2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky explained

See main article: article and 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:	2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2012 United States presidential election in Kentucky
Previous Year:	2012
Election Date:	November 8, 2016
Next Election:	2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky
Next Year:	2020
Turnout:	59.10%^[1]
Image1:	Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Donald Trump
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:	New York
Running Mate1:	Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:	8
Popular Vote1:	1,202,971
Percentage1:
Nominee2:	Hillary Clinton
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:	New York
Running Mate2:	Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote2:	0
Popular Vote2:	628,854
President
Before Election:	Barack Obama
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Donald Trump
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Although Kentucky was won twice by Southern Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, Trump easily carried the state with 62.52% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's 32.68%, a margin of 29.84%. Trump won Kentucky by the largest margin of any Republican in history, and he swept counties across the state.^[3] Clinton's performance was also the worst for any Democratic nominee in history. She carried only the state's two most urban and populous counties: Jefferson County, home to Louisville; and Fayette County, home to Lexington, both of which traditionally vote Democratic. Kentucky was also one of eleven states to have twice voted for Bill Clinton but against his wife Hillary in 2016.

Trump's victory in Kentucky made it his fifth-strongest state in the 2016 election after West Virginia, Wyoming, Oklahoma, and North Dakota.^[4] Most notably, Trump ended Elliott County's nearly 150-year tradition of voting Democratic in every presidential election, winning with 2,000 votes to Clinton's 740, or 70%–26%. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican since Warren G. Harding in 1920 to win the White House without carrying Fayette County.

Caucuses

Republican caucus

Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 5% or more of the vote proportionally.

In order to avoid a local law forbidding one candidate to run for two offices in the same primary, Rand Paul paid to have a presidential caucus, which took place on March 5. Paul dropped out prior to this.^[5]

Democratic primary

See main article: 2016 Kentucky Democratic primary. Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

• Hillary Clinton
• Bernie Sanders
• Rocky De La Fuente
• Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Kentucky as of Election Day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[6]		November 6, 2016
CNN^[7]		November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[8]		November 7, 2016
NBC^[9]		November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[10]		November 8, 2016
Fox News^[11]		November 7, 2016
ABC^[12]		November 7, 2016

