2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania explained

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
Country:Pennsylvania
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
Next Year:2022
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:Pat Toomey official photo.jpg
Nominee1:Pat Toomey
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:2,951,702
Percentage1:48.77%
Nominee2:Katie McGinty
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:2,865,012
Percentage2:47.34%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Pat Toomey
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Pat Toomey
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford.[1] [2] With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.

As of 2023, this is the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania. This is also the last time that the winner of the United States Senate election in Pennsylvania won a majority of Pennsylvania's counties.

Background

Five-term senator Arlen Specter, a longtime moderate Republican, switched to the Democratic Party in April 2009, and ran for reelection in 2010 as a Democrat. He was defeated in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative and former U.S. Navy three-star admiral Joe Sestak. After a close race, Sestak lost the general election to former U.S. Representative Pat Toomey by 51% to 49%, a margin of 80,229 votes out of almost 4 million cast. Toomey had previously run for the seat in 2004, narrowly losing to Specter in the Republican primary. Specter later died in 2012.

After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Pennsylvania was seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hoped to regain their majority.[3] [4] [5] Katie McGinty, who won the Democratic primary, was one of 160 candidates endorsed by Barack Obama. McGinty got her start in politics after winning the Congressional Fellowship of the American Chemical Society, leading to a position with then Senator Al Gore. In 1993 she was appointed deputy assistant and then chair of the White House Council of Environmental Quality under Bill Clinton. She then went on to be appointed head of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection by Governor Ed Rendell in 2003.[6] McGinty faced 2010 nominee Sestask and Mayor of Braddock, future Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania and holder of this Senate seat John Fetterman in the primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Debates

A debate hosted by Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz College in association with the 14th Ward Independent Democratic Club featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on January 31 at Rangos Hall in Jared L. Cohon University Center, Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh.[41]

A debate hosted by Keystone Progress featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on February 19 at the Hilton Harrisburg, in the Harrisburg Ballroom, in Harrisburg.[42]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Joe
Vodvarka		John
Fetterman		Katie
McGinty		Joe
Sestak		OtherUndecided
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy[43] April 24–25, 2016942± 3.2%–14% align=center39%34%–13%
Harper Polling[44] April 21–23, 2016641± 3.9%3%15% align=center39%33%–11%
Monmouth University[45] April 17–19, 2016302± 5.6%–4%39%39%–18%
Franklin & Marshall College[46] April 11–18, 2016510± 5.3%–8%27% align=center38%2%25%
Harper Polling[47] April 3–4, 2016603± 4.0%–9%31% align=center41%–19%
Franklin & Marshall College[48] March 14–20, 2016408± 4.7%–7%14% align=center31%2% align=center46%
Harper Polling[49] March 1–2, 2016662± 3.6%4%15%17% align=center33%– align=center35%
Harper Polling[50] January 22–23, 2016640± 3.8%–11%28% align=center33%–28%
Public Policy Polling[51] October 8–11, 20151,012± 3.1%–14%22% align=center29%– align=center35%
Franklin & Marshall College[52] August 17–24, 2015298± ?––13% align=center16%5% align=center66%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ed
Pawlowski		Joe
Sestak		Josh
Shapiro		OtherUndecided
Robert Morris University[53] May 8–16, 2015?± ?11.1% align=center44.7%——44.3%
Harper Polling[54] May 6–7, 2015173± 7.45%12% align=center42%8%—39%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kathleen
Kane		Joe
Sestak		OtherUndecided
Harper Polling[55] February 22–23, 2014501± 4.38% align=center47%24%—29%

Results

General election

Candidates

Debates

DatesLocationToomeyMcGintyLink
October 17, 2016Pittsburgh, PennsylvaniaParticipantParticipantalign=left [57]
October 24, 2016Philadelphia, PennsylvaniaParticipantParticipantalign=left [58]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[59] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[61] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[62] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[63] November 7, 2016

