2004 United States presidential election in Georgia explained

See main article: 2004 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2004 United States presidential election in Georgia
Country:Georgia (U.S. state)
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States presidential election in Georgia
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2008 United States presidential election in Georgia
Next Year:2008
Election Date:November 2, 2004
Image1:George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee1:George W. Bush
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Texas
Running Mate1:Dick Cheney
Electoral Vote1:15
Popular Vote1:1,914,254
Percentage1:57.97%
Nominee2:John Kerry
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:John Edwards
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:1,366,149
Percentage2:41.37%
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:George W. Bush
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:56.8%[1] 5.9 pp

The 2004 United States presidential election in Georgia took place on November 2, 2004. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Georgia was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 16.60% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise a red state. Bush performed almost five points better than he did in 2000. He also won a wide majority of the counties and congressional districts. The results of the state were similar to other states in the South, such as Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Louisiana. Like those states, the exit polling showed racial polarization as Bush dominated among white voters, which made up almost 70% of the vote, and Kerry dominated among African American voters, which made up 30% of the state's population. Software engineer and talk show host Michael Badnarik (L-TX) would finish third in the popular vote in Georgia, getting 0.56% of the vote, one of his best statewide performances in the nation.

In this election, Georgia voted 14.14% to the right of the nation at-large.[2]

As of 2020, this remains the last time that Georgia has been decided by a double-digit margin in a presidential election, and the last time it voted to the right of Tennessee, Louisiana, West Virginia, and Arkansas. Georgia was one of 10 states that George W. Bush won twice which had only backed George H. W. Bush once. This was the first time that Georgia voted Republican three elections in a row. Bush is the only Republican in history to carry Georgia twice.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations that made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[3]

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Associated Press
CNN
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
New York Times
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Washington Post
Washington Times
Zogby International
Washington Dispatch

Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll and won each by a double-digit margin of victory and with over 50% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 56% to 41%.[4]

Fundraising

Bush raised $6,656,076.[5] Kerry raised $2,282,977.[6]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[7] [8]

Analysis

Like other Deep South states during the 2004 election, the political demographics of Georgia was based more around the racial majority in each county, with white Georgians voting more Republican and black Georgians voting more Democratic. Democratic dominance in the state occurred in mostly black-majority counties in the region as well the urban center of the city of Atlanta (located mostly in central Fulton County) along with its core suburban counties of Clayton and DeKalb. Athens-Clarke County, home of the University of Georgia, also supported Kerry's bid, largely as a consequence of being a college town with traditionally left-leaning political views. Since just about every other part of Georgia had a majority white population, Republican dominance occurred in just about every other part of the state including suburban Atlanta where a significant portion of the state's population resides. Suburban Atlanta also includes northern Fulton County (the former Milton County area) which despite being part of this heavily urban and majority-minority county, is predominantly-White, suburban, and perhaps the most affluent area in the state of Georgia. This area also voted heavily in favor of Republican presidential incumbent George W. Bush.

In other down ballot races, Republicans gained Georgia's Class III U.S. Senate seat which was then held by Zell Miller (D) with Johnny Isakson's (R) victory in the open seat race to succeed him and also gained control of the Georgia House of Representatives, and thus control of both houses of the Georgia General Assembly (having already gained control of the Georgia State Senate in 2002), for the first time since Reconstruction. However, despite these achievements, Democrats gained one of Georgia's U.S. House seats with John Barrow's (D) victory over incumbent Representative Max Burns (R).

, this is the last election in which the Metro Atlanta counties of Douglas, Rockdale, and Newton—now Democratic strongholds—voted Republican. This is also the last time the Black Belt counties of Baldwin, Sumter, and Washington voted Republican and the last in which Webster County voted Democratic, as well as the last election in which Georgia was decided by a double-digit margin.

