| Election Name: | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| Country: | New Hampshire |
| Type: | legislative |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| Previous Year: | 2010 |
| Next Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| Next Year: | 2014 |
| Seats For Election: | All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| Election Date: | November 6, 2012 |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Last Election1: | 0 |
| Seats1: | 2 |
| Seat Change1: | 2 |
| Popular Vote1: | 340,925 |
| Percentage1: | 49.96% |
| Swing1: | 5.37% |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Last Election2: | 2 |
| Seats2: | 0 |
| Seat Change2: | 2 |
| Popular Vote2: | 311,636 |
| Percentage2: | 45.66% |
| Swing2: | 5.53% |
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election.
| United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2012[1] [2] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Democratic | 340,925 | 49.96% | 2 | +2 | |
| Republican | 311,636 | 45.66% | 0 | -2 | |
| Libertarian | 29,457 | 4.32% | 0 | — | |
| Scattering | 398 | 0.06% | 0 | — | |
| Totals | 682,416 | 100.00% | 2 | — | |
See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. The redrawn 1st district currently represents all municipalities in Belknap (except for the town of Center Harbor); the entirety of Carroll, and Strafford counties; all of Rockingham County; the municipalities of Bedford, Goffstown, Manchester, and Merrimack in Hillsborough County; the town of Campton in Grafton County; and the town of Hooksett in Merrimack County.[3]
Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the 1st district since January 2011, ran for re-election.[4]
Brendan Kelly, the chairman of the Seabrook Board of Selectmen, ran as a Libertarian.[13]
| Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | |||||||
| Frank Guinta | Carol Shea-Porter | ||||||
| 1 | Sep. 17, 2012 | New Hampshire PBS | Laura Knoy | [14] | |||
| 2 | Oct. 9, 2012 | AARP WBIN-TV | Charlie Sherman | [15] | |||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Frank Guinta (R) | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire[16] | November 1–4, 2012 | 366 | ± 5.1% | 46% | align=center | 49% | 5% | — | |
| New England College[17] | October 29–31, 2012 | 511 | ± 4.3% | align=center | 48% | 41% | 2% | 9% | |
| University of New Hampshire[18] | October 17–21, 2012 | 364 | ± 5.1% | align=center | 41% | 38% | 4% | 17% | |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire[19] | September 30 - October 6, 2012 | 200 | ± 6.9% | align=center | 45% | 35% | 3% | 17% | |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire[20] | September 27–30, 2012 | 273 | ± 5.9% | 35% | align=center | 46% | – | 18% | |
| Public Policy Polling[21] | September 24–25, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 47% | align=center | 48% | - | 4% | |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire[22] | August 1–12, 2012 | 258 | ± 6.1% | 43% | align=center | 45% | - | 12% | |
| Public Policy Polling[23] | May 10–13, 2012 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 43% | align=center | 47% | - | 10% | |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire[24] | April 9–20, 2012 | 230 | ± 6.5% | 39% | align=center | 44% | 1% | 16% | |
| Pulse Opinion Research LLC[25] | January 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Public Policy Polling[26] | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 299 | ± 5.7% | align=center | 48% | 41% | - | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[27] | November 5, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg[28] | November 2, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Roll Call[29] | November 4, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | November 5, 2012 | ||
| align=left | NY Times[31] | November 4, 2012 | ||
| RCP[32] | November 4, 2012 | |||
| align=left | The Hill[33] | November 4, 2012 |
See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district. The redrawn 2nd district will represent all of Cheshire, Coos, Grafton (except for the town of Campton), Merrimack (except for the town of Hooksett), and Sullivan counties; most of Hillsborough County; the towns of Atkinson, Deerfield, Northwood, Salem, and Windham in Rockingham County; and the town of Center Harbor in Belknap County.[3]
Republican Charles Bass, who had represented the 2nd district from 1995 to 2007, and since 2011 ran for re-election. Bass won by just 1% in 2010.
Hardy Macia, owner of an iPhone/Android app development company, ran as a Libertarian.[36]
| Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | |||||||
| Charles Bass | Ann McLane Kuster | ||||||
| 1 | Sep. 19, 2012 | New Hampshire PBS | Laura Knoy | [37] | |||
| 2 | Oct. 10, 2012 | AARP WBIN-TV | Charlie Sherman | [38] | |||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Charlie Bass (R) | Ann Kuster (D) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 1–4, 2012 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 43% | align=center | 53% | 4% | — | |
| New England College | October 29–31, 2012 | 511 | ± 4.33% | 41% | align=center | 47% | 1% | 11% | |
| University of New Hampshire | October 17–21, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.9% | 36% | align=center | 39% | 3% | 22% | |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 30 – October 6, 2012 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 35% | align=center | 38% | 3% | 25% | |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 27–30, 2012 | 325 | ± 5.4% | 34% | align=center | 36% | 2% | 28% | |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24–25, 2012 | 461 | ± 4.6% | 45% | align=center | 51% | - | 4% | |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 284 | ± 5.8% | align=center | 42% | 37% | - | 21% | |
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 42% | - | 15% | ||
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | 251 | ± 6.2% | 39% | align=center | 40% | 1% | 20% | |
| Pulse Opinion Research LLC | January 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | align=center | 39% | 35% | 14% | 13% | |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 363 | ± 5.1% | align=center | 43% | 42% | - | 15% |
| Source | Ranking | As of | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | ||
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | ||
| align=left | NY Times | November 4, 2012 | ||
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |||
| align=left | The Hill | November 4, 2012 |