2020 United States presidential election in Kansas explained

See main article: 2020 United States presidential election.

Election Name:	2020 United States presidential election in Kansas
Country:	Kansas
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
College Voted:	yes
Previous Election:	2016 United States presidential election in Kansas
Previous Year:	2016
Election Date:	November 3, 2020
Next Election:	2024 United States presidential election in Kansas
Next Year:	2024
Turnout:	65.9%^[1]
Image1:	Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Donald Trump
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:	Florida
Running Mate1:	Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:	6
Popular Vote1:	771,406
Percentage1:	56.14%
Nominee2:	Joe Biden
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:	Delaware
Running Mate2:	Kamala Harris
Electoral Vote2:	0
Popular Vote2:	570,323
Percentage2:	41.51%
President
Before Election:	Donald Trump
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Joe Biden
After Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[2] Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[3]

Although Trump won the state, Biden's 41.53 percent vote share represented the highest for a Democratic presidential nominee since Barack Obama's performance in 2008 and among the strongest swings to Biden, relative to Hillary Clinton's performance in 2016, in the nation. His 14.65-point defeat represented the first time since 1916, and only the second time ever, that Kansas voted more Democratic than neighboring Missouri, where his margin of defeat was 15.39 points.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Kansas came from white voters, who supported Trump by 59%–38%; white voters with college degrees, however, were tied. This result included a 64% showing for Trump among Protestants and a 74% showing among other Christians. Trump's best margin was 72% in rural areas, while Biden's was 52% in suburban counties.^[4]

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary

On September 7, 2019, the Kansas Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to cancel their respective primaries and caucuses officially.^[5] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.^{[6] [7]} At its state convention held between January 31 and February 1, 2020, the state party voted to formally bind all 39 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.^{[8] [9]}

Democratic primary

The Kansas Democratic primary was conducted entirely by mail. Votes were counted on May 2, 2020. Joe Biden was declared the winner.^[10]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]		September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[12]		September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]		July 14, 2020
Politico^[14]		October 16, 2020
RCP^[15]		August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[16]		July 26, 2020
CNN^[17]		August 3, 2020
The Economist^[18]		September 2, 2020
CBS News^[19]		August 16, 2020
270towin^[20]		August 2, 2020
ABC News^[21]		July 31, 2020
NPR^[22]		August 3, 2020
NBC News^[23]		August 6, 2020
538^[24]		November 2, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Joe
Biden
! class="unsortable"

Donald Trump	Other/ Undecided	Margin
270 to Win^[25]	October 17–22, 2020	November 3, 2020	43.0%		51.7%	5.3%		Trump +8.7
FiveThirtyEight^[26]	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	41.0%		53.9%	5.1%		Trump +12.9
Average			42.0%		52.8%	5.2%		Trump +10.8

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Jo Jorgensen	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[27]	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	2,321 (LV)	± 3%		55%	44%	–	–	–
Data For Progress^[28]	Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%		55%	41%	3%	2%	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	3,442 (LV)	± 2.5%		51%	47%	–	–	–
PPP/Protect Our Care^[29]	Oct 19–20, 2020	897 (V)	± 3.3%		54%	42%	–	–	4%
Siena College/NYT Upshot^[30]	Oct 18–20, 2020	755 (LV)	± 4%		48%	41%	4%	2%	6%
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC^[31]	Oct 18–20, 2020	2,453 (LV)	± 3.7%		56%	39%	2%	–	3%
Fort Hays State University^[32]	Sep 21 – Oct 1, 2020	306 (RV)	± 4.8%		52%	38%	–	11%	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	1,135 (LV)	–		52%	47%	–	–	1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos^[33]	Sep 26–29, 2020	677 (LV)	± 4.5%		52%	42%	–	4%	1%
Data For Progress (D)^[34]	Sep 14–19, 2020	883 (LV)	± 3.3%		48%	42%	3%	1%	7%
-- row ops -->					49%	45%	–	–	6%
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC^[35]	Sep 15–16, 2020	794 (LV)	± 3.5%		53%	41%	–	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	922 (LV)	–		54%	45%	–	–	1%
SurveyUSA^[36]	Aug 5–9, 2020	1,202 (LV)	± 3.3%		48%	41%	–	5%	6%
Public Policy Polling^[37]	Aug 5–6, 2020	864 (V)	± 3.3%		50%	43%	–	–	7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,295 (LV)	–		51%	47%	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	466 (LV)	–		53%	45%	–	–	2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos^[38]	May 30 – Jun 1, 2020	699 (RV)	± 4.2%		52%	40%	–	6%	2%
The Progress Campaign (D)^[39]	Apr 15–22, 2020	1,632 (LV)	± 4.7%		51%	41%	–	–	8%
Public Policy Polling^[40]	Mar 10–11, 2020	1,567 (V)	–		52%	40%	–	–	8%
DFM Research^[41]	Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020	600 (A)	±4%		51%	43%	–	3%	3%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	Mar 10–11, 2020	1,567 (V)	–		52%	40%	–	7%
The Progress Campaign (D) https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1229421354191028224	Feb 17, 2020	572 (RV)	± 5.2%		63%	26%	–	11%
DFM Research	Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020	600 (A)	±4%		53%	43%	2%	1%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Other	Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1229421354191028224	Feb 17, 2020	572 (RV)	± 5.2%		63%	32%	–	5%
DFM Research	Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020	600 (A)	±4%		53%	41%	3%	3%

