Global Peace Index Explained

Global Peace Index (GPI) is a report produced by the Australia-based NGO Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) which measures the relative position of nations' and regions' peacefulness.[1] The GPI ranks 163 independent states and territories (collectively accounting for 99.7 per cent of the world's population) according to their levels of peacefulness. In the past decade, the GPI has presented trends of increased global violence and less peacefulness.[2]

The GPI is developed in consultation with an international panel of peace experts from peace institutes and think tanks with data collected by the Economist Intelligence Unit. The Index was first launched in May 2009, with subsequent reports being released annually. In 2015 it ranked 165 countries, up from 121 in 2007. The study was conceived by Australian technology entrepreneur Steve Killelea, and is endorsed by individuals such as former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan, the Dalai Lama, and 2008 Nobel Peace Prize laureate Martti Ahtisaari. The updated index is released each year at events in London, Washington, D.C., and at the United Nations Secretariat in New York City.

The 2024 GPI indicates Iceland, Ireland, Austria, New Zealand, Singapore, Switzerland, Portugal, Denmark, Slovenia and Malaysia to be the most peaceful countries, while Yemen, Sudan, South Sudan, Palestine, Myanmar and Afghanistan to be the least peaceful.[3] Findings of the 2024 GPI indicate a less peaceful world over the last 16 years, a 6 per cent deterioration in the global level of peace over the last 16 years, and a growing inequality in peace between the most and least peaceful countries.

Ten indicators broadly assess what might be described as safety and security in society. Their assertion is that low crime rates, minimal incidences of terrorist acts and violent demonstrations, harmonious relations with neighbouring countries, a stable political scene, and a small proportion of the population being internally displaced or refugees can be suggestive of peacefulness.

Indicators of peacefulness

In 2017, 23 indicators were used to establish peacefulness scores for each country. The indicators were originally selected with the assistance of an expert panel in 2007 and are reviewed by the expert panel on an annual basis. The scores for each indicator are normalised on a scale of 1–5, whereby qualitative indicators are banded into five groupings, and quantitative ones are scored from 1–5, to the third decimal point. A table of the indicators is below.[4] In the table, UCDP stands for the Uppsala Conflict Data Program maintained by the University of Uppsala in Sweden, EIU for The Economist Intelligence Unit, UNSCT for the United Nations Survey of Criminal Trends and Operations of Criminal Justice Systems, ICPS is the International Centre for Prison Studies at King's College London, IISS for the International Institute for Strategic Studies publication The Military Balance, and SIPRI for the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Arms Transfers Database.

IndicatorSourceCoding
1Number and duration of internal conflictsUCDP, IEPTotal number
2Number of deaths from external organized conflictUCDP Armed Conflict DatasetTotal number
3Number of deaths from internal organized conflictInternational Institute for Strategic Studies, Armed Conflict DatabaseTotal number
4Number, duration, and role in external conflictsUCDP Battle-related Deaths Dataset, IEPTotal number
5Intensity of organized internal conflictEIUQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
6Relations with neighbouring countriesEIUQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
7Level of perceived criminality in societyEIUQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
8Number of refugees and displaced persons as percentage of populationUNHCR and IDMCRefugee population by country or territory of origin, plus the number of a country's internally displaced people (IDP's) as a percentage of the country's total population
9Political instabilityEIUQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
10Impact of terrorismGlobal Terrorism Index (IEP)Quantitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
11Political terrorAmnesty International and US State DepartmentQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
12Number of homicides per 100,000 peopleUNODC Surveys on Crime Trends and the Operations of Criminal Justice Systems (CTS); EIU estimatesTotal number
13Level of violent crimeEIUQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
14Likelihood of violent demonstrationsEIUQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
15Number of jailed persons per 100,000 peopleWorld Prison Brief, Institute for Criminal Policy Research at Birkbeck, University of LondonTotal number
16Number of internal security officers and police per 100,000 peopleUNODC CTS; EIU estimatesTotal number; Civil police force distinct from national guards or local militia
17Military expenditure as a percentage of GDPThe Military Balance and IISSCash outlays of central or federal government to meet costs of national armed forces, as a percentage of GDP, scores from 1 to 5 based on percentages
18Number of armed-services personnel per 100,000The Military Balance and IISSAll full-time active armed-services personnel
19Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons as recipient (imports) per 100,000 peopleSIPRI Arms Transfers DatabaseImports of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people
20Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons as supplier (exports) per 100,000 peopleSIPRI Arms Transfers DatabaseExports of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people
21Financial contribution to UN peacekeeping missionsUnited Nations Committee on Contributions and IEPPercentage of countries' "outstanding payments versus their annual assessment to the budget of the current peacekeeping missions" over an average of three years, scored from 1–5 scale based on percentage of promised contributions met
22Nuclear and heavy weapons capabilityThe Military Balance, IISS, SIPRI, UN Register of Conventional Arms and IEP1–5 scale based on accumulated points; 1 point per armoured vehicle and artillery pieces, 5 points per tank, 20 points per combat aircraft, 100 points per warship, 1000 points for aircraft carrier and nuclear submarine
23Ease of access to small arms and light weaponsEIUQualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5

