2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina
Country:South Carolina
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States Senate special election in South Carolina
Previous Year:2014
(special)
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina
Next Year:2022
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:Tim Scott, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Tim Scott
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,241,609
Percentage1:60.57%
Nominee2:Thomas Dixon
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:757,022
Percentage2:36.93%
Map Size:230px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Tim Scott
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Tim Scott
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.

Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.[1]

This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees were black, and the third overall since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment.

Background

Two-term Republican senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley.[2] Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[9] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[11] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[12] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[13] November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Thomas
Dixon (D)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[14] November 1–7, 20161,698± 4.6% align=center59%38%3%
SurveyMonkey[15] October 31–November 6, 20161,642± 4.6% align=center58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[16] October 28–November 3, 20161,583± 4.6% align=center58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[17] October 27–November 2, 20161,501± 4.6% align=center58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[18] October 26–November 1, 20161,588± 4.6% align=center57%40%3%
SurveyMonkey[19] October 25–31, 20161,762± 4.6% align=center56%39%5%
Starboard Communications (R)[20] September 7–9, 2016600± 4.8% align=center58%22%16%
Public Policy Polling[21] August 9–10, 20161,290± 2.7% align=center45%30%[22] 6%[23] 20%

with Joyce Dickerson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Joyce
Dickerson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[24] November 7–8, 20151,290± 2.7% align=center53%25%23%

with Bakari Sellers

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Bakari
Sellers (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[25] February 12–15, 2015868± 3.3% align=center56%28%16%

with Leon Lott

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Leon
Lott (D)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 12–15, 2015868± 3.3% align=center54%27%19%

with Jim Hodges

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Scott (R)
Jim
Hodges (D)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 12–15, 2015868± 3.3% align=center54%32%15%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Scott won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[26]

DistrictScottDixonRepresentative
65%33%Mark Sanford
63%34%Joe Wilson
71%27%Jeff Duncan
67%30%Trey Gowdy
59%38%Mick Mulvaney
35%63% Jim Clyburn
61%37%Tom Rice

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 . Roll Call . January 28, 2015 . January 29, 2015 . Emily Cahn . Alexis Levinson . https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ . January 29, 2015 . dead .
  2. News: Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator . The New York Times . Jeff Zeleny . December 17, 2012.
  3. News: Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott . . Rindge . Brenda . February 22, 2016 . February 23, 2016 . October 13, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161013070908/http://www.postandcourier.com/article/20160222/PC16/160229815 . dead .
  4. News: SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R) . Politics1 . Twitter . November 2, 2015 . March 14, 2016.
  5. News: Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election . South Carolina Election Commission . March 18, 2016.
  6. Web site: Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election . South Carolina Election Commission . August 14, 2016.
  7. Web site: American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices . WRHI . May 15, 2016 . August 9, 2016 . Mike . Crowder.
  8. https://www.c-span.org/video/?417499-1/south-carolina-senate-debate Full debate - C-SPAN
  9. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  10. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  11. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  12. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  13. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  14. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  15. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  16. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  17. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  18. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  19. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
  20. http://www.postandcourier.com/20160913/160919767/trump-leads-in-new-sc-gop-poll-out-today Starboard Communications (R)
  21. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_SC_81116.pdf Public Policy Polling
  22. Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G
  23. Bill Bledsoe (L) with 4% and Michael Scarborough (A) with 2%
  24. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_SC_111715.pdf Public Policy Polling
  25. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_SC_22015.pdf Public Policy Polling
  26. Web site: DRA 2020 . 2024-08-19 . Daves Redistricting.