Battle of Kurakhove explained

Conflict:Battle of Kurakhove
Partof:the eastern front of the Russian invasion of Ukraine
Place:Kurakhove and proximity, Pokrovsk Raion, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine
Date:16 October 2024[1] [2] [3] – present
Status:Ongoing
Territory:Russian forces capture towns of Hirnyk and Kurakhivka
Combatant1:Russia
Combatant2:Ukraine
Units1:
Units2:
Strength1:~70,000 soldiers
Strength2:Unknown

The battle of Kurakhove is an ongoing battle for control of the city of Kurakhove between the Russian Armed Forces and the Ukrainian Armed Forces.[5] [6] [7]

The battle for the city began on 16 October 2024, when Russian forces' offensive operation in the direction of Kurakhove succeeded in capturing the nearby settlement of Ostrivske on 15 October, thus beginning the battle as Russian forces entered the administrative limits of the city from the north-eastern direction on the eastern bank of the Kurakhove reservoir. The battle is part of the broader Russian offensive in the Donbas and Donetsk Oblast, aiming to capture the economic and defensive stronghold cities in southern Donetsk Oblast, among them Kurakhove and Pokrovsk.[1]

Background

In late August to September 2024, after breakthroughs towards Pokrovsk,[8] the Russian forces regrouped north, south and east of Kurakhove, attempting to encircle the Ukrainian troops - the current main focus of Russian forces in the city's direction. The fighting shifted to the nearby cities of Ukrainsk (located about 15km north of Kurakhove), Hirnyk and Selydove. Encirclement concerns are growing, particularly further south, where roads have become impassable and businesses have closed. The logistics have been heavily affected, with supply routes slowed and evacuation of the wounded becoming more challenging due to cut roads to Pokrovsk. The city population decreased to ~5,000 in September.[9] According to soldiers, fighting in the Kurakhove area is challenging due to the flat terrain. By 16 October, Russian forces occupied the village of Ostrivske on the eastern bank of the Kurakhove reservoir, threatening Kurakhove with encirclement.[10] [11]

Russian forces entered the administrative limits of Kurakhove on the east bank of the Kurakhove reservoir, near Ostrivke, on 16 October, after becoming embattled during the capture of Ostrivske. From the east, the Russian forces then became active near Kurakhove proper on 29 October.

Battle

During the month of October the Russian Army launched assaults towards the city of Kurakhove from three directions; from the city of Hirnyk in the north towards the Kurakhove reservoir, from Krasnohorivka in the east and from Vuhledar in the south.[12]

In the northern direction the advances of the Russian forces were accelerated with the capture of the city of Hirnyk by 29 October.[13] [14] This capture was followed by an assault on the neighboring town of Kurakhivka to the south and a push west of Hirnyk where Russian forces advanced into the village of Novoselydivka.[15] The Russian Ministry of Defense announced the full control over Kurakhivka on 2 November.[16] At the same time further south Russian forces started a three speared attack from Vuhledar northwards seizing the villages of Bohoyavlenka and Novoukrainka by 30 October.[17] [18] The advances continued in the northwest with the capture of Shakhtarske and Yasna Polyana a few days later.[19] It was reported by Bloomberg that, with the advances around Kurakhove together with the capture of Selydove, this week Russia was able to seize the most Ukrainian land of the year 2024 so far.[20]

In early November, an estimated 700–1,000 people remained in Kurakhove, and were living without basic utilities, while Russian forces stood under 3 kilometres from the city center. Many crucial facilities were destroyed by heavy shelling, with only one food store operational. Russian encirclement efforts of the city continued, and according to the city's head of police, its success would leave Kurakhove practically indefensible.[21]

On 11 November, the dam, near the village of, was destroyed, causing water to flow into the Vovcha River[22] and posing a threat of flooding for residents of villages on the river.[23] According to DeepState, the Russian effort to reach the logistical routes near Kurakhove and surround the city was gaining momentum, and it was "only a matter of time" before the city was captured.[24]

