Kriging Explained

In statistics, originally in geostatistics, kriging or Kriging, also known as Gaussian process regression, is a method of interpolation based on Gaussian process governed by prior covariances. Under suitable assumptions of the prior, kriging gives the best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) at unsampled locations.[1] Interpolating methods based on other criteria such as smoothness (e.g., smoothing spline) may not yield the BLUP. The method is widely used in the domain of spatial analysis and computer experiments. The technique is also known as Wiener–Kolmogorov prediction, after Norbert Wiener and Andrey Kolmogorov.

The theoretical basis for the method was developed by the French mathematician Georges Matheron in 1960, based on the master's thesis of Danie G. Krige, the pioneering plotter of distance-weighted average gold grades at the Witwatersrand reef complex in South Africa. Krige sought to estimate the most likely distribution of gold based on samples from a few boreholes. The English verb is to krige, and the most common noun is kriging. The word is sometimes capitalized as Kriging in the literature.

Though computationally intensive in its basic formulation, kriging can be scaled to larger problems using various approximation methods.

Main principles

Related terms and techniques

Kriging predicts the value of a function at a given point by computing a weighted average of the known values of the function in the neighborhood of the point. The method is closely related to regression analysis. Both theories derive a best linear unbiased estimator based on assumptions on covariances, make use of Gauss–Markov theorem to prove independence of the estimate and error, and use very similar formulae. Even so, they are useful in different frameworks: kriging is made for estimation of a single realization of a random field, while regression models are based on multiple observations of a multivariate data set.

The kriging estimation may also be seen as a spline in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, with the reproducing kernel given by the covariance function.[2] The difference with the classical kriging approach is provided by the interpretation: while the spline is motivated by a minimum-norm interpolation based on a Hilbert-space structure, kriging is motivated by an expected squared prediction error based on a stochastic model.

Kriging with polynomial trend surfaces is mathematically identical to generalized least squares polynomial curve fitting.

Kriging can also be understood as a form of Bayesian optimization.[3] Kriging starts with a prior distribution over functions. This prior takes the form of a Gaussian process:

N

samples from a function will be normally distributed, where the covariance between any two samples is the covariance function (or kernel) of the Gaussian process evaluated at the spatial location of two points. A set of values is then observed, each value associated with a spatial location. Now, a new value can be predicted at any new spatial location by combining the Gaussian prior with a Gaussian likelihood function for each of the observed values. The resulting posterior distribution is also Gaussian, with a mean and covariance that can be simply computed from the observed values, their variance, and the kernel matrix derived from the prior.

Geostatistical estimator

In geostatistical models, sampled data are interpreted as the result of a random process. The fact that these models incorporate uncertainty in their conceptualization doesn't mean that the phenomenon – the forest, the aquifer, the mineral deposit – has resulted from a random process, but rather it allows one to build a methodological basis for the spatial inference of quantities in unobserved locations and to quantify the uncertainty associated with the estimator.

A stochastic process is, in the context of this model, simply a way to approach the set of data collected from the samples. The first step in geostatistical modulation is to create a random process that best describes the set of observed data.

A value from location

x1

(generic denomination of a set of geographic coordinates) is interpreted as a realization

z(x1)

of the random variable

Z(x1)

. In the space

A

, where the set of samples is dispersed, there are

N

realizations of the random variables

Z(x1),Z(x2),\ldots,Z(xN)

, correlated between themselves.

The set of random variables constitutes a random function, of which only one realization is known – the set

z(xi)

of observed data. With only one realization of each random variable, it's theoretically impossible to determine any statistical parameter of the individual variables or the function. The proposed solution in the geostatistical formalism consists in assuming various degrees of stationarity in the random function, in order to make the inference of some statistic values possible.

For instance, if one assumes, based on the homogeneity of samples in area

A

where the variable is distributed, the hypothesis that the first moment is stationary (i.e. all random variables have the same mean), then one is assuming that the mean can be estimated by the arithmetic mean of sampled values.

The hypothesis of stationarity related to the second moment is defined in the following way: the correlation between two random variables solely depends on the spatial distance between them and is independent of their location. Thus if

h=x2-x1

and

|h|=h

, then:

C(Z(x1),Z(x2))=C(Z(xi),Z(xi+h))=C(h),

\gamma(Z(x1),Z(x2))=\gamma(Z(xi),Z(xi+h))=\gamma(h).

