2018 United States Senate election in Maryland explained

Election Name:2018 United States Senate election in Maryland
Country:Maryland
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States Senate election in Maryland
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2024 United States Senate election in Maryland
Next Year:2024
Election Date:November 6, 2018
Turnout:58.17% 10.03 pp
Image1:File:Ben Cardin official Senate portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Ben Cardin
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,491,614
Percentage1:64.86%
Nominee2:Tony Campbell
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:697,017
Percentage2:30.31%
Map Size:301px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Ben Cardin
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Ben Cardin
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. It was held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected to a third and ultimately final term by a landslide margin of almost 35 points, the largest margin in any election for this seat since Maryland began holding direct elections for Senate in 1913.

The primary election for the Senate race was held on June 26, 2018.[1]

The incumbent, Ben Cardin, won the Democratic Party primary. In the general election, Cardin was reelected to a third term.[2] Tony Campbell, a professor of political science at Towson University and former Army Chaplain, won the Republican Party primary. If elected, Campbell would have become Maryland's first African-American U.S. Senator.[3] [4] Businessman Neal Simon ran as an independent and Arvin Vohra was the Libertarian Party nominee in the general election. There were also several official write-in candidates.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Candidates

Debates

On October 7, 2018, Cardin, independent candidate Neal Simon, and Republican candidate Tony Campbell participated in the sole televised debate of the campaign.[24] [25] [26]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[27] October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[28] November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] November 5, 2018
Fox News[30] July 9, 2018
CNN[31] July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[32] June 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ben
Cardin (D)
Tony
Campbell (R)
Neal
Simon (I)
OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research (I-Simon)[33] October 1–6, 2018806± 3.5% align=center49%22%18%11%
Goucher College[34] September 11–16, 2018472± 4.5% align=center56%17%8%1%[35] 14%

Results by county

County! colspan="2"
Ben CardinDemocraticTony CampbellRepublicanNeal SimonIndependentArvin VohraLibertarianWrite-insIndependentMarginTotalVotes

Cast

%%%%%%
Allegany859736.82%1379059.06%7463.19%1960.84%200.09%-5193-22.24%23349
Anne Arundel12291053.74%9240140.40%105284.60%26741.17%1900.08%3050913.34%228703
Baltimore (City)16037086.95%161848.77%55963.03%19171.04%3750.20%14418678.17%184442
Baltimore (County)19753060.85%10627532.74%171925.30%33131.02%2900.09%9125528.11%324600
Calvert1737244.51%1990150.99%12733.26%4581.17%270.07%-2529-6.48%39031
Caroline426537.73%647457.27%4513.99%1050.93%90.08%-2209-19.54%11304
Carroll2598634.89%4247957.03%50206.74%9661.30%380.05%-16493-22.14%74489
Cecil1323738.05%1985157.06%12673.64%4121.18%240.07%-6614-19.01%34791
Charles4487469.54%1787227.69%12841.99%4620.72%410.06%2700241.84%64533
Dorchester592848.23%586447.71%3973.23%950.77%80.07%640.52%12292
Frederick5525651.67%4703843.99%32423.03%12921.21%1050.10%82187.69%106933
Garrett281725.75%780171.31%2161.97%980.90%70.06%-4984-45.56%10939
Harford4592141.63%5674951.45%61855.61%13521.23%1000.09%-10828-9.82%110307
Howard9606766.97%3879727.05%66214.62%18191.27%1440.10%5727039.92%143448
Kent458853.49%349040.69%4114.79%861.00%30.03%109812.80%8578
Montgomery31456877.29%7492418.41%133333.28%36550.90%5170.13%23964458.88%406997
Prince George's28697590.10%241407.58%50311.58%20310.64%3460.11%26283582.52%318523
Queen Anne's846337.21%1281356.34%12305.41%2321.02%60.03%-4350-19.13%22744
St. Mary's1684941.93%2139353.24%13613.39%5591.39%180.04%-4544-11.31%40180
Somerset365247.09%388250.06%1722.22%450.58%40.05%-230-2.97%7755
Talbot905450.12%805044.56%7964.41%1540.85%120.07%10045.56%18066
Washington1995639.59%2831956.18%15983.17%5071.01%260.05%-8363-16.59%50406
Wicomico1653949.09%1564446.43%11333.36%3511.04%240.07%8952.66%33691
Worcester984041.37%1288654.17%8813.70%1640.69%170.07%-3046-12.80%23788
Total149161464.86%69701730.31%859643.74%229431.00%23510.10%79459734.55%2299889

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Cardin won 7 of 8 congressional districts.[36]

DistrictCardinCampbellElected
Representative
40%54%Andy Harris
65%30%Dutch Ruppersberger
67%27%John Sarbanes
79%18%Anthony Brown
68%29%Steny Hoyer
60%35%David Trone
75%20%Elijah Cummings
67%28%Jamie Raskin

