2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming explained

See main article: 2020 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Country:Wyoming
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
College Voted:yes
Previous Election:2016 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Previous Year:2016
Election Date:November 3, 2020
Next Election:2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Next Year:2024
Turnout:62.6% 4.79 pp[1]
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Wyoming Republican Party
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:3
Popular Vote1:193,559
Percentage1:69.94%
Nominee2:Joe Biden
Party2:Wyoming Democratic Party
Home State2:Delaware
Running Mate2:Kamala Harris
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:73,491
Percentage2:26.55%
President
Before Election:Donald Trump
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Joe Biden
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated.[2] Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] Trump, the Republican nominee and incumbent president of the United States, won the state's three electoral votes.

Trump routed Biden in Wyoming, with his 69.94% vote share there making it his strongest win in the election. He won the sparsely populated state by a margin of 43.39%, down from his 46.29% four years earlier. Prior to the election, all news organizations declared Wyoming a safe red state, therefore justifying its status as one of the safest red states in the country, not being won by a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide victory. Trump's 69.94% of the vote is the second-highest ever by a presidential candidate in Wyoming, only surpassed by Ronald Reagan during his 1984 landslide.

Despite his loss, Biden scored a landslide win in Teton County, garnering a larger vote share in it than any nominee since 1984. He also narrowly flipped the bellwether of Albany County, anchored by the college town of Laramie, which had supported Obama in 2008 before returning to the Republican Party in 2012 and 2016, albeit by a narrow margin.[4] Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Wyoming came from whites, who comprised 89% of the electorate, and from voters prioritizing energy policy, with 62% believing the government should focus on expanding production of fossil fuels such as oil, gas, or coal.[5]

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

The Democratic caucuses were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 22, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Wyoming Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting. The deadline was also extended to April 17.[6]

2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses[7] ! style="text-align:left;"
CandidateVotes%Delegates[8]
Joe Biden10,91272.2%12
Bernie Sanders (suspended)4,20627.8%2
Total15,118100%14

Republican caucuses

The Republican state party convention was held in May to officially select the final delegates to the national convention. Trump won all 29 delegates from Wyoming: 12 at the county conventions and 17 at the state convention.[9]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[10] November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[11] November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] November 3, 2020
Politico[13] November 3, 2020
RCP[14] November 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] November 3, 2020
CNN[16] November 3, 2020
The Economist[17] November 3, 2020
CBS News[18] November 3, 2020
270towin[19] November 3, 2020
ABC News[20] November 3, 2020
NPR[21] November 3, 2020
NBC News[22] November 3, 2020
538[23] November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump

Other/
Undecided
Margin-270 to Win[24] January 10, 202034%65%Trump +31.0-->
FiveThirtyEight[25] November 3, 202030.8%62.3%6.9%Trump +31.5-Average32.4%64.9%Trump +32.5-->

Polls

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump

Joe
Biden
Jo
Jorgensen

OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020367 (LV)± 7%66%33%
University of Wyoming[27] Oct 8–28, 2020614 (LV)± 4%59%31%5%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–28, 2020739 (LV)68%31%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–30, 2020236 (LV)65%34%1%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–31, 2020211 (LV)74%25%1%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–31, 2020246 (LV)70%28%2%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–30, 202098 (LV)78%22%0%

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[28]

