2014 United States Senate election in Nebraska explained

Election Name:2014 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Country:Nebraska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Next Year:2020
Nominee1:Ben Sasse
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:347,636
Percentage1:64.34%
Nominee2:David Domina
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:170,127
Percentage2:31.49%
Map Size:300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Mike Johanns
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Ben Sasse
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Johanns did not run for re-election to a second term. Republican nominee Ben Sasse defeated Democratic nominee David Domina to succeed him.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceSid
Dinsdale
Clifton
Johnson
Bart
McLeay
Shane
Osborn
Ben
Sasse
OtherUndecided
align=left Gravis Marketing[19] September 6–7, 20131,842± 2.2%7%2%41%5%45%
align=left Public Opinion Strategies^[20] October 27–28, 2013400± 4.9%7%1%39%7%46%
align=left Harper Polling[21] February 3–4, 2014565± 4%13.1%4.3%30.4%29%23.2%
align=left The Polling CompanyFebruary 25–28, 2014400± 4.9%9%1%2%35%24%30%
align=left NSON Opinion Strategy[22] April 16–20, 2014400± 5%13%27%29%28%
align=left Not disclosed April 26–28, 2014507± ?22%3%5%25%31%14%
align=left Strategic National[24] May 7–8, 2014500± 4.9%23%3%8%20%34%11.5%
align=left Magellan Strategies[25] May 8, 2014525± 4.28%24%2%6%20%38%3%7%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[42] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[43] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[44] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[45] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceBen
Sasse (R)
David
Domina (D)
OtherUndecided
align=left Rasmussen Reports[46] April 7–8, 2014750± 4%52%27%5%16%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsMay 14–15, 2014750± 4%51%34%5%10%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[47] July 5–24, 2014858± 4.4%56%34%1%9%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] August 18 – September 2, 2014987± 4%56%30%1%13%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[49] September 20 – October 1, 2014721± 4%58%31%0%11%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 2014681± 5%59%30%0%11%

Results

By county

From Secretary of State of Nebraska[50]

CountyBen SasseRepublicanDave DominaDemocraticJim Jenkins
Independent
Todd Watson
Independent
Write-inTotal
votes
%%%%%
Adams68.66%5,90626.99%2,3222.55%2191.77%1520.03%38,602
Antelope72.58%1,84524.86%6321.85%470.71%180.00%02,542
Arthur80.00%14416.11%292.78%51.11%20.00%0180
Banner86.46%24910.76%311.39%41.39%40.00%0288
Blaine72.41%14711.82%2415.27%310.49%10.00%0203
Boone74.51%1,64321.13%4663.63%800.68%150.05%12,205
Box Butte68.03%2,06027.61%8362.84%861.52%460.00%03,028
Boyd75.11%71221.73%2061.79%171.37%130.00%0948
Brown78.42%88315.63%1764.35%491.60%180.00%01126
Buffalo74.55%9,95316.24%2,1687.97%1,0641.20%1600.04%513,350
Burt64.03%1,81632.93%9342.05%580.95%270.04%12,836
Butler76.50%2,37719.34%6012.48%771.64%510.03%13,107
Cass70.57%6,06225.72%2,2092.37%2041.27%1090.07%68,590
Cedar62.76%1,91634.72%1,0601.21%371.31%400.00%03,053
Chase85.95%1,2059.06%1273.28%461.71%240.00%01,402
Cherry79.36%1,76914.63%3264.44%991.35%300.22%52,229
Cheyenne78.71%2,24117.42%4962.46%701.40%400.00%02,847
Clay77.89%1,68717.54%3802.68%581.85%400.05%12,166