Results

United States presidential election in Georgia, 2004[9]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)Dick Cheney (incumbent)1,914,25457.97%15
DemocraticJohn KerryJohn Edwards1,366,14941.37%0
LibertarianMichael BadnarikRichard Campagna18,3870.56%0
IndependentRalph Nader (write-in)Peter Camejo2,2310.07%0
ConstitutionMichael Peroutka (write-in)Chuck Baldwin5800.02%0
GreenDavid Cobb (write-in)Pat LaMarche2280.01%0
RepublicanTom Tancredo
  • (write-in)
N/A260.00%0
Write-inJohn J. KennedyN/A 80.00%0
Write-inDavid C. ByrneN/A70.00%0
Write-inJames Alexander-PaceN/A50.00%0
Totals3,301,875100.00%15
Voter turnout (voting-age population)51.7%
(*Tancredo was not the Republican Party's nominee in 2004.)

By county

CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Appling4,49470.52%1,84829.00%310.48%2,64641.52%6,373
Atkinson1,66667.37%79932.31%80.32%86735.06%2,473
Bacon2,85375.24%93024.53%90.24%1,92350.71%3,792
Baker82146.52%93653.03%80.46%-115-6.51%1,765
Baldwin7,70952.89%6,77546.48%910.62%9346.41%14,575
Banks4,41078.86%1,14920.55%330.59%3,26158.31%5,592
Barrow13,52076.17%4,09523.07%1350.76%9,42553.10%17,750
Bartow22,31173.66%7,74125.56%2390.78%14,57048.10%30,291
Ben Hill3,33160.07%2,18039.31%340.61%1,15120.76%5,545
Berrien3,91769.87%1,63829.22%510.91%2,27940.65%5,606
Bibb28,10748.64%29,32250.74%3590.62%-1,215-2.10%57,788
Bleckley3,16770.83%1,28128.65%230.51%1,88642.18%4,471
Brantley4,33377.02%1,25822.36%350.62%3,07554.66%5,626
Brooks2,91256.91%2,19342.86%120.23%71914.05%5,117
Bryan7,36373.67%2,59025.92%410.41%4,77347.75%9,994
Bulloch12,25263.77%6,84035.60%1200.62%5,41228.17%19,212
Burke4,23249.86%4,21349.64%420.49%190.22%8,487
Butts5,11966.12%2,57233.22%510.66%2,54732.90%7,742
Calhoun89044.08%1,11955.42%100.50%-229-11.34%2,019
Camden9,48866.85%4,63732.67%680.48%4,85134.18%14,193
Candler2,04864.91%1,09634.74%110.35%95230.17%3,155
Carroll24,83770.27%10,22428.92%2860.81%14,61341.35%35,347
Catoosa16,40673.43%5,80725.99%1280.58%10,59947.44%22,341
Charlton2,31168.15%1,06431.38%160.47%1,24736.77%3,391
Chatham45,48449.62%45,63049.78%5570.61%-146-0.16%91,671
Chattahoochee90553.55%77345.74%120.71%1327.81%1,690
Chattooga4,99263.50%2,80935.73%610.78%2,18327.77%7,862
Cherokee58,23878.99%14,82420.11%6650.90%43,41458.88%73,727
Clarke15,05240.20%21,71858.00%6731.80%-6,666-17.80%37,443
Clay50938.85%79860.92%30.23%-289-22.07%1,310
Clayton23,10629.01%56,11370.46%4240.53%-33,007-41.45%79,643
Clinch1,50166.18%75033.07%170.75%75133.11%2,268
Cobb173,46761.94%103,95537.12%2,6390.94%69,51224.82%280,061
Coffee8,30667.35%3,97932.26%480.39%4,32735.09%12,333
Colquitt8,29670.59%3,37828.74%780.67%4,91841.85%11,752
Columbia35,54975.31%11,44224.24%2120.44%24,10751.07%47,203
Cook3,06563.56%1,73335.94%240.49%1,33227.62%4,822
Coweta31,68274.36%10,64724.99%2800.66%21,03549.37%42,609
Crawford2,83064.20%1,55235.21%260.59%1,27828.99%4,408
Crisp3,86561.80%2,35737.69%320.51%1,50824.11%6,254
Dade4,36869.83%1,82329.14%641.02%2,54540.69%6,255
Dawson6,64981.87%1,40717.33%650.80%5,24264.54%8,121
Decatur5,34859.71%3,57739.94%310.35%1,77119.77%8,956