For simplicity, we define

C(xi,xj)=C(Z(xi),Z(xj))

and

\gamma(xi,xj)=\gamma(Z(xi),Z(xj))

.

This hypothesis allows one to infer those two measures – the variogram and the covariogram:

\gamma(h)=

1
2|N(h)|

\sum(i,j)\in(Z(xi)-

2,
Z(x
j))

C(h)=

1
|N(h)|

\sum(i,j)\in(Z(xi)-m(h))(Z(xj)-m(h)),

where:

m(h)=

1
2|N(h)|

\sum(i,j)\inZ(xi)+Z(xj)

;

N(h)

denotes the set of pairs of observations

i,j

such that

|xi-xj|=h

, and

|N(h)|

is the number of pairs in the set.In this set,

(i,j)

and

(j,i)

denote the same element. Generally an "approximate distance"

h

is used, implemented using a certain tolerance.

Linear estimation

Spatial inference, or estimation, of a quantity

Z\colonRn\toR

, at an unobserved location

x0

, is calculated from a linear combination of the observed values

zi=Z(xi)

and weights

wi(x0),i=1,\ldots,N

:

\hat{Z}(x0)= \begin{bmatrix} w1&w2&&wN \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} z1\\ z2\\ \vdots\\ zN \end{bmatrix}=

N
\sum
i=1

wi(x0)Z(xi).

The weights

wi

are intended to summarize two extremely important procedures in a spatial inference process:

x0

;

When calculating the weights

wi

, there are two objectives in the geostatistical formalism: unbias and minimal variance of estimation.

If the cloud of real values

Z(x0)

is plotted against the estimated values

\hat{Z}(x0)

, the criterion for global unbias, intrinsic stationarity or wide sense stationarity of the field, implies that the mean of the estimations must be equal to mean of the real values.

The second criterion says that the mean of the squared deviations

(\hat{Z}(x)-Z(x))

must be minimal, which means that when the cloud of estimated values versus the cloud real values is more disperse, the estimator is more imprecise.

Methods

Depending on the stochastic properties of the random field and the various degrees of stationarity assumed, different methods for calculating the weights can be deduced, i.e. different types of kriging apply. Classical methods are:

x0

.

E\{Z(x)\}=E\{Z(x0)\}=m

, where

m

is the known mean.

styleE\{Z(x)\}=

p
\sum
k=0

\betakfk(x)

.

E\{Z(x)\}

to be an unknown polynomial in

x

.

\{(yi,xi,si)

n
\}
i=1
, where

yi=(yi1,yi2,,

y
iTi

)\top

is a time series data over

Ti

period,

xi=(xi1,xi2,,xip)\top

is a vector of

p

covariates, and

si=(si1,si2)\top

is a spatial location (longitude, latitude) of the

i

-th subject.

Ordinary kriging

The unknown value

Z(x0)

is interpreted as a random variable located in

x0

, as well as the values of neighbors samples

Z(xi),i=1,\ldots,N

. The estimator

\hat{Z}(x0)

is also interpreted as a random variable located in

x0

, a result of the linear combination of variables.

Kriging seeks to minimize the mean square value of the following error in estimating

Z(x0)

, subject to lack of bias:

\epsilon(x0)=\hat{Z}(x0)-Z(x0)= \begin{bmatrix} WT&-1 \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} Z(x1)&&Z(xN)&Z(x0) \end{bmatrix}T=

N
\sum
i=1

wi(x0) x Z(xi)-Z(x0).

The two quality criteria referred to previously can now be expressed in terms of the mean and variance of the new random variable

\epsilon(x0)

:
Lack of bias

Since the random function is stationary,

E[Z(xi)]=E[Z(x0)]=m

, the weights must sum to 1 in order to ensure that the model is unbiased. This can be seen as follows:

E[\epsilon(x0)]=0\Leftrightarrow

N
\sum
i=1

wi(x0) x E[Z(xi)]-E[Z(x0)]=0

\Leftrightarrowm

N
\sum
i=1

wi(x0)-m=0\Leftrightarrow

N
\sum
i=1

wi(x0)=1\Leftrightarrow1TW=1.

