2010 United States Senate election in Kansas explained

Election Name:2010 United States Senate election in Kansas
Country:Kansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2004 United States Senate election in Kansas
Previous Year:2004
Next Election:2016 United States Senate election in Kansas
Next Year:2016
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Image1:File:Jerry Moran, official Congressional photo portrait.jpg
Nominee1:Jerry Moran
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:587,175
Percentage1:70.09%
Nominee2:Lisa Johnston
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:220,971
Percentage2:26.38%
Map Size:270px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Sam Brownback
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Jerry Moran
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Sam Brownback did not seek a third full term, but instead successfully ran for Governor of Kansas.

Fellow Republican and representative Jerry Moran won the open seat. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Kansas for this seat since 1968.

Background

Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacing Bob Dole, who resigned to run for President. Brownback stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits. Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on the Committee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006 to 2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million.[5] [6]

Endorsements

Tiahrt

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTodd TiahrtJerry Moran
Research 2000[7] February 2–4, 200924%19%
Survey USA[8] April 17–19, 200935%39%
Survey USA[9] June 12–14, 200938%40%
Survey USA[10] October 2–4, 200927%43%
Survey USA[11] December 4–6, 200934%37%
Survey USA[12] January 29–31, 201033%40%
Survey USA[13] March 26–28, 201032%42%
Survey USA[14] May 21–23, 201029%52%
Survey USA[15] June 24–27, 201033%53%
Survey USA[16] July 15–18, 201036%50%
Survey USA[17] July 29 – August 1, 201039%49%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredCharles SchollenbergerLisa JohnstonRobert ConroyDavid HaleyUndecided
Survey USAJune 24–27, 201016%24%11%11%35%
Survey USAJuly 15–18, 201014%23%7%12%36%
Survey USAJuly 29 – August 1, 201021%29%7%12%25%

Results

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Kansas is a very red state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932.[21] After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only two counties: Wyandotte County and Douglas County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide.[22]

Debates

The two never met for a debate.[23]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[24] October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[25] October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[26] October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[28] October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredJerry MoranLisa Johnston
Rasmussen Reports[29] May 11, 201061%25%
Rasmussen Reports[30] June 30, 201059%23%
Rasmussen Reports[31] August 4, 201061%28%
Survey USA[32] August 12–15, 201069%23%
Survey USA[33] September 14–16, 201066%24%
Survey USA[34] October 10–12, 201067%27%
Survey USA[35] October 22–26, 201066%26%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Lisa Johnston (D)$10,627$4,530$6,096$1,131
Jerry Moran (R)$2,749,244$4,497,168$795,015$0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

External links

Official candidate sites (Archived)
Debates

Notes and References

  1. News: Londerholm drops out of Senate race . Associated Press. July 13, 2010 . August 3, 2010.
  2. News: Moran now eyes U.S. Senate seat . Associated Press . November 8, 2008 . November 10, 2008.
  3. News: Tiahrt preparing for Senate race in Kansas . Associated Press . November 21, 2008 . November 23, 2008.
  4. Web site: Congressman Tiahrt Announces Senate Steering Committee - KWCH - Kansas News and Weather . KWCH . January 27, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090205033541/http://www.kwch.com/global/story.asp?s=9742611 . February 5, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  5. Web site: Clark . Matthew . POLITICS BLOG: Earmarks, earmarks and more earmarks - Pittsburg, KS . Morning Sun . June 5, 2010 . August 21, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110726131710/http://www.morningsun.net/lifestyles/patricks_people/x157348935/POLITICS-BLOG-Earmarks-earmarks-and-more-earmarks . July 26, 2011 . dead . mdy-all .
  6. Web site: Truth Test . YouTube . June 7, 2010 . August 21, 2010.
  7. https://web.archive.org/web/20090207133834/http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/2/5/145250/8955/1003/693618 Research 2000
  8. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8f81dfbd-e5cb-4de9-abd9-25a3f36cb619 Survey USA
  9. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b3d19e14-c0c6-4bf9-9820-a605c88f57f8 Survey USA
  10. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3b43021e-de50-43b1-b3dc-8e2b392d31c4 Survey USA
  11. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fc12c8b0-0839-4e95-8061-ace8398d10d0 Survey USA
  12. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b068ee9b-e4f9-4042-8323-dc2c38172ad6 Survey USA
  13. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3e1407b4-786a-455f-8546-467c7a9174bf Survey USA
  14. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=82100047-e886-4e37-9354-c6b73be08a6d Survey USA
  15. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ef9d1634-3b58-42ad-94a1-945104a477e4 Survey USA
  16. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5ce14789-b02f-45dc-b1f6-e90c446f9851 Survey USA
  17. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ff0c097a-2a4a-4003-9453-7bfbc9fb5634 Survey USA
  18. Web site: State Sen. David Haley to enter race for U.S. Senate Wichitopekington Wichita Eagle Blogs . Blogs.kansas.com . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110809144928/http://blogs.kansas.com/gov/2010/05/04/state-sen-david-haley-to-enter-race-for-u-s-senate/ . August 9, 2011 . dead . mdy-all .
  19. News: Moran squeezes past Tiahrt, looks forward to Johnston . Associated Press . . August 4, 2010 . August 4, 2010 . September 16, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110916022928/http://www.publicbroadcasting.net/kcur/news.newsmain/article/1/0/1684078/KCUR.News/Moran.squeezes.past.Tiahrt..looks.forward.to.Johnston . dead .
  20. Web site: The Hutchinson News Online Edition . Hutchnews.com . June 15, 2009 . June 14, 2010.
  21. News: Canadian Press.
  22. Web site: Wyandotte County voters buck statewide trend. BonnerSprings.com. 20 December 2022. November 13, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20101113000739/http://www.bonnersprings.com/news/2010/nov/02/democrats-take-lead-wyandotte-county/. dead.
  23. Web site: Moran takes Senate seat - McPherson, KS - The McPherson Sentinel . November 9, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110714063631/http://www.mcphersonsentinel.com/newsnow/x4794677/Moran-takes-Senate-seat . July 14, 2011 . dead . mdy-all .
  24. Web site: Senate . . October 26, 2010.
  25. Web site: Senate Ratings . . October 26, 2010.
  26. Web site: Battle for the Senate . . October 26, 2010.
  27. Web site: 2010 Senate Ratings . . October 26, 2010 . October 28, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ . dead .
  28. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Senate . . October 26, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate . October 28, 2010 .
  29. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kansas/election_2010_kansas_senate Rasmussen Reports
  30. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kansas/toplines/toplines_kansas_senate_june_30_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  31. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kansas/toplines/toplines_kansas_senate_august_4_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  32. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=45ed9c10-34b9-435f-81fd-e040bdf76206 Survey USA
  33. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c0e258e0-2f6b-46a1-886f-60059fbe0296 Survey USA
  34. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=00ebdea2-8f30-4df7-8dc2-68d78d7309bf Survey USA
  35. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6a19853c-8c9f-4ae4-8059-5a785acd499b&c=12 Survey USA
  36. Web site: 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Kansas . fec.gov . August 22, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100525104402/http://fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=KS&election_yr=2010 . May 25, 2010 . dead . mdy-all .

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