2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska explained

Election Name:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Country:Nebraska
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Next Year:2018
Seats For Election:All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:2
Seats1:3
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:557,557
Percentage1:70.74%
Swing1: 7.10%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:1
Seats2:0
Seat Change2: 1
Popular Vote2:221,069
Percentage2:28.04%
Swing2: 6.55%

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 10.

Overview

By district

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska by district:

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
189,771 69.45% 83,467 30.55% 0 0.00% 273,238 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 141,066 48.93% 137,602 47.73% 9,640 3.34% 288,308 100.0% Republican gain
226,720 100.0% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 226,720 100.0% Republican hold
Total 557,557 70.74% 221,069 28.04% 9,640 1.22% 788,266 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2016 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election
Country:Nebraska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 1
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 1
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Jeff Fortenberry Official Portrait 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Jeff Fortenberry
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:189,771
Percentage1:69.4%
Nominee2:Daniel Wik
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:83,467
Percentage2:30.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Jeff Fortenberry
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Jeff Fortenberry
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Nebraska's 1st congressional district. The 1st district encompassed most of the eastern quarter of the state and almost completely enveloped the 2nd district. It included the state capital, Lincoln, as well as the cities of Fremont, Columbus, Norfolk, Beatrice and South Sioux City. Incumbent Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+10.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

General election

Results

District 2

Election Name:2016 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Nebraska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 2
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 2
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Donald J. Bacon (cropped).JPG
Nominee1:Don Bacon
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:141,066
Percentage1:48.9%
Nominee2:Brad Ashford
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:137,602
Percentage2:47.7%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Brad Ashford
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Don Bacon
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Nebraska's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district was based in the Omaha–Council Bluffs metropolitan area and included all of Douglas County and the urbanized areas of Sarpy County. Incumbent Democrat Brad Ashford, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 49% of the vote in 2014, defeating Republican incumbent Lee Terry. The district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) of R+4.

Democratic primary

Scott Kleeb, a businessman who was the nominee for Nebraska's 3rd congressional district in 2006 and for the U.S. Senate in 2008, was speculated to challenge Ashford, a centrist Democrat, from the left.[2] Kleeb ultimately did not run and Ashford won the primary unopposed.

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Results

Republican primary

Former state senator and Douglas County Commissioner Chip Maxwell, who considered running as an independent against Terry in 2012,[3] and retired United States Air Force brigadier general Don Bacon ran in the Republican primary.[4]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

General election

Campaign

The general election race was characterized as a tossup with the incumbent Ashford having a slight edge.[7]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Ashford (D)
Don
Bacon (R)
Steven
Laird (L)
Undecided
Singularis Group (R-Bacon)[8] October 26–27, 20161,482± 2.54%45% align=center47%4%3%
North Star Opinion Research (R-CLF)[9] October 22–24, 2016400± 4.9%44% align=center48%8%
Global Strategy Group (D–Ashford)[10] September 14–18, 2016402± 4.9% align=center50%40%10%
Singularis Group (R-Bacon)[11] May 11–12, 20161,007± 3.08%42% align=center44%5%8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[12] November 7, 2016
align=left Daily Kos Elections[13] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg[14] November 3, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] November 7, 2016
RCP[16] October 31, 2016

Results

District 3

Election Name:2016 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Nebraska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 3
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 3
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Adriansmith.jpg
Nominee1:Adrian Smith
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:226,720
Percentage1:100.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Adrian Smith
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Adrian Smith
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Nebraska's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district encompassed the western three-fourths of the state; it was one of the largest non-at-large Congressional districts in the country, covering nearly 65000sqmi, two time zones and 68.5 counties. It was mostly sparsely populated but included the cities of Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte and Scottsbluff. Incumbent Republican Adrian Smith, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+23.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary

No Democrats filed.

General election

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Norfolk physician to challenge Fortenberry for seat in Congress. Norfolk Daily News. Warneke. Kent. February 23, 2016. February 28, 2016.
  2. News: Brad Ashford to get challenge from fellow Democrat? It's a 'possibility'. Nebraska Watchdog. Jordan. Joe. January 15, 2015. January 19, 2015. January 19, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150119013111/http://watchdog.org/193286/brad-ashford-democrat/. dead.
  3. News: Move over 2014, 2016 Omaha House race is off and running. Nebraska Watchdog. Jordan. Joe. November 5, 2014. November 19, 2014. November 14, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20141114170557/http://watchdog.org/181544/omaha-house-race-6/. dead.
  4. Web site: Retired general bids for Ashford House seat. Lincoln Journal Star. Walton. Don. March 24, 2015. March 25, 2015.
  5. Web site: Citing military and foreign policy as priorities, retired Brig. Gen. Don Bacon announces bid for Congress. Omaha World-Herald. Tysver. Robynn. March 25, 2015. March 25, 2015.
  6. Web site: Statewide Candidate List. Nebraska Secretary of State. February 28, 2016. March 5, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160305045912/http://www.sos.ne.gov/elec/2016/pdf/Candidate-List.pdf. dead.
  7. Web site: Loizzo . Mike . Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Race Remains a Toss-Up . September 26, 2016 . Nebraska Radio Network . December 25, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161226215259/http://nebraskaradionetwork.com/2016/09/26/nebraskas-2nd-congressional-district-race-remains-a-toss-up/ . December 26, 2016 . dead .
  8. https://web.archive.org/web/20161104161226/http://donbacon2016.com/news/new-poll-shows-don-bacon-leading-brad-ashford/ Singularis Group (R-Bacon)
  9. https://web.archive.org/web/20161028153300/http://www.rollcall.com/gop-poll-gives-don-bacon-late-edge-rare-pickup-opportunity-nebraska-brad-ashford-house/ North Star Opinion Research (R-CLF)
  10. https://web.archive.org/web/20160921143354/http://bradashfordforcongress.com/new-poll-results-ashford-enjoys-overwhelming-job-approval-double-digit-lead-ne-02/ Global Strategy Group (D–Ashford)
  11. https://web.archive.org/web/20160910005723/http://new01.donbacon2016.com/news/bacon-leads-ashford-in-latest-poll/ Singularis Group (R-Bacon)
  12. Web site: 2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016 . House: Race Ratings . . November 12, 2016.
  13. Web site: Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016 . . November 7, 2016.
  14. Web site: 2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016) . House Ratings . . November 3, 2016.
  15. Web site: 2016 House . . November 7, 2016 . November 7, 2016.
  16. Web site: Battle for the House 2016 . . October 31, 2016.