2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico explained

Election Name:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Country:New Mexico
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Next Year:2020
Seats For Election:All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:2
Seats1:3
Seat Change1:1
Popular Vote1:400,702
Percentage1:58.25%
Swing1:2.24%
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:1
Seats2:0
Seat Change2:1
Popular Vote2:262,714
Percentage2:38.20%
Swing2:5.79%
Map Size:220px

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The Democratic party gained the 2nd Congressional seat, gaining unitary control of New Mexico's Congressional (House and Senate) delegation for the first time since 2008 and improving the advantage in the House delegation for New Mexico from 2–1 in favor of Democrats to 3–0.

Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:[1]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
147,336 59.13% 90,507 36.33% 11,319 4.54% 249,162 100% Democratic hold
101,489 50.93% 97,767 49.07% align=center colspan=2n/a 199,256 100% Democratic gain
148,501 60.64% 76,427 31.21% 13,265 5.42% 244,893 100% Democratic hold
Total 404,026 58.27% 264,701 38.18% 24,584 3.55% 693,311 100%

District 1

Election Name:2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election
Country:New Mexico
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 1
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 1
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Deb Haaland official portrait, 116th congress 2 (1).jpg
Nominee1:Deb Haaland
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:147,336
Percentage1:59.1%
Nominee2:Janice Arnold-Jones
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:90,507
Percentage2:36.3%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Michelle Lujan Grisham
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Deb Haaland
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is centered around the Albuquerque metropolitan area. Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham, who had represented the district since 2013, was reelected to a third term with 65% of the vote in 2016. Lujan Grisham did not run for reelection and instead successfully ran for Governor of New Mexico.[2]

New Mexico's 1st district was one of 36 Democrat-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pat
Davis
Deb
Haaland
Damian
Lara
Damon
Martinez
Paul
Moya
Antoinette
Sedillo-Lopez
OtherUndecided
Albuquerque Journal[17] May 20–24, 2018395± 4.9%5%19%4%22%3%17%29%
Lake Research Partners (D)[18] May 13–14, 2018390± 5.0%20%23%25%5%27%
Public Policy Polling (D)[19] April 13–15, 2018508± 4.411%15%7%15%43%

Pre-primary convention results

Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the convention on March 10, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 5 primary.

CandidatePercentage of delegates wonAutomatically on ballot
Pat Davis13.55%
Deb Haalandbgcolor=lightgreen34.80%
Damian Lara12.09%
Damon Martinez10.81%
Paul Moya3.66%
Antoinette Sedillo-Lopezbgcolor=lightgreen25.09%

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Deb
Haaland (D)
Janice
Arnold-Jones (R)
Lloyd
Princeton (L)
Undecided
Research & Polling, Inc.[24] October 26 — November 1, 2018419± 4.8%50%38%5%7%
Carroll Strategies[25] October 29, 201845251%43%3%2%
Emerson College[26] October 24–26, 2018327± 5.7%51%41%6%
Research & Polling, Inc.[27] September 7–13, 2018410± 4.8%49%41%3%8%
Carroll Strategies[28] June 15–16, 201841947%43%4%6%

Results

District 2

Election Name:2018 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election
Country:New Mexico
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 2
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 2
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Xochitl Torres Small, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Xochitl Torres Small
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:101,489
Percentage1:50.9%
Nominee2:Yvette Herrell
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:97,767
Percentage2:49.1%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Steve Pearce
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Xochitl Torres Small
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district is very expansive, covering rural Southern New Mexico, including Alamogordo, Las Cruces, and Roswell. Republican Steve Pearce, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2003 to 2009, was reelected to a fourth consecutive and seventh total term with 63% of the vote in 2016. Pearce did not run for reelection and instead ran unsuccessfully for Governor of New Mexico.

New Mexico's 2nd district was one of the 80 Republican-held seats that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was targeting in 2018.[29] It was successfully picked up by the Democrats.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew
Disqualified
Declined

Pre-primary convention results

Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the convention on March 10, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 5 primary.

CandidatePercentage of delegates wonAutomatically on ballot
Xochitl Torres Smallbgcolor=lightgreen65.75%
Madeline Hildebrandtbgcolor=lightgreen34.25%

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Yvette
Herrell (R)
Xochitl
Torres Small (D)
Undecided
Research & Polling, Inc.October 26 — November 1, 2018413± 4.8%46%45%9%
Carroll StrategiesOctober 29, 201833847%42%11%
Emerson CollegeOctober 24–26, 2018278± 6.1%47%47%6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[51] October 19–23, 2018522± 4.6%45%44%11%
The Tarrance Group (R)[52] September 30 — October 2, 2018400± 4.9%49%45%6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[53] September 13–18, 2018503± 4.9%45%46%10%
Research & Polling, Inc.[54] September 7–13, 2018405± 4.9%48%41%11%
Carroll StrategiesJune 15–16, 201833449%35%17%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D)[55] June 6–11, 2018456± 4.6%45%43%

