| Election Name: | 2016 Northern Ireland Assembly election |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2011 Northern Ireland Assembly election |
| Previous Mps: | 4th Northern Ireland Assembly |
| Previous Year: | 2011 |
| Elected Members: | 5th Northern Ireland Assembly |
| Next Election: | 2017 Northern Ireland Assembly election |
| Next Year: | 2017 |
| Seats For Election: | All 108 seats to the Northern Ireland Assembly |
| Election Date: | 5 May 2016 |
| Turnout: | 54.9%[1] (0.8%) |
| Leader1: | Arlene Foster |
| Party1: | Democratic Unionist Party |
| Leader Since1: | 17 December 2015 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Fermanagh and South Tyrone |
| Last Election1: | 38 seats, 30.0% |
| Seats1: | 38 |
| Popular Vote1: | 202,567 |
| Percentage1: | 29.2% |
| Swing1: | 0.8% |
| Party2: | Sinn Féin |
| Leader Since2: | 8 May 2007 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Foyle |
| Last Election2: | 29 seats, 26.9% |
| Seats2: | 28 |
| Seat Change2: | 1 |
| Popular Vote2: | 166,785 |
| Percentage2: | 24.0% |
| Swing2: | 2.9% |
| Leader Since3: | 31 March 2012 |
| Party3: | Ulster Unionist Party |
| Leaders Seat3: | Strangford |
| Last Election3: | 16 seats, 13.2% |
| Seats3: | 16 |
| Popular Vote3: | 87,302 |
| Percentage3: | 12.6% |
| Swing3: | 0.6% |
| Leader4: | Colum Eastwood |
| Leader Since4: | 14 November 2015 |
| Party4: | Social Democratic and Labour Party |
| Leaders Seat4: | Foyle |
| Last Election4: | 14 seats, 14.2% |
| Seats4: | 12 |
| Seat Change4: | 2 |
| Popular Vote4: | 83,364 |
| Percentage4: | 12.0% |
| Swing4: | 2.2% |
| Leader5: | David Ford |
| Leader Since5: | 6 October 2001 |
| Party5: | Alliance Party of Northern Ireland |
| Leaders Seat5: | South Antrim |
| Last Election5: | 8 seats, 7.7% |
| Seats5: | 8 |
| Popular Vote5: | 48,447 |
| Percentage5: | 7.0% |
| Swing5: | 0.7% |
| Leader6: | Steven Agnew |
| Leader Since6: | 10 January 2011 |
| Party6: | Green Party in Northern Ireland |
| Leaders Seat6: | North Down |
| Last Election6: | 1 seat, 0.9% |
| Seats6: | 2 |
| Seat Change6: | 1 |
| Popular Vote6: | 18,718 |
| Percentage6: | 2.7% |
| Swing6: | 1.8% |
| Leader7: | Eamonn McCann[2] |
| Leader Since7: | N/A |
| Party7: | People Before Profit Alliance |
| Leaders Seat7: | Foyle |
| Last Election7: | 0 seats, 0.8% |
| Seats7: | 2 |
| Seat Change7: | 2 |
| Popular Vote7: | 13,761 |
| Percentage7: | 2.0% |
| Swing7: | 1.2% |
| Leader8: | Jim Allister |
| Leader Since8: | 7 December 2007 |
| Party8: | Traditional Unionist Voice |
| Leaders Seat8: | North Antrim |
| Last Election8: | 1 seat, 2.4% |
| Seats8: | 1 |
| Popular Vote8: | 23,776 |
| Percentage8: | 3.4% |
| Swing8: | 1.0% |
| First Minister and deputy First Minister | |
| Posttitle: | First Minister and deputy First Minister after election |
| Before Election: | Arlene Foster (DUP) & Martin McGuinness (SF) |
| After Election: | Arlene Foster (DUP) & Martin McGuinness (SF) |
The 2016 Northern Ireland Assembly election was held on Thursday, 5 May 2016. It was the fifth election to take place since the devolved assembly was established in 1998. 1,281,595 individuals were registered to vote in the election (representing an increase of 5.9% compared to the previous Assembly election).[3] Turnout in the 2016 Assembly election was 703,744 (54.9%), a decline of less than one percentage point from the previous Assembly Election in 2011, but down 15 percentage points from the first election to the Assembly held in 1998.[4]
As in the 2007 and 2011 elections, the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin won the most seats, with the DUP winning 38 and Sinn Féin winning 28 of the available 108 seats. The Ulster Unionist Party won 16 seats, the Social Democratic and Labour Party 12 and the Alliance 8, while two seats were won by the Green Party and People Before Profit. The Traditional Unionist Voice and an independent candidate each won one seat.
