2016 United States presidential election in Virginia explained

See main article: 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:	2016 United States presidential election in Virginia
Country:	Virginia
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2012 United States presidential election in Virginia
Previous Year:	2012
Election Date:	November 8, 2016
Next Election:	2020 United States presidential election in Virginia
Next Year:	2020
Turnout:	72.1% (of registered voters)^[1]
Image1:	Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee1:	Hillary Clinton
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:	New York
Running Mate1:	Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote1:	13
Popular Vote1:	1,981,473
Percentage1:
Nominee2:	Donald Trump
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:	New York
Running Mate2:	Mike Pence
Electoral Vote2:	0
Popular Vote2:	1,769,443
President
Before Election:	Barack Obama
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Donald Trump
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

The Democratic Party candidate, Hillary Clinton of New York, carried Virginia with a 49.73% plurality in the popular vote against businessman Donald Trump of New York, who carried 44.41%, a victory margin of 5.32%. Clinton seemed to benefit from having former Virginia governor Tim Kaine on the ticket. Whereas the national popular vote swung 1.77% Republican from the previous election, Virginia swung 1.44% Democratic.^[2] (Due to a higher third-party vote, Clinton's percentage was lower than Obama's in both 2008 and 2012, however.)

Conversely, Trump became the first Republican since Calvin Coolidge in 1924 to win the White House without carrying Virginia and Clinton the first Democrat to carry the state without winning the presidency since John W. Davis in that same election.^[3] Trump is also the first Republican since Ronald Reagan in 1980 to win the presidency without sweeping every former Confederate state. Virginia had been a traditionally Democratic-leaning state from the party's founding until 1952. It then became reliably Republican-leaning from 1952 until 2004, after which point it has voted Democratic in every presidential election. This was due largely to migration into counties in Northern Virginia, close to Washington, D.C., which has further tilted these densely populated areas towards the Democratic Party.

Primaries

Democratic primary

See main article: 2016 Virginia Democratic presidential primary. The 108 delegates (95 pledged delegates and 13 super delegates) from Virginia to the Democratic National Convention were allocated in this way. Among the pledged delegates, 62 of them were allocated based on the popular vote in each congressional district. The 33 at-large delegates were then allocated based on the statewide popular vote.^[4]

Republican primary

See main article: 2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary. The 49 delegates from Virginia to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote.^[5]

Libertarian nomination

The 2016 Libertarian Party presidential ticket was former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson for president and former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld for vice president. They earned those nominations at the Libertarian Party 2016 National ConDay weekend.^[6]

Green primary

The Virginia Green Party held its primary from March 20 through April 3. Party members were able to vote online through an email ballot or through the mail.^[7] On April 13, it was announced that Jill Stein had won with 76% of the vote. The state's four delegates were apportioned at the May 28 state meeting.^[8]

Virginia primary, April 3, 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Jill Stein	35	76%	3
Kent Mesplay	3	6%	1
William Kreml	2	4.1%	-
Darryl Cherney	2	3.8%	-
Sedinam Curry	1	1.7%	-
Write-ins	3	8.4%	-
Total	46	100.00%	4

General election

Polling

In polling, Hillary Clinton won or tied in every pre-election poll but one. An average of the last three polls showed Clinton ahead of Trump 48% to 43%, which was accurate compared to the results.^[9]

Voting history

Virginia joined the Union in June 1788 and has participated in all elections from 1789 onwards, except 1864 and 1868 (due to its secession from the US due to the American Civil War). Since 1900, Virginia voted Democratic 54.17% of the time and Republican 45.83% of the time. From 1968 to 2004, Virginia voted for the Republican Party candidate. Then, in the 2008 and 2012 elections, the state voted for the Democratic Party. The same trend continued in the 2016 presidential elections.^[10]

Clinton had several advantages in Virginia. The first was due in part to her landslide win in the Democratic primary against Senator Bernie Sanders. The second was Virginia has a significant number of African American voters, many of whom backed Clinton in the primary and both of President Barack Obama's wins in the state. The third was the state's growing share of well-educated suburban voters, especially in the suburbs surrounding Washington, D.C., who were moving away from the Republican Party in response to Trump being nominated for president. The fourth was Clinton's pick of the state's own US Senator, Tim Kaine, as her vice presidential running mate.^[11]

