2014 United States Senate election in Iowa explained

Election Name:2014 United States Senate election in Iowa
Country:Iowa
Flag Image:Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States Senate election in Iowa
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2020 United States Senate election in Iowa
Next Year:2020
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Nominee2:Bruce Braley
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:494,370
Percentage2:43.76%
Image1:File:Joni Ernst Official photo portrait 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Joni Ernst
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:588,575
Percentage1:52.10%
Map Size:240px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Tom Harkin
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Joni Ernst
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Harkin did not run for reelection to a sixth term in office.[1]

U.S. Representative Bruce Braley was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; the Republicans nominated State Senator Joni Ernst in a June 3 primary election.[2] Douglas Butzier, who was the Libertarian nominee, died on October 14 in a single engine plane crash near Key West, Iowa. He was the pilot and the only person aboard the plane.[3] [4] [5] He still appeared on the ballot, alongside Independents Bob Quast, Ruth Smith and Rick Stewart. Ernst defeated Braley in the general election. This was the first open Senate seat in Iowa since 1974. Ernst was the first Republican to win this seat since Roger Jepsen in 1978. Joni Ernst's inauguration marked the first time since 1985 where Republicans held both United States Senate seats from Iowa.

Democratic primary

Bruce Braley ultimately faced no opposition in his primary campaign and became the Democratic nominee on June 3, 2014.[6]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on June 3, 2014. If no candidate won more than 35% of the vote, the nominee would have been chosen at a statewide convention. It would have been only the second time in 50 years that a convention picked a nominee and the first time since 2002, when then-State Senator Steve King won a convention held in Iowa's 5th congressional district to decide the Republican nominee for Congress. Having the nominee chosen by a convention led to fears that the increasingly powerful Ron Paul faction of the state party, led by Party Chairman A. J. Spiker, could have nominated an unelectable candidate.[15] [16]

The convention was scheduled to be held on June 14 but was then moved to July 12. Republican leaders, including Governor Terry Branstad and U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley, as well as four of the candidates for the nomination, criticized the move. Candidates Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, Matthew Whitaker and David Young signed a letter to the Republican Party of Iowa asking them to move the convention date back, saying that "Essentially gifting [Bruce] Braley an additional 30 days to campaign in a vacuum, while reducing our nominee's time to raise funds and campaign as the general election candidate by an entire month – only serves to strengthen Braley's viability". Spiker responded that the move was necessary to accommodate the 27-day period that the Iowa Secretary of State's office requires to certify the results of the primary.[17] Spiker reiterated his position in September 2013, rejecting calls for a vote by the central committee to move the convention date. He said that nominating a candidate before the primary had been certified would break state law, "which outlines that a ballot vacancy does not exist until the canvass is completed and certified."[18]

Secretary of State Matt Schultz was highly critical of Spiker, saying that "no political party should use the excuse of the final date of the statewide canvass to determine the date of its special nominating convention. Furthermore, to state that it is necessary to hold a special nominating convention after the conclusion of the state canvass is not only misleading, it is false."[19] Following efforts by members of the central committee to call a special meeting to move the date back to June, Spiker agreed and a meeting was held on September 23.[20] The central committee voted 16–1 to move the convention date back to June 14.[21] Statewide Republican leaders and activists and members of the National Republican Senatorial Committee believe that the real reason for the attempt to delay the convention was to give the Ron Paul faction time to organize an insurgent effort to push through a candidate they support, which could have even been Spiker himself or State Party Co-chair David Fischer.[16] The infighting has been traced back to the failure of the NRSC and allies of Governor Branstad and Senator Grassley to recruit a "top-tier" candidate for the race.[16]

Ernst received widespread attention for a campaign ad she released in March 2014 where she employed a tongue-in-cheek comparison between her experience castrating pigs and her ability to cut "pork" in Congress.[22] [23] Many found the ad to be humorous[24] [25] and it was spoofed by late-night comedians including Jimmy Fallon and Stephen Colbert,[26] [27] while some found it to be in bad taste.[28] [29] Before the ad aired, Ernst had struggled in fundraising,[30] [31] and two polls of the Republican primary taken in February 2014 had shown her in second place, several points behind opponent Mark Jacobs.[32] [33] After it aired, a Suffolk University poll in early April showed her with a narrow lead and a Loras College poll showed her essentially tied with Jacobs.[29] [34] [35] [36] By May, she was being described by the media as the "strong front-runner".[37]

