2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana
Country:Louisiana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States Senate election in Louisiana
Previous Year:2010
Election Date:November 8, 2016 (first round)
December 10, 2016 (runoff)
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana
Next Year:2022
1Blank:First round
2Blank:Runoff
Image1:File:John Neely Kennedy official portrait (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:John Kennedy
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
1Data1:482,591
24.96%
2Data1:536,191
60.65%
Candidate2:Foster Campbell
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
1Data2:337,833
17.47%
2Data2:347,816
39.35%
Image3:File:Rep. Charles Boustany (cropped).jpg
Candidate3:Charles Boustany
Party3:Republican Party (United States)
1Data3:298,008
15.41%
2Data3:Eliminated
Image4:3x4.svg
Candidate4:Caroline Fayard
Party4:Democratic Party (United States)
1Data4:240,917
12.46%
2Data4:Eliminated
Image5:File:John flemming (cropped).jpg
Candidate5:John Fleming
Party5:Republican Party (United States)
1Data5:204,026
10.55%
2Data5:Eliminated
U.S. Senator
Before Election:David Vitter
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:John Kennedy
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:67.8% (first round)29.0% (runoff)

The 2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Under Louisiana's "jungle primary" system, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters could vote for any candidate. Since no candidate received a majority of the vote during the primary election, a runoff election was held December 10[1] between the top two candidates in the primary, Republican John Neely Kennedy and Democrat Foster Campbell, where Kennedy won with 60.65% of the vote, giving Senate Republicans 52 seats in the 115th Congress. Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar "top two primary" system). Kennedy had previously unsuccessfully ran for this seat in 2004 as a Democrat and the state's other U.S. Senate seat in 2008 as a Republican.

Incumbent Republican Senator David Vitter unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Louisiana in 2015,[2] and in his concession speech he announced that he would not seek re-election to the Senate in 2016.

In addition to Kennedy and Campbell, four other candidates — Republicans Charles Boustany, John Fleming, and David Duke, and Democrat Caroline Fayard — qualified to participate at a debate at Dillard University, a historically black college, on November 2, 2016[3] [4] This election is the most recent United States Senate runoff election in Louisiana as of 2024.

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

Independents

Declared

Jungle primary

Debates

DatesLocationKennedyCampbellBoustanyFayardFlemingDukeLink
October 18, 2016Ruston, LouisianaParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipantNot invitedalign=left [67]
November 2, 2016New Orleans, LouisianaParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipantalign=left [68]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charles
Boustany (R)
Foster
Campbell (D)
David
Duke (R)
Caroline
Fayard (D)
John
Fleming (R)
John
Kennedy (R)
Rob
Maness (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[69] November 1–7, 2016982± 4.6%14%13%3% align=center21%12% align=center21%6%4%6%
SurveyMonkey[70] October 31 – November 6, 2016840± 4.6%15%14%3% align=center20%11% align=center21%6%5%5%
SurveyMonkey[71] October 28 – November 3, 2016646± 4.6%15%14%3% align=center19%11% align=center21%5%4%8%
SurveyMonkey[72] October 27 – November 2, 2016546± 4.6%13%13%3% align=center21%12% align=center21%5%4%8%
SurveyMonkey[73] October 26 – November 1, 2016470± 4.6%13%13%2% align=center21%12% align=center23%4%3%9%
Southern Media and Opinion Research[74] October 19–21, 2016500± 4.4%14% align=center16%12%9% align=center22% align=center27%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid[75] October 15–21, 2016614± 3.0%12%17%4%12%10% align=center18%4%7%17%
University of New Orleans[76] October 15–21, 2016603± 4.0%15%15%2%10%11% align=center22%4%9%12%
FOX 8/Mason-Dixon[77] October 20, 2016625± 4.0%11% align=center19%5%12%10% align=center24%3%3%13%
Market Research Insight[78] October 17–19, 2016600± 4.0% align=center16%14%12%7% align=center17% align=center34%
JMC Analytics (R)[79] October 11–15, 2016800± 3.5%16% align=center25%3%10%16%16%3%2%10%
JMC Analytics (R)[80] September 22–24, 2016905± 3.3% align=center15% align=center15%3%12%14%11%4%1% align=center25%
Market Research InsightSeptember 17–19, 2016600± 4.0% align=center12%10%11%10% align=center18% align=center39%
Southern Media and Opinion Research[81] September 15–17, 2016500± 4.4% align=center15%9%3%11%8% align=center17%3%7% align=center26%
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research (D)[82] August 29 – September 1, 2016605± 4.0%13%7%3%13%6% align=center18%4%5% align=center31%
The Hayride/Remington Research[83] August 29–30, 20161,017± 3.2%13% align=center16%6%12%6% align=center27%4%15%
GBA Strategies[84] June 6–9, 2016500± 4.4%11% align=center15%14%9% align=center30%6%12%2%
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[85] May 31 – June 2, 2016600± 4.0%11% align=center14%9%7% align=center24%3% align=center33%
Southern Media and Opinion Research[86] May 19–23, 2016500± 4.4% align=center10%9%4%5% align=center32%4%3% align=center32%
SurveyUSA[87] March 4–8, 2016600± 4.1%10% align=center12%10%7% align=center21%6%12% align=center15%
Southern Media and Opinion Research[88] February 2–4, 2016500± 4.4% align=center10%7%4%6% align=center22%7% align=center30%
SurveyUSA[89] December 4–7, 2015600± 4.1%10% align=center23%6% align=center21%9%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small
error
Scott
Charles
John
John
Mitch
Undecided
MRI[90] 600± 4.1% align=center24%15%5%15% align=center30%11%
[91] 600± 4%13%7%18% align=center39% align=center23%