Polling

- valign= bottomPoll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Katie
McGinty (D)		Edward
Clifford (L)		OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[64] November 1–7, 20162,845± 4.6%45% align=center49%——6%
SurveyMonkey[65] October 31–November 6, 20162,685± 4.6%45% align=center50%——5%
CBS News/YouGov[66] November 3–5, 2016931± 4.3%46% align=center47%—1%6%
Clarity Campaign Labs[67] November 1–4, 20161,033± 3.0%43% align=center46%——11%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[68] October 30–November 4, 2016405± 5.5% align=center43%42%——15%
Harper Polling[69] November 2–3, 2016504± 4.4%44%44%6%—5%
SurveyMonkey[70] October 28–November 3, 20162,454± 4.6%45% align=center50%——5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[71] November 1–2, 20161,016± 3.1%43% align=center45%——12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[72] October 31–November 2, 2016681± 3.8%41% align=center47%5%1%7%
SurveyMonkey[73] October 27–November 2, 20162,177± 4.6%46% align=center50%——4%
Public Policy Polling[74] October 31–November 1, 20161,050± 3.0%44% align=center46%——10%
Monmouth University[75] October 29–November 1, 2016403± 4.9%44% align=center47%3%—6%
CNN/ORC[76] align=center rowspan=2October 27–November 1, 2016799 LV± 3.5%46% align=center51%—1%1%
917 RV± 3.0%47% align=center49%—1%2%
Quinnipiac University[77] October 27–November 1, 2016612± 4.0%47% align=center48%—1%5%
SurveyMonkey[78] October 26–November 2, 20162,078± 4.6%46% align=center50%——4%
SurveyMonkey[79] October 25–31, 20162,255± 4.6%46% align=center49%——5%
Franklin & Marshall College[80] align=center rowspan=2October 26–30, 2016652 LV± 5.1%35% align=center47%1%2%16%
863 RV± 4.4%33% align=center43%—1%23%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[81] October 25–30, 20163,217± 1.7%41% align=center45%——13%
CBS News/YouGov[82] October 26–28, 20161,091± 3.7%41% align=center44%—2%13%
Emerson College[83] October 25–26, 2016550± 4.1%43% align=center45%—7%5%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[84] October 20–26, 2016420± 5.5%41%41%—1%17%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[85] October 23–25, 2016824± 3.4%44% align=center47%——9%
Emerson College[86] October 17–19, 2016800± 3.4% align=center46%43%—5%7%
Quinnipiac University[87] October 10–16, 2016660± 3.8% align=center49%45%——6%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[88] October 8–16, 20161,449± 0.5%47%47%——6%
Bloomberg/Selzer[89] October 7–11, 2016806± 3.5%45% align=center47%—2%4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid[90] October 7–10, 20161,457± 3.0%44%44%——12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[91] October 4–9, 2016764± 3.5% align=center42%38%7%1%12%
CBS News/YouGov[92] October 5–7, 2016997± 4.2%42%42%—1%15%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[93] October 3–6, 2016709± 3.7%44% align=center48%—2%6%
Monmouth University[94] September 30–October 3, 2016402± 4.9%46%46%3%—5%
Franklin & Marshall College[95] align=center rowspan=2September 28–October 2, 2016496 LV± 6.1%35% align=center41%2%—22%
813 RV± 4.8%31% align=center36%—11%22%
Quinnipiac University[96] September 27–October 2, 2016535± 4.2% align=center50%42%——7%
Public Policy Polling[97] September 27–28, 2016886± 3.3%35% align=center40%9%—16%
42% align=center44%——14%
CNN/ORC[98] align=center rowspan=2September 20–25, 2016771 LValign=center rowspan=2± 3.5%align=center rowspan=246% align=center rowspan=249%align=center rowspan=2—align=center rowspan=2—align=center rowspan=22%
895 RV
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[99] September 23, 2016949± 3.2%39% align=center43%——18%
Harper Polling[100] September 21–22, 2016500± 4.4%42%42%8%—8%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[101] September 19–23, 2016486± 5.0% align=center41%40%——20%