Colfax71.25%1,40525.66%5061.93%381.12%220.05%11,972
Cuming74.32%2,14423.12%6671.66%480.90%260.00%02,885
Custer59.36%2,5369.83%42029.38%1,2551.43%610.00%04,272
Dakota59.20%2,20836.38%1,3572.71%1011.72%640.00%03,730
Dawes70.66%1,91224.46%6622.85%772.03%550.00%02,706
Dawson75.98%4,22016.96%9425.69%3161.33%740.04%25,554
Deuel80.43%55513.04%904.35%302.17%150.00%0690
Dixon66.29%1,28030.92%5971.55%301.19%230.05%11,931
Dodge69.81%7,32427.07%2,8402.06%2160.98%1030.09%910,492
Douglas56.42%81,22640.92%58,9171.83%2,6280.70%1,0080.14%195143,974
Dundy85.40%5919.97%692.60%182.02%140.00%0692
Fillmore70.84%1,63525.48%5882.30%531.39%320.00%02,308
Franklin79.82%1,08413.77%1875.08%691.33%180.00%01,358
Frontier83.25%80512.00%1163.21%311.55%150.00%0967
Furnas80.72%1,34412.85%2142.58%433.78%630.06%11,665
Gage64.10%4,70531.74%2,3302.96%2171.17%860.03%27,340
Garden80.25%50813.27%845.21%331.26%80.00%0633
Garfield76.44%55817.12%1254.52%331.92%140.00%0730
Gosper72.98%54314.92%1119.01%673.09%230.00%0744
Grant72.63%19919.34%536.57%181.46%40.00%0274
Greeley67.80%55628.05%2303.41%280.73%60.00%0820
Hall66.18%9,21429.14%4,0573.11%4331.46%2030.11%1513,922
Hamilton78.21%2,84717.09%6223.05%1111.65%600.00%03,640
Harlan79.91%1,07414.81%1993.05%412.23%300.00%01,344
Hayes87.12%3997.21%334.59%210.87%40.22%1458
Hitchcock83.43%97712.13%1422.99%351.45%170.00%01171
Holt71.93%2,67524.79%9221.77%661.43%530.08%33,719
Hooker72.11%21214.97%4411.22%331.70%50.00%0294
Howard69.51%1,45226.14%5462.44%511.91%400.00%02,089
Jefferson70.65%1,82725.87%6692.44%631.04%270.00%02,586
Johnson64.71%1,08231.76%5311.85%311.50%250.18%31,672
Kearney78.71%2,04413.90%3616.28%1631.00%260.12%32,597
Keith79.63%2,08313.80%3615.08%1331.45%380.04%12,616
Keya Paha82.89%31513.95%531.32%51.84%70.00%0380
Kimball80.53%97214.08%1703.07%372.32%280.00%01207
Knox66.14%2,10029.07%9233.15%1001.57%500.06%23,175
Lancaster51.68%44,46243.31%37,2653.34%2,8701.57%1,3500.10%8686,033
Lincoln72.46%7,75022.96%2,4563.43%3671.08%1160.06%610,695
Logan81.92%29011.30%405.93%210.85%30.00%0354
Loup72.56%23016.40%5210.41%330.63%20.00%0317
Madison69.01%6,47628.09%2,6361.91%1790.95%890.04%49,384
McPherson76.61%19016.13%404.44%112.82%70.00%0248
Merrick76.27%2,21119.08%5533.21%931.45%420.00%02,899
Morrill81.18%1,25515.27%2362.33%361.03%160.19%31,546
Nance69.44%81826.99%3182.38%281.02%120.17%21178
Nemaha72.11%1,73023.09%5543.08%741.71%410.00%02,399
Nuckolls76.95%1,17518.21%2783.14%481.70%260.00%01,527
Otoe70.78%3,82825.37%1,3722.51%1361.26%680.07%45,408
Pawnee72.10%78825.25%2761.19%131.46%160.00%01093
Perkins82.73%86212.28%1284.32%450.58%60.10%11042
Phelps80.43%2,72513.96%4734.34%1471.24%420.03%13,388
Pierce78.19%1,84318.88%4451.91%451.02%240.00%02,357
Platte78.38%7,28218.57%1,7252.13%1980.90%840.02%29,291
Polk78.24%1,38417.98%3182.94%520.79%140.06%11,769
Red Willow83.36%2,94112.53%4422.78%981.30%460.03%13,528
Richardson73.71%1,90122.92%5911.78%461.47%380.12%32,579
Rock78.48%49616.46%1043.64%231.42%90.00%0632
Saline59.35%2,18436.88%1,3572.72%1001.03%380.03%13,680
Sarpy67.73%30,28129.44%13,1631.86%8310.86%3840.11%4944,708
Saunders70.85%5,17425.62%1,8712.27%1661.19%870.07%57,303
Scotts Bluff73.19%7,10622.71%2,2052.90%2821.15%1120.04%49,709
Seward70.32%3,86024.87%1,3653.52%1931.24%680.05%35,489
Sheridan83.99%1,45311.97%2072.72%471.33%230.00%01,730
Sherman68.66%89622.61%2957.51%981.23%160.00%01305
Sioux83.46%44413.72%731.50%81.32%70.00%0532
