2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma explained

See main article: article and 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Country:Oklahoma
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Previous Year:2012
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Next Election:2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Next Year:2020
Turnout:49.0% 2.7 pp[1]
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:New York
Running Mate1:Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:7
Popular Vote1:949,136
Percentage1:
Nominee2:Hillary Clinton
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:New York
Running Mate2:Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:420,375
Image3:Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee3:Gary Johnson
Party3:Libertarian Party (United States)
Home State3:New Mexico
Running Mate3:Bill Weld
Electoral Vote3:0
Popular Vote3:83,481
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Oklahoma has been a Republican-leaning state since 1952, and a Republican stronghold since 1980. Trump subsequently carried the state with 65.3% of the vote, while Clinton received 28.9%.[3] Considered a safe Republican state, Oklahoma has voted Republican in fifteen of the last sixteen elections. It was also one of two states where Trump won every county, the other being West Virginia. This also marked the fourth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state.[4]

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate, became the first third-party candidate to achieve ballot access in Oklahoma since 2000. He received 5.75% of the vote, the highest percentage for a third party in the state since Ross Perot's campaign in 1996. He was also the only third-party candidate to successfully file for ballot access in Oklahoma.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: article and 2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary.

Results

Republican primary

See main article: article and 2016 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary.

Election Name:2016 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary
Country:Oklahoma
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma#Republican primary
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2020 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary
Next Year:2020
Outgoing Members:MN
Elected Members:TN
Image1:Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:Ted Cruz
Home State1:Texas
Color1:d4aa00
Popular Vote1:158,078
Percentage1:34.37%
Delegate Count1:15
Candidate2:Donald Trump
Home State2:New York
Color2:283681
Popular Vote2:130,267
Percentage2:28.32%
Delegate Count2:14
Image4:Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg
Candidate4:Marco Rubio
Home State4:Florida
Color4:c60e3b
Popular Vote4:119,633
Percentage4:26.01%
Delegate Count4:12
Image5:Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction (cropped).jpg
Candidate5:Ben Carson
Home State5:Maryland
Color5:99ccff
Popular Vote5:28,601
Percentage5:6.22%
Delegate Count5:0
Map Size:350px

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[5]

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Oklahoma as of Election Day.

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[6] November 6, 2016
CNN[7] November 8, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[8] November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] November 7, 2016
NBC[10] November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[11] November 8, 2016
Fox News[12] November 7, 2016
ABC[13] November 7, 2016

Statewide results

2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[14]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanDonald Trump949,136 65.32%7
DemocraticHillary Clinton420,37528.93%0
LibertarianGary Johnson83,481 5.75%0
Totals1,452,992100.00%7

