2004 United States presidential election in Alaska explained

See main article: 2004 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2004 United States presidential election in Alaska
Country:Alaska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States presidential election in Alaska
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2008 United States presidential election in Alaska
Next Year:2008
Election Date:November 2, 2004
Image1:George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee1:George W. Bush
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Texas
Running Mate1:Dick Cheney
Electoral Vote1:3
Popular Vote1:190,889
Percentage1:61.07%
Nominee2:John Kerry
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:John Edwards
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:111,025
Percentage2:35.52%
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:George W. Bush
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2004 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Alaska was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It has voted for a Republican presidential nominee in every presidential election since statehood, except for 1964. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time anyone received over 60% of the vote in Alaska, as well as the last time that Bethel Census Area, Kusilvak Census Area, and Nome Census Area voted for the Republican candidate.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Associated Press
CNN
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
New York Times
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Washington Post
Washington Times
Zogby International
Washington Dispatch

Polling

Only one pre-election poll was conducted in this state. Bush won the poll with 57% to 30%.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $263,269.[3] Kerry raised $169,533.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[5] [6]

Analysis

The Democratic presidential ticket though did better here in 2004 compared to 2000, narrowing the Republican advantage from around 31 percentage points in 2000 to approximately 25 percentage points in 2004. John Kerry obtained nearly 36 percent of the vote, approximately 8 percentage points (or 32,021 votes) more than Al Gore's showing of around 28 percent in 2000. In comparison, incumbent President George W. Bush only increased his vote in Alaska by around 2 percent (or 23,491 votes) from nearly 59 percent in 2000 to approximately 61 percent in 2004.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Alaska[7]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)190,88961.07%3
DemocraticJohn Kerry111,02535.52%0
Independent Ralph Nader5,0691.62%0
Alaska IndependenceMichael Peroutka2,0920.67%0
LibertarianMichael Badnarik1,6750.54%0
GreenDavid Cobb1,0580.34%0
IndependentWrite-ins7900.25%0
Totals312,598100.00%3
Voter turnout (Voting age)68%

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

Electors

See main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Alaska cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Alaska is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.[8]

  1. Gloria J. Tokar
  2. Frederick H. Hahn
  3. Roberly R. Waldron

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: D.C.'s Political Report 2004 Presidential Ratings . October 29, 2004 . dcpoliticalreport.com . January 15, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW . November 21, 2010 . dead.
  2. Web site: Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. David Leip. January 14, 2015.
  3. Web site: George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President. January 14, 2015.
  4. Web site: John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President. January 14, 2015.
  5. Web site: CNN.com Specials. CNN. January 14, 2015.
  6. Web site: CNN.com Specials. CNN. January 14, 2015.
  7. Web site: Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Clerk of the United States House of Representatives . Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 2, 2004 .
  8. Web site: November 2, 2004 General Election . State of Alaska Division of Elections . June 27, 2009 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20080514210900/http://www.gov.state.ak.us/ltgov/elections/forms/2004electorslist.pdf . May 14, 2008 .