Stanton72.23%1,25624.55%4271.90%331.27%220.06%11,739
Thayer74.77%1,47621.33%4212.68%531.22%240.00%01,974
Thomas78.59%24614.70%465.11%161.60%50.00%0313
Thurston50.21%71346.69%6631.83%261.27%180.00%01420
Valley74.24%1,21621.12%3463.66%600.98%160.00%01,638
Washington73.91%5,10523.35%1,6131.85%1280.83%570.06%46,907
Wayne64.47%1,72932.18%8631.79%481.49%400.07%22,682
Webster73.66%94823.23%2991.40%181.71%220.00%01287
Wheeler75.74%30918.63%763.92%161.47%60.25%1408
York74.43%3,37717.06%7745.71%2592.80%1270.00%04,537

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Omaha banker Sid Dinsdale enters the U.S. Senate race . September 16, 2013 . September 17, 2013 . . Robynn . Tysver . https://archive.today/20130917160136/http://www.omaha.com/article/20130916/NEWS/130918994/1685 . September 17, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  2. Web site: New Senate candidate voices tea party values . December 11, 2013 . December 13, 2013 . . Don . Walton.
  3. Web site: Attorney Bart McLeay to run for Nebraska U.S. Senate seat . July 1, 2013 . July 8, 2013 . Omaha World-Herald . Robynn . Tysver . https://archive.today/20130708154214/http://www.omaha.com/article/20130701/NEWS/707029977/1694 . July 8, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  4. Web site: Shane Osborn enters GOP Senate race . June 2, 2013 . June 2, 2013 . . Don . Walton.
  5. Web site: University president Sasse files for US Senate . July 23, 2013 . July 24, 2013 . SF Gate . Margery A. . Beck.
  6. Web site: Friends: I have decided not to be a candidate for Senate in 2014... . July 1, 2013 . October 3, 2013 . Facebook . Patrick . Borchers.
  7. Web site: Thank you Patrick Borchers for the kind comments on my campaign... . August 13, 2013 . October 3, 2013 . Facebook . Shane . Osborn.
  8. Web site: Nebraska: Bruning Won't Seek Open Senate Seat . March 4, 2013 . March 4, 2013 . . Kyle . Trygstad.
  9. Web site: Foley pledges fiscally conservative governorship . September 5, 2013 . September 5, 2013 . Lincoln Journal Star . Don . Walton.
  10. Web site: Fortenberry will not seek Senate seat . May 29, 2013 . May 29, 2013 . . Don . Walton.
  11. Web site: Gov. Heineman opts against U.S. Senate run in '14 . May 25, 2013 . May 30, 2013 . . Martha . Stoddard . Joe . Duggan . Joseph . Morton.
  12. Web site: Surprises in governor's race: Herbster out; McCoy in . August 24, 2013 . August 27, 2013 . . Robynn . Tysver.
  13. Web site: State Sen. Charlie Janssen to run for governor; Clare won't run . February 18, 2013 . February 18, 2013 . . David . Hendee . https://web.archive.org/web/20130220235219/http://www.omaha.com/article/20130218/NEWS/130219525/1685#state-sen-charlie-janssen-to-run-for-governor-clare-won-t-run . February 20, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  14. Web site: Nebraska Sen. Mike Johanns to retire . February 18, 2013 . February 18, 2013 . . Manu . Raju . Patrick . Reis.
  15. Web site: State Sen. Bob Krist opts to not run for higher office . July 23, 2013 . July 24, 2013 . . Paul . Hammel.
  16. Web site: Ricketts Running For Governor . September 8, 2013 . September 9, 2013 . . https://web.archive.org/web/20141023035242/http://www.wowt.com/news/headlines/Ricketts-Running-For-Governor-222885861.html?ref=861 . October 23, 2014 . dead . mdy-all .
  17. Web site: Democrats Continue to Fight Nebraska GOP's Grasp . October 16, 2013 . October 17, 2013 . . Anna . Giaritelli.
