2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire explained

Election Name:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
Country:New Hampshire
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
Next Year:2018
Seats For Election:All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:1
Seats1:2
Seat Change1:1
Popular Vote1:336,575
Percentage1:46.96%
Swing1:4.50%
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:1
Seats2:0
Seat Change2:1
Popular Vote2:316,149
Percentage2:44.11%
Swing2:4.27%

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on September 13.

Overview

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
District 1 162,080 44.29% 157,176 42.95% 46,728 12.77% 365,984 100.0% Democratic gain
174,495 49.74% 158,973 45.32% 17,324 4.94% 350,792 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 336,575 46.96% 316,149 44.11% 64,052 8.94% 716,776 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2016 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election
Country:New Hampshire
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 1
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 1
Next Year:2018
Nominee1:Carol Shea-Porter
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:162,080
Percentage1:44.3%
Nominee2:Frank Guinta
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:157,176
Percentage2:43.0%
Nominee3:Shawn O' Connor
Party3:Independent (United States)
Popular Vote3:34,735
Percentage3:9.5%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Frank Guinta
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Carol Shea-Porter
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. Incumbent Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the district since 2015 and previously from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014, defeating Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter, and the district had a PVI of R+1.

Republican primary

In May 2015, Guinta settled a case with the Federal Election Commission involving $355,000 that had been donated to him by his parents during his first House campaign in 2010. The settlement required him to return the donation and pay a $15,000 fine to the FEC.[1] New Hampshire politicians including Republican U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte called on Guinta to resign his House seat, but he refused.[2]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

General election

Debates

2016 New Hampshire 1st congressional district debates
DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Key:
Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn
Frank GuintaCarol Shea-PorterShawn O'Conner
1Oct. 24, 2016NH1-TVPaul Steinhauser
Keke Vencill
[12]
2Nov. 3, 2016New Hampshire Institute of Politics
New Hampshire Union Leader
WMUR-TV
Josh McElveen[13]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Frank
Guinta (R)
Carol
Shea-Porter (D)
Robert
Lombardo (L)
Shawn
O' Connor (I)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[14] October 17–21, 2016380± ?%37% align=center41%9%3%10%
Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC)[15] September 18–21, 2016400± 4.9%34% align=center44%4%4%4%10%
North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC)[16] September 14–18, 2016427± ?% align=center41%38%4%8%9%
University of New Hampshire[17] August 20–28, 2016211± 6.7%29% align=center48%5%19%
University of New Hampshire[18] July 9–18, 2016215± 6.7%37% align=center43%7%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rich
Ashooh (R)
Carol
Shea-Porter (D)
OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNH[19] August 20–28, 2016211± 6.7%27% align=center50%4%19%
WMUR/UNH[20] July 9–18, 2016215± 6.7%29% align=center46%6%18%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[21] November 7, 2016
align=left Daily Kos Elections[22] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg[23] November 3, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] November 7, 2016
RCP[25] October 31, 2016

Results

Shea-Porter narrowly flipped the seat Democratic. This, along with the narrow victory by Democrat Maggie Hassan in the concurrent Senate election, made it the first time since 1854 that New Hampshire's congressional delegation was fully represented by Democrats.

District 2

Election Name:2016 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election
Country:New Hampshire
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2
Next Year:2018
Nominee1:Ann McLane Kuster
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:174,495
Percentage1:49.7%
Nominee2:Jim Lawrence
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:158,973
Percentage2:45.3%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ann McLane Kuster
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Ann McLane Kuster
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. Incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2014, and the district had a PVI of D+3.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Endorsements

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ann McLane
Kuster (D)
Jim
Lawrence (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New HampshireAugust 20–28, 2016222± 6.6% align=center40%34%3%22%
University of New HampshireJuly 9–18, 2016254± 6.1% align=center38%32%4%26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ann McLane
Kuster (D)
Jack
Flanagan (R)
OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNHAugust 20–28, 2016222± 6.6% align=center40%35%3%22%
WMUR/UNHJuly 9–18, 2016254± 6.1% align=center38%32%4%26%

