Mortality forecasting explained

Mortality forecasting refers to the art and science of determining likely future mortality rates.^[1] It is especially important in rich countries with a high proportion of aged people, since populations with lower mortality accumulate more pensions.^[2]

See also

• Lee-Carter model
• Life expectancy
• Actuarial science

Notes and References

1. Rabbi . Ahbab Mohammad Fazle . Mazzuco . Stefano . 2020-04-08 . Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity . European Journal of Population = Revue Européenne de Démographie . 37 . 1 . 97–120 . 10.1007/s10680-020-09559-9 . 0168-6577 . 7865054 . 33603592.
2. Shi . Jiaxin . Kolk . Martin . How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data . Demography . 1 October 2022 . 59 . 5 . 1843–1871 . 10.1215/00703370-10218779 . 36129209 . 6 February 2024.