2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska explained

Election Name:2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Country:Nebraska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Next Year:2024
Election Date:November 6, 2018
Turnout:57.32%
Image1:File:Deb Fischer, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Deb Fischer
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:403,151
Percentage1:57.69%
Nominee2:Jane Raybould
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:269,917
Percentage2:38.62%
Map Size:300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Deb Fischer
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Deb Fischer
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska. Incumbent Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected to a second term against Lincoln city councilwoman Jane Raybould and Libertarian candidate Jim Schultz.

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on May 15, 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14] October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[15] November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] November 5, 2018
Fox News[17] July 9, 2018
CNN[18] July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[19] November 5, 2018

Debates

Host
network/sponsors! rowspan="2"
DateLink(s)Participants
Jane
Raybould (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
KMTV-TVAugust 27, 2018[20] InvitedInvited

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Deb
Fischer (R)
Jane
Raybould (D)
Undecided
DFM Research[21] October 23–27, 2018683± 3.8% align=center54%39%7%
Grassroots Targeting (R)[22] Late June 20181,000± 3.1% align=center63%28%
Meeting Street Research (R-Fischer)[23] January 24–28, 2018500 align=center51%34%
Public Policy Polling (D-Raybould)[24] November 10–12, 20171,190± 2.8% align=center42%31%27%

Results

By county

From Secretary of State of Nebraska[25]

CountyDeb Fischer
Republican
Jane Raybould
Democratic
Jim Schultz
Libertarian
Write-inTotal
votes
%%%%
Adams63.44%6,48732.61%3,3343.93%4020.02%210,225
Antelope81.56%2,06115.67%3962.65%670.12%32,527
Arthur87.07%20210.34%242.59%60.00%0232
Banner83.76%26312.42%393.82%120.00%0314
Blaine84.79%22312.93%342.28%60.00%0263
Boone76.56%1,75719.91%4573.22%740.31%72,295
Box Butte72.51%2,63223.00%8354.41%1600.08%33,630
Boyd83.11%79713.35%1283.55%340.00%0959
Brown83.25%1,15313.72%1903.03%420.00%01,385
Buffalo66.86%10,93929.12%4,7653.97%6500.04%716,361
Burt67.93%1,99528.46%8363.54%1040.07%22,937
Butler71.00%2,47025.04%8713.94%1370.03%13,479
Cass63.97%6,78731.98%3,3933.99%4230.06%610,609
Cedar81.56%2,86615.28%5373.16%1110.00%03,514
Chase85.73%1,34011.77%1842.43%380.06%11,563
Cherry80.18%1,91313.16%3146.08%1450.59%142,386
Cheyenne78.76%2,56617.77%5793.41%1110.06%23,258
Clay73.87%1,97922.10%5924.03%1080.00%02,679
Colfax69.27%1,73127.73%6933.00%750.00%02,499
Cuming79.45%2,67217.96%6042.56%860.03%13,363
Custer81.78%3,79714.80%6873.40%1580.02%14,643
Dakota59.02%2,67737.28%1,6913.62%1640.09%44,536
Dawes68.79%2,33426.94%9144.19%1420.09%33,393
Dawson69.77%4,36326.50%1,6573.63%2270.10%66,253
