2012 United States presidential election in Ohio explained

See main article: 2012 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2012 United States presidential election in Ohio
Country:Ohio
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States presidential election in Ohio
Previous Year:2008
Election Date:November 6, 2012
Next Election:2016 United States presidential election in Ohio
Next Year:2016
Turnout:70.54%[1]
Image1:President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
Nominee1:Barack Obama
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:Illinois
Running Mate1:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote1:18
Popular Vote1:2,827,709
Percentage1:50.58%
Map Size:250px
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Mitt Romney
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:Paul Ryan
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:2,661,437
Percentage2:47.60%

The 2012 United States presidential election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose 18 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. This election continued Ohio's bellwether streak, as the state voted for the winner of the presidency in every election from 1964 to 2016.

President Obama won the popular vote in Ohio with 50.58% of the vote over Mitt Romney in second place at 47.60%, a Democratic victory margin of 2.98%.[2] Obama's performance was a decline from 2008 when he won the state by a 4.58% margin over U.S. Senator John McCain, and he narrowly lost five counties that he won in 2008.[3] However, he narrowly improved his margins in Cuyahoga County and Franklin County, home to the second largest city, Cleveland, and the state's capital and largest city, Columbus, respectively and greatly improved his losing margin in Ross County home to the state's 1st and 3rd capital Chillicothe, allowing him to carry the state. Obama became the first Democrat to win the White House without Belmont County since Grover Cleveland in 1892, as well as the first to win without neighboring Jefferson County since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 and the first to win without Monroe or Tuscarawas Counties since John F. Kennedy in 1960.

As of the 2020 United States presidential election, this is the last time the Democratic presidential nominee won Ohio, as well as the last time Ashtabula County, Erie County, Ottawa County, Portage County, Sandusky County, Stark County, Trumbull County, and Wood County, have voted Democratic in a presidential election.

Primaries

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 6, 2012, the same day as the Republican primary. Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed, and thus won all 151 of the state's delegates.

Republican primary

Election Name:2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary
Country:Ohio
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 Ohio Republican presidential primary
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary
Next Year:2016
Image1:Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
Candidate1:Mitt Romney
Home State1:Massachusetts
Delegate Count1:38
Popular Vote1:456,513
Percentage1:37.9%
Map Size:200px
Candidate2:Rick Santorum
Home State2:Pennsylvania
Delegate Count2:25
Popular Vote2:446,255
Percentage2:37.1%
Image4:Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg
Candidate4:Newt Gingrich
Home State4:Georgia
Delegate Count4:0
Popular Vote4:175,556
Percentage4:14.6%
Image5:Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg
Candidate5:Ron Paul
Home State5:Texas
Delegate Count5:0
Popular Vote5:111,238
Percentage5:9.2%
Color1:ff6600
Color2:008000
Color4:800080
Color5:ffcc00

The 2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place on March 6, 2012.[4]

Ohio has 66 delegates to the Republican National Convention. Three party officials (also known as "superdelegates") are not bound by the primary result. Forty-eight delegates are generally awarded winner-take-all by Congressional district. Another 15 delegates are awarded to the candidate who gets an outright majority statewide, or are allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote if no candidate wins a majority.[5]

2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary[6]
CandidateVotesPercentageEstimated national delegates
Mitt Romney460,83137.9%38
Rick Santorum448,58037.1%25
Newt Gingrich177,18314.6%0
Ron Paul113,2569.3%0
Rick Perry7,5390.6%0
Jon Huntsman, Jr.6,4900.5%0
Unprojected delegates7
Totals1,213,879100.0%66
Despite an early lead in the vote count and having won most counties, Santorum's lead was reduced and overcome by Romney as Hamilton and Cuyahoga County results came in. Romney also won areas such as Akron, Youngstown, Dayton and Columbus. These and other highly populated counties would eventually go to Obama in November.
Key: align:"center" bgcolor=DDDDDDWithdrew
prior to contest

Notes:

1. In the six congressional districts where Rick Santorum submitted only a partial slate of district delegates and district alternates by the late December 2011 deadline, he will be automatically awarded only the number of delegates he submitted, assuming he wins the particular district. The Ohio Republican Party said on March 2, 2012, that the remaining delegates in such districts will be "considered unbound" until a panel composed of three members of the Ohio GOP's central committee decides which campaign (if any) is permitted to appoint such delegates.[7]

2. In three congressional districts (OH-6, OH-9 and OH-13), Rick Santorum did not make the district-specific portion of the ballot.

