2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii
Country:Hawaii
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii
Previous Year:2014
(special)
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii
Next Year:2022
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:Brian Schatz, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Brian Schatz
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:306,604
Percentage1:73.61%
Nominee2:John Carroll
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:92,653
Percentage2:22.24%
Map Size:300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Brian Schatz
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Brian Schatz
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii was held November 8, 2016, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 13. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Brian Schatz won reelection to his first full term in office, defeating Republican former state legislator John Carroll.

Background

In 2011, Daniel Inouye announced that he planned to run for a record tenth term in 2016, when he would have been 92 years old.[1] [2] He also said, "I have told my staff and I have told my family that when the time comes, when you question my sanity or question my ability to do things physically or mentally, I don't want you to hesitate, do everything to get me out of here, because I want to make certain the people of Hawaii get the best representation possible."[3]

Inouye died on December 17, 2012.[4] Hawaii Governor Neil Abercrombie appointed Lieutenant Governor Brian Schatz, a Democrat, to succeed Inouye. Schatz won a 2014 special election to serve the remainder of Inouye's term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Former

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Other primaries

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared

Results

Constitution

Candidates

Declared

Results

American Shopping

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Schatz defeated Carroll on election day, winning his second election to the U.S. Senate and his first full term after being appointed to the seat in 2012 following the death of Daniel Inouye. This was his largest margin of victory, as he won over 4% more of the electorate in this election.

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Brian Schatz (D)[11] $3,316,074$1,195,572$3,074,380
John Carroll (R)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[12] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[14] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[15] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[16] November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brian
Schatz (D)
John
Carroll (R)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey[17] November 1–7, 2016426± 4.6% align=center70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey[18] October 31–November 6, 2016426± 4.6% align=center67%29%4%
SurveyMonkey[19] October 28–November 3, 2016435± 4.6% align=center68%26%6%
SurveyMonkey[20] October 27–November 2, 2016424± 4.6% align=center70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey[21] October 26–November 1, 2016428± 4.6% align=center70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey[22] October 25–31, 2016467± 4.6% align=center69%27%4%

Results

By congressional district

Schatz won both congressional districts.[23]

DistrictSchatzCarrollRepresentative
74%22%Colleen Hanabusa
73%22%Tulsi Gabbard

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Sen. Daniel Inouye goes silent on big Hawaiian race . Politico . April 12, 2011 . Manu Raju and John Bresnahan.
  2. Web site: Hamilton . Chris . The Maui News - Inouye has more he wants to do for (Hawaii Senator emphasizes need for Democrats to remain in control) . The Maui News . September 2, 2012.
  3. Web site: Sen. Akaka: "God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012" . April 26, 2010 . March 3, 2011 . . Ron . Mizutani . https://web.archive.org/web/20110713145454/http://www.khon2.com/news/local/story/Sen-Akaka-God-willing-I-Plan-to-Run-Again-in-2012/SawY7oCPAUWYz4rHaROnDw.cspx . July 13, 2011 . dead . mdy-all .
  4. News: Hawaii Sen. Daniel Inouye dies at age 88 . Washington Post . December 17, 2012.
  5. Web site: Federal State County Sorted by: Contest . Hawaii Secretary of State . June 8, 2016.
  6. Web site: Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 . Roll Call . January 28, 2015 . January 29, 2015 . Emily Cahn . Alexis Levinson . https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ . January 29, 2015 . dead .
  7. Web site: Dan Inouye and Brian Schatz: A Lesson in Hawaii Politics . Honolulu Civil Beat . December 26, 2015 . August 18, 2014 . Stephen O'Harrow.
  8. Web site: Tulsi Gabbard Looks to Be Running for Re-election . Honolulu Civil Beat . December 26, 2015 . March 14, 2015 . Chad . Blair.
  9. Web site: Leadership Lessons from the Late Sen. Daniel Inouye . .
  10. Web site: Charles Collins for US Senate . December 29, 2015.
  11. Web site: Schatz, Brian — Candidate for Senate . Federal Elections Commission . August 15, 2016.
  12. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  13. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  14. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  15. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  16. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  17. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  18. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  19. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  20. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  21. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  22. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
  23. Web site: Dra 2020 .