2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey explained

Election Name:2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey
Country:New Jersey
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2013 United States Senate special election in New Jersey
Previous Year:2013 (special)
Next Election:2020 United States Senate election in New Jersey
Next Year:2020
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:File:Cory Booker, official portrait, 114th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Cory Booker
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,043,866
Percentage1:55.84%
Nominee2:Jeff Bell
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:791,297
Percentage2:42.33%
Map Size:280px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Cory Booker
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Cory Booker
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Jersey was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Jersey. Incumbent senator Cory Booker was first elected in a 2013 special election to complete the term of fellow Democrat Frank Lautenberg, who died in office. Booker defeated Jeff Bell (R) to win a first full term.

This is the last time that Somerset County voted Republican in a statewide election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceRob
Andrews		Cory
Booker		Rush D.
Holt Jr.		Frank
Pallone		Stephen
Sweeney		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy Polling[10] November 26–28, 2012300± 5.6%17%48%—13%—11%11%
align=left Merriman-River[11] January 7–9, 20131,170± 2.9%10%48%—8%6%—28%
align=left Farleigh Dickinson[12] March 4–10, 2013323± 5.5%—50%7%4%—6%32%
Poll sourceCory
Booker		Frank
Lautenberg		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012300± 5.6%59%22%—18%
align=left Fairleigh Dickinson[13] January 2–6, 2013700± 3.7%42%20%17%21%
align=left Merriman-RiverJanuary 7–9, 20131,170± 2.9%48%21%—31%
align=left Quinnipiac[14] January 15–21, 2013616± 4%51%30%1%18%

Results

Republican primary

2013 nominee Steve Lonegan announced in his concession speech that he would not run again for the seat in the 2014 race.[16] The top-tier candidates for the Republican primary, Thomas Kean Jr. and Jay Webber also declined to run in early January 2014, leaving Jon Bramnick and Michael J. Doherty as the remaining candidates with established credentials and fundraising abilities able to start a United States Senate campaign.[17] On January 9, 2014, Brian D. Goldberg, a West Orange resident and New Jersey businessman, announced that he would seek the Republican nomination.[18] The following week, on January 17, 2014, both Bramnick and Doherty announced that they would not be running for United States Senate.[18] [19]

On January 27, 2014, Freehold Township businessman Richard J. "Rich" Pezzullo announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination. Pezzullo had previously run for the US Senate in 1996 as the Conservative Party candidate.[20] [21] On February 4, 2014, conservative political consultant Jeff Bell announced his bid for the nomination. Bell was the nominee for the Senate in 1978, having defeated incumbent senator Clifford Case in the Republican primary and was an unsuccessful candidate for the Republican nomination in 1982.[22] Ramapo College professor Murray Sabrin, who ran for the Senate in 2000 and 2008, announced another run on February 13.[23] Former FBI agent Robert Turkavage, who ran as an Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012, had declared his candidacy. However, he got stuck in a traffic jam when he attempted to turn in his petitions shortly before the deadline, and was forced to withdraw.[24]

On March 4, Richard Pezzullo won the Union County Convention on the first ballot, going on to then win the line in Camden County and Republican stronghold Monmouth County. Opponent Brian Goldberg won the party lines in conventions in Ocean, Atlantic, Cumberland, Mercer, and Somerset Counties. Murray Sabrin won only the Middlesex line, and Jeffrey Bell made no convention appearances and contested no lines.[25] Three candidates – Brian Goldberg, Richard Pezzullo and Murray Sabrin – claimed the Burlington county line, though only Goldberg claimed to have won the line.[26] Goldberg was given the county line with no convention in Essex, Passaic, and Hudson Counties. Robert Turkavage won the convention in Hunterdon County, but the line transferred to Goldberg after Turkavage dropped out of the race.

