2010 United States Senate special election in New York explained

Election Name:2010 United States Senate special election in New York
Country:New York
Flag Image:Flag of New York (1909–2020).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2006 United States Senate election in New York
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2012 United States Senate election in New York
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Image1:File:Kirsten Gillibrand 2006 official photo cropped.jpg
Nominee1:Kirsten Gillibrand
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:2,836,361
Percentage1:62.95%
Nominee2:Joe DioGuardi
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Alliance2:Conservative Party of New York
Popular Vote2:1,581,834
Percentage2:35.11%
Map Size:300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Kirsten Gillibrand
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Kirsten Gillibrand[1]
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2010 United States Senate special election in New York took place on November 2, 2010, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Governor David Paterson had appointed Kirsten Gillibrand to serve as United States Senator from New York until the 2010 special election, replacing former Senator Hillary Clinton, who resigned to serve as Secretary of State in the Barack Obama administration. The winner of the special election was to complete the term ending in January 2013. The special election took place concurrently with the regular election for the Senate seat held by Charles Schumer and the 2010 New York gubernatorial election.

Due to this special election, 2010 marked the first time since the ratification of the 17th Amendment in 1913 that all of New York's six statewide offices were up for popular election on the same day. These elections coincided with the elections of all United States representatives from New York, all members of the New York State legislature, and many other officeholders.[2]

Appointment history

During the appointment process, a large number of candidates were mentioned, including:

Speculation

An early favorite for selection was New York Congresswoman Nita Lowey, who in the late 1990s had been planning a run for the 2000 Senate election, but had stepped aside once then-First Lady of the United States Clinton had decided to run for the office.[12] But Lowey soon withdrew from consideration, having gained enough seniority to become one of the powerful "cardinals" on the House Appropriations Committee and did not want to relinquish that position.[13] Another who withdrew from consideration was New York Congresswoman Nydia Velázquez.[14]

Senator Schumer did not publicly indicate a preference,[3] but reportedly favored Congresswoman Gillibrand. The indication by Caroline Kennedy that she was possibly interested in being appointed drew the most media attention. Her family legacy (including that her uncle Robert F. Kennedy had previously held the seat) and star power was balanced against her inexperience in politics and elections. Her uncle Senator Ted Kennedy, in a battle with brain cancer, encouraged her to seek the position. On December 15, Kennedy indicated that she was definitely seeking the appointment, making phone calls to Paterson and other prominent Democrats.[15] Kennedy and her uncle had backed Obama over Clinton at a crucial time in the long presidential nomination struggle, and some past Clinton supporters initially disparaged Kennedy's qualifications for the senate seat.[16] But soon Clinton told her supporters not to stand in the way of a Kennedy selection;[16] Clinton said she herself would have no public comments on any of the possible choices.[17]

Public opinion polls showed that Kennedy and Cuomo were the two most popular choices of New York residents, with their large name recognition factors playing a role.[18] Paterson faced a complex set of factors in making the choice. Women's groups were pressuring him to replace Clinton with another woman,[3] while upstate groups were dissatisfied at their lack of representation in top-level statewide offices. Paterson's own gubernatorial election campaign could benefit from a Democratic star such as Kennedy in the senate race, which would help him raise money and increase voter enthusiasm, while the choice of Kennedy would also bolster his relations with the Obama administration.[3] Whatever candidate is chosen would be faced with likely having to raise $35 million for the 2010 special election and then, if victorious, another $35 million for the 2012 regular election two years later.[7]

By later in December, Kennedy had mounted a concerted effort to gain support around the state, and had made several trips and appearances as well. Kennedy's appointment was supported by Congresswoman Louise Slaughter,[19] State Assemblyman Vito Lopez, New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg,[20] former New York City Mayor Ed Koch and the New York Post editorial page.[21] She received criticism for not voting in a number of Democratic primaries and general elections since registering in 1988 in New York City[22] and also for not providing details about her political views.[23]

Kennedy declined to make disclosures of her financial dealings or other personal matters, stating that she would not release the information publicly unless she was selected by Paterson, at which time she would be subject to the same background checks as all appointees.[24] Kennedy acknowledged that she was going to have to prove herself: "Going into politics is something people have asked me about forever. When this opportunity came along, which was sort of unexpected, I thought, `Well, maybe now. How about now?' [I'll have to] work twice as hard as anybody else ... I am an unconventional choice ... We're starting to see there are many ways into public life and public service."[25]

The apparent effort by Kennedy forces to make her appear the "inevitable" choice drew reports of resistance among Democratic officials, including Paterson himself.[26] Kennedy said she will not run for the seat in 2010 if she is not appointed by Paterson.[27] In late December 2008, Kennedy drew criticism from several media outlets for lacking clarity in interviews, and for using the phrase "you know" 168 times during a 30-minute interview with NY1.[28] At one point, there was speculation among Democratic Party officials that Paterson would make a caretaker appointment, meaning someone who would pledge to only serve the two years and not run in 2010.[29] This would allow Paterson to avoid choosing among competing choices and give them a level playing field two years hence.[29] Speculation even focused on former President Bill Clinton as the caretaker,[29] but on New Year's Day Paterson seemed to indicate he was not inclined towards the idea: "In the United States Senate, the most effective senators are the ones that have seniority."[30]