DeKalb73,57026.58%200,78772.55%2,4140.87%-127,217-45.97%276,771
Dodge4,58465.52%2,38434.08%280.40%2,20031.44%6,996
Dooly1,85348.18%1,97351.30%200.52%-120-3.12%3,846
Dougherty13,71140.70%19,80558.79%1710.51%-6,094-18.09%33,687
Douglas25,84661.36%15,99737.98%2810.67%9,84923.38%42,124
Early2,49559.14%1,70140.32%230.54%79418.82%4,219
Echols75776.39%23123.31%30.30%52653.08%991
Effingham12,50377.26%3,61322.33%660.41%8,89054.93%16,182
Elbert4,62660.33%2,98438.91%580.76%1,64221.42%7,668
Emanuel4,66662.44%2,77437.12%330.44%1,89225.32%7,473
Evans2,29165.16%1,21334.50%120.34%1,07830.66%3,516
Fannin6,86271.01%2,72728.22%750.77%4,13542.79%9,664
Fayette37,34670.97%14,88728.29%3910.74%22,45942.68%52,624
Floyd21,40067.56%10,03831.69%2380.75%11,36235.87%31,676
Forsyth47,26783.04%9,20116.17%4510.79%38,06666.87%56,919
Franklin5,21869.43%2,24529.87%520.69%2,97339.56%7,515
Fulton134,37239.90%199,43659.23%2,9330.87%-65,064-19.33%336,741
Gilmer7,41473.97%2,51025.04%990.99%4,90448.93%10,023
Glascock1,01680.00%25019.69%40.31%76660.31%1,270
Glynn18,60867.08%8,96232.31%1690.61%9,64634.77%27,739
Gordon11,67173.88%4,02825.50%980.62%7,64348.38%15,797
Grady5,06861.80%3,09237.70%410.50%1,97624.10%8,201
Greene4,06959.17%2,77440.34%340.49%1,29518.83%6,877
Gwinnett160,44565.66%81,70833.44%2,1900.99%78,73732.22%244,343
Habersham10,43478.59%2,75020.71%920.69%7,68457.88%13,276
Hall38,88378.09%10,51421.12%3950.79%28,36956.97%49,792
Hancock82223.12%2,71576.37%180.51%-1,893-53.25%3,555
Haralson7,70375.45%2,43423.84%720.71%5,26951.61%10,209
Harris8,87871.82%3,40027.50%840.68%5,47844.32%12,362
Hart5,50060.89%3,47938.52%530.59%2,02122.37%9,032
Heard2,78870.48%1,14829.02%200.51%1,64041.46%3,956
Henry42,75966.57%21,09632.84%3800.59%21,66333.73%64,235
Houston29,86266.03%15,05433.29%3100.68%14,80832.74%45,226
Irwin2,34768.67%1,05130.75%200.59%1,29637.92%3,418
Jackson12,61177.84%3,46821.40%1230.76%9,14356.44%16,202
Jasper3,15766.56%1,55832.85%280.59%1,59933.71%4,743
Jeff Davis3,54973.25%1,27726.36%190.39%2,27246.89%4,845
Jefferson3,06646.89%3,44752.71%260.40%-381-5.82%6,539
Jenkins1,89855.74%1,49443.88%130.38%40411.86%3,405
Johnson2,27964.11%1,26335.53%130.37%1,01628.58%3,555
Jones6,93963.91%3,85535.50%640.59%3,08428.41%10,858
Lamar4,02761.96%2,43237.42%400.62%1,59524.54%6,499
Lanier1,64163.38%93135.96%170.65%71027.42%2,589
Laurens10,88363.05%6,28136.39%970.66%4,60226.66%17,261
Lee8,20178.64%2,18220.92%450.43%6,01957.72%10,428
Liberty6,13147.86%6,61951.67%590.46%-488-3.81%12,809
Lincoln2,30963.12%1,33736.55%120.33%97226.57%3,658
Long1,99465.57%1,03333.97%140.46%96131.60%3,041
Lowndes18,98159.91%12,51639.50%1870.59%6,46520.41%31,684
Lumpkin6,69075.35%2,09123.55%1051.18%4,59951.80%8,878
Macon1,85138.72%2,90660.79%230.48%-1,055-22.07%4,780
Madison7,25473.60%2,52725.64%750.76%4,72747.96%9,856
Marion1,67056.48%1,27543.12%120.41%39513.36%2,957
McDuffie4,84662.29%2,89937.26%350.45%1,94725.03%7,780
McIntosh2,83752.71%2,52346.88%220.40%3145.83%5,382
Meriwether4,40253.98%3,70945.48%440.54%6938.50%8,155
Miller1,69469.37%73630.14%120.49%95839.23%2,442
Mitchell3,88553.42%3,36046.20%270.37%5257.22%7,272
