Insurgency in Cabo Delgado explained

Conflict:Insurgency in Cabo Delgado
Partof:the war against the Islamic State, Islamic terrorism in Africa and the war on terror[1]
Date:5 October 2017 – present
Place:Cabo Delgado Province, Mozambique, with spillovers into Tanzania and neighboring Niassa Province[2]
Coordinates:-11.35°N 60°W
Territory:Mozambican and Rwandan troops launch counteroffensive, taking back many towns and cities
Status:Ongoing (Map of the current military situation)
Combatant1: Mozambique
Rwanda
(from 2021)[3]
Southern African Development Community (from 2021)

Private Military Companies

Combatant2: Ansar al-Sunna
Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant
----Bandits[9]
Commander1: Filipe Nyusi
Atanasio M'tumuke
Bernadino Rafael
Cyril Ramaphosa
John Magufuli
(2020–21)
Samia Suluhu
(since 2021)
Brig. Gen. Nuno Lemos Pires (Since 2021)
Commander2: Abu Yasir Hassan[10] [11]
Abdala Likongo [12]
Ibn Omar
Abu Dardai Jongo
Abdul Rahmin Faizal[13]
Abdul Remane
Abdul Raim
"Muhamudu"
Nuno Remane
"Salimo"
Abdul Aziz
Rajab Awadhi Ndanjile
Twahili Mwidini
Units1: Mozambican security forces

Private Military Contractors

Local self-defense groups
Special Air Service special forces[18]
60 Commandos (Portugal) and Portuguese Marine Corps (training support)[19]
Green Berets (training support)[20]

Units2: Various Ansar al-Sunna cells
  • Mozambican ex-policemen and ex-frontier guards[21]
  • Al-Shabaab mercenaries

ISIL

Strength1: 11,200[22]
1,495[23]
1,000
304[24]
296
60[25]
20
12[26]
200 Wagner personnel[27]
Strength2:250–350 (2024)[28]
Casualties1: Hundreds killed and hundreds wounded
12 Wagner personnel killed[29]
2 killed [30]
2 killed
4+ killed, several wounded
1 killed [31]
1 death (non-combat) [32]
Casualties2:Hundreds killed and hundreds wounded
470+ arrested
Casualties3:Total: 4,849 killed including 2,078 civilians[33]
400,000 displaced[34] [35]
Notes: 314 Mozambicans, 52 Tanzanians, 3 Ugandans, 1 Somali and 100 unknown.[36]

The insurgency in Cabo Delgado is an ongoing Islamist insurgency in Cabo Delgado Province, Mozambique, mainly fought between militant Islamists and jihadists attempting to establish an Islamic state in the region, and Mozambican security forces.[1] Civilians have been the main targets of terrorist attacks by Islamist militants.[37] The main insurgent faction is Ansar al-Sunna, a native extremist faction with tenuous international connections. From mid-2018, the Islamic State's Central Africa Province has allegedly become active in northern Mozambique as well,[38] and claimed its first attack against Mozambican security forces in June 2019.[39] In addition, bandits have exploited the rebellion to carry out raids.[9] As of 2020, the insurgency intensified, as in the first half of 2020 there were nearly as many attacks carried out as in the whole of 2019.[40]

Ansar al-Sunna (English: "Supporters of the Tradition") is similar to the name of an Iraqi Sunni insurgent group that fought against U.S. troops between 2003 and 2007. They are known locally as al-Shabaab but they are not formally related to the better known Somali al-Shabaab.[41] Some of the militants are known to speak Portuguese, the official language of Mozambique, however others speak Kimwane, the local language, and Swahili, the lingua franca language spoken north of that area in the Great Lakes region. Reports also state that members are allegedly mostly Mozambicans from Mocimboa da Praia, Palma, and Macomia districts, but also include foreign nationals from Tanzania and Somalia.[42]

Background

Ansar al-Sunna, also known by its original name Ahlu Sunnah Wa-Jamo (translated: "adepts of the prophetic tradition"), was initially an Islamic religious movement in the northern districts of Cabo Delgado[21] which first appeared around 2015. It was formed by followers of the radical Kenyan cleric Aboud Rogo, who was killed in 2012. Thereafter, some members of his movement settled down in Kibiti, Tanzania, before moving into Mozambique.