Indicators not already ranked on a 1 to 5 scale were converted by using the following formula:, where max(x) and min(x) are the highest and lowest values for that indicator of the countries ranked in the index. The 0 to 1 scores that resulted were then converted to the 1 to 5 scale. Individual indicators were then weighted according to the expert panel's judgment of their importance. The scores were then tabulated into two weighted sub-indices: internal peace, weighted at 60% of a country's final score, and external peace, weighted at 40% of a country's final score. "Negative Peace", defined as the absence of violence or of the fear of violence, is used as the definition of peace to create the Global Peace Index. An additional aim of the GPI database is to facilitate deeper study of the concept of positive peace, or those attitudes, institutions, and structures that drive peacefulness in society. The GPI also examines relationships between peace and reliable international measures, including democracy and transparency, education and material well-being. As such, it seeks to understand the relative importance of a range of potential determinants, or "drivers", which may influence the nurturing of peaceful societies, both internally and externally.[5]

Statistical analysis is applied to GPI data to uncover specific conditions conducive of peace. Researchers have determined that Positive Peace, which includes the attitudes, institutions, and structures that pre-empt conflict and facilitate functional societies, is the main driver of peace. The eight pillars of positive peace are well-functioning government, sound business environment, acceptance of the rights of others, good relations with neighbours, free flow of information, high levels of human capital, low levels of corruption, and equitable distribution of resources. Well-functioning government, low levels of corruption, acceptance of the rights of others, and good relations with neighbours are more important in countries suffering from high levels of violence. Free flow of information and sound business environment become more important when a country is approaching the global average level of peacefulness, also described as the Mid-Peace level. Low levels of corruption is the only Pillar that is strongly significant across all three levels of peacefulness. This suggests it is an important transformational factor at all stages of a nation's development.

Global Peace Index ranking

Legend
2024 Global Peace Index Ranking[6]
RankCountryScoreChange
1 Iceland1.112
2 Ireland1.303
3 Austria1.313
4 New Zealand1.323
5 Singapore1.339
6 Switzerland1.35
7 Portugal1.372
8 Denmark1.382
9 Slovenia1.395
10 Malaysia1.427
11 Canada1.449
121.459
13 Finland1.474
14 Hungary1.502
15 Croatia1.504
16 Belgium1.51
17 Japan1.525
18 Netherlands1.527
19 Australia1.536
20 Germany1.542
21 Bhutan1.564
22 Mauritius1.577
23 Spain1.597
24 Estonia1.615
25 Kuwait1.622
26 Bulgaria1.629
27 Slovakia1.634
28 Norway1.638
29 Qatar1.656
30 Latvia1.661
31 Lithuania1.672
32 Poland1.678
33 Italy1.692
34 United Kingdom1.703
35 Montenegro1.746
36 Romania1.755
37 Oman1.761
381.764
39 Sweden1.782
40 Greece1.793
411.802
42 Albania1.809 3
431.818
44 Madagascar1.838 2
45 Mongolia1.845
461.848
47 Argentina1.855
48 Indonesia1.857
491.861
50 Botswana1.863
511.882
52 Uruguay1.893
53 United Arab Emirates1.897
54 Serbia1.93
55 Ghana1.938
561.945
57 Zambia1.948
58 Costa Rica1.95
59 Kazakhstan1.954
60 Uzbekistan1.957
61 Bosnia and Herzegovina1.961
62 Namibia1.972
631.976
64 Chile1.978
651.987
66 Sierra Leone1.993 23
67 Jordan1.998
682.009
69 Liberia2.025
70 Cambodia2.028
71 Tajikistan2.035

Notes and References

  1. Web site: . Global Peace Index 2017 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20190401040211/http://visionofhumanity.org/app/uploads/2017/06/GPI17-Report.pdf . 2019-04-01 . 2017-11-27 . visionofhumanity.org.
  2. News: The World's Most And Least Peaceful Countries In 2016. Wang. Monica. Forbes. 2017-11-26. en. 2019-06-18. https://web.archive.org/web/20190618125703/https://www.forbes.com/sites/monicawang/2016/06/17/the-worlds-most-and-least-peaceful-countries-in-2016/#24c9f81a644f. live.
  3. Web site: June 2023 . Global Peace Index 2023 . 2 July 2023 . . 30 June 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230630092206/https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/GPI-2023-Web.pdf . live .
  4. Information about indicators and methodology "2013 Global Peace Index"(PDF). Institute for Economics and Peace. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2013-12-10. Retrieved 2013-06-24.
  5. Web site: Global Peace Index Report, Methodology, pg. 113–136. Institute for Economics and Peace. Visionofhumanity.org. 2017-11-27. 2019-04-01. https://web.archive.org/web/20190401040211/http://visionofhumanity.org/app/uploads/2017/06/GPI17-Report.pdf. dead.
  6. Web site: 2024 Global Peace Index . Institute for Economics & Peace . . June 2024 . 2024-07-02 . 2024-08-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240819091540/https://www.economicsandpeace.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/GPI-2024-web.pdf . live .