1980 United States presidential election explained

Election Name:1980 United States presidential election
Country:United States
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1976 United States presidential election
Previous Year:1976
Election Date:November 4, 1980
Next Election:1984 United States presidential election
Next Year:1984
Votes For Election:538 members of the Electoral College
Needed Votes:270 electoral
Turnout:54.2%[1] 0.6 pp
Image1:Official Portrait of President Reagan 1981-cropped.jpg
Nominee1:Ronald Reagan
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:George H. W. Bush
Electoral Vote1:489
States Carried1:44
Popular Vote1:43,903,230
Percentage1:50.7%
Nominee2:Jimmy Carter
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Georgia
Running Mate2:Walter Mondale
Electoral Vote2:49
States Carried2:6 + DC
Popular Vote2:35,481,115
Percentage2:41.0%
Image3:File: John B. Anderson in New Jersey (cropped).jpg
Nominee3:John B. Anderson
Party3:Independent
Home State3:Illinois
Running Mate3:Patrick Lucey
Electoral Vote3:0
States Carried3:0
Popular Vote3:5,719,850
Percentage3:6.6%
Map Size:350px
President
Before Election:Jimmy Carter
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Ronald Reagan
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 1980 United States presidential election was the 49th quadrennial presidential election, held on November 4, 1980. The Republican nominee, former California governor Ronald Reagan, defeated incumbent Democratic President Jimmy Carter in a landslide victory.

Carter's unpopularity and poor relations with Democratic leaders encouraged an unsuccessful intra-party challenge from Massachusetts Senator Ted Kennedy. Meanwhile, the Republican primaries were contested between former California Governor Ronald Reagan, former Central Intelligence Agency director George H. W. Bush, Illinois Representative John B. Anderson, and several other candidates. All of Reagan's opponents had dropped out by the end of the primaries, and the Republicans nominated a ticket consisting of Reagan and Bush. Anderson entered the general election as an independent candidate with Patrick Lucey, former Wisconsin governor, as his running mate.

Reagan campaigned for increased defense spending, supply-side economic policies, and a balanced budget. His campaign was aided by Democratic dissatisfaction with Carter, the Iran hostage crisis, and a worsening economy marred by stagflation. Carter attacked Reagan as a dangerous right-wing extremist, and warned that Reagan would cut Medicare and Social Security. The Carter campaign was aided early on by the rally 'round the flag effect from the hostage crisis, but as the crisis lasted to election day, it became a detriment.[2]

Reagan won the election in a landslide, with 489 Electoral College votes to Carter's 49 and 50.7% of the popular vote to Carter's 41.0%. Anderson won 6.6% of the popular vote and no electoral votes. Due to the rise of conservatism following Reagan's victory, historians have considered the election a political realignment that began with Barry Goldwater's presidential campaign in 1964. This is the most recent election in which an incumbent Democratic president was not reelected and the only time that a Republican nominee defeated a Democratic incumbent in both the popular and the electoral vote.[3]

Background

Throughout the 1970s, the United States underwent a wrenching period of low economic growth, high inflation and interest rates, and intermittent energy crises.[4] By October 1978, Iran—a major oil supplier to the United States at the time—was experiencing a major uprising that severely damaged its oil infrastructure and greatly weakened its capability to produce oil.[5] In January 1979, shortly after Iran's leader Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi fled the country, Iranian opposition figure Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini ended his 14-year exile in France and returned to Iran to establish an Islamic Republic, largely hostile to American interests and influence in the country. In the spring and summer of 1979, inflation was on the rise and various parts of the United States were experiencing energy shortages.[6]

Carter was widely blamed for the return of the long gas lines in the summer of 1979 that were last seen just after the 1973 Yom Kippur War. He planned on delivering his fifth major speech on energy, but he felt that the American people were no longer listening. Carter left for the presidential retreat of Camp David. "For more than a week, a veil of secrecy enveloped the proceedings. Dozens of prominent Democratic Party leaders—members of Congress, governors, labor leaders, academics and clergy—were summoned to the mountaintop retreat to confer with the beleaguered president." His pollster, Pat Caddell, told him that the American people simply faced a crisis of confidence because of the assassinations of John F. Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King Jr.; the Vietnam War; and Watergate.[7] On July 15, 1979, Carter gave a nationally televised address in which he identified what he believed to be a "crisis of confidence" among the American people. This came to be known as his "Malaise speech", although Carter never used the word in the speech.[8]

Many expected Senator Ted Kennedy to successfully challenge Carter in the upcoming Democratic primary. Kennedy's official announcement was scheduled for early November. A television interview with Roger Mudd of CBS a few days before the announcement went badly, however. Kennedy gave an "incoherent and repetitive"[9] answer to the question of why he was running, and the polls, which showed him leading Carter by 58–25 in August now had him ahead 49–39.[10] Kennedy was also politically scarred by the 1969 Chappaquiddick incident;[11] the controversy had been a major reason for Kennedy's decision to not run for president in 1972 and 1976.[12]

Meanwhile, Carter was given an opportunity for political redemption when the Khomeini regime again gained public attention and allowed the taking of 52 American hostages by a group of Islamist students and militants at the U.S. embassy in Tehran on November 4, 1979. Carter's calm approach towards the handling of this crisis resulted in his approval ratings jump in the 60-percent range in some polls, due to a "rally round the flag" effect.[13]

By the beginning of the election campaign, the prolonged Iran hostage crisis had sharpened public perceptions of a national crisis.[14] On April 25, 1980, Carter's ability to use the hostage crisis to regain public acceptance eroded when his high risk attempt to rescue the hostages ended in disaster when eight servicemen were killed. The unsuccessful rescue attempt drew further skepticism towards his leadership skills.[15]

Following the failed rescue attempt, Carter took overwhelming blame for the Iran hostage crisis, in which the followers of the Ayatollah Khomeini burned American flags and chanted anti-American slogans, paraded the captured American hostages in public, and burned Carter in effigy. Carter's critics saw him as an inept leader who had failed to solve the worsening economic problems at home. His supporters defended the president as a decent, well-intentioned man being unfairly criticized for problems that had been escalating for years.[16]

When the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan in late 1979, Carter seized international leadership in rallying opposition. He cut off American grain sales, which hurt Soviet consumers and annoyed American farmers. In terms of prestige, the Soviets were deeply hurt by the large-scale boycott of their 1980 Summer Olympics. Furthermore, Carter began secret support of the opposition forces in Afghanistan that successfully tied down the Soviet army for a decade. The effect was to end détente and reopen the Cold War.[17] [18]

Nominations

Republican Party

See main article: 1980 Republican Party presidential primaries.

1980 Republican Party ticket
for Presidentfor Vice President
33rd
Governor of California
(1967–1975)
11th
Director of Central Intelligence
(1976–1977)
Campaign

Other major candidates

The following candidates were frequently interviewed by major broadcast networks and cable news channels, were listed in publicly published national polls, or had held a public office. Reagan received 7,709,793 votes in the primaries.

Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
George H. W. BushJohn B. AndersonPhil CraneBob DoleJohn Connally
Director of
Central Intelligence

(1976–1977)
Representative from
Illinois's 16th district
(1961–1981)
Representative from
Illinois's 12th district
(1973–1993)
Senator from Kansas
(1969–1996)
Secretary of
the Treasury
from Texas
(1971–1972)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign

May 26, 1980
: June 14, 1980
3,070,033 votes

April 24, 1980
1,572,174 votes

April 17, 1980
: April 17, 1980
97,793 votes

March 15, 1980
: March 30, 1980
7,204 votes

March 9, 1980
: March 25, 1980
82,625 votes

Howard BakerLarry PresslerLowell P. Weicker Jr.Harold StassenBen Fernandez
Senator from Tennessee
(1967–1985)
Senator from South Dakota
(1979–1997)
Senator from Connecticut
(1971–1989)
Governor of Minnesota
(1939–1943)
United States Special Envoy to Paraguay from California
(1973)

March 5, 1980
: April 20, 1980
181,153 votes

January 8, 1980
: March 21, 1980
0 votes

May 16, 1979
0 votes

n/a
25,425 votes

n/a
25,520 votes

Former governor Ronald Reagan of California was the odds-on favorite to win his party's nomination for president after nearly beating incumbent President Gerald Ford just four years earlier. Reagan dominated the primaries early, driving from the field Senate Minority Leader Howard Baker from Tennessee, former governor John Connally of Texas, Senator Robert Dole from Kansas, Representative Phil Crane from Illinois, and Representative John Anderson from Illinois, who dropped out of the race to run as an Independent. George H. W. Bush from Texas posed the strongest challenge to Reagan with his victories in the Pennsylvania and Michigan primaries, but it was not enough to turn the tide. Reagan won the nomination on the first round at the 1980 Republican National Convention in Detroit, Michigan, in July, then chose Bush (his top rival) as his running mate. Reagan, Bush, and Dole would all go on to be the nominees in the next four elections. (Reagan in 1984, Bush in 1988 and 1992, and Dole in 1996).

Democratic Party

See main article: 1980 Democratic Party presidential primaries.

1980 Democratic Party ticket
for Presidentfor Vice President
39th
President of the United States
(1977–1981)
42nd
Vice President of the United States
(1977–1981)
Campaign

Other major candidates

The following candidates were frequently interviewed by major broadcast networks, were listed in published national polls, or had held public office. Carter received 10,043,016 votes in the primaries.

Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Ted KennedyJerry BrownCliff FinchWilliam Proxmire
U.S. Senator from Massachusetts
(1962–2009)
Governor of California
(1975–1983)
Governor of Mississippi
(1976–1980)
U.S. Senator from Wisconsin
(1957–1989)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign

August 11, 1980
7,381,693 votes

April 2, 1980
575,296 votes

N/A
48,032 votes

N/A
0 votes

The three major Democratic candidates in early 1980 were incumbent President Jimmy Carter, Senator Ted Kennedy of Massachusetts, and Governor Jerry Brown of California. Brown withdrew on April 2. Carter and Kennedy faced off in 34 primaries. Not counting the 1968 election in which Lyndon Johnson withdrew his candidacy, this was the most tumultuous primary race that an elected incumbent president had encountered since President Taft, during the highly contentious election of 1912.

During the summer of 1980, there was a short-lived "Draft Muskie" movement; Secretary of State Edmund Muskie was seen as a favorable alternative to a deadlocked convention. One poll showed that Muskie would be a more popular alternative to Carter than Kennedy, implying that the attraction was not so much to Kennedy as to the fact that he was not Carter. Muskie was polling even with Ronald Reagan at the time, while Carter was seven points behind.[19] Although the underground "Draft Muskie" campaign failed, it became a political legend.[20]

After defeating Kennedy in 24 of 34 primaries, Carter entered the party's convention in New York in August with 60 percent of the delegates pledged to him on the first ballot. Still, Kennedy refused to drop out. At the convention, after a futile last-ditch attempt by Kennedy to alter the rules to free delegates from their first-ballot pledges, Carter was renominated with 2,129 votes to 1,146 for Kennedy. Vice President Walter Mondale was also renominated. In his acceptance speech, Carter warned that Reagan's conservatism posed a threat to world peace and progressive social welfare programs from the New Deal to the Great Society.[21]

Other candidates

1980 Independent ticket
for Presidentfor Vice President
U.S. Representative from Illinois(1961–1981)United States Ambassador to Mexico(1977–1979)
John B. Anderson was defeated in the Republican primaries, but entered the general election as an independent candidate. He campaigned as a liberal Republican alternative to Reagan's conservatism. Anderson's campaign appealed primarily to frustrated anti-Carter voters from Republican and Democratic backgrounds.[22] Anderson's running mate was Patrick Lucey, a Democratic former Governor of Wisconsin and then ambassador to Mexico, appointed by President Carter.

The Libertarian Party nominated Ed Clark for president and David Koch for vice president. They were on the ballot in all 50 states as well as Washington, D.C. The Libertarian Party platform was the only political party in 1980 to contain a plank advocating for the equal rights of homosexual men and women as well as the only party platform to advocate explicitly for "amnesty" for all illegal non-citizens.[23]

The Citizens Party ran biologist Barry Commoner for president and Comanche Native American activist LaDonna Harris for vice president. The Commoner–Harris ticket was on the ballot in twenty-nine states and in the District of Columbia.[24]

