2000 United States presidential election in Missouri explained

Election Name:2000 United States presidential election in Missouri
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1996 United States presidential election in Missouri
Previous Year:1996
Next Election:2004 United States presidential election in Missouri
Next Year:2004
Election Date:November 7, 2000
Image1:Official Portrait- President George Walker Bush, 43rd President of the United States, Republican - DPLA - 7482eac0e113bf03014d1686a3733f97.jpeg
Nominee1:George W. Bush
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Texas
Running Mate1:Dick Cheney
Electoral Vote1:11
Popular Vote1:1,189,924
Percentage1:50.42%
Nominee2:Al Gore
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Tennessee
Running Mate2:Joe Lieberman
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:1,111,138
Percentage2:47.08%
Map Size:340px
President
Before Election:Bill Clinton
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:George W. Bush
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2000 United States presidential election in Missouri took place on November 7, 2000, as part of the 2000 United States presidential election. Voters chose eleven electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Prior to the election, Missouri was widely considered to be a critical swing state.[1] Governor of Texas George W. Bush ultimately won the state by a margin of just over 3% against his Democratic opponent, Vice President Al Gore. The 2000 election was seen as the turning point of Missouri's bellwether status, which the state had maintained throughout most of the 20th century. Although Bush did win the presidency, keeping the state's bellwether streak active, this was the first election since Missouri voted for Adlai Stevenson in 1956 where the state failed to back the national popular vote winner, and only the second time since 1900. This was also the first time in history that a Democrat won the popular vote without carrying Missouri. Missouri would ultimately lose its bellwether status in 2008 by narrowly voting for John McCain, and has been safely Republican in presidential elections since 2012.

, this is the last time that Saline County, New Madrid County, Pemiscot County, Mississippi County, Ray County, and Clay County (which Gore won by only one vote) have voted for the Democratic presidential candidate. Bush became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying St. Louis County since Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876. This is also the last time that St. Louis county has voted to the right of any of the state's rural counties.

Missouri was one of nine states won by Bush that had supported Bill Clinton in both 1992 and 1996.

Primaries

Results

Presidential CandidateRunning MatePartyElectoral Vote (EV)Popular Vote (PV)
George W. Bush of TexasRichard Cheney of WyomingRepublican11[2] 1,189,92450.42%
Joseph Lieberman of ConnecticutDemocratic01,111,138 47.08%
Ralph NaderWinona LaDukeGreen Party038,5151.63%
Patrick BuchananEzola FosterReform Party09,8180.42%
Harry BrowneArt OlivierLibertarian Party07,4360.32%
Others--03,0610.13%
Totals112,359,892100%