Mercyhurst University[102] September 12–23, 2016420± 4.8% align=center43%42%——15%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps[103] September 10–19, 2016400± 4.0% align=center45%43%——12%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[104] September 12–16, 2016405± 5.5%38% align=center43%——19%
Quinnipiac University[105] August 29–September 7, 2016778± 3.5% align=center46%45%—1%7%
CBS News/YouGov[106] August 30–September 2, 20161,091± 4.1%39%39%—2%20%
Public Policy Polling[107] August 30–31, 2016814± 3.4%41% align=center44%——15%
Public Policy Polling[108] August 26–27, 20161,194± 3.0%40% align=center46%——14%
Monmouth University[109] August 26–29, 2016402± 4.9%41% align=center45%6%—8%
Franklin & Marshall College[110] align=center rowspan=2August 25–29, 2016496 LV± 5.6%38% align=center43%——18%
736 RV± 4.6% align=center37%36%——27%
Emerson College[111] August 25–28, 2016800± 3.4% align=center46%39%—5%10%
GBA Strategies[112] August 21–28, 2016881± 4.4%42% align=center47%—8%3%
Quinnipiac University[113] July 30–August 7, 2016815± 3.4%44% align=center47%——9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[114] August 3–7, 2016834± 3.4%44% align=center48%—1%7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[115] July 31–August 4, 2016772± 3.5%40% align=center42%—2%16%
Franklin & Marshall College[116] align=center rowspan=2July 29–August 1, 2016389 LV± 6.3%38% align=center39%——23%
661 RV± 4.8%30% align=center38%—— align=center32%
Public Policy Polling[117] July 29–31, 20161,505± 2.7% align=center42%41%——17%
Suffolk University[118] July 25–27, 2016500± 4.4%36% align=center43%—1%19%
Quinnipiac University[119] June 30–July 11, 2016982± 3.1% align=center49%39%—1%9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[120] July 5–10, 2016829± 3.4%44% align=center47%—2%8%
Public Policy Polling[121] June 22–23, 2016980± 3.1% align=center40%39%——21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps[122] June 11–20, 2016300± 5.7% align=center46%38%——16%
Quinnipiac University[123] June 8–19, 2016950± 3.2% align=center49%40%——8%
Public Policy Polling[124] June 8–9, 2016965± 3.2% align=center45%42%——12%
Public Policy Polling[125] June 3–5, 20161,106± 3.0% align=center41%38%——21%
Quinnipiac University[126] April 27–May 8, 20161,077± 3.0% align=center45%44%——11%
Quinnipiac University[127] March 30–April 4, 20161,737± 2.4% align=center47%38%—1%12%
Mercyhurst University[128] March 1–11, 2016421± 4.8% align=center47%34%—2%13%
Harper Polling[129] March 1–2, 2016662± 3.75% align=center47%39%——13%
Robert Morris University[130] February 11–16, 2016511± 4.5% align=center34%21%—— align=center45%
Public Policy PollingOctober 8–11, 20151,012± 3.1% align=center43%36%——21%
Quinnipiac University[131] September 25–October 5, 20151,049± 3.0% align=center51%31%—1%15%
Harper Polling[132] September 9–10, 2015700± 3.7% align=center48%34%——18%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeAugust 17–24, 2015605± 3.9% align=center35%28%—— align=center38%
Quinnipiac University[133] August 7–18, 20151,085± 3% align=center48%32%—1%17%
Public Policy Polling[134] May 30–June 1, 2014835± 3.4% align=center42%38%——20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		John
Fetterman (D)		OtherUndecided
Mercyhurst UniversityMarch 1–11, 2016421± 4.8% align=center49%31%2%15%
Harper PollingMarch 1–2, 2016662± 3.75% align=center47%36%—16%
Robert Morris UniversityFebruary 11–16, 2016511± 4.5% align=center38%14%— align=center49%
Public Policy PollingOctober 8–11, 20151,012± -3.1 align=center41%34%—24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Joe
Sestak (D)		OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 30–April 4, 20161,737± 2.4% align=center47%39%1%10%
Mercyhurst UniversityMarch 1–11, 2016421± 4.8% align=center43%38%1%15%
Harper PollingMarch 1–2, 2016662± 3.75% align=center47%41%—13%
