2019 election (Savanta)UK1,02367%25%5%1%1%42

    Jewish voters

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Ref.Lib. DemsOthersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    SurvationJewish ChronicleUK50442%33%11%7%7%9

    Private renter voters

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    Survation38 DegreesUK2,00949%23%9%8%10%1%26
    2019 election (Ipsos)UKN/A46%31%11%12%15

    Young voters

    Savanta published polls of voters aged between 18 and 25. The 2019 result comes from the British Election Study's estimate of voters aged 18 to 24.

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,24353%11%12%3%10%7%5%41
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,23261%14%10%2%7%3%4%47
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,02356%15%16%3%5%1%4%40
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,02362%15%9%3%7%-6%47
    2019 general election (British Election Study)[94] UK52%28%11%9%24
    16–17 year olds

    JL Partners polled a sample of 16 and 17 year olds. The voting age in UK elections is 18, therefore none of the individuals polled had the legal right to vote.[95] [96] [97] [98] [99]

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Lab.Con.Lib. DemsGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    JL PartnersThe SunUK20139%5%9%18%23%5%16

    GB News viewers

    Dates
    conducted
    PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size
    Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    JL PartnersGB NewsGB52024%38%8%2%3%25%0%13
    JL PartnersGB NewsGB530%%%%%%%21
    JL PartnersGB NewsGB518%%%%%%%11