3. In every district, each of the 6 candidates listed above appears on the "at-large" portion of the ballot. The results of the at-large ballot will determine the allocation of fifteen national convention delegates.

General election

Campaign

Ohio was considered a key battleground state throughout the general election campaign, and both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney campaigned extensively in the state.[8]

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Ohio[9]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)2,827,70950.58%18
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan2,661,43747.60%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray49,4930.89%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala18,5730.33%0
IndependentRichard DuncanRicky Johnson12,5020.22%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer8,1520.15%0
SocialistStewart AlexanderAlex Mendoza2,9670.05%0
Others230.00%0
Totals5,590,934100.00%18
Voter turnout (registered voters)70.54%

Results by county

County[10] Barack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Gary Johnson[11]
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%%%
Adams3,97635.76%6,86561.75%980.87%550.49%1241.11%-2,889-25.99%11,118
Allen17,91437.06%29,50261.03%4640.96%1640.34%2970.61%-11,588-23.97%48,341
Ashland8,28134.02%15,51963.76%2210.91%1150.47%2040.84%-7,238-29.74%24,340
Ashtabula23,80355.10%18,29842.36%4331.00%2240.52%4421.03%5,50512.74%43,200
Athens18,30766.02%8,54330.81%4341.57%1880.68%2560.92%9,76435.21%27,728
Auglaize5,83124.87%17,16973.22%2090.89%830.35%1570.67%-11,338-48.35%23,449
Belmont14,15644.67%16,75852.88%2320.73%1780.56%3641.15%-2,602-8.21%31,688
Brown7,10736.65%11,91661.45%1910.98%680.35%1100.57%-4,809-24.80%19,392
Butler62,38836.58%105,17661.68%1,6540.97%4130.24%8990.52%-42,788-25.10%170,530
Carroll5,54341.73%7,31555.07%1731.30%710.53%1821.37%-1,772-13.34%13,284
Champaign7,04438.14%11,04559.81%1590.86%660.36%1540.83%-4,001-21.67%18,468
Clark31,29748.67%31,82049.49%5090.79%2140.33%4610.72%-523-0.82%64,301
Clermont30,45831.55%64,20866.52%1,0691.11%2480.26%5420.56%-33,750-34.97%96,525
Clinton5,79131.85%12,00966.05%1951.07%560.31%1320.73%-6,218-34.20%18,183
Columbiana19,82142.90%25,25154.66%4340.94%2160.47%4771.03%-5,430-11.76%46,199
Coshocton6,94043.97%8,39053.16%1570.99%960.61%2011.28%-1,450-9.19%15,784
Crawford7,50737.82%11,85259.72%1860.94%1080.54%1940.98%-4,345-21.90%19,847
Cuyahoga447,27369.32%190,66029.55%3,4480.53%1,5640.24%2,3170.36%256,61339.77%645,262
Darke6,82626.84%18,10871.21%2120.83%860.34%1980.78%-11,282-44.37%25,430
