Election Name: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | legislative |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Seats For Election: | All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Last Election1: | 5 |
Seats Before1: | 6 |
Seats1: | 9 |
Seat Change1: | 3 |
Popular Vote1: | 2,712,665 |
Percentage1: | 55.03% |
Swing1: | 9.33% |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Last Election2: | 13 |
Seats Before2: | 12 |
Seats2: | 9 |
Seat Change2: | 3 |
Popular Vote2: | 2,206,260 |
Percentage2: | 44.75% |
Swing2: | 9.16% |
Map Size: | 300px |
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.
The elections coincided with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018.[1] [2]
The 2018 general election saw the Democrats gain four seats and the Republicans gain one seat, for a Democratic net gain of three seats, changing the state's representation from 12 to 6 Republican to a 9–9 tie. In addition, Pennsylvanians in several districts elected female candidates to the U.S. House, thus ending four years of all-male Congressional representation in the state.[3]
See also: League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans.[4] [5] New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018, for use in the 2018 elections and took effect with representation in 2019.[2]
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | +/– | % | ||||||
18 | 2,712,665 | 54.92% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |||
17 | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 9 | 3 | 50.00% | |||
2 | 10,950 | 0.22% | 0 | 0.00% | ||||
1 | 9,452 | 0.19% | 0 | 0.00% | ||||
Total | 38 | 4,939,327 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.00% |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania:[6]
scope=col rowspan=3 | District | scope=col colspan=2 | Democratic | scope=col colspan=2 | Republican | scope=col colspan=2 | Others | scope=col colspan=2 | Total | scope=col rowspan=3 | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | ! | scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | ! | scope=col colspan=2 | ! | scope=col colspan=2 | |||||||||
scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % |
160,745 | 48.74% | 169,053 | 51.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 329,798 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
159,600 | 79.02% | 42,382 | 20.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,982 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
287,610 | 93.38% | 20,387 | 6.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 307,997 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
211,524 | 63.52% | 121,467 | 36.48% | 0 | 0.00% | 332,991 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
District 5 | 198,639 | 65.19% | 106,075 | 34.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 304,714 | 100.0% | Democratic gain | ||||||
District 6 | 177,704 | 58.88% | 124,124 | 41.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 301,828 | 100.0% | Democratic gain | ||||||
District 7 | 140,813 | 53.49% | 114,437 | 43.47% | 8,011 | 3.04% | 263,261 | 100.0% | Democratic gain | ||||||
135,603 | 54.64% | 112,563 | 45.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,166 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
100,204 | 40.25% | 148,723 | 59.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,927 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
141,668 | 48.68% | 149,365 | 51.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,033 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
113,876 | 41.02% | 163,708 | 58.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 277,584 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
82,825 | 33.96% | 161,047 | 66.04% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,872 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
74,733 | 29.51% | 178,533 | 70.49% | 0 | 0.00% | 253,266 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
District 14 | 110,051 | 42.09% | 151,386 | 57.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 261,437 | 100.0% | Republican gain | ||||||
78,327 | 32.16% | 165,245 | 67.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,572 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
124,109 | 47.30% | 135,348 | 51.58% | 2,939 | 1.12% | 262,396 | 100.0% | Republican hold | |||||||
District 17 | 183,162 | 56.26% | 142,417 | 43.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 325,579 | 100.00% | Democratic gain | ||||||
231,472 | 96.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,452 | 3.92% | 240,924 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
Total | 2,712,665 | 54.92%% | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 20,402 | 0.41% | 4,939,327 | 100.0% |
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 8 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 1 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Brian Fitzpatrick official congressional photo (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Brian Fitzpatrick |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 169,053 |
Percentage1: | 51.3% |
Nominee2: | Scott Wallace |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 160,745 |
Percentage2: | 48.7% |
Map Size: | 200 |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Brian Fitzpatrick (8th) |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Brian Fitzpatrick |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district. The 1st district previously consisted of central and South Philadelphia, the City of Chester, the Philadelphia International Airport and other small sections of Delaware County. Under the new congressional map that was in place in 2019 (represented per 2018's elections), the first district overlaps with much of the former 8th district, which was represented by Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick took office in 2017, succeeding his brother, former Representative Mike Fitzpatrick. The new 1st district consists of Bucks County and a small portion of Montgomery County.[7]