Monroe6,52266.59%3,21632.84%560.57%3,30633.75%9,794
Montgomery2,15067.82%1,00731.77%130.41%1,14336.05%3,170
Morgan4,90267.64%2,30431.79%410.57%2,59835.85%7,247
Murray7,74572.38%2,89927.09%560.52%4,84645.29%10,700
Muscogee30,85048.16%32,86751.31%3350.52%-2,017-3.15%64,052
Newton18,09561.99%10,93937.47%1570.54%7,15624.52%29,191
Oconee10,27672.37%3,78926.68%1340.94%6,48745.69%14,199
Oglethorpe3,68865.41%1,89933.68%510.91%1,78931.73%5,638
Paulding30,84376.13%9,42023.25%2510.62%21,42352.88%40,514
Peach4,55453.24%3,96146.31%390.46%5936.93%8,554
Pickens8,11576.28%2,44422.97%800.75%5,67153.31%10,639
Pierce4,68078.99%1,23420.83%110.19%3,44658.16%5,925
Pike5,19376.94%1,50622.31%500.74%3,68754.63%6,749
Polk8,46768.17%3,86831.14%850.68%4,59937.03%12,420
Pulaski2,20262.61%1,29436.79%210.60%90825.82%3,517
Putnam5,18863.91%2,88035.48%500.62%2,30828.43%8,118
Quitman40942.38%54356.27%131.35%-134-13.89%965
Rabun4,65070.00%1,91828.87%751.13%2,73241.13%6,643
Randolph1,41846.49%1,61252.85%200.66%-194-6.36%3,050
Richmond29,76442.90%39,26256.59%3500.51%-9,498-13.69%69,376
Rockdale18,85660.42%12,13638.89%2140.69%6,72021.53%31,206
Schley1,06369.39%46430.29%50.33%59939.10%1,532
Screven3,36056.68%2,53442.75%340.57%82613.93%5,928
Seminole1,97760.26%1,27838.95%260.79%69921.31%3,281
Spalding13,46163.99%7,46035.46%1150.55%6,00128.53%21,036
Stephens6,90471.37%2,71428.05%560.57%4,19043.32%9,674
Stewart79739.22%1,22060.04%150.74%-423-20.82%2,032
Sumter5,68850.35%5,56249.23%480.43%1261.12%11,298
Talbot1,10337.43%1,83062.10%140.48%-727-24.67%2,947
Taliaferro33535.23%61264.35%40.42%-277-29.12%951
Tattnall4,65771.93%1,78727.60%300.46%2,87044.33%6,474
Taylor1,91256.52%1,45843.10%130.39%45413.42%3,383
Telfair2,17157.49%1,59042.11%150.40%58115.38%3,776
Terrell1,85948.58%1,95150.98%170.45%-92-2.40%3,827
Thomas9,65961.39%5,99738.12%770.49%3,66223.27%15,733
Tift8,61968.75%3,86430.82%540.44%4,75537.93%12,537
Toombs6,19670.25%2,56729.10%570.65%3,62941.15%8,820
Towns3,82372.34%1,43027.06%320.60%2,39345.28%5,285
Treutlen1,69161.22%1,05238.09%190.69%63923.13%2,762
Troup14,18364.65%7,63034.78%1260.57%6,55329.87%21,939
Turner1,81561.21%1,13538.28%150.51%68022.93%2,965
Twiggs2,11248.34%2,22050.81%370.85%-108-2.47%4,369
Union6,84774.06%2,32725.17%710.77%4,52048.89%9,245
Upson6,63465.72%3,42433.92%360.36%3,21031.80%10,094
Walker15,34071.34%5,98627.84%1760.82%9,35443.50%21,502
Walton21,59478.11%5,88721.29%1660.60%15,70756.82%27,647
Ware7,79068.99%3,44930.55%520.46%4,34138.44%11,291
Warren1,12145.04%1,36054.64%80.32%-239-9.60%2,489
Washington4,08151.93%3,73347.51%440.56%3484.42%6,691
Wayne6,81971.31%2,68328.06%600.63%4,13643.25%9,562
Webster48548.12%51551.09%80.80%-30-2.97%1,008
Wheeler1,19258.03%84741.24%150.73%34516.79%2,054
White7,40377.89%2,01621.21%850.89%5,38756.68%9,504
Whitfield19,29773.10%6,93326.26%1690.74%12,36446.84%26,399
Wilcox1,70565.18%90234.48%90.34%80330.70%2,616
Wilkes2,49054.75%2,02844.59%300.66%46210.16%4,548
Wilkinson2,26150.04%2,23549.47%220.49%260.57%4,518
Worth5,10569.40%2,21930.17%320.44%2,88639.23%7,356
Totals1,914,25457.93%1,366,14941.34%24,0780.73%548,10516.59%3,304,481

