| Election Name: | Next Scottish Parliament election |
| Country: | Scotland |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Previous Election: | 2021 Scottish Parliament election |
| Previous Year: | 2021 |
| Election Date: | No later than |
| Seats For Election: | All 129 seats to the Scottish Parliament |
| Majority Seats: | 65 |
| Opinion Polls: | Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Party1: | Scottish National Party |
| Leader1: | John Swinney |
| Leader Since1: | 6 May 2024 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Perthshire North |
| Last Election1: | 64 seats |
| Seats Before1: | 63 |
| Current Seats1: | 63 |
| Seats Needed1: | 2 |
| Party2: | Scottish Conservatives |
| Leader2: | TBD |
| Leader Since2: | TBD |
| Leaders Seat2: | N/A |
| Last Election2: | 31 seats |
| Seats Before2: | 31 |
| Current Seats2: | 31 |
| Seats Needed2: | 34 |
| Party3: | Scottish Labour |
| Leader Since3: | 27 February 2021 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Glasgow |
| Last Election3: | 22 seats |
| Seats Before3: | 22 |
| Current Seats3: | 22 |
| Seats Needed3: | 43 |
| Party4: | Scottish Greens |
| Leader Since4: | 1 August 2019 (Slater) / 22 November 2008 (Harvie) |
| Leaders Seat4: | Lothian (Slater) / Glasgow (Harvie) |
| Last Election4: | 8 seats |
| Seats Before4: | 7 |
| Current Seats4: | 7 |
| Seats Needed4: | 58 |
| Party5: | Scottish Liberal Democrats |
| Leader Since5: | 20 August 2021 |
| Leaders Seat5: | Edinburgh Western |
| Last Election5: | 4 seats |
| Seats Before5: | 4 |
| Current Seats5: | 4 |
| Seats Needed5: | 61 |
| Party6: | Alba Party |
| Leader Since6: | 26 March 2021 |
| Leaders Seat6: | None |
| Last Election6: | 0 seats |
| Seats Before6: | 1 |
| Current Seats6: | 1 |
| Seats Needed6: | 64 |
| Map Size: | 450px |
| First Minister | |
| Before Election: | John Swinney |
| Before Party: | Scottish National Party |
The next Scottish Parliament election is expected to be held on Thursday 7 May 2026, to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It will be the seventh general election since the parliament was restablished in 1999.
Six parties have MSPs in the sixth parliament: Scottish National Party (SNP) led by First Minister John Swinney, the Scottish Conservatives led by Douglas Ross, Scottish Labour led by Anas Sarwar, the Scottish Greens, led by their co-leaders Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater, and the Scottish Liberal Democrats, led by Alex Cole-Hamilton. Of these parties, two have changed their leaders since the last Scottish Parliament election in 2021. Alba also have one MSP following a defection from the SNP.
Under the Scottish Elections (Reform) Act 2020, an ordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament would normally be held on the first Thursday in May five years after the 2021 election, i.e. on Thursday the 7th of May 2026.[1] This Act superseded the Scotland Act 1998, which had set elections in every fourth year.[2]
The date of the poll may be varied by up to one month either way by the monarch, on the proposal of the Presiding Officer, making the 4th of June 2026 the latest possible date for this election, assuming the convention of holding elections on a Thursday stands.[2]
If Parliament itself resolves that it should be dissolved, with at least two-thirds of the Members (i.e. 86 Members) voting in favour, the Presiding Officer proposes a date for an extraordinary general election and the Parliament is dissolved by the monarch by royal proclamation.
It does not necessarily require a two-thirds majority to precipitate an extraordinary general election, because under the Scotland Act Parliament is also dissolved if it fails to nominate one of its members to be First Minister within certain time limits, irrespective of whether at the beginning or in the middle of a parliamentary term. Therefore, if the First Minister resigned, Parliament would then have 28 days to elect a successor (s46(2)b and s46(3)a). If no new First Minister was elected then the Presiding Officer would ask for Parliament to be dissolved under s3(1)a. This process could also be triggered if the First Minister lost a vote of confidence by a simple majority (i.e. more than 50%), as they must then resign (Scotland Act 1998 s45(2)).
No extraordinary general elections have been held to date. Any extraordinary general elections would be in addition to ordinary general elections, unless held less than six months before the due date of an ordinary general election, in which case they supplant it. The subsequent ordinary general election reverts to the first Thursday in May, five years after the previous ordinary election.[1] [3]
The independent MP Angus MacNeil has called for an early election, and to use it as a de facto second Scottish independence referendum.[4] [5]
See main article: List of Scottish Parliament constituencies and electoral regions (2011–present). The total number of Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) elected to the Parliament is 129.
The First Periodical Review of the Scottish Parliament's constituencies and regions by the Boundary Commission for Scotland, was announced on 3 July 2007. The Commission published its provisional proposals for the regional boundaries in 2009.
The Scottish Parliament uses an additional member system (AMS), designed to produce approximate proportional representation for each region. There are 8 regions, each sub-divided into smaller constituencies. There are a total of 73 constituencies. Each constituency elects one MSP by the plurality (first past the post) system of election. Each region elects 7 additional MSPs using an additional member system. A modified D'Hondt method, using the constituency results, is used to elect these additional MSPs.[6] [7]
The Scottish Parliament constituencies have not been coterminous with Scottish Westminster constituencies since the 2005 general election, when the 72 former UK Parliament constituencies were replaced with a new set of 59, generally larger, constituencies (see Scottish Parliament (Constituencies) Act 2004). The boundaries used for the Scottish Parliament elections were then revised for the 2011 election. The Boundary Commission also recommended changes to the electoral regions used to elect "list" members of the Scottish Parliament,[8] which were also implemented in 2011.
The Second Review of constituency and regional boundaries began in September 2022 and is due to be completed by May 2025, with the view of being used in the next election in 2026.[9] [10]
Below are listed all the constituencies which require a swing of less than 5% from the 2021 results to change hands. The Scottish Greens do not have any constituencies where they require a swing of less than 5% (having gained their current seats from the regional list vote). The 7.55% swing the Scottish Greens need to gain Glasgow Kelvin is their nearest opportunity in terms of a constituency seat, in which the party finished second in the last Scottish Parliament election behind the SNP.
| Rank | Constituency | Swing to gain | SNP place 2021 | Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dumbarton | 1.93 | 2nd | |||
| 2 | Eastwood | 2.60 | 2nd | |||
| 3 | Shetland | 3.38 | 2nd | |||
| 4 | 3.55 | 2nd | ||||
| 5 | Edinburgh Southern | 4.43 | 2nd | |||
| 6 | Aberdeenshire West | 4.81 | 2nd | |||
| 7 | Dumfriesshire | 4.98 | 2nd | |||
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2021 | Swing to gain | Con place 2021 | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 0.20 | 2nd | |||
| 2 | Banffshire and Buchan Coast | 1.18 | 2nd | |||
| 3 | Aberdeen South and North Kincardine | 2.15 | 2nd | |||
| 4 | Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | 2.22 | 2nd | |||
| 5 | Aberdeenshire East | 2.31 | 2nd | |||
| 6 | Moray | 3.87 | 2nd | |||
| 7 | Angus North and Mearns | 4.98 | 2nd | |||
| Seat | First elected | Party | Date announced | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow Shettleston | 2011 | SNP | [11] | |||
| Glasgow Cathcart | 2011 | SNP | [12] | |||
See main article: Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election.