By early January 2009, Kennedy's support had dropped in public opinion polls, with 44 percent of New Yorkers saying they had a lesser impression of her since she began her campaign for the appointment, versus 23 percent having a better impression. A mid-January Quinnipiac University Polling Institute poll showed Cuomo 7 percentage points ahead of Kennedy in voter preference, and more voters than not thinking Kennedy was unqualified for the position.[31] Paterson made all interested candidates submit lengthy vetting documents as part of their candidacy.[32] An official of the League of Women Voters criticized Paterson for not making the vetting questions public.[32] Paterson said he would announce his decision shortly after the Obama inauguration.[33]

On January 22, 2009, after several conflicting reports,[34] Kennedy released a statement withdrawing from consideration for the seat, citing personal reasons.[35] The following day, further conflicting reports ensued over what the specific reason was for Kennedy's withdrawal, and whether or not Paterson would have picked her had she stayed in.[36] Some of the reports were based on Paterson's office planting false stories with the press that Kennedy had serious problems with the hiring of a nanny or unpaid taxes.[37]

Appointment

On the same day that Kennedy dropped out, WPIX-TV and the Albany Times Union reported that Governor Paterson was expected to announce he was appointing Kirsten Gillibrand.[38] The Governor made the official announcement of Gillibrand's appointment at a press conference in Albany on January 23, 2009.[39]

By a month later, Paterson had conceded that his office had been responsible for leaks at the end of the appointment process, intended to contest the Kennedy camp's claim that she had been his first choice for the position.[40] Paterson said, however, that he had not expected the level of attacks that ensued from his office at the time: "The things said about Caroline I found despicable and shocking and very painful. I never would have imagined removing the idea that this is my first choice meant a character assassination."[40]

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary election was held on September 14, 2010.[41]

Background

Paterson's appointment of Gillibrand alienated Caroline Kennedy and Andrew Cuomo supporters as well as some key liberal Democratic ideological constituencies, and made it possible that the centrist Gillibrand would face a primary challenge in 2010.[42] She did not have the full backing of the New York congressional delegation either, and one state Democratic operative said, "I think she's going to get a serious primary in 2010."[43]

Carolyn McCarthy, formerly a colleague of Gillibrand's in the New York delegation to the United States House of Representatives, said that if Gillibrand was appointed, she would mount a primary campaign against her in 2010 if no other candidate who favored stricter gun control laws did so.[44] McCarthy is known as a staunch advocate of gun control laws, after her husband was murdered in a 1993 commuter train shooting spree, while Gillibrand was endorsed by the National Rifle Association of America.[45] [46] Gillibrand also served as a lawyer for Philip Morris, Inc.[47]

Despite the potential for a primary challenge, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee chairman Bob Menendez, Senator from New Jersey, suggested that by the election, Gillibrand "will have convinced her fellow Democrats that she deserves their support."[48] However, a February 2009 Quinnipiac University Polling Institute poll showed Gillibrand losing a hypothetical primary matchup to McCarthy, and Gillibrand was said to be worried that Governor Paterson's declining popularity would pull her down too.[49] Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney[49] and Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer[50] were also seriously considering a primary challenge to Gillibrand, as was Long Island Congressman Steve Israel.[50] In April 2009, Stringer formed an exploratory committee towards that end.[51] Despite the possible challenges, by April 2009 Gillibrand had raised $2.3 million in campaign funds since joining the Senate.[51]

In May 2009, Obama persuaded Israel to forsake a run, in the interests of not having a messy primary.[52] [53] Obama's intervention was largely at the request of Gillibrand patron Charles Schumer. However, Congresswoman Maloney indicated that she was still considering a primary challenge and that Israel's decision would not influence hers.[53] Several days later, Stringer said he would not run either, for the same reasons as Israel.[54] In the wake of their withdrawals, Congressman José Serrano considered running for a while.[55]

In early June 2009, Congresswoman McCarthy took herself out of any run.[56] McCarthy, who had raised only a small fraction of the amount of money Gillibrand had, said her declining was for personal reasons.[56] Maloney, however, still seemed likely to run, and a conversation with Vice President Joe Biden did not change her mind. Several House Democrats from New York said that the White House's interventions to forestall a primary race had been unwise.[57]

As July 2009 began, a senior advisor to Maloney indicated that the congresswoman definitely was in, saying "She's decided to run because she believes there needs to be a debate on the real issues and she wants to give New Yorkers a choice."[58] However, after facing difficulties in hiring staff, and losing some longtime supporters and organizational support in preparation for a bid,[59] Maloney backed out in August 2009.[60]

In September 2009, a New York Post report that former Governor Eliot Spitzer was considering a Senate run[61] were labeled "totally untrue" and "ridiculous" by Spitzer and his allies.[62]

During 2009, Suffolk County legislature Majority Leader Jon Cooper seriously considered running against Gillibrand,[63] but at the end of the year he opted out of running and endorsed Gillibrand instead.[64]

Labor activist and 2006 Senate challenger Jonathan Tasini announced his candidacy as a Democratic opponent to Gillibrand in late 2009. Thereafter, however, he withdrew from the race, choosing instead to mount a primary challenge to Congressman Charles Rangel.