Results by county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Hillary Clinton
Democratic		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		MarginTotal
%%%%
Adair4,78773.50%1,38221.22%3445.28%3,40552.28%6,513
Alfalfa1,93385.61%2169.57%1094.82%1,71776.04%2,258
Atoka4,08481.39%79515.84%1392.77%3,28965.55%5,018
Beaver1,99388.85%1767.85%743.30%1,81781.00%2,243
Beckham6,30883.53%96012.71%2843.76%5,34870.82%7,552
Blaine2,88476.03%71118.75%1985.22%2,17357.28%3,793
Bryan10,47875.83%2,80420.29%5363.88%7,67455.54%13,818
Caddo6,48269.34%2,42025.89%4464.77%4,06243.45%9,348
Canadian39,98672.34%11,67421.12%3,6186.54%28,31251.22%55,278
Carter13,75274.20%4,00221.59%7804.21%9,75052.61%18,534
Cherokee9,99460.61%5,45633.09%1,0406.30%4,53827.52%16,490
Choctaw4,20677.52%1,06719.66%1532.82%3,13957.86%5,426
Cimarron96389.25%716.58%454.17%89282.67%1,079
Cleveland62,53857.14%38,82935.48%8,0837.38%23,70921.66%109,450
Coal1,89879.12%41117.13%903.75%1,48761.99%2,399
Comanche19,18358.91%11,46335.20%1,9185.89%7,72023.71%32,564
Cotton2,05478.94%42416.30%1244.76%1,63062.64%2,602
Craig4,28374.04%1,25221.64%2504.32%3,03152.40%5,785
Creek21,57574.84%5,84120.26%1,4144.90%15,73454.58%28,830
Custer7,82674.24%2,10419.96%6115.80%5,72254.28%10,541
Delaware11,82675.25%3,31121.07%5793.68%8,51554.18%15,716
Dewey1,96587.41%2229.88%612.71%1,74377.53%2,248
Ellis1,61188.18%1558.48%613.34%1,45679.70%1,827
Garfield16,00973.74%4,39720.25%1,3046.01%11,61253.49%21,710
Garvin8,25378.26%1,85517.59%4384.15%6,39860.67%10,546
Grady17,31677.70%3,88217.42%1,0884.88%13,43460.28%22,286
Grant1,82783.01%28813.08%863.91%1,53969.93%2,201
Greer1,48278.16%32317.04%914.80%1,15961.12%1,896
Harmon71573.18%22523.03%373.79%49050.15%977
Harper1,31887.93%1348.94%473.13%1,18478.99%1,499
Haskell3,70178.11%88218.62%1553.27%2,81959.49%4,738
Hughes3,38874.86%96121.23%1773.91%2,42753.63%4,526
Jackson5,96976.47%1,47318.87%3644.66%4,49657.60%7,806
Jefferson1,91081.28%36515.53%753.19%1,54565.75%2,350
Johnston3,09376.98%78619.56%1393.46%2,30757.42%4,018
Kay12,17272.44%3,73822.25%8935.31%8,43450.19%16,803
Kingfisher5,15684.10%78612.82%1893.08%4,37071.28%6,131
Kiowa2,59674.32%76721.96%1303.72%1,82952.36%3,493
Latimer3,10076.43%79719.65%1593.92%2,30356.78%4,056
LeFlore13,36277.59%3,25018.87%6093.54%10,11258.72%17,221
Lincoln10,85477.39%2,43017.33%7415.28%8,42460.06%14,025
Logan13,63371.83%4,24822.38%1,0985.79%9,38549.45%18,979
Love2,92277.12%73519.40%1323.48%2,18757.72%3,789
McClain13,16978.12%2,89417.17%7954.71%10,27560.95%16,858
McCurtain8,65680.70%1,80216.80%2682.50%6,85463.90%10,726
McIntosh5,50569.13%2,12326.66%3354.21%3,38242.47%7,963
Major2,94886.53%3109.10%1494.37%2,63877.43%3,407
Marshall4,20676.58%1,09619.96%1903.46%3,11056.62%5,492
Mayes11,55573.52%3,42321.78%7394.70%8,13251.74%15,717
Murray4,17575.52%1,08719.66%2664.82%3,08855.86%5,528
Muskogee15,04362.12%7,97732.94%1,1964.94%7,06629.18%24,216
Noble3,71576.16%90118.47%2625.37%2,81457.69%4,878
Nowata3,32178.38%74217.51%1744.11%2,57960.87%4,237
Okfuskee2,80071.01%94323.92%2005.07%1,85747.09%3,943
Oklahoma141,56951.68%112,81341.18%19,5607.14%28,75610.50%273,942
Okmulgee8,94464.12%4,38531.44%6204.44%4,55932.68%13,949
Osage12,57766.31%5,59729.51%7924.18%6,98036.80%18,966
Ottawa7,63171.38%2,58424.17%4754.45%5,04747.21%10,690
Pawnee4,72974.31%1,34421.12%2914.57%3,38553.19%6,364
Payne16,65159.98%8,78831.66%2,3218.36%7,86328.32%27,760
Pittsburg12,75373.84%3,71121.49%8074.67%9,04252.35%17,271
Pontotoc10,43170.33%3,63724.52%7635.15%6,79445.81%14,831
Pottawatomie17,84870.12%6,01523.63%1,5896.25%11,83346.49%25,452
Pushmataha3,58179.88%74816.69%1543.43%2,83363.19%4,483
Roger Mills1,54787.95%1518.58%613.47%1,39679.37%1,759
Rogers30,91375.65%7,90219.34%2,0475.01%23,01156.31%40,862
Seminole5,61369.84%2,07125.77%3534.39%3,54244.07%8,037
Sequoyah10,88875.42%3,06121.20%4883.38%7,82754.22%14,437
Stephens14,18279.21%3,08617.24%6363.55%11,09661.97%17,904
Texas4,62179.95%85814.84%3015.21%3,76365.11%5,780
Tillman1,94471.84%65724.28%1053.88%1,28747.56%2,706
Tulsa144,25858.39%87,84735.56%14,9496.05%56,41122.83%247,054
Wagoner23,00573.50%6,72321.48%1,5725.02%16,28252.02%31,300
Washington15,82571.21%5,04822.71%1,3516.08%10,77748.50%22,224
Washita3,85483.22%58812.70%1894.08%3,26670.52%4,631
Woods2,94780.34%52214.23%1995.43%2,42566.11%3,668
Woodward6,34783.57%87311.49%3754.94%5,47472.08%7,595
Totals949,13665.32%420,37528.93%83,4815.75%528,76136.39%1,452,992

