2012 United States presidential election in New York explained

See main article: 2012 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2012 United States presidential election in New York
Country:New York
Flag Image:Flag of New York (1901-2020).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States presidential election in New York
Previous Year:2008
Election Date:November 6, 2012
Turnout:59.2% (4.2 pp)
Next Election:2016 United States presidential election in New York
Next Year:2016
Image1:President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
Nominee1:Barack Obama
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Alliance1:Working Families
Home State1:Illinois
Running Mate1:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote1:29
Popular Vote1:4,485,741
Percentage1:63.35%
Nominee2:Mitt Romney
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Alliance2:Conservative
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:Paul Ryan
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:2,490,431
Percentage2:35.17%
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2012 United States presidential election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Voters chose 29 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Barack Obama carried the state of New York by a landslide margin, winning 63.35% of the vote to Mitt Romney's 35.17%.[1] As in previous elections, the Democratic ticket easily won, for the most part due to racking up very large margins in New York City (which in and of itself makes up 42.2% of the state's population) and its metropolitan area. The city alone garnered Obama 1,995,241 votes (or 81.19% of the vote in the city), including Staten Island (Richmond County), which he had failed to carry in 2008. Putnam County, which McCain won in 2008, was the only county in the NYC metropolitan area that Obama lost to Romney. The rest of his votes mostly came from Albany, Buffalo, Ithaca, Rochester, Syracuse, and their respective metropolitan areas, giving him a solid 28.18% lead over Romney. Obama even won in many rural counties. The Republicans won only in some rural parts of upstate and western New York.

New York was 1 of only 6 states to swing in President Obama's favor from 2008 to 2012, giving him the largest percentage of the vote for any presidential candidate in the state since 1964 and the second largest Democratic vote share in the state in history (as well as third most in the state's entire history, behind William Harding in 1920 as well). Similar to New Jersey, some news outlets, such as the New York Times, have proposed that Obama's improved performance in these states – as opposed to worsened performances in areas like the Rust Belt – was due to his handling of Hurricane Sandy, which made landfall on October 29.[2] Mayor of New York City Michael Bloomberg, a Republican-turned-Independent, endorsed Obama due to the federal government's handling of the hurricane.[3]

As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time the Democratic nominee won the following counties: Cayuga, Cortland, Franklin, Madison, Niagara, Orange, Oswego, Otsego, Richmond (Staten Island), Seneca, St. Lawrence, Suffolk, Sullivan, Warren, and Washington. This is also the last presidential election in New York in which the Democratic nominee won more counties than the Republican nominee. In subsequent elections, despite Republicans winning more counties, they have been unable to break through the huge Democratic advantage in New York City and its suburbs, ensuring that the state has remained solidly blue.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Incumbent President Barack Obama ran uncontested in the Democratic primary, and it was therefore cancelled.[4]

Republican primary

Election Name:2012 New York Republican presidential primary
Country:New York
Flag Image:Flag of New York (1901-2020).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 New York Republican presidential primary
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2016 New York Republican presidential primary
Next Year:2016
Image1:Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
Candidate1:Mitt Romney
Color1:ff6600
Home State1:Massachusetts
Delegate Count1:92
Popular Vote1:118,912
Percentage1:62.42%
Candidate2:Ron Paul
Color2:ffcc00
Home State2:Texas
Delegate Count2:0
Popular Vote2:27,699
Percentage2:14.54%
Image4:Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg
Candidate4:Newt Gingrich
Color4:800080
Home State4:Georgia
Delegate Count4:0
Popular Vote4:23,990
Percentage4:12.59%
Image5:Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Candidate5:Rick Santorum
Color5:008000
Home State5:Pennsylvania
Delegate Count5:0
Popular Vote5:18,997
Percentage5:9.97%
Map Size:250px
2012 New York Republican presidential primary[5]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate count


Mitt Romney118,91262.42%9292
Ron Paul27,69914.54%00
Newt Gingrich23,99012.59%10
18,9979.97%00
Blank8100.43%00
Void1060.06%00
Scattering10.00%00
Unprojected delegates:2395
Total:190,515100.00%959595
The 2012 New York Republican presidential primary took place on April 24, 2012.[6] [7]

By county, Romney won a plurality in every county, and a majority in all but six: Niagara, Cattaraugus, Wyoming, Orleans, Schuyler, Herkimer and Oswego.

