2006 United States Senate election in Minnesota explained

Election Name:2006 United States Senate election in Minnesota
Country:Minnesota
Flag Year:1983
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States Senate election in Minnesota
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 7, 2006
Image1:Amy Klobuchar.jpg
Nominee1:Amy Klobuchar
Party1:Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
Popular Vote1:1,278,849
Percentage1:58.06%
Nominee2:Mark Kennedy
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:835,653
Percentage2:37.94%
Map Size:270 px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Mark Dayton
Before Party:Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
After Election:Amy Klobuchar
After Party:Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party

The 2006 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Senator Mark Dayton announced in February 2005 that he would retire instead of seeking a second term. Fellow Democrat Amy Klobuchar won the open seat by 20.2 percentage points. Primary elections took place on September 12, 2006.

DFL primary

Candidates

Withdrew

Campaign

Klobuchar gained the early endorsement of the majority of DFL state legislators in Minnesota. A poll taken of DFL state delegates showed Klobuchar beating her then closest opponent, Patty Wetterling, 66% to 15%. As of June 30, 2005, Klobuchar had more cash on hand than any other candidate, nearly $1,100,000.

Klobuchar was endorsed by EMILY's List on September 29, 2005. On January 20, 2006, Wetterling dropped out of the race and endorsed Klobuchar.[1]

Former Senate candidate and prominent lawyer Mike Ciresi, who was widely seen as the only other serious potential DFL candidate, indicated on February 7, 2006, that he would not enter the race. That removal of her most significant potential competitor for the DFL nomination was viewed as an important boost for Klobuchar.[2]

The only other serious candidate for the DFL endorsement was veterinarian Ford Bell. Bell, a staunch liberal, ran on a platform of implementing single-payer healthcare and immediate withdrawal from Iraq. Klobuchar won the official DFL endorsement on June 9, 2006.[3] Bell dropped out of the race on July 10, citing inability to compete financially, and also endorsed Klobuchar.[4]

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

Kennedy had faced potential challenges from former U.S. Senator Rod Grams, as well as U.S. Representative Gil Gutknecht, but both men were persuaded by national GOP leaders to run for the House instead. (Grams lost to Representative Jim Oberstar, while Gutknecht lost his reelection bid to Tim Walz.)

Results

Independence primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Kennedy's routine support of President George W. Bush in House votes appeared to be a central issue for Democrats in the campaign. In June 2006, allegations were made that many references to and photos of Bush had been removed from Kennedy's official U.S. House website. In rebuttal, Republicans said that there were 72 references to Bush on the website and that the changes noted by critics had been made some time ago, as part of the normal updating process.[5] Ben Powers was the only ballot-qualified candidate not invited to appear on Minnesota Public Television's Almanac program, despite Powers's offer to fill the space left unfilled by Klobuchar's decision not to appear with Kennedy and Fitzgerald on the program. Green candidate Michael Cavlan appeared on the program twice during the campaign as a special guest.

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[6] November 6, 2006
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] November 6, 2006
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[8] November 6, 2006
align=left Real Clear Politics[9] November 6, 2006

Polling

After the release of the Star Tribune poll[10] on September 17, 2006, showing Klobuchar ahead by 24%, Kennedy's campaign issued a statement[11] from Joe Pally, the campaign's communications director. He claimed that the margin was exaggerated because of bias by the Star Tribune and that the poll was "clearly more about discouraging Kennedy supporters than on reflecting the true status of one of the most closely contested Senate races in the country."[12] This press release came in the wake of news that the Republican party was scaling back funding for Kennedy's election campaign to shore up campaigns in states seen as winnable. Kennedy's campaign frequently accused the Star Tribune of bias in favor of Klobuchar, whose father was an editorial columnist and sportswriter for the paper until his retirement. A subsequent poll by Rasmussen Reports showed a similar lead for Klobuchar, and the St. Paul Pioneer Press also showed Klobuchar with a 15% lead in September. Klobuchar won the November 7 election by more than 20 percentage points.

SourceDateKlobuchar (DFL)Kennedy (R)Fitzgerald (IPM)
Rasmussen[13] December 23, 200548%41%
Rasmussen[14] January 28, 200643%42%
Rasmussen[15] February 28, 200645%42%
Zogby/WSJ[16] March 31, 200649%41%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Poll[17] May 9, 200650%42%
Rasmussen[18] May 10, 200645%43%
Zogby/WSJJune 21, 200649%41%
Rasmussen[19] June 30, 200647%44%
Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[20] July 16, 200650%31%
Zogby/WSJJuly 24, 200649%43%
Bennett, Petts, and Blumenthal (D)[21] July 24, 200648%30%
SurveyUSA[22] July 24, 200647%42%8%
Rasmussen[23] August 7, 200650%38%5%
Zogby/WSJ[24] August 28, 200650%42%
Rasmussen[25] August 28, 200647%40%8%
Gallup[26] September 5, 200650%40%
Zogby/WSJSeptember 11, 200649%40%
Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[27] September 17, 200656%32%3%
University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute[28] September 21, 200652%36%7%
Minnesota Public Radio/Pioneer Press/Mason-Dixon[29] September 25, 200652%37%1%
SurveyUSA[30] September 28, 200651%43%2%
Rasmussen[31] October 4, 200653%36%6%
Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[32] October 15, 200655%34%3%
Zogby/WSJ[33] October 19, 200650%43%
SurveyUSA[34] October 24, 200655%39%3%
Rasmussen[35] October 25, 200654%39%
University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute[36] November 1, 200655%33%3%
Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[37] November 4, 200654%34%4%
SurveyUSA[38] November 6, 200656%40%2%