Minimum variance

Two estimators can have

E[\epsilon(x0)]=0

, but the dispersion around their mean determines the difference between the quality of estimators. To find an estimator with minimum variance, we need to minimize
2]
E[\epsilon(x
0)
.

\begin{align} \operatorname{Var}(\epsilon(x0))&=\operatorname{Var}\left(\begin{bmatrix}WT&-1\end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix}Z(x1)&&Z(xN)&Z(x0)\end{bmatrix}T\right)\\ &=\begin{bmatrix}WT&-1\end{bmatrix} \operatorname{Var}\left(\begin{bmatrix}Z(x1)&&Z(xN)&Z(x0)\end{bmatrix}T\right) \begin{bmatrix}W\ -1\end{bmatrix}. \end{align}

See covariance matrix for a detailed explanation.

\operatorname{Var}(\epsilon(x0))=\begin{bmatrix}WT&-1\end{bmatrix}\begin{bmatrix}

\operatorname{Var}
xi

&

\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

\\

T
\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

&

\operatorname{Var}
x0

\end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix}W\ -1\end{bmatrix},

where the literals

\left\{\operatorname{Var}
xi

,

\operatorname{Var}
x0

,

\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

\right\}

stand for

\left\{\operatorname{Var}\left(\begin{bmatrix}Z(x1)&&Z(xN)\end{bmatrix}T\right), \operatorname{Var}(Z(x0)), \operatorname{Cov}\left(\begin{bmatrix}Z(x1)&&Z(xN)\end{bmatrix}T, Z(x0)\right)\right\}.

Once defined the covariance model or variogram,

C(h)

or

\gamma(h)

, valid in all field of analysis of

Z(x)

, then we can write an expression for the estimation variance of any estimator in function of the covariance between the samples and the covariances between the samples and the point to estimate:

\begin{cases} \operatorname{Var}(\epsilon(x0))= WT

\operatorname{Var}
xi

W-

T
\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

W- WT

\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

+

\operatorname{Var}
x0

,\\ \operatorname{Var}(\epsilon(x0))= \operatorname{Cov}(0)+ \sumi\sumjwiwj\operatorname{Cov}(xi,xj)- 2\sumiwiC(xi,x0). \end{cases}

Some conclusions can be asserted from this expression. The variance of estimation:

x0

, the estimation becomes worse;

C(0)

of the variable

Z(x)

; when the variable is less disperse, the variance is lower in any point of the area

A

;

A

; this way, the variance does not measure the uncertainty of estimation produced by the local variable.
System of equations

W=\underset{1TW=1}{\operatorname{argmin}}\left(WT

\operatorname{Var}
xi

W-

T
\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

W-WT

\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

+

\operatorname{Var}
x0

\right).

Solving this optimization problem (see Lagrange multipliers) results in the kriging system:

\begin{bmatrix}\hat{W}\\\mu\end{bmatrix}=

\begin{bmatrix} \operatorname{Var}
xi

&1\\ 1T&0 \end{bmatrix}-1\begin{bmatrix}

\operatorname{Cov}
xix0

\ 1\end{bmatrix}=\begin{bmatrix} \gamma(x1,x1)&&\gamma(x1,xn)&1\\ \vdots&\ddots&\vdots&\vdots\\ \gamma(xn,x1)&&\gamma(xn,xn)&1\\ 1&&1&0\end{bmatrix}-1

*)
\begin{bmatrix}\gamma(x
1,x

\\vdots

*)
\\gamma(x
n,x

\ 1\end{bmatrix}.

The additional parameter

\mu

is a Lagrange multiplier used in the minimization of the kriging error
2(x)
\sigma
k
to honor the unbiasedness condition.

Simple kriging

Simple kriging is mathematically the simplest, but the least general.[9] It assumes the expectation of the random field is known and relies on a covariance function. However, in most applications neither the expectation nor the covariance are known beforehand.

The practical assumptions for the application of simple kriging are:

\mu(x)=0

.

c(x,y)=\operatorname{Cov}(Z(x),Z(y))

.The covariance function is a crucial design choice, since it stipulates the properties of the Gaussian process and thereby the behaviour of the model. The covariance function encodes information about, for instance, smoothness and periodicity, which is reflected in the estimate produced. A very common covariance function is the squared exponential, which heavily favours smooth function estimates.[10] For this reason, it can produce poor estimates in many real-world applications, especially when the true underlying function contains discontinuities and rapid changes.
System of equationsThe kriging weights of simple kriging have no unbiasedness condition and are given by the simple kriging equation system:

\begin{pmatrix}w1\\vdots\wn\end{pmatrix}= \begin{pmatrix} c(x1,x1)&&c(x1,xn)\\ \vdots&\ddots&\vdots\\ c(xn,x1)&&c(xn,xn)\end{pmatrix}-1\begin{pmatrix}c(x1,x0)\\vdots\c(xn,x0)\end{pmatrix}.