Paul finished second in most counties. Santorum finished second in Otsego County. Gingrich finished second in two geographic areas: a cluster of counties in the Catskills and Hudson Valley (Orange, Rockland, Sullivan, and Westchester) and in most of the counties of Western New York (Allegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Niagara, and Wyoming), in addition to Herkimer and Oneida counties. Gingrich's relative strength in Western New York, as well as in Herkimer, can be attributed to the continued popularity and efforts of Carl Paladino, who carried those counties in the previous gubernatorial election and campaigned on Gingrich's behalf. The majority of New York politicians had endorsed Romney while the primary election was still competitive.

General election

Candidate ballot access

Write-in candidate access:

Results

2012 United States presidential election in New York[8]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama4,337,62261.25%
Working FamiliesBarack Obama148,1192.09%
TotalBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)4,485,74163.35%29
RepublicanMitt Romney2,228,06031.46%
ConservativeMitt Romney262,3713.71%
TotalMitt RomneyPaul Ryan2,490,43135.17%0
LibertarianJim Gray47,2560.67%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala39,9820.56%0
Write-insWrite-ins9,0760.13%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer6,2740.09%0
Socialism and LiberationPeta LindsayYari Osorio2,0500.03%0
Rocky Anderson (write-in)Luis J. Rodriguez217<0.01%0
Stephen DurhamChristina López34<0.01%0
America's Tom HoeflingJ. D. Ellis34<0.01%0
James HarrisMaura DeLuca27<0.01%0
Jerry WhitePhyllis Scherrer19<0.01%0
Twelve Visions Jill ReedTom Cary12<0.01%0
Merlin MillerVirginia Abernethy6<0.01%0
Totals7,081,159100.00%29
Voter Turnout (Registered)59.2%

New York City results

2012 presidential election in New York CityManhattanThe BronxBrooklynQueensStaten IslandTotal
Democratic-
Working Families
Barack Obama502,674339,211604,443470,73278,1811,995,24181.19%
83.7%91.45%82.02%79.08%50.7%
Republican-
Conservative
Mitt Romney89,55929,967124,551118,58974,223436,88917.78%
14.92%8.08%16.9%19.9%48.14%
GreenJill Stein3,2416483,6162,12145710,0830.4%
0.5%0.1%0.4%0.35%0.29%
LibertarianGary Johnson2,5745292,0742,0507707,9970.32%
0.69%0.07%0.3%0.34%0.49%
OthersOthers2,2435832,2981,7535497,4260.29%
0.37%0.16%0.31%0.29%0.35%
TOTAL600,291370,938736,982595,245154,1802,457,636100.00%