General election

Polling

See also: Nationwide opinion polling for the 1980 United States presidential election.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Jimmy
Carter (D)
John
Anderson (I)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup[25] March 31 – April 3, 197846% align="center" 50%-1%3% align="center" 4
ABC-Harris[26] May 14–20, 1978 align="center" 47%46%--7% align="center" 1
Gallup[27] July 7–10, 197843% align="center" 52%-1%4% align="center" 9
Gallup[28] December 8–11, 197835% align="center" 57%-2%5% align="center" 22
ABC-Harris[29] December 21–26, 197838% align="center" 55%--7% align="center" 17
Gallup[30] March 23–26, 197938% align="center" 52%-3%7% align="center" 14
ABC-Harris[31] March, 197946% align="center" 49%--5% align="center" 3
ABC-Harris[32] May, 197945% align="center" 47%--8% align="center" 2
ABC-Harris[33] June, 1979 align="center" 51%43%--6% align="center" 8
GallupJune 22–25, 1979 align="center" 49%45%-1%5% align="center" 4
Gallup[34] July 13–15, 1979 align="center" 52%42%-2%4% align="center" 10
ABC-Harris[35] July 28–29, 1979 align="center" 51%44%--5% align="center" 7
Gallup[36] August 3–6, 197942% align="center" 47%-4%7% align="center" 5
ABC-Harris[37] September 1–5, 1979 align="center" 50%45%--5% align="center" 5
Gallup[38] September 7–10, 197946% align="center" 47%-2%5% align="center" 1
ABC-Harris[39] September 26 – October 1, 197945% align="center" 52%--3% align="center" 7
GallupOctober 12–15, 197942% align="center" 48%-3%7% align="center" 6
ABC-Harris[40] November 7–10, 197942% align="center" 53%--5% align="center" 11
Gallup[41] November 16–19, 197941% align="center" 53%-1%5% align="center" 12
Gallup[42] December 7–9, 197936% align="center" 60%-1%3% align="center" 24
ABC-Harris[43] December 14–16, 197936% align="center" 59%--5% align="center" 23
Gallup[44] January 4–6, 198032% align="center" 63%-1%4% align="center" 31
ABC-Harris[45] January 22, 198031% align="center" 65%--4% align="center" 34
Gallup[46] February 1–3, 198032% align="center" 59%-3%6% align="center" 27
ABC-HarrisJanuary 31 – February 4, 198032% align="center" 64%--4% align="center" 32
Gallup[47] February 29 – March 2, 198034% align="center" 57%-3%6% align="center" 23
ABC-Harris[48] March 5–8, 198040% align="center" 58%--2% align="center" 18
ABC-Harris[49] March 13–15, 198040% align="center" 55%--5% align="center" 15
ABC-HarrisMarch 26–30, 198047% align="center" 50%--3% align="center" 3
Gallup[50] March 28–30, 198043% align="center" 48%-2%7% align="center" 5
34% align="center" 39%21%1%5% align="center" 5
ABC-HarrisApril 8, 1980 align="center" 48%45%--7% align="center" 3
align="center" 38% align="center" 38%22%-1%0
GallupApril 11–13, 198044% align="center" 49%-1%6% align="center" 5
34% align="center" 41%18%1%6% align="center" 7
ABC-Harris[51] April 25, 1980 align="center" 42%33%19%-6%9
Gallup[52] April 26–27, 198043% align="center" 47%--10% align="center" 4
35% align="center" 40%19%-6% align="center" 5
ABC-Harris[53] April 26–30, 1980 align="center" 39%33%23%-5% align="center" 6
Gallup[54] May 2–5, 198040% align="center" 47%--13% align="center" 7
33% align="center" 38%21%-7% align="center" 5
GallupMay 16–18, 198041% align="center" 49%--10% align="center" 8
32% align="center" 40%21%-7% align="center" 8
Gallup[55] May 30 – June 2, 198039% align="center" 50%--11% align="center" 11
32% align="center" 39%21%-8% align="center" 7
ABC-Harris[56] June 5–9, 1980 align="center" 51%44%--5% align="center" 7
align="center" 39%34%24%-3% align="center" 5
GallupJune 13–16, 1980 align="center" 45%42%--13% align="center" 3
33% align="center" 35%24%-8% align="center" 2
GallupJune 27–30, 1980 align="center" 47%41%--12% align="center" 6
align="center" 37%32%22%-9% align="center" 5
Gallup[57] [58] July 11–14, 1980 align="center" 37%34%21%-8% align="center" 3
Gallup[59] July 11–13, 1980 align="center" 43%34%16%-7% align="center" 9
July 14–17: Republican National Convention
ABC-Harris[60] [61] July 18–21, 1980 align="center" 61%33%--6% align="center" 28
align="center" 49%23%25%-3% align="center" 24
Gallup[62] August 1–3, 1980 align="center" 45%31%14%-10% align="center" 14
ABC-Harris[63] August 5–6, 1980 align="center" 57%36%--7% align="center" 21
align="center" 48%28%19%-5% align="center" 20
August 11–14: Democratic National Convention
Gallup[64] [65] August 15–17, 198040% align="center" 46%--14% align="center" 6
align="center" 39%38%14%1%8% align="center" 1
ABC-Harris[66] August 14–18, 1980 align="center" 42%36%17%-5% align="center" 6
Gallup[67] August 15–18, 198038% align="center" 39%13%-10% align="center" 1
ABC-Harris[68] September 3–7, 1980 align="center" 41%37%17%-5% align="center" 4
Gallup[69] September 12–15, 1980 align="center" 41%37%15%-7% align="center" 4
ABC-Harris[70] September 22, 1980 align="center" 42%36%19%-3% align="center" 6
align="center" 48%46%--6% align="center" 2
ABC-Harris[71] October 3–6, 1980 align="center" 43%39%14%-4% align="center" 4
Gallup[72] October 10–12, 1980 align="center" 45%42%8%-5% align="center" 3
ABC-Harris[73] October 14–16, 1980 align="center" 42%39%12%-7% align="center" 3
Gallup[74] October 17–20, 198040% align="center" 41%10%-9% align="center" 1
ABC-Harris[75] October 22–25, 1980 align="center" 45%42%10%-3% align="center" 3
Washington Post[76] October 26–27, 1980 align="center" 43%39%7%-11% align="center" 4
Newsweek-GallupOctober 29–30, 1980 align="center" 44%43%7%1%5% align="center" 4
ABC-HarrisOctober 30 – November 1, 1980 align="center" 45%40%10%1%4% align="center" 5
CBS-New York TimesOctober 30 – November 1, 1980 align="center" 44%43%8%-5% align="center" 1
Gallup[77] October 30 – November 1, 1980 align="center" 46%43%7%1%3% align="center" 3
Election ResultsNov. 4, 198050.75%41.01%6.61%1.63%- align="center" 9.74

Campaign

Reagan gained in former Democratic strongholds such as the South and white ethnics dubbed "Reagan Democrats",[78] and exuded upbeat optimism.[79] David Frum says Carter ran an attack-based campaign based on "despair and pessimism" which "cost him the election."[80] Carter emphasized his record as a peacemaker, and said Reagan's election would threaten civil rights and social programs that stretched back to the New Deal. Reagan's platform also emphasized the importance of peace, as well as a prepared self-defense.

Immediately after the conclusion of the primaries, a Gallup poll held that Reagan was ahead, with 58% of voters upset by Carter's handling of the presidency. One analysis of the election has suggested that "Both Carter and Reagan were perceived negatively by a majority of the electorate."[81] While the three leading candidates (Reagan, Anderson and Carter) were religious Christians, Carter had the most support of evangelical Christians according to a Gallup poll. However, in the end, Jerry Falwell's Moral Majority lobbying group is credited with giving Reagan two-thirds of the white evangelical vote.[82] According to Carter: "that autumn [1980] a group headed by Jerry Falwell purchased $10 million in commercials on southern radio and TV to brand me as a traitor to the South and no longer a Christian."[83]

The election of 1980 was a key turning point in American politics. It signaled the new electoral power of the suburbs and the Sun Belt. Reagan's success as a conservative would initiate a realigning of the parties, as Rockefeller-style Republicans and conservative Democrats would either leave politics or change party affiliations through the 1980s and 1990s to leave the parties much more ideologically polarized. While during Barry Goldwater's 1964 campaign, many voters saw his warnings about a too-powerful government as hyperbolic and only 30% of the electorate agreed that government was too powerful, by 1980 a majority of Americans believed that government held too much power.[84]

Promises

Reagan promised a restoration of the nation's military strength, at the same time 60% of Americans polled felt defense spending was too low.[85] Reagan also promised an end to "trust me government" and to restore economic health by implementing a supply-side economic policy. Reagan promised a balanced budget within three years (which he said would be "the beginning of the end of inflation"), accompanied by a 30% reduction in tax rates over those same years. With respect to the economy, Reagan famously said, "A recession is when your neighbor loses his job. A depression is when you lose yours. And recovery is when Jimmy Carter loses his." Reagan also criticized the "windfall profit tax" that Carter and Congress enacted that year in regards to domestic oil production and promised to attempt to repeal it as president.[86] The tax was not a tax on profits, but on the difference between the price control-mandated price and the market price.[87]

On the issue of women's rights there was much division, with many feminists frustrated with Carter, the only major-party candidate who supported the Equal Rights Amendment. After a bitter Convention fight between Republican feminists and antifeminists the Republican Party dropped their forty-year endorsement of the ERA.[88] Reagan, however, announced his dedication to women's rights and his intention to, if elected, appoint women to his cabinet and the first female justice to the Supreme Court.[89] He also pledged to work with all 50 state governors to combat discrimination against women and to equalize federal laws as an alternative to the ERA. Reagan was convinced to give an endorsement of women's rights in his nomination acceptance speech.