While polls throughout the campaign showed Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump by varying margins in Virginia, it was announced on October 13 that the Trump campaign was pulling its resources out of the state, likely ceding to Clinton what was perceived to be a critical battleground state. According to the Trump campaign, the reason for pulling out of Virginia was to compete in more critical battleground states like Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio, all of which were states he won.^[12]

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Virginia as of election day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[13]		November 6, 2016
CNN^[14]		November 8, 2016
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report^[15]		November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[16]		November 7, 2016
NBC^[17]		November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com^[18]		November 8, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[19]		November 7, 2016
Fox News^[20]		November 7, 2016
ABC^[21]		November 8, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Virginia

Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	1,981,473	49.73%	13
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	1,769,443	44.41%	0
	Libertarian		William Weld	118,274	2.97%	0
	Independent	Evan McMullin	Mindy Finn	54,054	1.35%	0
	Green		Ajamu Baraka	27,638	0.69%	0
	Independent (write-in)			33,749	0.85%	0
Totals				3,984,631	100.00%	13
Voter turnout (Voting age population)						71.30%
Source: Virginia Department of Elections

By city/county

County/City	Hillary Clinton Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Gary Johnson Libertarian		Evan McMullin Independent		Jill Stein Green		Various candidates Write-ins		Margin		Total votes cast
		%		%		%		%		%		%		%
	Accomack		6,740		42.61%		8,583		54.26%		264		1.67%		112		0.71%		66		0.42%		53		0.34%		−1,843		−11.65%		15,818
	Albemarle		33,345		58.78%		19,259		33.95%		2,105		3.71%		1,059		1.87%		450		0.79%		508		0.90%		14,086		24.83%		56,726
	Alexandria		57,242		75.56%		13,285		17.83%		2,020		2.67%		1,398		1.85%		592		0.78%		1,225		1.62%		43,957		58.02%		75,762
	Alleghany		2,166		29.57%		4,874		66.54%		164		2.24%		69		0.94%		35		0.48%		17		0.23%		−2,708		−36.97%		7,325
	Amelia		2,128		30.23%		4,708		66.88%		129		1.83%		41		0.58%		11		0.16%		23		0.33%		−2,580		−36.65%		7,040
	Amherst		5,057		32.85%		9,719		63.13%		317		2.06%		159		1.03%		65		0.42%		79		0.51%		−4,662		−30.28%		15,396
	Appomattox		2,023		25.30%		5,715		71.46%		136		1.70%		50		0.63%		31		0.39%		42		0.53%		−3,692		−46.16%		7,997
	Arlington		92,016		75.83%		20,186		16.64%		3,827		3.15%		2,594		2.14%		819		0.67%		1,897		1.56%		71,830		59.19%		121,339
	Augusta		8,177		22.50%		26,163		71.99%		1,099		3.02%		502		1.38%		200		0.55%		202		0.56%		−17,986		−49.49%		36,343
	Bath		603		26.76%		1,548		68.71%		56		2.49%		22		0.98%		15		0.67%		9		0.40%		−945		−41.95%		2,253
	Bedford		9,768		22.97%		30,659		72.10%		1,074		2.53%		627		1.47%		176		0.41%		221		0.52%		−20,891		−49.13%		42,525
	Bland		453		14.43%		2,573		81.97%		61		1.94%		21		0.67%		17		0.54%		14		0.45%		−2,120		−67.54%		3,139
	Botetourt		4,494		23.98%		13,375		71.38%		497		2.65%		185		0.99%		101		0.54%		87		0.46%		−8,881		−47.40%		18,739
	Bristol		1,835		26.11%		4,892		69.62%		136		1.94%		64		0.91%		50		0.71%		50		0.71%		−3,057		−43.51%		7,027