Results

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Hillary Clinton Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
		%		%		%		%
	Adair		6,637		80.61%		1,323		16.07%		273		3.32%		5,314		64.54%		8,233
	Allen		6,466		79.87%		1,349		16.66%		281		3.47%		5,117		63.21%		8,096
	Anderson		8,242		72.16%		2,634		23.06%		546		4.78%		5,608		49.10%		11,422
	Ballard		3,161		77.08%		816		19.90%		124		3.02%		2,345		57.18%		4,101
	Barren		13,483		72.93%		4,275		23.12%		730		3.95%		9,208		49.81%		18,488
	Bath		3,082		67.19%		1,361		29.67%		144		3.14%		1,721		37.52%		4,587
	Bell		7,764		79.89%		1,720		17.70%		234		2.41%		6,044		62.19%		9,718
	Boone		39,082		67.83%		15,026		26.08%		3,510		6.09%		24,056		41.75%		57,618
	Bourbon		5,569		63.26%		2,791		31.71%		443		5.03%		2,778		31.55%		8,803
	Boyd		13,591		66.45%		6,021		29.44%		842		4.11%		7,570		37.01%		20,454
	Boyle		8,040		62.10%		4,281		33.07%		625		4.83%		3,759		29.03%		12,946
	Bracken		2,711		76.86%		705		19.99%		111		3.15%		2,006		56.87%		3,527
	Breathitt		3,991		69.55%		1,537		26.79%		210		3.66%		2,454		42.76%		5,738
	Breckinridge		6,484		73.90%		1,960		22.34%		330		3.76%		4,524		51.56%		8,774
	Bullitt		26,210		72.67%		8,255		22.89%		1,604		4.44%		17,955		49.78%		36,069
	Butler		4,428		79.41%		947		16.98%		201		3.61%		3,481		62.43%		5,576
	Caldwell		4,507		75.43%		1,260		21.09%		208		3.48%		3,247		54.34%		5,975
	Calloway		10,367		64.60%		4,749		29.59%		933		5.81%		5,618		35.01%		16,049
	Campbell		25,050		58.93%		14,658		34.48%		2,802		6.59%		10,392		24.45%		42,510
	Carlisle		2,094		80.51%		432		16.61%		75		2.88%		1,662		63.90%		2,601
	Carroll		2,588		67.13%		1,106		28.69%		161		4.18%		1,482		38.44%		3,855
	Carter		7,587		73.82%		2,276		22.14%		415		4.04%		5,311		51.68%		10,278
	Casey		5,482		85.14%		767		11.91%		190		2.95%		4,715		73.23%		6,439
	Christian		14,108		63.89%		7,188		32.55%		787		3.56%		6,920		31.34%		22,083
	Clark		10,710		66.09%		4,706		29.04%		789		4.87%		6,004		37.05%		16,205
	Clay		5,861		86.61%		752		11.11%		154		2.28%		5,109		75.50%		6,767
	Clinton		3,809		85.37%		547		12.26%		106		2.37%		3,262		73.11%		4,462
	Crittenden		3,290		81.50%		617		15.28%		130		3.22%		2,673		66.22%		4,037
	Cumberland		2,502		81.60%		459		14.97%		105		3.43%		2,043		66.63%		3,066
	Daviess		28,907		63.11%		14,163		30.92%		2,737		5.97%		14,744		32.19%		45,807
	Edmonson		4,135		78.85%		979		18.67%		130		2.48%		3,156		60.18%		5,244
	Elliott		2,000		70.05%		740		25.92%		115		4.03%		1,260		44.13%		2,855
	Estill		4,236		76.39%		1,108		19.98%		201		3.63%		3,128		56.41%		5,545
	Fayette		56,894		41.74%		69,778		51.19%		9,643		7.07%		-12,884		-9.45%		136,315
	Fleming		4,722		75.43%		1,348		21.53%		190		3.04%		3,374		53.90%		6,260
	Floyd		11,993		72.51%		4,015		24.27%		532		3.22%		7,978		48.24%		16,540
	Franklin		11,819		49.52%		10,717		44.91%		1,329		5.57%		1,102		4.61%		23,865
	Fulton		1,549		65.03%		774		32.49%		59		2.48%		775		32.54%		2,382
	Gallatin		2,443		73.19%		749		22.44%		146		4.37%		1,694		50.75%		3,338
	Garrard		5,904		77.45%		1,453		19.06%		266		3.49%		4,451		58.39%		7,623
	Grant		7,268		76.03%		1,910		19.98%		381		3.99%		5,358		56.05%		9,559
	Graves		12,671		76.30%		3,308		19.92%		627		3.78%		9,363		56.38%		16,606
	Grayson		8,219		77.71%		1,959		18.52%		398		3.77%		6,260		59.19%		10,576
	Green		4,372		81.98%		832		15.60%		129		2.42%		3,540		66.38%		5,333
	Greenup		11,546		70.93%		4,146		25.47%		585		3.60%		7,400		45.46%		16,277
	Hancock		2,788		64.91%		1,244		28.96%		263		6.13%		1,544		35.95%		4,295
	Hardin		26,971		62.50%		13,944		32.31%		2,241		5.19%		13,027		30.19%		43,156