By county

CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
Al Gore
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Adair6,05057.34%4,10138.86%4013.80%1,94918.48%10,552
Andrew4,25758.52%2,79538.42%2223.05%1,46220.10%7,274
Atchison1,79862.63%1,01335.28%602.09%78527.35%2,871
Audrain5,25652.64%4,55145.58%1781.78%7057.06%9,985
Barry7,88563.75%4,13533.43%3482.81%3,75030.32%12,368
Barton3,83671.49%1,42426.54%1061.98%2,41244.95%5,366
Bates4,24554.48%3,38643.45%1612.07%85911.03%7,792
Benton4,21855.99%3,15041.81%1662.20%1,06814.18%7,534
Bollinger3,48765.87%1,69231.96%1152.17%1,79533.91%5,294
Boone28,42647.69%28,81148.33%2,3723.98%-385-0.64%59,609
Buchanan16,42347.26%17,08549.16%1,2433.58%-662-1.90%34,751
Butler9,11163.28%4,99634.70%2902.01%4,11528.58%14,397
Caldwell2,22057.66%1,48838.65%1423.69%73219.01%3,850
Callaway8,23853.81%6,70843.82%3622.36%1,5309.99%15,308
Camden10,35860.58%6,32336.98%4182.44%4,03523.60%17,099
Cape Girardeau19,83266.42%9,33431.26%6932.32%10,49835.16%29,859
Carroll2,88062.87%1,62035.36%811.77%1,26027.51%4,581
Carter1,73061.61%99735.51%812.88%73326.10%2,808
Cass20,11356.07%14,92141.60%8352.33%5,19214.47%35,869
Cedar3,53062.33%1,97934.95%1542.72%1,55127.38%5,663
Chariton2,30055.37%1,79243.14%621.49%50812.23%4,154
Christian14,82463.82%7,89633.99%5082.19%6,92829.83%23,228
Clark1,89949.95%1,81247.66%912.39%872.29%3,802
Clay39,08348.75%39,08448.75%2,0062.50%-1-0.00%80,173
Clinton4,32350.67%3,99446.82%2142.51%3293.85%8,531
Cole20,16761.53%12,05636.78%5521.68%8,11124.75%32,775
Cooper4,07259.97%2,56737.81%1512.22%1,50522.16%6,790
Crawford4,75457.26%3,35040.35%1982.38%1,40416.91%8,302
Dade2,46865.78%1,19331.80%912.43%1,27533.98%3,752
Dallas3,72359.86%2,31137.16%1852.97%1,41222.70%6,219
Daviess2,01157.56%1,36739.12%1163.32%64418.44%3,494
DeKalb2,36358.36%1,56238.58%1243.06%80119.78%4,049
Dent3,99666.73%1,83930.71%1532.56%2,15736.02%5,988
Douglas3,59968.15%1,54629.27%1362.58%2,05338.88%5,281
Dunklin5,42651.55%4,94747.00%1521.44%4794.55%10,525
Franklin21,86355.78%16,17241.26%1,1592.96%5,69114.52%39,194
Gasconade4,19063.21%2,25734.05%1822.75%1,93329.16%6,629
Gentry1,77157.04%1,27140.93%632.03%50016.11%3,105
Greene59,17857.50%41,09139.92%2,6572.58%18,08717.58%102,926
Grundy2,97663.21%1,56333.20%1693.59%1,41330.01%4,708
Harrison2,55263.94%1,32833.27%1112.78%1,22430.67%3,991
Henry5,12052.36%4,45945.60%1992.04%6616.76%9,778
Hickory2,17251.25%1,96146.27%1052.48%2114.98%4,238
Holt1,73865.29%87132.72%531.99%86732.57%2,662
Howard2,41453.50%1,94443.09%1543.41%47010.41%4,512
Howell9,01864.07%4,64132.97%4162.96%4,37731.10%14,075
Iron2,23750.68%2,04446.31%1333.01%1934.37%4,414
Jackson104,41838.38%160,41958.96%7,2252.66%-56,001-20.58%272,062
Jasper24,89966.43%11,73731.31%8452.25%13,16235.12%37,481
Jefferson36,76647.62%38,61650.02%1,8222.36%-1,850-2.40%77,204
Johnson9,33955.63%6,92641.26%5223.11%2,41314.37%16,787
Knox1,22659.66%78738.30%422.04%43921.36%2,055
Laclede8,55665.58%4,18332.06%3072.35%4,37333.52%13,046
Lafayette7,84954.06%6,34343.68%3282.26%1,50610.38%14,520
Lawrence8,30564.36%4,23532.82%3632.81%4,07031.54%12,903
Lewis2,38853.26%2,02345.12%731.63%3658.14%4,484
Lincoln8,54953.72%6,96143.74%4032.53%1,5889.98%15,913
Linn3,24654.01%2,64644.03%1181.96%6009.98%6,010
Livingston3,70959.10%2,42538.64%1422.26%1,28420.46%6,276
Macon4,23258.98%2,81739.26%1261.76%1,41519.72%7,175
Madison2,46056.25%1,82841.80%851.94%63214.45%4,373
Maries2,21657.50%1,55440.32%842.18%66217.18%3,854
Marion6,55055.93%4,99342.63%1691.44%1,55713.30%11,712
McDonald4,46068.31%1,86628.58%2033.11%2,59439.73%6,529
Mercer1,25067.86%55530.13%372.01%69537.73%1,842
Miller5,94563.54%3,21734.38%1942.07%2,72829.16%9,356
Mississippi2,39545.93%2,75652.85%641.23%-361-6.92%5,215
Moniteau3,76462.06%2,17635.88%1252.06%1,58826.18%6,065
Monroe2,17553.13%1,86045.43%591.44%3157.70%4,094
Montgomery3,10658.57%2,09239.45%1051.98%1,01419.12%5,303
Morgan4,46056.59%3,23541.05%1862.36%1,22515.54%7,881
New Madrid3,41647.01%3,73851.45%1121.54%-322-4.44%7,266
Newton14,23267.25%6,44730.46%4832.28%7,78536.79%21,162
Nodaway5,16157.03%3,55339.26%3353.70%1,60817.77%9,049
Oregon2,52159.56%1,56837.04%1443.40%95322.52%4,233
Osage4,15467.24%1,93831.37%861.39%2,21635.87%6,178
Ozark2,66362.05%1,43233.36%1974.59%1,23128.69%4,292
Pemiscot2,75045.38%3,24553.55%651.07%-495-8.17%6,060
Perry4,66767.61%2,08530.20%1512.19%2,58237.41%6,903
Pettis9,53360.51%5,85537.16%3672.33%3,67823.35%15,755
Phelps9,44458.49%6,26238.78%4402.73%3,18219.71%16,146
Pike3,64849.63%3,55748.39%1461.99%911.24%7,351
Platte17,78552.23%15,32545.00%9442.77%2,4607.23%34,054
Polk6,43062.46%3,60635.03%2582.51%2,82427.43%10,294
Pulaski6,53162.02%3,80036.08%2001.90%2,73125.94%10,531
Putnam1,59368.25%70830.33%331.41%88537.92%2,334
Ralls2,44653.85%2,03344.76%631.39%4139.09%4,542
Randolph4,84452.73%4,11644.81%2262.46%7287.92%9,186
Ray4,51746.34%4,97050.99%2602.67%-453-4.65%9,747
Reynolds1,76256.28%1,29841.46%712.27%46414.82%3,131
Ripley3,12161.62%1,82035.93%1242.45%1,30125.69%5,065
Saline4,57248.87%4,58549.01%1982.12%-13-0.14%9,355
Schuyler1,15957.78%80840.28%391.94%35117.50%2,006
Scotland1,33561.27%79036.26%542.48%54525.01%2,179
Scott8,99957.30%6,45241.09%2531.61%2,54716.21%15,704
Shannon2,24559.38%1,43037.82%1062.80%81521.56%3,781
Shelby1,93659.44%1,26238.75%591.81%67420.69%3,257
St. Charles72,11456.04%53,80641.81%2,7662.15%18,30814.23%128,686
St. Clair2,73157.63%1,86639.38%1423.00%86518.25%4,739
St. Francois9,32749.50%9,07548.17%4392.33%2521.33%18,841
St. Louis224,68946.15%250,63151.48%11,5642.38%-25,942-5.33%486,884
St. Louis City24,79919.88%96,55777.40%3,3962.72%-71,758-57.52%124,752
Ste. Genevieve3,50547.94%3,60049.24%2062.82%-95-1.30%7,311
Stoddard7,72762.04%4,47635.94%2512.02%3,25126.10%12,454
Stone7,79364.13%4,05533.37%3032.49%3,73830.76%12,151
Sullivan1,87761.26%1,12736.78%601.96%75024.48%3,064
Taney9,64763.84%5,09233.70%3732.47%4,55530.14%15,112
Texas6,13661.78%3,48635.10%3103.12%2,65026.68%9,932
Vernon4,98559.29%3,15637.54%2673.18%1,82921.75%8,408
Warren5,97955.67%4,52442.12%2372.21%1,45513.55%10,740
Washington4,02048.64%4,04748.97%1982.40%-27-0.33%8,265
Wayne3,34657.22%2,38740.82%1151.97%95916.40%5,848
Webster7,35061.87%4,17435.13%3563.00%3,17626.74%11,880
Worth65156.22%46940.50%383.28%18215.72%1,158
Wright5,39168.75%2,25028.70%2002.55%3,14140.05%7,841
Totals1,189,92450.42%1,111,13847.08%58,8302.49%78,7863.34%2,359,892

