| Election Name: | 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada |
| Country: | Nevada |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2006 United States Senate election in Nevada |
| Previous Year: | 2006 |
| Next Election: | 2018 United States Senate election in Nevada |
| Next Year: | 2018 |
| Turnout: | 57.1% (voting eligible)[1] |
| Image1: | File:Dean Heller, Official Senate Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg |
| Nominee1: | Dean Heller |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 457,656 |
| Percentage1: | 45.87% |
| Nominee2: | Shelley Berkley |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 446,080 |
| Percentage2: | 44.71% |
| Map Size: | 230px |
| U.S. Senator | |
| Before Election: | Dean Heller |
| Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Dean Heller |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Map Alt: | Nevada Senate Election Results by County, 2012 |
See also: 2012 United States Senate elections The 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and the 2012 presidential election. The primary election was held June 12, 2012.
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Dean Heller, who was appointed to his seat in May 2011 following the resignation of Senator John Ensign, was narrowly elected to his first full term over Representative Shelley Berkley, despite President Barack Obama carrying the state by 6.7% in the concurrent presidential election. As a result, Heller became the only Republican Senate candidate in 2012 to win in a state that was lost by the Republican presidential candidate. With a margin of 1.2%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2012 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in North Dakota., this is the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Nevada.
See main article: John Ensign scandal.
Ensign was reelected to the United States Senate in 2006 against Jack Carter, son of former president Jimmy Carter, by a margin of 55–41%. His reelection campaign was expected to be complicated after it was revealed in 2009 that he had been involved in an extramarital affair with the wife of one of his campaign staffers, allegedly made payments to the woman's family and arranged work for her husband to cover himself.[2] [3]
The Senate Ethics Committee was to investigate Ensign, and his poll numbers declined significantly.[4] [5] There was speculation that he might resign before the election, but he initially said he would run for reelection.[6] On March 7, 2011, Ensign announced that he would not seek reelection,[7] and on April 22, he announced that he would resign effective May 3.[8]
Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval appointed U.S. Representative Dean Heller to fill the vacancy created by Ensign's resignation. Heller took office on May 9, 2011.[9]
Primary
Appointment preference
Primaries with Ensign
| Poll source | John Ensign | Dean Heller | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[17] | October 7–9, 2010 | 400 | ±4.9% | 45% | 37% | –– | 18% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 34% | 52% | –– | 13% |
| Poll source | Shelley Berkley | Byron Georgiou | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[23] | April 21–24, 2011 | 300 | ±5.7% | 65% | 8% | –– | 27% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[24] | July 28–31, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 71% | 6% | –– | 23% |
The first Berkley-Heller debate was on September 27, 2012. They met again in Las Vegas on October 11 and on Jon Ralston's "Face to Face" program on October 15.External links
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Heller (R) | $8,447,489 | $6,510,874 | $1,936,618 | $0 | |
| Shelley Berkley (D) | $8,779,074 | $8,947,424 | $924,918 | $0 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||||
| Shelly Berkley | Contribution | Dean Heller | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMILY's List | $93,049 | Las Vegas Sands | $43,750 | |
| NORPAC | $59,750 | MGM Resorts International | $35,500 | |
| MGM Resorts International | $53,700 | Alliance Resource Partners | $34,500 | |
| DaVita Inc. | $49,300 | Crow Holdings | $30,000 | |
| Diamond Resorts | $44,000 | Elliott Management Corporation | $29,413 | |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | $27,000 | Brady Industries | $25,000 | |
| Caesars Entertainment | $26,000 | Mewbourne Oil Co | $25,000 | |
| Fresenius Medical Care | $24,500 | Wynn Resorts | $22,500 | |
| Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck | $23,650 | Southwest Gas | $21,800 | |
| Station Casinos | $20,200 | Bank of America | $20,500 |
| Shelley Berkley | Contribution | Dean Heller | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $607,407 | Leadership PACs | $379,718 | |
| Pro-Israel | $384,580 | Retired | $300,560 | |
| Health Professionals | $369,954 | Financial Institutions | $217,084 | |
| Women's Issues | $309,817 | Real Estate | $206,362 | |
| Leadership PACs | $292,500 | Casinos/Gambling | $205,832 | |
| Retired | $281,490 | Oil & Gas | $187,500 | |
| Real Estate | $261,779 | Insurance | $182,155 | |
| Financial Institutions | $228,393 | Lobbyists | $159,812 | |
| Casinos/Gambling | $227,350 | Mining | $149,745 | |
| Lobbyists | $175,147 | Health Professionals | $132,450 |