Robert Morris UniversityFebruary 11–16, 2016511± 4.5% align=center34%18%— align=center48%
Public Policy PollingOctober 8–11, 20151,012± -3.1 align=center41%38%—21%
Quinnipiac University[135] September 25-October 5, 20151,049± 3.0% align=center49%34%1%13%
Harper PollingSeptember 9–10, 2015700± 3.7% align=center47%37%—15%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeAugust 17–24, 2015605± 3.9% align=center41%29%—31%
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 7–18, 20151,085± 3% align=center48%33%1%15%
Quinnipiac University[136] June 4–15, 2015970± 3.2% align=center47%36%1%16%
Franklin & Marshall College[137] June 8–14, 2015556± 4.1% align=center35%31%—34%
Public Policy Polling[138] May 21–24, 2015799± 3.5% align=center42%38%—20%
Robert Morris UniversityMay 8–16, 2015529± 4.5%28.5% align=center34.2%— align=center37.3%
Harper Polling[139] May 6–7, 2015503± 4.37% align=center53%32%—15%
Quinnipiac University[140] March 17–28, 20151,036± 3% align=center48%35%1%16%
Franklin & Marshall College[141] March 17–23, 2015597± 4.2% align=center34%29%— align=center37%
Quinnipiac University[142] Jan. 22–Feb. 1, 2015881± 3.3% align=center45%35%—20%
Public Policy Polling[143] January 15–18, 20151,042± 3% align=center40%36%—23%
Public Policy PollingMay 30 – June 1, 2014835± 3.4% align=center41%35%—24%
Harper Polling[144] December 21–22, 2013604± 4% align=center49%42%—9%
Public Policy Polling[145] November 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%42%42%—16%
Quinnipiac University[146] May 30 – June 4, 20131,032± 3.1% align=center42%37%1%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Chris
Carney (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 21–24, 2015799± 3.5% align=center44%35%—20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Vincent
Hughes (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 21–24, 2015799± 3.5% align=center44%35%—21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Kathleen
Kane (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 15–18, 20151,042± 3% align=center44%38%—17%
Public Policy PollingMay 30 – June 1, 2014835± 3.4%40% align=center42%—19%
Harper PollingDecember 21–22, 2013604± 4% align=center49%44%—7%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%42% align=center46%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Chris
Matthews (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 15–18, 20151,042± 3% align=center42%38%—20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Michael
Nutter (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 15–18, 20151,042± 3% align=center42%35%—23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Ed
Pawlowski (D)		OtherUndecided
Mercyhurst UniversityMarch 1–11, 2016421± 4.8% align=center47%31%2%16%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 4–15, 2015970± 3.2% align=center52%28%1%19%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeJune 8–14, 2015556± 4.1% align=center34%23%— align=center43%
Public Policy PollingMay 21–24, 2015799± 3.5% align=center44%34%—22%
Harper PollingMay 6–7, 2015503± 4.37% align=center54%30%—16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Ed
Rendell (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 21–24, 2015799± 3.5% align=center46%41%—13%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 15–18, 20151,042± 3%41% align=center44%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Josh
Shapiro (D)		OtherUndecided
Harper PollingMay 6–7, 2015503± 4.37% align=center55%27%—18%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 15–18, 20151,042± 3% align=center43%31%—26%
Public Policy PollingMay 30 – June 1, 2014835± 3.4% align=center41%32%—28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Pat
Toomey (R)		Seth
Williams (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 21–24, 2015799± 3.5% align=center44%33%—23%