In January 2010, The New York Times reported that former congressman Harold Ford Jr. of Tennessee was considering a primary challenge against Senator Kirsten Gillibrand. Ford moved to New York City after his unsuccessful senate run in Tennessee and was working as a vice-president of Merrill Lynch. He was reportedly backed by several high-profile Democrats, prominent Democratic donors and Wall Street executives who were dissatisfied with Senator Gillibrand.[65] The New York Times originally reported that New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg might support Ford in a primary challenge. They later reported however, that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid called Mayor Bloomberg to discuss the possibility of Bloomberg backing Ford but they reported that he assured the Majority Leader "that he was not personally involved in the effort to promote a Ford candidacy." Senator Schumer reportedly met with Ford to try and dissuade him from challenging Gillibrand but said the meeting had been planned months in advance.[66] Ford had already drawn fire from liberal advocacy groups and Gillibrand supporters who criticized Ford as being too conservative for the state, citing his anti-abortion stance, support for gun rights, and his previous opposition to same-sex marriage and pro-business stance.[66] [67] Ford sought to portray himself as an independent voice for New Yorkers saying that he wouldn't be "intimidated or bullied" by "Albany and Washington." Gillibrand's allies sought to portray Ford as opportunistic and out-of-step with New York Democratic voters, citing his conservative record as a Representative of a southern state in Congress. Gillibrand's camp denied intimidation efforts against Ford, saying that Gillibrands supporters "aren't bullying, they're informing New Yorkers." .[66] [68]

The tussle was enough to bring renewed attempts to lure Congressman Steve Israel into reconsidering a race to represent liberal interests, but his spokesperson said, "The congressman appreciates the encouragement he's received to reconsider his decision regarding the U.S. Senate race in New York. That said, it's hard to imagine a scenario in which he'd re-enter the race."[69] On March 1, Ford indicated that he would not in fact run. On July 14, 2010, New York City attorney Gail Goode delivered 45,000 petitions to the state Board of Elections in order to qualify for a slot on the Democratic line in the September 14 primary against Gillibrand.[70]

Candidates

Disqualified[71]

Withdrew

Declined

Hypothetical Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredCaroline KennedyAndrew CuomoSteve IsraelThomas SuozziCarolyn MaloneyKirsten Gillibrand
Public Policy Polling[78] January 3–4, 200927%58%––––––––
Quinnipiac[79] January 8–12, 200924%31%2%––6%5%
Marist[80] January 12–14, 200925%40%5%6%5%3%
Research 2000[81] 31%26%2%––––––

Polling

Poll SourceDates administeredKirsten GillibrandCarolyn McCarthyCarolyn MaloneyBill ThompsonHarold Ford Jr.Eliot SpitzerJonathan TasiniUndecided
Quinnipiac[82] February 10–15, 200924%34%––––––––––––
Marist Poll[83] February 25–26, 200936%33%––––––––––––
Qunnipiac[84] April 1–5, 200929%33%––––––––––––
Politico[85] June 9, 200925%––49%––––––––––
32%34%––––––––––
Qunnipiac[86] June 24, 200923%––27%––––––4%44%
Marist Poll[87] July 1, 200937%––38%––––––––25%
Rasmussen Reports[88] July 14, 200927%––33%––––––––30%
Marist Poll[89] September 17, 200957%––––––––29%––14%
Quinnipiac[90] December 7–13, 200928%––––41%––––––28%
Marist Poll[91] January 15, 201043%––––––24%––––33%
Siena Poll[92] January 10–14, 201041%––––––17%––5%37%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 18, 201048%––––––23%––––18%
Marist Poll[93] January 25–27, 201044%––––––27%––4%25%

Results

Republican primary

The Republican primary election was held on September 14, 2010.[41]

Background

Congressman Peter T. King made his likely candidacy clear in December 2008,[94] partly to mention that he was not challenging former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani as the latter was not in the running and partly to counter the wave of publicity for Caroline Kennedy.[95] By January 2009, King was still deliberating over whether he would run, with the main factor being whether he could raise the estimated millions he would need.[96] National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair John Cornyn was said to support King,[96] which could keep other Republican contenders out of play. However, Cornyn reportedly met with former Governor George Pataki to discuss his potential candidacy,[97] which other Republicans were advocating.[98] In June 2009, due to an appointment to the House Intelligence Committee, King said he was much less likely to run.[99] As August 2009 closed, King announced officially that he would not run, saying: "Senator Gillibrand generates neither strong support nor opposition. This makes it virtually impossible for me to raise the campaign funds I would need to overcome the built-in Democratic registration advantage and the countless millions of dollars which the Democrats will make available to Senator Gillibrand."[100] In September 2009, Giuliani reiterated that he had no interest at all in running for the Senate seat,[101] though, much like Andrew Cuomo's anticipated desire to run for governor, it did not stop speculation that Giuliani might change his mind, and by October 2009, speculation continued that Giuliani would run for the Senate seat, particularly if Cuomo ran for governor.[102] On November 19, 2009, the New York Daily News reported Giuliani would not run for governor, and in fact would run for the Senate for fill out the last two years of the Clinton term, then use that as a springboard for another presidential run.[103] [104] However, a Giuliani spokesperson quickly dismissed the notion that any such plan was in place, saying "When Mayor Giuliani makes a decision about serving in public office, he will inform New Yorkers on his own."[105] On November 26, 2009, Mayor of Larchmont Liz Feld said she's considering running for the seat.[106]

In January 2010, Congressman Peter T. King said he was reconsidering running for the seat.[107] Real estate magnate and publisher Mort Zuckerman was seriously considering a bid by February 2010.[108] Nominally a Democrat, Zuckerman was more likely to run as a Republican or independent in order to avoid an expensive primary fight.[108] But in early March, he indicated he would not run, saying he had not the time to do it.[109] In April 2010, despite a Quinnipiac University Polling Institute result placing him five points ahead of Gillibrand in a potential matchup, Pataki removed himself from consideration. The former governor instead said he would instead run an organization dedicating itself to repealing the Affordable Care Act.