	Harlan		9,129		84.87%		1,372		12.75%		256		2.38%		7,757		72.12%		10,757
	Harrison		5,435		69.85%		2,031		26.10%		315		4.05%		3,404		43.75%		7,781
	Hart		5,320		73.24%		1,730		23.82%		214		2.94%		3,590		49.42%		7,264
	Henderson		12,159		61.69%		6,707		34.03%		844		4.28%		5,452		27.66%		19,710
	Henry		4,944		69.16%		1,828		25.57%		377		5.27%		3,116		43.59%		7,149
	Hickman		1,657		76.82%		449		20.82%		51		2.36%		1,208		56.00%		2,157
	Hopkins		15,277		75.09%		4,310		21.18%		758		3.73%		10,967		53.91%		20,345
	Jackson		4,889		88.87%		482		8.76%		130		2.37%		4,407		80.11%		5,501
	Jefferson		143,768		40.72%		190,836		54.05%		18,496		5.23%		-47,068		-13.33%		353,100
	Jessamine		15,474		66.34%		6,144		26.34%		1,708		7.32%		9,330		40.00%		23,326
	Johnson		8,043		84.03%		1,250		13.06%		279		2.91%		6,793		70.97%		9,572
	Kenton		42,958		59.67%		24,214		33.63%		4,826		6.70%		18,744		26.04%		71,998
	Knott		4,357		75.60%		1,245		21.60%		161		2.80%		3,112		54.00%		5,763
	Knox		9,885		82.29%		1,761		14.66%		366		3.05%		8,124		67.63%		12,012
	LaRue		4,799		75.37%		1,278		20.07%		290		4.56%		3,521		55.30%		6,367
	Laurel		20,592		82.92%		3,440		13.85%		801		3.23%		17,152		69.07%		24,833
	Lawrence		4,816		79.71%		1,045		17.30%		181		2.99%		3,771		62.41%		6,042
	Lee		2,151		80.65%		444		16.65%		72		2.70%		1,707		64.00%		2,667
	Leslie		4,015		89.38%		400		8.90%		74		1.72%		3,615		80.48%		4,492
	Letcher		7,293		79.84%		1,542		16.88%		299		3.28%		5,751		62.96%		9,134
	Lewis		4,363		82.35%		785		14.82%		150		2.83%		3,578		67.53%		5,298
	Lincoln		7,338		76.75%		1,865		19.51%		358		3.74%		5,473		57.24%		9,561
	Livingston		3,570		76.86%		887		19.10%		188		4.04%		2,683		57.76%		4,645
	Logan		7,778		71.36%		2,755		25.28%		366		3.36%		5,023		46.08%		10,899
	Lyon		2,789		70.39%		1,045		26.38%		128		3.23%		1,744		44.01%		3,962
	McCracken		20,774		66.36%		9,134		29.18%		1,399		4.46%		11,640		37.18%		31,307
	McCreary		5,012		86.77%		664		11.50%		100		1.73%		4,348		75.27%		5,776
	McLean		3,381		74.05%		988		21.64%		197		4.31%		2,393		52.41%		4,566
	Madison		23,431		62.70%		11,793		31.56%		2,147		5.74%		11,638		31.14%		37,371
	Magoffin		3,824		74.75%		1,172		22.91%		120		2.34%		2,652		51.84%		5,116
	Marion		5,122		63.15%		2,679		33.03%		310		3.82%		2,443		30.12%		8,111
	Marshall		12,322		73.79%		3,672		21.99%		704		4.22%		8,650		51.80%		16,698
	Martin		3,503		88.62%		363		9.18%		87		2.20%		3,140		79.44%		3,953
	Mason		4,944		68.49%		1,970		27.29%		305		4.22%		2,974		41.20%		7,219
	Meade		8,660		70.80%		3,026		24.74%		545		4.46%		5,634		46.06%		12,231
	Menifee		2,010		72.33%		700		25.19%		69		2.48%		1,310		47.14%		2,779
	Mercer		7,740		73.12%		2,395		22.63%		450		4.25%		5,345		50.49%		10,585
	Metcalfe		3,491		75.56%		976		21.13%		153		3.31%		2,515		54.43%		4,620
	Monroe		4,278		85.71%		601		12.04%		112		2.25%		3,677		73.67%		4,991
	Montgomery		7,856		68.60%		3,158		27.58%		438		3.82%		4,698		41.02%		11,452
	Morgan		3,628		75.98%		1,006		21.07%		141		2.95%		2,622		54.91%		4,775
	Muhlenberg		9,393		71.92%		3,272		25.05%		395		3.03%		6,121		46.87%		13,060
	Nelson		13,431		64.57%		6,434		30.93%		937		4.50%		6,997		33.64%		20,802
	Nicholas		1,957		68.88%		787		27.70%		97		3.42%		1,170		41.18%		2,841
	Ohio		7,942		76.38%		2,080		20.00%		376		3.62%		5,862		56.38%		10,398
	Oldham		20,469		62.30%		10,268		31.25%		2,116		6.45%		10,201		31.05%		32,853
	Owen		3,745		74.89%		1,062		21.24%		194		3.87%		2,683		53.65%		5,001
	Owsley		1,474		83.80%		256		14.55%		29		1.65%		1,218		69.25%		1,759
	Pendleton		4,604		76.64%		1,164		19.38%		239		3.98%		3,440		57.26%		6,007
	Perry		8,158		77.17%		2,136		20.20%		278		2.63%		6,022		56.97%		10,572