	Brunswick		4,481		58.43%		3,046		39.72%		72		0.94%		30		0.39%		25		0.33%		15		0.20%		1,435		18.71%		7,669
	Buchanan		1,721		18.61%		7,296		78.90%		122		1.32%		59		0.64%		24		0.26%		25		0.27%		−5,575		−60.29%		9,247
	Buckingham		3,128		42.91%		3,950		54.19%		102		1.40%		58		0.80%		27		0.37%		24		0.33%		−822		−11.28%		7,289
	Buena Vista		693		28.79%		1,430		59.41%		83		3.45%		174		7.23%		13		0.54%		14		0.58%		−737		−30.62%		2,407
	Campbell		6,664		24.20%		19,551		71.00%		665		2.42%		419		1.52%		102		0.37%		134		0.49%		−12,887		−46.80%		27,535
	Caroline		6,432		45.14%		7,147		50.16%		368		2.58%		154		1.04%		99		0.69%		48		0.34%		−715		−5.02%		14,248
	Carroll		2,559		18.74%		10,663		78.09%		220		1.61%		88		0.64%		69		0.51%		56		0.41%		−8,104		−59.35%		13,655
	Charles City		2,496		60.77%		1,476		35.94%		67		1.63%		39		0.95%		15		0.37%		14		0.34%		1,020		24.83%		4,107
	Charlotte		2,155		37.11%		3,479		59.91%		111		1.91%		38		0.65%		11		0.19%		13		0.22%		−1,324		−22.80%		5,807
	Charlottesville		17,901		79.68%		2,960		13.17%		785		3.49%		383		1.70%		230		1.02%		208		0.93%		14,941		66.51%		22,467
	Chesapeake		52,627		46.71%		54,047		47.97%		3,458		3.07%		1,146		1.02%		698		0.62%		686		0.61%		−1,440		−1.26%		112,662
	Chesterfield		81,074		45.97%		85,045		48.22%		6,247		3.54%		2,004		1.14%		990		0.56%		1,002		0.57%		−3,971		−2.25%		176,362
	Clarke		3,051		37.15%		4,661		56.75%		261		3.18%		111		1.35%		55		0.67%		74		0.90%		−1,610		−19.60%		8,213
	Colonial Heights		2,367		27.99%		5,681		67.18%		247		2.92%		88		1.04%		44		0.52%		30		0.35%		−3,314		−39.19%		8,457
	Covington		914		38.37%		1,349		56.63%		73		3.06%		25		1.05%		8		0.34%		13		0.55%		−435		−18.26%		2,382
	Craig		541		19.38%		2,140		76.68%		54		1.93%		30		1.07%		20		0.72%		6		0.21%		−1,599		−57.30%		2,791
	Culpeper		7,759		34.92%		13,349		60.08%		584		2.63%		242		1.09%		176		0.79%		108		0.49%		−5,590		−25.16%		22,218
	Cumberland		2,036		41.50%		2,697		54.97%		95		1.94%		32		0.65%		24		0.49%		22		0.45%		−661		−13.47%		4,906
	Danville		11,059		58.39%		7,303		38.56%		315		1.66%		117		0.62%		73		0.39%		73		0.39%		3,756		19.83%		18,940
	Dickenson		1,335		20.73%		4,932		76.58%		81		1.26%		43		0.67%		14		0.22%		35		0.54%		−3,597		−55.85%		6,440
	Dinwiddie		5,765		42.47%		7,447		54.86%		196		1.44%		79		0.58%		46		0.34%		42		0.31%		−1,682		−12.39%		13,575
	Emporia		1,530		64.67%		789		33.35%		26		1.10%		8		0.34%		10		0.42%		3		0.13%		741		31.32%		2,366
	Essex		2,542		47.32%		2,657		49.46%		113		2.10%		25		0.47%		18		0.34%		17		0.32%		−115		−2.14%		5,372
	Fairfax		355,133		64.43%		157,710		28.61%		15,664		2.84%		10,369		1.88%		4,477		0.81%		7,830		1.42%		197,423		35.82%		551,183
	Fairfax City		7,367		61.25%		3,702		30.78%		427		3.55%		263		2.19%		107		0.89%		162		1.35%		3,665		30.47%		12,028
	Falls Church		5,819		75.02%		1,324		17.07%		237		3.06%		228		2.94%		70		0.90%		79		1.02%		4,495		57.95%		7,757
	Fauquier		12,971		34.63%		22,127		59.07%		1,191		3.18%		597		1.59%		267		0.71%		307		0.82%		−9,156		−24.44%		37,460
	Floyd		2,300		28.57%		5,293		65.75%		185		2.30%		91		1.13%		107		1.33%		74		0.92%		−2,993		−37.18%		8,050
	Fluvanna		5,760		42.38%		7,025		51.68%		425		3.13%		218		1.60%		80		0.59%		84		0.62%		−1,265		−9.30%		13,592
	Franklin		7,257		26.91%		18,569		68.85%		602		2.23%		274		1.02%		115		0.43%		154		0.57%		−11,312		−41.94%		26,971