Defiance7,73242.16%10,17655.49%1871.02%640.35%1800.99%-2,444-13.33%18,339
Delaware37,29237.71%60,19460.86%8510.86%2050.21%3570.36%-22,902-23.15%98,899
Erie21,79355.17%16,95242.92%3000.76%1580.40%2970.75%4,84112.25%39,500
Fairfield29,89041.39%41,03456.82%6240.86%2100.29%4620.64%-11,144-15.43%72,220
Fayette4,24938.49%6,62059.97%870.79%180.16%640.58%-2,371-21.48%11,038
Franklin346,37360.53%215,99737.75%5,5350.97%1,6590.29%2,6240.46%130,37622.78%572,188
Fulton9,07342.58%11,73855.08%2481.16%820.38%1690.80%-2,665-12.50%21,310
Gallia4,55736.10%7,75061.40%790.63%690.55%1671.32%-3,193-25.30%12,622
Geauga19,65938.46%30,58959.85%3860.76%1820.36%2970.58%-10,930-21.39%51,113
Greene32,25638.57%49,81959.57%9331.12%2450.29%3730.45%-17,563-21.00%83,626
Guernsey7,45044.22%8,99353.37%1741.03%700.42%1620.96%-1,543-9.15%16,849
Hamilton219,92752.50%193,32646.15%3,7560.90%1,0120.24%8730.21%26,6016.35%418,894
Hancock12,56435.11%22,44362.72%3520.98%1300.36%2940.82%-9,879-27.61%35,783
Hardin4,61937.04%7,48960.06%1721.38%680.55%1220.98%-2,870-23.02%12,470
Harrison2,95041.24%4,01956.19%620.87%470.66%751.05%-1,069-14.95%7,153
Henry5,65839.69%8,25757.92%1691.19%550.39%1180.83%-2,599-18.23%14,257
Highland6,05433.86%11,41363.83%1760.98%670.37%1690.95%-5,359-29.97%17,879
Hocking6,15748.22%6,28549.22%1331.04%570.45%1361.06%-128-1.00%12,768
Holmes2,60822.55%8,70275.23%930.80%430.37%1211.05%-6,094-52.68%11,567
Huron11,00644.54%13,06052.85%2601.05%1150.47%2701.10%-2,054-8.31%24,711
Jackson5,16638.54%7,90458.97%940.70%1010.75%1391.04%-2,738-20.43%13,404
Jefferson15,38546.37%17,03451.34%2480.75%1570.47%3531.06%-1,649-4.97%33,177
Knox10,47036.78%17,26660.66%3061.08%1140.40%3071.07%-6,796-23.88%28,463
Lake57,68048.61%58,74449.50%1,0730.90%4360.37%7320.62%-1,064-0.89%118,665
Lawrence10,74441.43%14,65156.50%1710.66%930.36%2731.05%-3,907-15.07%25,932
Licking34,20141.94%45,50355.80%8171.00%3110.38%7180.88%-11,302-13.86%81,550
Logan7,06233.31%13,63364.31%2141.01%800.38%2100.99%-6,571-31.00%21,199
Lorain81,46456.87%59,40541.47%1,2750.89%5540.39%5550.39%22,05915.40%143,253
Lucas136,61664.86%69,94033.21%2,3181.10%6520.31%1,0950.52%66,67631.65%210,621
Madison6,84538.99%10,34258.91%1670.95%670.38%1360.77%-3,497-19.92%17,557
Mahoning77,05963.38%42,64135.07%7440.61%3700.30%7700.63%34,41828.31%121,584
Marion12,50445.61%14,26552.03%2851.04%1320.48%2320.85%-1,761-6.42%27,418
Medina38,78542.65%50,41855.45%8380.92%3260.36%5640.62%-11,633-12.80%90,931
Meigs4,02739.41%5,89557.69%1111.09%700.69%1151.13%-1,868-18.28%10,218
Mercer4,74521.89%16,56176.40%1420.66%830.38%1450.67%-11,816-54.51%21,676