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[28] | November 1, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Inside Elections[29] | November 2, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | November 5, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Real Clear Politics[31] | November 5, 2012 |
Shelly Berkley vs. Dean Heller
| Poll source | Dean Heller (R) | Shelley Berkley (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[32] | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 51% | 38% | — | 16% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[33] | April 21–24, 2011 | 491 | ±4.4% | 47% | 43% | — | 10% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[34] | July 28–31, 2011 | 601 | ±4.0% | 46% | 43% | — | 12% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[35] | October 20–23, 2011 | 500 | ±4.4% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% | ||
| align=left | Cannon Survey Center[36] | December 12–20, 2011 | 600 | ±4.0% | 43% | 44% | — | 6.9% | ||
| align=left | Rasmussen Reports[37] | March 19, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 47% | 40% | 2% | 11% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[38] | March 29 – April 1, 2012 | 553 | ±4.2% | 46% | 43% | — | 12% | ||
| align=left | Rasmussen Reports[39] | April 30, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 51% | 40% | 2% | 8% | ||
| align=left | NBC News/Marist[40] | May 22–24, 2012 | 1,040 | ±3.0% | 46% | 44% | — | 10% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[41] | June 7–10, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | 44% | 43% | — | 13% | ||
| align=left | Magellan Strategies[42] | July 16–17, 2012 | 665 | ±3.8% | 45% | 42% | — | 13% | ||
| align=left | Rasmussen Reports[43] | July 24, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 51% | 42% | 2% | 5% | ||
| align=left | LVRJ/Survey USA[44] | August 16–21, 2012 | 869 | ±3.4% | 44% | 39% | 9% | 8% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[45] | August 23–26, 2012 | 831 | ±3.4% | 47% | 45% | — | 8% | ||
| align=left | Rasmussen Reports[46] | September 18, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 42% | 41% | 4% | 12% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[47] | September 18–20, 2012 | 501 | ±4.4% | 44% | 48% | — | 8% | ||
| align=left | NBC/WSJ/Marist[48] | September 23–25, 2012 | 984 | ±3.1% | 49% | 43% | 1% | 6% | ||
| align=left | We Ask America[49] | September 25–27, 2012 | 1,152 | ±3.1% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% | ||
| align=left | Gravis Marketing[50] | October 3, 2012 | 1,006 | ±3.1% | 53% | 36% | — | 12% | ||
| align=left | Precision Opinion[51] | October 6, 2012 | 1,521 | ±2.5% | 45% | 43% | — | 12% | ||
| align=left | LVRJ/Survey USA[52] | October 3–8, 2012 | 1,222 | ±2.9% | 47% | 39% | 8% | 6% | ||
| align=left | Rasmussen Reports[53] | October 8, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 4% | ||
| align=left | Suffolk[54] | October 6–9, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | 40% | 37% | 7% | 14% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[55] | October 8–10, 2012 | 594 | ±4.0% | 47% | 44% | 4% | 5% | ||
| align=left | LVRJ/Survey USA[56] | October 11–15, 2012 | 806 | ±3.5% | 46% | 40% | 8% | 6% | ||
| align=left | Rasmussen Reports[57] | October 15, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 50% | 43% | 4% | 3% | ||
| align=left | Rasmussen Reports[58] | October 23, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 50% | 45% | 1% | 4% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[59] | October 22–24, 2012 | 636 | ±3.9% | 44% | 44% | 7% | 5% | ||
| align=left | NBC/WSJ/Marist[60] | October 23–24, 2012 | 1,042 | ±2.8% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 6% | ||
| align=left | LVRJ/SurveyUSA[61] | October 23–29, 2012 | 1,212 | ±2.9% | 46% | 40% | 10% | 4% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[62] | November 3–4, 2012 | 750 | ±3.6% | 48% | 46% | 4% | 1% |
| Poll source | Dean Heller (R) | Byron Georgiou (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 491 | ±4.4% | 52% | 28% | –– | 20% | ||
| align=left | Magellan Strategies (R)[63] | June 21–22, 2011 | 720 | ±3.65% | 46% | 33% | –– | 21% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 601 | ±4.0% | 48% | 31% | –– | 20% |
with John Ensign
| Poll source | John Ensign (R) | Shelley Berkley (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[64] | January 11–12, 2010 | 763 | ±3.6% | 49% | 40% | –– | 11% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 42% | 45% | –– | 13% |
| Poll source | John Ensign (R) | Catherine | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling[65] | July 16–18, 2010 | 630 | ±3.9% | 48% | 38% | –– | 14% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 42% | 44% | –– | 14% |
| Poll source | John Ensign (R) | Oscar Goodman (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 11–12, 2010 | 763 | ±3.6% | 43% | 41% | –– | 16% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 35% | 45% | –– | 20% |
| Poll source | John Ensign (R) | Ross Miller (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 11–12, 2010 | 763 | ±3.6% | 47% | 36% | –– | 18% | ||
| align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 932 | ±3.2% | 39% | 40% | –– | 21% |
Heller won 2 of 4 congressional districts.[66]
| District | Berkley | Heller | Representative | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.57% | 31.6% | Dina Titus | |||
| 34.27% | 55.83% | Mark Amodei | |||
| 43.34% | 47.93% | ||||
| 48.26% | 42.38% | Steven Horsford | |||
Official campaign sites