Deuel80.61%57815.20%1094.18%300.00%0717
Dixon74.38%1,65521.93%4883.64%810.04%12,225
Dodge64.90%7,82731.71%3,8243.36%4050.03%412,060
Douglas46.30%94,77750.35%103,0703.29%6,7270.06%133204,707
Dundy84.07%64912.82%992.98%230.13%1772
Fillmore67.99%1,71827.31%6904.67%1180.04%12,527
Franklin77.39%1,04418.90%2553.71%500.00%01,349
Frontier79.90%83116.63%1733.46%360.00%01,040
Furnas80.36%1,71915.61%3344.02%860.00%02,139
Gage58.74%4,89636.28%3,0244.91%4090.07%68,335
Garden81.52%81613.89%1394.40%440.20%21,001
Garfield83.48%66714.14%1132.25%180.13%1799
Gosper79.69%66717.56%1472.75%230.00%0837
Grant93.69%2824.65%141.66%50.00%0301
Greeley73.57%73223.92%2382.51%250.00%0995
Hall62.45%10,48333.50%5,6243.96%6650.09%1516,787
Hamilton74.88%3,07621.81%8963.24%1330.07%34,108
Harlan77.11%1,14919.26%2873.49%520.13%21,490
Hayes89.06%3508.14%322.54%100.25%1393
Hitchcock82.48%89014.27%1543.24%350.00%01,079
Holt77.75%3,22617.47%7254.60%1910.17%74,149
Hooker82.96%25815.76%490.96%30.32%1311
Howard70.20%1,69625.25%6104.51%1090.04%12,416
Jefferson64.22%1,91331.02%9244.63%1380.13%42,979
Johnson62.06%1,10132.75%5815.07%900.11%21,774
Kearney74.22%1,95222.51%5923.23%850.04%12,630
Keith79.19%2,54217.66%5673.12%1000.03%13,210
Keya Paha87.05%33610.88%422.07%80.00%0386
Kimball81.30%1,12214.64%2023.99%550.07%11,380
Knox78.37%2,81218.65%6692.98%1070.00%03,588
Lancaster42.22%49,44953.94%63,1753.77%4,4120.08%95117,131
Lincoln71.99%8,99923.09%2,8864.85%6060.07%912,500
Logan90.80%3066.82%232.37%80.00%0337
Loup80.46%24716.61%512.93%90.00%0307
Madison75.61%7,94921.27%2,2363.07%3230.05%510,513
McPherson87.02%2288.40%224.58%120.00%0262
Merrick76.21%2,56319.24%6474.52%1520.03%13,363
Morrill80.33%1,69914.56%3085.06%1070.05%12,115
Nance71.54%88525.46%3152.99%370.00%01,237
Nemaha68.48%1,78827.84%7273.68%960.00%02,611
Nuckolls75.40%1,32120.83%3653.77%660.00%01,752
Otoe64.62%4,09831.17%1,9774.10%2600.11%76,342
Pawnee67.13%77428.79%3324.08%470.00%01,153
Perkins82.60%1,01114.71%1802.70%330.00%01,224
Phelps79.50%3,06817.39%6713.01%1160.10%43,859
Pierce84.59%2,33912.33%3413.04%840.04%12,765
Platte75.85%8,37221.23%2,3432.87%3170.05%511,037
Polk75.20%1,57421.40%4483.39%710.00%02,093
Red Willow78.49%3,05117.91%6963.60%1400.00%03,887
Richardson69.29%2,13727.82%8582.82%870.06%23,084
Rock85.56%56911.88%792.56%170.00%0665
Saline53.46%2,25541.06%1,7325.43%2290.05%24,218
Sarpy58.08%39,30637.99%25,7063.86%2,6100.08%5167,673
Saunders68.06%6,47927.99%2,6643.90%3710.05%59,519
Scotts Bluff68.84%7,39826.87%2,8874.19%4500.10%1110,746
Seward65.21%4,60730.77%2,1743.99%2820.03%27,065
Sheridan81.98%1,67013.50%2754.47%910.05%12,037
Sherman67.67%87328.68%3703.57%460.08%11,290
Sioux83.24%44712.85%693.91%210.00%0537
Stanton80.36%1,81716.05%3633.58%810.00%02,261
Thayer71.89%1,60624.13%5393.98%890.00%02,234
Thomas86.09%29110.65%363.25%110.00%0338
Thurston53.03%97044.67%8172.13%390.16%31,829
Valley77.20%1,38819.97%3592.78%500.06%11,798
Washington70.28%6,46226.52%2,4383.17%2910.03%39,194
Wayne74.21%2,38822.50%7243.26%1050.03%13,218
Webster73.09%99723.31%3183.59%490.00%01,364
Wheeler82.85%34314.49%602.66%110.00%0414
York71.41%3,65925.00%1,2813.51%1800.08%45,124

