United States presidential approval rating explained

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were first conducted by George Gallup (estimated to be 1937) to gauge public support for the president of the United States during their term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A question might ask: "Do you approve or disapprove of the way that the current president is handling their job as president?".[1]

Like most surveys that measure opinions, individual poll results may be inaccurate. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that show inaccurate statistics. Examples that self select, such as online questions are of this type; however, the aggregate approval rating is generally accepted by statisticians as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a president.

George W. Bush registered a 90% job approval rating (the highest in Gallup's tracking) shortly after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.[2] Harry Truman registered a 22% job approval rating (the lowest in Gallup's tracking) in a Feb. 9-14, 1952, Gallup poll.[3]

Historical comparison

+ Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each president since 1937[4] [5] [6]
OrderPresidentHighest approvalLowest approvalHigh –
Low
Highest disapprovalLowest disapprovalHighest margindata-sort-type="number"Lowest marginFinal pollApproval
average
Polls
per year
46[7] Joe Biden57 (2021-02-02, 2021-04-21)[8] 36 (2024-07-21)2159 (2022-07-26, 2023-04-25, 2023-10-23, 2023-11-21, 2023-12-20, 2024-02-20)37 (2021-02-02)20 (2021-02-02)−22 (2023-04-25, 2023-10-23, 2023-11-21, 2024-07-21)N/AN/AN/A
45[9] Donald Trump49 (2020-01-29, 2020-02-16, 2020-03-22, 2020-04-28, 2020-05-13)34 (2021-01-15)1562 (2021-01-15)45 (2017-01-22, 2020-03-22)[10] 4 (2020-03-22)−28 (2021-01-15)34 (2021-01-15)4140
44[11] Barack Obama69 (2009-01-24)38 (2014-09-05)3157 (2014-10-10)12 (2009-01-23)56 (2009-01-23, 2009-01-24)−18 (2014-10-10)59 (2017-01-19)4848.4
43[12] George W. Bush90 (2001-09-21)25 (2008-10-05, 2008-10-12, 2008-11-02)6571 (2008-10-10)6 (2001-09-22)83 (2001-09-22)−46 (2008-10-12)34 (2009-01-11)4933.7
42[13] Bill Clinton73 (1998-12-19)37 (1993-06-06)3654 (1994-09-07)20 (1993-01-26)48 (2000-12-19)−14 (1994-09-07)66 (2001-01-14)5528.5
41[14] George H. W. Bush89 (1991-02-28)29 (1992-08-02)6060 (1992-07-31)6 (1989-01-26)82 (1991-03-03)−30 (1992-08-02, 1992-10-13)56 (1993-01-11)6139.5
40[15] Ronald Reagan68 (1986-05-19)35 (1983-01-31)3356 (1983-01-31)13 (1981-02-02)49 (1981-04-06)−21(1983-01-31)63 (1988-12-29)5337.0
39[16] Jimmy Carter75 (1977-03-21)28 (1979-07-02)4759 (1979-07-02)8 (1977-02-07, 1977-03-02)66 (1977-03-15)−31 (1979-07-02)34 (1980-12-08)4622.7
38[17] Gerald Ford71 (1974-08-19)37 (1975-03-31)3448 (1975-03-31)3 (1974-08-19)67 (1974-08-13)−11 (1975-03-31)53 (1976-12-13)4714.7
37[18] Richard Nixon67 (1969-11-17, 1973-01-29)24 (1974-07-15, 1974-07-26, 1974-08-05)4366 (1974-08-05)5 (1969-01-28)57 (1969-03-17)−42 (1974-08-05)24 (1974-08-05)4917.7
36[19] Lyndon B. Johnson79 (1964-03-05)35 (1968-08-12)4452 (1968-08-12)2 (1963-12-10)75 (1963-12-10)−18 (1968-08-12)49 (1969-01-06)5515.3
35[20] John F. Kennedy82 (1961-05-03, 1961-06-06)56 (1963-09-17)2630 (1963-11-13)5 (1961-04-11)77 (1961-05-03)27 (1963-09-17)58 (1963-11-13)7013.7
34[21] Dwight Eisenhower79 (1956-12-19)48 (1958-04-01)3136 (1958-04-01)7 (1953-02-05)66 (1953-04-02, 1956-12-19)12 (1958-04-01)59 (1960-12-13)6514.4
33[22] Harry Truman87 (1945-06-05)22 (1951-11-16, 1952-02-14)6567 (1952-01-06)3 (1945-06-05)85 (1945-08-22)−43 (1952-01-04)32 (1952-12-16)458.4
32[23] Franklin D. Roosevelt83 (1942-01-23)48 (1939-08-18)3546 (1938-05-22, 1938-05-29, 1938-11-07)73 (1942-01-23)data-sort-value="10" 65 (1943-12-15)638

