2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee explained

See main article: article and 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:	2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee
Country:	Tennessee
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee
Previous Year:	2012
Election Date:	November 8, 2016
Next Election:	2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee
Next Year:	2020
Turnout:	61.92% ^[1] 0.06 pp
Image1:	Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Donald Trump
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:	New York
Running Mate1:	Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:	11
Popular Vote1:	1,522,925
Percentage1:
Nominee2:	Hillary Clinton
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:	New York
Running Mate2:	Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote2:	0
Popular Vote2:	870,695
President
Before Election:	Barack Obama
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Donald Trump
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Tennessee voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Trump won the election in Tennessee with 60.7% of the vote. Clinton received 34.7% of the vote.^[2] This is the largest margin of victory for a presidential candidate for either party in the state since 1972 with Richard Nixon, and also the first time since that either party has earned over 60% of the vote in Tennessee. Tennessee was one of eleven states won by Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but lost by Hillary Clinton.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: article and 2016 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary.

Hillary Clinton was challenged by Bernie Sanders, the only other major candidate remaining in the Democratic primaries. Clinton won the state, defeating Sanders by 33.6 points and earning 44 delegates while Sanders earned 23 delegates.

Republican primary

See main article: article and 2016 Tennessee Republican presidential primary. Donald Trump won the primary with a plurality, carrying 38.9% of the vote and all but one county, awarding him 33 delegates.^[3]

Texas Senator Ted Cruz, came second with 24.7% of the vote and 16 delegates. Florida Senator Marco Rubio came third with 21.2% of the vote and 9 delegates, carrying only the county of Williamson. All other candidates did not receive any delegates.^[4]

General election

Voting History

Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996. In 2012, Republican nominee Mitt Romney won the state by a margin of more than twenty points due to the unpopularity of the Obama administration in the conservative state. Typically Democrats do very well in the urban regions of Memphis and Nashville, while Republicans dominate the rural and suburban areas. Tennessee is considered a safe Republican state. In 2016, it stayed that way, with Trump winning the state with 60.7% of the vote.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[5]		November 6, 2016
CNN^[6]		November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report^[7]		November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com^[8]		November 8, 2016
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report^[9]		November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[10]		November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[11]		November 8, 2016
NBC^[12]		November 7, 2016

^Highest rating given

By congressional district

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.^[13]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
		76%	20%		Phil Roe
		65%	30%		Jimmy Duncan
		61%	38%		Chuck Fleischmann
		68%	27%		Scott DesJarlais
		38%	56%		Jim Cooper
		72%	24%		Diane Black
		67%	28%		Marsha Blackburn
	66%	31%		Stephen Fincher
			David Kustoff
		20%	77%		Steve Cohen