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Fischer won all 3 congressional districts.[26]

DistrictFischerRaybouldRepresentative
55%42%Jeff Fortenberry
49%48%Don Bacon
72%24%Adrian Smith

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2018 - Ballotpedia. March 3, 2017. en-US. April 21, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170421135144/https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Nebraska,_2018. live.
  2. Web site: Fresh off 2016 losses, Democrats target 2018 Senate races. Rindels, Michelle. McClatchy DC. November 25, 2016. November 25, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20161126131427/http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/national-politics/article116996078.html. November 26, 2016. dead.
  3. Web site: Don Walton: Deb Fischer embarks on re-election bid. Walton, Don. Lincoln Journal Star. June 18, 2017. June 18, 2017. June 22, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170622141401/http://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/don-walton-deb-fischer-embarks-on-re-election-bid/article_8a27cc5c-c9b8-5c53-b45c-add84e2267d9.html. live.
  4. Web site: Retired professor will challenge Fischer in GOP primary. Don. Walton. JournalStar.com. 22 January 2018 . 2021-10-13. 2020-09-18. https://web.archive.org/web/20200918154055/https://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/federal-politics/retired-professor-will-challenge-fischer-in-gop-primary/article_448dbce9-3730-5a23-a775-658ce9d51ff1.html. live.
  5. Web site: Sen. Fischer's Latest Rival Asking a Lot . 2018-01-24 . 2018-01-25 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180125134425/http://kwbe.com/local-news/sen-fischers-latest-rival-asking-a-lot/ . live .
  6. Web site: Deb Fischer enters election year with $2.4 million; challenger Jane Raybould has $200,000 | State and Regional News | omaha.com. 9 February 2018 . 2018-02-13. 2018-02-09. https://web.archive.org/web/20180209000329/http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/deb-fischer-enters-election-year-with-million-challenger-jane-raybould/article_a429a5d4-7e6f-5dcb-8be1-ae93002e26c3.html. live.
  7. Web site: Several Nebraska incumbents are running unopposed, but Deb Fischer faces 10 challengers. Roseann Moring and Erin Duffy World-Herald staff. writers. Omaha World-Herald. March 2018 . 2021-10-13. 2021-10-13. https://web.archive.org/web/20211013235938/https://omaha.com/state-and-regional/several-nebraska-incumbents-are-running-unopposed-but-deb-fischer-faces-10-challengers/article_1be555cf-2105-5dda-a4ea-ea8c5b99be95.html. live.
  8. Web site: Fischer faces Republican challenge from the right. Lincoln Journal Star. Walton. Don. November 21, 2017. November 29, 2017. December 1, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171201080833/http://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/federal-politics/fischer-faces-republican-challenge-from-the-right/article_7fd3f0a5-af80-53d6-85e2-b9ee5a3e0617.html. live.
  9. Web site: Bannon's Bark Is Worse Than His Bite. National Journal. Kraushaar. Josh. October 17, 2017. October 18, 2017. October 19, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171019004056/https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/659465?unlock=MJN1YZ7DMG12SFBL. live.
  10. Web site: All Quiet on the Fischer Front as Money Rolls In. News Channel Nebraska. Jordan. Joe. October 20, 2017. October 25, 2017. October 26, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171026002625/http://kwbe.com/local-news/all-quiet-on-the-fischer-front/. live.
  11. Web site: Don Stenberg, Shane Osborn endorse Deb Fischer in U.S. Senate race. Omaha World-Herald. Moring. Roseann. November 28, 2017. November 29, 2017. September 13, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200913090540/https://omaha.com/news/nebraska/don-stenberg-shane-osborn-endorse-deb-fischer-in-u-s/article_3f217f02-d49c-11e7-835a-f3b491ada58e.html. live.
  12. Web site: Jane Raybould will challenge Sen. Deb Fischer. Lincoln Journal Star. Walton. Don. August 25, 2017. August 25, 2017. August 25, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170825091356/http://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/federal-politics/jane-raybould-will-challenge-sen-deb-fischer/article_1dcb035a-e91f-5c9d-9960-3125a560cb37.html. live.
  13. Web site: MARVIN, LARRY - Candidate overview. FEC.gov. 2017-08-19. 2017-08-19. https://web.archive.org/web/20170819063008/https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S8NE00141/. live.
  14. Web site: 2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018. The Cook Political Report. March 13, 2021. February 5, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210205112138/https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/187540. live.
  15. Web site: 2018 Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. March 13, 2021. September 12, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210912235626/https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2018-senate-ratings-november-1-2018. live.
  16. Web site: 2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings. Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 11, 2017. October 12, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171012072206/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-senate/. live.
  17. Web site: 2018 Senate Power Rankings. . July 10, 2018. July 4, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180704201036/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/midterms-2018.html. live.
  18. Web site: Key Races: Senate. July 15, 2018. June 14, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180614221216/https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/key-races/senate. live.
  19. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2018. July 15, 2018. July 9, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180709194218/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map.html. live.
  20. Web site: Nebraska Senate Debate | C-SPAN.org. www.c-span.org. 2021-10-13. 2021-01-27. https://web.archive.org/web/20210127234521/https://www.c-span.org/video/?450392-1%2Fnebraska-senate-debate. live.
  21. http://www.dfmresearch.com/uploads/Nebraska_STATEWIDE_Survey__2018_Rail.pdf DFM Research
  22. https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-score/2018/07/12/house-democrats-million-dollar-fundraising-club-276638 Grassroots Targeting (R)
  23. https://www.rollcall.com/news/gonzales/vulnerable-deb-fischer-nebraska Meeting Street Research (R-Fischer)
  24. https://www.scribd.com/document/364620041/NE-Sen-PPP-D-for-Jane-Raybould-Nov-2017 Public Policy Polling (D-Raybould)
  25. Web site: Archived copy . 2021-08-17 . 2021-03-10 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210310110845/https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/sos.nebraska.gov/files/doc/elections/2018/2018-general-election-official-results.pdf . live .
  26. Web site: DRA 2020 . 2024-08-19 . Daves Redistricting.