2014 United States Senate election in Alaska explained

Election Name:	2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
Country:	Alaska
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2008 United States Senate election in Alaska
Previous Year:	2008
Next Election:	2020 United States Senate election in Alaska
Next Year:	2020
Election Date:	November 4, 2014
Image1:	File:Senator Dan Sullivan official (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Dan Sullivan
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	135,445
Percentage1:	47.96%
Nominee2:	Mark Begich
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	129,431
Percentage2:	45.83%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:	Mark Begich
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Dan Sullivan
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the election of the governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mark Begich ran for re-election to a second term in office. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014. Begich was renominated and the Republicans picked former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan.^[1]

On November 7, Sullivan held an 8,000-vote lead,^[2] which on November 11 had shrunk slightly to 7,991 votes.^[3] Multiple media outlets called the race for Sullivan on November 12^{[4] [5]} and Begich conceded to Sullivan on November 17.^{[6] [7]} Republican Sean Parnell simultaneously lost the gubernatorial election to independent candidate Bill Walker, marking just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which U.S. Senate and gubernatorial incumbents from different political parties were simultaneously defeated in the same state.^[8]

Background

Democrat Mark Begich won the 2008 election, defeating seven-term Republican incumbent Ted Stevens by just under 4,000 votes. A few days before the election, Stevens had been convicted of a felony, but the case against Stevens was later dismissed by the Justice Department after the election, when serious issues of prosecutorial misconduct emerged. In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney easily won Alaska by 13 points, which made Begich a prime target during an election cycle in which Republicans needed a net gain of six seats to retake control of the Senate.

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Democratic candidates

Declared

• Mark Begich, incumbent U.S. Senator^[9]
• William Bryk, attorney and perennial candidate from New York^[10]

Alaskan Independence candidates

Declared

• Zachary Kile, orthopedic surgeon^[11]
• Vic Kohring, former Republican state representative^[11]

Libertarian candidates

Declared

• Mark Fish, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party, former Sarah Palin and Joe Miller staffer and Republican nominee for the state house in 2008^[12]
• Scott Kohlhaas, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party and perennial candidate^[13]
• Thom Walker, University of Alaska Brooks Range research station operations manager^{[12] [14]}

Declined

• Joe Miller, former magistrate judge, Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014^{[15] [16]}

Subsequent events

In an upset, the unknown Thom Walker won the Libertarian nomination despite not campaigning and raising no money. Libertarians speculated that he was a Republican "plant" designed to keep a more viable Libertarian from winning the nomination and then taking votes away from the Republican nominee in the general election. They further speculated that Walker was chosen because he shared a surname with Bill Walker (no relation), who was running as an independent candidate in the 2014 gubernatorial election, and that voters may have been confused because Bill Walker did not appear on the primary ballot and thus they may have voted for Thom Walker in error. This confusion could have extended to the general election, with voters picking Thom Walker for the Senate, thinking he was Bill Walker.^[17]

Walker withdrew from the race on August 27, saying that "my work location and schedule will have me out of town, out of contact and off the campaign trail for too long." The Libertarian executive board replaced him as the nominee with Mark Fish.^[18]

Alaskan Independence nominee Vic Kohring, who had changed his voter registration from Republican to Alaskan Independence just before the filing deadline, withdrew from the race on September 2 and endorsed Dan Sullivan. The Alaskan Independence Party did not name a replacement nominee before the deadline for them to do so had passed.^[19]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• John Jaramillo, air force veteran^[20]
• Joe Miller, former U.S. magistrate judge and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[21]
• Dan Sullivan, former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources and former Alaska Attorney General^[22]
• Mead Treadwell, Lieutenant Governor of Alaska^[23]

Withdrew

• Kathleen Tonn, anti-abortion activist^{[24] [25]}

Declined

• Timothy Mark Burgess, judge on the United States District Court for the District of Alaska^[26]
• Loren Leman, former lieutenant governor^[27]
• Lesil McGuire, state senator^{[28] [29]}
• Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008 ^[30]
• Sean Parnell, Governor of Alaska (ran for re-election and lost)^[31]
• Dan Sullivan, Mayor of Anchorage (ran for Lieutenant Governor and lost)^[32]