In May 2014, Roll Call reported that the Republican primary campaign had become a proxy for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, with Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio supporting Ernst, Rick Perry endorsing Whitaker and Rick Santorum backing Clovis.[38] Jacobs, who had no such high-profile endorsements, ran as the "outsider".[39]

Ultimately, Ernst won the primary with 56% of the vote, negating the need for a convention.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceSam
Clovis		Joni
Ernst		Mark
Jacobs		Paul
Lunde		Scott
Schaben		Matthew
Whitaker		OtherUndecided
align=left Hill Research Consultants February 12–13, 2014300± 4%6%11%22%——8%3%50%
align=left Public Policy Polling[64] February 20–23, 2014283± 5.8%8%13%20%3%3%11%—42%
align=left Suffolk University[65] April 3–8, 2014224± 6.55%6.7%25%22.77%—1.34%4.02%—40.18%
align=left Loras College[66] April 7–8, 2014600± 4%7.3%18.1%18.8%—3.5%4%—48.2%
align=left Harper Polling^[67] April 30 – May 1, 2014500± 4.38%14%33%23%—1%3%—26%
align=left Loras College[68] May 12–13, 2014600± 4%9.5%30.8%19.3%—2.3%7.3%—30.7%
align=left Public Policy Polling[69] May 15–19, 2014303± ?14%34%18%2%1%6%—26%
align=left Des Moines Register[70] May 27–30, 2014400± 4.9%11%36%18%—2%13%—16%
Poll sourceDrew
Ivers		Steve
King		Tom
Latham		Bill
Northey		Kim
Reynolds		Matt
Schultz		Bob
David
Vaudt		Brad
Zaun		Undecided
align=left rowspan=3 Public Policy Polling[72] February 1–3, 2013326± 5.4%—41%22%—10%—9%——17%
—42%23%———19%——15%
—50%27%——————23%
align=left rowspan=2 Wenzel Strategies[73] February 1–2, 2013800± 3.44%—34.3%18.7%3.2%9.8%1.4%9.2%0.5%—19.5%
—42.9%34.7%——————22.4%
align=left rowspan=3 Harper PollingJanuary 29, 20124.52%31.16%26.13%———16.08%—6.03%16.08%
—35.35%21.72%———19.70%—3.03%20.20%
—46%29%——————25%

Results

General election

Debates

On August 29, Ernst and Braley announced their agreement to hold three televised debates in Davenport, Des Moines, and Sioux City, the first debate on September 28, the second on October 11, and the last on October 16.[74]

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Bruce Braley (D)$9,918,362$10,069,945$707,302
Joni Ernst (R)$9,206,690$7,660,912$2,244,366

