2008 United States presidential election in Maryland explained

Election Name:2008 United States presidential election in Maryland
Country:Maryland
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2004 United States presidential election in Maryland
Previous Year:2004
Next Election:2012 United States presidential election in Maryland
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 4, 2008
Image1:Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee1:Barack Obama
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:Illinois
Running Mate1:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote1:10
Popular Vote1:1,629,467
Percentage1:61.92%
Nominee2:John McCain
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Arizona
Running Mate2:Sarah Palin
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:959,862
Percentage2:36.47%
Map Size:375px
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2008 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Maryland was won by Democratic nominee Barack Obama by a 25.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Obama would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. Maryland has voted for the Democratic presidential candidate of every election since 1992. In 2008, Obama easily captured the state's 10 electoral votes in a landslide victory, winning 61.92% of the popular vote to Republican John McCain's 36.47%.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report[1]
Cook Political Report[2]
The Takeaway[3]
Electoral-vote.com[4]
The Washington PostWashington Post[5]
Politico[6]
RealClearPolitics[7]
FiveThirtyEight
CQ Politics[8]
The New York Times[9]
CNN[10]
NPR
MSNBC
Fox News[11]
Associated Press[12]
Rasmussen Reports[13]

Polling

Obama won every single pre-election poll, each by a double-digit margin of victory and at least 51% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 54% to 38%.[14]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $3,439,120 in the state. Barack Obama raised $19,091,136.[15]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $257,582 while McCain spent nothing.[16] Both tickets visited the state once.[17]

Analysis

Maryland has supported the Democratic nominee in each of the last five presidential elections by an average margin of 15.4%. In 1980, it was 1 of only 6 states to vote for Democrat Jimmy Carter over Republican Ronald Reagan. It has only supported a Republican six times since Franklin D. Roosevelt1948 and the Republican landslides of 1952, 1956, 1972, 1984 and 1988.

Maryland is often among the Democratic nominees' best states. In 1992, Bill Clinton fared better in Maryland than any other state except his home state of Arkansas. In 1996, Maryland was Clinton's sixth best, in 2000 Maryland ranked fourth for Al Gore and in 2004 John Kerry showed his fifth best performance in Maryland.

Republican presidential candidates typically win more counties by running up huge margins in western Maryland and the Eastern Shore. However, they are usually swamped by the heavily Democratic Baltimore-Washington, D.C. axis, which casts almost 75% of the state's vote. The state's four largest county-level jurisdictions – Montgomery, Prince George's and Baltimore counties and the City of Baltimore — are strongly Democratic. These areas, which contain 1.5 million voters combined, make it extremely difficult for a Republican to win Maryland. Even in bad years for Democrats, a Republican usually has to run the table in the rest of the state and win either Montgomery, Prince George's or Baltimore counties to have a realistic chance of carrying the state. In 1984, for instance, Ronald Reagan only carried Maryland by crushing Walter Mondale in Baltimore County and narrowly winning Montgomery. In 1988, George H. W. Bush ran up a 42,300-vote margin in Baltimore County over Michael Dukakis – almost 85% of his statewide margin of 49,800 votes.

The 2008 election was no exception. Barack Obama won the state's 10 electoral votes in 2008 with 61.92% of the vote to John McCain's 36.47%. Obama carried Montgomery, Prince George's, Baltimore County and Baltimore City with 71.6%, 88.9%, 56.2 and 87.2% of the vote, respectively. Obama's combined 550,000-vote margin in these four areas would have been enough to carry the state. While McCain won more counties, the only large county he won was Anne Arundel County, home to the state capital, Annapolis. In this election, Maryland voted 18.17% to the left of the nation at-large.[18]

In 2008, Democrats picked up a U.S. House an open seat in Maryland's 1st Congressional District as Democrat Frank M. Kratovil, Jr. defeated Republican Andy Harris by less than a 1% margin of victory.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in Maryland[19]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden1,629,46761.92%10
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin959,86236.47%0
IndependentRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez14,7130.56%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root9,8420.44%0
IndependentWrite-in candidates9,0430.34%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente4,7470.18%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle3,7600.14%0
America's IndependentAlan Keyes (write-in)Brian Rohrbough1030.00%0
UnaffiliatedDonald Kenneth Allen (write-in)Christopher Borcik170.56%0
DemocraticBlaine Taylor (write-in)n/a120.00%0
Socialist USABrian Moore (write-in)Stewart Alexander100.00%0
Totals2,631,596100.00%10
Voter turnout (Voting age population)62.4%