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Bush won 6 of 9 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[3]

DistrictBushGoreRepresentative
20%78%Bill Clay
William Lacy Clay, Jr.
55%43%Jim Talent
Todd Akin
46%51%Dick Gephardt
58%39%Ike Skelton
36%61%Karen McCarthy
53%44%Pat Danner
Sam Graves
62%35%Roy Blunt
59%39%Jo Ann Emerson
54%43%

Analysis

Beginning with the 2000 election, the status of the Missouri bellwether came into question. Between 1904 and 2004, Missouri was carried by the victor of each presidential election, with the exception of 1956. Though Bush won the presidency in the 2000 election through the Electoral College, he lost the national popular vote. The 2000 election was unique because this was the first time in over a century where the popular vote winner lost the general election. (In 1888, Missouri voted for Grover Cleveland, the incumbent Democrat, who lost to Republican candidate Benjamin Harrison). Thus, controversy exists as to whether or not Missouri accurately predicted the victor in this election. In the subsequent election, Missouri voted for George W. Bush, who this time won both the popular vote and the Electoral College.

In any case, Missouri has voted reliably Republican since this election. The state very narrowly voted for John McCain in 2008 and for Mitt Romney by a wider margin in 2012; both men were ultimately defeated by Barack Obama in the nationwide election. The controversy is further complicated by the 2016 presidential election, where Missouri voted for Donald Trump by a landslide, while Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly three million votes, but like in 2000, Trump won the Electoral College and became 45th President of the United States. Like 2000, political scientists have differing opinions on whether or not Missouri accurately predicted the victor.

Electors

See main article: List of 2000 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Missouri cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Missouri is allocated 11 electors because it has 9 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 18, 2000[4] to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney:[5]

  1. David Barklage
  2. Bruce Bredeman
  3. Marc Ellinger
  4. Gordon Elliott
  5. John Hancock
  6. Stan Horacek
  7. Homer Johnson
  8. John Judd
  9. Michael Kort
  10. Dennis Owens
  11. Al Rotskoff

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Midwest's unlikely bellwether: Missouri: Independent-minded Rolla, Mo., offers a snapshot of why key heartland states may tilt Bush's way.(USA)(Election 2000 - Swing States - Third In A Series) - The Christian Science Monitor | HighBeam Research . October 25, 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121025215009/http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-62411569.html . 25 October 2012 . dead.
  2. Web site: 2000 Presidential General Election Results - Missouri.
  3. Web site: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data.
  4. Web site: 2000 Post-Election Timeline of Events.
  5. Web site: President Elect - 2000 . 2009-10-31 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120212174238/http://presidentelect.org/e2000.html . 2012-02-12 . dead .