The old 8th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[10]
The race featured a number of negative ads between Reddick and Wallace. With Reddick's campaign releasing an ad calling Wallace a “Maryland multi-millionaire” and stating that he had case an absentee ballot cast from his second home in a South African “gated luxury estate”. The Wallace campaign responded with an ad higlishting Reddick flubbing a question about the so-called “global gag rule” during a campaign stop in Ottsville,[15] and for her having been registered as a Republican for most of her adult life.[16]
Many DC Democrats expressed excitement about Wallace's potential to spend big to defeat Fitzpatrick, especially in the expensive Philadelphia market. He loaned his campaign $2.5 million while Reddick only raised $363,000 and was shunned by most party strategists.[17]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | Scott Wallace (D) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[19] | October 26–29, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.7% | align=center | 47% | 46% | – | 7% | |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[20] | October 11–14, 2018 | 570 | ± 4.6% | 43% | align=center | 50% | – | 8% | |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fitzpatrick)[21] | October 2–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 50% | 42% | – | – | |
Monmouth University[22] | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 353 | ± 5.2% | align=center | 50% | 46% | 1% | 3% | |
Monmouth University[23] | May 31 – June 3, 2018 | 254 LV | ± 6.5% | align=center | 48% | 47% | 0% | 5% | |
451 RV | ± 4.6% | align=center | 49% | 42% | 1% | 8% | |||
DCCC (D)[24] | May 12–14, 2018 | 540 | ± 4.2% | align=center | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[25] | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[26] | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | November 5, 2018 | |
RCP[28] | November 5, 2018 | ||
Daily Kos[29] | November 5, 2018 | ||
538[30] | November 7, 2018 | ||
CNN[31] | October 31, 2018 | ||
Politico[32] | November 4, 2018 |
Fitzpatrick held out to win re-election, despite many similar suburban districts held by Republicans falling to Democrats in the 2018 cycle. Fitzpatrick did this by establishing a reputation for himself as an independent centrist who attained endorsements from several usually-left-leaning and nonpartisan groups without enraging the more fervently pro-Trump wing of the Republican party. Analysts considered the Democratic nominee Scott Wallace an unusually weak candidate: he was a wealthy heir who moved to the district, opening up accusations of carpetbagging, and made several gaffes and missteps. Editor Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report wrote that Wallace was perhaps the weakest candidate of the 2018 cycle.[33]
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 13 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 2 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Brendan Boyle - 2018-05-21 ec 0004 (1).jpg |
Nominee1: | Brendan Boyle |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 159,600 |
Percentage1: | 79.0% |
Nominee2: | Dave Torres |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 42,382 |
Percentage2: | 21.0% |
Map Size: | 150 |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Bob Brady (1st) |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Brendan Boyle |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district consists of the northern half of Philadelphia. It mostly overlaps with the old 1st District. That district's incumbent, Democrat Bob Brady, had served since 1998, but did not run for reelection. The incumbent of the old 2nd district is Dwight Evans, but Evans opted to follow most of his constituents into the 3rd District.[7]
The new map drew the home of fellow Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the neighboring 13th District since 2015, into the 2nd, leading to speculation that he would run for reelection there. Soon after the new map was released, Boyle confirmed that he would indeed run in the 2nd.[34]
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 2 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 3 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Dwight Evans official portrait (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Dwight Evans |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 287,610 |
Percentage1: | 93.4% |
Nominee2: | Bryan E. Leib |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 20,387 |
Percentage2: | 6.6% |
Map Size: | 150 |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Dwight Evans (2nd) |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Dwight Evans |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district was previously located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, but now covers downtown and northern Philadelphia, and overlaps with much of the previous 2nd district.[7] The incumbent from the 2nd district is Democrat Dwight Evans, who had held office since 2016. Evans defeated incumbent Democratic Representative Chaka Fattah in the 2016 Democratic primary, and then went on to be elected with 90% in both the general election and a simultaneous special election for the remainder of the term after Fattah resigned.