Miami16,38331.50%34,60666.53%5541.07%1440.28%3270.63%-18,223-35.03%52,014
Monroe3,03544.75%3,54852.31%480.71%470.69%1041.54%-513-7.56%6,782
Montgomery137,13951.42%124,84146.81%2,5480.96%7750.29%1,4040.53%12,2984.61%266,707
Morgan2,81445.86%3,17951.81%420.68%270.44%741.21%-365-5.95%6,136
Morrow5,93336.59%9,86560.83%1741.07%790.49%1661.02%-3,932-24.24%16,217
Muskingum17,00245.73%19,26451.81%3520.95%1850.50%3761.00%-2,262-6.08%37,179
Noble2,13136.17%3,56360.48%621.05%440.75%911.54%-1,432-24.31%5,891
Ottawa11,50351.11%10,53846.83%2200.98%970.43%1470.65%9654.28%22,505
Paulding3,53838.67%5,35458.51%1011.10%480.52%1091.19%-1,816-19.84%9,150
Perry7,03346.82%7,62750.78%1200.80%760.51%1641.10%-594-3.96%15,020
Pickaway9,68440.09%14,03758.11%2060.85%740.31%1530.63%-4,353-18.02%24,154
Pike5,68449.02%5,68549.03%770.66%440.38%1060.91%-1-0.01%11,596
Portage39,45351.65%35,24246.14%8441.10%3160.41%5290.70%4,2115.51%76,384
Preble6,21130.71%13,53566.92%2301.14%820.41%1670.83%-7,324-36.21%20,225
Putnam4,31823.47%13,72174.57%1600.87%710.39%1300.71%-9,403-51.10%18,400
Richland22,68739.25%33,86758.59%5030.87%2450.42%5040.87%-11,180-19.34%57,806
Ross14,56948.31%15,00849.76%2230.74%1050.35%2550.85%-439-1.45%30,160
Sandusky14,54149.98%13,75547.28%3241.11%1620.56%3131.07%7862.70%29,095
Scioto15,07748.23%15,49249.56%2110.67%1540.49%3281.04%-415-1.33%31,262
Seneca11,35344.80%13,24352.26%3161.25%1360.54%2951.17%-1,890-7.46%25,343
Shelby6,34326.54%17,14271.71%1780.74%750.31%1650.69%-10,799-45.17%23,903
Stark89,43249.21%88,58148.74%1,5880.87%7320.40%1,4130.78%8510.47%181,746
Summit153,04157.03%111,00141.36%2,0590.77%7640.28%1,4930.56%42,04015.67%268,358
Trumbull61,67260.48%38,27937.54%7390.72%4320.42%8410.83%23,39322.94%101,963
Tuscarawas18,40744.15%22,24253.35%4351.04%1750.42%4341.03%-3,835-9.20%41,693
Union8,80534.36%16,28963.57%2801.09%830.32%1660.65%-7,484-29.21%25,623
Van Wert4,02928.99%9,58568.97%950.68%650.47%1240.89%-5,556-39.98%13,898
Vinton2,43644.37%2,85652.02%621.13%410.75%951.72%-420-7.65%5,490
Warren32,90929.60%76,56468.85%1,0110.91%2200.20%4930.44%-43,655-39.25%111,197
Washington11,65139.36%17,28458.39%2350.79%1340.45%2981.01%-5,633-19.03%29,602
Wayne19,80838.71%30,25159.12%4510.88%1840.36%4710.93%-10,443-20.41%51,165
Williams7,26641.04%10,04756.74%1480.84%950.54%1500.84%-2,781-15.70%17,706
Wood32,80251.21%29,70446.37%9401.47%2790.44%3340.52%3,0984.84%64,059
Wyandot4,13739.02%6,18058.29%990.93%680.64%1181.11%-2,043-19.27%10,602
Totals2,827,70950.58%2,661,43747.60%49,4930.89%18,5730.33%33,7220.60%166,2722.98%5,590,934