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018 . . Ballotpedia . https://web.archive.org/web/20180502233832/https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Maryland,_2018 . May 2, 2018 . June 15, 2018.
  2. News: Maryland Primary Election Results. The New York Times. June 28, 2018. October 18, 2018.
  3. News: Dresser, Michael. U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems. The Baltimore Sun. October 7, 2018. October 17, 2018. October 12, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20181012045137/http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/bs-md-senate-debate-20181005-story.html. dead.
  4. Web site: Hall, Tom . Sivak, Rob . Tony Campbell: Republican for US Senate. WYPR. October 15, 2018. October 17, 2018.
  5. Web site: 2018 Candidate Listing . . June 15, 2018 . 2018 Gubernatorial Election . Maryland Board of Elections . June 15, 2018.
  6. Web site: Candidates (criteria: 2018+Senate+Maryland) . . Campaign finance data . Federal Election Commission . June 15, 2018.
  7. News: Chelsea Manning files to run for U.S. Senate in Maryland. Jouvenal. Justin. January 13, 2018. The Washington Post. June 17, 2018. Portnoy. Jenna. Katherine Shaver contributed..
  8. News: Chelsea Manning officially files for US Senate race. January 18, 2018. The Seattle Times. June 17, 2018. Associated Press.
  9. News: Candidate filing last call Feb. 27 (Pt. 2: Filing). Divilio. Daniel. February 22, 2018. Kent County News. June 27, 2018. Chestertown, Maryland. A15. Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  10. News: Somebody's already using the 'E' word. . June 28, 2017. The Enterprise. June 27, 2018. Community. St. Mary's County, Maryland. A8. Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  11. News: John Delaney: Why I'm Running for President. Delaney. John. . July 28, 2017.
  12. News: Former Maryland congresswoman Donna Edwards to run for county executive. Siegel. Rachel. 2017-10-05. The Washington Post. 2017-12-14. Wiggins. Ovetta. en-US. 0190-8286.
  13. Web site: 2018: Whither Ben Cardin?. Shurberg. Jonathan. June 7, 2016. Maryland Scramble.
  14. http://www.goucher.edu/hughes-center/documents/SP18_Thursday_RELEASE_FINAL.pdf Goucher College
  15. Web site: Faculty . . October 31, 2016 . Faculty Resources . Towson University . Political Science . June 15, 2018.
  16. Web site: 2016 Candidate Listing . . April 26, 2016 . Maryland State Board of Elections . June 15, 2018.
  17. Web site: 2016 Candidate Listing . . April 26, 2016 . Maryland State Board of Elections . June 15, 2018.
  18. Web site: Former CIA Officer Sam Faddis running for Senate in Maryland. SOFREP. Murphy. Jack. May 31, 2017. July 17, 2017.
  19. Web site: Ben Cardin raises nearly $1M for 2018 reelection. The Baltimore Sun. Fritze. John. July 14, 2017. July 17, 2017.
  20. Web site: Arvin Vohra, Vice Chairman of Libertarian Party, Announces Run for U S Senate. July 4, 2017. Pyeatt, Jill. Independent Political Report. January 13, 2018.
  21. Web site: Shlikas will fix it! . Shlikas for Senate . December 20, 2017.
  22. Web site: Sen. Ben Cardin may get independent challenger backed by Centrist Project. 6 December 2017.
  23. Web site: An independent candidate for Senate in Maryland says 'it's about change,' as the incumbent files for re-election. The Baltimore Sun. John. Fritze. February 6, 2018. February 11, 2018. October 20, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20181020092653/http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/bs-md-neal-simon-ben-cardin-20180205-story.html. dead.
  24. News: Cardin defends record in first Maryland debate for U.S. Senate. The Washington Post. en. 2018-10-08.
  25. News: U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems. Dresser. Michael. baltimoresun.com. 2018-10-08. en-US. October 9, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20181009013408/http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/bs-md-senate-debate-20181005-story.html. dead.
  26. Web site: Maryland Senate Debate, Oct 7 2018 - Video - C-SPAN.org. www.c-span.org.
  27. Web site: 2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018. The Cook Political Report. March 13, 2021.
  28. Web site: 2018 Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. March 13, 2021.
  29. Web site: 2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings. Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 11, 2017.
  30. Web site: 2018 Senate Power Rankings. . July 10, 2018.
  31. Web site: Key Races: Senate. July 15, 2018.
  32. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2018. July 15, 2018.
  33. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20180815_MD.pdf Gonzales Research (I-Simon)
  34. https://www.goucher.edu/hughes-center/documents/Goucher_Poll_Sept_2018_Part_2.pdf Goucher College
  35. Arvin Vohra (L) with 1%
  36. Web site: DRA 2020 . 2024-08-19 . Daves Redistricting.