2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia explained

Election Name:2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia
Country:West Virginia
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States Senate election in West Virginia
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia
Next Year:2020
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:File:Shelley moore capito (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:281,820
Percentage1:62.12%
Nominee2:Natalie Tennant
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:156,360
Percentage2:34.47%
Map Size:250px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Jay Rockefeller
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Shelley Moore Capito
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This election was the fifth consecutive even-number year in which a senate election was held in West Virginia after elections in 2006, 2008, 2010, and 2012.

Incumbent Democratic senator Jay Rockefeller decided to retire rather than run for reelection for a sixth term. The Democrats nominated Secretary of State of West Virginia Natalie Tennant and the Republicans nominated U.S. Representative Shelley Moore Capito. It was the thirteenth U.S. Senate election that involved two major party female nominees in U.S. history.[1]

Capito defeated Tennant and became the first female senator elected in West Virginia's history as well as the first Republican elected to the Senate from West Virginia since 1956, and their victory in this seat since 1942.[2] The results of this election were a near complete flip from 2008, in which Democrat Jay Rockefeller received 64% of the vote. This was the first open-seat non-special election since 1984.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceShelley
Moore Capito		Rick
Lemasters		Pat
McGeehan		Patrick
Morrisey		Scott
Regan		Edwin
Vanover		Undecided
align=left Harper PollingJanuary 21, 2013462± 4.56%73%——10%——18%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 19–22, 2013348± 5.3%72%5%4%—1%2%17%
align=left Harper Polling[33] September 24–25, 2013354± 5.21%77%—7%———16%

Results

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Debates

A televised debate between Tennant and Capito was held on October 7 in Charleston.[38]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[39] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[41] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[42] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceNatalie
Tennant (D)		Shelley Moore
Capito (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left West Virginia Poll[43] August 15–22, 2013400± 4.9%40%45%—15%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 19–22, 20131,110± 2.9%36%50%—14%
align=left Harper PollingSeptember 24–25, 2013640± 3.87%34%51%—15%
align=left Clarity Campaigns[44] January 29–30, 20141,727± 2.35%39%45%—16%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[45] February 19–20, 2014500± 4.5%35%49%4%12%
align=left Vox Populi Polling[46] April 16–17, 2014571± 4.1%33%49%—19%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsMay 14–15, 2014750± 4%39%48%5%9%
align=left West Virginia Poll[47] May 19–22, 2014400± 4.9%38%49%—13%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] July 5–24, 20141,750± 2.7%40%47%1%11%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsAugust 19–20, 2014750± 4%33%50%—17%
align=left West Virginia Poll[49] August 15–23, 2014401± 4.9%37%54%—9%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[50] August 18 – September 2, 20141,284± 4%32%55%1%12%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[51] September 20 – October 1, 20141,066± 4%33%56%1%9%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 30 – October 1, 2014750± 4%39%50%3%8%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 2014877± 5%34%56%0%10%

With Davis

Poll sourceRobin
Davis (D)		Shelley Moore
Capito (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Harper Polling[52] January 21, 20131,444± 2.58%24%51%—25%
align=left MBE ResearchMay 1–2, 2013406± 4.87%32%51%—18%

With Fletcher

With Goodwin

With Rahall

With Rockefeller

Poll sourceJay
Rockefeller (D)		Shelley Moore
Capito (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy Polling[53] September 30 – October 2, 2011932± 3.2%44%48%—7%
align=left Repass & Partners[54] August 22–25, 2012401± 4.9%44%48%—8%

With Tennant

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Capito won all three congressional districts.[55]

DistrictCapitoTennantRepresentative
62.19%33.92%David McKinley
63.13%33.72%Alex Mooney
60.94%35.86%Evan Jenkins