Under the Northern Ireland Act 1998, elections to the Assembly were originally for a four-year term; thus there would have been an election due in May 2015, four years after the 2011 election. Following the introduction of the UK Fixed Term Parliaments Act, this date would have clashed with the 2015 UK general election.[5] The Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly elections were postponed for a year to 2016 to avoid this clash.[6]
In May 2013, Theresa Villiers, Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, announced the next Assembly election would be postponed to May 2016, and would be held at fixed intervals of five years thereafter.[7] Section 7 of the Northern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2014 specifies that elections will be held on the first Thursday in May on the fifth (rather than fourth, as previously) calendar year following that in which its predecessor was elected.[8]
The Northern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2014 also ends the practice of dual mandate, prohibiting someone being elected to the assembly who is also a member of the House of Commons or Dáil Éireann.[8] At the time the Act was passed, there were three such dual-members: the DUP's Sammy Wilson (MP for East Antrim and MLA for East Antrim) and Gregory Campbell (MP for East Londonderry and MLA for East Londonderry) and the SDLP's Alasdair McDonnell (MP for Belfast South and MLA for Belfast South).[9] Wilson and McDonnell resigned from the Assembly after being re-elected to the House of Commons in the 2015 election. Campbell, who was also re-elected as an MP, is retiring from the Assembly at this election.[10]
There are several circumstances in which the Assembly could be dissolved before the date scheduled by virtue of section 31(1) of the Northern Ireland Act 1998.
Under section 32 of the 1998 Act, the Assembly can be dissolved if a resolution to such an effect is passed by the Assembly, with support of a two-thirds majority or more members.[11]
The Act provides that if the Assembly fails to elect either the First Minister or deputy First Minister within six weeks, an election is called. Since the enactment of the Northern Ireland (St Andrews Agreement) Act 2006, the First Minister has been nominated by the largest party of the largest community designation, and the deputy First Minister has been nominated by the largest party in the second largest community designation ("Nationalist", "Unionist" or "Other").[12]
It was proposed[13] that after the May 2016 Election there be a reduction in the number of ministries and departments. The amendments were:
° The Department of Education remains the same.
Nominations opened on 30 March 2016 for the assembly election.[14] A full list of candidates is available.[15] [16] The table below lists all of the nominated candidates.
