Election Name: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
Country: | New Hampshire |
Type: | legislative |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Seats For Election: | All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives |
Election Date: | November 8, 2016 |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Last Election1: | 1 |
Seats1: | 2 |
Seat Change1: | 1 |
Popular Vote1: | 336,575 |
Percentage1: | 46.96% |
Swing1: | 4.50% |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Last Election2: | 1 |
Seats2: | 0 |
Seat Change2: | 1 |
Popular Vote2: | 316,149 |
Percentage2: | 44.11% |
Swing2: | 4.27% |
The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on September 13.
Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:
scope=col rowspan=3 | District | scope=col colspan=2 | Democratic | scope=col colspan=2 | Republican | scope=col colspan=2 | Others | scope=col colspan=2 | Total | scope=col rowspan=3 | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | ! | scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | ! | scope=col colspan=2 | ! | scope=col colspan=2 | |||||||||
scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % |
District 1 | 162,080 | 44.29% | 157,176 | 42.95% | 46,728 | 12.77% | 365,984 | 100.0% | Democratic gain | ||||||
174,495 | 49.74% | 158,973 | 45.32% | 17,324 | 4.94% | 350,792 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | |||||||
Total | 336,575 | 46.96% | 316,149 | 44.11% | 64,052 | 8.94% | 716,776 | 100.0% |
Election Name: | 2016 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election |
Country: | New Hampshire |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 1 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 1 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Nominee1: | Carol Shea-Porter |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 162,080 |
Percentage1: | 44.3% |
Nominee2: | Frank Guinta |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 157,176 |
Percentage2: | 43.0% |
Nominee3: | Shawn O' Connor |
Party3: | Independent (United States) |
Popular Vote3: | 34,735 |
Percentage3: | 9.5% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Frank Guinta |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Carol Shea-Porter |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. Incumbent Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the district since 2015 and previously from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014, defeating Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter, and the district had a PVI of R+1.
In May 2015, Guinta settled a case with the Federal Election Commission involving $355,000 that had been donated to him by his parents during his first House campaign in 2010. The settlement required him to return the donation and pay a $15,000 fine to the FEC.[1] New Hampshire politicians including Republican U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte called on Guinta to resign his House seat, but he refused.[2]
Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Independent | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | ||||||||
Frank Guinta | Carol Shea-Porter | Shawn O'Conner | ||||||
1 | Oct. 24, 2016 | NH1-TV | Paul Steinhauser Keke Vencill | [12] | ||||
2 | Nov. 3, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV | Josh McElveen | [13] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Frank Guinta (R) | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | Robert Lombardo (L) | Shawn O' Connor (I) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Amherst/YouGov[14] | October 17–21, 2016 | 380 | ± ?% | 37% | align=center | 41% | 9% | − | 3% | 10% | |
Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC)[15] | September 18–21, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 34% | align=center | 44% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 10% | |
North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC)[16] | September 14–18, 2016 | 427 | ± ?% | align=center | 41% | 38% | 4% | 8% | − | 9% | |
University of New Hampshire[17] | August 20–28, 2016 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 29% | align=center | 48% | − | − | 5% | 19% | |
University of New Hampshire[18] | July 9–18, 2016 | 215 | ± 6.7% | 37% | align=center | 43% | − | − | 7% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rich Ashooh (R) | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR/UNH[19] | August 20–28, 2016 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 27% | align=center | 50% | 4% | 19% | |
WMUR/UNH[20] | July 9–18, 2016 | 215 | ± 6.7% | 29% | align=center | 46% | 6% | 18% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[21] | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Daily Kos Elections[22] | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Rothenberg[23] | November 3, 2016 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | November 7, 2016 | |
RCP[25] | October 31, 2016 |
Shea-Porter narrowly flipped the seat Democratic. This, along with the narrow victory by Democrat Maggie Hassan in the concurrent Senate election, made it the first time since 1854 that New Hampshire's congressional delegation was fully represented by Democrats.
Election Name: | 2016 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election |
Country: | New Hampshire |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Nominee1: | Ann McLane Kuster |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 174,495 |
Percentage1: | 49.7% |
Nominee2: | Jim Lawrence |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 158,973 |
Percentage2: | 45.3% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Ann McLane Kuster |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Ann McLane Kuster |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. Incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2014, and the district had a PVI of D+3.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ann McLane Kuster (D) | Jim Lawrence (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | August 20–28, 2016 | 222 | ± 6.6% | align=center | 40% | 34% | 3% | 22% | |
University of New Hampshire | July 9–18, 2016 | 254 | ± 6.1% | align=center | 38% | 32% | 4% | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ann McLane Kuster (D) | Jack Flanagan (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR/UNH | August 20–28, 2016 | 222 | ± 6.6% | align=center | 40% | 35% | 3% | 22% | |
WMUR/UNH | July 9–18, 2016 | 254 | ± 6.1% | align=center | 38% | 32% | 4% | 26% |