2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary explained

Election Name:2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary
Country:Wisconsin
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2004 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary
Previous Year:2004
Next Election:2012 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary
Next Year:2012
Image1:Barack Obama Senate portrait crop.jpg
Candidate1:Barack Obama
Colour1:800080
Home State1:Illinois
Popular Vote1:646,851
Percentage1:58.08%
Delegate Count1:42
Candidate2:Hillary Clinton
Colour2:D4AA00
Home State2:New York
Popular Vote2:453,954
Percentage2:40.76%
Delegate Count2:32
Map Size:280px
Outgoing Members:HI
Elected Members:OH

The 2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary took place on February 19, 2008. 74 pledged delegates were at stake. The 2008 Hawaii Democratic presidential caucuses took place the same day.

The Wisconsin primary came after Senator Barack Obama had won the majority of delegates and votes in 8 straight primaries and caucuses; his wins in Wisconsin, and Hawaii extended his winning streak to 10 and reinforced his front-runner status.[1]

In the days leading up to the primary the Hillary Clinton campaign ran television ads criticizing Obama on healthcare and for not agreeing to more candidate debates.[2] This caused the Obama campaign to launch a response ad that mentioned the 18 debates already held and 2 more scheduled.[3] The Clinton campaign also charged Obama using lines in a speech similar to words spoken by Massachusetts Governor and Obama friend Deval Patrick; Patrick responded by saying he and Obama often swap ideas, and that he had willingly shared lines without asking for credit to be given.[4] Barack Obama was the winner.[5] [6]

Polls

Polls taken throughout 2007 consistently put Hillary Clinton in the lead, but during February 2008 most polls showed Barack Obama with the advantage.[7] A Rasmussen poll taken February 13 reported that almost one-fourth of those polled said there was a good chance they might change their mind. It also found that while Clinton was doing well among women, with a 10-point advantage over Obama, Obama was polling 23 points higher than her among men.[8]

Results

See also: Results of the 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries.

Key: Withdrew
prior to contest
2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary[9]
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates[10]
Barack Obama646,85158.08%42
Hillary Clinton453,95440.76%32
John Edwards6,6930.60%0
Dennis Kucinich2,6250.24%0
Joe Biden7550.07%0
Bill Richardson5280.05%0
Mike Gravel5170.05%0
Christopher Dodd5010.04%0
Uninstructed8610.08%0
Totals1,113,285100%74

Analysis

In the weeks and days leading up to the Wisconsin Democratic Primary, most pundits agreed that it was Hillary Clinton's chance to halt Obama's momentum after winning contests in Washington, Louisiana, Nebraska, Virginia, Maryland, Washington, D.C. following Super Tuesday.

Hillary Clinton enjoyed healthy leads among white voters in previous states and hoped that winning Wisconsin or at least the white vote would allow for a victory of sorts. However, CNN Exit Polls showed that Obama won the white vote (which comprised 87% of the electorate on primary day) 54%-45%. Also, other key Clinton constituencies showed Obama making significant strides such as the female vote which split 50%-50%, the 54-65 Age Group which voted for Obama 54%-45%.[11]

After the victory in Wisconsin as well as Caucuses in Washington and a primary in Hawaii held on the same day gave Obama the momentum of winning 10 straight contests.[12] The Pledged delegate standing after the Wisconsin Primary was Obama leading 1154-1011.

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: Michael . Hirsh . Barack Obama: Front Runner. Newsweek . 2008-02-19 . 2009-01-19.
  2. News: Tom . Baldwin . Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton trade blows as Wisconsin decides . Times . 2008-02-20 . 2008-02-20 . London.
  3. News: Democrats Vote In Wisconsin And Hawaii . CBS News . 2008-02-19 . 2008-01-19 . AP.
  4. News: Clinton Fingerprints on Plagiarism Flap . Associated Press . 2008-02-19 . 2008-02-19 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20080311140151/http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jyrMRzzhtkEXXcGY9cNmKYSRpVigD8UTNA980 . March 11, 2008 .
  5. News: RESULTS: Wisconsin . CNN . 2008-02-19 . 2008-02-19.
  6. News: Obama wins Wisconsin primary poll . BBC . 2008-02-19 . 2008-02-19.
  7. Web site: 2008 Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary . Pollster . 2008-02-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080511202502/http://www.pollster.com/08-WI-Dem-Pres-Primary.php . 2008-05-11 . dead .
  8. Web site: Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary . Rasmussen Reports . 2008-02-13 . 2008-02-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080217120844/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary . 2008-02-17 . dead .
  9. Web site: Wisconsin State Elections Board . 2008-03-10 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080312192802/http://elections.state.wi.us/docview.asp?docid=13368&locid=47 . 2008-03-12 . dead .
  10. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/WI-D.html The Green Papers
  11. News: CNN EXIT POLLS.
  12. News: Obama extends streak with Wis., Hawaii wins . NBC News . 2008-02-20 . 2009-01-19.