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Bush won 9 of 13 congressional districts, including two held by Democrats.[10]

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
68%32%Jack Kingston
54%46%Sanford Bishop
56%44%Jim Marshall
27%72%Denise Majette
Cynthia McKinney
27%73%John Lewis
70%29%Johnny Isakson
Tom Price
73%26%John Linder
72%27%Lynn Westmoreland
72%27%Charlie Norwood
76%23%Nathan Deal
55%45%Phil Gingrey
47%53%Max Burns
John Barrow
36%64%David Scott

Electors

See main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Georgia cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Georgia is allocated 15 electors because it has 13 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 15 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 15 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.[11] [12]

  1. Anna R. Cablik
  2. Fred Cooper
  3. Nancy N. Coverdell
  4. James C. Edenfield
  5. Karen Handel
  6. Donald F. Layfield
  7. Carolyn Dodgen Meadows
  8. Sunny K. Park
  9. Alec Poitevint
  10. Joan Ransom
  11. Nardender G. Reddy
  12. Jame Raynolds
  13. Norma Mountain Rogers
  14. Eric Tanenblatt
  15. Virgil Williams

Notes and References

  1. (Web site: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 . . March 2006 . December 19, 2020.)
  2. Web site: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections . 2023-04-11 . uselectionatlas.org.
  3. Web site: D.C.'s Political Report's 2004 Presidential Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm . 8 July 2021. 2010-11-21 .
  4. Web site: 2004 Presidential Election Polls . 8 July 2021.
  5. Web site: Political Campaign Contributions Campaign Finance Information '04 Election Cycle . 8 July 2021.
  6. Web site: Political Campaign Contributions Campaign Finance Information '04 Election Cycle . 8 July 2021.
  7. News: CNN.com Specials. CNN .
  8. News: CNN.com Specials. CNN .
  9. Web site: Official General Election Results for US president (2004) . 5 . 2009-07-17 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf . May 13, 2009 .
  10. Web site: 2004 Presidential General Election Data - Georgia . 8 July 2021.
  11. Web site: U. S. Electoral College 2004 Election . https://web.archive.org/web/20081009102840/https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/ . 8 July 2021. 2008-10-09 .
  12. Web site: 2004 Presidential Electors . 2009-06-29 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20060112154717/http://www.sos.state.ga.us/elections/presidential_electors_04.htm . 2006-01-12 .