Bruce Blakeman, a former Nassau County legislator and losing candidate in the New York Comptroller election, 1998, was the first to enter the race, doing so in February 2010. On March 16, 2010, Former U.S. Representative Joe DioGuardi announced his entrance into the race,[110] followed shortly by economist David Malpass. Blakeman and Malpass gained the requisite 25% of delegate votes at the state Republican convention in June 2010, with Blakeman gaining the majority of delegate votes to be the designated nominee; DioGuardi did not, despite leading in primary polls and having the Conservative Party endorsement. DioGuardi filed over 25,000 petitions to get onto the primary ballot and was eligible to compete against Blakeman and Malpass in the Republican primary.[111]

Each candidate had an additional ballot line to run on regardless of whether they won the Republican primary; DioGuardi was backed by the Conservative Party of New York State, Malpass by Carl Paladino's Taxpayers Party of New York, and Blakeman by the Nassau County-based Tax Revolt Party. Malpass cleared the Taxpayers line after the primary loss and ceded it to DioGuardi, but Blakeman remained on the general election ballot as the TRP candidate.[112]

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredBruce BlakemanJoe DioGuardiDavid MalpassUndecided
Siena College[126] May 17–20, 20108%15%4%74%
Siena CollegeJune 7–9, 20107%21%3%69%
Siena CollegeJuly 20107%25%5%63%
Quinnipiac[127] July 20–26, 201019%––12%62%

Results

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Gillibrand claimed to be an independent thinker and takes a back seat to no one. She also released television advertising touting her experience as from upstate New York.[128] DioGuardi criticized Gillibrand's recent photos in Vogue magazine.[129] [130]

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[133] October 31, 2010
Rothenberg[134] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[135] October 31, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[136] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[137] October 31, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJoe DioGuardi (R)Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Marist Poll[138] March 29, 201027%54%
Rasmussen Reports[139] May 12, 201038%51%
Marist PollJune 9, 201029%47%
Rasmussen Reports[140] June 16, 201038%49%
Marist PollJuly 12, 201029%51%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 3, 201033%50%
Rasmussen Reports[141] September 1, 201031%51%
Rasmussen Reports[142] September 16, 201039%49%
Quinnipiac[143] September 16–20, 201042%48%
Survey USA[144] September 20–21, 201044%45%
Marist PollSeptember 19–22, 201041%52%
Public Policy Polling[145] October 6, 201040%50%
CNN/Time[146] October 1–5, 201041%55%
QuinnipiacOctober 8, 201034%55%
Survey USA[147] October 13, 201044%55%
New York Times[148] October 15–18, 201019%65%
Rasmussen Reports[149] October 18, 201033%54%
Siena Poll[150] October 21, 201031%60%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[151] October 28–29, 201038%59%
SurveyUSA[152] October 25–28, 201036%56%
Siena College[153] October 27–30, 201037%57%

Fundraising

Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash On HandDebt
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)$12,900,217$11,147,100$1,955,216$0
Joe DioGuardi (R)$2,969,087$2,694,853$274,504$500,000
Source: Federal Election Commission[154]

