2004 United States presidential election in Idaho explained

See main article: 2004 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2004 United States presidential election in Idaho
Country:Idaho
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States presidential election in Idaho
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2008 United States presidential election in Idaho
Next Year:2008
Election Date:November 2, 2004
Image1:File:George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee1:George W. Bush
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Texas
Running Mate1:Dick Cheney
Electoral Vote1:4
Popular Vote1:409,235
Percentage1:68.38%
Nominee2:John Kerry
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:John Edwards
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:181,098
Percentage2:30.26%
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:George W. Bush
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:75.0% (of registered voters)
60.2% (of voting age population)

The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Idaho was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 38.1 point margin of victory. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. No Democratic presidential nominee won the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 and even then it was close. In 2004, President George W. Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county, except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County., this is the last election in which Latah County voted for a Republican presidential candidate.

With 68.38 percent of the popular vote, Idaho would prove to be Bush's third strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah and Wyoming.[1]

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Associated Press
CNN
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
New York Times
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Washington Post
Washington Times
Zogby International
Washington Dispatch

Polling

Only one pre-election poll was taken, which gave Bush 59%, Kerry 30%, and Nader 3%.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $371,495.[4] Kerry raised $359,011.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election.[6] [7]

Analysis

With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliable GOP bastions in the country. Both senators and representatives are Republican. It has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958, though Democrats held the governorship from 1971 to 1995.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Idaho[8]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)409,23568.38%4
DemocraticJohn Kerry181,09830.26%0
LibertarianMichael Badnarik3,8440.64%0
Constitution PartyMichael Peroutka3,0380.51%0
Write InRalph Nader1,1150.19%0
Write InDavid Cobb580.01%0
Write InJohn Joseph Kennedy9<0.01%0
Write InWalt Brown3<0.01%0
Totals598,447100.00%4
Voter turnout (Voting age population)60.2%

Results by county

CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Michael J. Badnarik[9]
Libertarian
Michael Anthony Peroutka
Constitution
Various Other Candidates
Write In
MarginTotal
%%%%%%
Ada94,64161.05%58,52337.75%1,0410.67%4490.29%3760.24%36,11823.30%155,030
Adams1,46871.16%55526.90%140.68%241.16%20.10%91344.26%2,063
Bannock21,47961.64%12,90337.03%2440.70%1250.36%930.26%8,57624.61%34,844
Bear Lake2,50682.43%49416.25%120.39%220.72%60.20%2,01266.18%3,040
Benewah2,82369.70%1,14828.35%340.84%350.86%100.25%1,67541.35%4,050
Bingham12,73476.87%3,60521.76%1050.63%1070.65%140.08%9,12955.11%16,565
Blaine4,03439.76%5,99259.05%800.79%230.23%180.18%-1,958-19.29%10,147
Boise2,50170.91%97027.50%310.88%150.43%100.28%1,53143.41%3,527
Bonner10,69760.49%6,64937.60%1390.79%1460.83%530.30%4,04822.89%17,684
Bonneville30,04877.30%8,35621.50%2290.59%1840.47%540.14%21,69255.80%38,871
Boundary3,01268.78%1,26828.96%511.16%310.71%170.39%1,74439.82%4,379
Butte1,07776.60%32122.83%40.28%40.28%00.00%75653.77%1,406
Camas45075.63%13923.36%10.17%50.84%00.00%31152.27%595
Canyon41,59974.69%13,41524.09%3460.62%2690.48%690.12%28,18450.60%55,698
Caribou2,75383.91%49114.96%210.64%80.24%80.24%2,26268.95%3,281
Cassia6,56283.90%1,15314.74%480.61%540.69%40.05%5,40969.16%7,821
Clark30285.55%4613.03%20.57%30.85%00.00%25672.52%353
Clearwater2,83970.38%1,11727.69%400.99%350.87%30.07%1,72242.69%4,034
Custer1,76274.72%55923.71%180.76%130.55%60.25%1,20351.01%2,358
Elmore6,01174.57%1,95924.30%450.56%290.36%170.21%4,05250.27%8,061
Franklin4,52789.57%4569.02%190.38%511.01%10.02%4,07180.55%5,054
Fremont4,96586.06%74112.84%220.38%340.59%70.12%4,22473.22%5,769
Gem5,41675.92%1,62822.82%340.48%370.52%190.27%3,78853.10%7,134
Gooding3,97374.61%1,27824.00%290.54%310.58%140.26%2,69550.61%5,325
Idaho6,01775.50%1,68921.19%490.61%2022.53%130.16%4,32854.31%7,970
Jefferson7,70386.49%1,08412.17%410.46%720.81%60.07%6,61974.32%8,906
Jerome5,17778.68%1,34420.43%310.47%180.27%100.15%3,83358.25%6,580
Kootenai36,17366.25%17,58432.20%3030.55%4080.75%1350.25%18,58934.05%54,603
Latah8,68649.48%8,43048.03%2391.36%1250.71%730.41%2561.45%17,553
Lemhi3,07975.93%91522.56%370.91%160.39%80.20%2,16453.37%4,055
Lewis1,35974.67%44024.18%70.38%100.55%40.22%91950.49%1,820
Lincoln1,38873.99%46624.84%90.48%90.48%40.21%92249.15%1,876
Madison10,69391.89%8267.10%350.30%690.59%140.12%9,86784.79%11,637
Minidoka5,79780.50%1,33118.48%330.46%350.49%50.07%4,46662.02%7,201
Nez Perce11,00962.20%6,47636.59%1120.63%820.46%210.12%4,53325.61%17,700
Oneida1,78983.87%30414.25%90.42%301.41%10.05%1,48569.62%2,133
Owyhee2,85979.64%68519.08%270.75%170.47%20.06%2,17460.56%3,590
Payette6,25676.47%1,84822.59%390.48%340.42%40.05%4,40853.88%8,181
Power2,10571.16%82928.03%130.44%100.34%10.03%1,27643.13%2,958
Shoshone2,92254.75%2,33143.68%350.66%410.77%80.15%59111.07%5,337
Teton2,23560.57%1,41638.37%240.65%20.05%130.35%81922.20%3,690
Twin Falls19,67274.42%6,45824.43%1460.55%1190.45%400.15%13,21449.99%26,435
Valley2,86359.97%1,84338.60%290.61%180.38%210.44%1,02021.37%4,774
Washington3,27475.11%1,03323.70%170.39%330.76%20.05%2,24151.41%4,359
Totals409,23568.38%181,09830.26%3,8440.64%3,0840.52%1,1860.20%228,13738.12%598,447

By congressional district

Bush won both congressional districts.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
69%30%
69%30%Mike Simpson

Electors

See main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho. All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney.

  1. Pete T. Cenarrusa
  2. Debbie Field
  3. Sandra Patano
  4. John Sandy

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2004 Presidential Election Statistics. Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. 2018-03-05.
  2. Web site: Archived copy . dcpoliticalreport.com . 17 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm . 21 November 2010 . dead.
  3. Web site: Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections . uselectionatlas.org . 26 January 2022 . https://archive.today/20120716053016/http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=16 . 16 July 2012 . dead.
  4. Web site: George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President . Campaignmoney.com . 2015-05-20.
  5. Web site: John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President . Campaignmoney.com . 2015-05-20.
  6. News: Specials . Cnn.com . 2015-05-20.
  7. News: Specials . Cnn.com . 2015-05-20.
  8. http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf Official General Election Results For United States President November 2, 2004
  9. Our Campaigns; ID US President, November 02, 2004