2016 United States Senate election in Idaho explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in Idaho
Country:Idaho
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States Senate election in Idaho
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in Idaho
Next Year:2022
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:Mike Crapo 113th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Mike Crapo
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:449,017
Percentage1:66.13%
Nominee2:Jerry Sturgill
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:188,249
Percentage2:27.73%
Image3:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Ray Writz
Party3:Constitution Party (United States)
Popular Vote3:41,677
Percentage3:6.14%
Map Size:150px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Mike Crapo
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Mike Crapo
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States Senate election in Idaho was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held May 17.

Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Third Party and Independent Candidates

Constitution Party

Declared

Results

Independents

Candidates

Withdrawn

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Crapo (R)
Jerry
Sturgill (D)
Ray
Writz (C)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[13] November 1–7, 2016612± 4.6% align=center58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[14] October 31–November 6, 2016557± 4.6% align=center58%36%4%
SurveyMonkey[15] October 28–November 3, 2016498± 4.6% align=center61%35%4%
SurveyMonkey[16] October 27–November 2, 2016442± 4.6% align=center60%34%6%
SurveyMonkey[17] October 26–November 1, 2016394± 4.6% align=center61%32%7%
SurveyMonkey[18] October 25–31, 2016447± 4.6% align=center61%34%5%
Emerson College[19] October 21–23, 20161,023± 3.0% align=center57%24%12%7%
Dan Jones & Associates[20] August 18–31, 2016602± 4.0% align=center57%20%4%4%15%
Dan Jones & Associates[21] July 5–16, 2016601± 4.0% align=center57%20%4%4%15%
Lake Research Partners[22] July 5–10, 2016500± 4.4% align=center37%35%2%25%
Dan Jones & Associates[23] May 18–June 4, 2016603± 4.0% align=center48%25%7%9%10%
Dan Jones & Associates[24] April 8–19, 2016603± 4.0% align=center53%17%5%5% align=center20%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[25] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[27] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[28] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[29] November 7, 2016

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Crapo won both congressional districts.[30]

DistrictCrapoSturgillRepresentative
69%25%Raúl Labrador
63%30%Mike Simpson

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Crapo says he'll seek another term . . Russell . Betsy Z. . August 18, 2014 . August 29, 2014.
  2. Web site: Crapo announces he'll run for a fourth term in the U.S. Senate . . Russell . Betsy Z. . May 12, 2015 . May 29, 2015.
  3. Web site: RRHElections Senate Rankings – April 2015 . RRH Elections . April 18, 2015 . October 3, 2015.
  4. Web site: Fulcher endorses Crapo for re-election . . Russell . Betsy Z. . June 10, 2015 . October 3, 2015.
  5. News: Labrador won't run for Senate . . Easley . Jonathan . February 13, 2015 . February 16, 2015.
  6. Web site: Declaration for 2016 . March 13, 2016.
  7. Web site: Democrats Have Issues with Crapo, But No Candidate . Idaho Politics Weekly . Malloy . Chuck . July 5, 2015 . October 3, 2015.
  8. Web site: Crapo Announces Re-Election Bid, Campaign Team . . Brown . Nathan . May 13, 2015 . October 7, 2015.
  9. Web site: Federal Lands, Refugees and Regulations Drive Crapo Town Hall in Castleford . . Brown . Nathan . August 12, 2015 . October 7, 2015.
  10. Web site: Idaho primary: Who's running for county, state, federal office. Idaho Statesman . March 11, 2016 . March 24, 2016 .
  11. Web site: July Quarterly and Termination Report . . July 6, 2015 . October 7, 2015.
  12. https://www.c-span.org/video/?417294-1/idaho-senate-debate Full debate
  13. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  14. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  15. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  16. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  17. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  18. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
  19. http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_06bcdf8a3e564f1ea6549d31229f4d73.pdf Emerson College
  20. http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1228-poll-crapo-simpson-and-labrador-enjoying-healthy-leads Dan Jones & Associates
  21. http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1163-poll-crapo-labrador-and-simpson-all-have-big-leads-ahead-of-november Dan Jones & Associates
  22. https://www.scribd.com/document/324804457/ID-Sen-Lake-Research-Partners-for-Jerry-Sturgill-July-2016 Lake Research Partners
  23. http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1093-poll-top-incumbents-leading-ahead-of-november-election Dan Jones & Associates
  24. http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1028-poll-crapo-labrador-and-simpson-all-lead-their-re-election-bids Dan Jones & Associates
  25. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  26. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  27. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  28. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  29. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  30. Web site: DRA 2020 . 2024-08-20 . Daves Redistricting.