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 4 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 4 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Madeleine Dean, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Madeleine Dean |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 211,524 |
Percentage1: | 63.5% |
Nominee2: | Dan David |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 121,467 |
Percentage2: | 36.5% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Brendan Boyle (13th) |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Madeleine Dean |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district. The old 4th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 4th district is centered in Montgomery County. The district overlaps with the former 13th district. The incumbent from this district, Democrat Brendan Boyle, could have sought re-election in either this district or the new 2nd district, which absorbed his home and most of old 13th's share of Philadelphia.[7] Boyle opted to run in the 2nd, making the 4th an open seat.
State Senator Daylin Leach had announced that he would run for Congress in the old 7th District, but was expected to switch races after his home was drawn into the new 4th. However, on February 24, 2018, Leach succumbed to pressures from fellow Democrats, including Governor Tom Wolf, to abandon his congressional campaign in the face of accusations of sexual harassment. However, he remained in his Pennsylvania Senate seat.[36]
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 7th and 15th congressional district special elections |
Previous Year: | 2018 (special) |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 5 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Mary Gay Scanlon, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Mary Gay Scanlon |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 198,639 |
Percentage1: | 65.2% |
Nominee2: | Pearl Kim |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 106,075 |
Percentage2: | 34.8% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Mary Gay Scanlon (7th) |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Mary Gay Scanlon |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district. The old 5th district was in North Central Pennsylvania, but the new 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of southern Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The district overlaps with much of the old 7th district, whose incumbent Republican Representative Pat Meehan chose not to seek re-election, due to allegations regarding a sexual harassment complaint that was settled with the use of taxpayer funds,[7] [42] and subsequently resigned from office in April.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Margo Davidson | Thaddeus Kirkland | Rich Lazer | Lindy Li | Ashley Lunkenheimer | Mary Gay Scanlon | Molly Sheehan | Greg Vitali | Theresa Wright | Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chism Strategies Advocacy & Elections[47] | May 2018 | 638 | ±3.8 | — | — | 7% | — | 11% | align=center | 22% | — | 17% | — | — | align=center | 57% | |
Independence Communications and Consulting[48] | April 2018 | 858 | ±3.3 | — | — | 7% | 12% | 10% | align=center | 17% | 7% | 13% | — | 7% | align=center | 27% | |
Public Policy Polling (D-Vitali)[49] | April 23–24, 2018 | 562 | — | 5% | 4% | 5% | — | 6% | align=center | 18% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 5% | align=center | 25% |
Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | |||||||||||||||||||
Larry Arata | George Badey III | Shelly Chauncey | Margo L. Davidson | Thaddeus Kirkland | Richard Lazer | Lindy Li | Ashley Lunkenheimer | Dan Muroff | Mary Gay Scanlon | Molly Sheehan | Greg Vitali | David Wertime | Theresa Wright | ||||||
1[50] | April 5, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||
2[51] | May 1, 2018 | League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County | Jennifer Levy-Tatum | YouTube |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2018 | |
RCP | November 5, 2018 | ||
Daily Kos | November 5, 2018 | ||
538 | November 7, 2018 | ||
CNN | October 31, 2018 | ||
Politico | November 4, 2018 |
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 6 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 6 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Chrissy Houlahan, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Chrissy Houlahan |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 177,704 |
Percentage1: | 58.9% |
Nominee2: | Greg McCauley |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 124,124 |
Percentage2: | 41.1% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Ryan Costello |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Chrissy Houlahan |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district. The 6th district consists of Chester County and Reading.[7] The incumbent is Republican Ryan Costello, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 57% of the vote in 2016. On March 24, 2018, Costello announced that he would no longer seek re-election due to the growing Democratic voter demographic in the 6th district.[52] Costello formally withdrew his name on March 27.
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2018 | |
RCP | November 5, 2018 | ||
Daily Kos | November 5, 2018 | ||
538 | November 7, 2018 | ||
CNN | October 31, 2018 | ||
Politico | November 4, 2018 |
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 7th and 15th congressional district special elections |
Previous Year: | 2018 (special) |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 7 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Susan Wild, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Susan Wild |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 140,813 |
Percentage1: | 53.5% |
Nominee2: | Marty Nothstein |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 114,437 |
Percentage2: | 43.5% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Susan Wild (15th) |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Susan Wild |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district.