Results by county

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
John McCain
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast[20]
%%%%
Allegany10,69335.95%18,40561.88%6442.17%-7,712-25.93%29,742
Anne Arundel125,01548.15%129,68249.95%4,9221.90%-4,667-1.80%259,619
Baltimore214,15156.22%158,71441.66%8,0732.12%55,43714.55%380,938
Baltimore City214,38587.16%28,68111.66%2,9021.18%185,70475.50%245,968
Calvert20,29946.07%23,09552.42%6631.50%-2,796-6.35%44,057
Caroline4,97137.61%8,01560.64%2321.76%-3,044-23.03%13,218
Carroll28,06033.11%54,50364.30%2,1972.59%-26,443-31.20%84,760
Cecil17,66541.57%23,85556.14%9742.29%-6,190-14.57%42,494
Charles43,63562.22%25,73236.69%7601.08%17,90325.53%70,127
Dorchester6,91245.25%8,16853.48%1941.27%-1,256-8.22%15,274
Frederick54,01348.58%55,17049.62%2,0031.80%-1,157-1.04%111,186
Garrett3,73629.02%8,90369.17%2331.81%-5,167-40.14%12,872
Harford48,55239.38%71,75158.19%2,9922.43%-23,199-18.82%123,295
Howard87,12059.99%55,39338.14%2,7201.87%31,72721.85%145,233
Kent4,95349.43%4,90548.95%1621.62%480.48%10,020
Montgomery314,44471.58%118,60827.00%6,2091.41%195,83644.58%439,261
Prince George's332,39688.87%38,83310.38%2,7970.75%293,56378.49%374,026
Queen Anne's8,57535.66%15,08762.74%3831.59%-6,512-27.08%24,045
Somerset4,77948.16%5,03750.76%1081.09%-258-2.60%9,924
St. Mary's19,02342.84%24,70555.63%6811.53%-5,682-12.79%44,409
Talbot9,03544.45%10,99554.09%2981.47%-1,960-9.64%20,328
Washington26,24542.61%34,16955.47%1,1861.93%-7,924-12.86%61,600
Wicomico19,43646.44%21,84952.20%5691.36%-2,413-5.77%41,854
Worcester11,37441.59%15,60757.07%3651.33%-4,233-15.48%27,346
Totals1,629,46761.92%959,86236.47%42,2671.61%669,60525.45%2,631,596

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Barack Obama carried 6 of Maryland's 8 congressional districts. McCain carried two congressional districts, including one that was won by a Democrat.

DistrictObamaMcCainRepresentative
39.81%58.26%Wayne Gilchrest (110th Congress)
Frank M. Kratovil, Jr. (111th Congress)
59.84%38.25%Dutch Ruppersberger
58.78%39.23%John Sarbanes
85.06%14.16%Albert Wynn (110th Congress)
Donna Edwards (111th Congress)
65.44%33.30%Steny Hoyer
40.19%57.65%Roscoe Bartlett
78.79%19.89%Elijah Cummings
73.88%24.70%Chris Van Hollen

Electors

See main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Maryland cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maryland is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[21] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 10 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:[22]

  1. Gene M. Ransom III
  2. Delores Kelley
    1. Guy Guzzone Nathaniel Exum
  3. Chris Reynolds
  4. Bobby Fouche
  5. Elizabeth Bobo
  6. Michael Barnes
  7. Susan Lee
  8. Rainier Harvey, Sr.

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2009-01-01. D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20090101161206/http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html. 2009-01-01.
  2. Web site: 2015-05-05. Presidential. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20150505003043/http://cookpolitical.com/presidential. 2015-05-05.
  3. Web site: 2009-04-22. Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/. 2009-04-22.
  4. Web site: Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily. 2021-08-23. electoral-vote.com.
  5. Based on Takeaway
  6. Web site: POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com. 2016-09-22. www.politico.com.
  7. Web site: RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20080605003612/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5. 2008-06-05.
  8. Web site: CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20090614004022/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08. June 14, 2009. December 20, 2009. CQ Politics.
  9. News: Nagourney. Adam. Zeleny. Jeff. Carter. Shan. 2008-11-04. The Electoral Map: Key States. The New York Times. May 26, 2010.
  10. News: 2008-10-31. October  - 2008  - CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs. CNN. May 26, 2010. June 19, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20100619013250/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/. dead.
  11. News: April 27, 2010. Winning The Electoral College. Fox News.
  12. Web site: roadto270. 2016-09-22. hosted.ap.org.
  13. Web site: Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports. 2016-09-22. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  14. http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=24 Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  15. Web site: Presidential Campaign Finance . 2009-08-20 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090324085747/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=MD&cand_id=P00000001 . 2009-03-24 . dead .
  16. News: Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com . CNN . 2010-05-26.
  17. News: Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com . CNN . 2010-05-26.
  18. Web site: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections . 2023-03-31 . uselectionatlas.org.
  19. Web site: Maryland State Board of Elections. 2008-12-12.
  20. Maryland State Board of Elections; 2008 Presidential General Election Official Results President and Vice President of the United States
  21. Web site: Electoral College . 2008-11-01 . . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm . October 30, 2008 .
  22. Web site: 2008 Presidential Electors. 2021-05-22. elections.maryland.gov.