	Franklin City		2,519		62.03%		1,421		34.99%		72		1.77%		15		0.37%		16		0.39%		18		0.44%		1,098		27.04%		4,061
	Frederick		11,932		29.51%		26,083		64.50%		1,280		3.17%		543		1.34%		325		0.80%		277		0.68%		−14,151		−34.99%		40,440
	Fredericksburg		6,707		59.58%		3,744		33.26%		389		3.46%		189		1.68%		137		1.22%		91		0.81%		2,963		26.32%		11,257
	Galax		681		28.66%		1,603		67.47%		45		1.89%		28		1.18%		7		0.29%		12		0.51%		−922		−38.81%		2,376
	Giles		1,950		23.75%		5,910		71.97%		201		2.45%		78		0.95%		39		0.47%		34		0.41%		−3,960		−48.22%		8,212
	Gloucester		5,404		27.54%		13,096		66.75%		693		3.53%		213		1.09%		134		0.68%		79		0.40%		−7,692		−39.21%		19,619
	Goochland		4,889		34.83%		8,384		59.73%		474		3.38%		145		1.03%		54		0.38%		91		0.65%		−3,495		−24.90%		14,037
	Grayson		1,407		19.31%		5,592		76.76%		110		1.51%		93		1.28%		55		0.75%		28		0.38%		−4,185		−57.45%		7,285
	Greene		2,924		30.44%		5,945		61.88%		406		4.23%		167		1.74%		66		0.69%		99		1.03%		−3,021		−31.44%		9,607
	Greensville		2,558		58.63%		1,737		39.81%		50		1.15%		12		0.28%		6		0.14%		0		0.00%		821		18.82%		4,363
	Halifax		6,897		40.58%		9,704		57.10%		237		1.39%		77		0.45%		44		0.26%		35		0.21%		−2,807		−16.52%		16,994
	Hampton		41,312		66.34%		17,902		28.75%		1,658		2.66%		551		0.88%		474		0.76%		380		0.61%		23,410		37.59%		62,277
	Hanover		19,382		30.90%		39,630		63.18%		2,310		3.68%		741		1.18%		314		0.50%		346		0.55%		−20,248		−32.28%		62,723
	Harrisonburg		10,212		56.77%		6,262		34.81%		810		4.50%		310		1.72%		255		1.42%		138		0.77%		3,950		21.96%		17,987
	Henrico		93,935		57.44%		59,857		36.60%		5,657		3.46%		1,997		1.22%		1,081		0.66%		1,009		0.62%		34,078		20.84%		163,536
	Henry		8,198		34.03%		15,208		63.13%		378		1.57%		147		0.61%		98		0.41%		62		0.26%		−7,010		−29.10%		24,091
	Highland		371		26.67%		958		68.87%		33		2.37%		21		1.51%		8		0.58%		0		0.00%		−587		−42.20%		1,391
	Hopewell		4,724		52.44%		3,885		43.13%		212		2.35%		91		1.01%		58		0.64%		38		0.42%		839		9.31%		9,008
	Isle of Wight		7,881		37.40%		12,204		57.91%		589		2.79%		207		0.98%		81		0.38%		113		0.54%		−4,323		−20.51%		21,075
	James City		19,105		44.26%		21,306		49.35%		1,395		3.23%		686		1.59%		281		0.65%		396		0.92%		−2,201		−5.09%		43,169
	King and Queen		1,468		39.78%		2,099		56.88%		75		2.03%		13		0.35%		18		0.49%		17		0.46%		−631		−17.10%		3,690
	King George		4,007		33.25%		7,341		60.92%		367		3.05%		177		1.47%		83		0.69%		75		0.62%		−3,334		−27.67%		12,050
	King William		2,760		30.18%		5,975		65.33%		261		2.85%		71		0.78%		44		0.48%		35		0.38%		−3,215		−35.15%		9,146
	Lancaster		2,869		43.18%		3,523		53.02%		141		2.12%		41		0.62%		35		0.53%		36		0.54%		−654		−9.84%		6,645
	Lee		1,627		17.31%		7,543		80.25%		106		1.13%		45		0.48%		33		0.35%		45		0.48%		−5,916		−62.94%		9,399
	Lexington		1,514		61.42%		766		31.08%		92		3.73%		56		2.27%		20		0.81%		17		0.69%		748		30.34%		2,465
	Loudoun		100,795		55.06%		69,949		38.21%		5,674		3.10%		3,413		1.86%		1,316		0.72%		1,903		1.04%		30,846		16.85%		183,050
	Louisa		6,212		35.27%		10,528		59.78%		505		2.87%		163		0.93%		124		0.70%		80		0.45%		−4,316		−24.51%		17,612
	Lunenburg		2,227		39.87%		3,204		57.36%		88		1.58%		32		0.57%		25		0.45%		10		0.18%		−977		−17.49%		5,586
	Lynchburg		14,792		41.48%		17,982		50.43%		1,379		3.87%		998		2.80%		208		0.58%		298		0.84%		−3,190		−8.95%		35,657