Results

The race was, as expected, not close, with Klobuchar winning decisively. She did well in major cities, such as Minneapolis and St. Paul, while Kennedy did well only in smaller, less populated counties. The turnout was high, although not unusual for Minnesota, one of the highest voter turnout states. Official turnout came in at 70.64%.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: The latest from the StarTribune. https://web.archive.org/web/20071022160018/http://www.startribune.com/587/story/193575.html. October 22, 2007. Star Tribune.
  2. Web site: The Fix -- Chris Cillizza's Politics Blog on washingtonpost.com . blog.washingtonpost.com . 11 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20060224200139/http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2006/02/the_friday_senate_line.html . 24 February 2006 . dead.
  3. Web site: Klobuchar wins DFL Senate endorsement. MPR News. Zdechlik. Mark. Bakst. Brian. Associated Press. June 9, 2006. April 30, 2021.
  4. Web site: Ford Bell drops out of U.S. Senate race. MPR News. Scheck. Tom. July 11, 2006. April 30, 2021.
  5. http://www.startribune.com/587/story/519592.html The latest from the StarTribune
  6. Web site: 2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006 . The Cook Political Report . https://web.archive.org/web/20080605093937/https://cookpolitical.com/races/report_pdfs/2006_sen_ratings_nov6.pdf . September 30, 2021. June 5, 2008 .
  7. Web site: Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 6, 2006 . June 25, 2021.
  8. Web site: 2006 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . June 25, 2021.
  9. Web site: Election 2006 . Real Clear Politics . June 25, 2021.
  10. https://web.archive.org/web/20060920200704/http://www.startribune.com/587/story/683216.html Minnesota Poll
  11. https://web.archive.org/web/20061004184241/http://markkennedy06.com/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=17992 Mark Kennedy for US Senate
  12. Web site: Mark Kennedy for Senate. https://web.archive.org/web/20061004184241/http://markkennedy06.com/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=17992. dead. October 4, 2006.
  13. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2005/Minnesota%20Senate.htm Rasmussen
  14. https://web.archive.org/web/20060206171711/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/January%202006/Minnesota%20Senate%20January%2016.htm Rasmussen
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20060308082759/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/February%202006/Minnesota%20Senate%20February.htm Rasmussen
  16. https://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash06.html?project=elections06-ft Zogby/WSJ
  17. https://archive.today/20130124234113/http://www.greenbergresearch.com/index.php?ID=1690 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Poll
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20060520011822/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/April%202006/Minnesota%20Senate%20April.htm Rasmussen
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20060710215250/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/June%202006/minnesotaSenate.htm Rasmussen
  20. http://www.startribune.com/784/story/555710.html Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll
  21. https://web.archive.org/web/20061003162312/http://www.dscc.org/news/roundup/20060724_klobuchar/index.htm Bennett, Petts, and Blumenthal (D)
  22. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=cb5e456a-a797-4727-93fe-f7615e212c10 SurveyUSA
  23. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/August%202006/minnesotaSenate.htm Rasmussen
  24. https://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash06.html?project=elections06-ft&h=495&w=778&hasAd=1 Zogby/WSJ
  25. https://web.archive.org/web/20060924144134/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/August%202006/MinnesotaSenateAug28.htm Rasmussen
  26. https://web.archive.org/web/20061005190751/http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=24358 Gallup
  27. https://web.archive.org/web/20060920200704/http://www.startribune.com/587/story/683216.html Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll
  28. https://archive.today/20130203003852/http://www.startribune.com/blogs/bigquestion/?p=238 University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute
  29. http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2006/09/22/senpoll/ Minnesota Public Radio/Pioneer Press/Mason-Dixon
  30. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=a3c773ac-cdc6-43ab-83bc-da241da00e38 SurveyUSA
  31. https://web.archive.org/web/20061012033053/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/October%202006/MinnesotaSenate.htm Rasmussen
  32. https://web.archive.org/web/20061018230631/http://www.startribune.com/587/story/743115.html Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll
  33. https://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-elections06.html Zogby/WSJ
  34. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=09a1ddb1-ea7b-471f-9c9a-0d45cc74022d SurveyUSA
  35. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_race-15.html Rasmussen
  36. https://web.archive.org/web/20070614022102/http://www.hhh.umn.edu/img/assets/23537/HHH%20Survey%20--%20October%202006%20Senate%20Race%20Report.pdf University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute
  37. http://www.startribune.com/587/story/788670.html Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll
  38. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=f868a83c-a9d0-464b-849e-b42a2a246d19 SurveyUSA