Ansar al-Sunna claims that Islam as practised in Mozambique has been corrupted and no longer follows the teachings of Muhammad. The movement's members consequently entered traditional mosques with weapons in order to threaten others to follow their own radical beliefs.[21] The movement is also anti-Christian,[43] anti-Animist, and anti-Western, and has tried to prevent people from attending hospitals or schools which it considers secular and anti-Islamic.[44] This behavior alienated much of the local population instead of converting them to Ahlu Sunnah Wa-Jamo, so that the movement's members broke away and formed their own places of worship. Over time, the group became increasingly violent: it called an extreme form of Sharia to be implemented in the country, no longer recognized the Mozambican government, and started to form hidden camps in Macomia District, Mocímboa da Praia District, and Montepuez District. There, Ansar al-Sunna militants were trained by ex-policemen, and ex-frontier guards who had been fired and held grudges against the government. The movement also contacted other Islamist militants in East Africa, and reportedly hired trainers from Somalia, Tanzania, and Kenya.[21] Some of the Ansar al-Sunna militants have also journeyed abroad to receive direct training by other militant groups.[44]

The militants are not unified, but split into different cells which do not appear to coordinate their actions.[44] By August 2018, the Mozambican police had identified six men as leaders of the militants in Cabo Delgado: Abdul Faizal, Abdul Raim, Abdul Remane, Ibn Omar, "Salimo", and Nuno Remane.[13] Ansar al-Sunna funds itself through drug trafficking (primarily heroin), contraband, and ivory trade.

While religion does play a fundamental role in the conflict, analysts believe the most important factors in the insurgency are widespread social, economic, and political problems in Mozambique. Unemployment and especially youth unemployment are considered the main causes for locals to join the Islamist rebels. Increasing inequalities have led many young people to be easily attracted by such a radical movement,[45] [21] [44] as Ansar al-Sunna promises that its form of Islam will act as "antidote" to the existing "corrupt, elitist rule".[13] Most rebels belong to the Mwani and Makwa ethnic groups that are native to Cabo Delgado; civilians belonging to these peoples have expressed sympathy for the insurgents. In general, the province lacks infrastructure and the state is underrepresented, easing the spread of the insurgency.[46]

Timeline

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Insurgency as a maritime threat

In 2011, Northern Mozambique gained much international attention when large offshore gas fields containing up to 425 billion cubic meters of gas, were discovered.[219] With the goal of becoming a major international player in the energy sector, Mozambique's government has prioritized the region's economic attractiveness and has sent its army to ensure the safety of planned investments.[220] [221] Foreign activities include a $30 billion investment of US-based company Exxon Mobil and expected $20 billion of Total Energies.[222] While Total Energies has stated that they will pause their investment to reassess the security situation in Northern Mozambique, the EU's planned reduction in Russian gas imports has made the project more likely.[223]

Terrorist activity is viewed as a risk to international LNG investment, with concerns raised about the kidnapping of foreign workers.[224] However, indigenous coastal communities and maritime facilities are also targets of violent activity: in 2021, the port town of Palma was attacked, killing dozens of civilians.[225] Maritime infrastructure has also been targeted, with the key port of Mocimboa da Praia being seized.[226]

Attacks on maritime infrastructure can be attributed to rising social inequality.[227] The exploitation of the region's natural resources, including the offshore gas fields, puts the native population at risk, as they face displacement and very little profit returns to the region due to high levels of corruption. Finding its root in the precarious economic situation and the political marginalization of the native population, local conflicts have been used to radicalize young men. [228]

Given the increase in extreme violent activities and simultaneously in military personnel, tensions are likely to rise as the region's economic exploitation continues. This also endangers the region's maritime environment. Conflicts on the land spill over to the sea, creating an unsafe environment for offshore investments.[229] Because Northern Mozambique is a major transnational drug trafficking hub, contested governance on land and sea facilitates maritime heroin smuggling.[230]