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Further reading

External links

Notes and References

  1. AP, "Democratic Sens. Charles Schumer, Kirsten Gillibrand win N.Y. election: Both Democrats defeated underfunded, largely unknown Republicans. Charles Schumer won a third term while Kirsten Gillibrand will hold the seat she was appointed to last year." November 3, 2010. Found at Los Angeles Times website. Accessed November 3, 2010.
  2. https://web.archive.org/web/20100806150113/http://www.elections.erie.gov/content.aspx?id=121 Erie County Board of Elections website page on 2010 Offices to be Elected
  3. News: Paterson's Future Could Factor Into Choice for Clinton Successor . Berger, Judson . Fox News . December 16, 2008.
  4. News: Bill Clinton mentioned for wife's Senate seat . Berger, Judson . CNN . December 1, 2008.
  5. Web site: Who could be Clinton's Senate replacement? NBC-WKTV News Channel 2 – Utica News, Weather, Sports – Local News . Wktv.com . December 1, 2008 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110716024815/http://www.wktv.com/news/local/35332319.html . July 16, 2011 . dead . mdy-all .
  6. News: Can You Say, 'Senator Drescher'? . . Christina . Tapper . December 9, 2008 .
  7. News: A Rush for Clinton's Senate Seat . Richberg, Keith B. . The Washington Post . December 2, 2008.
  8. Miller, Rick. Clerk Griffith suggests Lundine for Senate. Olean Times Herald. January 8, 2009.
  9. News: As a Candidate, Kennedy Is Forceful but Elusive . The New York Times . December 28, 2008 . Nicholas . Confessore . David M. . Halbfinger . May 27, 2010.
  10. Amy Goodwin (Director) . Rep. Jerrold Nadler (D-NY) Calls for Independent Counsel to Investigate Cheney and Rumsfeld for Violating Torture Laws (Interview). Democracy Now!. December 25, 2008. December 23, 2008.
  11. News: Thomas Suozzi: Hillary Clinton's Senate Replacement? . The Huffington Post . November 25, 2008 .
  12. News: Clinton move starts more Senate jockeying . Ambinder, Marc . . November 21, 2008 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20081218063840/http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/11/clinton_move_starts_more_senat.php . December 18, 2008 .
  13. News: Lowey withdraws from race to replace Clinton . Thrush, Glenn . . December 1, 2008.
  14. News: Velazquez Bows Out . New York Daily News . December 12, 2008 . December 17, 2008.
  15. News: Caroline Kennedy Is Seeking Seat Held by Clinton . Confessore, Nicholas . The New York Times . December 15, 2008.
  16. News: Clinton chides supporters on Kennedy . Smith, Ben . . December 16, 2008.
  17. News: Hillary Spokesperson: She Won't Say Anything About Her Successor . Sargent, Greg . . December 16, 2008 . December 17, 2008 . https://web.archive.org/web/20081217140046/http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/12/hillary_spokesperson_she_wont.php . December 17, 2008 . dead . mdy-all .
  18. The Other Senate Vacancy: Who Will Replace Hillary? . https://web.archive.org/web/20081212011851/http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1865272,00.html . dead . December 12, 2008 . Pickert, Kate . . December 9, 2008.
  19. News: Ben . Smith . Kennedy's first endorsement . Politico . December 16, 2008 . December 16, 2008.
  20. News: Another Senator Kennedy? . Associated Press . WABC-TV . New York . December 5, 2008 . December 5, 2008 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090129230042/http://abclocal.go.com/wabc/story?section=news%2Fpolitics&id=6540115&rss=rss-wabc-article-6540115 . January 29, 2009 . live . mdy-all .
  21. News: Kennedy for the Senate . New York Post . December 16, 2008 . December 17, 2008 . March 21, 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090321233835/http://www.nypost.com/seven/12162008/postopinion/editorials/kennedy_for_the_senate_144454.htm . dead .
  22. News: Erin . Einhorn . Saltonstall, David . Records show Caroline Kennedy failed to cast her vote many times since 1988 . . December 19, 2008 . December 19, 2008.
  23. News: Salstonstall, David . We know Caroline Kennedy's name, but not her views on the issues . New York Daily News . December 17, 2008 . December 20, 2008.
  24. News: David . Halbfinger . Kennedy Declines to Make Financial Disclosure . The New York Times . December 22, 2008 . December 23, 2008 .
  25. News: Larry . Neumeister . Kennedy says 9/11, Obama led her to public service . Associated Press . December 26, 2008 . December 26, 2008 . Fox News . https://web.archive.org/web/20081231023134/http://www.foxnews.com/wires/2008Dec26/0,4670,CarolineKennedy,00.html . December 31, 2008 . dead . mdy-all .
  26. News: Resistance to Kennedy Grows Among Democrats . Confessore, Nicholas . The New York Times . December 23, 2008 . December 27, 2008.
  27. Web site: More Caroline: Spoke to Hillary, won't run if not selected . Ben . Smith . Politico.com . December 26, 2008 . December 27, 2008.
  28. https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB123060542110241631 Not Ready for SNL: Caroline Kennedy's 168 'you knows.'
  29. News: Bill Clinton A Possible N.Y. Senate 'Caretaker?' . . January 1, 2009 . January 2, 2009 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090101122038/http://wcbstv.com/politics/ny.caretaker.senator.2.897875.html . January 1, 2009 .
  30. News: Paterson: No 'caretaker' for Hillary Clinton's Senate seat. Blain, G. . Lovett, K. . amp . New York Daily News . January 2, 2009 . January 2, 2009 .
  31. News: Kennedy Fades As New Yorkers Back Cuomo For Senate, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Voters Don't Think Kennedy Is Qualified . . January 14, 2009 . January 16, 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090116100405/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1246 . January 16, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  32. News: Seeking Clinton's Seat, Would-Be Senators Provide Exhaustive Background Details . Hakim and Confessore . The New York Times . January 8, 2009 . January 10, 2009.
  33. News: Paterson will choose 'right after inauguration' . Smith, Ben . . January 16, 2009 . January 16, 2009.
  34. News: Kennedy Withdraws Senate Bid . Confessore, Nicholas . Hakim, Danny . amp . The New York Times . January 22, 2009 . January 22, 2009.
  35. News: Caroline Kennedy withdraws Senate bid . NBC News . January 22, 2009 . January 22, 2009.