	Madison		2,203		31.57%		4,419		63.32%		184		2.64%		87		1.25%		43		0.62%		43		0.62%		−2,216		−31.75%		6,979
	Manassas		8,423		54.66%		5,953		38.63%		488		3.17%		246		1.60%		147		0.95%		154		1.00%		2,470		16.03%		15,411
	Manassas Park		3,204		61.24%		1,733		33.12%		162		3.10%		57		1.09%		45		0.86%		31		0.59%		1,471		28.12%		5,232
	Martinsville		3,533		59.81%		2,149		36.38%		114		1.93%		51		0.86%		29		0.49%		31		0.52%		1,384		23.43%		5,907
	Mathews		1,563		29.43%		3,517		66.22%		147		2.77%		36		0.68%		31		0.58%		17		0.32%		−1,954		−36.79%		5,311
	Mecklenburg		6,285		42.05%		8,288		55.46%		239		1.60%		54		0.36%		30		0.20%		49		0.33%		−2,003		−13.41%		14,945
	Middlesex		2,108		35.03%		3,670		60.99%		140		2.33%		50		0.83%		33		0.55%		16		0.27%		−1,562		−25.96%		6,017
	Montgomery		20,021		46.53%		19,459		45.22%		2,026		4.71%		798		1.85%		401		0.93%		326		0.76%		562		1.31%		43,031
	Nelson		3,689		44.39%		4,154		49.98%		244		2.94%		95		1.14%		81		0.97%		48		0.58%		−465		−5.59%		8,311
	New Kent		3,546		28.99%		8,118		66.36%		348		2.84%		102		0.83%		52		0.43%		67		0.55%		−4,572		−37.37%		12,233
	Newport News		45,618		60.31%		25,468		33.67%		2,531		3.35%		931		1.23%		591		0.78%		498		0.66%		20,150		26.64%		75,637
	Norfolk		57,023		68.39%		21,552		25.85%		2,717		3.26%		761		0.91%		797		0.96%		535		0.64%		35,471		42.54%		83,385
	Northampton		3,255		52.77%		2,686		43.55%		116		1.88%		37		0.60%		40		0.65%		34		0.55%		569		9.22%		6,168
	Northumberland		2,852		38.56%		4,302		58.16%		136		1.84%		51		0.69%		21		0.28%		35		0.47%		−1,450		−19.60%		7,397
	Norton		383		26.23%		1,021		69.93%		24		1.64%		22		1.51%		6		0.41%		4		0.27%		−638		−43.70%		1,460
	Nottoway		2,829		41.95%		3,712		55.04%		116		1.72%		35		0.52%		25		0.37%		27		0.40%		−883		−13.09%		6,744
	Orange		5,957		34.50%		10,521		60.93%		399		2.31%		178		1.03%		116		0.67%		96		0.56%		−4,564		−26.43%		17,267
	Page		2,514		23.41%		7,831		72.91%		198		1.84%		89		0.83%		38		0.35%		70		0.65%		−5,317		−49.50%		10,740
	Patrick		1,768		20.74%		6,454		75.71%		147		1.72%		71		0.83%		49		0.57%		36		0.42%		−4,686		−54.97%		8,525
	Petersburg		12,021		87.20%		1,451		10.53%		139		1.01%		58		0.42%		67		0.49%		50		0.36%		10,570		76.67%		13,786
	Pittsylvania		9,199		29.11%		21,554		68.21%		442		1.40%		202		0.64%		106		0.34%		95		0.30%		−12,355		−39.10%		31,598
	Poquoson		1,601		22.31%		5,092		70.95%		307		4.28%		76		1.06%		43		0.60%		58		0.81%		−3,491		−48.64%		7,177
	Portsmouth		28,497		65.87%		12,795		29.58%		1,096		2.53%		331		0.77%		323		0.75%		219		0.51%		15,702		36.29%		43,261
	Powhatan		4,060		24.04%		11,885		70.38%		639		3.78%		151		0.89%		73		0.43%		80		0.47%		−7,825		−46.34%		16,888
	Prince Edward		4,591		50.21%		4,101		44.85%		286		3.13%		85		0.93%		53		0.58%		27		0.30%		490		5.36%		9,143
	Prince George		6,419		39.66%		9,157		56.58%		374		2.31%		120		0.74%		70		0.43%		44		0.27%		−2,738		−16.92%		16,184
	Prince William		113,144		57.60%		71,721		36.51%		5,374		2.74%		2,995		1.52%		1,497		0.76%		1,711		0.87%		41,423		21.09%		196,442
	Pulaski		4,172		27.51%		10,322		68.06%		351		2.31%		171		1.13%		107		0.71%		42		0.28%		−6,150		−40.55%		15,165
	Radford		2,925		48.09%		2,638		43.37%		301		4.95%		113		1.86%		58		0.95%		47		0.77%		287		4.72%		6,082
	Rappahannock		1,747		38.97%		2,539		56.64%		93		2.07%		42		0.94%		36		0.80%		26		0.58%		−792		−17.67%		4,483