By congressional district

Trump won all five congressional districts.[15]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
61%33%Jim Bridenstine
73%23%Markwayne Mullin
74%21%Frank Lucas
66%28%Tom Cole
53%40%Steve Russell

Analysis

The Republican Party candidate, Donald Trump, carried Oklahoma with a victory margin of 36.39%. While Trump improved over Mitt Romney's 2012 vote total and victory margin, his vote percentage of 65.3% was down from Romney's 66.8%, making 2016 the first time since 1992 the Republican's vote percentage decreased from the previous election. Hillary Clinton's vote percentage of 28.9% is the worst for a Democratic candidate in Oklahoma since George McGovern's 24% in the 1972 election. In terms of margin of victory, this is the largest loss by a Democrat since Democratic nominee Walter Mondale in 1984. Clinton however, did make gains in heavily populated Oklahoma County, its surrounding suburban counties, and Tulsa County. In Oklahoma County, Clinton reduced a 16.66% advantage for Romney into a 10.5% advantage for Trump, while Trump was held below the 60% mark in Tulsa.[16] Gary Johnson's total was more than twice what was needed to preserve recognized status for the Libertarian Party in the state, meaning that in 2018 the LP will be the first alternative party on the ballot for a gubernatorial election since the Reform Party in 1998.[17]

With 65.32% of the popular vote, Oklahoma would prove to be Trump's third strongest state in the 2016 election after Wyoming and West Virginia.[18] His win in the 2nd Congressional District was the second best of the five congressional districts in Oklahoma that he won, and he also carried the critical Native American vote in the state (this included all the counties of the proposed Native American state of Sequoyah). The state would also prove to be Gary Johnson's fourth strongest state with 5.75% of the popular vote after New Mexico, North Dakota and Alaska.

Slates of electors

Republican: David Oldham, Teresa Lyn Turner, Mark Thomas, Bobby Cleveland, Lauree Elizabeth Marshall, Charles W. Potts, George W. Wiland Jr

Libertarian: Erin Adams, Mikel Dillon, Joel Britt Dixon, Rex L. Lawhorn, Ephriam Zachary Knight, Craig A. Dawkins, Mark C. DeShazo

Democrat: Marq Lewis, Bill John Baker, Mark Hammons, Betty McElderry, W. A. Drew Edmondson, Jeannie McDaniel, Rhonda Walters[19]

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2016 General Election Turnout . United States Elections Project . 2019-04-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161111122417/http://www.electproject.org/2016g . November 11, 2016 . live .
  2. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019 . December 18, 2020.
  3. Web site: Oklahoma Election Results 2016. 2016. The New York Times. July 19, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170717192727/https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/oklahoma. July 17, 2017. live.
  4. News: History of Oklahoma voting in presidential elections since 1932. 2016-11-07. KJRH. 2017-07-23. en-US. https://web.archive.org/web/20170909053315/http://www.kjrh.com/news/state/history-of-oklahoma-voting-in-presidential-elections-since-1932. September 9, 2017. live.
  5. Web site: Nineteen candidates file for Oklahoma Presidential Primary . Fox23.com . January 21, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160128043728/http://www.fox23.com/news/news/local/nineteen-candidates-file-oklahoma-presidential-pri/npgtW/ . January 28, 2016 . live .
  6. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
  7. Web site: Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com . Cnn.com . 2016-11-08 . 2016-11-13.
  8. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
  9. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President . Centerforpolitics.org . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  10. Web site: Todd . Chuck . NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead . . 2016-11-13.
  11. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House . RealClearPolitics . 2016-11-13.
  12. Web site: Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge . . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  13. Web site: The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election . Abcnews.go.com . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  14. Web site: Archived copy . November 11, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161112014928/https://www.ok.gov/elections/support/ok_results_seb.pdf . November 12, 2016 . live .
  15. Web site: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project. www.swingstateproject.com. January 8, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20151016181827/http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/. October 16, 2015. live.
  16. News: 2016 Presidential Election Results. en-US. The New York Times. 2021-04-26. 0362-4331.
  17. Web site: Libertarian Party makes historic strides in Oklahoma, U.S. elections. November 11, 2016. reddirtreport.com. August 10, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170811005622/http://www.reddirtreport.com/election-central/libertarian-party-makes-historic-strides-oklahoma-us-elections. August 11, 2017. live.
  18. Web site: 2016 Presidential Election Statistics. Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. 2018-03-05. https://web.archive.org/web/20180713204556/https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2016&f=0&off=0&elect=0. July 13, 2018. live.
  19. Web site: 2016-11-06. Sample ballots for Oklahoma 2016 election. live. The Oklahoman. en-US. https://web.archive.org/web/20201112015305/https://oklahoman.com/article/5525585/sample-ballots-for-oklahoma-2016-election . November 12, 2020 .

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