Carter was criticized by his own aides for not having a "grand plan" for the recovery of the economy, nor did he ever make any campaign promises; he often criticized Reagan's economic recovery plan, but did not create one of his own in response.

Events

In August, after the Republican National Convention, Ronald Reagan gave a campaign speech at the annual Neshoba County Fair on the outskirts of Philadelphia, Mississippi, where three civil rights workers were murdered in 1964. He was the first presidential candidate ever to campaign at the fair.[90] Reagan famously announced, "Programs like education and others should be turned back to the states and local communities with the tax sources to fund them. I believe in states' rights. I believe in people doing as much as they can at the community level and the private level."[79] Reagan also stated, "I believe we have distorted the balance of our government today by giving powers that were never intended to be given in the Constitution to that federal establishment." He went on to promise to "restore to states and local governments the power that properly belongs to them."[91] President Carter criticized Reagan for injecting "hate and racism" by the "rebirth of code words like 'states' rights'".Two days later, Reagan appeared at the Urban League convention in New York, where he said, "I am committed to the protection and enforcement of the civil rights of black Americans. This commitment is interwoven into every phase of the plans I will propose." He then said that he would develop "enterprise zones" to help with urban renewal.

The media's main criticism of Reagan centered on his gaffes. When Carter kicked off his general election campaign in Tuscumbia, Reagan—referring to the Southern U.S. as a whole—claimed that Carter had begun his campaign in the birthplace of the Ku Klux Klan. In doing so, Reagan seemed to insinuate that the KKK represented the South, which caused many Southern governors to denounce Reagan's remarks.[92] Additionally, Reagan was widely ridiculed by Democrats for saying that trees caused pollution; he later said that he meant only certain types of pollution and his remarks had been misquoted.[93]

Meanwhile, Carter was burdened by a continued weak economy and the Iran hostage crisis. Inflation, high interest rates, and unemployment continued through the course of the campaign, and the ongoing hostage crisis in Iran became, according to David Frum in How We Got Here: The '70s, a symbol of American impotence during the Carter years. John Anderson's independent candidacy, aimed at eliciting support from liberals, was also seen as hurting Carter more than Reagan, especially in reliably Democratic states such as Massachusetts and New York.

Presidential debates

See main article: 1980 United States presidential debates.

Debates among candidates for the 1980 U.S. presidential election!No.!Date!Host!Location!Panelists!Moderator!Participants!Viewership
(millions)
P1Sunday, September 21, 1980Baltimore Convention CenterBaltimore, MarylandCarol Loomis
Daniel Greenberg
Charles Corddry
Lee May
Jane Bryant Quinn
Soma Golden
Bill MoyersFormer Governor Ronald Reagan
Congressman John Anderson
n/a
P1aTuesday, October 28, 1980Public AuditoriumCleveland, OhioMarvin Stone
Harry Ellis
William Hilliard
Barbara Walters
Howard K. SmithFormer Governor Ronald Reagan
President Jimmy Carter
80.6[94]

The League of Women Voters, which had sponsored the 1976 Ford/Carter debate series, announced that it would do so again for the next cycle in the spring of 1979. Carter steadfastly refused to participate in a debate if Anderson was included, and Reagan refused to debate without him. A League-sponsored debate was held on September 21, 1980, in the Baltimore Convention Center. Of Carter's refusal to debate, Reagan said: "He [Carter] knows that he couldn't win a debate even if it were held in the Rose Garden before an audience of Administration officials with the questions being asked by Jody Powell".[95] Anderson, who many thought would handily dispatch Reagan, managed only a narrow win, according to many in the media at that time, with Reagan putting up a much stronger performance than expected. Despite the narrow win in the debate, Anderson, who had been as high as 20% in some polls, and at the time of the debate was over 10%, dropped to about 5% soon after. Anderson failed to substantively engage Reagan enough on their social issue differences and on Reagan's advocation of supply-side economics. Instead, Anderson started off by criticizing Carter: "Governor Reagan is not responsible for what has happened over the last four years, nor am I. The man who should be here tonight to respond to those charges chose not to attend," to which Reagan added: "It's a shame now that there are only two of us here debating, because the two that are here are in more agreement than disagreement."[96] In one moment in the debate, Reagan commented on a rumor that Anderson had invited Senator Ted Kennedy to be his running mate by asking the candidate directly, "John, would you really prefer Teddy Kennedy to me?"[97]

As September turned into October, the situation remained essentially the same. Reagan insisted Anderson be allowed to participate in a three-way debate, while Carter remained steadfastly opposed to this. As the standoff continued, the second debate was canceled, as was the vice presidential debate.

With two weeks to go to the election, the Reagan campaign decided at that point that the best thing to do was to accede to all of President Carter's demands. The final debate, featuring only Carter and Reagan, was rescheduled for October 28 in Cleveland, Ohio. The showdown ranked among the highest ratings of any television program in the previous decade. Debate topics included the Iranian hostage crisis and nuclear arms. Carter's campaign sought to portray Reagan as a reckless "war hawk", as well as a "dangerous right-wing radical". But it was President Carter's reference to his consultation with 12-year-old daughter Amy concerning nuclear weapons policy that became the focus of post-debate analysis and fodder for late-night television jokes. President Carter said he had asked Amy what the most important issue in that election was and she said, "the control of nuclear arms." A famous political cartoon, published the day after Reagan's landslide victory, showed Amy Carter sitting in Jimmy's lap with her shoulders shrugged asking "the economy? the hostage crisis?"

When President Carter criticized Reagan's record, which included voting against Medicare and Social Security benefits, former Governor Reagan audibly sighed and replied: "There you go again".[98]

In his closing remarks, Reagan asked viewers: "Are you better off now than you were four years ago? Is it easier for you to go and buy things in the stores than it was four years ago? Is there more or less unemployment in the country than there was four years ago? Is America as respected throughout the world as it was? Do you feel that our security is as safe, that we're as strong as we were four years ago? And if you answer all of those questions 'yes', why then, I think your choice is very obvious as to whom you will vote for. If you don't agree, if you don't think that this course that we've been on for the last four years is what you would like to see us follow for the next four, then I could suggest another choice that you have".[99]

After trailing Carter by eight points among registered voters (and by three points among likely voters) right before their debate, Reagan moved into a three-point lead among likely voters immediately afterward.[100]

Endorsements

In September 1980, former Watergate scandal prosecutor Leon Jaworski accepted a position as honorary chairman of Democrats for Reagan.[85] Five months earlier, Jaworski had harshly criticized Reagan as an "extremist"; he said after accepting the chairmanship, "I would rather have a competent extremist than an incompetent moderate."[85]

Former Democratic Senator Eugene McCarthy of Minnesota (who in 1968 had challenged Lyndon B. Johnson from the left, causing the then-President to all but abdicate) endorsed Reagan.[101]

Three days before the election, the National Rifle Association of America endorsed a presidential candidate for the first time in its history, backing Reagan.[102] Reagan had received the California Rifle and Pistol Association's Outstanding Public Service Award. Carter had appointed Abner J. Mikva, a fervent proponent of gun control, to a federal judgeship and had supported the Alaska Lands Bill, closing 40000000acres to hunting.[103]

General election endorsements

Anderson had received endorsements from:

Former officeholders
Current and former state and local officials and party officeholders
  • Massachusetts
    Celebrities, political activists, and political commentators
    Newspapers

    Carter had received endorsements from:

    Newspapers

    Commoner had received endorsements from:

    Celebrities, political activists, and political commentators

    DeBerry had received endorsements from:

    Celebrities, political activists and political commentators

    Reagan had received endorsements from:

    United States Senate
    United States House of Representatives
    Governors and State Constitutional officers
    Current and former state and local officials and party officeholders
  • Florida

    New York

    Celebrities, political activists and political commentators
    Newspaper endorsements

    Results

    The election was held on November 4, 1980.[140] Ronald Reagan and running mate George H. W. Bush defeated the Carter-Mondale ticket by almost 10 percentage points in the popular vote. The electoral college vote was a landslide, with 489 votes (representing 44 states) for Reagan and 49 for Carter (representing six states and Washington, D.C.). Republicans also gained control of the Senate for the first time since 1954.[141]

    NBC News projected Reagan as the winner at 8:15 pm EST (5:15 PST), before voting was finished in the West, based on exit polls; it was the first time a broadcast network used exit polling to project a winner, and it took the other broadcast networks by surprise. Carter conceded defeat at 9:50 pm EST.[142] [143] Some of Carter's advisors urged him to wait until 11:00 pm EST to allow poll results from the West Coast to come in, but Carter decided to concede earlier in order to avoid the impression that he was sulking. Speaker of the House Tip O'Neill angrily accused Carter of weakening the party's performance in the Senate elections by doing this.[144]

    John Anderson won 6.6% of the popular vote but no states.[145] He had the most support in New England, fueled by liberal and moderate Republicans who felt Reagan was too far to the right, and with voters who normally leaned Democratic but were dissatisfied with the Carter administration's policies. His best showing was in Massachusetts, where he won 15% of the vote. This is the first time Massachusetts voted for a Republican nominee since Dwight Eisenhower.

    Anderson performed worst in the South, receiving under 2% of the vote in South Carolina, Louisiana, Alabama, and Mississippi. He said he was accused of spoiling the election by receiving votes that might have otherwise been cast for Carter,[145] but 37% of Anderson voters polled preferred Reagan as their second choice.[146] Libertarian Party nominee Ed Clark received 921,299 popular votes (1.06%).

    Carter's loss was the worst performance by an incumbent president since Herbert Hoover lost to Franklin Roosevelt by a margin of 18% in 1932, and his 49 Electoral College votes were the fewest won by an incumbent since William Howard Taft won eight in 1912. Carter was the first incumbent Democrat to serve only one full term since James Buchanan. This was the third and most recent presidential election in which the incumbent Democrat lost reelection, after 1840 and 1888. This was the first time since 1840 that an incumbent Democrat lost the popular vote. Reagan had the most lopsided Electoral College victory for a first-time president-elect, with the exception of George Washington's unanimous victory in 1788.[147]

    This election was the last time a Republican won the presidency without winning Georgia. It was the first time Massachusetts voted for a Republican candidate since 1956. 1980 is one of only two occurrences of pairs of consecutive elections seeing the incumbent presidents defeated, the other happening in 1892. This is the first time since 1892 that a party was voted out after a single four-year term, and the first for Democrats since 1888. This did not occur again for either party until 2020.

    Reagan won 53% of the vote in reliably Democratic South Boston, one example of the so-called Reagan Democrat.[84] Although he won an even larger Electoral College majority in 1984, the 1980 election nonetheless stands as the last time some now very strongly Democratic counties gave a Republican a majority or plurality. Notable examples are Jefferson County in Washington State, Lane County, Oregon, Marin and Santa Cruz Counties in California, McKinley County, New Mexico, and Rock Island County, Illinois.[148] Survey research and post-election polling indicated that the landslide result had been more a repudiation of Carter than an embrace of Reagan. But the public was aware that Reagan would move the nation in a more conservative direction, and was apparently willing to give it a chance to avoid four more years of Carter.[149]

    At age 69, Reagan was the oldest non-incumbent to win a presidential election. Thirty-six years later, in 2016, this record was surpassed by Donald Trump at age 70[150] and, four years later, by Joe Biden at 77.[151]

    Results

    Source (popular vote):

    Source (electoral vote):

    Results by state

    Source:[152]

