Later-no-harm criterion explained

Comply?
PluralityYes
Two-round systemYes
Partisan primaryYes
Instant-runoff votingYes
Minimax OppositionYes
DSCYes
Anti-pluralityYes
ApprovalN/A
BordaNo
DodgsonNo
CopelandNo
Kemeny–YoungNo
Ranked PairsNo
SchulzeNo
ScoreNo
Majority judgmentNo

Later-no-harm is a property of some ranked-choice voting systems, first described by Douglas Woodall. In later-no-harm systems, increasing the rating or rank of a candidate ranked below the winner of an election cannot cause a higher-ranked candidate to lose.

For example, say a group of voters ranks Alice 2nd and Bob 6th, and Alice wins the election. In the next election, Bob focuses on expanding his appeal with this group of voters, but does not manage to defeat Alice—Bob's rating increases from 6th-place to 3rd. Later-no-harm says that this increased support from Alice's voters should not allow Bob to win.

Later-no-harm is a defining characteristic of first-preference plurality (FPP), instant-runoff voting (IRV), and descending solid coalitions (DSC); all three systems have similar mechanics, in that they are based only on counting the number of first-place votes for uneliminated candidates. In later-no-harm systems, the results either do not depend on lower preferences at all (as in plurality) or only depend on them if all higher preferences have been eliminated (as in IRV and DSC).[1] [2] This tends to favor candidates with strong (but narrow) support over candidates closer to the center of public opinion, which can lead to a phenomenon known as center-squeeze.[3] [4] [5] Rated and Condorcet methods, by contrast, tend to select candidates whose ideology is a closer match to that of the median voter. This has led many social choice theorists to question whether the property is desirable in the first place or should instead be seen as a negative property.[6] [7]

Later-no-harm is often confused with resistance to a kind of strategic voting called strategic truncation or bullet voting.[8] However, satisfying later-no-harm does not provide resistance to such strategies. Systems like instant runoff that pass later-no-harm but fail monotonicity still incentivize truncation or bullet voting in some situations.[9] [10] [11]

Later-no-harm methods

The plurality vote, two-round system, instant-runoff voting, and descending solid coalitions satisfy the later-no-harm criterion. First-preference plurality satisfies later-no-harm trivially, by ignoring every preference after the first.

Non-LNH methods

Nearly all voting methods other than first-past-the-post do not pass LNH, including score voting, highest medians, Borda count, and all Condorcet methods. The Condorcet criterion is incompatible with later-no-harm (assuming the resolvability criterion, i.e. any tie can be removed by a single voter changing their rating).[12]

Bloc voting, which allows a voter to select multiple candidates, does not satisfy later-no-harm when used to fill two or more seats in a single district, although the single non-transferable vote does.

Examples

Anti-plurality

See main article: Anti-plurality voting.

Anti-plurality elects the candidate the fewest voters rank last when submitting a complete ranking of the candidates.

Later-No-Harm can be considered not applicable to Anti-Plurality if the method is assumed to not accept truncated preference listings from the voter. On the other hand, Later-No-Harm can be applied to Anti-Plurality if the method is assumed to apportion the last place vote among unlisted candidates equally, as shown in the example below.

Borda count

See main article: Borda count.

Copeland

See main article: Copeland's method.

Schulze method

See main article: Schulze method.

Criticism

Douglas Woodall writes:

See also

References

Notes and References

  1. Lewyn . Michael . 2012 . Two Cheers for Instant Runoff Voting . 6 Phoenix L. Rev. . en . Rochester, NY . 117 . third place Candidate C is a centrist who is in fact the second choice of Candidate A’s left-wing supporters and Candidate B’s right-wing supporters. ... In such a situation, Candidate C would prevail over both Candidates A ... and B ... in a one-on-one runoff election. Yet, Candidate C would not prevail under IRV because he or she finished third and thus would be the first candidate eliminated .
  2. Stensholt . Eivind . 2015-10-07 . What Happened in Burlington? . Discussion Papers . en . 13 . There is a Condorcet ranking according to distance from the center, but Condorcet winner M, the most central candidate, was squeezed between the two others, got the smallest primary support, and was eliminated..
  3. Hillinger . Claude . 2005 . The Case for Utilitarian Voting . SSRN Electronic Journal . 10.2139/ssrn.732285 . 1556-5068 . 12873115 . 2022-05-27.
  4. Merrill . Samuel . 1984 . A Comparison of Efficiency of Multicandidate Electoral Systems . American Journal of Political Science . 28 . 1 . 23 . 10.2307/2110786 . 0092-5853 . However, squeezed by surrounding opponents, a centrist candidate may receive few first-place votes and be eliminated under Hare. .
  5. Merrill . Samuel . 1985 . A statistical model for Condorcet efficiency based on simulation under spatial model assumptions . Public Choice . 47 . 2 . 389–403 . 10.1007/bf00127534 . 0048-5829 . the 'squeeze effect' that tends to reduce Condorcet efficiency if the relative dispersion (RD) of candidates is low. This effect is particularly strong for the plurality, runoff, and Hare systems, for which the garnering of first-place votes in a large field is essential to winning .
  6. Web site: Later-No-Harm Criterion . 2024-02-02 . The Center for Election Science . en-US.
  7. Woodall, Douglas, Properties of Preferential Election Rules, Voting matters - Issue 3, December 1994
  8. Web site: The Non-majority Rule Desk . July 29, 2011 . Why Approval Voting is Unworkable in Contested Elections - FairVote . 11 October 2016 . FairVote Blog.
  9. Graham-Squire . Adam . McCune . David . 2023-06-12 . An Examination of Ranked-Choice Voting in the United States, 2004–2022 . Representation . en . 1–19 . 2301.12075 . 10.1080/00344893.2023.2221689 . 0034-4893.
  10. Brams, Steven. "The AMS nomination procedure is vulnerable to ‘truncation of preferences’." Notices of the American Mathematical Society 29 (1982): 136-138.
  11. Fishburn . Peter C. . Brams . Steven J. . 1984-01-01 . Manipulability of voting by sincere truncation of preferences . Public Choice . en . 44 . 3 . 397–410 . 10.1007/BF00119689 . 1573-7101.
  12. Douglas Woodall (1997): Monotonicity of Single-Seat Election Rules, Theorem 2 (b)