2006 United States Senate election in Texas explained

Election Name:2006 United States Senate election in Texas
Country:Texas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States Senate election in Texas
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2012 United States Senate election in Texas
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 7, 2006
Image1:Kay Bailey Hutchison, official photo 2.jpg
Nominee1:Kay Bailey Hutchison
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:2,661,789
Percentage1:61.69%
Nominee2:Barbara Ann Radnofsky
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,555,202
Percentage2:36.04%
Map Size:310px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Kay Bailey Hutchison
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Kay Bailey Hutchison
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2006 United States Senate election in Texas was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison won re-election to a third full term.

, this was the last time a Republican won Texas's Class 1 Senate seat with over 60% of the vote, as well as the last time a Republican candidate for this seat won Dallas, Jefferson, or Bexar counties.

To date, this is the most recent statewide election in which Dallas County voted for the Republican candidate.

General election

Major candidates

Campaign

The Democratic nominee had never run for public office and was expected to face an uphill battle in the general election, especially in a state that has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994 and against a historically popular Hutchison. Since neither Radnofsky nor her main opponent, Gene Kelly, had received a majority of votes in the Democratic primary, a runoff was held April 11, 2006, which Radnofsky won. Radnofsky's campaign platform is available on her website.[1] Scott Lanier Jameson won the Libertarian Party nomination at the party's state convention on June 10, 2006, defeating Timothy Wade and Ray Salinas. Arthur W. Loux, a Roman Forest City Councilman and a member of the Minutemen, was running as an independent.

Hutchison co-sponsored legislation supporting the creation of a constitutional amendment that would limit terms for senators but had been quoted saying that she would only leave after two terms if such a law applied to all senators.[2] After deciding not to challenge Governor Rick Perry this year, as had been widely speculated, Hutchison was running for a third term.[3]

She had no opposition in the 2006 Republican primary and had approval ratings in the 60 percent range going into the election,[4] although they had been slipping rapidly.

Debate

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[6] November 6, 2006
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] November 6, 2006
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[8] November 6, 2006
align=left Real Clear Politics[9] November 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateHutchison (R)Radnofsky (D)
Polimetrix[10] November 5, 200665%29%
Zogby[11] October 25, 200661%27%
Rasmussen[12] October 23, 200660%34%
Rasmussen[13] August 31, 200658%32%
Rasmussen[14] August 3, 200661%31%
Rasmussen[15] July 13, 200658%31%
Rasmussen[16] May 18, 200653%34%
Rasmussen[17] January 8, 200664%25%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Radnofsky Mediation Services . Radnofsky.com . 2022-03-21.
  2. Web site: Hamilton . By Reeve . 2009-11-17 . Working Overtime . 2024-06-01 . The Texas Tribune . en.
  3. Web site: Ramsey . By Ross . 2010-11-22 . Kay SerĂ¡, SerĂ¡ . 2024-06-01 . The Texas Tribune . en.
  4. Web site: SurveyUSA News Poll #9993 . 2024-06-01 . www.surveyusa.com.
  5. https://www.c-span.org/video/?194929-1/texas-senate-debate C-SPAN
  6. Web site: 2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006 . The Cook Political Report . https://web.archive.org/web/20080605093937/https://cookpolitical.com/races/report_pdfs/2006_sen_ratings_nov6.pdf . September 30, 2021. June 5, 2008 .
  7. Web site: Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 6, 2006 . June 25, 2021.
  8. Web site: 2006 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . June 25, 2021.
  9. Web site: Election 2006 . Real Clear Politics . June 25, 2021.
  10. https://web.archive.org/web/20061118132912/http://www.pollster.com/Polimetrix%20CCES%20Press%20Release%20110606.pdf Polimetrix
  11. http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/front/4298749.html Zogby
  12. https://web.archive.org/web/20070421191142/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/October%202006/TexasSenate.htm Rasmussen
  13. https://web.archive.org/web/20061021125339/http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/August%202006/texasSenate30.htm Rasmussen
  14. https://web.archive.org/web/20060823233832/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/August%202006/TexasSenate.htm Rasmussen
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20060929094437/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/July%202006/txSenate.htm Rasmussen
  16. https://web.archive.org/web/20060702055557/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/May%202006/txsenate.htm Rasmussen
  17. https://web.archive.org/web/20060112035353/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/January%202006/Texas%20Senate%20January%205.htm Rasmussen