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| Constituency | DUP | SF | SDLP | UUP | Alliance | TUV | Green | PBP | UKIP | NI Cons | Independent | Others | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belfast East | style:"background;" | Joanne Bunting (E) Sammy Douglas* (E) Robin Newton* (E) | style:"background;" | Niall Ó Donnghaile | style:"background;" | Amy Doherty | style:"background;" | Andy Allen
| style:"background;" | Naomi Long (E) Chris Lyttle* (E) Tim Morrow | style:"background;" | Andrew Girvin | style:"background;" | Ross Brown | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Jonny Lavery | style:"background;" | Neil Wilson | Maggie Hutton | Courtney Robinson (Lab Alt) Erskine Holmes (NI Lab) John Kyle (PUP) | |
| Belfast North | style:"background;" | Paula Bradley
| style:"background;" | Gerry Kelly
| style:"background;" | Nichola Mallon (E) | style:"background;" | Lesley Carroll | style:"background;" | Nuala McAllister | style:"background;" | John Miller | style:"background;" | Mal O'Hara | style:"background;" | Fiona Ferguson | style:"background;" | Ken Boyle | style:"background;" | Fra Hughes Tom Burns | Abdo Thabeth (NI Lab) Geoff Dowey Billy Hutchinson (PUP) Gemma Weir (WP) | |
| Belfast South | style:"background;" | Emma Little-Pengelly
| style:"background;" | Máirtín Ó Muilleoir
| style:"background;" | Claire Hanna | style:"background;" | Rodney McCune | style:"background;" | Paula Bradshaw (E) Duncan Morrow | style:"background;" | John Hiddleston | style:"background;" | Clare Bailey (E) | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Bob Stoker | style:"background;" | Ben Manton | Ruth Patterson | Seán Burns (Lab Alt) Brigitte Anton (NI Lab) Ian Shanks (PUP) William Dickson Lily Kerr (WP) | |
| Belfast West | style:"background;" | Frank McCoubrey | style:"background;" | Alex Maskey
| style:"background;" | Alex Attwood
| style:"background;" | Gareth Martin | style:"background;" | Jemima Higgins | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Ellen Murray | style:"background;" | Gerry Carroll (E) | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Conor Campbell (WP) | ||||
| East Antrim | style:"background;" | David Hilditch
| style:"background;" | Oliver McMullan
| style:"background;" | Margaret Anne McKillop | style:"background;" | Roy Beggs Jr
| style:"background;" | Stewart Dickson
| style:"background;" | Ruth Wilson | style:"background;" | Dawn Patterson | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Noel Jordan | style:"background;" | Conor Sheridan (Lab Alt) Jim McCaw (PUP) | |||
| East Londonderry | style:"background;" | Maurice Bradley (E) George Robinson* (E) Adrian McQuillan* (E) | style:"background;" | Caoimhe Archibald (E) Cathal Ó hOisín | style:"background;" | Gerry Mullan (E) | style:"background;" | William McCandless Aaron Callan | style:"background;" | Yvonne Boyle | style:"background;" | Jordan Armstrong | style:"background;" | Amber Hamill | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Steven Parkhill | style:"background;" | David Harding Stuart Canning | Claire Sugden
| Russell Watton (PUP) | |
| Fermanagh and South Tyrone | style:"background;" | Arlene Foster
| style:"background;" | Michelle Gildernew (E) Seán Lynch* (E) John Feely Phil Flanagan | style:"background;" | Richie McPhillips (E) | style:"background;" | Rosemary Barton (E) Alastair Patterson | style:"background;" | Kerri Blyberg | style:"background;" | Donald Crawford | style:"background;" | Tanya Jones | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Damien Harris (NI Lab) | ||||
| Foyle | style:"background;" | Gary Middleton
| style:"background;" | Raymond McCartney
| style:"background;" | Mark H. Durkan
| style:"background;" | Julia Kee | style:"background;" | Chris McCaw | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Mary Hassan | style:"background;" | Eamonn McCann (E) | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Alan Dunlop | Anne McCloskey Maurice Devenney Kathleen Bradley | John Lindsay (CISTA) | ||
| Lagan Valley | style:"background;" | Paul Givan
| style:"background;" | Jacqui McGeough | style:"background;" | Pat Catney | style:"background;" | Robbie Butler (E) Jenny Palmer (E) | style:"background;" | Trevor Lunn
| style:"background;" | Lyle Rea | style:"background;" | Dan Barrios-O'Neill | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Brian Higginson | style:"background;" | Jack Irwin | Jonny Orr | Frazer McCammond Peter Dynes (NI Lab) | |