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Hillary Clinton Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
		%		%		%		%
	Anderson		19,212		64.30%		9,013		30.16%		1,656		5.54%		10,199		34.14%		29,881
	Bedford		11,486		74.80%		3,395		22.11%		474		3.09%		8,091		52.69%		15,355
	Benton		4,716		74.53%		1,474		23.29%		138		2.18%		3,242		51.24%		6,328
	Bledsoe		3,622		77.66%		897		19.23%		145		3.11%		2,725		58.43%		4,664
	Blount		37,443		71.72%		12,100		23.18%		2,665		5.10%		25,343		48.54%		52,208
	Bradley		29,768		76.99%		7,070		18.28%		1,828		4.73%		22,698		58.71%		38,666
	Campbell		9,870		78.76%		2,248		17.94%		414		3.30%		7,622		60.82%		12,532
	Cannon		4,007		75.40%		1,127		21.21%		180		3.39%		2,880		54.19%		5,314
	Carroll		7,756		74.69%		2,327		22.41%		301		2.90%		5,429		52.28%		10,384
	Carter		16,898		80.15%		3,453		16.38%		733		3.47%		13,445		63.77%		21,084
	Cheatham		11,297		70.94%		3,878		24.35%		749		4.71%		7,419		46.59%		15,924
	Chester		5,081		78.09%		1,243		19.10%		183		2.81%		3,838		58.99%		6,507
	Claiborne		8,602		80.09%		1,832		17.06%		306		2.85%		6,770		63.03%		10,740
	Clay		2,141		73.32%		707		24.21%		72		2.47%		1,434		49.11%		2,920
	Cocke		9,791		80.74%		1,981		16.34%		354		2.92%		7,810		64.40%		12,126
	Coffee		14,417		72.19%		4,743		23.75%		811		4.06%		9,674		48.44%		19,971
	Crockett		3,982		73.78%		1,303		24.14%		112		2.08%		2,679		49.64%		5,397
	Cumberland		20,413		77.44%		5,202		19.73%		745		2.83%		15,211		57.71%		26,360
	Davidson		84,550		33.95%		148,864		59.77%		15,654		6.28%		-64,314		-25.82%		249,068
	Decatur		3,588		78.14%		894		19.47%		110		2.39%		2,694		58.67%		4,592
	DeKalb		5,171		74.35%		1,569		22.56%		215		3.09%		3,602		51.79%		6,955
	Dickson		13,233		70.77%		4,722		25.25%		744		3.98%		8,511		45.52%		18,699
	Dyer		10,180		76.33%		2,816		21.12%		340		2.55%		7,364		55.21%		13,336
	Fayette		13,055		67.31%		5,874		30.29%		465		2.40%		7,181		37.02%		19,394
	Fentress		6,038		82.34%		1,100		15.00%		195		2.66%		4,938		67.34%		7,333
	Franklin		11,532		70.30%		4,374		26.66%		498		3.04%		7,158		43.64%		16,404
	Gibson		13,786		70.53%		5,258		26.90%		503		2.57%		8,528		43.63%		19,547
	Giles		7,970		71.56%		2,917		26.19%		250		2.25%		5,053		45.37%		11,137
	Grainger		6,626		82.74%		1,154		14.41%		228		2.85%		5,472		68.33%		8,008
	Greene		18,562		78.71%		4,216		17.88%		805		3.41%		14,346		60.83%		23,583
	Grundy		3,636		76.34%		999		20.97%		128		2.69%		2,637		55.37%		4,763
	Hamblen		15,857		76.63%		4,075		19.69%		760		3.68%		11,782		56.94%		20,692
	Hamilton		78,733		55.29%		55,316		38.84%		8,359		5.87%		23,417		16.45%		142,408
	Hancock		1,843		82.61%		322		14.43%		66		2.96%		1,521		68.18%		2,231
	Hardeman		4,919		53.05%		4,185		45.13%		169		1.82%		734		7.92%		9,273
	Hardin		8,012		80.53%		1,622		16.30%		315		3.17%		6,390		64.23%		9,949
	Hawkins		16,648		80.14%		3,507		16.88%		619		2.98%		13,141		63.26%		20,774
	Haywood		3,013		44.09%		3,711		54.30%		110		1.61%		-698		-10.21%		6,834
	Henderson		8,138		79.65%		1,800		17.62%		279		2.73%		6,338		62.03%		10,217
	Henry		9,508		73.45%		3,063		23.66%		374		2.89%		6,445		49.79%		12,945
	Hickman		5,695		72.89%		1,824		23.35%		294		3.76%		3,871		49.54%		7,813
	Houston		2,182		68.88%		866		27.34%		120		3.78%		1,316		41.54%		3,168
	Humphreys		4,930		68.92%		1,967		27.50%		256		3.58%		2,963		41.42%		7,153
	Jackson		3,236		72.46%		1,129		25.28%		101		2.26%		2,107		47.18%		4,466
	Jefferson		14,776		77.47%		3,494		18.32%		802		4.21%		11,282		59.15%		19,072
	Johnson		5,410		82.23%		988		15.02%		181		2.75%		4,422		67.21%		6,579
	Knox		105,767		58.53%		62,878		34.80%		12,052		6.67%		42,889		23.73%		180,697
	Lake		1,357		68.88%		577		29.29%		36		1.83%		780		39.59%		1,970
	Lauderdale		4,884		60.39%		3,056		37.79%		147		1.82%		1,828		22.60%		8,087
	Lawrence		12,420		79.28%		2,821		18.01%		425		2.71%		9,599		61.27%		15,666
	Lewis		3,585		77.56%		890		19.26%		147		3.18%		2,695		58.30%		4,622
	Lincoln		10,398		77.90%		2,554		19.13%		396		2.97%		7,844		58.77%		13,348
	Loudon		17,610		75.29%		4,919		21.03%		862		3.68%		12,691		54.26%		23,391
	Macon		6,263		83.46%		1,072		14.29%		169		2.25%		5,191		69.17%		7,504
	Madison		21,335		55.97%		15,448		40.52%		1,337		3.51%		5,887		15.45%		38,120
	Marion		7,696		70.85%		2,832		26.07%		334		3.08%		4,864		44.78%		10,862
	Marshall		8,184		71.44%		2,852		24.90%		419		3.66%		5,332		46.54%		11,455
	Maury		23,799		67.29%		10,038		28.38%		1,532		4.33%		13,761		38.91%		35,369
	McMinn		14,691		78.33%		3,510		18.72%		554		2.95%		11,181		59.61%		18,755
	McNairy		7,841		78.11%		1,848		18.41%		349		3.48%		5,993		59.70%		10,038
	Meigs		3,342		77.36%		856		19.81%		122		2.83%		2,486		57.55%		4,320
	Monroe		13,374		78.24%		3,186		18.64%		533		3.12%		10,188		59.60%		17,093
	Montgomery		32,341		56.13%		21,699		37.66%		3,580		6.21%		10,642		18.47%		57,620
	Moore		2,325		79.46%		496		16.95%		105		3.59%		1,829		62.51%		2,926
	Morgan		5,441		81.15%		1,054		15.72%		210		3.13%		4,387		65.43%		6,705
	Obion		9,526		77.77%		2,426		19.81%		297		2.42%		7,100		57.96%		12,249
	Overton		6,059		73.63%		1,945		23.64%		225		2.73%		4,114		49.99%		8,229
	Perry		2,167		75.90%		597		20.91%		91		3.19%		1,570		54.99%		2,855
	Pickett		2,021		77.28%		536		20.50%		58		2.22%		1,485		56.78%		2,615
	Polk		5,097		78.17%		1,252		19.20%		171		2.63%		3,845		58.97%		6,520
	Putnam		19,002		69.83%		6,851		25.18%		1,359		4.99%		12,151		44.65%		27,212
	Rhea		8,660		78.29%		1,942		17.56%		460		4.15%		6,718		60.73%		11,062
	Roane		15,880		73.28%		4,837		22.32%		952		4.40%		11,043		50.96%		21,669
	Robertson		19,410		71.59%		6,637		24.48%		1,066		3.93%		12,773		47.11%		27,113
	Rutherford		64,515		60.05%		36,706		34.17%		6,215		5.78%		27,809		25.88%		107,436
	Scott		6,044		84.85%		934		13.11%		145		2.04%		5,110		71.74%		7,123
	Sequatchie		4,441		77.99%		1,053		18.49%		200		3.52%		3,388		59.50%		5,694
	Sevier		28,629		78.84%		6,297		17.34%		1,386		3.82%		22,332		61.50%		36,312
	Shelby		116,344		34.48%		208,992		61.95%		12,047		3.57%		-92,648		-27.47%		337,383
	Smith		5,494		73.88%		1,689		22.71%		253		3.41%		3,805		51.17%		7,436
	Stewart		3,864		72.92%		1,222		23.06%		213		4.02%		2,642		49.86%		5,299
	Sullivan		46,979		75.43%		12,578		20.20%		2,721		4.37%		34,401		55.23%		62,278
	Sumner		50,129		70.11%		18,161		25.40%		3,215		4.49%		31,968		44.71%		71,505
	Tipton		16,910		72.02%		5,785		24.64%		786		3.34%		11,125		47.38%		23,481
	Trousdale		2,103		66.55%		946		29.94%		111		3.51%		1,157		36.61%		3,160
	Unicoi		5,671		78.82%		1,262		17.54%		262		3.64%		4,409		61.28%		7,195
	Union		5,053		80.89%		1,012		16.20%		182		2.91%		4,041		64.69%		6,247
	Van Buren		1,820		75.24%		539		22.28%		60		2.48%		1,281		52.96%		2,419
	Warren		9,540		70.09%		3,535		25.97%		537		3.94%		6,005		44.12%		13,612
	Washington		34,252		68.85%		13,024		26.18%		2,474		4.97%		21,228		42.67%		49,750
	Wayne		5,036		85.98%		717		12.24%		104		1.78%		4,319		73.74%		5,857
	Weakley		9,008		73.93%		2,772		22.75%		404		3.32%		6,236		51.18%		12,184
	White		7,671		78.08%		1,845		18.78%		309		3.14%		5,826		59.30%		9,825
	Williamson		68,212		64.19%		31,013		29.18%		7,046		6.63%		37,199		35.01%		106,271
	Wilson		39,406		69.46%		14,385		25.36%		2,943		5.18%		25,021		44.10%		56,734
Totals	1,522,925	60.72%	870,695	34.72%	114,407	4.56%	652,230	26.00%	2,508,027