	Richmond		1,347		36.79%		2,213		60.45%		57		1.56%		21		0.57%		13		0.36%		10		0.27%		−866		−23.66%		3,661
	Richmond City		81,259		78.58%		15,581		15.07%		3,617		3.50%		1,124		1.09%		1,134		1.10%		691		0.67%		65,678		63.51%		103,406
	Roanoke		17,200		33.41%		31,408		61.00%		1,620		3.15%		678		1.32%		286		0.56%		297		0.58%		−14,208		−27.59%		51,489
	Roanoke City		22,286		56.47%		14,789		37.47%		1,316		3.33%		413		1.05%		411		1.04%		251		0.64%		7,497		19.00%		39,466
	Rockbridge		3,508		32.50%		6,680		61.88%		271		2.51%		171		1.58%		66		0.61%		99		0.92%		−3,172		−29.38%		10,795
	Rockingham		9,366		24.98%		25,990		69.33%		1,088		2.90%		610		1.63%		208		0.55%		225		0.60%		−16,624		−44.35%		37,487
	Russell		2,330		19.03%		9,521		77.75%		190		1.55%		104		0.85%		58		0.47%		43		0.35%		−7,191		−58.72%		12,246
	Salem		4,202		34.37%		7,226		59.11%		442		3.62%		158		1.29%		92		0.75%		105		0.86%		−3,024		−24.74%		12,225
	Scott		1,581		15.65%		8,247		81.65%		142		1.41%		53		0.52%		39		0.39%		38		0.38%		−6,666		−66.00%		10,100
	Shenandoah		5,273		25.71%		14,094		68.72%		556		2.71%		286		1.39%		149		0.73%		150		0.73%		−8,821		−43.01%		20,508
	Smyth		2,665		20.67%		9,750		75.64%		258		2.00%		113		0.88%		53		0.41%		51		0.40%		−7,085		−54.97%		12,890
	Southampton		3,595		40.52%		5,035		56.75%		156		1.76%		62		0.70%		24		0.27%		0		0.00%		−1,440		−16.23%		8,872
	Spotsylvania		24,207		38.70%		34,623		55.35%		1,910		3.05%		900		1.44%		450		0.72%		459		0.73%		−10,416		−16.65%		62,549
	Stafford		27,908		42.33%		33,868		51.37%		2,140		3.25%		1,006		1.53%		488		0.74%		524		0.79%		−5,960		−9.04%		65,934
	Staunton		5,333		47.38%		5,133		45.61%		419		3.72%		159		1.41%		109		0.97%		102		0.91%		200		1.77%		11,255
	Suffolk		23,280		53.84%		18,006		41.64%		1,098		2.54%		436		1.01%		223		0.52%		197		0.46%		5,274		12.20%		43,240
	Surry		2,272		53.74%		1,819		43.02%		81		1.92%		29		0.69%		17		0.40%		10		0.24%		453		10.72%		4,228
	Sussex		2,879		57.08%		2,055		40.74%		63		1.25%		22		0.44%		22		0.44%		3		0.06%		824		16.34%		5,044
	Tazewell		2,895		15.59%		15,168		81.70%		260		1.40%		127		0.68%		53		0.29%		63		0.34%		−12,273		−66.11%		18,566
	Virginia Beach		91,032		44.84%		98,224		48.38%		8,255		4.07%		2,237		1.10%		1,737		0.86%		1,534		0.76%		−7,192		−3.54%		203,019
	Warren		5,169		28.80%		11,773		65.58%		495		2.76%		222		1.24%		149		0.83%		143		0.80%		−6,604		−36.78%		17,951
	Washington		5,553		21.48%		19,320		74.75%		537		2.08%		229		0.89%		93		0.36%		114		0.44%		−13,767		−53.27%		25,846
	Waynesboro		3,764		40.90%		4,801		52.16%		336		3.65%		145		1.58%		74		0.80%		84		0.91%		−1,037		−11.26%		9,204
	Westmoreland		3,836		44.74%		4,448		51.88%		157		1.83%		50		0.58%		40		0.47%		43		0.50%		−612		−7.14%		8,574
	Williamsburg		5,206		68.27%		1,925		25.24%		231		3.03%		100		1.31%		84		1.10%		80		1.05%		3,281		43.03%		7,626
	Winchester		5,164		48.42%		4,790		44.91%		400		3.75%		128		1.20%		99		0.93%		84		0.81%		374		3.51%		10,665
	Wise		2,701		17.81%		12,086		79.71%		182		1.20%		65		0.43%		77		0.51%		52		0.34%		−9,385		−61.90%		15,163
	Wythe		2,770		20.78%		10,046		75.38%		285		2.14%		107		0.80%		49		0.37%		71		0.53%		−7,276		−54.60%		13,328
	York		12,999		38.11%		18,837		55.22%		1,186		3.48%		549		1.61%		252		0.74%		290		0.85%		−5,838		−17.11%		34,113
Totals	1,981,473	49.75%	1,769,443	44.43%	118,274	2.97%	54,054	1.36%	27,638	0.69%	31,870	0.80%	212,030	5.32%	3,982,752