| Mid Ulster | style:"background;" | Keith Buchanan (E) Ian McCrea | style:"background;" | Ian Milne
| style:"background;" | Patsy McGlone
| style:"background;" | Sandra Overend
| style:"background;" | Néidín Hendron | style:"background;" | Hannah Loughrin | style:"background;" | Stefan Taylor | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Alan Day | style:"background;" | Hugh Scullion (WP) | |||
| Newry and Armagh | style:"background;" | William Irwin
| style:"background;" | Megan Fearon
| style:"background;" | Justin McNulty (E) Karen McKevitt | style:"background;" | Danny Kennedy
| style:"background;" | Craig Weir | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Michael Watters | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Alan Love | style:"background;" | Paul Berry Martin McAllister | Emmet Crossan (CISTA) | |||
| North Antrim | style:"background;" | Paul Frew
| style:"background;" | Daithí McKay
| style:"background;" | Connor Duncan | style:"background;" | Robin Swann
| style:"background;" | Stephen McFarland | style:"background;" | Jim Allister
| style:"background;" | Jennifer Breslin | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Donna Anderson | style:"background;" | James Simpson | Kathryn Johnston (NI Lab) | ||
| North Down | style:"background;" | Alex Easton
| style:"background;" | Therese McCartney | style:"background;" | Conal Browne | style:"background;" | Alan Chambers (E) Carl McClean Chris Eisenstadt | style:"background;" | Stephen Farry
| style:"background;" | John Brennan | style:"background;" | Steven Agnew
| style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Bill Piper | style:"background;" | Frank Shivers | Brian Wilson | Maria Lourenco (NI Lab) | |
| South Antrim | style:"background;" | Paul Girvan
| style:"background;" | Declan Kearney (E) | style:"background;" | Roisin Lynch | style:"background;" | Steve Aiken (E) Paul Michael Adrian Cochrane-Watson | style:"background;" | David Ford
| style:"background;" | Richard Cairns | style:"background;" | Helen Farley | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Robert Hill | style:"background;" | Mark Young | David McMaster | ||
| South Down | style:"background;" | Jim Wells
| style:"background;" | Chris Hazzard
| style:"background;" | Sinéad Bradley (E) Colin McGrath (E) Seán Rogers | style:"background;" | Harold McKee (E) | style:"background;" | Patrick Brown | style:"background;" | Henry Reilly | style:"background;" | John Hardy | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | John McCallister | ||||
| Strangford | style:"background;" | Michelle McIlveen
| style:"background;" | Dermot Kennedy | style:"background;" | Joe Boyle | style:"background;" | Mike Nesbitt
| style:"background;" | Kellie Armstrong (E) | style:"background;" | Stephen Cooper | style:"background;" | Georgia Grainger | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Stephen Crosby | style:"background;" | Bill McKendry | Jimmy Menagh Rab McCartney | ||
| Upper Bann | style:"background;" | Carla Lockhart (E) Sydney Anderson* (E) | style:"background;" | Catherine Seeley (E) John O'Dowd* (E) | style:"background;" | Dolores Kelly | style:"background;" | Jo-Anne Dobson
| style:"background;" | Harry Hamilton | style:"background;" | Roy Ferguson | style:"background;" | Simon Lee | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | David Jones | style:"background;" | Ian Nickels | Steven McCarroll | Martin Kelly (CISTA) Emma Hutchinson (NI Lab) Sophie Long (PUP) | |
| West Tyrone | style:"background;" | Thomas Buchanan
| style:"background;" | Barry McElduff
| style:"background;" | Daniel McCrossan
| style:"background;" | Ross Hussey
| style:"background;" | Stephen Donnelly | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Ciaran McClean | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | style:"background;" | Roger Lomas | Josephine Deehan Sorcha McAnespy Patsy Kelly Corey French Susan-Anne White | Laura McAnea (AWP) Barry Brown (CISTA) | |||
The 2016 election was held using STV and 18 multi-seat districts, each electing 6 members.
Party affiliation of the six Assembly members returned by each constituency. The first column indicates the party of the Member of the House of Commons (MP) returned by the corresponding parliamentary constituency in the general election of 7 May 2015 (under the "first past the post" method).