Jeff Bell received significant support from the conservative American Principles Fund, who ran a direct mail operation that cost over $80,000, and the National Organization for Marriage, a conservative traditional marriage group, who paid for $6,000 of automated calling.[27]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

CountyBellPezzulloGoldbergSabrinTotal Votes
Total%Total%Total%Total%
Atlantic1,11517.85%74411.91%4,03064.50%3595.75%6,248
Bergen4,83356.63%1,50117.59%95311.17%1,24814.62%8,535
Burlington4,20839.12%3,22024.58%1,57712.04%4,09731.27%13,102
Camden2,12136.05%2,56643.62%2995.08%89715.25%5,883
Cape May2,01160.70%74022.34%2457.40%3179.57%3,313
Cumberland43623.34%30116.11%1,03855.58%934.98%1,868
Essex90420.45%1,03523.42%2,16148.89%3207.24%4,420
Gloucester1,21329.43%1,28031.06%71417.33%91422.18%4,121
Hudson64221.89%2859.70%1,22541.71%78526.73%2,937
Hunterdon2,42628.29%2,60430.37%2,11824.70%1,42616.63%8,574
Mercer92726.16%37710.64%1,33137.56%90925.65%3,544
Middlesex1,73826.31%1,33820.25%1,53123.18%1,99930.26%6,606
Monmouth2,09619.26%5,99955.11%4974.57%2,29321.07%10,885
Morris5,20637.09%3,19722.77%1,2809.12%4,35531.02%14,038
Ocean3,38917.51%3,57018.45%10,84056.02%1,5528.02%19,351
Passaic1,19420.64%1,01517.55%2,41441.74%1,16120.07%5,784
Salem33225.50%38929.88%785.99%50338.63%1,302
Somerset3,39936.35%1,57716.86%3,12233.39%1,25313.40%9,351
Sussex1,46526.68%2,45144.64%2925.32%1,28223.35%5,490
Union1,16219.37%3,11751.96%2834.72%1,43723.95%5,999
Warren1,87148.15%79420.43%2386.12%98325.30%3,886

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
(D)$16,534,557$14,742,187$2,583,176$5,266
(R)$373,577$282,459$91,116$11,788
[48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[54] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[56] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[57] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceCory
Booker (D)		Jeff
Bell (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Rasmussen Reports[58] June 17–18, 2014750± 4%48%35%4%13%
align=left Monmouth University[59] June 25–29, 2014717± 3.7%43%23%15%17%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[60] July 5–24, 20142,645± 3.4%50%43%1%6%
align=left Quinnipiac University[61] July 31 – August 4, 20141,148± 2.9%47%37%1%16%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[62] August 18 – September 2, 20142,244± 3%52%37%2%10%
align=left Fairleigh Dickinson University[63] September 1–7, 2014721± 3.7%42%29%1%27%
align=left Richard Stockton College[64] September 5–8, 2014807± 3.5%49%36%3%12%
align=left Quinnipiac University[65] September 25–29, 20141,058± 3%51%40%1%8%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[66] September 20 – October 1, 20142,011± 3%51%37%0%12%
align=left Monmouth University[67] October 2–5, 2014477± 4.5%53%38%2%7%
align=left Fairleigh Dickinson University[68] October 13–19, 2014525± 4.3%56%40%1%3%
align=left Richard Stockton College[69] October 18–22, 2014806± 3.5%57%33%5%5%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,868± 4%51%39%0%9%
align=left Monmouth University[70] October 30 – November 2, 2014750± 3.6%54%40%1%5%

With Andrews

With Booker

Poll sourceCory
Booker (D)		Geraldo
Rivera (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Quinnipiac University[71] February 13–17, 20131,149± 2.9%59%23%2%17%
align=left Farleigh Dickinson University[72] March 4–10, 2013702± 3.7%52%21%—26%