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[75] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[76] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[77] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[78] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		Joni
Ernst (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[79] November 1–3, 20141,265± 2.8%45%48%2%[80] 5%
46%49%—5%
align=left Quinnipiac University[81] October 28 – November 2, 2014778± 3.5%47%47%2%4%
align=left Public Policy Polling[82] October 30–31, 2014617± ?47%48%—5%
align=left Iowa Poll[83] October 28–31, 2014701± 3.7%44%51%1%4%
align=left YouGov[84] October 25–31, 20141,112± 4.4%43%42%3%13%
align=left Fox News[85] October 28–30, 2014911± 3%44%45%4%8%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[86] October 28–30, 2014990± 3%47%48%3%3%
align=left rowspan=2 CNN/ORC[87] October 27–30, 2014647 LV± 4%47%49%—4%
887 RV± 3.5%49%43%—7%
align=left Reuters/Ipsos[88] October 23–29, 20141,129± 3.3%45%45%4%7%
align=left Quinnipiac[89] October 22–27, 2014817± 3.4%45%49%2%5%
align=left Loras College[90] October 21–24, 20141,121± 2.93%45%44%2%8%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[91] October 16–23, 20142,322± 3%44%44%1%11%
align=left rowspan=2 NBC News/Marist[92] October 18–22, 2014772 LV± 3.5%46%49%1%4%
1,052 RV± 3%46%46%2%6%
align=left Gravis Marketing[93] October 20–21, 2014964± 3%43%49%—8%
align=left Monmouth University[94] October 18–21, 2014423± 4.8%46%47%5%2%
align=left Quinnipiac University[95] October 15–21, 2014964± 3.2%46%48%3%4%
align=left Public Policy Polling[96] October 15–16, 2014714± ?%48%47%—5%
align=left Suffolk University[97] October 11–14, 2014500± 4.4%43%47%2%[98] 7%
align=left Quinnipiac University[99] October 8–13, 2014967± 3.2%45%47%3%5%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsOctober 8–10, 2014957± 3%45%48%1%5%
align=left Iowa Poll[100] October 3–8, 20141,000± 3.1%46%47%3%4%
align=left Morey Group[101] October 4–7, 20141,000± 3.1%39%38%2%21%
align=left Magellan[102] October 3, 20141,299± 2.8%41%50%—9%
align=left Loras College[103] October 1–3, 2014600± 4%42%42%4%12%
align=left rowspan=2 NBC News/Marist[104] September 27 – October 1, 2014778 LV± 3.5%44%46%1%9%
1,093 RV± 3%45%44%1%11%
align=left Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[105] September 25 – October 1, 20141,000± 2.09%44%45%11%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20142,359± 2%44%43%1%12%
align=left Gravis Marketing[106] September 29–30, 2014522± 4%41%50%—10%
align=left Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[107] September 25–30, 2014800± 3.46%47%46%—7%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[108] September 25–28, 20141,192± 2.8%42%44%4%[109] 10%
43%45%—12%
align=left Harstad Research[110] September 21–25, 2014809± ?42%42%—16%
align=left Iowa Poll[111] September 21–24, 2014546± 4.2%38%44%6%[112] 12%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 17–18, 2014750± 4%43%43%4%14%
align=left Fox News[113] September 14–16, 2014600± 4%41%41%6%12%
align=left Quinnipiac University[114] September 10–15, 20141,167± 2.9%44%50%1%4%
align=left rowspan=2 CNN/ORC[115] September 8–10, 2014608 LV± 4%49%48%1%2%
904 RV± 3.5%50%42%—7%
align=left Loras College[116] September 2–5, 20141,200± 2.82%45%41%—14%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[117] August 18 – September 2, 20141,764± 3%44%42%2%13%
align=left Public Policy Polling[118] August 28–30, 2014816± 3.4%43%45%—12%
align=left Suffolk[119] August 23–26, 2014500± 4%40%40%5%[120] 15%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[121] August 22–24, 2014915± 3.2%41%40%5%[122] 14%
42%42%—16%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsAugust 11–12, 2014750± 4%43%43%6%8%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[123] July 5–24, 20142,056± 2.7%45%46%2%8%
align=left Gravis Marketing[124] July 17–18, 20141,179± 3%44%43%—13%
align=left NBC News/Marist[125] July 7–13, 20141,599± 2.5%43%43%1%14%
align=left Quinnipiac University[126] June 12–16, 20141,277± 2.7%44%40%—16%
align=left Vox Populi Polling[127] June 4–5, 2014665± 3.8%44%49%—7%
align=left Loras College[128] June 4–5, 2014600± 4%42%48%—10%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsJune 4–5, 2014750± 4%44%45%3%9%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%45%39%—16%
align=left Hickman Analytics[129] April 24–30, 2014500± 4.4%44%40%—16%
align=left Suffolk University[130] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%38%30%—33%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsMarch 24–25, 2014750± 4%40%37%—23%
align=left Quinnipiac University[131] March 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%42%29%1%27%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%41%35%—23%
align=left Quinnipiac University[132] December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%44%38%1%17%
align=left Harper Polling[133] November 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%42%36%—22%
align=left Public Policy Polling[134] July 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%45%33%—22%