	Pike		19,747		80.06%		4,280		17.35%		638		2.59%		15,467		62.71%		24,665
	Powell		3,513		70.87%		1,272		25.66%		172		3.47%		2,241		45.21%		4,957
	Pulaski		22,902		81.67%		4,208		15.01%		931		3.32%		18,694		66.66%		28,041
	Robertson		759		74.93%		222		21.92%		32		3.15%		537		53.01%		1,013
	Rockcastle		5,609		83.83%		915		13.68%		167		2.49%		4,694		70.15%		6,691
	Rowan		5,174		58.48%		3,295		37.24%		379		4.28%		1,879		21.24%		8,848
	Russell		6,863		83.96%		1,093		13.37%		218		2.67%		5,770		70.59%		8,174
	Scott		15,052		62.20%		7,715		31.88%		1,433		5.92%		7,337		30.32%		24,200
	Shelby		13,196		64.12%		6,276		30.50%		1,108		5.38%		6,920		33.62%		20,580
	Simpson		5,077		67.41%		2,144		28.47%		310		4.12%		2,933		38.94%		7,531
	Spencer		7,196		75.63%		1,921		20.19%		398		4.18%		5,275		55.44%		9,515
	Taylor		8,320		73.59%		2,553		22.58%		433		3.83%		5,767		51.01%		11,306
	Todd		3,612		75.58%		1,042		21.80%		125		2.62%		2,570		53.78%		4,779
	Trigg		4,931		73.04%		1,587		23.51%		233		3.45%		3,344		49.53%		6,751
	Trimble		2,771		72.96%		879		23.14%		148		3.90%		1,892		49.82%		3,798
	Union		4,701		75.69%		1,331		21.43%		179		2.88%		3,370		54.26%		6,211
	Warren		28,673		59.18%		16,966		35.01%		2,815		5.81%		11,707		24.17%		48,454
	Washington		4,013		71.20%		1,420		25.20%		203		3.60%		2,593		46.00%		5,636
	Wayne		6,371		79.72%		1,431		17.91%		190		2.37%		4,940		61.81%		7,992
	Webster		4,397		75.75%		1,240		21.36%		168		2.89%		3,157		54.39%		5,805
	Whitley		11,312		82.13%		2,067		15.01%		395		2.86%		9,245		67.12%		13,774
	Wolfe		1,804		68.46%		753		28.58%		78		2.96%		1,051		39.88%		2,635
	Woodford		7,697		56.75%		4,958		36.56%		908		6.69%		2,739		20.19%		13,563
Totals	1,202,971	62.52%	628,854	32.68%	92,325	4.80%	574,117	29.84%	1,924,150

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Elliot (largest city: Sandy Hook)
• Franklin (largest city: Frankfort)

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
	72%	24%		Ed Whitfield
			James Comer
		68%	28%		Brett Guthrie
		40%	55%		John Yarmuth
		65%	29%		Thomas Massie
		80%	18%		Hal Rogers
		55%	39%		Andy Barr

See also

• Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
• Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
• Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Kentucky

Notes and References

1. https://elect.ky.gov/statistics/Documents/voterturnoutagesex-2016G-20170207-045855.pdf Voter Turnout by Age and Sex
2. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. November 25, 2020.
3. Web site: Presidential General Election Results Comparison - Kentucky. Uselectionatlas.org. 2021-10-19.
4. Web site: 2016 Presidential Election Statistics. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. 2018-03-05.
5. Web site: Kentucky caucus moves forward without Rand Paul | News . Richmondregister.com . 2016-02-14 . 2016-11-13.
6. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
7. Web site: Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com . Cnn.com . 2016-11-08 . 2016-11-13.
8. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President . Centerforpolitics.org . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
9. Web site: Todd . Chuck . NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead . . 2016-11-13.
10. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House . RealClearPolitics . 2016-11-13.
11. Web site: Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge . . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
12. Web site: The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election . Abcnews.go.com . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.