This is analogous to a linear regression of

Z(x0)

on the other

z1,\ldots,zn

.
EstimationThe interpolation by simple kriging is given by

\hat{Z}(x0)= \begin{pmatrix}z1\\vdots\zn\end{pmatrix}' \begin{pmatrix} c(x1,x1)&&c(x1,xn)\\ \vdots&\ddots&\vdots\\ c(xn,x1)&&c(xn,xn) \end{pmatrix}-1\begin{pmatrix}c(x1,x0)\\vdots\c(xn,x0)\end{pmatrix}.

The kriging error is given by

\operatorname{Var}(\hat{Z}(x0)-Z(x0))= \underbrace{c(x0,x0)}\operatorname{Var(Z(x0))}- \underbrace{\begin{pmatrix}c(x1,x0)\\vdots\c(xn,x0)\end{pmatrix}' \begin{pmatrix} c(x1,x1)&&c(x1,xn)\\ \vdots&\ddots&\vdots\\ c(xn,x1)&&c(xn,xn)\end{pmatrix}-1\begin{pmatrix}c(x1,x0)\\vdots\c(xn,x0)\end{pmatrix}}\operatorname{Var(\hat{Z}(x0))},

which leads to the generalised least-squares version of the Gauss–Markov theorem (Chiles & Delfiner 1999, p. 159):

\operatorname{Var}(Z(x0))=\operatorname{Var}(\hat{Z}(x0))+\operatorname{Var}(\hat{Z}(x0)-Z(x0)).

Bayesian kriging

See also Bayesian Polynomial Chaos

Properties

E[\hat{Z}(xi)]=E[Z(xi)]

.

\hat{Z}(xi)=Z(xi)

(assuming no measurement error is incurred).

\hat{Z}(x)

is the best linear unbiased estimator of

Z(x)

if the assumptions hold. However (e.g. Cressie 1993):[11]
2
\sigma
k
as a measure of precision. However, this measure relies on the correctness of the variogram.

Applications

Although kriging was developed originally for applications in geostatistics, it is a general method of statistical interpolation and can be applied within any discipline to sampled data from random fields that satisfy the appropriate mathematical assumptions. It can be used where spatially related data has been collected (in 2-D or 3-D) and estimates of "fill-in" data are desired in the locations (spatial gaps) between the actual measurements.

To date kriging has been used in a variety of disciplines, including the following:

Design and analysis of computer experiments

Another very important and rapidly growing field of application, in engineering, is the interpolation of data coming out as response variables of deterministic computer simulations,[28] e.g. finite element method (FEM) simulations. In this case, kriging is used as a metamodeling tool, i.e. a black-box model built over a designed set of computer experiments. In many practical engineering problems, such as the design of a metal forming process, a single FEM simulation might be several hours or even a few days long. It is therefore more efficient to design and run a limited number of computer simulations, and then use a kriging interpolator to rapidly predict the response in any other design point. Kriging is therefore used very often as a so-called surrogate model, implemented inside optimization routines.[29]

See also

Further reading

Historical references

  1. Book: Chilès . Jean-Paul . Desassis . Nicolas . 589–612 . Handbook of Mathematical Geosciences . Fifty Years of Kriging . Springer International Publishing . Cham . 2018 . 978-3-319-78998-9 . 10.1007/978-3-319-78999-6_29 . 125362741 .
  2. Agterberg, F. P., Geomathematics, Mathematical Background and Geo-Science Applications, Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company, Amsterdam, 1974.
  3. Cressie, N. A. C., The origins of kriging, Mathematical Geology, v. 22, pp. 239–252, 1990.
  4. Krige, D. G., A statistical approach to some mine valuations and allied problems at the Witwatersrand, Master's thesis of the University of Witwatersrand, 1951.
  5. Link, R. F. and Koch, G. S., Experimental Designs and Trend-Surface Analsysis, Geostatistics, A colloquium, Plenum Press, New York, 1970.
  6. Matheron, G., "Principles of geostatistics", Economic Geology, 58, pp. 1246–1266, 1963.
  7. Matheron, G., "The intrinsic random functions, and their applications", Adv. Appl. Prob., 5, pp. 439–468, 1973.
  8. Merriam, D. F. (editor), Geostatistics, a colloquium, Plenum Press, New York, 1970.