Results

Maps

Runoff

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kennedy (R)
Foster
Campbell (D)
Undecided
University of New Orleans[92] December 6, 2016776 align=center62%33%5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[93] December 5–6, 20162,500 align=center56%40%4%
Emerson College[94] November 29–30, 2016400 align=center51%33%16%
Southern Media and Opinion Research[95] November 28–30, 2016500 align=center52%38%10%
Tulane University[96] November 8–18, 2016820 align=center60%40%0%
Trafalgar Group (R)[97] November 14–17, 20162,200 align=center58%35%6%
The Hayride/Remington ResearchAugust 29–30, 20161,017 align=center51%27%22%
SurveyUSA[98] March 4–8, 2016600 align=center54%34%12%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small
error
John
Neely
Kennedy (R)
Caroline
Fayard (D)
Undecided
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[99] August 29–September 1, 2016605± 4.0% align=center49%38%13%
SurveyUSA[100] March 4–8, 2016600 align=center54%34%12%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small
error
David
Duke (R)
Caroline
Fayard (D)
Undecided
Anzalone Liszt Grove ResearchAugust 29–September 1, 2016605± 4.0%15% align=center64%21%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small
error
Charles
Boustany (R)
John
Neely
Kennedy (R)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[101] March 4–8, 201660022% align=center50%27%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small
error
Charles
Boustany (R)
Caroline
Fayard (D)
Undecided
Anzalone Liszt Grove ResearchAugust 29–September 1, 2016605± 4.0%40% align=center43%17%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[102] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[103] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[104] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[105] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[106] November 7, 2016

Results

Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Kennedy won 5 of the 6 congressional districts.[107]

DistrictKennedyCampbellRepresentative
75%25%Steve Scalise
24%76%Cedric Richmond
72%28%Clay Higgins
62%38%Mike Johnson
65%35%Ralph Abraham
66%34%Garret Graves