Results by county

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Albany87,55664.49%45,06433.19%3,1472.32%42,49231.30%135,767
Allegany6,13936.21%10,39061.29%4242.50%−4,251−25.08%16,953
Bronx339,21191.45%29,9678.08%1,7600.47%309,24483.37%370,938
Broome41,97051.46%37,64146.15%1,9542.39%4,3295.31%81,565
Cattaraugus12,64942.49%16,56955.66%5491.85%−3,920−13.17%29,767
Cayuga17,00754.58%13,45443.18%7002.24%3,55311.40%31,161
Chautauqua23,81245.05%27,97152.92%1,0692.03%−4,159−7.87%52,852
Chemung16,79747.98%17,61250.31%6011.71%−815−2.33%35,010
Chenango9,11647.20%9,71350.29%4852.51%−597−3.09%19,314
Clinton18,96161.85%11,11536.26%5801.89%7,84625.59%30,656
Columbia16,22155.69%12,22541.97%6832.34%3,99613.72%29,129
Cortland10,48253.41%8,69544.31%4472.28%1,7879.10%19,624
Delaware8,30444.55%9,93853.32%3962.13%−1,634−8.77%18,638
Dutchess65,31252.80%56,02545.29%2,3681.91%9,2877.51%123,705
Erie237,35657.31%169,67540.97%7,1641.72%67,68116.34%414,195
Essex9,78458.53%6,64739.76%2861.71%3,13718.77%16,717
Franklin9,89462.09%5,74036.02%3001.89%4,15426.07%15,934
Fulton8,60743.47%10,81454.62%3781.91%−2,207−11.15%19,799
Genesee9,60138.80%14,60759.03%5382.17%−5,006−20.23%24,746
Greene9,03043.69%11,17454.06%4642.25%−2,144−10.37%20,668
Hamilton1,12836.24%1,93262.06%531.70%−804−25.82%3,113
Herkimer11,27345.02%13,28253.04%4851.94%−2,009−8.02%25,040
Jefferson17,09947.89%18,12250.75%4871.36%−1,023−2.86%35,708
Kings604,44382.02%124,55116.90%7,9881.08%479,89265.12%736,982
Lewis4,72444.90%5,65153.71%1471.39%−927−8.81%10,522
Livingston11,70543.72%14,44853.97%6172.31%−2,743−10.25%26,770
Madison13,87149.37%13,62248.49%6012.14%2490.88%28,094
Monroe193,50157.97%133,36239.95%6,9502.08%60,13918.02%333,813
Montgomery8,49346.70%9,33451.33%3591.97%−841−4.63%18,186
Nassau302,69553.28%259,30845.64%6,1481.08%43,3877.64%568,151
New York502,67483.74%89,55914.92%8,0581.34%413,11568.82%600,291
Niagara43,98649.42%43,24048.58%1,7872.00%7460.84%89,013
Oneida40,46846.68%44,53051.36%1,7021.96%−4,062−4.68%86,700
Onondaga122,25459.72%78,83138.51%3,6321.77%43,42321.21%204,717
Ontario23,08748.25%23,82049.78%9461.97%−733−1.53%47,853
Orange73,31552.13%65,36746.48%1,9461.39%7,9485.65%140,628
Orleans5,78739.35%8,59458.44%3252.21%−2,807−19.09%14,706
Oswego23,51552.73%19,98044.81%1,0962.46%3,5357.92%44,591
Otsego12,11750.20%11,46147.48%5612.32%6562.72%24,139
Putnam19,51244.00%24,08354.31%7501.69%−4,571−10.31%44,345
Queens470,73279.08%118,58919.92%5,9241.00%352,14359.16%595,245
Rensselaer37,40854.96%29,11342.77%1,5402.27%8,29512.19%68,061
Richmond78,18150.71%74,22348.14%1,7761.15%3,9582.57%154,180
Rockland65,79352.78%57,42846.07%1,4241.15%8,3656.71%124,645
Saratoga52,95750.19%50,38247.75%2,1712.06%2,5752.44%105,510
Schenectady36,84456.74%26,56840.92%1,5212.34%10,27615.82%64,933
Schoharie5,42741.09%7,46756.54%3132.37%−2,040−15.45%13,207
Schuyler3,67445.10%4,28152.55%1912.35%−607−7.45%8,146
Seneca7,09453.48%5,88944.39%2832.13%1,2059.09%13,266
St. Lawrence21,35357.41%15,13840.70%7001.89%6,21516.71%37,191
Steuben15,78740.97%21,95456.98%7902.05%−6,167−16.01%38,531
Suffolk304,07951.17%282,13147.48%8,0561.35%21,9483.69%594,266
Sullivan15,26853.73%12,70544.71%4421.56%2,5639.02%28,415
Tioga8,93041.36%12,11756.13%5422.51%−3,187−14.77%21,589
Tompkins27,24468.48%11,10727.92%1,4303.60%16,13740.56%39,781
Ulster47,75259.97%29,75937.37%2,1152.66%17,99322.60%79,626
Warren14,80650.06%14,11947.73%6532.21%6872.33%29,578
Washington11,52349.89%11,08548.00%4872.11%4381.89%23,095
Wayne16,63544.30%20,06053.43%8522.27%−3,425−9.13%37,547
Westchester240,78561.99%143,12236.84%4,5401.17%97,66325.15%388,447
Wyoming5,66134.66%10,34863.35%3261.99%−4,687−28.69%16,335
Yates4,48847.53%4,79850.82%1561.65%−310−3.29%9,442
Totals4,485,87763.35%2,490,49635.17%105,1631.49%1,995,38128.18%7,081,536