The 7th district was formerly centered on Delaware County, but the new district consisted of much of the Lehigh Valley. The new 7th district overlapped with much of the former 15th district, which was represented by retired Republican Representative Charlie Dent, who resigned early.[7]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Marty Nothstein (R) | Susan Wild (D) | Tim Silfies (L) | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College[66] | October 14–18, 2018 | 411 | ± 5.5% | 41% | align=center | 48% | 5% | – | |
DeSales University[67] | September 28 – October 7, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.5% | 31% | align=center | 50% | 8% | 11% | |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[68] | September 21–25, 2018 | 539 | ± 4.7% | 42% | align=center | 50% | – | 8% | |
Monmouth University[69] | September 5–9, 2018 | 299 LV | ± 5.7% | 45% | align=center | 47% | 2% | 7% | |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 40% | align=center | 46% | 3% | 11% | |||
Muhlenberg College[70] | April 24 – May 3, 2018 | 408 | ± 5.5% | 31% | align=center | 42% | 5% | 21% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2018 | |
RCP | November 5, 2018 | ||
Daily Kos | November 5, 2018 | ||
538 | November 7, 2018 | ||
CNN | October 31, 2018 | ||
Politico | November 4, 2018 |
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 17 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 8 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Matt Cartwright, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Matt Cartwright |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 135,603 |
Percentage1: | 54.6% |
Nominee2: | John Chrin |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 112,563 |
Percentage2: | 45.4% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Matt Cartwright (17th) |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Matt Cartwright |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district. The 8th district was previously centered on Bucks County, but now consists of portions of Northeastern Pennsylvania, including the city of Scranton. The new district overlaps with much of the former 17th district, which was represented by Democratic Representative Matt Cartwright.[7] Cartwright had held office since 2013.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Matt Cartwright (D) | John Chrin (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research[73] | October 28–29, 2018 | 446 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 57% | 40% | 1%[74] | 2% | |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[75] | October 16–19, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.7% | align=center | 52% | 40% | – | 8% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2018 | |
RCP | November 5, 2018 | ||
Daily Kos | November 5, 2018 | ||
538 | November 7, 2018 | ||
CNN | October 31, 2018 | ||
Politico | November 4, 2018 |
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 11 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 9 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Rep. Dan Meuser official photo, 116th congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Dan Meuser |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 148,723 |
Percentage1: | 59.7% |
Nominee2: | Denny Wolff |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 100,204 |
Percentage2: | 40.3% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Lou Barletta (11th) |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Dan Meuser |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district. The old 9th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 9th district is in east central Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with the old 11th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Lou Barletta.[7]
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 4 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania#District 10 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Scott Perry, official portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Scott Perry |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 149,365 |
Percentage1: | 51.3% |
Nominee2: | George Scott |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 141,668 |
Percentage2: | 48.7% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Scott Perry (4th) |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Scott Perry |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district. The 10th district was previously in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but it now overlaps with much of the former 4th district in South Central Pennsylvania. Under the map released in 2018, the 10th district includes Harrisburg and a portion of York County.[7] The incumbent from the 4th district is Republican Scott Perry, who had represented his district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 66% of the vote in 2016. Several Democrats sought to challenge Perry in 2018, with George Scott, a 20-year Army veteran and Lutheran pastor, receiving the party's nomination.[78] [79] [80]
Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | |||||||
Scott Perry | George Scott | ||||||
1 | September 17, 2018 | Rotary Club of York | [84] | ||||
2 | October 18, 2018 | American Association of University Women WGAL-TV | Janelle Stelson Mike Straub | [85] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Scott Perry (R) | George Scott (D) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[86] | October 23–26, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.7% | align=center | 45% | 43% | – | 12% | |
Susquehanna Polling and Research[87] | October 19–21, 2018 | 366 | ± 5.2% | align=center | 49% | 46% | 1% | 4% | |
Public Policy Polling (D)[88] | September 24–25, 2018 | 650 | – | align=center | 44% | 43% | – | 12% | |
Public Policy Polling (D-Scott)[89] | June 8–10, 2018 | 654 | ± 4.1% | align=center | 45% | 41% | – | 14% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | November 5, 2018 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2018 | |
RCP | November 5, 2018 | ||
Daily Kos | November 5, 2018 | ||
538 | November 7, 2018 | ||
CNN | October 31, 2018 | ||
Politico | November 4, 2018 |