with Braley

Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		Mark
Jacobs (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%42%36%—22%
align=left Hickman AnalyticsApril 24–30, 2014500± 4.4%43%42%—15%
align=left Magellan Strategies[135] April 14–15, 2014808± 3.45%40%41%7%12%
align=left Suffolk University[136] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%37%31%—33%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsMarch 24–25, 2014750± 4%41%38%—21%
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%40%31%1%28%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%41%35%—24%
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%46%37%1%16%
align=left Harper PollingNovember 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%41%37%—22%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%44%32%—24%
Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		Matthew
Whitaker (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%43%36%—21%
align=left Suffolk University[138] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%38%27%—35%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsMarch 24–25, 2014750± 4%40%36%—24%
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%42%30%1%26%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%40%34%—26%
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%43%40%1%17%
align=left Harper PollingNovember 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%41%38%—22%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%43%34%—23%
Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		Steve
King (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%49%38%—13%
align=left Harper PollingJanuary 29, 2013523± 4.3%39%34%—27%
Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		Sam
Clovis (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%43%34%—23%
align=left Suffolk University[139] April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%38%25%—36%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsMarch 24–25, 2014750± 4%44%31%—25%
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%42%27%1%29%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%42%34%—24%
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%45%34%1%20%
align=left Harper PollingNovember 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%40%35%—25%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%43%31%—25%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%49%38%—13%
align=left Harper PollingJanuary 29, 2013523± 4.3%39%34%—27%
Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		Tom
Latham (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%44%41%—15%
align=left Harper PollingJanuary 29, 2013523± 4.3%33%36%—31%
Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		Bob
OtherUndecided
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%46%40%1%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± 3.4%51%33%—16%
align=left Harper PollingJanuary 29, 2013523± 4.3%41%26%—32%
Poll sourceBruce
Braley (D)		David
Young (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%44%36%1%19%
align=left Harper PollingNovember 23–24, 2013985± 3.12%41%35%—24%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%45%32%—24%

with Culver

with Harkin

Poll sourceTom
Harkin (D)		Steve
King (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85%48%37%—15%
align=left Public Policy Polling[141] October 7–10, 2011749± 3.6%49%42%—9%
Poll sourceTom
Harkin (D)		Tom
Latham (R)		OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85%46%37%—17%
align=left Public Policy PollingOctober 7–10, 2011749± 3.6%45%42%—13%

with Loebsack

with Vilsack

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Ernst won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[142]

DistrictErnstBraleyRepresentative
48.3%47.87%Rod Blum
48.91%47.06%Dave Loebsack
52.19%43.89%David Young
59.43%36.17%Steve King