Results

District 3

Election Name:2018 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election
Country:New Mexico
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 3
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 3
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:BenLujan2016 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Ben Ray Luján
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:155,201
Percentage1:63.4%
Nominee2:Jerald McFall
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:76,427
Percentage2:31.2%
Image3:File:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Chris Manning
Party3:Libertarian Party (United States)
Popular Vote3:13,265
Percentage3:5.4%
Map2 Image:NM3 House 2018.svg
Map2 Caption:Precinct results
Lujan:
McFall:
Tie:
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ben Ray Luján
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Ben Ray Luján
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district covers Northern New Mexico, including the capital Santa Fe, as well as Farmington, Las Vegas, and Taos. The district also expands into parts of rural Eastern New Mexico, taking in Clovis and Portales. Democrat Ben Ray Luján, who had represented the district since 2009, was reelected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

New Mexico's 3rd district was one of 36 Democrat-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ben
Ray Luján (D)
Jerald
McFall (R)
Christopher
Manning (L)
Undecided
Carroll StrategiesOctober 29, 201841057%33%4%6%
Emerson CollegeOctober 24–26, 2018331± 5.7%54%37%5%
Carroll StrategiesJune 15–16, 201844658%30%5%7%

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites of first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Johnson. Cheryl L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. 2019-04-27. 2019-02-28. mdy-all.
  2. News: U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham announces 2018 gubernatorial bid. Albuquerque Journal. Boyd. Dan. December 13, 2016. December 13, 2016.
  3. Web site: NRCC Announces Initial Offensive Targets For The 2018 Cycle - NRCC. February 8, 2017. June 6, 2018.
  4. Web site: Sedillo Lopez launches run for 1st Congressional District. Albuquerque Journal. Shepard. Maggie. April 20, 2017. April 21, 2017.
  5. News: Haaland, former Dem Party state chairwoman, running for Congress. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Oxford. Andrew. May 2, 2017. May 5, 2017.
  6. Web site: Fifth democrat joins race to replace Lujan Grisham. Albuquerque Journal. McKay. Dan. May 30, 2017. May 31, 2017.
  7. Web site: Ex-U.S. attorney enters race for ABQ-based congressional seat. Albuquerque Journal. Boyd. Dan. July 10, 2017. July 10, 2017.
  8. Web site: Albuquerque city councilman running for U.S. House. The Santa Fe New Mexican. April 4, 2017. April 5, 2017.
  9. Web site: Democrat Pat Davis drops out of congressional race, endorses Haaland. KOB Web Staff. May 29, 2018. KOB. May 29, 2018. May 29, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180529224730/https://www.kob.com/politics-news/pat-davis-drops-out-/4927420/. dead.
  10. News: N.M. physicist announces run for Lujan Grisham’s seat. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Oxford. Andrew. May 8, 2017. May 9, 2017.
  11. Web site: Security Check Required. www.facebook.com. en. 2017-11-13.
  12. News: 8th Dem candidate enters race for congressional seat. Albuquerque Journal. Boyd. Dan. July 27, 2017. July 28, 2017.
  13. News: Chavez drops out of congressional race due to health concerns. Albuquerque Journal. McKay. Dan. October 2, 2017. October 3, 2017.
  14. Web site: Here’s who’s considering running to replace Lujan Grisham in Congress. New Mexico Political Report. Lyman. Andy. December 14, 2016. January 19, 2017.
  15. Web site: Lujan Grisham’s run shaking up politics. Albuquerque Journal. McKay. Dan. December 14, 2016. January 19, 2017.
  16. News: State Sen. Padilla will run for lieutenant governor. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Terrell. Steve. July 19, 2017. September 1, 2017.
  17. https://www.abqjournal.com/1176833 Albuquerque Journal
  18. https://www.scribd.com/document/379503743/NM-01-Lake-Research-for-VoteVets-May-2018 Lake Research Partners (D)
  19. http://joemonahansnewmexico.blogspot.com/2018_04_22_archive.html#1511650707237639832#1511650707237639832 Public Policy Polling (D)
  20. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_W0ZEg1_p8 YouTube
  21. News: Republican enters race for 1st Congressional District seat. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Terrell. Steve. June 19, 2017. June 20, 2017.
  22. Web site: Congressional race in New Mexico gets Libertarian candidate . Albuquerque Journal . January 8, 2018.
  23. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXxiw3at04o YouTube
  24. https://www.abqjournal.com/1241736/herrell-torres-small-locked-in-tight-race-for-congress.html Research & Polling, Inc.