Filed

• Ted Stevens, former U.S. Senator. Stevens had filed to run for his old seat,^[9] but he was killed in a plane crash on August 9, 2010.^[33]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	John Jaramillo	Loren Leman	Joe Miller	Sarah Palin	Sean Parnell	Dan A. Sullivan	Dan S. Sullivan	Kathleen Tonn	Mead Treadwell	Other/ Undecided
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)^[34]	August 4–5, 2014	500	—	—	—	17%	—	—	—	align=center	42%	—	25%	16%
Public Policy Polling^[35]		337	± 5.3%	2%	—	20%	—	—	—	align=center	35%	—	29%	14%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)^[36]	July 29–31, 2014	375	± 5.5%	—	—	16%	—	—	—	align=center	35%	—	27%	22%
Hellenthal & Assoc.^[37]	June 17–28, 2014	—	—	—	—	21%	—	—	—	align=center	35%	—	31%	13%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)^[38]	June 16–18, 2014	500	—	—	—	13%	—	—	—	align=center	36%	—	27%	24%
Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)^[39]	May 27–29, 2014	500	± 4.4%	—	—	12%	—	—	—	align=center	37%	—	35%	16%
Public Policy Polling^[40]	May 8–11, 2014	313	± 5.5%	3%	—	14%	—	—	—	align=center	40%	—	26%	17%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)^[41]	April 27–28, 2014	—	—	—	—	12%	—	—	—	align=center	38%	—	22%	29%
Public Policy Polling^[42]		442	± 4.7%	2%	—	20%	—	—	—	align=center	30%	4%	25%	19%
Ivan Moore^[43]	December 15–22, 2013	335	—	—	—	19%	—	—	—	29%	—	align=center	34%	18%
Public Policy Polling^[44]	July 25–28, 2013	507	± 4.4%	—	—	12%	align=center	36%	—	—	15%	—	26%	11%
	—	—	24%	—	—	—	25%	—	align=center	33%	19%
	—	—	30%	—	—	—	—	—	align=center	53%	18%
Harper Polling^[45]	May 6–7, 2013	379	± 5.0%	—	—	14%	align=center	32%	—	—	—	—	30%	24%
	—	—	19%	align=center	52%	—	—	—	—	—	29%
Public Policy Polling^[46]	February 4–5, 2013	537	± 4.2%	—	16%	17%	—	align=center	24%	19%	—	—	14%	11%
	—	20%	19%	—	—	align=center	29%	—	—	23%	9%
Harper Polling^[47]	January 29–30, 2013	1,157	± 2.9%	—	—	12%	27%	align=center	32%	—	—	—	14%	15%

Results

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Ted Gianoutsos, founder of the Veterans Party of Alaska and perennial candidate^[48]
• Sid Hill, political gadfly^{[48] [49]}
• Stubbs, cat and mayor of Talkeetna, Alaska^[50]

Declined

• Joe Miller, former magistrate judge and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010^{[51] [16]}

General election

Fundraising

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on Hand	Debt
	Mark Begich (D)	$7,918,887	$8,487,590	$721,505	0
	Dan Sullivan (R)	$6,093,368	$7,579,632	$449,506	$43,000

Debates

Begich and Sullivan participated in a televised debate regarding fisheries on August 27, 2014, at the University of Alaska Anchorage.^[52] Another televised debate concerning natural resources was held on October 1 in Kodiak, Alaska.^[53]