By county

County[147] Katie McGintyDemocraticPatrick J. ToomeyRepublicanEdward T. Clifford IIILibertarianMarginTotal Votes Cast
%%%%
Adams14,59330.72%30,49264.19%2,4185.09%15,89933.47%47,503
Allegheny357,45055.25%261,31640.39%28,2604.37%-96,134-14.86%647,026
Armstrong8,38726.71%20,79366.22%2,2207.07%12,40639.51%31,400
Beaver34,26341.12%44,00052.81%5,0586.07%9,73711.69%83,321
Bedford4,35618.58%17,73975.68%1,3445.73%13,38357.10%23,439
Berks77,02842.93%95,46653.21%6,9193.86%18,43810.28%179,413
Blair15,10727.57%36,53366.68%3,1505.75%21,42639.11%54,790
Bradford6,98527.33%16,57464.85%2,0007.83%9,58937.52%25,559
Bucks157,70946.46%175,89851.82%5,8451.72%18,1895.36%339,452
Butler28,71529.72%62,42564.62%5,4655.66%33,71034.89%96,605
Cambria21,89434.90%36,94858.90%3,8866.20%15,05424.00%62,728
Cameron59327.53%1,39064.53%1717.94%79737.00%2,154
Carbon10,08635.75%16,36057.98%1,7706.27%6,27422.24%28,216
Centre35,48746.45%36,52747.82%4,3785.73%1,0401.36%76,392
Chester127,55247.10%133,66249.36%9,5883.54%6,1102.26%270,802
Clarion4,93128.27%11,31064.83%1,2046.90%6,37936.57%17,445
Clearfield9,45427.80%22,12865.06%2,4297.14%12,67437.26%34,011
Clinton5,51136.34%8,70257.38%9526.28%3,19121.04%15,165
Columbia9,81934.94%16,29257.97%1,9917.08%6,47323.03%28,102
Crawford11,04729.65%24,47265.68%1,7404.67%13,42536.03%37,259
Cumberland44,79636.74%71,63858.75%5,5094.52%26,84222.01%121,943
Dauphin62,55148.61%63,74049.54%2,3831.85%1,1890.92%128,674
Delaware163,37755.64%126,30043.01%3,9481.34%-37,077-12.63%293,625
Elk4,50931.48%8,70360.76%1,1117.76%4,19429.28%14,323
Erie56,84646.32%60,94849.66%4,9304.02%4,1023.34%122,724
Fayette20,54738.62%29,69955.82%2,9585.56%9,15217.20%53,204
Forest70829.82%1,50263.27%1646.91%79433.45%2,374
Franklin17,82725.54%48,65869.72%3,3094.74%30,83144.17%69,794
Fulton1,02515.23%5,45681.06%2503.71%4,43165.83%6,731
Greene5,69236.93%8,82657.26%8965.81%3,13420.33%15,414
Huntingdon5,10526.06%13,07866.76%1,4067.18%7,97340.70%19,589
Indiana12,59233.32%22,24558.86%2,9557.82%9,65325.54%37,792
Jefferson4,16021.54%13,70670.95%1,4517.51%9,54649.42%19,317
Juniata2,15320.66%7,65773.47%6125.87%5,50452.81%10,422
Lackawanna53,93652.93%40,51939.76%7,4557.32%-13,417-13.17%101,910
Lancaster89,92237.07%142,77458.85%9,9094.08%52,85221.79%242,605
Lawrence15,28937.96%22,67456.29%2,3175.75%7,38518.33%40,280
Lebanon19,07931.01%39,38664.02%3,0604.97%20,30733.01%61,525
Lehigh77,23248.25%76,21647.61%6,6274.14%-1,016-0.63%160,075
Luzerne56,47742.89%66,55150.54%8,6506.57%10,0747.65%131,678
Lycoming14,18728.06%33,01565.29%3,3656.65%18,82837.23%50,567
Mckean3,98724.73%11,53071.52%6053.75%7,54346.79%16,122
Mercer19,19337.05%30,56759.00%2,0463.95%11,37421.95%51,806
Mifflin4,03122.13%13,08971.87%1,0936.00%9,05849.73%18,213
Monroe34,28051.32%30,74346.03%1,7682.65%-3,537-5.30%66,791
Montgomery237,35354.90%189,57443.85%5,4311.26%-47,779-11.05%432,358
Montour2,89833.89%5,06659.25%5866.85%2,16825.36%8,550
Northampton64,15145.86%72,17251.59%3,5662.55%8,0215.73%139,889
Northumberland11,11731.28%21,82661.42%2,5927.29%10,70930.14%35,535
Perry4,96223.53%14,89870.64%1,2315.84%9,93647.11%21,091
Philadelphia560,42181.79%116,71417.03%8,0301.17%-443,707-64.76%685,165
Pike9,32936.39%15,19259.27%1,1134.34%5,86322.87%25,634
Potter1,38718.01%5,99077.79%3234.19%4,60359.78%7,700
Schuylkill19,53931.45%37,75760.77%4,8327.78%18,21829.32%62,128
Snyder4,29926.40%10,86766.74%1,1166.85%6,56840.34%16,282
Somerset8,34023.34%25,47071.28%1,9235.38%17,13047.94%35,733
Sullivan86728.03%2,02065.31%2066.66%1,15337.28%3,093
Susquehanna5,53528.76%11,99662.33%1,7168.92%6,46133.57%19,247
Tioga3,99221.97%13,41873.83%7644.20%9,42651.87%18,174
Union6,09234.81%10,56860.39%8414.81%4,47625.58%17,501
Venango6,98930.11%14,58162.83%1,6387.06%7,59232.71%23,208
Warren5,12428.14%12,13066.60%9585.26%7,00638.47%18,212
Washington38,13337.79%56,95256.44%5,8245.77%18,81918.65%100,909
Wayne7,48731.42%14,53861.01%1,8037.57%7,05129.59%23,828
Westmoreland62,98134.94%107,53259.65%9,7455.41%44,55124.72%180,258
Wyoming4,15431.79%7,84460.03%1,0688.17%3,69028.24%13,066
York69,39433.68%126,35061.33%10,2714.99%56,95627.65%206,015
Pennsylvania2,865,01247.34%2,951,70248.77%235,1423.89%86,6901.43%6,051,856

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: Stolberg . Sheryl Gay . Patrick Toomey Wins Re-election in Pennsylvania Senate Race . The New York Times . November 10, 2016 . The New York Times . November 9, 2016.
  2. Web site: Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Results . November 14, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161113185634/http://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/ENR_NEW . November 13, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  3. News: Cillizza. Chris. Blake. Aaron. Sullivan. Sean. Why Republicans' Senate majority could be very short-lived . The Washington Post . November 7, 2014 . November 8, 2014.
  4. Web site: Democrats' target in 2016: Sen. Toomey . The Philadelphia Inquirer. November 5, 2014 . November 8, 2014.
  5. The Seven Senate Races Democrats Should Be Optimistic About in 2016 . Slate . July 3, 2014 . Weigel. David. David Weigel. November 8, 2014.
  6. News: Kathleen McGinty - Ballotpedia . December 9, 2016.
  7. Web site: 10 Races to Watch in 2016: Pennsylvania Senate . . December 22, 2014 . April 2, 2016.
  8. News: Dems in disarray in must-win Pennsylvania Senate race . . Raju . Manu . Cheney . Kyle . May 21, 2015 . May 24, 2015.
  9. News: The top 10 Senate races of 2016 . . Cillizza . Chris . June 5, 2015 . June 8, 2015.
  10. News: McGinty defeats Sestak to win Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate . Kopp . John . April 26, 2016 . Philly Voice . April 27, 2016.
  11. News: O'Toole . James . Smydo . Joe . September 14, 2015 . Braddock mayor launches campaign for Senate . . September 14, 2015.
  12. Web site: Sestak seeks 2016 Senate rematch vs. Toomey . USA Today. Camia. Catalina . May 14, 2013 . August 22, 2014.
  13. News: Sestak gearing up for official bid against Toomey . The Morning Call . Olson . Laura . September 4, 2014 . November 8, 2014 . November 8, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141108234000/http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-joe-sestak-to-launch-official-senate-bid-soon-20140904-story.html . dead .
  14. Web site: PA-Sen: Sestak Prepares for Battle . PoliticsPA . November 6, 2014 . November 8, 2014.
  15. Web site: U.S. Senate candidate Joseph Vodvarka ousted from April primary ballot . March 31, 2016 . PennLive.com . April 2, 2016.
  16. Web site: Joe Vodvarka back on ballot in US Senate race . York Daily Record . April 19, 2016 . April 26, 2016.
  17. News: Brady: I'd back McGinty "100 percent" over Sestak . . Tamari . Jonathan . July 8, 2015 . July 8, 2015.
  18. News: New Democratic Contender Emerges for Pennsylvania Senate Seat . . Roarty . Alex . January 18, 2015 . January 18, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150119003707/http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/new-democratic-contender-emerges-for-pennsylvania-senate-seat-20150118 . January 19, 2015 . dead .
  19. News: Pennsylvania Democrats Hesitate on Sestak Senate Bid . . Emily Cahn . December 4, 2014 . December 4, 2014 . January 19, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150119154322/http://atr.rollcall.com/elections-2016-pat-toomey-joe-sestak/?dcz= . dead .
  20. Web site: Meet The Democratic Senate Candidate Who Drives Democrats Crazy . February 19, 2015 . February 19, 2015 . . Roarty . Alex.
  21. News: Eugene DePasquale should consider running for US Senate . . July 10, 2015 . July 19, 2015 . July 22, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150722063919/http://www.ydr.com/opinion/ci_28464739/eugene-depasquale-should-consider-running-us-senate-ydr . dead .
  22. News: Democrats' target in 2016: Sen. Toomey . . Jonathan Tamari . November 5, 2014 . November 12, 2014.
  23. News: Unshakeable Sestak . The Hill . Cameron Joseph . December 17, 2014 . December 18, 2014.
  24. News: Hughes for Senate? . PoliticsPA . Nick Field . January 28, 2015 . January 29, 2015.
  25. News: PA-Sen: Hughes Says Senate Run Has "Been on My Mind" . PoliticsPA . Field . Nick . February 18, 2015 . February 19, 2015.
  26. Web site: Senator Vincent Hughes Endorses McGinty for Senate | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania . Katie McGinty . April 19, 2016 . July 9, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160818141720/http://katiemcginty.com/senator-vincent-hughes-endorsment/ . August 18, 2016 . dead .
  27. News: As Pa. pols gather, Democrats talk of taking on Toomey . The Philadelphia Inquirer . Jonathan. Tamari . December 11, 2014 . December 12, 2014.
  28. News: Senate 2016: Kane "Is Pretty Serious About This" . PoliticsPA . Brittany Foster . December 13, 2013 . December 13, 2013.
  29. News: Kane vows to fight for her office . Philly.com . Angela Couloumbis . December 12, 2014 . December 16, 2014.
  30. News: Kathleen Kane, facing grand jury investigation, announces 2016 re-election bid . The Patriot-News . John L. Micek . December 13, 2014 . December 16, 2014.
  31. News: McCord Rules Out 2016 Senate Run . PoliticsPA . November 16, 2014 . November 18, 2014 . Nick Field.
  32. News: The Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race will have a national audience . . Southwick . Ron . April 13, 2015 . May 24, 2015.
  33. News: Nutter for Senate? . PoliticsPA . Nick Field . September 13, 2013 . November 12, 2014.
  34. Web site: Could Ed Rendell Take Pat Toomey's Senate Seat? . . Mathis . Joel . January 21, 2015 . June 5, 2015.
  35. Web site: Too Soon? Pennsylvanians Being Polled On 2016 Senate Race . . Loeb . Pat . January 29, 2015 . June 5, 2015.
  36. Web site: Clarkdclark . Dan . Montgomery County Democratic Committee endorses Shapiro, Arkoosh to run for commissioner - Colonial News . Montgomery News . April 2, 2016.
  37. Web site: Meet the Senate Democratic Candidate Who's Running Against His Own Party . Nationaljournal.com . March 4, 2015 . April 2, 2016.
  38. News: PA-Sen: Shapiro Officially Passes on 2016 Race . . Field . Nick . May 24, 2015 . May 24, 2015.
  39. Web site: 16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate . December 29, 2014 . December 29, 2014 . . Cheney . Kyle.
  40. Web site: Torsella Raises $1 Million for Treasurer Bid . January 29, 2015 . April 17, 2015 . PoliticsPA . Field . Nick.
  41. Web site: Democratic Candidates for U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania - Debate . . July 9, 2016.
  42. Web site: Keystone Progress PA Senate Debate in Harrisburg, February 19th 2016 . . July 9, 2016.
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  56. Web site: 2016 Senate Candidate Edward Clifford III . www.lppa.org . Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania . November 6, 2016.
  57. https://www.c-span.org/video/?416984-1/pennsylvania-senate-debate Full debate - C-SPAN
  58. https://www.c-span.org/video/?417155-1/pennsylvania-senate-debate Full debate - C-SPAN
  59. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  60. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  61. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  62. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  63. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
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