    See also

    Notes and References

    1. Web site: 22 May 2024 . Rishi Sunak announces 4 July general election . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20240608214915/https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-69042935 . 8 June 2024 . 22 May 2024 . BBC News.
    2. Jane Bainbridge, "ComRes Sold To Savanta", Research Live, 1 August 2019. Retrieved 13 January 2024.
    3. Web site: ComRes rebrands to Savanta ComRes News . 2024-07-05 . Research Live . en . 17 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240617125425/https://www.research-live.com/article/news/comres-rebrands-to-savanta-comres/id/5061492 . live .
    4. Katie McQuater, "Savanta Drops ComRes, MSI, Youthsight and Mindspark Brand Names", Research Live, 1 December 2022. Retrieved 13 January 2024.
    5. Mike Underwood, "Visit WeThink — the new home for polling by the team at Omnisis", Omnisis, 30 August 2023. Retrieved 13 January 2024.
    6. Web site: Panelbase Message . 2024-02-01 . www.panelbase.net . 1 February 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240201095106/https://www.panelbase.net/norstatfaqs . live .
    7. Web site: Kantar Public rebrands globally to become Verian . 2024-06-20 . www.veriangroup.com . en . 28 February 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240228054651/https://www.veriangroup.com/press-release/kantar-public-rebrands-globally-to-become-verian . live .
    8. News: Vincent . Jonathan . Why did the pollsters overestimate Labour’s vote? . 9 July 2024 . Financial Times . 9 July 2024.
    9. News: Northern Ireland local election results 2023 . 19 May 2023 . BBC News . en . 18 May 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230518115438/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2023/northern-ireland/results . live .
    10. News: England local election results 2023 . 5 May 2023 . 4 May 2023 . BBC News . en . 4 May 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230504064154/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2023/england/results . live .
    11. News: West Lancashire: Tories out of road, say Labour after by-election win. 10 February 2023. 11 February 2023. BBC News. en. 10 February 2023. https://web.archive.org/web/20230210192234/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-lancashire-64570223. live.
    12. News: Faye Brown . Labour holds seat in Stretford and Urmston by-election . 16 December 2022 . 16 December 2022 . Sky News . en . 16 December 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20221216030915/https://news.sky.com/story/labour-holds-seat-in-stretford-and-urmston-by-election-12768825 . live .
    13. Web site: Chester by-election: Labour hold seat in Rishi Sunak's first electoral test. BBC News. 2 December 2022. 16 December 2022. 23 May 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20240523005514/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-63825130. live.
    14. News: Nevett . Joshua . 25 October 2022 . Rishi Sunak calls for stability and unity as he wins contest to be PM . BBC News . 27 October 2022 . 25 October 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20221025133419/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-63375281 . live .
    15. News: 5 September 2022 . How Liz Truss won the Conservative leadership race . BBC News . 8 October 2022 . 5 September 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220905091715/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-60037657 . live .
    16. Web site: Archived copy . 11 July 2022 . 12 July 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220712071841/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Omni_vi_W117_Post_Private.xlsx . dead .
    17. News: 23 June 2022. Tiverton and Honiton by-election: Lib Dems take seat. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 6 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220706174914/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-devon-61918899. live.
    18. News: 5 May 2022. Wakefield by-election: Labour win a great result, says Keir Starmer. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 6 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220706190533/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-61896693. live.
    19. Web site: Archived copy . 16 June 2022 . 24 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220624173507/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Omni_vi_Standard_W113_Post_Private.xlsx . dead .
    20. Web site: Archived copy . 1 June 2022 . 31 May 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220531124808/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Omni_W112_VI_Post_Tables_20220530_Private.xlsx . dead .
    21. News: 5 May 2022. England Local Elections 2022. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 20 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220720140903/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2022/england/results. live.
    22. News: 5 May 2022. Northern Ireland Assembly Election Results 2022. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 20 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220720102719/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2022/northern-ireland/results. live.
    23. News: 3 March 2022. Birmingham Erdington by-election: Starmer hails new MP as 'champion of working people'. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 6 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220706174913/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-60613453. live.
    24. News: 3 February 2022. Southend West by-election: Anna Firth wins seat for Tories. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 4 February 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220204013059/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-60254176. live.
    25. Web site: Archived copy . 8 January 2022 . 8 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220108211249/https://www.opinium.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/VI-2022-01-05-Observer-Tables-FINAL.xlsx . bot: unknown .
    26. News: 17 December 2021. Tories lose North Shropshire seat they held for nearly 200 years. BBC News. 18 December 2021. 17 December 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211217084843/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-shropshire-59693102. live.
    27. News: 3 December 2021. Old Bexley and Sidcup: Tories hold safe London seat at by-election. BBC News. 18 December 2021. 18 December 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211218191140/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-59505204. live.
    28. Web site: Archived copy . 13 November 2021 . 24 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220124231727/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/P018868_Final_weight_20211112_v1_Private.xlsx . dead .
    29. News: 1 October 2021. Green Party's new leadership team to focus on power not protests. BBC News. 1 October 2021. 1 October 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211001094257/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-58761003. live.
    30. News: 2 July 2021. Batley and Spen: Labour hold seat in by-election. en-GB. BBC News. 2 July 2021. 2 July 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210702042715/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-57691543. live.
    31. News: 18 June 2021. Chesham and Amersham by-election won by Lib Dems. en-GB. BBC News. 18 June 2021. 18 June 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210618151428/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-57472032. live.
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    35. News: 7 May 2021. Elections 2021: Conservatives hail historic Labour defeat in Hartlepool by-election. en-GB. BBC News. 15 May 2021. 10 May 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210510231118/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-57019456. live.
    36. Web site: Archived copy . 10 April 2021 . 10 April 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210410202730/http://www.deltapoll.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Deltapoll-MoS210410_voteint.pdf . dead .
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    40. Web site: Archived copy . 25 February 2021 . 2 July 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220702180325/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Final_VI_20210223_Private.pdf . dead .
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    62. News: Tories facing 1997-style wipeout . Rayner . Gordon . 2024-01-15 . The Telegraph . 1 . The poll was commissioned by a group of Conservative donors called the Conservative Britain Alliance and carried out by Yougov, working with Lord Frost..
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    72. News: 27 February 2021. Anas Sarwar elected as new leader of Scottish Labour Party. en-GB. Labour List. 8 March 2021. 22 May 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210522125311/https://labourlist.org/2021/02/anas-sarwar-elected-as-new-leader-of-scottish-labour-party/. live.
    73. News: 5 August 2020. Douglas Ross confirmed as Scottish Conservative leader. en-GB. BBC News. 8 March 2021. 26 January 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220126145538/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-53655975. live.
    74. News: 14 February 2020. Scottish Conservatives: Jackson Carlaw succeeds Ruth Davidson as leader. en-GB. BBC News. 8 March 2021. 9 March 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220309210326/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-51458319. live.
    75. News: Wales election results 2024 | Constituency map . BBC News . 5 July 2024 . 5 July 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240705074837/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/regions/W92000004 . live .
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    80. News: 24 January 2021. Andrew RT Davies returns as Welsh Conservatives leader. en-GB. BBC News. 15 May 2021. 22 May 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210522125302/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-55781864. live.
    81. News: Sommerlad . Joe . 30 May 2024 . Jon Stewart calls rejection of UK candidate for liking one of his sketches 'dumbest thing since Boris Johnson's . The Independent . London . 30 May 2024 . 30 May 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240530120907/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jon-stewart-faiza-shaheen-labour-b2553787.html . live .
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    83. News: Stewart . Heather . 30 May 2024 . Blocked Labour candidate Faiza Shaheen to challenge deselection . The Guardian . London . 30 May 2024 . 6 July 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240706003600/https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/may/30/blocked-labour-candidate-faiza-shaheen-to-challenge-deselection . live .
    84. News: Oborne . Peter . 30 May 2024 . Faiza Shaheen dropped by Labour for liking pro-BDS, Corbyn and Green Party posts . Middle East Eye . London . 30 May 2024 . 30 May 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240530172731/https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/faiza-shaheen-dropped-labour-liking-pro-bds-corbyn-and-green-party-posts . live .
    85. News: 4 June 2024 . Faiza Shaheen resigns from Labour Party . BBC News . 4 June 2024 . 4 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240604205642/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c977d5jep6eo . live .
    86. Web site: Shaheen . Faiza Shaheen on X . Faiza . X . 5 June 2024 . 5 June 2024 . 5 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240605170239/https://x.com/faizashaheen/status/1798369070657782177 . live .
    87. Web site: Godalming and Ash Survey 2023 – Jeremy Hunt MP . Hunt . Jeremy . 2023 . Jeremy Hunt . 2024-03-04 . https://web.archive.org/web/20231210081227/https://www.jeremyhunt.org/godalming-and-ash-survey-2023 . 2023-12-10. Following the redrawing of the parliamentary boundaries by the Boundary Commission, I am the Conservative Candidate for the Godalming and Ash constituency at the next election..
    88. Web site: Jeremy Hunt has given over £100,000 to local Tory party in bid to retain seat . Adu . Aletha . 2024-03-03 . . 2024-03-04 . 8 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240608220125/https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/mar/03/jeremy-hunt-personal-donations-local-conservative-association-godalming-ash-seat . live .
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    95. Web site: Should 16- year-olds be allowed to vote in the general election? Join The Independent Debate . . 4 June 2024 . 2024-07-02 . live . 27 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240627135255/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/voting-age-uk-16-keir-starmer-b2555856.html .
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