  36. News: Paterson Picks Gillibrand for Senate . Confessore, Nicholas . Hakim, Danny . amp . The New York Times . January 23, 2009 . January 23, 2009.
  37. News: In Attack on Kennedy, Echo of a Spitzer Tactic . Hakim, Danny . Confessore, Nicholas . amp . The New York Times . February 3, 2009 . February 23, 2009.
  38. Web site: Gillibrand gaining steam (Updated) – Capitol Confidential . Blogs.timesunion.com . January 22, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090126232357/http://blogs.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/10818/gillibrand-gaining-steam . January 26, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  39. News: Gillibrand vows to represent both downstate, upstate . Madore, James T. . Newsday . January 23, 2009 . January 24, 2009.
  40. News: Paterson Had Staff Deny Kennedy Was Top Choice . Hakim, Danny . Confessore, Nicholas . amp . The New York Times . February 20, 2009 . February 23, 2009.
  41. Web site: Your 2010 Election Calendar . January 25, 2010 . April 19, 2010 . . Ken . Rudin . Ken Rudin.
  42. News: Rep. Gillibrand Chosen For Clinton Senate Seat . Richburg, Keith B. . The Washington Post . January 24, 2009 . January 24, 2009.
  43. News: Gillibrand unpopular among peers . O'Connor, Patrick . Thrush, Glenn . amp . . January 24, 2009 . January 24, 2009.
  44. News: McCarthy knocks Gillibrand as choice for Senate . Reid J. Epstein . Newsday . January 23, 2009 . January 23, 2009 .
  45. Web site: Paterson to Announce New York Senate Appointment Friday . Roll Call . January 22, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090124012407/http://www.rollcall.com/news/31669-1.html . January 24, 2009 . dead.
  46. New York Times. With Kennedy Out, N.R.A. Becomes Issue January 22, 2009
  47. Web site: Tom . Robbins . Gillibrand Learned How to Defend Tobacco's Dirtiest Secrets as a Young Lawyer – Page 1 – Columns – New York . Village Voice . February 11, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090215121906/http://www.villagevoice.com/2009-02-11/columns/gillibrand-learned-how-to-defend-tobacco-s-dirtiest-secrets-as-a-young-lawyer . February 15, 2009 . dead.
  48. Web site: Menendez: DSCC Will Support Appointed Dem Senators – Hotline On Call . Hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090420002620/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2009/02/menendez.php . April 20, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  49. News: Gilly Getting the Willies . Dicker, Fredric U. . New York Post . February 23, 2009 . February 23, 2009.
  50. News: Challengers to Gillibrand Emerging . The New York Times . Hakim, Danny . March 4, 2009.
  51. News: Manhattan Borough Chief May Seek Gillibrand's Job . Hernandez, Raymond . The New York Times . April 16, 2009 . April 17, 2009.
  52. Web site: Obama convinces Israel not to run for Senate – The Scorecard . Politico.Com . June 14, 2010.
  53. Web site: Allen . Jonathan . Maloney Not Ready To Follow Israel's Lead and Bow Out of NY Senate Field – The Eye (CQ Politics) . Blogs.cqpolitics.com . May 17, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090521072810/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/05/maloney-not-ready-to-follow-is.html . May 21, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  54. Web site: News Archive . https://web.archive.org/web/20090524021508/http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/another-gillibrand-challenger-gone-as-obama-wishes-2009-05-19.html . dead . May 24, 2009 . TheHill.com . June 14, 2010.
  55. News: New York Senate: Serrano Weighs Democratic Primary against Gillibrand . Allen, Jonathan . . May 20, 2009 . May 20, 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090522203833/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/05/nysen-rep-serrano-weighs-prima.html . May 22, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  56. News: Rep. McCarthy Won't Take On Gillibrand In Senate Primary . Allen, Jonathan . . June 4, 2009 . June 12, 2009.
  57. News: Renegade Democrats buck Barack Obama . Martin, Jonathan . . June 14, 2009 . June 16, 2009.
  58. News: Rep. Maloney vows to challenge Sen. Gillibrand for Senate seat in primary . Daily News . New York . July 1, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . Michael . Saul.
  59. News: For an Insider, a Lonely Road to Senate Run . The New York Times . Raymond . Hernandez . July 2, 2009 . May 27, 2010.
  60. Web site: Maloney not running against Gillibrand – The Scorecard . Politico.Com . June 14, 2010.
  61. News: YOU CAN'T KEEP A BAD MAN DOWN: SPITZER IS EYEING A COMEBACK . New York Post . Maggie . Haberman . September 1, 2009 . September 1, 2009.
  62. News: Reports: Spitzer won't run for Senate seat . September 1, 2009 . REID J. EPSTEIN . Newsday.
  63. News: Jon Cooper, Obama's Long Island Man, Weighs Gillibrand Challenge . https://web.archive.org/web/20160303201918/http://www.cityhallnews.com/news/132/ARTICLE/1837/2009-03-16.html . dead . March 3, 2016 . Gentile, Sal . . March 16, 2009 . April 10, 2009.
  64. News: Gillibrand Opponent Becomes Gillibrand Believer . Benjamin, Elizabeth . . December 14, 2009 . December 19, 2009.
  65. News: Harold Ford Jr. Weighs a Challenge to Gillibrand . The New York Times . Michael . Barbaro . January 6, 2010 . May 27, 2010.
  66. News: Potential Ford Senate Bid Sets Off Scramble . The New York Times . Michael . Barbaro . Raymond . Hernandez . January 8, 2010 . May 27, 2010.
  67. News: Harold Ford Abortion Attack: NARAL Hits Possible Gillibrand Challenger On 'Pro-Life' Stance . Huffington Post . January 8, 2010 . June 14, 2010 . David . Weiner.
  68. News: Ford Says He Won't Be Bullied by Allies of Gillibrand . The New York Times . Michael . Barbaro . January 9, 2010 . May 27, 2010.
  69. News: Polling Israel For Senate? . Daily News . New York . January 26, 2010 . June 14, 2010 . Celeste . Katz.
  70. Web site: Gillibrand Finally Gets A Primary Challenger . Talking Points Memo . July 15, 2010 . July 18, 2010.
  71. "For the office of US Senator (unexpired term), the name of Joseph Huff has been removed, leaving incumbent Kirsten E. Gillibrand and Gail Goode on the September 14 ballot." William Joseph Reynolds, "Updated: NY State Primary Primer:This September 14's Primary elections offer a host of party primaries for various state offices in various parties," August 11, 2010. Found at Yorktown Patch website . Accessed September 14, 2010.