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) won't seek reelection . January 26, 2013 . March 21, 2014 . . Ed O'Keefe.
  2. News: . Joni Ernst Wins GOP Primary In Iowa Senate Race . Huffington Post . June 3, 2014 .
  3. Web site: Wife confirms man killed in plane crash is Senate candidate . October 14, 2014 . October 14, 2014 . kcci.com.
  4. Web site: US Senate Candidate Killed in Eastern Iowa Plane Crash . October 14, 2014 . October 14, 2014 . whotv.com.
  5. Web site: Pilot Killed In Eastern Iowa Plane Crash . October 14, 2014 . October 14, 2014 . woitv.com .
  6. News: Bruce Braley Wins Democratic Primary In Iowa Senate Race . September 4, 2014 . Huffington Post . June 3, 2014.
  7. News: Iowa Rep. Bruce Braley to run for Senate . February 7, 2013 . February 7, 2013 . . Aaron . Blake.
  8. Web site: Candidates for federal, statewide offices . March 14, 2014 . March 21, 2014 . . Jennifer . Jacobs .
  9. Web site: Waterloo Democrat Jeff Danielson won't run for higher office . June 4, 2013 . June 5, 2013 . . Jennifer . Jacobs . https://archive.today/20130620223546/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/06/04/waterloo-democrat-jeff-danielson-wont-run-for-higher-office . June 20, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  10. Web site: Loesback won't seek U.S. Senate seat . January 29, 2013 . February 9, 2013 . . Ed . Tibbetts.
  11. Web site: Iowa House Democratic Leader McCarthy "absolutely" won't seek higher office . https://archive.today/20130408221939/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/01/28/iowa-house-democratic-leader-mccarthy-absolutely-wont-seek-higher-office/article . dead . April 8, 2013 . January 28, 2013 . March 4, 2013 . . William . Petroski .
  12. Web site: Tom Vilsack is Iowans' Senate pick . February 7, 2013 . February 8, 2013 . . Jennifer . Jacobs .
  13. Web site: BREAKING: Vilsack will not seek U.S. Senate seat in 2014 . https://archive.today/20130408020418/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/02/15/breaking-vilsack-will-not-seek-u-s-senate-seat-in-2014 . dead . April 8, 2013 . February 15, 2013 . February 15, 2013 . Des Moines Register . Jennifer . Jacobs .
  14. https://web.archive.org/web/20130226121003/http://conservativeintel.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Iowa_Toplines.pdf Harper Polling
  15. Web site: Rare Convention Presents Hurdle in Iowa Senate Race . July 5, 2013 . September 13, 2013 . Roll Call . Emily . Cahn.
  16. Web site: Iowa GOP Infighting Could Cost a Senate Seat . September 23, 2013 . September 23, 2013 . National Journal . Shane . Goldmacher.
  17. Web site: Branstad says switching GOP convention date is 'a real mistake' . https://archive.today/20130913162127/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/08/26/branstad-says-switching-gop-convention-date-is-a-real-mistake/article . dead . September 13, 2013 . August 26, 2013 . September 13, 2013 . Roll Call . Jason Noble . Jennifer Jacobs .
  18. Web site: GOP chair's commitment to July convention prompts call for his resignation . https://archive.today/20130913162154/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/09/12/despite-controversy-gop-state-convention-will-take-place-a-month-later-than-usual/article?nclick_check=1 . dead . September 13, 2013 . September 12, 2013 . September 13, 2013 . Roll Call . Jason Noble . Jennifer Jacobs .
  19. Web site: Iowa GOP will hold meeting Sept. 23 to review state convention date . https://archive.today/20130923181315/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/09/13/iowa-gop-activists-organizing-special-meeting-to-revisit-convention-date-issue/article . dead . September 23, 2013 . September 13, 2013 . September 23, 2013 . Des Moines Register . Jason Noble .
  20. Web site: Resolution could be near in dispute over Iowa GOP convention date . https://archive.today/20130923181327/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/09/21/resolution-could-be-near-in-dispute-over-iowa-gop-convention-date/article . dead . September 23, 2013 . September 21, 2013 . September 23, 2013 . Des Moines Register . Jennifer Jacobs .
  21. Web site: GOP reverses course on convention dates . September 24, 2013 . September 24, 2013 . Des Moines Register . Jennifer Jacobs .
  22. News: Iowa Senate Candidate Says Castration Gives Her Conservative Cred . April 15, 2014 . Time . March 25, 2014.
  23. News: In Politics, Hog Castration Cuts Through The Ad Clutter . April 15, 2014 . NPR . March 28, 2014.
  24. News: Iowa Senate Candidate Says Castration Gives Her Conservative Cred . April 18, 2014 . Time . March 25, 2014.
  25. News: How did John Boehner's opponent get his campaign ad to go viral? Humor. (+video) . April 20, 2014 . Christian Science Monitor . April 15, 2014.
  26. News: Jimmy Fallon cringes at Joni Ernst's hog-castration ad . April 19, 2014 . Des Moines Register . March 25, 2014.
  27. News: Colbert: I'm pulling for Joni Ernst 'whole hog, or whatever's left' . April 15, 2014 . Des Moines Register . March 27, 2014.
  28. News: Joni Ernst 'Castrating Hogs' Ad: Republican Iowa Senate Candidate Stirs Controversy With Offbeat Campaign Spot [VIDEO] ]. April 15, 2014 . International Business Times . March 25, 2014.