With Bradley

With Lautenberg

With Pallone

Results

By county

CountyBooker %Booker votesBell %Bell votesOther %Other votes
Atlantic51.4%32,56646.5%29,4222.1%1,319
Bergen57.3%124,40941.2%89,5971.5%3,204
Burlington54.3%64,73044.2%52,7211.5%1,755
Camden65.3%73,88133.2%37,5431.5%1,730
Cape May41.1%11,57257.4%16,1781.5%429
Cumberland53.3%14,83044.8%12,4551.9%537
Essex77.2%106,47221.4%29,5271.4%1,975
Gloucester52.8%37,13145.1%31,7172.1%1,456
Hudson78.4%68,16519.2%16,7072.4%2,109
Hunterdon38.7%14,24159.0%21,7092.3%864
Mercer65.8%52,47632.3%25,7491.9%1,524
Middlesex60.0%83,73238.4%53,6791.6%2,244
Monmouth44.9%67,01153.2%79,4171.9%2,863
Morris42.9%49,92055.6%64,6881.6%1,807
Ocean40.3%55,63157.4%79,2542.2%3,082
Passaic60.6%52,53337.6%32,6121.7%1,508
Salem44.5%8,06051.4%9,3044.1%733
Somerset48.6%37,12449.5%37,8351.9%1,448
Sussex35.3%12,72261.8%22,2922.9%1,046
Union65.0%68,05133.2%34,7411.8%1,855
Warren36.4%8,60959.8%14,1503.7%884

By congressional district

Booker won 7 of the 12 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[74]

DistrictBookerBellRepresentative
62.47%35.86%Donald Norcross
47.49%50.35%Frank LoBiondo
48.02%50.08%
44.27%53.8%Chris Smith
49.65%48.62%Scott Garrett
58.29%39.98%Frank Pallone Jr.
44.21%53.7%
79.05%18.75%Albio Sires
66.9%31.19%Bill Pascrell
86.1%12.25%Donald Payne Jr.
47.18%51.31%Rodney Frelinghuysen
64.23%34.13%Bonnie Watson Coleman