    Legend
    States/districts won by Reagan/Bush
    States/districts won by Carter/Mondale
    At-large results (Maine used the Congressional District Method)
    Ronald Reagan
    Republican
    Jimmy Carter
    Democratic
    John Anderson
    Independent
    Ed Clark
    Libertarian
    MarginState Total
    align=center Stateelectoral
    votes
    %electoral
    votes
    %electoral
    votes
    %electoral
    votes
    %electoral
    votes
    %
    Alabama9654,19248.759636,73047.45-16,4811.23-13,3180.99-17,4621.301,341,929AL
    Alaska386,11254.35341,84226.41-11,1557.04-18,47911.66-44,27027.94158,445AK
    Arizona6529,68860.616246,84328.24-76,9528.81-18,7842.15-282,84532.36873,945AZ
    Arkansas6403,16448.136398,04147.52-22,4682.68-8,9701.07-5,1230.61837,582AR
    California454,524,85852.69453,083,66135.91-739,8338.62-148,4341.73-1,441,19716.788,587,063CA
    Colorado7652,26455.077367,97331.07-130,63311.03-25,7442.17-284,29124.001,184,415CO
    Connecticut8677,21048.168541,73238.52-171,80712.22-8,5700.61-135,4789.631,406,285CT
    Delaware3111,25247.213105,75444.87-16,2886.91-1,9740.84-5,4982.33235,668DE
    D.C.323,31313.41-130,23174.89316,1319.28-1,1040.63--106,918-61.49173,889DC
    Florida172,046,95155.52171,419,47538.50-189,6925.14-30,5240.83-627,47617.023,687,026FL
    Georgia12654,16840.95-890,73355.761236,0552.26-15,6270.98--236,565-14.811,597,467GA
    Hawaii4130,11242.90-135,87944.80432,02110.56-3,2691.08--5,767-1.90303,287HI
    Idaho4290,69966.464110,19225.19-27,0586.19-8,4251.93-180,50741.27437,431ID
    Illinois262,358,04949.65261,981,41341.72-346,7547.30-38,9390.82-376,6367.934,749,721IL
    Indiana131,255,65656.0113844,19737.65-111,6394.98-19,6270.88-411,45918.352,242,033IN
    Iowa8676,02651.318508,67238.60-115,6338.78-13,1231.00-167,35412.701,317,661IA
    Kansas7566,81257.857326,15033.29-68,2316.96-14,4701.48-240,66224.56979,795KS
    Kentucky9635,27449.079616,41747.61-31,1272.40-5,5310.43-18,8571.461,294,627KY
    Louisiana10792,85351.2010708,45345.75-26,3451.70-8,2400.53-84,4005.451,548,591LA
    Maine †2238,52245.612220,97442.25-53,32710.20-5,1190.98-17,5483.36523,011ME
    Maine-11126,27445.961117,61342.8030,88911.24UnknownUnknown8,6613.15274,776ME1
    Maine-21112,24847.151103,36143.4222,4389.43UnknownUnknown8,8873.73238,047ME2
    Maryland10680,60644.18-726,16147.1410119,5377.76-14,1920.92--45,555-2.961,540,496MD
    Massachusetts141,057,63141.90141,053,80241.75-382,53915.15-22,0380.87-3,8290.152,524,298MA
    Michigan211,915,22548.99211,661,53242.50-275,2237.04-41,5971.06-253,6936.493,909,725MI
    Minnesota10873,24142.56-954,17446.5010174,9908.53-31,5921.54--80,933-3.942,051,953MN
    Mississippi7441,08949.427429,28148.09-12,0361.35-5,4650.61-11,8081.32892,620MS
    Missouri121,074,18151.1612931,18244.35-77,9203.71-14,4220.69-142,9996.812,099,824MO
    Montana4206,81456.824118,03232.43-29,2818.05-9,8252.70-88,78224.39363,952MT
    Nebraska5419,93765.535166,85126.04-44,9937.02-9,0731.42-253,08639.49640,854NE
    Nevada3155,01762.54366,66626.89-17,6517.12-4,3581.76-88,35135.64247,885NV
    New Hampshire4221,70557.744108,86428.35-49,69312.94-2,0670.54-112,84129.39383,999NH
    New Jersey171,546,55751.97171,147,36438.56-234,6327.88-20,6520.69-399,19313.422,975,684NJ
    New Mexico4250,77954.974167,82636.78-29,4596.46-4,3650.96-82,95318.18456,237NM
    New York412,893,83146.66412,728,37243.99-467,8017.54-52,6480.85-165,4592.676,201,959NY
    North Carolina13915,01849.3013875,63547.18-52,8002.85-9,6770.52-39,3832.121,855,833NC
    North Dakota3193,69564.23379,18926.26-23,6407.84-3,7431.24-114,50637.97301,545ND
    Ohio252,206,54551.51251,752,41440.91-254,4725.94-49,0331.14-454,13110.604,283,603OH
    Oklahoma8695,57060.508402,02634.97-38,2843.33-13,8281.20-293,54425.531,149,708OK
    Oregon6571,04448.336456,89038.67-112,3899.51-25,8382.19-114,1549.661,181,516OR
    Pennsylvania272,261,87249.59271,937,54042.48-292,9216.42-33,2630.73-324,3327.114,561,501PA
    Rhode Island4154,79337.20-198,34247.67459,81914.38-2,4580.59--43,549-10.47416,072RI
    South Carolina8441,20749.578427,56048.04-14,1501.59-4,9750.56-13,6471.53890,083SC
    South Dakota4198,34360.534103,85531.69-21,4316.54-3,8241.17-94,48828.83327,703SD
    Tennessee10787,76148.7010783,05148.41-35,9912.22-7,1160.44-4,7100.291,617,616TN
    Texas262,510,70555.28261,881,14741.42-111,6132.46-37,6430.83-629,55813.864,541,637TX
    Utah4439,68772.774124,26620.57-30,2845.01-7,2261.20-315,42152.20604,222UT
    Vermont394,59844.37381,89138.41-31,76014.90-1,9000.89-12,7075.96213,207VT
    Virginia12989,60953.0312752,17440.31-95,4185.11-12,8210.69-237,43512.721,866,032VA
    Washington9865,24449.669650,19337.32-185,07310.62-29,2131.68-215,05112.341,742,394WA
    West Virginia6334,20645.30-367,46249.81631,6914.30-4,3560.59--33,256-4.51737,715WV
    Wisconsin111,088,84547.9011981,58443.18-160,6577.07-29,1351.28-107,2614.722,273,221WI
    Wyoming3110,70062.64349,42727.97-12,0726.83-4,5142.55-61,27334.67176,713WY
    TOTALS:53843,903,23050.7548935,480,11541.01495,719,8506.61-921,1281.06-8,423,1159.7486,509,678US

    Maine allowed its electoral votes to be split between candidates. Two electoral votes were awarded to the winner of the statewide race and one electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. Reagan won all four votes.[153]

    States that flipped from Democratic to Republican

    Close states

    Margin of victory less than 1% (30 electoral votes):

    Massachusetts, 0.15% (3,829 votes)Tennessee, 0.29% (4,710 votes)Arkansas, 0.61% (5,123 votes)

    Margin of victory less than 5% (135 electoral votes):

    Alabama, 1.30% (17,462 votes)Mississippi, 1.32% (11,808 votes)Kentucky, 1.46% (18,857 votes)South Carolina, 1.53% (13,647 votes)Hawaii, 1.90% (5,767 votes)North Carolina, 2.12% (39,383 votes)Delaware, 2.33% (5,498 votes)New York, 2.67% (165,459 votes)Maryland, 2.96% (45,555 votes)Maine's 1st Congressional District, 3.15% (8,661 votes)Maine, 3.36% (17,548 votes)Maine's 2nd Congressional District, 3.73% (8,887 votes)Minnesota, 3.94% (80,933 votes)West Virginia, 4.51% (33,256 votes)Wisconsin, 4.72% (107,261 votes)

    Margin of victory more than 5%, but less than 10% (113 electoral votes):

    Louisiana, 5.45% (84,400 votes)Vermont, 5.96% (12,707 votes)Michigan, 6.49% (253,693 votes)Missouri, 6.81% (142,999 votes)Pennsylvania, 7.11% (324,332 votes)Illinois, 7.93% (376,636 votes) (tipping-point state)Connecticut, 9.64% (135,478 votes)Oregon, 9.66% (114,154 votes)

    Statistics

    [152]

    Counties with highest percentage of the vote (Republican)

    Banner County, Nebraska 90.41%
    Madison County, Idaho 88.41%
    McIntosh County, North Dakota 86.01%
    McPherson County, South Dakota 85.60%
    Franklin County, Idaho 85.31%

    Counties with highest percentage of the vote (Democratic)

    Macon County, Alabama 80.10%
    Hancock County, Georgia 78.50%
    Duval County, Texas 77.91%
    Jefferson County, Mississippi 77.84%
    Greene County, Alabama 77.09%

    Counties with highest percentage of the vote (Other)

    Pitkin County, Colorado 27.76%
    Nantucket, Massachusetts 21.63%
    Winnebago County, Illinois 21.50%
    Dukes County, Massachusetts 20.88%
    Story County, Iowa 19.41%

    Voter demographics

    The 1980 presidential vote by demographic subgroup
    Demographic subgroupCarterReaganAnderson% of
    total vote
    Total vote41517100
    Ideology
    Liberals60281117
    Moderates4349846
    Conservatives2373333
    Party
    Democrats6727643
    Republicans1185428
    Independents31551223
    Sex
    Men3755751
    Women4647749
    Race
    White3656788
    Black8314310
    Hispanic563772
    Age
    18–21 years old4544116
    22–29 years old44441017
    30–44 years old3855731
    45–59 years old3955623
    60 and older4155418
    Family income
    Under $10,0005242613
    $10,000–15,0004843814
    $15,000–25,0003954730
    $25,000–50,0003359724
    Over $50,000266675
    Region
    East4348832
    Midwest4251620
    South4552227
    West3554911
    Union households
    Union4845726
    Non-union3656762
    Source: CBS News and The New York Times exit poll from the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research (15,201 surveyed)[154]