Books

Notes and References

  1. Book: Chung . Sang Yong . Venkatramanan . S. . Elzain . Hussam Eldin . Selvam . S. . Prasanna . M. V. . GIS and Geostatistical Techniques for Groundwater Science . Supplement of Missing Data in Groundwater-Level Variations of Peak Type Using Geostatistical Methods . Elsevier . 2019 . 978-0-12-815413-7 . 10.1016/b978-0-12-815413-7.00004-3 . 33–41. 189989265 .
  2. Book: Wahba, Grace . Spline Models for Observational Data . SIAM . 59 . 1990 . 10.1137/1.9781611970128 . 978-0-89871-244-5 .
  3. Book: Williams . C. K. I. . Prediction with Gaussian Processes: From Linear Regression to Linear Prediction and Beyond . 10.1007/978-94-011-5014-9_23 . Learning in Graphical Models . 599–621 . 1998 . 978-94-010-6104-9.
  4. Lee . Se Yoon . Bani . Mallick . Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling: Application Towards Production Results in the Eagle Ford Shale of South Texas . Sankhya B . 2021 . 84 . 1–43 . 10.1007/s13571-020-00245-8 . free.
  5. Le Gratiet. Loic. Garnier. Josselin. Recursive Co-Kriging Model for Design of Computer Experiments with Multiple Levels of Fidelity. 2014. International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification. en. 4. 5. 365–386. 10.1615/Int.J.UncertaintyQuantification.2014006914. 14157948. 2152-5080. free.
  6. Ranftl. Sascha. Melito. Gian Marco. Badeli. Vahid. Reinbacher-Köstinger. Alice. Ellermann. Katrin. Linden. Wolfgang von der. 2019-12-09. On the Diagnosis of Aortic Dissection with Impedance Cardiography: A Bayesian Feasibility Study Framework with Multi-Fidelity Simulation Data. Proceedings. 33. 1. 24. 10.3390/proceedings2019033024. 2504-3900. free.
  7. Ranftl. Sascha. Melito. Gian Marco. Badeli. Vahid. Reinbacher-Köstinger. Alice. Ellermann. Katrin. von der Linden. Wolfgang. 2019-12-31. Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification with Multi-Fidelity Data and Gaussian Processes for Impedance Cardiography of Aortic Dissection. Entropy. 22. 1. 58. 10.3390/e22010058. 1099-4300. 7516489. 33285833. 2019Entrp..22...58R. free.
  8. Ranftl. Sascha. von der Linden. Wolfgang. 2021-11-13. Bayesian Surrogate Analysis and Uncertainty Propagation. Physical Sciences Forum. 3. 1. 6. 10.3390/psf2021003006. 2101.04038. 2673-9984. free.
  9. Book: Olea, Ricardo A. . 1999 . Geostatistics for Engineers and Earth Scientists . Kluwer Academic . 978-1-4615-5001-3.
  10. Book: Rasmussen . Carl Edward . Williams . Christopher K. I. . 2005-11-23 . Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning . en . 10.7551/mitpress/3206.001.0001. 978-0-262-25683-4 .
  11. Cressie 1993, Chiles&Delfiner 1999, Wackernagel 1995.
  12. Bayraktar . Hanefi . Sezer . Turalioglu . 2005 . A Kriging-based approach for locating a sampling site—in the assessment of air quality . SERRA . 19 . 4. 301–305 . 10.1007/s00477-005-0234-8 . 2005SERRA..19..301B . 122643497 .
  13. Chiles, J.-P. and P. Delfiner (1999) Geostatistics, Modeling Spatial Uncertainty, Wiley Series in Probability and statistics.
  14. Zimmerman . D. A. . De Marsily . G. . Gotway . C. A. . Carol A. Gotway Crawford . Marietta . M. G. . Axness . C. L. . Beauheim . R. L. . Bras . R. L. . Carrera . J. . Dagan . G. . Davies . P. B. . Gallegos . D. P. . Galli . A. . Gómez-Hernández . J. . Grindrod . P. . Gutjahr . A. L. . Kitanidis . P. K. . Lavenue . A. M. . McLaughlin . D. . Neuman . S. P. . Ramarao . B. S. . Ravenne . C. . Rubin . Y. . 10.1029/98WR00003 . A comparison of seven geostatistically based inverse approaches to estimate transmissivities for modeling advective transport by groundwater flow . Water Resources Research . 34 . 6 . 1373–1413 . 1998 . 1998WRR....34.1373Z. free .