Approval at the beginning of the presidency

+ Historical Gallup Poll approval at the beginning of each presidency since 1953[24]
OrderPresidentInitial ApprovalInitial Disapproval
46 Biden57 (2021-02-02)37 (2021-02-02)
45 Trump45 (2017-01-22)45 (2017-01-22)
44 Obama68 (2009-01-23)12 (2009-01-23)
43 G. W. Bush57 (2001-02-05)25 (2001-02-05)
42 Clinton58 (1993-01-24)20 (1993-01-24)
41 G. H. W. Bush51 (1989-01-26)6 (1989-01-26)
40 Reagan51 (1981-02-02)13 (1981-02-02)
39 Carter66 (1977-01-07)8 (1977-01-07)
38 Ford71 (1974-08-19)3 (1974-08-19)
37 Nixon59 (1969-01-28)5 (1969-01-28)
36 Johnson78 (1963-12-10)2 (1963-12-10)
35 Kennedy72 (1961-02-15)6 (1961-02-15)
34 Eisenhower68 (1953-02-05)7 (1953-02-05)
33 Truman87 (1945-06-05)3 (1945-06-05)

Historical net approval of each presidency

Historical average polling approval of each presidency since 1953. Polling figures are the average of each polling average reported by Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight.[25] [26] [27] Figures listed for President Joe Biden are as of August 12, 2024 and will be updated upon completion of the first term of his presidency.!Order!President!Average Initial Approval!Average Initial Disapproval!Net Initial Approval!Average Final Approval!Average Final Disapproval!Net Final Approval!Initial to Final Change
46Biden57.537.5+204055.9-15.9-35.9
45Trump4546-141.156.1-15-14
44Obama68.512.5+565937+22-34
43G. W. Bush5725+323461-27-59
42Clinton5820+386629+37-1
41G. H. W. Bush516+455637+19-26
40Reagan5113+386329+32-6
39Carter668+583455-21-79
38Ford713+685332+32-36
37Nixon595+542466-42-96
36Johnson782+764933+16-60
35Kennedy726+665828+30-36
34Eisenhower687+615928+31-30
33Truman873+843256-24-108

Graphs

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump. Gallup. November 16, 2016. February 13, 2017.
  2. Jones, J. (2022). Who had the highest Gallup presidential job approval rating? Gallup. Retrieved from Who Had the Highest Gallup Presidential Job Approval Rating?
  3. Jones, J. (2022). Who had the lowest Gallup presidential job approval rating? Gallup. Retrieved from Who Had the Lowest Gallup Presidential Job Approval Rating?
  4. Web site: Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends. Gallup. March 12, 2008. August 16, 2011.
  5. Web site: Trump's Approval Rating Unusually Low, Unusually Early. Gallup. March 29, 2017. April 1, 2017. Lydia Saad.
  6. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=45&sort=time&direct=ASC&Submit=DISPLAY The American Presidency Project
  7. Web site: Gallup Daily: Biden Job Approval . 2022-07-31 . Gallup.com . February 5, 2021 . en.
  8. Web site: 2021-04-23. Biden Job Approval a Respectable 57% at 100 Days. 2021-10-01. Gallup. en.
  9. News: Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval. Gallup. January 27, 2017.
  10. Saad, Lydia (January 23, 2017). Trump Sets New Low Point for Inaugural Approval Rating. Gallup Inc..
  11. Web site: Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval . 2022-06-17 . Gallup.com . January 12, 2017 . en.
  12. Web site: Presidential Approval Ratings -- George Bush. January 20, 2008 . Gallup. August 16, 2011.
  13. Web site: Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton. Gallup. March 11, 2008. January 26, 2017.
  14. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=41 "Presidential Job Approval for George H. W. Bush"
  15. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=40 "Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan"
  16. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=39 "Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter"
  17. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=38 "Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford"
  18. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=37 "Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon"
  19. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=36 "Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson"
  20. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=35 "Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy"
  21. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=34 Presidential Job Approval for "Dwight D. Eisenhower"
  22. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=33 "Presidential Job Approval for Harry S. Truman"
  23. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=32 "Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt"
  24. Web site: Gerhard . Peters . February 4, 2021 . Initial Presidential Job Approval Ratings. . August 14, 2023 . The American Presidency Project.
  25. Web site: President Biden Job Approval Ratings and Polls RealClearPolling . 2024-08-06 . www.realclearpolling.com . en.
  26. Web site: Wiederkehr . Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Dhrumil Mehta and Anna . 2018-06-28 . Latest Polls . 2024-08-06 . FiveThirtyEight . en.
  27. Web site: data/polls/old_model at master · fivethirtyeight/data . 2024-08-06 . GitHub . en.