    See also

    Further reading

    Books

    Journal articles

    Newspaper articles

    External links

    Notes and References

    1. Web site: National General Election VEP Turnout Rates, 1789-Present. United States Election Project. CQ Press.
    2. Callaghan . Karen J. . Virtanen . Simo . August 1993 . Revised Models of the "Rally Phenomenon": The Case of the Carter Presidency . The Journal of Politics . en . 55 . 3 . 756–764 . 10.2307/2131999 . 2131999 . 0022-3816.
    3. Book: Perlstein, Richard. Before the Storm: Barry Goldwater and the Unmaking of the American Consensus. Nation Books. 2001. 978-1-56858-412-6. New York. x.
    4. Book: Frum, David. How We Got Here: The '70s. David Frum. 2000. Basic Books. New York, New York. 0-465-04195-7. 292.
    5. Oil Squeeze . Time . 1979-02-05 . December 18, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080307085655/http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,946222,00.html . 7 March 2008 . dead.
    6. Web site: Inflation-proofing . ConsumerReports.org . 2010-02-11 . December 18, 2013.
    7. Web site: Jimmy Carter . PBS . American Experience . September 17, 2017 . October 19, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131019101602/http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/general-article/carter-crisis-speech/ . dead.
    8. Web site: "Crisis of Confidence" Speech (July 15, 1979) . Miller Center, University of Virginia . text and video . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090721024329/http://millercenter.org/scripps/archive/speeches/detail/3402 . July 21, 2009 . mdy-all . October 20, 2016.
    9. News: Chapter 4: Sailing Into the Wind: Losing a quest for the top, finding a new freedom . Allis, Sam . . 2009-02-18 . March 10, 2009.
    10. Time Magazine, 11/12/79
    11. News: How Ted Kennedy's '80 Challenge To President Carter 'Broke The Democratic Party'. NPR. January 17, 2019. October 26, 2023.
    12. News: "The Kennedy Machine Buried What Really Happened": Revisiting Chappaquiddick, 50 Years Later. Josh. Sanburn. Vanity Fair. July 17, 2019. October 26, 2023.
    13. 174181. Foreign Policy and Presidential Popularity: Creating Windows of Opportunity in the Perpetual Election. Robin F.. Marra. Charles W.. Ostrom. Dennis M.. Simon. 1 January 1990. The Journal of Conflict Resolution. 34. 4. 588–623. 10.1177/0022002790034004002. 154620443.
    14. Web site: CBS News | Reagan's Lucky Day | January 21, 2001 14:03:21 . www.cbsnews.com . 17 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20021016003953/http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2001/01/19/iran/main265499.shtml . 16 October 2002 . dead.
    15. Web site: Chapter 3 : The Iranian Hostage Rescue Mission . https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221009/http://www.press.umich.edu/pdf/0472108670-03.pdf . 2022-10-09 . live . Press.umich.edu . 2016-08-18.
    16. News: A historic victory. A changed nation. Now, can Obama deliver? . Jerry Lanson . Christian Science Monitor . November 6, 2008 . November 5, 2008.
    17. Gaddis Smith, Morality, Reason and Power: American Diplomacy in the Carter Years (1986) pp 224–228.
    18. Odd Arne Westad, ed. "The Fall of Détente." in Soviet-American Relations during the Carter Years (Scandinavian University Press, 1997).
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    21. William DeGregorio, The Complete Book of U.S. Presidents, Gramercy 1997
    22. Web site: The myths that just won't die - History - Salon.com. Kornacki. Steve. 2011-04-06. Salon.com. https://web.archive.org/web/20110406213710/http://www.salon.com/books/history/index.html?story=%2Fpolitics%2Fwar_room%2F2011%2F04%2F04%2Fthird_party_myth_easterbrook. April 6, 2011. dead. 2017-02-07. mdy-all.
    23. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/platforms.php http://www.lpedia.org/1980_Libertarian_Party_Platform#3._Victimless_Crimes
    24. Book: Moore, John. Elections A-Z. Routledge. 2013-12-16. 9781135938703.
    25. News: President Would Beat Ford, Reagan . The Tampa Tribune.
    26. News: Ford Leads Carter For 1980, Poll Says . The Kansas City Times.
    27. News: Kennedy Stronger Than Carter Against GOP . Rapid City Journal.
    28. News: Jimmy Carter Leading Ford And Reagan . Danville Register and Bee.
    29. News: Carter Routs Reagan In Election Poll . Asbury Park Press.
    30. News: Carter Leads, Edge Narrows . Danville Register and Bee.
    31. News: Reagan Trails Carter, Kennedy . Lansing State Journal.
    32. News: Reagan Cuts Deeper Into Carter's Lead . The Minneapolis Star.
    33. News: Reagan Leads Carter 51-43% . The Times.
    34. News: Poll Shows Kennedy Stronger Than Carter Against GOP's Top 4 . The Shreveport Journal.
    35. News: Carter Trailing Reagan, Baker . The Minneapolis Star.
    36. News: Carter Gaining Ground . Rapid City Journal.
    37. News: Reagan Keeps Lead Over Carter In Presidential Choice Poll . Asbury Park Press.
    38. News: President, Reagan In Dead Heat . The Miami Herald.
    39. News: Reagan's Standing Suffers Sharp Drop In Presidential Poll . Asbury Park Press.
    40. News: Reagan Takes Big Lead In GOP Race . Asbury Park Press.
    41. News: Carter Continues Lead Over GOP . The Tampa Tribune.
    42. News: Carter Pushes Ahead As Kennedy Falters In Ford-Reagan Tests . The Miami Herald.
    43. News: Carter Takes Big Lead Over Reagan In Presidential Race Poll . Asbury Park Press.
    44. News: Carter Consolidates Lead Over GOP . The Tampa Tribune.
    45. News: Carter Holds Lead Among Candidates . Asbury Park Press.
    46. News: Carter Leads 3 GOP Contenders, But Ted Trails . The Miami Herald.
    47. News: Reagan Invites Connally Workers To Join His Effort . Des Moines Tribune.
    48. News: Republicans And Independents Pick Ford As Favorite Candidate . Asbury Park Press.
    49. News: Reagan Tops Voters' List; Carter Dives . Press and Sun-Bulletin.
    50. News: Carter's Lead Over Reagan Slipping; Anderson Strong . The Miami Herald.
    51. News: Reagan Leads Carter . Journal and Courier.
    52. News: Anderson Strongest Among Younger Voters . The Boston Globe.
    53. News: Anderson Starts To Look Like A Possible Winner . Detroit Free Press.
    54. News: Carter Outpolls Reagan 49% to 41% In Survey . The Los Angeles Times.
    55. News: Reagan Stretches Lead Over President Carter . The Salt Lake Tribune.
    56. News: Three New National Polls Show Reagan Well Ahead . The Atlanta Constitution.
    57. News: Gallup Poll Has Reagan Maintaining Lead Over Carter . Rapid City Journal.
    58. News: Reagan Widens Lead While Anderson Slips . Danville Register and Bee.
    59. News: Reagan-Bush Ticket Leads Dems . Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
    60. News: Poll: Reagan Leads Carter By 28 Percent . Reno Gazette-Journal.
    61. News: Poll Shows Carter Third . The Boston Globe.
    62. News: Gallup Poll: Carter Falters But Still Leads Teddy . The Daily News.
    63. News: Latest Figures: Reagan 48%, Carter 28%, Anderson 19% . The Plain Dealer.
    64. News: Reagan And Carter Run Neck And Neck In Gallup . The Miami Herald.
    65. News: Carter And Reagan In Dead Heat, According To Gallup Poll . The Des Moines Register.
    66. News: AFL-CIO Balks On Carter Support . The News Journal.
    67. News: Latest Test Still Shows Reagan And Carter In Close Contention . The Indianapolis Star.