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Sabas submits petitions to challenge Booker . PolitickerNJ . March 31, 2014 . March 31, 2014 . Matthew . Arco.
  2. Web site: Candidates for US Senate . NJ SOS . April 1, 2014 . April 2, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140407063002/http://www.njelections.org/2014-results/2014-unofficial-primary-candidates-senate-0401.pdf . April 7, 2014 . dead .
  3. News: Booker Leads Lautenberg Among New Jersey Democrats In 2014 Senate Poll . Huffingtonpost.com . January 10, 2013 . June 7, 2013 . Ariel . Edwardslevy.
  4. Web site: Up to Christie who will fill seat - Philly.com . https://archive.today/20130619223233/http://articles.philly.com/2013-06-04/news/39743466_1_christie-senate-president-stephen-sweeney-next-election . dead . June 19, 2013 . Articles.philly.com . June 5, 2013.
  5. Web site: Kennedy rules out 2014 run, endorses Pallone for Senate . Darryl R. Isherwood . February 15, 2013 . PolitickerNJ.com . February 16, 2013.
  6. Web site: Beth Mason, a wealthy Democrat activist, weighing U.S. Senate run . June 6, 2013 . June 6, 2013 . . Jarrett . Renshaw.
  7. Web site: Pallone tells NJ Dem congressman he's running for Senate . June 4, 2013 . June 4, 2013 . . Cameron . Joseph.
  8. Web site: Rice won't pursue U.S. Senate seat in 2014 . February 15, 2013 . February 18, 2013 . Politicker NJ . Max . Pizarro.
  9. News: U.S. Sen. Race: Pallone and Holt in, Booker mum, Sweeney out, Bramnick and others mulling . Politicker NJ . Darryl R. Isherwood . June 5, 2013 . June 7, 2013.
  10. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NJ_1129.pdf Public Policy Polling
  11. https://www.scribd.com/doc/121806290/NJ-Sen-Merriman-River-for-PowerPAC-Jan-2013 Merriman-River
  12. http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2013/bookermar/ Farleigh Dickinson
  13. http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2013/senjan/ Fairleigh Dickinson
  14. https://web.archive.org/web/20130124082311/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail/?ReleaseID=1833 Quinnipiac
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20130729020749/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/9a457a35-8573-4b66-9881-01ca11d1fb6d.pdf Monmouth
  16. Web site: Lonegan For Senate . Lonegan Thanks Family, Supporters on Election Night . Loneganforsenate.com . October 16, 2013 . January 17, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131019235651/http://www.loneganforsenate.com/2013/10/lonegan-concedes-to-booker/ . October 19, 2013 . dead .
  17. Web site: Webber won't run for the U.S. Senate . December 30, 2013 . December 30, 2013 . Politicker NJ . Max . Pizarro.
  18. Web site: N.J. Senator Doherty decides not to run against Booker . January 17, 2014 . NJ.com . January 17, 2014.
  19. Web site: Bramnick won't run for the U.S. Senate in 2014 . Politicker NJ . January 17, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140120092733/http://www.politickernj.com/70934/bramnick-wont-run-us-senate-2014 . January 20, 2014 . dead .
  20. Web site: >Rich Pezzullo- Conservative Republican for US Senate . January 27, 2014 . January 27, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140130080524/http://pezzulloforsenate.com/ . January 30, 2014 . dead .
  21. News: ON POLITICS Third-Party Fervor? More Than Hard Work . October 29, 1995 . The New York Times . Iver . Peterson.
  22. News: Friedman . Matt . February 4, 2014 . Jeff Bell, Republican U.S. Senate candidate from 1978, wants to challenge Booker . . February 4, 2014.
  23. Web site: Sabrin says he's running for U.S. Senate . February 13, 2014 . February 13, 2014 . Politicker NJ . Max . Pizarro.
  24. Web site: NJ traffic jams Republican U.S. Senate candidacy . March 31, 2014 . April 1, 2014 . NJ.com.
  25. Web site: Goldberg claims three more lines . April 3, 2014 . April 13, 2014 . SaveJersey . Matt . Rooney.
  26. Web site: Official US Senate Candidates . April 7, 2014 . April 13, 2014 . New Jersey Division of Elections.
  27. Web site: Independent Expenditures in New Jersey Senate Race at the FEC . June 30, 2014 . July 29, 2014 . Federal Election Commission . https://web.archive.org/web/20140729163432/http://www.fec.gov/data/IndependentExpenditure.do?format=html&id=ieNational&election_yr=2014&candidateOfficeState=NJ&candOffice=S . July 29, 2014 . dead . mdy-all .
  28. Web site: N.J. Senator Doherty decides not to run against Booker . January 17, 2014 . NJ.com . January 17, 2014.
  29. Web site: Rampo professor Murray Sabrin jumps into U.S. Senate race . NJ.com . Matt . Friedman . February 13, 2014 . February 13, 2014.
  30. Web site: Turkavage officially announcing Senate bid . February 14, 2014 . February 15, 2014 . Politicker NJ . Matthew . Arco.
  31. Web site: Politicker NJ article . PolitickerNJ . March 31, 2014 . March 31, 2014 . Max . Pizarro.
  32. News: Christie to appoint Jeff Chiesa to Senate . . Aaron Blake . June 6, 2013 . June 6, 2013.
  33. Web site: Source: Ciattarelli in the mix for U.S. Senate . Politicker NJ . July 25, 2014.
  34. Web site: Ciattarelli won't run for U.S. Senate . Politicker NJ . July 25, 2014.
  35. Web site: Source: Daley Ready for U.S. Senate Bid | The Save Jersey Blog . January 19, 2014 . Savejersey.com . January 19, 2014.