Results

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Joe Biden Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
		%		%		%		%
	Allen		4,218		71.59%		1,570		26.65%		104		1.76%		2,648		44.94%		5,892
	Anderson		2,929		77.24%		782		20.62%		81		2.14%		2,147		56.62%		3,792
	Atchison		4,906		65.94%		2,359		31.71%		175		2.35%		2,547		34.23%		7,440
	Barber		2,014		85.99%		291		12.43%		37		1.58%		1,723		73.56%		2,342
	Barton		8,608		77.20%		2,340		20.99%		202		1.81%		6,268		56.21%		11,150
	Bourbon		5,023		75.24%		1,541		23.08%		245		3.88%		3,482		52.16%		6,676
	Brown		3,262		72.96%		1,104		24.69%		105		2.35%		2,158		48.27%		4,471
	Butler		22,634		69.60%		9,181		28.23%		705		2.17%		13,453		41.37%		32,520
	Chase		1,123		75.32%		345		23.14%		23		1.54%		778		52.18%		1,491
	Chautauqua		1,402		85.28%		212		12.90%		30		1.82%		1,190		72.38%		1,644
	Cherokee		6,766		73.94%		2,194		23.98%		191		2.08%		4,572		49.96%		9,151
	Cheyenne		1,183		82.79%		224		15.68%		22		1.53%		959		67.11%		1,429
	Clark		904		84.72%		143		13.40%		20		1.88%		761		71.32%		1,067
	Clay		3,177		75.97%		894		21.38%		111		2.65%		2,283		54.59%		4,182
	Cloud		3,242		76.05%		920		21.58%		101		2.37%		2,322		54.47%		4,263
	Coffey		3,489		76.43%		964		21.12%		112		2.45%		2,525		55.31%		4,565
	Comanche		762		83.19%		126		13.76%		28		3.05%		636		69.43%		916
	Cowley		9,656		67.85%		4,273		30.03%		302		2.12%		5,383		37.82%		14,231
	Crawford		10,045		60.08%		6,179		36.96%		494		2.96%		3,866		23.12%		16,718
	Decatur		1,260		84.11%		218		14.55%		20		1.34%		1,042		69.56%		1,498
	Dickinson		7,126		76.22%		2,060		22.03%		163		1.75%		5,066		54.19%		9,349
	Doniphan		2,976		80.24%		686		18.50%		47		1.26%		2,290		61.74%		3,709
	Douglas		17,286		28.84%		40,785		68.04%		1,870		3.12%		-23,499		-39.20%		59,941
	Edwards		1,141		79.73%		271		18.94%		19		1.33%		870		60.79%		1,431
	Elk		1,140		83.76%		195		14.33%		26		1.91%		945		69.43%		1,361
	Ellis		9,758		70.42%		3,737		26.97%		361		2.61%		6,021		43.45%		13,856
	Ellsworth		2,148		75.29%		648		22.71%		57		2.00%		1,500		52.58%		2,853
	Finney		7,236		61.08%		4,325		36.51%		285		2.41%		2,911		24.57%		11,846
	Ford		5,803		65.09%		2,947		33.06%		165		1.85%		2,856		32.03%		8,915
	Franklin		8,479		67.96%		3,690		29.57%		308		2.47%		4,789		38.39%		12,477
	Geary		5,323		55.43%		3,983		41.48%		297		3.09%		1,340		13.95%		9,603
	Gove		1,291		87.76%		166		11.28%		14		0.96%		1,125		76.48%		1,471
	Graham		1,080		80.78%		228		17.05%		29		2.17%		852		63.73%		1,337
	Grant		1,936		77.41%		518		20.71%		47		1.88%		1,418		56.70%		2,501
	Gray		1,911		83.52%		341		14.90%		36		1.58%		1,570		68.62%		2,288
	Greeley		549		85.65%		78		12.17%		14		2.18%		471		73.48%		641
	Greenwood		2,444		79.43%		569		18.49%		64		2.08%		1,875		60.94%		3,077
	Hamilton		698		81.26%		141		16.41%		20		2.33%		557		64.85%		859
	Harper		2,168		80.96%		461		17.21%		49		1.83%		1,707		63.75%		2,678
	Harvey		10,182		58.52%		6,747		38.78%		470		2.70%		3,435		19.74%		17,399
	Haskell		1,122		79.57%		268		19.01%		20		1.42%		854		60.56%		1,410
	Hodgeman		875		83.73%		154		14.74%		16		1.53%		721		68.99%		1,045
	Jackson		4,517		68.61%		1,881		28.57%		186		2.82%		2,636		40.04%		6,584
	Jefferson		6,334		64.75%		3,194		32.65%		254		2.60%		3,140		32.10%		9,782
	Jewell		1,387		85.20%		212		13.02%		29		1.78%		1,175		72.18%		1,628
	Johnson		155,631		44.54%		184,259		52.74%		9,496		2.72%		-28,628		-8.20%		349,386
	Kearny		1,164		80.00%		267		18.35%		24		1.65%		897		61.65%		1,455
	Kingman		3,130		79.26%		752		19.04%		67		1.70%		2,378		60.22%		3,949
	Kiowa		980		84.12%		156		13.39%		29		2.49%		824		70.73%		1,165
	Labette		5,735		66.97%		2,655		31.01%		173		2.02%		3,080		35.96%		8,563
	Lane		762		85.14%		115		12.85%		18		2.01%		647		72.29%		895
	Leavenworth		21,610		59.22%		13,886		38.05%		994		2.73%		7,724		21.17%		36,490