See full list of sourcesSee full list of sources

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Obama swept 24 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.[9]

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
49.62%49.08%Tim Bishop
51.65%47.23%Peter T. King
50.76%48.21%Steve Israel
56.31%42.76%Carolyn McCarthy
90.6%9.1%Gregory Meeks
67.8%31.05%Grace Meng
88.35%10.34%Nydia Velázquez
89.26%10.14%Hakeem Jeffries
85.28%13.84%Yvette Clarke
73.64%25%Jerry Nadler
51.6%47.32%Michael Grimm
76.92%21.51%Carolyn Maloney
94.64%4.56%Charles B. Rangel
80.67%18.27%Joe Crowley
96.75%3%Jose Serrano
73.69%25.53%Eliot Engel
57.07%41.84%Nita Lowey
51.43%47.15%Sean Patrick Maloney
52.12%45.85%Chris Gibson
59.2%38.8%Paul Tonko
52.24%46.07%Bill Owens
48.76%49.24%Richard L. Hanna
48.38%49.59%Tom Reed
57%41.1%Dan Maffei
58.77%39.41%Louise Slaughter
63.94%34.31%Brian Higgins
42.89%55.29%Chris Collins

Analysis

As expected, New York gave a landslide win to Obama, with 4,485,877 votes, or 63.35% of the popular vote, 28.18% lead ahead of Romney.[10] It was one of only six states to swing in Obama's favor from 2008, when he won with a 26.85% margin.[11] New York has voted solidly for the Democratic candidate in every election since Michael Dukakis in 1988, which marked the end of its status as a swing state. This was the greatest ever percentage of the vote won by a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson won 68.56% of the vote in his 1964 44-state landslide.

The politics of New York State are dominated by the heavily populated area of New York City, which Barack Obama won in a historic landslide, taking 81.19% of the vote and sweeping all 5 boroughs. Obama took 1,995,241 votes in New York City, to Mitt Romney's 436,889. No other presidential candidate of either party has ever received more than 80% of the vote in New York City, and this remains the only time since 2000 that a Democrat won Staten Island, as well as all five boroughs of New York City. This was not only due to its majority liberal and extremely diverse population. His performance in New York City likely contributed to his improvement from 2008, which was unusual compared to the rest of the country where he underperformed from 2008 (particularly in areas like the Midwest and Rust Belt).

He managed to flip Staten Island, which voted for John McCain in 2008, as well as improved his margins in all other boroughs except for Manhattan. This improved performance is likely attributable to Hurricane Sandy, which made landfall on October 29 and had devastating effects on the state, killing 44 people, destroying 250,000 vehicles and 300 homes, damaging 69,000 residential units,[12] and flooding the New York City Subway, all tunnels within the city (except for the Lincoln Tunnel), and many suburban communities.[13] Areas that weren't directly affected by the hurricane were indirectly effected by power outages and major disruption to data communication.[14] Staten Island was hit hardest, with its geographical position combined with weather patterns, causing a 16 feet-high storm tide at its peak, flooding major residential areas.[15] 23 of the 44 deaths from the hurricane were in Staten Island.[16] The federal government's powerful and coordinated response to the hurricane was praised by those on both sides of the political aisle, garnering Mayor of New York City Michael Bloomberg's endorsement, as well as praise from Republican politicians like then New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.[17] This – combined with the media's heavy criticism of Romney's support for a 40% budget cut to FEMA, which would grow to as much as 60% in the coming years – weakened Romney's performance amongst voters across city, including conservatives, especially in the borough of Staten Island.[18]

The advantage from Hurricane Sandy was also reflected in polls. Prior to the storm, nine nationwide polls listed in Real Clear Politics' database found Romney and Obama each leading in four and one tied. Seven national polls taken after the storm had shown Obama leading in three, four being tied, and Romney leading in none. In particular, a poll by Politico and George Washington University found Obama's lead increasing in the Northeast from 8 to 20% before and after the storm.[19]