On 14 November, Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets claimed that Russia had concentrated 70,000 personnel against Kurakhove, including units from the 41st and 51st Combined Arms armies.[25]

By 25 November, Russian forces had reached Pobiedy Street in central Kurakhove.[26]

Analysis

Strategic value

Kurakhove is an important economic center in the region, being fortified and located next to the Kurakhove reservoir. Control of the city is considered to be economically important, as major energy infrastructure facilities, like the Kurakhove Power Station, large resource deposits like of lithium and other businesses are located in and around the city. Kurakhove also has high military significance as it is located on a bottleneck, and the eastern limits of the defensive lines of Zaporizhia Oblast. This would possibly enable the Russian forces to outflank these defensive lines by capturing the city,[27] [28] and allow them to press directly onto Pokrovsk from the north, an effort that was deprioritized in order to capture Ukrainian cities south of it.[29] The city is described as a crucial transport and logistics hub for Ukrainian forces in southern Donbas.[5]

Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi noted in May 2024 the disparity of forces in terms of equipment and manpower, and high pressure on Ukrainian lines in the area around Kurakhove. He described the Kurakhove and Pokrovsk areas of the frontline as the "main attack direction" of Russian forces.[30]

The city is noted to be of major importance for Russian resource warfare and related war goals, as it encompasses resource infrastructure and lithium worth hundreds of billions of dollars, that is stored in the Shevchenko deposit. A few weeks before the start of the Russian invasion in December 2021, the Ukrainian government granted the Australian company European Lithium the mining rights for this deposit. In the summer of 2023, the CEO of European Lithium, Tony Sage, declared that the company would no longer lay claim to the Shevchenko field - it was too close to the front line. On 10 January 2024, Russians sent "approval documents" for lithium extraction in the region to the Russian Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment. Russian-Israeli writer Edward Topol argues that by seizing Ukrainian lithium, Russia aims to keep Russian momentum and pressure on the European energy market with a monopoly on European lithium.[31]