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Romney won 12 of 16 congressional districts.[12]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
52.4%46.26%
54.75%43.66%Brad Wenstrup
28.9%69.65%Joyce Beatty
55.98%42%Jim Jordan
53.88%44.1%Bob Latta
55.2%42.67%Bill Johnson
53.71%44.23%
61.9%36.45%
30.87%67.55%Marcy Kaptur
50.14%48.23%Mike Turner
16.55%82.74%
54.37%43.9%Pat Tiberi
35.42%62.95%Tim Ryan
50.89%47.58%Steve LaTourette
51.86%46.34%
53.35%45.19%Jim Renacci

Analysis

Obama's victory in Ohio was enough to push him over the 270 electoral vote line allowing him to win the election. At first the Romney campaign contested the call, but conceded at about 1:00 A.M. President Obama's victory in the state can be attributed to several factors; he only won 17 out of Ohio's 88 counties. However, those 17 counties combined account for 56.56% of its total population.[13] Romney did do well in most rural areas of the state, particularly in western Ohio. Romney also won all but one county in the Appalachia region, becoming the first Republican since Richard Nixon’s 2,900-plus-county landslide in 1972 to carry Belmont, Jefferson and Monroe Counties, and losing only Athens County, home of Ohio University. He also managed to flip the swing counties of Lake and Tuscarawas. Romney also did well in the northern Columbus suburbs. For Romney, most of his wins came from smaller populated counties. Obama won by comfortable margins in Franklin, Hamilton, and Lucas counties, home to the cities of Columbus, Cincinnati, and Toledo, respectively. Obama's greatest support came from northeast Ohio, centered in Cuyahoga and Summit counties, home to the cities of Cleveland and Akron, respectively, the second and fourth largest cities in the state. The surrounding Cleveland–Akron–Canton metropolitan area and the Lake Erie shore went mostly to Obama, allowing him to carry the state as a whole by a modest 2.98% margin.

In February 2013, nineteen cases of voter fraud were investigated in Hamilton County.[14] Three individuals were charged with voter fraud the following month, with one individual alleged to have voted six times.[15] These incidents would not have affected the outcome of the Ohio race as President Obama ultimately carried the state by 166,272 votes. Some experts believe that the popularity of the auto industry bailout put in place under President Obama helped him take the state.[16]

See also

External links

for Ohio

Major state elections in chronological order

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2012 ELECTIONS RESULTS. 25 June 2020. Ohio Secretary of State. October 18, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20201018101640/https://www.sos.state.oh.us/elections/election-results-and-data/2012-elections-results/. dead.
  2. Web site: Ohio Decides 2012 – Candidates for President. Ohio Secretary of State.
  3. Web site: Ohio - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times. 2020-09-27. www.nytimes.com.
  4. News: Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar. CNN. January 12, 2012.
  5. Web site: Nate Silver. March 4, 2012. Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates. March 5, 2012. FiveThirtyEight.
  6. Web site: Secretary of State results. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20120729161626/http://www.sos.state.oh.us/sos/upload/elections/2012/pri/2012precinct.xlsx. 2012-07-29. 2012-09-21.
  7. News: Ohio delegates. ABC News. March 2, 2012.
  8. News: Ohio Working Class May Offer Key to Obama's Re-election. The New York Times. 31 October 2012 . Zeleny . Jeff . Sussman . Dalia .
  9. Web site: 2012 Elections Results - Ohio Secretary of State. 2020-09-27. www.ohiosos.gov. 2020-09-08. https://web.archive.org/web/20200908223913/https://www.ohiosos.gov/elections/election-results-and-data/2012-elections-results/. dead.
  10. Web site: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections . 2021-02-20.
  11. Web site: OH US President November 06, 2012. Our Campaigns.
  12. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts. Daily Kos. 11 August 2020.
  13. Web site: County Population Totals: 2010-2019. 2020-09-27. The United States Census Bureau. EN-US.
  14. News: Poll worker accused of voter fraud in Hamilton County speaks out . Emily Maxwell . WCPO . 6 February 2013 . 8 February 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130208011506/http://www.wcpo.com/dpp/news/region_central_cincinnati/downtown/Poll-worker-accused-of-voter-fraud-in-Hamilton-County-speaks-out . 8 February 2013 . dead .
    News: Possible Ohio voter fraud investigation heats up . Associated Press . San Francisco Chronicle . 6 February 2013 . 8 February 2013 .
  15. News: Cincinnati poll worker charged with voting half dozen times in November . Eric Shawn . Fox News . 11 March 2013 . 12 March 2013 .
    News: Nun, Poll Worker, Widower Charged With Voter Fraud . WKRC . Sinclair Broadcast Group . 11 March 2013 . 12 March 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131021063743/http://www.local12.com/mostpopular/story/Nun-Poll-Worker-Widower-Charged-With-Voter-Fraud/K1VCaNPArk6wfG6p3H62Ow.cspx . 21 October 2013 . dead .
  16. Web site: How Obama Took The Battleground States. NPR.