  36. News: Seidman . Andrew . January 3, 2014 . Eck will run to challenge Holt for House seat . https://web.archive.org/web/20140104205245/http://articles.philly.com/2014-01-03/news/45837986_1_senate-race-alieta-eck-steve-lonegan . dead . January 4, 2014 . . Philadelphia . January 4, 2014.
  37. Web site: Christie calls for October election to fill Lautenberg's Senate seat : page all . NorthJersey.com . June 5, 2013.
  38. Web site: "mulling" article . PolitickerNJ . March 4, 2014 . March 7, 2014 . Matthew . Arco.
  39. Web site: The race for Senate: Another Republican declines to run against Booker . NJ.com . March 7, 2014 . March 8, 2014 . Matt . Friedman.
  40. Web site: Kyrillos: 'I'm out of the running' for U.S. Senate . Politicker NJ . January 4, 2014.
  41. Web site: N.J. Senator Doherty decides not to run against Booker . NJ.com . February 4, 2014 . February 5, 2014 . Matt . Friedman.
  42. Web site: LaFrankie mulling GOP Senate run . January 28, 2014 . February 7, 2014 . PolitckerNJ . PolitickerNJ Staff . https://web.archive.org/web/20140130074825/http://www.politickernj.com/back_room/lafrankie-mulling-gop-senate-run . January 30, 2014 . dead .
  43. Web site: Chris Christie goes 'all in' with endorsement of South Jersey Rep. LoBiondo . NJ.com . January 6, 2014 . January 17, 2014.
  44. Web site: The political context of the Senator's death . Politicker NJ . April 6, 2013 . June 5, 2013.
  45. Web site: Wealthy businessman with deep roots in Trenton eyeing U.S. Senate run . June 5, 2013 . June 6, 2013 . . Jarrett . Renshaw.
  46. News: Santora . Marc . Geraldo Rivera is Not the King of Rohan . National Journal . June 7, 2013 . June 7, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130609105756/http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/geraldo-rivera-is-not-the-king-of-rohan-20130607 . June 9, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  47. Web site: Former attorney general emerges as contender for Senate seat . Politicker NJ . January 4, 2014.
  48. Web site: Cory Booker raises $1.2 million in the fourth quarter for 2014 senate run . January 17, 2014 . NJ.com . January 18, 2014.
  49. Web site: Bell for Senate at the FEC . Federal Election Commission . June 30, 2014 . July 29, 2014.
  50. Web site: Goldberg for Senate at the FEC . Federal Election Commission . June 30, 2014 . July 29, 2014.
  51. Web site: Sabrin for Senate 2014 at the FEC . Federal Election Commission . June 30, 2014 . July 29, 2014.
  52. Web site: Cory Booker for Senate at the FEC . Federal Election Commission . June 30, 2014 . July 29, 2014.
  53. Web site: Pezzullo for Senator at the FEC . Federal Election Commission . May 14, 2014 . July 29, 2014.
  54. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  55. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 3, 2014 . September 20, 2018.
  56. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  57. Web site: 2014 Elections Map – Battle for the Senate 2014 . Real Clear Politics . September 20, 2018.
  58. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/new_jersey/election_2014_new_jersey_senate Rasmussen Reports
  59. https://web.archive.org/web/20140712145615/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/84a17fbc-ea9e-422d-9dd7-e18d30f9f493.pdf Monmouth University
  60. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  61. https://web.archive.org/web/20140806125724/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2068 Quinnipiac University
  62. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-new-jersey/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  63. http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2014/midterm/ Fairleigh Dickinson University
  64. http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Polling/2014%20Polling/StocktonPollSenateRace2014PressRelease.pdf Richard Stockton College
  65. https://web.archive.org/web/20141006114231/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2089 Quinnipiac University
  66. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  67. https://web.archive.org/web/20141009102738/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/d707d763-b13f-4c11-a4f0-a4602c8c7989.pdf Monmouth University
  68. http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2014/booker-bell1978/ Fairleigh Dickinson University
  69. http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Polling/2014%20Polling/StocktonPollBookerBell2014PressRelease%20(3).pdf Richard Stockton College
  70. https://web.archive.org/web/20141103222735/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/9dedab78-72fe-4e3c-9d91-c28ebdb45b1b.pdf Monmouth University
  71. https://web.archive.org/web/20130224013800/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1853 Quinnipiac University
  72. http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2013/bookermar/ Farleigh Dickinson University
  73. https://web.archive.org/web/20140304011549/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/54f2256c-4408-47e3-a913-4473091eba92.pdf Monmouth University
  74. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts. Daily Kos. 11 August 2020.

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