• Complete video of debate

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[54]		November 3, 2014
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[55]		November 3, 2014
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report^[56]		November 3, 2014
align=left	Real Clear Politics^[57]		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Dan Sullivan (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[58]	align=center rowspan=2	November 1–2, 2014	align=center rowspan=2	1,052	align=center rowspan=2	± 3.0%	45%	align=center	46%	4%^[59]	5%
	46%	align=center	47%	—	7%
Rasmussen Reports^[60]	October 27–30, 2014	887	± 4.0%	42%	align=center	47%	—	11%
Ivan Moore^[61]	October 24–26, 2014	544	—	align=center	48%	42%	7%	4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov^[62]	October 16–23, 2014	561	± 9.0%	44%	align=center	48%	0%	9%
Harstad Strategic Research^[63]	October 18–22, 2014	700	—	44%	44%	4%	7%
Hellenthal & Associates^[64]	October 15–21, 2014	403	± 4.9%	align=center	49%	39%	7%^[65]	6%
Rasmussen Reports	October 8–12, 2014	700	± 4.0%	45%	align=center	48%	3%	3%
Fox News^[66]	October 4–7, 2014	706	± 3.5%	40%	align=center	44%	6%^[67]	10%
CNN/ORC^[68]	align=center rowspan=2	October 1–6, 2014	704 LV	± 3.5%	44%	align=center	50%	—	5%
	875 RV	± 3.4%	44%	align=center	48%	—	8%
Hickman Analytics^[69]	September 26 – October 2, 2014	400	± 4.9%	41%	align=center	46%	4%^[70]	9%
CBS News/New York Times^[71]	September 20 – October 1, 2014	593	± 5.0%	42%	align=center	48%	2%	8%
Rassmussen Reports^[72]	September 23–24, 2014	750	± 4.0%	43%	align=center	48%	5%	4%
Marc Hellenthal^[73]	September 12–24, 2014	400	—	42%	align=center	46%	7%^[74]	5%
Public Policy Polling^[75]	align=center rowspan=2	September 18–21, 2014	align=center rowspan=2	880	align=center rowspan=2	± 3.3%	41%	align=center	43%	5%^[76]	11%
	42%	align=center	45%	—	13%
Dittman^[77]	September 14–17, 2014	800	± 3.5%	43%	align=center	49%	—	8%
Hays Research/AFL-CIO^[78]	September 13–14, 2014	500	± 4.4%	align=center	41%	36%	align=center colspan=2	23%
Harstad Strategic Research^[79]	September 7–10, 2014	709	± 4.0%	align=center	45%	40%	7%	8%
CBS News/New York Times^[80]	August 18 – September 2, 2014	412	± 6.0%	38%	align=center	43%	6%	12%
Harstad Strategic Research	August 24–27, 2014	807	± 4.0%	align=center	41%	40%	10%	8%
ccAdvertising^[81]	August 21–24, 2014	4,403	—	31%	align=center	42%	—	27%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20–21, 2014	750	± 4%	45%	align=center	47%	3%	4%
Public Policy Polling	align=center rowspan=2	July 31 – August 1, 2014	align=center rowspan=2	673	align=center rowspan=2	± 3.8%	align=center	43%	37%	7%^[82]	12%
	align=center	45%	41%	—	14%
Harstad Strategic Research	July 20–24, 2014	808	± 4.0%	align=center	44%	37%	10%	9%
CBS News/New York Times^[83]	July 5–24, 2014	452	± 5.2%	align=center	46%	35%	9%	10%
Basswood Research^[84]	June 29–30, 2014	500	± 4.4%	40%	align=center	45%	—	15%
Moore Information (R-Sullivan)^[85]	June 16–18, 2014	500	± 4.0%	43%	43%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	May 8–11, 2014	582	± 4.1%	align=center	42%	37%	7%^[86]	14%
Moore Information (R-Sullivan)^[87]	April 27–28, 2014	500	± 4.0%	align=center	44%	42%	—	14%
Magellan Strategies^[88]	April 14, 2014	603	± 4.0%	41%	align=center	46%	7%	6%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19–20, 2014	750	± 4.0%	44%	44%	3%	9%
Public Policy Polling	January 30 – February 1, 2014	850	± 3.4%	align=center	41%	37%	9%^[89]	13%
Harper Polling^[90]	January 20–22, 2014	677	± 3.8%	41%	align=center	47%	—	12%
Harper Polling^[91]	September 24–25, 2013	731	± 3.6%	align=center	43%	41%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	align=center	46%	39%	—	15%

