Uranium bubble of 2007 explained

The uranium bubble of 2007 was a period of nearly exponential growth in the price of natural uranium, starting in 2005[1] and peaking at roughly $300/kg (or ~$135/lb) in mid-2007.[2] This coincided with significant rises of stock price of uranium mining and exploration companies.[3] After mid-2007, the price began to fall again and at the end of 2010, was relatively stable at around $100/kg.[4]

Causes

The upward trend for the prices of uranium was already apparent since 2003. This prompted increases in mining activity. A possible direct cause for the bubble is the flooding of the Cigar Lake Mine, Saskatchewan, which has the largest undeveloped high-grade uranium ore deposits in the world. This created uncertainty about short-term future of the uranium supply.[3] Other factors are speculation triggered by growing expectations around India and China's nuclear programs, and a reduction in available weapons-grade uranium.[5] The bubble coincided with renewed discussions regarding a renaissance of nuclear power.

Impact

The impact of the bubble on nuclear power generation was small, as most power plants have long-term uranium delivery contracts,[6] and the price of natural uranium makes up only a small fraction of their operating cost. However, the sharp fall in prices after mid-2007 caused a lot of new companies focused on exploration and mining to lose their viability and go out of business.[3] Due to increased prospecting, known and inferred reserves of uranium have increased by 15% between 2005 and 2007.[7]

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Uranium Bubble & Spec Market Outlook. 2005-06-19. 2009-11-23. GoldSeek. Tony Locantro.
  2. Web site: Uranium a Bubble?. 2007-02-20. 2009-11-23.
  3. Web site: Uranium Has Bottomed: Two Uranium Bulls to Jump on Now. Andrew Mickey. 2008-08-22. UraniumSeek.com. 2009-11-23.
  4. Web site: Dynamic Charting Tool - 10 year uranium price in US$/kg. 2009-11-23. InvestmentMine.
  5. Web site: Global Uranium Supply and Demand - Council on Foreign Relations. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20110205070444/http://www.cfr.org/energy/global-uranium-supply-demand/p14705. 2011-02-05.
  6. Web site: Uranium 101: Markets . Cameco.
  7. News: Supply of Uranium. World Nuclear Association. August 2009. 2009-11-23. 2013-02-12. https://web.archive.org/web/20130212223705/http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf75.html. dead.