  25. https://web.archive.org/web/20181102222941/https://www.kob.com/kobtvimages/repository/cs/files/Poll%20Results.pdf Carroll Strategies
  26. https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-democrats-favored-pick-governorships-mi-nm-hold-us-senate-seat-nj#.W9cTsdf7TIX Emerson College
  27. https://www.abqjournal.com/1221685/haaland-ahead-of-arnoldjones-4941.html Research & Polling, Inc.
  28. http://nmpoliticalreport.com/852901/poll-lujan-grisham-leads-pearce-in-governors-race/ Carroll Strategies
  29. http://dccc.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/MEMO-Charging-Forward-DCCC-Announces-Battlefield-Expansion-18.pdf DCCC Announces Battlefield Expansion
  30. News: All eyes on Pearce’s next step. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Oxford. Andrew. June 11, 2017. June 19, 2017.
  31. Web site: Las Cruces water attorney Xochitl Torres Small to seek seat being vacated by Pearce . Las Cruces Sun-News . January 17, 2018.
  32. Web site: Democrat Baake to run for Pearce seat . . 2 July 2023 . 29 June 2017.
  33. Web site: Three Candidates Remain In Race For Democratic Nomination In New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District . . 2 July 2023 . 20 January 2018.
  34. Web site: Haussamen . Heath . Dunn will run for U.S. House instead of land commissioner . NMPolitics.net . 2 July 2023 . 18 July 2017.
  35. Web site: Endorsements gaining steam. The Albuquerque Journal. Oxford. Andrew. July 4, 2017. July 5, 2017. October 18, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171018140956/https://www.abqjournal.com/1079386/endorsements-gaining-steam-for-congressional-seat-excerpt-bingaman-to-endorse-martinez.html. dead.
  36. Web site: Former Las Cruces fire chief jumps into race for 1st Congressional District. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Oxford. Andrew. July 24, 2017. July 24, 2017.
  37. Web site: Angel Peña announces bid for New Mexico Congressional District 2 . . 2 July 2023 . 22 December 2017.
  38. Web site: Angel Peña disqualified from New Mexico congressional race . . 2 July 2023 . 12 February 2018.
  39. Web site: Angel Peña to challenge disqualification from congressional race . . 2 July 2023 . 14 February 2018.
  40. Web site: McKay . Dan . Judge upholds Angel Peña disqualification from congressional race . . 2 July 2023 . 27 February 2018.
  41. Web site: All eyes on Pearce’s next step. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Oxford. Andrew. June 11, 2017. June 14, 2017.
  42. News: Las Cruces legislator cites budget, jobs crisis for why he’s running for governor. NMPolitics.net. Peters. Joey. July 7, 2017. July 10, 2017.
  43. News: Morales will not run for Pearce seat. Las Cruces Sun-News. August 22, 2017. September 17, 2017.
  44. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=86pclMMQu9c YouTube
  45. Web site: D'Ammassa . Algernon . Gavin Clarkson says he is the candidate to keep NM congressional seat Republican . The Deming Headlight . April 1, 2021 . November 14, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20201114203747/https://www.demingheadlight.com/story/news/politics/2018/06/01/gavin-clarkson-hits-gop-rivals-his-race-new-mexico-congressional-seat/661519002/ . dead .
  46. Web site: Former Gary Johnson campaign worker Clayburn Griffin to run for Pearce's seat . Las Cruces Sun-News.
  47. News: Yvette Herrell running for Congressional seat vacated by Pearce. Alamogordo Daily News. Barbati. Duane. July 11, 2017. July 11, 2017.
  48. News: Former Hobbs Mayor runs for Congress. Deming Headlight. D'Ammassa. Algernon. August 14, 2017. August 14, 2017. August 15, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170815004654/http://www.demingheadlight.com/story/news/2017/08/14/former-hobbs-mayor-runs-congress/566490001/. dead.
  49. News: NM Land Commissioner Aubrey Dunn announces bid for Congress. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Oxford. Andrew. July 18, 2017. July 18, 2017.
  50. Web site: Dunn drops out of 2nd Congressional District race. NMPolitics.net. Haussamen. Heath. October 2, 2017. October 3, 2017.
  51. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-nm02-3.html NYT Upshot/Siena College
  52. https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/yvette-herrell-holds-slim-lead-new-mexico-open-seat-race-republican-poll-finds The Tarrance Group (R)
  53. https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/NM02P1release_final.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College
  54. https://www.abqjournal.com/1221684/herrell-leads-torres-small-in-southern-nm.htmll Research & Polling, Inc.
  55. http://nmpoliticalreport.com/852504/dccc-poll-says-torres-small-down-2-percentage-points-in-cd2/ DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D)
  56. Web site: Halasz Graham . Sarah . District 3 challengers say unseating Luján will be an arduous task . Santa Fe New Mexican . October 19, 2018.