with Leman

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Loren Leman (R)	Zachary Kile (AIP)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	align=center	50%	40%	—	—	10%

with Miller

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Joe Miller (R)	Zachary Kile (AIP)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 31 – August 1, 2014	673	± 3.8%	align=center	45%	32%	—	12%^[92]	11%
Public Policy Polling	May 8–11, 2014	582	± 4.1%	align=center	43%	27%	4%	2%^[93]	23%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19–20, 2014	750	± 4%	align=center	49%	38%	—	3%	10%
Public Policy Polling	January 30 – February 1, 2014	850	± 3.4%	align=center	45%	25%	5%	3%	21%
Harper Polling	January 20–22, 2014	677	± 3.76%	align=center	51%	32%	—	—	17%
Harper Polling	September 24–25, 2013	731	± 3.62%	align=center	55%	28%	—	—	18%
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	align=center	55%	32%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	align=center	58%	30%	—	—	12%
Harper Polling^[94]	January 29–30, 2013	1,157	± 2.88%	align=center	52%	29%	—	—	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Dan Sullivan (R)	Joe Miller (I)	Other	Undecided
Hays Research Group^[95]	February 9, 2014	502	± 3.3%	align=center	45%	33%	10%	—	—

with Palin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Sarah Palin (R)	Zachary Kile (AIP)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 8–11, 2014	582	± 4.1%	align=center	41%	35%	6%	3%	15%
Public Policy Polling	January 30 – February 1, 2014	850	± 3.4%	align=center	44%	40%	4%	2%	11%
Hays Research Group^[96]	August 14–15, 2013	388	± 4.9%	align=center	55%	37%	—	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	align=center	52%	40%	—	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	align=center	54%	38%	—	—	8%
Harper Polling	January 29–30, 2013	1,157	± 2.88%	align=center	47%	40%	—	—	13%

with Parnell

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Sean Parnell (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	48%	48%	4%
Harper Polling	January 29–30, 2013	1,157	± 2.88%	40%	align=center	46%	14%

with Dan A. Sullivan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Dan A. Sullivan (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	align=center	47%	41%	12%

with Treadwell

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Mark Begich (D)	Mead Treadwell (R)	Zachary Kile (AIP)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	align=center rowspan=2	July 31 – August 1, 2014	align=center rowspan=2	673	align=center rowspan=2	± 3.8%	align=center	42%	37%	—	8%^[97]	12%
	align=center	44%	41%	—	—	15%
CBS News/New York Times	July 5–24, 2014	452	± 5.8%	align=center	47%	45%	—	9%	10%
Public Policy Polling	May 8–11, 2014	582	± 4.1%	align=center	41%	33%	6%	3%^[98]	17%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19–20, 2014	750	± 4%	43%	align=center	47%	—	3%	6%
Public Policy Polling	January 30 – February 1, 2014	850	± 3.4%	align=center	43%	37%	5%	2%	13%
Harper Polling	January 20–22, 2014	677	± 3.76%	41%	align=center	47%	—	—	12%
Harper Polling	September 24–25, 2013	731	± 3.62%	align=center	43%	42%	—	—	15%
Hays Research Group^[99]	August 14–15, 2013	388	± 4.9%	align=center	50.4%	38.5%	—	—	11.1%
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	890	± 3.3%	align=center	44%	40%	—	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	1,129	± 2.9%	align=center	47%	39%	—	—	14%
Harper Polling	January 29–30, 2013	1,157	± 2.88%	align=center	44%	34%	—	—	22%

Results

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Fairbanks North Star (largest city: Fairbanks)
• Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
• Petersburg

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped Republican to Democratic

• Aleutians East Borough (largest city: Akutan)