  29. News: How Joni Ernst's ad about 'castrating hogs' transformed Iowa's U.S. Senate race . May 15, 2014 . The Washington Post . May 12, 2014.
  30. News: Sarah Palin endorses "hog castrator" Jodi Ernst in Iowa Senate race . April 20, 2014 . CBS News . March 26, 2014.
  31. News: The Fix's fourth-quarter fundraising winners and losers . April 20, 2014 . CBS News . February 3, 2014.
  32. News: Sarah Palin endorses 'pork-cutting' Joni Ernst in Iowa . April 17, 2014 . Politico . March 26, 2014.
  33. News: Ernst Aims to Be Iowa's First Female Senator . April 18, 2014 . RealClearPolitics . March 9, 2014.
  34. News: Ernst Narrowly Leads GOP Field in Iowa Senate Race . April 9, 2014 . RealClearPolitics . April 9, 2014.
  35. News: Poll: Joni Ernst Takes Lead in Iowa GOP Senate Primary . April 17, 2014 . Weekly Standard . April 9, 2014.
  36. News: Jacobs, Ernst tied in inaugural Loras Poll . April 17, 2014 . TH Online . April 14, 2014.
  37. Web site: Joni Ernst focused on primary in final Iowa debate . Politico . May 29, 2014 . June 2, 2014 . James Hohmann.
  38. Web site: Iowa Senate Primary Becomes 2016 Battleground . May 31, 2014 . May 31, 2014 . Roll Call . Alexis Levinson . June 2, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140602080749/http://atr.rollcall.com/iowa-senate-primary-becomes-2016-battleground/ . dead .
  39. Web site: Ad Deluge Intensifies in Final Week Before Iowa Senate Primary . May 28, 2014 . May 31, 2014 . Roll Call . Alexis Levinson . May 30, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140530065615/http://atr.rollcall.com/iowa-senate-race-mark-jacobs-primary/ . dead .
  40. Web site: Sioux City radio host Sam Clovis joins U.S. Senate race . June 10, 2013 . June 12, 2013 . Des Moines Register . Jennifer . Jacobs.
  41. Web site: Republican Joni Ernst joins U.S. Senate race . Jacobs . Jennifer . July 10, 2013 . July 11, 2013 . https://archive.today/20130711132953/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/07/10/republican-joni-ernst-joins-u-s-senate-race/article . July 11, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  42. Web site: Iowa's GOP Senate Field Grows Again . Emily Cahn . November 13, 2013 . November 13, 2013 . November 13, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131113033753/http://atr.rollcall.com/iowas-gop-senate-field-grows-again/ . dead .
  43. Web site: Kuemper alum Schaben plans U.S. Senate bid . July 5, 2013 . July 10, 2013 . Daily Times Herald . Douglas . Burns . October 14, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131014231925/http://carrollspaper.com/main.asp?Search=1&ArticleID=15991&SectionID=1&SubSectionID=335&S=1 . dead .
  44. Web site: GOP Senate Candidate Announces in Iowa . May 7, 2013 . May 7, 2013 . . Kyle . Trygstad . June 7, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130607050615/http://atr.rollcall.com/gop-gets-senate-candidate-in-iowa/ . dead .
  45. Web site: GOP's Matt Whitaker says he's running for U.S. Senate . May 6, 2013 . May 7, 2013 . Des Moines Register . Jennifer . Jacobs . https://archive.today/20130628235944/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/05/06/gops-matt-whitaker-says-hes-running-for-u-s-senate/article . June 28, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  46. Web site: U.S. Senate candidate David Young changes gears, will run for Congress instead . https://archive.today/20140102201955/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2014/01/02/u-s-senate-candidate-david-young-changes-gears-will-run-for-congress-instead/article . dead . January 2, 2014 . January 2, 2014 . January 2, 2014 . Des Moines Register . Jason . Noble .
  47. Web site: Branstad not interested in Harkin's seat; Reynolds keeping options open . January 28, 2013 . January 28, 2013 . . Rod . Boshart.
  48. Web site: Who among Republicans may eye Harkin's Senate seat? . January 26, 2013 . January 27, 2013 . . Jennifer . Jacobs .
  49. Web site: The U.S. Senate race in Iowa . July 18, 2013 . December 9, 2013 . SteveDeace.com . Steve . Deace . https://web.archive.org/web/20131207202045/http://stevedeace.com/news/national-politics/the-u-s-senate-race-in-iowa/ . December 7, 2013 . dead .
  50. Web site: Iowa Senate GOP leader Dix won't run for U.S. Senate or Congress in 2014 | Des Moines Register Staff Blogs . https://archive.today/20130220015504/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/01/28/iowa-senate-gop-leader-dix-wont-run-for-u-s-senate-or-congress-in-2014 . dead . February 20, 2013 . Blogs.desmoinesregister.com . August 16, 2015 .
  51. Web site: After much consideration... . December 7, 2013 . December 9, 2013 . Twitter . David . Fischer.
  52. Web site: Potential Republican candidate drops from Senate race . May 16, 2013 . May 20, 2013 . Des Moines Register . Jennifer . Jacobs .
  53. Web site: Harkin retirement: Jump ball in Iowa . January 26, 2013 . January 27, 2013 . . James . Hohmann.
  54. Web site: King Passes on Senate Run . May 3, 2013 . May 4, 2013 . Political Wire . Taegan . Goddard . https://web.archive.org/web/20130508000805/http://politicalwire.com/archives/2013/05/03/king_passes_on_senate_run.html . May 8, 2013 . dead .