See also

External links

Official campaign websites (archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: West Virginia 2014 US Senate Race to Feature Rare Matchup. Smart Politics. Eric. Ostermeier. September 17, 2013.
  2. Web site: Republican Shelley Moore Capito Wins Senate Seat in WV. ABC News. November 4, 2014.
  3. Web site: Boucher. Dave. No surprises in U.S. Senate race. Charleston Gazette-Mail. January 25, 2014. January 25, 2014.
  4. Web site: Boucher. Dave. Confirmed: Tennant announces Senate run Tuesday. Charleston Daily Mail. September 15, 2013. September 15, 2013.
  5. Web site: 2014 field growing in W.Va. federal races. https://archive.today/20130725152843/http://www.dailymail.com/News/201307140038. dead. July 25, 2013. July 14, 2013. July 25, 2012. Messina. Lawrence. Charleston Daily Mail.
  6. Web site: Candidate listing by office. February 16, 2014. February 16, 2014. West Virginia Secretary of State.
  7. Web site: Preservati out of Senate race. WV Metro News. June 3, 2013. June 4, 2013.
  8. Web site: West Virginia: Caperton Says He Is Not Interested in Senate Seat. Roll Call. January 15, 2013. February 26, 2013. January 27, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130127202037/http://atr.rollcall.com/west-virginia-caperton-says-he-is-not-interested-in-senate-seat/. dead.
  9. ryrivard. Ry Rivard. 273450521950572544. November 27, 2012. Fmr WV D Chair & #WV02 candidate Mike Callaghan (in email my inbox ate Monday) = interested in Senate if Jay doesn't run & House if Jay does.
  10. Web site: Nick Casey launches 2014 US House run. April 30, 2013. May 12, 2013. Charleston Daily Mail. Dave. Boucher. https://web.archive.org/web/20130507000632/http://www.dailymail.com/News/statenews/201304300080. May 7, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  11. News: Another Democrat passes on West Virginia Senate race. Washington Post. July 17, 2013. July 17, 2013.
  12. Web site: WV Auditor Glen Gainer announces run for Congress. State Journal. Ann. Ali. November 8, 2013. December 9, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20131217203627/http://www.statejournal.com/story/23914575/wv-auditor-glen-gainer-to-announce-run-for-congress. December 17, 2013. dead.
  13. Web site: Kercheval. Hoppy. 2014 U.S. Senate race update. WVMetroNews.com. February 19, 2013 . February 20, 2013.
  14. Web site: Wilson. Reid. Carte Goodwin out for 2014. WVMetroNews.com. February 20, 2013. February 20, 2013.
  15. Web site: West Virginia: Democrats Begin Positioning to Run for Rockefeller's Seat. January 11, 2013. January 12, 2013. Roll Call. Abby. Livingston. January 13, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130113070733/http://atr.rollcall.com/west-virginia-democrats-begin-positioning-to-run-for-rockefellers-seat/. dead.
  16. Web site: Preservati Out of the 2014 U.S. Senate Race. https://archive.today/20130628042035/http://blogs.dailymail.com/capitolnotebook/2013/06/03/preservati-out-of-the-2014-u-s-senate-race/. dead. June 28, 2013. June 3, 2013. June 26, 2013. Charleston Daily Mail. Zack. Harold.
  17. Web site: Rahall Forgoes Senate Run. Roll Call. Abby. Livingston. April 30, 2013. May 1, 2013. May 3, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130503152026/http://atr.rollcall.com/democrats-still-searching-for-recruit-after-rahall-declines-wvsen/. dead.
  18. Web site: West Virginia Democratic Sen. Jay Rockefeller won't run in 2014 - John Bresnahan. Politico.com. January 11, 2013. January 11, 2013.
  19. Web site: Allen Tackett not running for Jay Rockefeller's US Senate seat. Charleston Daily Mail. July 29, 2013. July 29, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130801012227/http://www.dailymail.com/News/201307280076. August 1, 2013. dead.
  20. Web site: Rockefeller to retire, giving GOP a prime pickup opportunity. The Hill. January 11, 2013. February 16, 2013.
  21. Web site: West Virginia Senate: Democrats Look for Winner. rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. January 15, 2013. January 17, 2013.
  22. Web site: State Sen. Erik Wells says he won't run for Congress. Charleston Daily Mail. April 26, 2013. July 17, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130515095108/http://www.dailymail.com/News/statehouse/201304260097. May 15, 2013. dead.
  23. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_WV_924.pdf Public Policy Polling
  24. https://www.scribd.com/doc/140273173/WV-Sen-MBE-Research-May-2013 MBE Research
  25. http://harperpolling.com/polls/wv-senate-primaries-capito-rahall-in-command Harper Polling
  26. Web site: Capito Will Challenge Rockefeller. Politicalwire.com. November 25, 2012. January 11, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20121129043315/http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/25/capito_will_challenge_rockefeller.html. November 29, 2012. dead.