	Lincoln		1,283		81.25%		266		16.85%		30		1.90%		1,017		64.40%		1,579
	Linn		4,048		80.22%		896		17.76%		102		2.02%		3,152		62.46%		5,046
	Logan		1,249		85.67%		186		12.76%		23		1.57%		1,063		72.91%		1,458
	Lyon		7,550		53.74%		6,055		43.10%		444		3.16%		1,495		10.64%		14,049
	Marion		4,465		73.06%		1,516		24.81%		130		2.13%		2,949		48.25%		6,111
	Marshall		3,729		72.92%		1,259		24.62%		126		2.46%		2,470		48.30%		5,114
	McPherson		9,964		69.01%		4,134		28.63%		340		2.36%		5,830		40.38%		14,438
	Meade		1,523		83.45%		263		14.41%		39		2.14%		1,260		69.04%		1,825
	Miami		12,308		68.42%		5,247		29.17%		434		2.41%		7,061		39.25%		17,989
	Mitchell		2,504		80.75%		558		17.99%		39		1.26%		1,946		62.76%		3,101
	Montgomery		9,931		73.97%		3,228		24.04%		267		1.99%		6,703		49.93%		13,426
	Morris		2,124		73.27%		729		25.15%		46		1.58%		1,395		48.12%		2,899
	Morton		1,034		86.31%		150		12.52%		14		1.17%		884		73.79%		1,198
	Nemaha		4,664		82.05%		927		16.31%		93		1.64%		3,737		65.74%		5,684
	Neosho		4,970		72.27%		1,796		26.12%		111		1.61%		3,174		46.15%		6,877
	Ness		1,339		88.50%		149		9.85%		25		1.65%		1,190		78.65%		1,513
	Norton		2,007		83.11%		364		15.07%		44		1.82%		1,643		68.04%		2,415
	Osage		5,705		71.00%		2,136		26.58%		194		2.42%		3,569		44.42%		8,035
	Osborne		1,629		83.75%		281		14.45%		35		1.80%		1,348		69.30%		1,945
	Ottawa		2,610		81.79%		506		15.86%		75		2.35%		2,104		65.93%		3,191
	Pawnee		2,045		74.66%		643		23.48%		51		1.86%		1,402		51.18%		2,739
	Phillips		2,418		86.95%		318		11.43%		45		1.62%		2,100		75.52%		2,781
	Pottawatomie		9,452		72.25%		3,313		25.32%		318		2.43%		6,139		46.93%		13,083
	Pratt		3,108		75.13%		933		22.55%		96		2.32%		2,175		52.58%		4,137
	Rawlins		1,261		83.84%		214		14.23%		29		1.93%		1,047		69.61%		1,504
	Reno		18,443		65.73%		8,886		31.67%		731		2.60%		9,557		34.06%		28,060
	Republic		2,182		82.12%		424		15.96%		51		1.92%		1,758		66.16%		2,657
	Rice		3,262		75.53%		965		22.34%		92		2.13%		2,297		53.19%		4,319
	Riley		11,610		46.12%		12,765		50.71%		796		3.17%		-1,155		-4.59%		25,171
	Rooks		2,325		86.14%		339		12.56%		35		1.30%		1,986		73.58%		2,699
	Rush		1,350		80.50%		295		17.59%		32		1.91%		1,055		62.91%		1,677
	Russell		2,790		80.47%		600		17.31%		77		2.22%		2,190		63.16%		3,467
	Saline		15,722		63.85%		8,214		33.36%		688		2.79%		7,508		30.49%		24,624
	Scott		2,014		85.56%		299		12.70%		41		1.74%		1,715		72.86%		2,354
	Sedgwick		122,416		54.44%		95,870		42.64%		6,576		2.92%		26,546		11.80%		224,862
	Seward		3,372		63.69%		1,833		34.62%		89		1.69%		1,539		29.07%		5,294
	Shawnee		40,443		46.96%		43,015		49.95%		2,664		3.09%		-2,572		-2.99%		86,122
	Sheridan		1,282		88.72%		147		10.17%		16		1.11%		1,135		78.55%		1,445
	Sherman		2,269		83.20%		396		14.52%		62		2.28%		1,873		68.68%		2,727
	Smith		1,763		82.81%		336		15.78%		30		1.41%		1,427		67.03%		2,129
	Stafford		1,645		80.88%		357		17.55%		32		1.57%		1,288		63.33%		2,034
	Stanton		614		79.12%		148		19.07%		14		1.81%		466		60.05%		776
	Stevens		1,760		86.66%		237		11.67%		34		1.67%		1,523		74.99%		2,031
	Sumner		8,105		74.17%		2,591		23.71%		232		2.12%		5,514		50.46%		10,928
	Thomas		3,130		82.15%		625		16.40%		55		1.45%		2,505		65.75%		3,810
	Trego		1,363		83.62%		242		14.85%		25		1.53%		1,121		68.77%		1,630
	Wabaunsee		2,845		72.91%		964		24.71%		93		2.38%		1,881		48.20%		3,902
	Wallace		770		93.33%		44		5.33%		11		1.34%		726		88.00%		825
	Washington		2,363		81.96%		475		16.48%		45		1.56%		1,888		65.48%		2,883
	Wichita		808		83.47%		149		15.39%		11		1.14%		659		68.08%		968
	Wilson		3,153		79.74%		723		18.29%		78		1.97%		2,430		61.45%		3,954
	Woodson		1,228		79.43%		294		19.02%		24		1.55%		934		60.41%		1,546
	Wyandotte		18,934		33.18%		36,788		64.46%		1,349		2.36%		-17,854		-31.28%		57,071
Totals	771,406	56.00%	570,323	41.40%	35,755	2.60%	201,083	14.60%	1,377,484