  55. Web site: Latham tells Iowa Republicans he isn't running for U.S. Senate in 2014 . https://archive.today/20130408021457/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/02/27/latham-email-says-hes-not-interested-in-u-s-senate-campaign/article . dead . April 8, 2013 . Blogs.desmoinesregister.com . August 16, 2015 .
  56. Web site: Bill Northey Passes on Iowa Race #IASEN . May 2, 2013 . May 2, 2013 . Roll Call . Kyle . Trygstad . May 6, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130506050233/http://atr.rollcall.com/bill-northey-passes-on-iowa-race-iasen/ . dead .
  57. Web site: Report: Reynolds not running for Senate in Iowa . April 23, 2013 . April 23, 2013 . The Hill . Alexandra . Jaffe.
  58. Web site: IA-Sen: Rod Roberts rules out running . Bleeding Heartland . February 20, 2014 . February 22, 2014 . February 27, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140227120710/http://www.bleedingheartland.com/diary/6763/iasen-rod-roberts-rules-out-running . dead .
  59. Web site: Iowa Secretary of State passes up Senate bid . May 29, 2013 . May 30, 2013 . Sioux City Journal.
  60. Web site: Tibbetts . Ed . Harkin won't seek another Senate term . Globegazette.com . January 26, 2013 . August 16, 2015.
  61. Web site: Register Exclusive: Bob Vander Plaats will not run for Senate . . Jacobs . Jennifer . February 15, 2014 . February 15, 2014 .
  62. Web site: IA Sen- Brad Zaun Not Running . March 11, 2013 . March 12, 2013 . Bleeding Heartland . June 20, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130620021356/http://www.bleedingheartland.com/diary/6108/iasen-brad-zaun-not-running . dead .
  63. http://images.politico.com/global/2014/02/17/jacobs_poll_memo_hill_research.html Hill Research Consultants*
  64. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_225.pdf Public Policy Polling
  65. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  66. https://web.archive.org/web/20140416205815/http://www.loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/7e/7e96b49b-d87d-4572-9d1b-5c1b4d8ac344.pdf Loras College
  67. https://web.archive.org/web/20140517020649/http://www.harperpolling.com/polls/iowa-senate-gop-primary-poll Harper Polling^
  68. https://web.archive.org/web/20140517115040/http://www.loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2014/Ernst-Clear-Frontrunner-in-Iowa-GOP-U-S-Senate-Pri.aspx Loras College
  69. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_Iowa%200521.pdf Public Policy Polling
  70. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/05/31/joni-ernst-senate-iowa-poll/9822271/ Des Moines Register
  71. http://images.politico.com/global/2013/11/26/iowapoll.html The Polling Company
  72. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_020513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  73. https://www.scribd.com/doc/124005788/IA-Sen-R-Wenzel-Strategies-Feb-2013 Wenzel Strategies
  74. Web site: U.S. Senate candidates Braley and Ernst agree to 3 debates . Qctimes.com . August 28, 2014 . August 16, 2015.
  75. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  76. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 20, 2018.
  77. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  78. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 . Real Clear Politics . September 20, 2018.
  79. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/IAResults.pdf Public Policy Polling
  80. Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  81. https://web.archive.org/web/20141103184405/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2110 Quinnipiac University
  82. http://cdn.americanprogressaction.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/IAPoll_toplines.pdf Public Policy Polling
  83. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/11/01/iowa-poll-joni-ernst-leads-bruce-braley/18345157/ Iowa Poll
  84. http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/uim532sqyk/toplines_likely_IA.pdf YouGov
  85. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/31/fox-news-poll-iowa-senate-race/ Fox News
  86. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/iowa/election_2014_iowa_senate Rasmussen Reports
  87. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/10/31/iowasenatepoll.pdf CNN/ORC
  88. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Reuters_Ipsos_Iowa_103114.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  89. https://web.archive.org/web/20141029130432/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2103 Quinnipiac
  90. https://web.archive.org/web/20141028182840/http://loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/cf/cfc0b5ab-7022-4a39-bc9a-73d4aa84c583.pdf Loras College
  91. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  92. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/IApolls/IA141018/Complete%20October%2026,%202014%20Iowa%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf NBC News/Marist
  93. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-poll-of-likely-voters/ Gravis Marketing
  94. https://web.archive.org/web/20141030192342/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/aabe1590-1bbe-458d-8c71-c3ee4dec4c5b.pdf Monmouth University
  95. https://web.archive.org/web/20141023130402/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2100 Quinnipiac University