References

Additional candidates

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Get Election Information . Louisiana Secretary of State . November 12, 2016.
  2. News: John Bel Edwards beats David Vitter to become Louisiana's next governor . November 21, 2015 . November 21, 2015 . The Times-Picayune.
  3. Web site: David Duke qualifies for televised Senate debate at historically black college. . October 24, 2016.
  4. Web site: David Duke qualifies for Louisiana Senate debate. .
  5. News: Rep. Charles Boustany will run for Senate . . Barfield Berry . Deborah . November 23, 2015 . November 23, 2015.
  6. News: Boustany, saying he 'refuses to peddle the politics of fear, obstruction, division,' announces run for David Vitter's U.S. Senate seat . . Burgess . Richard . December 14, 2015 . December 15, 2015 .
  7. News: UPDATE: Senate field swells to 21, most on record for race . . Hilburn . Greg . July 21, 2016 . July 21, 2016.
  8. News: Joseph Cao enters Senate race for Vitter's seat, tells supporters by email . . Rainey . Richard . December 16, 2015 . December 27, 2015.
  9. News: Joseph Cao officially enters race for David Vitter's Senate seat . . Rainey . Richard . March 1, 2016 . March 3, 2016.
  10. News: Former Klansman David Duke enters U.S. Senate race . . Hilburn . Greg . July 22, 2016 . July 22, 2016.
  11. News: David Duke, Former KKK Leader, Announces Senate Run . NBC News . July 22, 2016 . September 22, 2016.
  12. News: Former KKK leader David Duke runs for U.S. Senate: 'My time has come' . Associated Press . Chicago Tribune . September 22, 2016.
  13. News: Louisiana Congressman John Fleming launches bid for David Vitter's Senate seat . . O'Donoghue . Julia . December 7, 2015 . December 8, 2015.
  14. News: Treasurer John Kennedy enters Senate race to succeed David Vitter . . Rainey . Richard . January 26, 2016 . January 26, 2016.
  15. News: Congress takes some snow days; Maness makes it official: Louisiana politics . . Rainey . Richard . January 25, 2016 . January 29, 2016.
  16. News: New names still hover over Senate race . . Alford . Jeremy . March 23, 2016 . April 19, 2016.
  17. Web site: It's official, my hat is in the ring for US Senate 2016 . Facebook . Patel . Abhay . May 3, 2016 . May 9, 2016.
  18. News: Louisiana Senate race: Abhay Patel drops out, endorses Charles Boustany . The Times-Picayune . October 20, 2016 . October 29, 2016 . Richard . Rainey.
  19. News: Angelle could be eyeing Senate seat . . Hilburn . Greg . November 3, 2015 . November 3, 2015.
  20. News: Scott Angelle looks at U.S. Senate race, will his decision after holidays . . Ballard . Mark . December 14, 2015 . December 28, 2015 .
  21. News: Angelle jumps into 3rd District race . . Stickney . Ken . March 3, 2016 . March 3, 2016.
  22. News: After Vitter's Loss, Louisiana Republicans Eye His Senate Seat . . Yokley . Eli . November 22, 2015 . November 23, 2015 . November 23, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151123161846/http://atr.rollcall.com/vitters-loss-louisiana-republicans-eye-senate-seat/ . dead .
  23. News: Jay Dardenne says he may join John Bel Edwards' administration in podcast interview . . O'Donoghue . Julia . November 25, 2015 . November 30, 2015.
  24. News: Names floating in, out of developing U.S. Senate race . . Alford . Jeremy . December 7, 2015 . December 8, 2015 . December 10, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151210181833/http://www.houmatoday.com/article/20151207/ARTICLES/151209734 . dead .
  25. News: Attention turns to 2016 ballot; Boustany lands sub-chair in D.C. . Greater Baton Rouge Business Report . Alford . Jeremy . November 25, 2015 . November 30, 2015.
  26. News: More possibilities surface for Louisiana's US Senate race . Greater Baton Rouge Business Report . Alford . Jeremy . December 22, 2015 . December 28, 2015.
  27. News: Republican Brett Geymann will run for 3rd District seat . . Hilburn . Greg . March 1, 2016 . March 3, 2016.
  28. News: Clay Higgins says he may run for public office . . Dickerson . Seth . May 5, 2016 . May 10, 2016.
  29. News: Clay Higgins announces run for congress . . Dickerson . Seth . May 18, 2016 . May 19, 2016.
  30. elizabethcrisp . 666769766170816513 . November 17, 2015 . .@TimmyTeepell says Bobby Jindal unequivocally has no interest in running for U.S. Senate. . September 22, 2016.
  31. Web site: Vance McAllister for U.S. Senate? . LaPolitics . Alford . Jeremy . February 2, 2015 . February 3, 2015 .
  32. News: Christian leader open to Senate run . . Jaffe . Alexandra . January 22, 2014 . November 22, 2015.
  33. News: Tony Perkins to Endorse John Fleming in Louisiana Senate Race . . Roarty . Alex . Yoakley . Eli . February 26, 2016 . February 28, 2016 . February 27, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160227102304/http://atr.rollcall.com/tony-perkins-endorse-john-fleming-louisiana-senate-race/ . dead .