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Buckingham (largest town: Dillwyn)
• Caroline (largest town: Bowling Green)
• Chesapeake (independent city)
• Covington (independent city)
• Essex (largest town: Tappahannock)
• Nelson (largest community: Nellysford)
• Westmoreland (largest town: Colonial Beach)

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Montgomery (largest town: Blacksburg)

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 11 congressional districts, while Clinton won 5, including one held by a Republican. ^[22]

District	Clinton	Trump	Representative
		41%	53%		Rob Wittman
	45%	48%		Scott Rigell
			Scott Taylor
		63%	32%		Robert C. Scott
	58%	37%		Randy Forbes
			Donald McEachin
	42%	53%
		35%	59%		Bob Goodlatte
		44%	50%		Dave Brat
		72%	21%		Don Beyer
		27%	68%		Morgan Griffith
		52%	42%		Barbara Comstock
		66%	27%		Gerry Connolly

Analysis

Virginia was the only one of the eleven states that composed the Confederate States of America to vote Democratic in this election. This is a reversal from 1976, when it was the only state that had been part of the Confederacy to vote Republican. Virginia was also the only state Hillary Clinton won which was never carried by her husband Bill Clinton in either of his runs for president in 1992 and 1996 (conversely, 11 states voted for Bill Clinton twice that were lost by Hillary Clinton). Virginia was one of eleven states (and the District of Columbia) to vote more Democratic than in 2012. This was only the third time since Reconstruction that Virginia voted for a different candidate than Florida, after 1976 and 1996, and the first in which Virginia voted Democratic while Florida voted Republican. This would happen again four years later.

Trump was the first ever Republican to win without Harrisonburg, Manassas, and Manassas Park. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Prince William County and Hopewell since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952, as well as the first to do so without carrying Loudoun County since Herbert Hoover in 1928, and the first to do so without carrying Henrico County, Montgomery County, Staunton, and Winchester since Coolidge in 1924.