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Johnson (largest municipality: Overland Park)
• Riley (largest municipality: Manhattan)
• Shawnee (largest municipality: Topeka)

By congressional district

Trump won three of Kansas' four congressional districts.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
	69.7%	28.1%		Roger Marshall
			Tracey Mann
	56.3%	41.3%		Steve Watkins
			Jake LaTurner
		43.7%	54.3%		Sharice Davids
		59.7%	38%		Ron Estes

Analysis

Biden's gains relative to Hillary Clinton were powered by significant improvement in Kansas' suburbs and college towns: he became the first Democrat to carry Johnson County, the state's most populous and home to Overland Park and Olathe, since Woodrow Wilson in 1916.^[43] It was also the first since 1896 that Democrats received a majority in the county. Biden was also the first Democrat ever to win Riley County, anchored by the Fort Riley military installation and Kansas State University;^[44] and the first to win Shawnee County, home to the state capital of Topeka, since Bill Clinton's narrow plurality in 1992.^[45]

While he failed to break the 56-year Republican winning streak in Sedgwick County, the second most populous in the state and home to the state's largest city Wichita, his 42.9 percent of the vote there was the strongest for a Democrat since Jimmy Carter received 46.5 percent of the vote in 1976.^[46] Biden would also build upon Hillary Clinton's share (32.31%) and even break Carter's record at Seward County of 33.96%. At 34.62%, this was the highest percentage of votes a Democratic presidential candidate has won in the county since Lyndon B. Johnson won 46.14% in 1964. This was also the first election since the three-way contest of 1992 in which a Democratic candidate won at least five counties, along with it being the smallest margin of victory for a Republican nominee since George Bush in 1992.

Notes

Partisan clients

See also

• United States presidential elections in Kansas
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

External links

• • • Web site: League of Women Voters of Kansas . (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Notes and References

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4. News: 2020-11-03. Kansas Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-11-09. 0362-4331.
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