  15. Tonkin . M. J. . Larson . S. P. . 10.1111/j.1745-6584.2002.tb02503.x . Kriging Water Levels with a Regional-Linear and Point-Logarithmic Drift . Ground Water . 40 . 2 . 185–193 . 2002 . 11916123. 2002GrWat..40..185T . 23008603 .
  16. Book: Journel . A. G. . C. J. . Huijbregts . 1978 . Mining Geostatistics . Academic Press . London . 0-12-391050-1 .
  17. Richmond . A. . Mathematical Geology. Financially Efficient Ore Selections Incorporating Grade Uncertainty. 35 . 2 . 195–215 . 10.1023/A:1023239606028 . 2003 . 116703619 .
  18. Goovaerts (1997) Geostatistics for natural resource evaluation, OUP.
  19. Emery . X. . Simple and Ordinary Multigaussian Kriging for Estimating Recoverable Reserves . 10.1007/s11004-005-1560-6 . Mathematical Geology. 37 . 3 . 295–319 . 2005 . 2005MatGe..37..295E . 92993524 .
  20. Book: Papritz . A. . Stein . A. . Spatial prediction by linear kriging . 10.1007/0-306-47647-9_6 . Spatial Statistics for Remote Sensing . Remote Sensing and Digital Image Processing . 1 . 83 . 2002 . 0-7923-5978-X .
  21. Web site: Barris . J. . Garcia Almirall . P. . 2010 . A density function of the appraisal value . European Real Estate Society .
  22. Oghenekarho Okobiah, Saraju Mohanty, and Elias Kougianos (2013) Geostatistical-Inspired Fast Layout Optimization of a Nano-CMOS Thermal Sensor., IET Circuits, Devices and Systems (CDS), Vol. 7, No. 5, Sep. 2013, pp. 253–262.
  23. 10.1002/jnm.803 . 25 . Accurate modeling of microwave devices using kriging-corrected space mapping surrogates . 2011 . International Journal of Numerical Modelling: Electronic Networks, Devices and Fields . 1–14 . Koziel . Slawomir. 62683207 .
  24. 10.1093/mnras/stu937 . 442 . The SLUGGS survey: exploring the metallicity gradients of nearby early-type galaxies to large radii . 2014 . Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society . 1003–1039 . Pastorello . Nicola. 2 . free . 1405.2338 . 2014MNRAS.442.1003P . 119221897 .
  25. 10.1093/mnras/stv2947 . 457 . The SLUGGS survey: stellar kinematics, kinemetry and trends at large radii in 25 early-type galaxies . 2016 . Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society . 147–171 . Foster . Caroline. Pastorello . Nicola . Roediger . Joel . Brodie . Jean . Forbes . Duncan . Kartha . Sreeja . Pota . Vincenzo . Romanowsky . Aaron . Spitler . Lee . Strader . Jay . Usher . Christopher . Arnold . Jacob . 1 . free . 1512.06130 . 2016MNRAS.457..147F . 53472235 .
  26. 10.1093/mnras/stx418 . 467 . The SLUGGS survey: using extended stellar kinematics to disentangle the formation histories of low-mass S) galaxies . 2017 . Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society . 4540–4557 . Bellstedt . Sabine . Forbes . Duncan . Foster . Caroline . Romanowsky . Aaron . Brodie . Jean . Pastorello . Nicola . Alabi . Adebusola . Villaume . Alexa. 4 . free . 1702.05099 . 2017MNRAS.467.4540B . 54521046 .
  27. Lee . Se Yoon . Bani . Mallick . Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling: Application Towards Production Results in the Eagle Ford Shale of South Texas . Sankhya B . 2021 . 84 . 1–43 . 10.1007/s13571-020-00245-8 . free.
  28. Sacks . J. . Welch . W. J. . Mitchell . T. J. . Wynn . H. P. . Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments . Statistical Science . 4 . 4 . 409–435 . 1989 . 10.1214/ss/1177012413 . 2245858. free .
  29. Strano . M. . 10.1007/s12289-008-0001-8 . A technique for FEM optimization under reliability constraint of process variables in sheet metal forming . International Journal of Material Forming . 1 . 1 . 13–20 . March 2008 . 136682565 .