Election Name: | 2018 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election |
Country: | Pennsylvania |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2016#District 11 |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2020#District 11 |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Election Date: | November 6, 2018 |
Nominee1: | Lloyd Smucker |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 162,835 |
Percentage1: | 58.6% |
Nominee2: | Jess King |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 114,831 |
Percentage2: | 41.4% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Lloyd Smucker (16th) |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Lloyd Smucker |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district. The old 11th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the district now overlaps with much of the former 16th district in South Central Pennsylvania. The new district consists of Lancaster County and portions of York County. The incumbent from the former 16th district is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had held office since 2017.[7]
Christina Hartman, a former nonprofit executive who lost against Smucker in 16th had filed for a rematch;[90] however, following the court-ordered redrawing, she considered switching to run in the more competitive 10th before withdrawing from the race altogether.[83]
Meteorologist Drew Anderson planned to run without party affiliation and expected to be listed that way on the November ballot.[94] However, he failed to file papers in time, and was not in the race.[95]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Lloyd Smucker (R) | Jess King (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling and Research[100] | October 21–22, 2018 | 311 | ± 5.6% | align=center | 50% | 46% | 1% | 3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D-King)[101] | September 12–13, 2018 | 552 | ± 4.2% | align=center | 44% | 35% | – | 21%Predictions
ResultsDistrict 12
See also: Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The old 12th district was in Southwestern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in North Central Pennsylvania. It overlaps with the former 10th district, which was represented by Republican Tom Marino. Marino had held office since 2011. Republican primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary resultsDemocratic primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary resultsGeneral electionResultsDistrict 13
See also: Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district. The old 13th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the old 9th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Bill Shuster. Republican primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Primary resultsDemocratic primaryCandidatesNominee
Primary resultsGeneral electionResultsDistrict 14
See also: Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district. The old 14th district consisted of the city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs, but the new district consists of suburbs to the south and west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with much of the former 18th district. The winner of the 2018 special election, Democrat Conor Lamb, ran in the more competitive 17th district.[104] Democratic primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Primary resultsRepublican primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary resultsGeneral electionPredictions
ResultsDistrict 15
See also: Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district. The old 15th district was in Eastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the former 5th district, which was represented by Republican G.T. Thompson. Thompson had held office since 2009. Republican primaryCandidatesNominee
Declined
Withdrew
Primary resultsDemocratic primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary resultsGeneral electionResultsDistrict 16
See also: Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district. The former 16th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the redrawn 16th district is in Northwestern Pennsylvania, overlapping with the former 3rd district. The incumbent from the 3rd district was Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. Kelly had considered running for the U.S. Senate, but announced he would run for re-election instead.[107] Republican primaryCandidatesNominee
Primary resultsDemocratic primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary resultsGeneral electionPolling
Predictions
ResultsDistrict 17
See also: Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district. The former 17th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the new 17th district consists of suburbs west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with parts of the former 12th district, which was represented by Republican Keith Rothfus. Rothfus had held office since 2013, and ran for reelection in the new 17th.[116] The new map drew the home of Democrat Conor Lamb, who won a special election for the old 18th District, into the new 17th. The 17th is far less Republican than its predecessor, and voted for Democrats downballot, leading to speculation that Lamb would run for a full term in the 17th regardless of the special election result. On March 14, Democratic officials in Beaver County, which is entirely within the 17th, received a written request from Lamb for their endorsement in the 2018 general election.[117] On March 20, Lamb formally filed to run for a full term in the 17th.[118] Republican primaryCandidatesNominee
Primary resultsDemocratic primaryCandidatesNominee
Primary resultsGeneral electionPolling
Predictions
ResultsDistrict 18
See also: Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district. The 18th district formerly consisted of the southern suburbs of Pittsburgh, but the new district is now centered on Pittsburgh itself. The district overlaps with the former 14th district, which was represented by Democrat Michael F. Doyle. Doyle had held office since 1995. He ran unopposed in the general election. Democratic primaryCandidatesNominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary resultsGeneral electionResultsSee alsoExternal links
|