See also

• 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election
• 2014 United States Senate elections
• 2014 United States elections
• Stubbs (cat), notable write-in candidate and honorary Mayor of Talkeetna, Alaska

External links

• • U.S. Senate elections in Alaska, 2014 at Ballotpedia
• Alaska Senate debate excerpts, OnTheIssues.org
• Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets

Campaign websites

• Mark Begich for U.S. Senate
• Dan Sullivan for U.S. Senate
• Vic Kohring for U.S. Senate

Notes and References

1. Web site: 2014 Election Dates and Hours. https://web.archive.org/web/20121230005101/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ei_ed_2013_dates.php. dead. December 30, 2012. State of Alaska Division of Elections. State of Alaska Division of Elections. April 2, 2014.
2. Web site: After noisy U.S. Senate campaign, both candidates go quiet with votes still uncounted. Alaska Dispatch News. November 6, 2014. November 7, 2014.
3. News: Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election. November 11, 2014. November 12, 2014. Alaska Dispatch News.
4. Web site: Republican Dan Sullivan Beats Sen. Mark Begich to Win Alaska Race. NBC News. November 12, 2014. November 15, 2014.
5. Web site: Another Senate Loss for Democrats. The Atlantic. November 12, 2014. November 15, 2014.
6. Web site: Republicans Take the Senate – Debates Continue on Health Care and Immigration Reform – The Bi-College News. https://web.archive.org/web/20141129054101/http://www.biconews.com/2014/11/17/republicans-take-the-senate-debates-continue-on-health-care-and-immigration-reform/. dead. November 29, 2014.
7. Joseph, Cameron. Begich concedes Alaska Senate race, The Hill, November 17, 2014.
8. Web site: Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat . Smart Politics . Eric . Ostermeier . November 19, 2014.
9. Web site: Stevens files candidacy for 2014 election . ADN.com . April 8, 2009 . November 5, 2012 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20121004230017/http://www.adn.com/2009/04/08/753646/stevens-files-candidacy-for-2014.html . October 4, 2012 .
10. Web site: Zaz Hollander. Brooklyn lawyer takes on Begich - without leaving home. Anchorage Daily News. November 21, 2013. November 22, 2013.
11. Web site: Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates. KENI. June 3, 2014. June 4, 2014. Scott Rhode.
12. Web site: Alaska Libertarian Mark Fish runs for U.S. Senate seat. Amanda Coyne. May 14, 2014. June 4, 2014. Amanda Coyne.
13. Web site: U.S. Senate — Scott Kohlhaas. NewsMiner.com. August 18, 2014. August 22, 2014.
14. Web site: Walker wins primary … for Libertarian Senate nomination. KTOO. August 22, 2014. August 22, 2014. Alexandra Gutierrez.
15. Web site: Sen. Begich faces tough reelection challenge in GOP-friendly Alaska. Roll Call. Cameron. Joseph. June 26, 2014. June 26, 2014.
16. Web site: Joe Miller says he'll back GOP nominee against Begich in Alaska. The Hill. August 15, 2014. August 15, 2014. Cameron. Joseph.
17. Web site: Walker -- no, the other Walker -- wins Libertarian US Senate nomination. Alaska Dispatch New. August 22, 2014. September 19, 2014.
18. Web site: Alaska Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate withdraws. Alaska Dispatch New . August 27, 2014. September 19, 2014.
19. Web site: Independence party candidate exits US Senate race. NewsMiner.com. September 3, 2014. September 19, 2014.
20. Web site: Joe Miller takes another step toward 2014 US Senate run. May 28, 2013. July 9, 2013. Alaska Dispatch. Ben. Anderson.
21. Web site: Joe Miller files papers for Senate. May 28, 2013. May 29, 2013. Politico. Alexander. Burns.
22. Web site: Alaska Senate race 2014: Dan Sullivan to run. September 12, 2013. September 12, 2013. Politico. James. Hohmann.
23. Web site: Republican Announces Begich Challenge. June 18, 2013. June 18, 2013. Roll Call. Kyle. Trygstad.
24. Web site: Begala scheduled to headline fundraiser for Democrat Begich in Alaska. July 16, 2013. August 13, 2013. Newsminer.
25. Web site: Tonn Out of Senate Primary Race. February 1, 2014. April 6, 2014. Alaska Commons. Bailey. Chris.
26. Web site: Miller Mulls a Begich Challenge. February 23, 2013. February 27, 2013. Anchorage Daily News. Rich. Mauer.
27. Web site: Alaska: Republicans Lining Up to Take on Mark Begich. November 13, 2012. February 27, 2013. Roll Call. Kyle. Trygstad.