The deteriorating security situation has led to various international efforts in order to support Mozambique’s maritime capabilities and ensure safety along the coast. Russia has deployed the Wagner Group, a private security organization heavily linked to the Russian government[231]   in Northern Mozambique but failed its mission to support counter-insurgency activities and withdrew in 2020.[232] Wagner Group was allegedly aided by the Russian fleet, though this has not been officially proven.[233] Mozambique has formed an arrangement with Italy to train its navy,[234] while Portugal, the former colonial power, has donated speedboats to the country.[235] Furthermore, Mozambique and India are cooperating on marine security issues, with India assisting in the development of the country's naval infrastructure and the training of personnel.[236] In addition, South Africa has dispatched naval patrol vessels, and Rwanda has increased its presence along the coast.[237] Currently, the UNODC is assisting Mozambique's naval capabilities by training the country's Navy, Maritime Authority, and maritime law enforcement officers, thereby improving domain awareness and port security.[238] However, mere capability training for law enforcement authorities is controversial, as corruption, power abuse and involvement in illicit economies is high in Mozambique’s state authorities.[239] [240]

Limits on media freedom

There is a lack of access to reliable information in the region due to journalists being intimidated by government and military personnel. On 5 January 2019, Mozambican authorities unlawfully detained journalist Amade Abubacar, who had reported on the insurgency. He was subsequently subjected to torture, and only released on bail after 107 days in detention.[241]

War crimes

The rebels have committed extensive war crimes, targeting and murdering civilians on many occasions during the insurgency.[242]

In addition, Mozambican security forces were reportedly filmed as they tortured and murdered captured rebel fighters. Amnesty International said that the videos were genuine, while Mozambique's defense ministry spokesperson Omar Saranga argued that they were probably produced by the rebels themselves, using captured uniforms to produce propaganda against the government.[243]