  72. Web site: JIMMY VIELKIND Capitol Bureau . Candidates tout petition muscle . Times Union . July 16, 2010 . August 21, 2010.
  73. Web site: Cadei . Emily . New York Democrat Seeks to Mount Senate Race With Small Donors – The Eye (CQ Politics) . Blogs.cqpolitics.com . April 27, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090501141406/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/04/new-york-democrat-seeks-to-mou.html . May 1, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  74. News: Tasini For Senate (Again) . Daily News . New York . June 11, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . Celeste . Katz.
  75. Web site: Potential Gillibrand challenger eyes Rangel instead . Newsday . New York . May 12, 2010 . June 14, 2010.
  76. News: AP . Ford: Dems 'Bullied Me Out' of N.Y. Senate Race . Fox News . March 2, 2010 . June 14, 2010.
  77. https://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/06/nyregion/06ford.html?ref=nyregion "Harold Ford Jr. Weighs a Challenge to Gillibrand"
  78. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NY_105.pdf Public Policy Polling
  79. https://web.archive.org/web/20090116052317/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1246&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  80. https://web.archive.org/web/20090119000051/http://maristpoll.marist.edu/nyspolls/NY090115.htm Marist
  81. http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/1/15/125749/332/26/684425 Research 2000
  82. https://web.archive.org/web/20090219040739/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1263 Quinnipiac
  83. https://web.archive.org/web/20090305145218/http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu//nyspolls//NY090303.htm Marist Poll
  84. https://web.archive.org/web/20090410020231/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1284&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Qunnipiac
  85. http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0609/Maloney_poll_backs_challenge_to_Gillibrand.html Politico
  86. https://web.archive.org/web/20110726233519/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1341 Qunnipiac
  87. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/71-getting-to-know-senator-gillibrand Marist Poll
  88. https://web.archive.org/web/20090719085346/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_york/election_2010_new_york_democratic_senate_primary Rasmussen Reports
  89. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/917-resurrect-spitzer-no-way-say-nearly-seven-in-ten Marist Poll
  90. https://web.archive.org/web/20100108181712/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1404 Quinnipiac
  91. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/gillibrand-leads-ford Marist Poll
  92. https://web.archive.org/web/20100528064104/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/0110_SNY_PollL.pdf Siena Poll
  93. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/21-does-ma-spell-trouble-for-ny-dems Marist Poll
  94. News: Peter King interested Hillarys Senate Seat . Fox News . December 10, 2008 . June 14, 2010.
  95. News: Peter King intends to run for Senate in 2010 . Feeds.foxnews.com . December 17, 2008 . June 14, 2010 .
  96. News: NRSC chair encourages King candidacy . Kraushaar, Josh . . January 5, 2009 . January 6, 2009.
  97. https://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jn3kCOceMPF7iuG4FzHbl_EgrQZgD96EQ0NO0
  98. Web site: Republicans Rumored To Be Pushing Pataki To Run For Senate . NY1.com . June 14, 2010 .
  99. Web site: King iffy on NY Senate after intel appointment – Glenn Thrush . June 29, 2009 . Politico.Com . June 14, 2010.
  100. Web site: King won't challenge Gillibrand for U.S. Senate . Newsday . New York . August 31, 2009 . June 14, 2010.
  101. News: Rudy Giuliani Too Damn Good for the Senate . Amira, Dan . . September 15, 2009.
  102. Illuzzi, Joseph (October 30, 2009). "A Few Things." PoliticsNY.net.'.' Retrieved October 30, 2009.
  103. News: Rudy Giuliani will very likely seek U.S. Senate seat, and if elected maybe 2012 White House: source . Daily News . New York . November 19, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . Kenneth . Lovett . Elizabeth . Benjamin . David . Saltonstall.
  104. News: Dicker . Fredric U. . But Giuliani leaves open possibility of Senate run . New York Post . November 19, 2009 . June 14, 2010.
  105. Web site: Kraushaar . Josh . Giuliani for Senate? – The Scorecard . Politico.Com . November 19, 2009 . June 14, 2010.
  106. Web site: Larchmont mayor floats Senate bid against Gillibrand. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20140722150249/http://www.lohud.com/article/20091126/NEWS02/911260408/1018/NEWS02/Larchmont-mayor-floats-Senate-bid-against-Gillibrand. July 22, 2014. November 27, 2009.
  107. Web site: O'Brien . Michael . Rep. Pete King rethinking Senate run – The Hill's Blog Briefing Room . Thehill.com . January 4, 2010 . June 14, 2010.
  108. News: Zuckerman Is Said to Be Weighing Bid for Senate . The New York Times . Michael . Barbaro . Tim . Arango . February 12, 2010 . May 27, 2010.
  109. News: Mortimer Zuckerman announces he will not run for the Senate . Daily News . New York . March 2, 2010 . June 14, 2010 .
  110. Web site: Joseph DioGuardi Announces Bid for New York's Senate Seat WBNG-TV: News Sports, Weather Binghamton, New York Local Top Stories . Wbng.com . March 16, 2010 . June 14, 2010.
  111. Vielkind, Jimmy (July 15, 2010). DioGuardi: I’ve got 25,666 signatures. Capitol Confidential (Albany Times Union). Retrieved July 16, 2010.
  112. Web site: 2 November 2010 . 11-02-2010 General Results by County-Congressional District-State Senate District-Assembly District-Judicial District . 4 June 2024 . results.elections.ny.gov.
  113. Web site: Curveballs For Cox As He Tries To Pitch Full 2010 Roster . Nycapitolnews.com . December 15, 2009 . June 14, 2010 .
  114. Web site: DioGuardi "Leaning Very Heavily" Toward U.S. Senate Run Albany Watch . Statepolitics.lohudblogs.com . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100316020640/http://statepolitics.lohudblogs.com/2010/02/03/dioguardi-leaning-very-heavily-toward-u-s-senate-run/ . March 16, 2010 . dead . mdy-all .
  115. Benjamin, Elizabeth (March 16, 2010). Malpass in the Mix . The Daily Politics (New York Daily News). Retrieved March 16, 2010.