  96. https://web.archive.org/web/20141021054340/http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/iowa-senate-poll-10-17-14.pdf Public Policy Polling
  97. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/10_15_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  98. Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  99. https://archive.today/20141015114401/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2095 Quinnipiac University
  100. https://web.archive.org/web/20141012195855/http://www.businessweek.com/pdfs/2106_methodology_document_BBG_11_12_Oct.pdf Iowa Poll
  101. http://tlcpolitical.com/braley-holds-narrow-lead-iowa/ Morey Group
  102. http://images.politico.com/global/2014/10/06/p4i_toplines.pdf Magellan
  103. https://web.archive.org/web/20141007131409/http://loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/1a/1aac6084-c648-4db7-9365-5f14eb90cbfe.pdf Loras College
  104. http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/iowa_october_2014_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news_marist_poll.pdf NBC News/Marist
  105. http://www.wvwvaf.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/WVWV-graphs-100614-FINAL.pdf Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
  106. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-results/ Gravis Marketing
  107. http://images.politico.com/global/2014/10/01/smpiowa_20141001_publicmemo.html Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
  108. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_9301982.pdf Public Policy Polling
  109. Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
  110. https://www.scribd.com/doc/241257578/IA-Sen-Harstad-Research-for-DSCC-Sept-2014 Harstad Research
  111. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/2014/09/27/iowa-poll-joni-ernst-leads-bruce-braley/16351013/ Iowa Poll
  112. Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Other 1%
  113. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/09/17/senate-battleground-iowa/ Fox News
  114. https://web.archive.org/web/20140917131141/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2079 Quinnipiac University
  115. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/09/12/topia1.pdf CNN/ORC
  116. https://web.archive.org/web/20140908201835/http://www.loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/c5/c5708672-a96e-4d06-94e6-fc1e49c2ed57.pdf Loras College
  117. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-iowa/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  118. https://web.archive.org/web/20140911064618/http://www.atfactionfund.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/PPP-Iowa-Poll-Topline-Results.pdf Public Policy Polling
  119. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_27_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk
  120. Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 1%
  121. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_826930.pdf Public Policy Polling
  122. Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 0%
  123. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  124. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-gravis-marketing-human-events/ Gravis Marketing
  125. https://web.archive.org/web/20140717052302/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/Partner%20RSS%20Feeds%20and%20Grid%20Packages/NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll%202014%20Iowa%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_July%202014.pdf NBC News/Marist
  126. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Quinnipiac_IA_061814.pdf Quinnipiac University
  127. http://images.politico.com/global/2014/06/08/iowa_june_sen__gub_-_toplines.html Vox Populi Polling
  128. https://web.archive.org/web/20140629013405/http://www.loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/7f/7fcb90d1-64be-4331-967d-16b8ed3c24ee.pdf Loras College
  129. https://web.archive.org/web/20140508025328/http://buildkxlnow.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/IA-topline-tables.pdf Hickman Analytics
  130. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  131. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2019 Quinnipiac University
  132. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=1990 Quinnipiac University
  133. https://web.archive.org/web/20131130055609/http://www.conservativeintel.com/conservative-intel-poll-iasen-surprisingly-competitive-1125 Harper Polling
  134. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_Iowa_710.pdf Public Policy Polling
  135. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_Iowa_0414.pdf Magellan Strategies
  136. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  137. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  138. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  139. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  140. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_051712.pdf Public Policy Polling
  141. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_1013424.pdf Public Policy Polling
  142. Web site: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "2014 United States Senate election in Iowa".

Except where otherwise indicated, Everything.Explained.Today is © Copyright 2009-2024, A B Cryer, All Rights Reserved. Cookie policy.