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Hardeman (largest city: Bolivar)

See also

• Presidency of Donald Trump
• United States presidential elections in Tennessee
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Tennessee elections

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Tennessee

Notes and References

1. News: November 8, 2016 . Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2016 . Tennessee Secretary of State . February 28, 2023 .
2. Web site: Tennessee Election Results 2016 – The New York Times . . 2017-07-26 . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20170717192750/https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/tennessee . 2017-07-17 .
3. News: 2016-09-29 . Tennessee Primary Election Results 2016 . 2024-02-12 . The New York Times . en-US . 0362-4331.
4. Web site: Tennessee Primary Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates . 2024-02-12 . Election Hub.
5. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . 10 February 2019 . . 6 November 2016.
6. News: Chalian . David . David Chalian . Road to 270: CNN's new election map . 10 February 2019 . . 4 November 2016.
7. Web site: 2016 Electoral Scorecard . . 10 February 2019 . en . 7 November 2016 . February 7, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190207225032/https://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard . dead .
8. Web site: 2016 Predicted Electoral Map . . 10 February 2019.
9. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
10. Web site: Sabato . Larry . 7 November 2016 . Larry Sabato . The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings . . 10 February 2019.
11. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House . . 10 February 2019.
12. News: Todd . Chuck . Chuck Todd. NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton . 10 February 2019 . . 7 November 2016 . en.
13. Web site: Swing State Project: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 . 2015-10-16 . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20151016181827/http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ . 2015-10-16 .