  116. http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/22673/cox-yes-im-hearing-from-other-senate-hopefuls Cox: Yes, I'm hearing from other Senate hopefuls
  117. Web site: King passes on Gillibrand challenge . January 11, 2010 . January 11, 2010 . . Emily . Cadeii . https://web.archive.org/web/20100316100117/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/01/king-passes-on-gillibrand-chal.html . March 16, 2010 . dead . mdy-all .
  118. Web site: Kolb v. Gillibrand? – Capitol Confidential . Blog.timesunion.com . January 27, 2010 . June 14, 2010.
  119. Web site: Molinari ends brief flirtation . January 11, 2010 . January 11, 2010 . . Emily . Cadeii . https://web.archive.org/web/20100114162832/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/01/molinari-ends-brief-flirtation.html . January 14, 2010 . dead . mdy-all .
  120. https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304604204575182491078039802?mod=googlenews_wsj "Pataki Isn't Joining New York Senate Race "
  121. http://www.newsday.com/services/newspaper/printedition/monday/news/ny-stking266013108jan26,0,3711256.story "Gillibrand draws opponents from both parties"
  122. News: Exclusive: Ex-Bush adviser Dan Senor weighing run against Gillibrand as Republican . New York Post . February 24, 2010 . June 14, 2010 . Maggie . Haberman . Fredric U. . Dicker . https://web.archive.org/web/20100420063442/http://www.nypost.com/p/blogs/knickerbocker/exclusive_republican_bush_adviser_T930L2paj5grGJUA0dKRdK . April 20, 2010 . dead . mdy-all .
  123. News: Exclusive: Bloomberg's girlfriend Diana Taylor considering Senate run: sources . New York Post . March 12, 2010 . June 14, 2010 . Maggie . Haberman . https://web.archive.org/web/20100801235725/http://www.nypost.com/p/blogs/knickerbocker/exclusive_bloomberg_girlfriend_diana_d7YQyTG2ZAkaeddBWTcldI . August 1, 2010 . dead . mdy-all .
  124. Web site: Vanderhoef Forms U.S. Senate Exploratory Committee Politics on the Hudson . Polhudson.lohudblogs.com . March 4, 2010 . June 14, 2010 . March 18, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100318003612/http://polhudson.lohudblogs.com/2010/03/04/vanderhoef-forms-u-s-senate-exploratory-committee/ . dead .
  125. Web site: Smith . Ben . Mort's out – Ben Smith . Politico.Com . March 2, 2010 . June 14, 2010.
  126. https://web.archive.org/web/20100703033944/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY0610%20Release.pdf Siena College
  127. https://web.archive.org/web/20100820063630/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1480 Quinnipiac
  128. Web site: Gillibrand, DioGuardi campaign in upstate NY – NewsChannel 9 WSYR . November 6, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120305233825/http://www.9wsyr.com/news/local/story/Gillibrand-DioGuardi-campaign-in-upstate-NY/A-vKKmao-k2TyKHefYu1sg.cspx . March 5, 2012 . dead . mdy-all .
  129. News: Gillibrand, DioGuardi Spar in Debate . The Wall Street Journal . Devlin . Barrett . October 22, 2010.
  130. https://web.archive.org/web/20101022174908/http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/39759657/ns/today-today_fashion_and_beauty Sen. Gillibrand’s hot new D.C. look – TODAY Fashion & Beauty – TODAYshow.com
  131. News: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand and Joseph DioGuardi clash in first debate . New York Post . October 16, 2010.
  132. http://www.ny1.com/content/top_stories/127505/gillibrand--republican-rival-joe-dioguardi-debate-on-ny1 Gillibrand, Republican Rival Joe DioGuardi Debate On NY1 – NY1
  133. Web site: Senate . . October 31, 2010.
  134. Web site: Senate Ratings . . October 31, 2010.
  135. Web site: Battle for the Senate . . October 31, 2010.
  136. Web site: 2010 Senate Ratings . . October 31, 2010 . October 28, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ . dead .
  137. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Senate . . October 31, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate . October 28, 2010 .
  138. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/nyspolls/NY100323/Senate_etc_Monday%203.29/2010%20Matchup_Gillibrand_DioGuardi.htm Marist Poll
  139. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_york/toplines/toplines_2010_new_york_senate_election_may_12_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  140. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_york/toplines/toplines_new_york_special_senate_election_june_16_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  141. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_york/election_2010_new_york_special_senate_election Rasmussen Reports
  142. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_york/toplines/toplines_new_york_special_senate_september_16_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  143. https://web.archive.org/web/20100925060242/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1505 Quinnipiac
  144. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ddf78dd6-bef1-44e3-af71-225f2d2da637 Survey USA
  145. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ddf78dd6-bef1-44e3-af71-225f2d2da637 Public Policy Polling
  146. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ddf78dd6-bef1-44e3-af71-225f2d2da637 CNN/Time
  147. https://web.archive.org/web/20100925060242/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1505 Survey USA
  148. https://web.archive.org/web/20100925060242/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1505 New York Times
  149. https://web.archive.org/web/20100925060242/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1505 Rasmussen Reports
  150. https://web.archive.org/web/20100925060242/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1505 Siena Poll
  151. https://web.archive.org/web/20101207020751/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/2010.10.31_NewYork_USA.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion
  152. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=52bd745a-9a92-4845-859f-e606cc521d5e SurveyUSA
  153. https://web.archive.org/web/20101105000502/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/Parents_and_Community/Community_Page/SRI/SNY_Poll/103110SNYPollReleaseFINAL.pdf Siena College
  154. Web site: 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oregon . fec.gov . August 22, 2010 .