  34. News: The Senate Field Increases, As Eric Skrmetta Now Dips A Toe Into The Water . . December 10, 2015 . December 20, 2015.
  35. News: News roundup: Oil-related layoffs mount with two new WARNs ... Skrmetta decides against US Senate run ... Tiger Band inks deal with firm founded by two of its own . Greater Baton Rouge Business Report . July 5, 2016 . July 7, 2016.
  36. News: David Vitter won't run for his U.S. Senate seat again . The Times-Picayune . O'Donoghue . Julia . November 21, 2015 . November 22, 2015.
  37. News: In Red Louisiana, can two Democrats make runoff for Vitter's Senate . . Tidmore . Christopher . May 9, 2016 . May 9, 2016.
  38. News: Young, Cazayoux and Hebert consider Vitter's U.S. Senate seat . . Tidmore . Christopher . December 7, 2015 . December 8, 2015.
  39. News: Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell running for the U.S. Senate . . Crisp . Elizabeth . February 26, 2016 . February 28, 2016 . June 23, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160623043007/http://theadvocate.com/news/15007482-123/public-service-commissioner-foster-campbell-running-for-the-us-senate . dead .
  40. News: Democrat Caroline Fayard launches U.S. Senate bid . . Crisp . Elizabeth . February 4, 2016 . February 4, 2016 . February 5, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160205070328/http://theadvocate.com/news/14779292-123/caroline-fayard-launches-us-senate-bid . dead .
  41. News: 15 qualify for U.S. Senate seat on first day; see if your candidate made the race . . Hilburn . Greg . July 20, 2016 . July 20, 2016.
  42. Web site: vinnymendoza.com . April 23, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161009182718/http://vinnymendoza.com/ . October 9, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  43. News: Pellerin to explore Senate campaign . . Stickney . Ken . January 25, 2016 . January 26, 2016.
  44. News: Seeking Senate seat: Pellerin will run . . Stickney . Ken . February 24, 2016 . April 19, 2016.
  45. News: Pellerin announcement comes April 5 . . Stickney . Ken . March 28, 2016 . April 19, 2016.
  46. News: 16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate . December 29, 2014 . December 29, 2014 . . Cheney . Kyle.
  47. News: Louisiana gearing up for Senate race . Southern Political Report . Wyman . Hastings . February 8, 2016 . February 9, 2016.
  48. News: Three years after leaving The Shaw Group, Jim Bernhard has created a private equity firm that could outgrow the company he sold for $3 billion . Greater Baton Rouge Business Report . Riegel . Stephanie . June 8, 2016 . June 9, 2016.
  49. News: Mitch Landrieu Rules Out Senate Bid . . Drusch . Andrea . December 4, 2015 . December 4, 2015.
  50. News: Rainey . Richard . Louisiana Senate race: who's in, who's out in the early going . December 16, 2015 . The Times-Picayune . December 10, 2015.
  51. News: Holden among many Louisiana politicians being urged to run for congressional seat . Greater Baton Rouge Business Report . Alford . Jeremy . December 30, 2015 . January 19, 2016.
  52. News: UPDATE: Mayor Jacques Roy may run for U.S. Senate seat . The Town Talk . Sharkey . Richard . January 6, 2016 . January 19, 2016.
  53. News: Baton Rouge Mayor Kip Holden to challenge Congressman Cedric Richmond this fall . . Allen . Rebekah . May 18, 2016 . May 19, 2016 . May 31, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160531075933/http://theadvocate.com/news/15828777-124/baton-rouge-mayor-kip-holden-to-challenge-congressman-cedric-richmond-this-fall . dead .
  54. News: Alexandria mayor, state Rep. Johnson consider Senate run . . Hilburn . Greg . January 6, 2016 . January 9, 2016.
  55. News: Rep. Johnson won't run for U.S. Senate seat . The Town Talk . Sharkey . Richard . April 18, 2016 . April 19, 2016.
  56. News: Political Horizons: Despite campaign fatigue, a crowded, close Senate race looms . . Ballard . Mark . December 19, 2015 . December 28, 2015 . January 15, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160115111630/http://theadvocate.com/news/opinion/14328336-63/political-horizons-despite-campaign-fatigue-a-senate-race-looms . dead .
  57. News: No Time to Waste in Louisiana . . Drusch . Andrea . December 20, 2015 . December 28, 2015.
  58. News: John Kennedy's decision to opt out of race for governor or attorney general makes him potential Senate candidate . April 13, 2015 . April 15, 2015 . . Alpert . Bruce.
  59. News: Landrieu Won't Rule Out Challenging Vitter in 2016 . . Bruggeman . Karyn . November 14, 2015 . November 15, 2015.
  60. News: New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu says no to run for Vitter's Senate seat . . Rainey . Richard . December 3, 2015 . December 3, 2015.
  61. News: Fleming may need "crucial" boost from Vitter to replace him in U.S. Senate . . May . Gerry . May 7, 2015 . November 24, 2015.
  62. News: John Bel Edwards picks ex-congressman Charlie Melancon, others for his cabinet . . O'Donoghue . Julia . December 16, 2015 . February 28, 2016.