  27. Web site: Elections - Candidate Detail . West Virginia Secretary of State. January 25, 2014. January 25, 2014.
  28. Web site: Tennant for U.S. Senate?. Shauna. Johnson. West Virginia MetroNews. August 10, 2013. August 12, 2013.
  29. Web site: Former candidate Maloney not running for anything, launches think tank. The Charleston Gazette. May 30, 2013. August 28, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20160204031717/http://www.wvgazettemail.com/News/201305300122. February 4, 2016. live.
  30. Web site: West Virginia: McKinley Opts Not to Run Against Capito. February 25, 2013. February 26, 2013. Roll Call. Abby. Livingston. March 3, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130303021824/http://atr.rollcall.com/west-virginia-mckinley-opts-not-to-run-against-capito/. dead.
  31. Web site: Nationwide, Republicans' Congressional Prospects Looking Bright for 2014. Sunshine State News. January 12, 2013. May 5, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130114232601/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/nationwide-republicans-congressional-prospects-looking-bright-2014. January 14, 2013. live.
  32. Web site: Capito Gets an Early Start on 2014 W.Va. Senate Race : Roll Call Politics. November 26, 2012. Rollcall.com. January 11, 2013.
  33. http://images.politico.com/global/2013/10/14/westvirginia.html Harper Polling
  34. News: Mountain Party candidate makes 4 in Senate race. July 31, 2014. The Charleston Gazette. August 2, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140810090222/http://www.wvgazette.com/article/20140731/GZ01/140739842/1101. August 10, 2014. live.
  35. News: Cardosi. Mandi. 5 questions with Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate John Buckley. State Journal. June 12, 2014. June 14, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140715062838/http://www.statejournal.com/story/25760122/5-questions-with-libertarian-candidate-for-us-senate-john-buckley. July 15, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
  36. News: Winger. Richard. West Virginia Secretary of State Says Constitution Party Petition for U.S. Senate is Valid. Ballot Access News. August 22, 2014. August 28, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140903093125/http://www.ballot-access.org/2014/08/west-virginia-secretary-of-state-says-constitution-party-petition-for-u-s-senate-is-valid. September 3, 2014. live.
  37. Web site: Former TV anchor to run for Senate. April 25, 2013. May 12, 2013. Charleston Daily Mail. Dave. Boucher. https://web.archive.org/web/20130429062719/http://www.dailymail.com/News/201304250102. April 29, 2013. dead.
    Web site: Facebook profile. Facebook.
  38. Web site: Capito, Tennant, others to debate in October. West Virginia MetroNews. August 14, 2014. August 14, 2014.
  39. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  40. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 3, 2014 . September 20, 2018.
  41. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  42. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 . Real Clear Politics . September 20, 2018.
  43. https://archive.today/20130831000446/http://www.dailymail.com/News/statenews/201308290143 West Virginia Poll
  44. http://www.wvgazette.com/News/201402140102 Clarity Campaigns
  45. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/west_virginia/election_2014_west_virginia_senate Rasmussen Reports
  46. https://web.archive.org/web/20150924075718/http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/wv_april_2014_fullresults.pdf Vox Populi Polling
  47. http://thewestvirginiapoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/TOPLINE-FINDINGS-WV-Poll-May-2014.pdf West Virginia Poll
  48. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  49. http://www.charlestondailymail.com/article/20140829/DM01/140829209 West Virginia Poll
  50. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-west-virginia/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  51. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  52. https://web.archive.org/web/20130211022321/http://www.harperpolling.com/polls/wv-senate-capito-up-big Harper Polling
  53. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WV_1006.pdf Public Policy Polling
  54. https://archive.today/20121204144417/http://www.dailymail.com/News/201208300213 Repass & Partners
  55. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts. Daily Kos. 11 August 2020.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia".

Except where otherwise indicated, Everything.Explained.Today is © Copyright 2009-2024, A B Cryer, All Rights Reserved. Cookie policy.