See also

References

Works cited

Further reading

Notes and References

  1. Lister . Tim . April–May 2021 . The March 2021 Palma Attack and the Evolving Jihadi Terror Threat to Mozambique . live . Cruickshank . Paul . Hummel . Kristina . . 14 . 4 . 19–27 . . . https://web.archive.org/web/20210428055655/https://ctc.usma.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/CTC-SENTINEL-042021.pdf . 28 April 2021 . 1 December 2021.
  2. News: Winning Peace in Mozambique's Embattled North . 10 February 2022 .
  3. Web site: Rwanda Sends 1,000 Soldiers, Police to Fight Mozambique Militants | Voice of America – English. www.voanews.com. 9 July 2021 .
  4. News: JSCD updated on Op Vikela, South Africa's commitment to SADC Mission in Mozambique . defenceWeb . 6 August 2021 . en-ZA.
  5. https://www.voanews.com/africa/botswana-sends-nearly-300-troops-mozambique Botswana Sends Nearly 300 Troops to Mozambique
  6. News: Mocimboa da Praia: Key Mozambique port 'seized by IS'. BBC News. 12 Aug 2020. 15 September 2020.
  7. Web site: Malawi Set to Send Troops to Fight Islamists in Mozambique Mid-Month. Nyasa Times. Reporter. 4 December 2020. allAfrica.com.
  8. https://www.defenceweb.co.za/sa-defence/sa-defence-sa-defence/angola-sending-military-advisors-to-mozambique/ Angola sending military advisors to Mozambique
  9. Web site: Beheadings, kidnappings amid surge in Mozambique attacks: UN . Al Jazeera . 7 February 2020 . 1 May 2020 .
  10. Web site: Designation of Abu Yasir Hassan as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist. 11 March 2021. Federal Register.
  11. Web site: US designates ISIS-Mozambique and its Tanzanian leader as 'terrorists' | Upstream Online. Iain. Esau (i_esau). 11 March 2021. Upstream Online | Latest oil and gas news.
  12. Web site: Inside ISIS' new capital as terrorists carry out beheadings and take sex slaves. blackchristiannews. 4 October 2020.
  13. Web site: Mozambique police name "ringleaders" behind Islamist threat . . 13 August 2018 . 23 August 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180823174212/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mozambique-violence/mozambique-police-name-ringleaders-behind-islamist-threat-idUSKBN1KY1T5 . 23 August 2018 . live . dmy-all .
  14. Web site: An overview of foreign security involvement in Mozambique . Gordon Feller. DefenceWeb . 7 April 2021 . 9 April 2021 .
  15. Web site: MOZAMBIQUE: 'SA private military contractors' and Mozambican airforce conduct major air attacks on Islamist extremists. Peter. Fabricius. 9 April 2020. Daily Maverick. 15 September 2020.
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  22. Web site: 2018 Mozambique Military Strength. Global Firepower. 15 May 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20181019182314/https://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=mozambique. 19 October 2018. live. dmy-all.
  23. https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/safrica-approves-use-1495-military-personnel-help-mozambique-fight-insurgents-2021-07-28/ S.Africa approves use of 1,495 military personnel to help Mozambique fight insurgents
  24. Web site: Godfrey Marawanyika . Zimbabwe to Dispatch Troops to Help Mozambique Fight Insurgency . Bloomberg . 29 July 2021 .
  25. News: Portugal envia 60 militares para Moçambique após ataque em Palma . Hélder Gomes . Espresso . 29 March 2021 . 30 March 2021 .
  26. Web site: Botswana sends troops to help Mozambique fight insurgency. www.msn.com.
  27. News: In Push for Africa, Russia's Wagner Mercenaries Are 'Out of Their Depth' in Mozambique . Pjotr Sauer . Moscow Times . 19 November 2019 . 19 November 2019 .
  28. Web site: S/2024/556 . United Nations . 1 August 2024.
  29. Web site: Full Dashboard | ACLED. 28 August 2019.
  30. Web site: Cabo Ligado Weekly: 2–8 August. Cabo Ligado.
  31. Web site: SADC Summit focuses on Mozambique insurgency: 5 January 2022. Defence Web. 5 January 2022 .
  32. Web site: Lesotho soldier is latest SAMIM fatality: 6 December 2021. Defence Web. 6 December 2021 .
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  34. Web site: Mozambique says northern village, site of 'beheadings', retaken. www.aljazeera.com.
  35. Web site: Displaced Nearing 400,000 in Mozambique's Islamist Insurgency | Voice of America – English. www.voanews.com. 3 December 2020 .
  36. Web site: Homens armados entregam-se às autoridades em Mocímboa da Praia. News Aiep. 21 March 2018. 26 March 2018. pt.
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  38. News: AU confirms ISIS infiltration in East Africa . . 24 May 2018 . 31 May 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180823174150/https://www.independent.co.ug/au-confirms-isis-infiltration-in-east-africa/ . 23 August 2018 . live . dmy-all .
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  40. News: 26 August 2020. More misery, few answers. 436. 37. The Economist. 9209. 2020-09-01. 0013-0613.
  41. Web site: Alleged Islamist base shelled near Mocimboa da Praia – By Joseph Hanlon. clubofmozambique.com. 2 February 2018. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20180111165116/http://clubofmozambique.com/news/alleged-islamist-base-shelled-near-mocimboa-da-praia-by-joseph-hanlon/?platform=hootsuite. 11 January 2018. dmy-all.
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  43. Web site: ACN . 2022-10-06 . Terrorists slit the throats of three Christians . 2022-11-21 . ACN International . en-US.
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  48. Web site: Mozambique: Mocimboa DA Praia – 52 People Arrested. 12 October 2017. AllAfrica.com. 27 December 2017. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20180121012225/http://allafrica.com/stories/201710120066.html. 21 January 2018.
  49. Web site: Mozambique's first Islamist attacks shock the region – ISS Africa. ISS Africa. 27 October 2017. 27 December 2017. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20171029173639/https://issafrica.org/iss-today/mozambiques-first-islamist-attacks-shock-the-region. 29 October 2017.
  50. https://ptwww.radiovaticanaabola.va/news/2017pt/11Africa/03Noticias/moçambique_detidos_mais_de_100_radicaisVer/1346801699620
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  52. Web site: Mais um ataque em Mocimboa da Praia. Francisco. Júnior. Voaportugues.com. 27 December 2017. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20171226234944/https://www.voaportugues.com/a/mais-ataque-mocimboa-praia/4148160.html. 26 December 2017.
  53. Web site: Authorities name 2 Mozambican men suspected leaders of Mocímboa attacks; link them to Tanzania, Sudan, Saudi Arabia. Clubofmozambique.com. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20171226235526/http://clubofmozambique.com/news/authorities-name-2-mozambican-suspects-for-leading-mocimboa-attacks-link-them-to-tanzania-sudan-saudi-arabia/. 2017-12-26.
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