  63. News: U.S. Senate Race Power Rankings — 1st Edition . The Hayride . Boyd . Kevin . April 29, 2016 . May 9, 2016.
  64. News: Former ATC commissioner announces run for senate. The Daily Advertiser. Dickerson. Seth. January 28, 2016. January 29, 2016.
  65. News: Former Arkansan seeks U.S. Senate seat in Louisiana. Arkansas Times. Brantley. Max. July 20, 2016. July 20, 2016.
  66. News: No Shortage of Louisiana Candidates for U.S. Senate. WRKF. Lincoln. Sue. July 22, 2016. July 22, 2016.
  67. https://www.c-span.org/video/?416939-1/kentucky-senate-debate Full debate
  68. https://www.c-span.org/video/?417849-1/louisiana-senate-debate Full debate
  69. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  70. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  71. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  72. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  73. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  74. http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/article_38cc60ba-9ba7-11e6-b933-a73c72e3f6bd.html Southern Media and Opinion Research
  75. https://web.archive.org/web/20161104045236/http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Louisiana-Battleground-Results.pdf The Times-Picayune/Lucid
  76. http://www.uno.edu/cola/political-science/documents/2016-Louisiana-Survey-Report.pdf University of New Orleans
  77. https://web.archive.org/web/20161021065440/http://www.fox8live.com/story/33437896/exclusive-poll-kennedy-leads-candidates-in-senate-race?sf39453969=1 FOX 8/Mason-Dixon
  78. http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/article_38cc60ba-9ba7-11e6-b933-a73c72e3f6bd.html Market Research Insight
  79. http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Fleming-Executive-Summary-Poll-3-RELEASE.pdf#page=2 JMC Analytics (R)
  80. http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Fleming-Executive-Summary-Poll-2-RELEASE.pdf JMC Analytics (R)
  81. http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/09/2016_louisiana_senate_race_wan.html Southern Media and Opinion Research
  82. https://web.archive.org/web/20160915131000/https://lapolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/ALG-Topline-Report.pdf Anzalone Liszt Grove Research (D)
  83. http://thehayride.com/2016/08/the-hayrideremington-research-louisiana-senate-poll-kennedy-with-sizable-lead-conservative-candidates-struggling/ The Hayride/Remington Research
  84. http://www.bayoubuzz.com/bb/item/1061807-new-louisiana-us-senate-poll-kennedy-28-fayard-and-campbell-essentially-tied GBA Strategies
  85. https://lapolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/RL-SEn-Quest.jpeg Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
  86. http://www.johnkennedy.com/files/PollJune16.pdf Southern Media and Opinion Research
  87. http://www.johnkennedy.com/files/Mar2016.pdf SurveyUSA
  88. http://www.johnkennedy.com/files/Feb2016.pdf Southern Media and Opinion Research
  89. http://www.johnkennedy.com/files/Dec2015.pdf SurveyUSA
  90. https://www.businessreport.com/article/poll-shows-democrat-mitch-landrieu-ahead-republicans-theoretical-race-vitters-senate-seat MRI
  91. http://www.scribd.com/doc/253430913/LA-Gov-North-Star-Opinion-Research-for-John-Kennedy-Jan-2015 NSO Research (R-Kennedy)
  92. http://www.uno.edu/campus-news/2016/documents/UNO2016SenateRunoffPoll.pdf University of New Orleans
  93. https://www.scribd.com/document/333665178/LA-Sen-LA-03-LA-04-Trafalgar-Group-Sec-2016 Trafalgar Group (R)
  94. http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_42608340f91d4fd58ea41276d570b115.pdf Emerson College
  95. http://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/theadvocate.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/e/a3/ea330872-b817-11e6-a43d-272453a5e3c5/5840a8616ff8b.pdf.pdf Southern Media and Opinion Research
  96. http://www.tulane.edu/~bbrox/Tulane_Survey_November_2016.pdf Tulane University
  97. http://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/theadvocate.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/0/d7/0d71ec2a-adde-11e6-939a-63149ff06c24/582f805cd4c5c.pdf.pdf Trafalgar Group (R)
  98. http://www.johnkennedy.com/files/Mar2016.pdf SurveyUSA
  99. https://web.archive.org/web/20160915131000/https://lapolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/ALG-Topline-Report.pdf Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
  100. http://www.johnkennedy.com/files/Mar2016.pdf SurveyUSA
  101. http://www.johnkennedy.com/files/Mar2016.pdf SurveyUSA
  102. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  103. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  104. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  105. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  106. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  107. Web site: DRA 2020. Daves Redistricting.