28. Web site: McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor. June 5, 2013. June 10, 2013. Anchorage Daily News. Kyle. Hopkins. https://web.archive.org/web/20130609163114/http://www.adn.com/2013/06/05/2928145/mcguire-files-to-run-for-lieutenant.html. June 9, 2013. dead.
29. Web site: McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline. June 2, 2014. June 4, 2014. Anchorage Daily News. https://web.archive.org/web/20140606203448/http://www.adn.com/2014/06/02/3498565/mcguire-withdraws-from-lieutenant.html?sp=%2F99%2F100%2F&ihp=1. June 6, 2014. dead.
30. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/12/sarah-palin-tw-shannon_n_4951731.html Sarah Palin Ups Her 2014 Game, Endorses In Competitive GOP Senate Primary
31. Web site: Neither Democrats nor Republicans shocked Parnell is running again. May 4, 2013. May 25, 2013. Alaska Dispatch. Pat. Forgey.
32. Web site: Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race. May 23, 2013. May 25, 2013. The Rothenberg Political Report. Nathan L.. Gonzales.
33. News: Former Senator Ted Stevens Killed in Plane Crash. The New York Times. William. Yardley. Liz. Robbins. August 10, 2010.
34. http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-has-sullivan-surging-leading-treadwell-by-17-points-miller-by-25/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
35. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_8051205.pdf Public Policy Polling
36. http://amandacoyne.com/politics/polls-show-tightening-in-gop-senate-primary/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
37. http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-shows-a-tightening-in-senate-race-oil-tax-repeal-winning/ Hellenthal & Assoc.
38. https://web.archive.org/web/20140701033239/http://juneauempire.com/state/2014-06-26/dan-sullivan-still-leads-primary-pack#.U7JGjtxvX-s/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
39. http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-shows-gop-senate-candidates-treadwell-and-sullivan-neck-and-neck/ Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)
40. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_513.pdf Public Policy Polling
41. https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/205191-sullivan-narrowly-trails-begich-in-internal-poll/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)
42. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_204.pdf Public Policy Polling
43. http://amandacoyne.com/politics/early-republican-senate-race-poll-released/ Ivan Moore
44. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_073013.pdf Public Policy Polling
45. http://harperpolling.com/polls/alaska-senate-primary-palin-leads#palin Harper Polling
46. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_020713.pdf Public Policy Polling
47. https://web.archive.org/web/20130203211803/http://conservativeintel.com/2013/01/31/palin-in-u-s-senate-poll/ Harper Polling
48. News: November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List. August 22, 2014. Alaska Secretary of State. https://web.archive.org/web/20140820200902/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2014_genr.php. August 20, 2014. dead.
49. Web site: Crowded field files for state elections. June 6, 2014. August 22, 2014. Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman. Andrew Wellner.
50. News: A Cat Mayor Just 'Announced' His Campaign For Senate In Alaska . Campbell . Colin . November 4, 2014 . Business Insider . July 24, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170805024433/http://www.businessinsider.com/a-cat-mayor-just-announced-his-campaign-for-senate-in-alaska-2014-11 . August 5, 2017 . live .
51. Web site: She Can See This Disaster From Her House. April 22, 2014. April 24, 2014. Politico. Forrest A. Nabors.
52. News: Tough topic, tough audience for Sullivan in debate with Begich on fisheries issues in Kodiak . Alaska Dispatch News . Nathaniel . Herz . October 1, 2014.
53. News: Begich, Sullivan spar over natural resources in US Senate debate . Alaska Dispatch News . Nathaniel . Herz . October 23, 2014.
54. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . July 20, 2018.
55. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 3, 2014 . July 20, 2018.
56. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . July 20, 2018.
57. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 . Real Clear Politics . July 20, 2018.
58. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/AKResults.pdf Public Policy Polling
59. Mark Fish (L) 2%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%
60. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/alaska/election_2014_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports
61. http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ivan-moore-21129 Ivan Moore
62. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
63. https://web.archive.org/web/20141025030858/http://www.senatemajority.com/wpress/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Harstad-AlaskaSenate-PollUpdate-Memo.Oct23.pdf Harstad Strategic Research
64. https://www.scribd.com/doc/244305469/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-Hellenthal-Associates-Oct-2014 Hellenthal & Associates
65. Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 4%
66. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/08/fox-news-poll-sullivan-has-44-40-percent-advantage-over-begich-in-alaska/ Fox News
67. Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Other 2%
68. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/10/08/aksenaterace.pdf CNN/ORC
69. https://web.archive.org/web/20141019233602/http://consumerenergyalliance.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/AK-Topline-Tables-Release.pdf Hickman Analytics
70. Mark Fish (L) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%
71. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/New York Times
72. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/alaska/election_2014_alaska_senate Rassmussen Reports
73. http://amandacoyne.com/politics/another-local-poll-shows-senate-candidate-leading-against-begich/#more-6823 Marc Hellenthal
74. Mark Fish (L)
75. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_923925.pdf Public Policy Polling
76. Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%
77. https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/218922-gop-poll-dem-trails-in-alaska-senate-race/ Dittman
78. https://www.scribd.com/doc/239975371/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-for-AFL-CIO-Sept-2014 Hays Research/AFL-CIO
79. https://www.scribd.com/doc/239641767/AK-Sen-Harstad-Research-for-Senate-Majority-PAC Harstad Strategic Research
80. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/2014-battleground-tracker-wave-2-alaska/ CBS News/New York Times
81. http://gallery.mailchimp.com/0a361110a8a816b64fb4521ff/files/AK_FLYER_14_824.pdf ccAdvertising
82. Mark Fish (L) 4%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0%
83. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/New York Times
84. http://amandacoyne.com/politics/maryland-based-pollster-has-sullivan-beating-begich-by-5-points/ Basswood Research
85. https://web.archive.org/web/20140701033239/http://juneauempire.com/state/2014-06-26/dan-sullivan-still-leads-primary-pack#.U7JGjtxvX-s Moore Information (R-Sullivan)
86. Zachary Kile 5%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 1%
87. https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/205191-sullivan-narrowly-trails-begich-in-internal-poll/ Moore Information (R-Sullivan)
88. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_Alaska_0414.pdf Magellan Strategies
89. Zachary Kile 6%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
90. http://www.americancrossroads.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/AC-Toplines-2-7-14.pdf Harper Polling
91. http://images.politico.com/global/2013/10/14/alaska.html Harper Polling
92. Mark Fish (L) 6%, Vic Kohring (AI) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Sidney Hill (I) 1%
93. Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 2%
94. https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/140936-sen-begich-leads-in-gop-poll/ Harper Polling
95. http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20140211/treadwell-camp-says-new-us-senate-poll-ignores-space-time-continuum Hays Research Group
96. https://web.archive.org/web/20140416174109/http://www.haysresearch.com/resources/Hays-Palin-Begich-release-082113.pdf Hays Research Group
97. Mark Fish (L) 5%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0%
98. Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
99. https://web.archive.org/web/20140117042040/http://www.haysresearch.com/resources/Hays-Release-4-Begich-Treadwell.pdf Hays Research Group