Results

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Albany8,57946.08%9,09248.84%9465.09%-513-2.76%18,617
Big Horn4,80683.55%78813.70%1582.75%4,01869.85%5,752
Campbell16,97586.76%1,9359.89%6563.35%15,04076.87%19,566
Carbon5,01475.24%1,42721.41%2233.35%3,58753.83%6,664
Converse5,91784.89%86112.35%1922.76%5,05672.54%6,970
Crook3,65188.64%3789.18%902.18%3,27379.46%4,119
Fremont12,00766.30%5,51930.47%5853.23%6,48835.83%18,111
Goshen4,87878.16%1,20319.28%1602.57%3,67558.88%6,241
Hot Springs1,99977.57%48218.70%963.73%1,51758.87%2,577
Johnson3,88178.98%89718.25%1362.77%2,98460.73%4,914
Laramie27,89162.00%15,21733.83%1,8744.16%12,67428.17%44,982
Lincoln8,64382.57%1,50914.42%3163.03%7,13468.15%10,468
Natrona25,27171.79%8,53024.23%1,4013.98%16,74147.56%35,202
Niobrara1,11885.47%15511.85%352.68%96373.62%1,308
Park12,81376.65%3,41020.40%4942.96%9,40356.25%16,717
Platte3,89879.18%89018.08%1352.75%3,00861.10%4,923
Sheridan11,84372.09%4,04324.61%5423.29%7,80047.48%16,428
Sublette3,95779.62%88217.75%1312.63%3,07561.87%4,970
Sweetwater12,22973.66%3,82323.03%5513.32%8,40650.63%16,603
Teton4,34129.58%9,84867.10%4883.33%-5,507-37.52%14,677
Uinta7,49679.73%1,59116.92%3153.35%5,90562.81%9,402
Washakie3,24580.88%65116.23%1162.89%2,59464.65%4,012
Weston3,10787.72%36010.16%752.11%2,74777.56%3,542
Total193,55969.94%73,49126.55%9,7153.51%120,06843.39%276,765
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics . sos.wyo.gov/ . November 11, 2020.
  2. News: US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?. https://web.archive.org/web/20180802011326/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html . 2018-08-02 . limited . live. Kelly. Ben. August 13, 2018. The Independent. January 3, 2019.
  3. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. January 3, 2019.
  4. Web site: County winners, 1836-2016. 2020-11-20. Google Docs. en-US.
  5. News: 2020-11-03. Wyoming Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-11-17. 0362-4331.
  6. News: Wyoming Democratic Caucus moves to only mail-in voting . Wyoming Tribune Eagle . March 22, 2020.
  7. Web site: 2020 Caucus Results . www.wyodems.org . Wyoming Democratic Party . April 19, 2020 . September 13, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200913032152/https://www.wyodems.org/2020caucusresults . dead .
  8. Web site: Delegate Tracker . interactives.ap.org . Associated Press . April 19, 2020.
  9. Web site: Wyoming Republican Delegation 2020. The Green Papers. February 21, 2020.
  10. Web site: 2020 POTUS Race ratings. The Cook Political Report. en. 2019-05-21.
  11. Web site: POTUS Ratings Inside Elections. insideelections.com. 2019-05-21.
  12. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President. crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. 2019-05-21.
  13. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
  14. Web site: Battle for White House. April 19, 2019 . RCP.
  15. https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions
  16. Web site: David Chalian . Terence Burlij. Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020. 2020-06-16. CNN. June 11, 2020 .
  17. News: Forecasting the US elections . The Economist . July 7, 2020.
  18. Web site: 2020 Election Battleground Tracker. CBS News. July 12, 2020. July 13, 2020.
  19. Web site: 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map. 270 to Win.
  20. Web site: ABC News Race Ratings. CBS News. July 24, 2020. July 24, 2020.
  21. Web site: 2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes. 2020-08-03. NPR.org. August 3, 2020 . en. Montanaro . Domenico .
  22. Web site: Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten. 2020-08-06. NBC News. August 6, 2020 . en.
  23. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . August 12, 2020 . August 14, 2020.
  24. https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/wyoming/ 270 to Win
  25. Web site: Wyoming : President: general election Polls. Ryan. Best. Aaron. Bycoffe. Ritchie. King. Dhrumil. Mehta. Anna. Wiederkehr. June 28, 2018. FiveThirtyEight.
  26. Web site: Candidate preference. www.tableau.com.
  27. Web site: UW Survey: Wyoming Voters Prefer Trump to Biden | News | University of Wyoming. UWYO News.
  28. Web site: 2020 Presidential Electors Information. Wyoming Secretary of State. December 6, 2020.