Unlike many rural areas across the country, most notably in the Midwest, rural counties didn't swing especially hard against Obama this election. Most of the political landscape looked roughly the same, with the exception of Chautauqua County flipping red after supporting Obama by a narrow margin in 2008. However, Obama tied with Romney for white voters (who make up a majority of upstate's population but a minority in New York City) according to New York Times exit polls, a significant decline from 2008 when he won white voters 52 to 46.[20] Discounting New York City's votes, Obama still would have carried New York State, albeit by a closer margin. Excluding New York City, Obama's vote total in the state was 2,490,636 to Romney's 2,053,607, giving Obama a 54.03%–44.54% win outside of NYC.

In terms of exit polls, Obama performed roughly as expected. He won both women and men 68 to 31 and 58 to 42, respectively, and won Black voters 94 to 5 and Hispanic voters 89 to 11. These ethnic groups collectively make up 54.6% of New York City's population, and thus hold great influence in state elections. Obama won all age groups, education levels, and income levels, though he did best amongst 18- to 29-year-olds (72 to 25), those with no college degree (66 to 34), and those with an income under $30,000 (81 to 17), respectively. Obama not only won liberals and registered Democrats, but he also won moderates and independents 63 to 36 and 50 to 44 respectively – these groups make up 42% and 23% of the electorate and were thus vital for Obama to win.

See also

External links

for New York

Major state elections in chronological order

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2012 General Election Returns . NYS Board of Elections . February 6, 2013 . March 4, 2013 . June 29, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190629185947/https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/President_07292013.pdf . dead .
  2. News: 2012-10-29. Opinion A Big Storm Requires Big Government. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-09-03. 0362-4331.
  3. News: Hernandez. Raymond. 2012-11-01. Bloomberg Backs Obama, Citing Fallout From Storm. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-09-03. 0362-4331.
  4. Web site: New York Democratic Delegation 2012. 2020-09-03. www.thegreenpapers.com.
  5. Web site: Republican Party. Presidential Primary - April 24, 2012. elections.ny.gov.
  6. News: Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar. CNN. January 11, 2012.
  7. News: Presidential Primary Dates. Federal Election Commission. January 23, 2012.
  8. Web site: NYS Board of Elections President and Vice-President Election Returns Nov. 6, 2012. May 2, 2013. June 29, 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190629185947/https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/President_07292013.pdf. dead.
  9. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts. Daily Kos. August 11, 2020.
  10. News: New York. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-09-03. 0362-4331.
  11. Web site: New York - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times. 2020-09-03. www.nytimes.com.
  12. Web site: About Hurricane Sandy. 2020-09-03. www1.nyc.gov. June 25, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210625065159/https://www1.nyc.gov/site/cdbgdr/about/About%20Hurricane%20Sandy.page. dead.
  13. Web site: Hurricane Sandy - New York. 2020-09-03. www.usgs.gov. en.
  14. News: Troianovski. Anton. Anton Troianovski. 2012-11-01. A Look inside Verizon's Flooded Communications Hub. en. The Wall Street Journal. subscription. 2020-09-03. 0099-9660.
  15. Web site: November 7, 2012. Crystal. Gammon. Why Hurricane Sandy Hit Staten Island So Hard. 2020-09-03. livescience.com. en.
  16. Web site: Taylor. Alan. Hurricane Sandy: Staten Island Survivors - The Atlantic. 2020-09-03. www.theatlantic.com. en.
  17. Web site: 2012-11-01. Chris Christie and Hurricane Sandy give Obama a timely boost. 2020-09-03. Los Angeles Times. en-US.
  18. Web site: . Politics of FEMA: Mitt Romney Suggested Less Federal Involvement, Paul Ryan Budget Scrutinized. 2020-09-03. ABC News. en.
  19. Cassidy. John. How Much Did Hurricane Sandy Help Obama?. 2020-09-03. The New Yorker. November 4, 2012 . en-us.
  20. News: President Exit Polls. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-09-04. 0362-4331.