(The constituencies are arranged here in rough geographical order around Lough Neagh from Antrim to Londonderry. To see them in alphabetical order, click the small square icon after "Constituency"; to restore this geographical order, click the icon after "No." at the left.)
| No. | 2015 MP | Constituency | Candi- dates | Total seats | PBP | Green | Sinn Féin | SDLP | Alli- ance | UUP | DUP | TUV | Ind. | Seat gained by | Seat formerly held by | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DUP | North Antrim | - | 6 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | DUP | East Antrim | - | 6 | - | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | |
| 3 | UUP | South Antrim | - | 6 | - | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | |
| 4 | DUP | Belfast North | - | 6 | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | |
| 5 | Belfast West | - | 6 | 1 | - | 4 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | PBP | SF | ||
| 6 | SDLP | Belfast South | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | - | - | Green DUP | SDLP UUP | |
| 7 | DUP | Belfast East | - | 6 | - | - | - | - | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | |
| 8 | Ind. | North Down | - | 6 | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | |
| 9 | DUP | Strangford | - | 6 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | - | - | |
| 10 | DUP | Lagan Valley | - | 6 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | UUP | DUP | |
| 11 | DUP | Upper Bann | - | 6 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 2 | 2 | - | - | SF | SDLP | |
| 12 | SDLP | South Down | - | 6 | - | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | |
| 13 | Newry and Armagh | - | 6 | - | - | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 14 | UUP | Fermanagh & South Tyrone | - | 6 | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | - | - | SDLP | SF | |
| 15 | West Tyrone | - | 6 | - | - | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 16 | Mid Ulster | - | 6 | - | - | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 17 | SDLP | Foyle | - | 6 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | - | - | 1 | - | - | PBP | SDLP | |
| 18 | DUP | East Londonderry | - | 6 | - | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | 3 | - | 1 | - | - | |
| 18 | - | 108 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| - | - | +2 | +1 | –1 | –2 | - | +3 | - | - | –1 | –1 | –1 | ||||
| - | 108 | - | 1 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 1 UKIP | 1 NI21 | ||||
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | –3 | - | - | +1 | +1 | +1 | ||||
| 218 | 108 | - | 1 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 1 | 1 | - | |||||
| 256 | 108 | - | 1 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 36 | - | 1 | 1 Prog. U. | |||||
| 108 | - | - | 24 | 18 | 6 | 27 | 30 | - | 1 | 1 Prog. U. | 1 UKUP | |||||
| 108 | - | - | 18 | 24 | 6 | 28 | 20 | - | 4 | 2 Prog. U. | 5 UKUP, 2 NIWC |
Percentage of each constituency's first-preference votes. Four highest percentages in each constituency shaded; absolute majorities underlined. The constituencies are arranged in the geographic order described for the table above; click the icon next to "Constituency" to see them in alphabetical order.
| No. | 2015 MP | MP's % of 2015 vote | Constituency | PBP | Green | Sinn Féin | SDLP | Alli- ance | UUP | DUP | TUV | Ind. | Others. | Total votes | Eligible elector- ate | Turn- out % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DUP | 43.2% | North Antrim | 1.3 | 12.9 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 10.7 | 43.1 | 17.9 | 3.3 | - | - | 52.3% | |||
| 2 | DUP | 36.1% | East Antrim | 2.1 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 14.6 | 20.2 | 36.1 | 5.1 | 9.9 | - | - | 50.5% | |||
| 3 | UUP | 32.7% | South Antrim | 1.7 | 13.2 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 22.2 | 37.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | - | - | 50.4% | ||