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Kurakhove, Donetsk Oblast . 2024-11-01 . . uk-UA.
  2. Web site: Zelenskiy says Ukrainian forces holding positions in Russia's Kursk region. Reuters. 12 October 2024.
  3. Web site: Ukrainian settlement Ostrivske seized by Russian troops, says monitoring group. 16 October 2024. The New Voice of Ukraine.
  4. https://theins.ru/news/275792 ВС РФ захватили Кураховку, десант ВСУ до сих пор присутствует на левом берегу Днепра, квадрокоптер с «мангалом». Что происходит на фронте
  5. Web site: 31 October 2024 . Russian and Ukrainian forces have begun the battle for Kurakhove — its fall would spell the end for Ukraine's defense in southern Donbas . live . https://archive.today/20241101142646/https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/10/31/russian-and-ukrainian-forces-have-begun-the-battle-for-kurakhove-its-fall-would-spell-the-end-for-ukraine-s-defense-in-southern-donbas . 1 November 2024 . 2024-11-01 . . en.
  6. Web site: 1 November 2024 . Kurakhove battle set to become focal point of Russia's autumn-winter offensive . live . https://archive.today/20241101142908/https://global.espreso.tv/russia-ukraine-war-battle-for-kurakhove-focal-point-of-russian-fall-winter-campaign . 1 November 2024 . 2024-11-01 . . en.
  7. Web site: Weak fortifications near Kurakhove, revival of Ukraine's EW industry. Zgurets' column . 2024-11-01 . . en.
  8. Web site: Ukraine war: Troops fear encirclement in Pokrovsk as Russians near . https://web.archive.org/web/20240914043702/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1epe546p5vo . 14 September 2024 . 2024-09-17 . . en-GB.
  9. News: Danger in Donbas as Ukraine's front line falters . https://archive.today/20240910132936/https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/09/08/danger-in-donbas-as-ukraines-front-line-falters . 10 September 2024 . 2024-09-17 . . 0013-0613.
  10. Web site: 16 October 2024 . Russians occupy Ostrivske village in Donetsk Oblast – DeepState . Ukrainska Pravda.
  11. Web site: 16 October 2024 . Ukrainern droht Einkesselung bei Kurachiwka . . de.
  12. Web site: Russia's swift march forward in Ukraine's east. Constant Méheut & Josh Holder. The New York Times. 2024-10-31. 2024-11-02.
  13. Web site: Russia takes two Ukrainian towns as it advances at fastest pace in a year. Guy Faulconbridge. Reuters. 2024-10-29. 2024-11-02.
  14. Web site: Ukrainian Defenses In The East Are Buckling, Russian Advance Is Accelerating. Howard. Altman. 2024-11-01. The War Zone.
  15. Web site: Hird . Karolina . Evans . Angelica . Stepanenko . Kateryna . Mappes . Grace . Kagan . Frederick W. . 1 November 2024 . Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 1, 2024 . 3 November 2024 . Institute for the Study of War.
  16. Web site: Russia Claims Capture of New Eastern Ukraine Villages: Defense Ministry. The Moscow Times. 2024-11-02. 2024-11-02.
  17. Web site: Two Ukrainian villages in Donetsk Oblast fall under Russian control. The New Voice of Ukraine. 2024-10-30. 2024-11-02.
  18. Web site: Harward . Christina . Evans . Angelica . Stepanenko . Kateryna . Trotter . Nate . Kagan . Frederick W. . Runkel . William . 31 October 2024 . Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 31, 2024 . 3 November 2024 . Institute for the Study of War.
  19. Web site: Russian forces capture Yasna Polyana, advance near Kurakhove. The New Voice of Ukraine. 2024-11-02. 2024-11-02.
  20. Web site: Russia speeds up advance in Ukraine as mood darkens in Kyiv. Bloomberg. 2024-11-02. 2024-11-02.
  21. Web site: Associated Press. 10 November 2024. As Russian forces close in on Kurakhove, hundreds of residents remain in the front-line city. Anton. Maloletka. Shtuka. Evgeniy.
  22. Web site: Ukrainska Pravda. 11 November 2024. Kurakhove Reservoir dam destroyed amid surrounding hostilities. Oleksandr. Shumilin.
  23. Web site: novosti.dn.ua. Зруйновано дамбу Курахівського водосховища, почався підйом води . uk. The Kurakhivsky Reservoir Dam Was Destroyed, Water Rise Began. 11 November 2024.
  24. Web site: Ukrainska Pravda. 11 November 2024. DeepState reports difficult situation around Kurakhove, which could become catastrophic. Oleksandr. Shumilin.
  25. Web site: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 14, 2024 . Institute for the Study of War . 2024-11-14 . 2024-11-15.
  26. Web site: Hird . Karolina . Barros . George . Evans . Angelica . Trotter . Nate . Gasparyan . Davit . Gibson . Olivia . 25 November 2024 . Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 25, 2024 . 26 November 2024 . Institute for the Study of War.
  27. Web site: Molin . Clément . 2024-05-26 . Carte de la Guerre en Ukraine . 2024-11-01 . Atum Mundi . fr-FR.
  28. Web site: Molin . Clément . 2024-10-11 . Un an d'offensive russe quotidienne dans le Donbass . 2024-11-01 . Atum Mundi . fr-FR.
  29. Web site: Exclusive: Ukrainian officer highlights Selydove's key role in defending Pokrovsk . 2024-11-01 . english.nv.ua . en.
  30. Web site: 2024-05-06 . Syrskyi: Russia trying to break through defenses to reach Kurakhove, Pokrovsk . Kyiv Independent.
  31. Web site: 2024-06-23 . Lithium, um Europa zu würgen: In der Ukraine kämpft Russland um Rohstoffe . N-tv.