Results

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Kelly Ayotte to Frank Guinta: Resignation is 'the right step'. Politico.com. 18 May 2015 . Politico. 19 May 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150520205113/http://www.politico.com/story/2015/05/frank-guinta-improper-campaign-contributions-kelly-ayotte-react-118056.html. May 20, 2015. live.
  2. Web site: New Hampshire Rep. Frank Guinta says he won't resign, despite calls from fellow Republicans. boston.com. The Boston Globe. 19 May 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150520221008/http://www.boston.com/news/local/new-hampshire/2015/05/18/new-hampshire-rep-frank-guinta-say-won-resign-despite-calls-from-fellow-republicans/vBemqDgblHSqVCi21NwCoK/story.html. May 20, 2015. live.
  3. News: DiStaso. John. Innis suspends congressional campaign, says family, business interests come first. 25 March 2016. WMUR. March 25, 2016.
  4. Web site: NH INSIDER- Your Source for NH Politics - Press Releases - Pam Tucker Announces Run for NH-01 . 2016-02-25 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160309124741/http://www.nhinsider.com/press-releases/2016/2/18/pam-tucker-announces-run-for-nh-01.html . 2016-03-09 . dead .
  5. Web site: Dan Tuohy . Rep. Pam Tucker suspends 1st CD campaign . unionleader.com . New Hampshire Union Leader . 13 July 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160504115353/https://www.unionleader.com/rep-pam-tucker-suspends-1st-cd-campaign/ . 4 May 2016 . 2 May 2016.
  6. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l8Q7Qeg1-bA YouTube
  7. Web site: DiStaso. John. Shea-Porter announces she's running for US House again in 2016. WMUR.com. 20 September 2015 . Manchester Hearst Properties Inc.. 20 September 2015.
  8. Web site: Democratic political newcomer O'Connor files candidacy for 1st District U.S. House seat. NH Journal. DiStaso. John. February 10, 2015. April 9, 2015.
  9. Web site: 10 Races to Watch in 2016: New Hampshire's 1st District. December 30, 2014. December 30, 2014. Roll Call. Alexis Levinson. December 31, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20141231075626/http://atr.rollcall.com/races-to-watch-2016-new-hampshire-1st-district-frank-guinta/. dead.
  10. Web site: Analysis: NH Democrats already have deep bench for top races in 2016. November 14, 2014. November 14, 2014. New Hampshire Journal. John DiStaso.
  11. Web site: John DiStaso . Executive Councilor Chris Pappas won't run for US House, backs Carol Shea-Porter . wmur.com . WMUR Manchester . 13 July 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150923162957/https://www.wmur.com/politics/executive-councilor-chris-pappas-wont-run-for-us-house-backs-carol-sheaporter/35424704 . 23 September 2015 . 22 September 2014.
  12. https://www.c-span.org/video/?416877-1/hampshire-1st-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN
  13. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BDMk1UjkajQ&t=128s YouTube
  14. https://web.archive.org/web/20161025191611/https://cbsboston.files.wordpress.com/2016/10/toplines_state_races.pdf UMass Amherst/YouGov
  15. https://www.scribd.com/document/325042615/NH-01-Normington-Petts-for-House-Majority-PAC-Sept-2016 Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC)
  16. https://www.scribd.com/document/324787458/NH-01-North-Star-for-NRCC-Sept-2016 North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC)
  17. https://web.archive.org/web/20160911231656/https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_summer_congelect083116.pdf University of New Hampshire
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20160814162042/https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_summer_cong072016.pdf University of New Hampshire
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20160911231656/https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_summer_congelect083116.pdf WMUR/UNH
  20. https://web.archive.org/web/20160814162042/https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_summer_cong072016.pdf WMUR/UNH
  21. Web site: 2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016 . House: Race Ratings . . November 12, 2016.
  22. Web site: Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016 . . November 7, 2016.
  23. Web site: 2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016) . House Ratings . . November 3, 2016.
  24. Web site: 2016 House . . November 7, 2016 . November 7, 2016.
  25. Web site: Battle for the House 2016 . . October 31, 2016.
  26. Web site: Landrigan: Top NH House Republican explores bid for 2nd District Congressman. Landrigan. Kevin. 22 October 2015. 23 October 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20151024050858/http://www.nh1.com/news/landrigan-top-nh-house-republican-explores-bid-for-2nd-district-congressman/. 24 October 2015. dead.
  27. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5sPZ4vkH-Ew YouTube
  28. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ieMWIJ1tio YouTube