  18. Web site: Nebraska treasurer Stenberg won't run for Senate; door 'slightly' open for governor run . October 1, 2013 . October 13, 2013 . . Paul . Hammel.
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20130914045907/http://www.sbwire.com/press-releases/early-poll-numbers-nebraska-us-senate-primary-326002.htm Gravis Marketing
  20. https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/188887-internal-poll-shows-osborn-leading-nebraska-senate-gop-primary/ Public Opinion Strategies^
  21. https://web.archive.org/web/20140222022339/http://www.conservativeintel.com/24-conservative-intel-poll-of-nesen/ Harper Polling
  22. https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/204954-poll-nebraska-senate-gop-primary-a-dead-heat/ NSON Opinion Strategy
  23. http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/376784/new-poll-sasse-leads-tough-three-way-fight-nebraska-jim-geraghty Not disclosed*
  24. http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/376784/new-poll-sasse-leads-tough-three-way-fight-nebraska-jim-geraghty Strategic National
  25. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_NE_050814.pdf Magellan Strategies
  26. https://web.archive.org/web/20130609100222/http://conservativeintel.com/new-conservative-intel-poll-of-nebraska-senate-race/ Harper Polling
  27. Web site: Omaha attorney David Domina first Democrat in Nebraska U.S. Senate race . January 19, 2014 . January 19, 2014 . . Joe . Duggan . http://webarchive.loc.gov/all/20140214175244/http%3A//www.omaha.com/article/20140119/NEWS/140118587 . February 14, 2014 . dead . mdy-all .
  28. Web site: Marvin, Fremont Democrat, will seek U.S. Senate seat . October 9, 2013 . February 4, 2014 . Fremont Tribune . Stephen . Rickerl.
  29. Web site: Ashford running for Senate? Nope. . October 28, 2013 . October 28, 2013 . Nebraska Watchdog . Deena . Winter.
  30. Web site: Beutler doesn't rule out a run for governor, U.S. Senate . February 19, 2013 . February 21, 2013 . Nebraska Watchdog . Deena . Winter.
  31. Web site: Democrat Annette Dubas' bid for governor stirs excitement about the race in both parties . August 9, 2013 . August 9, 2013 . . Robynn . Tysver.
  32. Web site: Is Mike Fahey Being Courted to Run for U.S. Senate? . May 16, 2013 . July 24, 2013 . Political Insiders Report.
  33. Web site: Hassebrook will enter 2014 governor's race . June 2, 2013 . June 2, 2013 . . Don . Walton.
  34. Web site: Twitter / MortonOWH: Bob Kerrey on Johanns: "I like . Twitter.com . February 18, 2013 . July 25, 2014.
  35. Web site: Video special: NE Dems still looking for Senate hopeful as Lathrop says its gov or bust . June 20, 2013 . October 12, 2013 . Nebraska Watchdog . Joe . Jordan.
  36. Web site: Local attorney to run for Legislature . June 12, 2013 . August 27, 2013 . . Chabella . Guzman.
  37. Web site: Democrats see uphill battle for federal seat . September 1, 2013 . October 12, 2013 . . Robynn . Tysver.
  38. Web site: Buhrdorf turns in petitions to run for Senate . August 4, 2014 . September 7, 2014 . JournalStar.com.
  39. Web site: Nebraska rancher, restaurateur Jim Jenkins to run for US Senate . October 23, 2013 . November 1, 2013 . Washington Examiner.
  40. Moring, Roseann. "Independent Senate candidate Jim Jenkins makes November ballot". Omaha World-Herald. July 11, 2014. Retrieved August 2, 2014.
  41. Web site: 2014 Shaping Up As A Chaotic Election Year In Nebraska . Tobias . Mike . September 19, 2013 . December 13, 2013 . NET News . November 29, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20201129002304/http://netnebraska.org/article/news/2014-shaping-chaotic-election-year-nebraska . dead .
  42. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  43. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 20, 2018.
  44. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  45. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 . Real Clear Politics . September 20, 2018.
  46. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/nebraska/election_2014_nebraska_senate Rasmussen Reports
  47. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  48. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-nebraska/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  49. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  50. https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/sos.nebraska.gov/files/doc/elections/2014/2014-General-Canvass-Recount-Final.pdf 2014 General Canvass Recount