| 4 | DUP | 47.0% | Belfast North | 3.5 | 2.2 | 26.5 | 10.6 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 35.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7.1 | - | - | 51.6% | |
| 5 | SF | 54.2% | Belfast West | 22.9 | 0.9 | 54.5 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 1.5 | - | - | 56.7% | |||
| 6 | SDLP | 24.5% | Belfast South | 9.6 | 14.2 | 20.0 | 16.4 | 6.7 | 22.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 8.5 | - | - | 53.6% | ||
| 7 | DUP | 49.3% | Belfast East | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 28.7 | 11.1 | 36.7 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 9.4 | - | - | 56.5% | ||
| 8 | Ind. | 49.2% | North Down | 12.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 16.8 | 15.5 | 41.7 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 4.7 | - | - | 49.0% | ||
| 9 | DUP | 44.4% | Strangford | 2.8 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 10.7 | 19.5 | 43.0 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 3.4 | - | - | 49.7% | ||
| 10 | DUP | 47.9% | Lagan Valley | 2.9 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 21.2 | 47.2 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 3.6 | - | - | 52.7% | ||
| 11 | DUP | 32.7% | Upper Bann | 1.1 | 24.9 | 9.5 | 3.1 | 21.6 | 31.1 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 6.0 | - | - | 53.6% | ||
| 12 | SDLP | 42.3% | South Down | 2.0 | 31.1 | 31.4 | 5.4 | 8.5 | 12.3 | 6.6 | 2.8 | - | - | 53.1% | |||
| 13 | SF | 41.1% | Newry & Armagh | 0.7 | 40.9 | 18.2 | 1.0 | 14.1 | 16.7 | 5.5 | 2.9 | - | - | 58.4% | |||
| 14 | UUP | 46.4% | Fermanagh & S. Tyrone | 1.9 | 40.0 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 12.8 | 32.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | - | - | 63.5% | |||
| 15 | SF | 43.5% | West Tyrone | 1.2 | 42.0 | 11.0 | 1.3 | 11.4 | 22.0 | 8.9 | 2.1 | - | - | 59.1% | |||
| 16 | SF | 48.7% | Mid Ulster | 0.9 | 46.7 | 15.2 | 1.2 | 11.9 | 18.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 | - | - | 57.9% | |||
| 17 | SDLP | 47.9% | Foyle | 10.5 | 0.4 | 28.5 | 30.0 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 0.8 | - | - | 55.3% | ||
| 18 | DUP | 42.2% | East Londonderry | 1.3 | 21.8 | 9.5 | 3.7 | 8.3 | 36.8 | 3.5 | 9.7 | 5.4 | - | - | 50.1% | ||
| 18 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 12.6 | 29.2 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 703,744 | 1,281,595 | 54.9% | ||||
| +1.2 | +1.8 | –2.9 | –2.2 | –0.7 | –0.6 | –0.8 | +1.0 | +1.7 | +1.0 | +42,008 | +71,586 | –0.7% | |||||
| 0.9 | 26.9 | 14.2 | 7.7 | 13.2 | 30.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 661,736 | 1,210,009 | 55.6% | ||||||
| 1.7 | 26.2 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 14.9 | 30.1 | - | 3.8 | 2.8 | 690,313 | 1,107,904 | 62.9% | ||||||
| 0.4 | 23.5 | 17.0 | 3.7 | 22.7 | 25.7 | - | 5.6 | 2.8 | 692,026 | 1,097,526 | 63.1% | ||||||
| 0.1 | 17.6 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 21.3 | 18.1 | - | 10.9 | 3.5 | 823,565 | 1,178,556 | 69.9% |
| Pollster | Client | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | DUP (U) | SF (N) | SDLP (N) | UUP (U) | Alliance (O) | TUV (U) | Green (O) | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" | |||||||
| Lucid Talk | Belfast Telegraph | 970 | 26.5% | 25.8% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 0.7% | ||
| Lucid Talk | Belfast Telegraph | 2,886 | 26.6% | 24.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 8.8% | 2.0% | ||
| Lucid Talk | Belfast Telegraph | 2,517 | 25.8% | 25.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 9.8% | 0.4% | ||
| 2015 United Kingdom general election | |||||||||||||
| 2014 Northern Ireland local elections | |||||||||||||
| 2014 European Parliament election | |||||||||||||
| Lucid Talk | Belfast Telegraph | N/A | 29.3% | 26.1% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | ||
| Ipsos-MORI | BBC | 1,046 | 24% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 10% | — | — | 11% | 1% | ||
| 2011 Assembly Election | N/A | 29.3% | 26.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | |||