2016 United States Senate election in New York explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in New York
Country:New York
Flag Image:Flag of New York (1901-2020).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States Senate election in New York
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in New York
Next Year:2022
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:Chuck Schumer official photo (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Chuck Schumer
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:5,221,967
Percentage1:70.64%
Nominee2:Wendy Long
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:2,009,380
Percentage2:27.18%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Chuck Schumer
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Chuck Schumer
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. As of 2023, this is the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1] This was considered by many polling aggregate groups to be one of the safest Democratic seats in the nation for this cycle. The prediction turned out to be correct, with Schumer winning around 71% of the vote and all but 5 of the state's 62 counties: Hamilton, Orleans, Wyoming, Allegany and Steuben.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Libertarian Party

Green Party

Conservative Party

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[10] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[12] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[13] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[14] November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chuck
Schumer (D)
Wendy
Long (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[15] November 1–7, 20162,208± 4.6% align=center71%25%4%
SurveyMonkey[16] October 31–November 6, 20162,132± 4.6% align=center71%25%4%
Siena College[17] November 3–4, 2016617± 4.5% align=center67%25%8%
SurveyMonkey[18] October 28–November 3, 20161,949± 4.6% align=center71%26%3%
SurveyMonkey[19] October 27–November 2, 20161,755± 4.6% align=center70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey[20] October 26–November 1, 20161,645± 4.6% align=center70%27%3%
SurveyMonkey[21] October 25–31, 20161,734± 4.6% align=center68%28%4%
Siena College[22] October 13–17, 2016611± 4.6% align=center66%27%1%6%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist[23] September 21–23, 2016676± 3.8% align=center70%24%1%6%
Siena College[24] September 11–15, 2016600± 5.0% align=center69%23%8%
Emerson College[25] August 28–30, 2016800± 3.4% align=center60%23%4%12%
Siena College[26] August 7–10, 2016717± 4.3% align=center63%24%13%
Quinnipiac University[27] July 13–17, 20161,104± 3.0% align=center60%28%1%8%
Siena College[28] June 22–28, 2016803± 4.0% align=center66%23%11%
Siena College[29] May 22–26, 2016825± 3.9% align=center64%22%14%
Siena College[30] April 24–27, 2016802± 4.1% align=center64%24%12%
Public Policy Polling[31] April 7–10, 20161,403± 2.6% align=center55%23%22%
Quinnipiac University[32] March 22–29, 20161,667± 2.4% align=center63%24%11%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Schumer won all 27 congressional districts, including nine that elected Republicans.[33]

DistrictSchumerLongRepresentative
58%40%Lee Zeldin
61%38%Peter T. King
64%35%Steve Israel
Thomas Suozzi
66%32%Kathleen Rice
90%9%Gregory Meeks
75%22%Grace Meng
88%8%Nydia Velázquez
89%8%Hakeem Jeffries
89%9%Yvette Clarke
82%15%Jerry Nadler
64%34%Dan Donovan
83%14%Carolyn Maloney
92%5%Charles B. Rangel
Adriano Espaillat
84%14%Joe Crowley
95%4%Jose Serrano
80%19%Eliot Engel
68%30%Nita Lowey
59%39%Sean Patrick Maloney
58%39%John Faso
68%30%Paul Tonko
57%40%Elise Stefanik
59%38%Richard L. Hanna
Claudia Tenney
56%42%Tom Reed
66%32%John Katko
68%30%Louise Slaughter
74%23%Brian Higgins
55%43%Chris Collins

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 . Roll Call . January 28, 2015 . January 29, 2015 . Emily Cahn . Alexis Levinson . https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ . January 29, 2015 . dead .
  2. Web site: Tumulty. Brian. Republican Wendy Long will run against Sen. Chuck Schumer. Gannett News Service. March 3, 2016. March 3, 2016.
  3. News: U.S. Rep. Richard Hanna says he won't run against Chuck Schumer in 2016 NY senate race . Syracuse.com . Weiner . Mark . April 7, 2015 . April 7, 2015.
  4. Web site: Larry Kudlow and NRSC Renew Discussions on Senate Run . . June 24, 2015 . June 25, 2015 . Eliana . Johnson.
  5. News: Larry Kudlow Weighs Run Against Senator Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut . . Burns . Alexander . September 22, 2015 . October 1, 2015.
  6. Web site: Candidates 2016. Libertarian Party of New York. December 19, 2018. December 17, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20181217014712/https://lpny.org/campaign-2016/. dead.
  7. Web site: Dr. Jill Stein Wins 89% of GPNY Presidential Convention Vote, Robin Laverne Wilson Rallies For US Senate. June 12, 2016. Green Party of New York.
  8. Web site: Wendy Long works convention to boost long-shot Senate bid . The Journal News.
  9. https://www.c-span.org/video/?417677-1/york-senate-debate Full debate
  10. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  11. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  12. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  13. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  14. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  15. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  16. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  17. https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_November_2016_Pre-election_Poll_Release_--_FINAL487.pdf Siena College
  18. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  19. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  20. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  21. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
  22. https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_October_2016_Poll_Release_--_FINAL1853.pdf Siena College
  23. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/nyspolls/NY160921/NBC%204%20NY_WSJ_Marist%20Poll_New%20York%20State%20Tables%20of%20Likely%20Voters_September%202016.pdf NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist
  24. https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_September_2016_Poll_Release_--_Final345.pdf Siena College
  25. http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_7e2146163ed04e60b05172ef8e530182.pdf Emerson College
  26. http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/32a44475-9ee2-465c-bf19-0d8e7f1d3bb9.pdf Siena College
  27. https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny07192016_Ndj15hm.pdf Quinnipiac University
  28. http://files.ctctcdn.com/9c83fb30501/2826b434-e79b-4f89-86ef-413572ec816d.pdf Siena College
  29. https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_May_31_2016_Poll_Release_456484--_FINAL.pdf Siena College
  30. https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_May_2016_Poll_Release_7149_--_FINAL.pdf Siena College
  31. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NY_4132016.pdf Public Policy Polling
  32. https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny04012016_Nbq26wb.pdf Quinnipiac University
  33. Web site: DRA 2020. Daves Redistricting.