2018 United States Senate election in Delaware explained

Election Name:2018 United States Senate election in Delaware
Country:Delaware
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States Senate election in Delaware
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2024 United States Senate election in Delaware
Next Year:2024
Election Date:November 6, 2018
Turnout:52.18%
Image1:Tom Carper, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Tom Carper
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:217,385
Percentage1:59.95%
Nominee2:Rob Arlett
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:137,127
Percentage2:37.81%
Map Size:210px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Tom Carper
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Tom Carper
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018.[1] The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper was re-elected to a fourth, and ultimately final, term. Despite Carper's victory, Arlett managed to flip Sussex County, typically a reliably Republican county in Delaware. This subsequently marked the first time Carper lost the county since his first election to the Senate in 2000.

Background

Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.

Carper, the incumbent U.S. Senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously faced a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitive Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.

The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran for Senate in seven other states.[2] Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide to win the Republican nomination.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018, for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts.[7] [8] Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.

Results

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which did not run a candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.

Candidates

Declared

General election

Endorsements

Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary.

Debates

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono
On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a 2-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt.[18] Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.[19]

with Tom Carper and Rob Arlett
The debate gained national attention after Republican candidate Rob Arlett brought up Democratic senator Tom Carper’s past controversy of domestic abuse.

with Tom Carper, Rob Arlett, Nadine Frost, and Demitri Theodoropoulos

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[20] October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[21] November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[23] April 9, 2018
Fox News[24] July 9, 2018
CNN[25] July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[26] June 2018
FiveThirtyEight[27] September 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Carper (D)
Rob
Arlett (R)
Nadine
Frost (L)
Demitri
Undecided
University of Delaware[28] September 11–17, 2018728 LV align=center61%24%3%3%9%
908 RV± 3.7% align=center60%22%5%2%12%
Gravis MarketingJuly 24–29, 2018884± 3.3% align=center47%39%14%

with Tom Carper and Gene Truono

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Rob Arlett

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018 - Ballotpedia. December 23, 2017.
  2. Web site: California businessman running for US Senate in Delaware--and 7 other states. wdel.com.
  3. kailanikm. 889605582868664320. Sen. Tom Carper (D-DE) announced in interview w/ @ChrisJansing on #MTPDaily right now that he's running for re-election in 2018.. July 24, 2017. July 24, 2017.
  4. Web site: Dover community activist to challenge Tom Carper.
  5. Web site: BOOKER, TYKIEM - Candidate overview - FEC.gov. FEC.gov.
  6. Web site: FILED CANDIDATES BY OFFICE. Delaware Department of Elections.
  7. Web site: Tom Carper Agrees to Debate Kerri Harris as Reinforcements Arrive for Insurgent Challenger. Ryan. Grim. August 11, 2018. September 19, 2018.
  8. Web site: Watch Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Sen. Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris debate. September 19, 2018.
  9. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Delaware_July_29_2018_v2.pdf Gravis Marketing
  10. News: Sussex Councilman Arlett Announces U.S. Senate Bid. WBOC-TV. Salisbury, MD. April 17, 2018. April 17, 2018.
  11. Web site: TRUONO, EUGENE (GENE) J JR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov. FEC.gov.
  12. News: Republican U.S. Senate candidate Chuck Boyce dropping out of race. The News Journal. Goss. Scott. March 22, 2017. March 19, 2018.
  13. News: Former candidate Chuck Boyce endorses Rob Arlett for U.S. Senate. WXDE. Petree. Rob. April 23, 2018. April 28, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180423211120/http://www.delaware1059.com/news/former-candidate-chuck-boyce-endorses-rob-arlett-for-u-s/article_c9d661ba-46fe-11e8-bde1-6f01db839e65.html. April 23, 2018. dead.
  14. Web site: State of Delaware - Department of Elections · New Castle County Office - 2016 Filed Candidates. electionsncc.delaware.gov. March 19, 2018. March 20, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180320170012/https://electionsncc.delaware.gov/candidates/2018/2018_filed.shtml. dead.
  15. Web site: Candidates file for primaries. September 19, 2018.
  16. Web site: Declared Write-In Candidates, November 6, 2018 General Election . State of Delaware Department of Elections . August 24, 2018.
  17. Web site: The Green Papers: Delaware 2016 General Election. The Green Papers. September 10, 2018.
  18. Web site:
      • Live from GHADA US Senate candidates debate/forum**
    . Facebook.
  19. Web site: Delaware Senate Candidates Debate Set for August 27.
  20. Web site: 2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018. The Cook Political Report. March 13, 2021.
  21. Web site: 2018 Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. March 13, 2021.
  22. Web site: 2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings. Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 11, 2017.
  23. Web site: Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings. Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  24. Web site: 2018 Senate Power Rankings. Fox News. July 10, 2018.
  25. Web site: Key Races: Senate. July 15, 2018.
  26. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2018. July 15, 2018.
  27. Web site: Delaware - 2018 Senate Forecast . FiveThirtyEight. September 11, 2018 . September 25, 2018.
  28. https://www.cpc.udel.edu/content-sub-site/Documents/CPC%20poll%209-25-18%20FINAL%20RELEASE.pdf University of Delaware