    68. News: Carter Nixes 3-Way Campaign Debates . Philadelphia Daily News.
    69. News: Reagan Holds Narrow Lead; Anderson Dips . The Knoxville News-Sentinel.
    70. News: Carter Loses Ground In Poll . The Times Herald.
    71. News: Poll Reveals 3-Point Slip By Anderson . Tarrytown Daily News.
    72. News: Reagan Holds Narrow Lead; Anderson Dips . The Knoxville News-Sentinel.
    73. News: Poll Reveals 3-Point Slip By Anderson . The Buffalo News.
    74. News: This Poll Puts Jimmy, Ron In Dead Heat . The Olympian.
    75. News: Reagan, Carter In Tight Fight . Florida Today.
    76. News: Polls Say Its Going Down To The Wire . The Miami Herald.
    77. News: Reagan Leading In Final Poll . The Pantagraph.
    78. Julio Borquez, "Partisan Appraisals of Party Defectors: Looking Back at the Reagan Democrats." American Review of Politics 26 (2005): 323-346 online.
    79. Book: The Strategy of Campaigning . Skinner. Kudelia. Mesquita. Rice . University of Michigan Press . 2007 . October 20, 2008 . 978-0-472-11627-0.
    80. Book: Frum, David. How We Got Here: The '70s. David Frum. 2000. Basic Books. New York, New York. 0-465-04195-7. 161.
    81. Wayne, Stephen J. (1984). The Road to the White House (2nd ed.), p. 210. New York: St. Martin's Press. .
    82. News: When worlds collide: politics, religion, and media at the 1970 East Tennessee Billy Graham Crusade. (appearance by President Richard M. Nixon) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110517015119/http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-19592304.html. dead. May 17, 2011. Journal of Church and State . March 22, 1997 . August 18, 2007.
    83. Book: Carter, Jimmy . 469 . White House Diary . 2010 . Farrar, Straus and Giroux . New York, NY.
    84. Book: Frum, David. How We Got Here: The '70s. David Frum. 2000. Basic Books. New York, New York. 0-465-04195-7. 283.
    85. Book: Frum, David. How We Got Here: The '70s. David Frum. 2000. Basic Books. New York, New York. 0-465-04195-7. 344.
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    102. News: Matthew Lacombe . Trump is at the NRA today. It didn't used to be a Republican ally. . The Washington Post . 9 May 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190426125637/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/04/26/how-nra-became-core-member-republican-coalition/ . April 26, 2019 . English . April 26, 2019 . live.
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    104. News: Meissner . Steve . July 19, 1980 . Stewart Udall calls Carter weak, endorses Anderson . 2 . Arizona Daily Star . June 15, 2022.
    105. News: July 18, 1980 . Some Bay State GOP uneasy over G. Bush . 3 . North Adams Transcript . June 16, 2022.
    106. News: Taylor . Benjamin . June 12, 1980 . Hatch breaks ranks, backs Anderson . 7 . The Boston Globe . June 16, 2022.
    107. News: March 27, 1983 . Josiah Spaulding Dies at 60; Massachusetts G.O.P. Leader . 40 . The New York Times . June 16, 2022.
    108. News: Politics and Hollywood. . 8 March 1980.
    109. News: October 10, 1980 . Independent presidential candidate John Anderson will receive editorial endorsement . . June 15, 2022.
    110. News: October 26, 1980 . Anderson Offers Intelligent Solutions to Problems . 10 . . June 15, 2022.
    111. Web site: October 3, 2016 . 25 photos: Register presidential endorsements (1912-2012) . June 15, 2022 . The Des Moines Register.
    112. News: November 4, 1980 . Election '80 Endorsements . 2 . The Daily Collegian . June 15, 2022.
    113. Web site: Gemma . Peter B. . August 5, 2016 . An Interview with Darcy Richardson, Reform Party Presidential Candidate. . June 15, 2022 . Independent Political Report.
    114. News: November 12, 1990 . Socialist Vows to Be Capitol Outsider . 9 . The New York Times . June 15, 2022.
    115. Book: DeConcini . Dennis . Senator Dennis DeConcini: From the Center of the Aisle . August . Jack L. Jr. . . 2006 . 9780816525690 . 83 . I viewed his leadership and administration with no small amount of frustration and concern, and in 1980 I crossed party lines and voted for Ronald Reagan for president..
    116. News: Frankel . Glenn . October 15, 1980 . Sen. Harry Byrd Endorses Reagan . June 16, 2022 . The Washington Post.
    117. News: Why Carter Is Wooing Javits. The Washington Post. September 24, 1980 .
    118. News: Mac Mathias Agonistes. The Washington Post. September 14, 1980 .
    119. Web site: Reagan Preparing for Debate. . October 26, 1980 .
    120. News: McCloskey Buries the Hatchet by Endorsing Reagan. . September 26, 1980 .
    121. News: 1980-10-27 . FDR son gives Reagan backing . 27 . Lodi News-Sentinel . UPI . June 16, 2022.
    122. News: Daniel . Leon . October 24, 1980 . Nobody Listens To Maddox Anymore, Who Relishes Chance To Rap Carter . 5 . Sarasota Herald-Tribune . June 15, 2022.
    123. News: August 29, 1980 . GOP leaders, Demo ex-governor back Selden . 6 . Birmingham Post-Herald . June 15, 2022.
    124. News: October 28, 1980 . Last Minute Blitz . 4 . Abilene Reporter-News . June 16, 2022.
    125. News: November 3, 1980 . Republicans turnout to hear Reagan . 9 . Sun Herald . June 15, 2022.
    126. Web site: Norman . Bob . October 26, 2000 . Politically Incorrect . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20160121015339/http://www.browardpalmbeach.com/news/politically-incorrect-6324763 . January 21, 2016 . New Times Broward-Palm Beach.
    127. News: August 5, 1980 . Bloom Agrees to Head Democrats for Reagan . 16 . The New York Times . June 15, 2022.
    128. Davis . Seth . 2009-08-24 . Checking in on John Wooden . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090827193402/http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/seth_davis/08/24/john.wooden/index.html . 2009-08-27 . 2022-06-16 . Sports Illustrated.
    129. News: Boodman . Sandra G. . October 13, 1980 . Zumwalt Dismays Va. Democrats With Z-Grams for Reagan . June 16, 2022 . The Washington Post.
    130. Web site: September 27, 2016 . Coming Tuesday: Who will The Arizona Republic endorse? . June 15, 2022 . The Arizona Republic.
    131. Web site: 2016-09-30 . Through the years: Desert Sun presidential endorsements . 2022-06-16 . Desert Sun.
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    134. Web site: 2016-10-08 . Record Endorsements, President: Clinton best for country . 2022-06-16 . Recordnet.
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    136. Web site: October 20, 2012 . Plain Dealer presidential endorsements: Every pick we made since 1936 . June 16, 2022 . Plain Dealer.
    137. Web site: November 3, 1980 . Ronald Reagan got most of the new newspaper endorsements,... . June 16, 2022 . UPI.
    138. Web site: Dunham . Richard . PM . October 19, 2008 . A half-century of Chronicle endorsements: 11 R, 2 D . 2022-06-16 . Texas on the Potomac . en-US.
    139. Web site: September 1, 2016 . A brief history of Richmond Times-Dispatch presidential endorsements . June 16, 2022 . Richmond Times-Dispatch.
    140. Web site: Voters the choice is yours . 4 November 1980. St. Petersburg Times. January 16, 2014.
    141. Web site: Reagan in a landslide. 5 November 1980. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette . January 16, 2014.
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    143. Facts on File Yearbook 1980 p. 838
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