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls. There were 2942 total respondents.^[23]

2016 Virginia presidential election (CNN)^[24]

Demographic subgroup		Clinton		Trump	% of total vote
Ideology
Liberals	85	11	26
Moderates	58	36	40
Conservatives	12	83	33
Party
Democrats	92	6	40
Republicans	6	88	33
Independents	43	48	26
Age
18–24 years old	51	38	9
25–29 years old	57	34	9
30–39 years old	55	37	16
40–49 years old	51	45	21
50–64 years old	45	52	30
65 and older	45	52	16
Gender
Men	43	52	47
Women	56	39	53
Marital status
Married	44	52	59
Unmarried	54	36	41
Marital status by gender
Married men	40	56	29
Married women	47	48	30
Unmarried men	46	42	17
Unmarried women	61	32	23
Race/ethnicity
White	35	59	67
Black	88	9	21
Latino	65	30	6
Asian	N/A	N/A	3
Other	N/A	N/A	3
Gender by race
White men	29	65	32
White women	41	54	35
Black men	84	13	9
Black women	91	7	12
Latino men (of any race)	N/A	N/A	3
Latino women (of any race)	N/A	N/A	3
Other racial/ethnic groups	62	30	6
Education
Never attended college	44	52	14
Some college education	44	51	31
College graduate	51	44	31
Advanced degree	61	33	23
Education by race
White college graduated	45	49	38
White no college degree	24	71	29
Non-white college graduates	78	17	16
Non-white no college degree	81	16	16
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees	50	44	21
White women without college degrees	29	66	15
White men with college degrees	40	54	17
White men without college degrees	19	75	15
Non-white	79	16	33
Income
Under $50K	53	41	30
$50K-$100K	47	49	30
$100K or more	51	44	40
Issue regarded as most important
Foreign policy	67	26	11
Immigration	27	68	10
Economy	52	41	56
Terrorism	45	53	20
Region
D.C. Suburbs	68	27	19
Northern Virginia exurbs	48	46	17
Central/ west Virginia	31	64	21
Richmond/ east	50	44	25
Tidewater	53	42	18
Area type
Urban	59	34	30
Suburban	47	48	51
Rural	41	56	19

See also

• Democratic Party of Virginia
• Republican Party of Virginia
• Libertarian Party of Virginia
• Green Party of Virginia

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Virginia

Notes and References

1. Web site: Registration/Turnout Statistics. Virginia Department of Elections. September 18, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20181018023154/https://www.elections.virginia.gov/resultsreports/registration-statistics/registrationturnout-statistics/index.html. October 18, 2018. dead.
2. Web site: 2016 Presidential General Election Data - National. Uselectionatlas.org. December 19, 2018.
3. Web site: Historical U.S. Presidential Elections 1789-2016. 270towin.com. March 9, 2019.
4. Web site: Virginia Democratic Delegation 2016. Thegreenpapers.com. February 23, 2017.
5. Web site: Virginia Republican Delegation 2016. Thegreenpapers.com. February 23, 2017.
6. Web site: Libertarian Party Nominates Gov Gary Johnson Gov Bill Weld. May 30, 2016. Lpva.com. September 4, 2016. September 11, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160911082604/http://lpva.com/. dead.
7. Web site: GPVA Presidential Preference Primary 2016. March 12, 2016. Green Party of Virginia. March 12, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160313040616/http://www.vagreenparty.org/gpus/2016/GPVAPrimary2016.html. March 13, 2016. dead.
8. Web site: GREEN PARTY OF VIRGINIA PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY RESULTS. April 13, 2016. Green Party of Virginia. April 13, 2016.
9. Web site: RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton.
10. Web site: Virginia Presidential Election 2016 Results LIVE Updates. October 13, 2016. Usaelections-2016.com. October 13, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20161013225211/http://usaelections-2016.com/virginia-presidential-election-2016-results-live-updates/956/. October 13, 2016. dead.
11. News: If Tim Kaine Can Help Clinton in Virginia Even a Bit, It's a Big Deal. Cohn. Nate. July 22, 2016. The New York Times. March 9, 2019. 0362-4331.
12. Web site: Trump's campaign is giving up on Virginia. NBC News.
13. Web site: Campaign 2016 updates: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton traverse the country in final push. Los Angeles Times.
14. Web site: Road to 270: CNN's new election map. David Chalian. CNN.
15. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
16. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President. Centerforpolitics.org.
17. Web site: NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton. NBC News.
18. Web site: ElectoralVote. Electoral-vote.com.
19. Web site: RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House. Realclearpolitics.com.
20. Web site: Fox News Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge. November 7, 2016. Fox News Channel.
21. Web site: The Final 15: Latest Polls in Swing States. November 8, 2016. ABC News.
22. Web site: Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index. The Cook Political Report.
23. Web site: 2016 Virginia Exit Polls . 2024-08-20 . CNN Politics . en.
24. Web site: 2016 Virginia Exit Polls . 2024-08-20 . CNN Politics . en.